TROPICAL STORM TO FORM BY LABOR DAY WEEKEND?!

hello everyone AMR weather here and today in this video we'll be talking about every storm in the Eastern Pacific and what's next to come in the Atlantic could we possibly have a tropical storm by Labor Day weekend well to start off here are the sea surface temperatures off the coast of Mexico and the Pacific the average temperature is around 30° CSUS some spots getting up to 31 which is around the upper 80s or low 90s in Fahrenheit in the Gulf of Mexico the average temperature is 30° um which is around the same it's uh about probably 88 889 and some spots even getting up to 31 and 32 which is the lower 90s in the Caribbean Sea the average temperature is 30° some spots are a little lower around 28 or 29 but some spots are even warmer up to 32 in the open Atlantic the average temperature is around 27 to 26° some spots even getting as high as 29 or 30° and finally in the MDR or main development region the average temperature is around 29° C which is around n 8 H sorry excuse me 86° fahr um some spots lower around 26 even up to 28 but um some spots are even higher uh around 31 some spots potentially almost getting it to 32° C well here is the current GFS model you can see they are trying to predict something getting started in the main development region maybe like right there at that low pressure system it kind of feeds away for a little bit but then it might try to get itself back together and they also have something trying to form in the Gulf of Mexico maybe a brief tropical storm like how Chris formed earlier this here and as we go even farther out you can see they have some darker Pockets trying to get thems wrapped together if I were to guess those would be open tropical waves here is the current European model um as of around 6:00 a.m. this morning you can see they also have something trying to get started although it's not as wrapped together it is still an open wave but there is no low pressure system so they are not indicating anything currently or by the end of August lastly here is the Canadian model you can see the Canadian model has a low pressure system trying to form but it never really does get itself wrapped together although there is something up there that may become subtropical if the model stay um conclusive on that and there is a couple open tropical waves one near uh Texas in the Gulf of Mexico and the other near the Bahamas well here's the current wind shear you can see that tropical wave one of the reasons it might have a little bit of a hard time getting itself together is because there's a lot of windshire trapping it on the Western and Northern sides so that could produce um very limited convection and that could be a factor along with some dry air that stops this thing from forming and this it's the same story with the one in the Gulf of Mexico well here is the current satellite imagery as of the Eastern Pacific Pacific and Atlantic satellites you can see here is newly named uh tropical storm Hector in the Eastern Pacific I would suspect now it has Winds of about 55 milph as it is producing more convection here is uh hurricane Gilma although it is weakening right now I would say it's only about a lowend category 2 uh maybe even a high-end category one as it is on a weakening track and there is not a whole lot going on in the Atlantic I mean you could see some tropical waves uh down here and over here by Southern America but there is a lot of stuff that keeps them from forming right now and one of those is sheer and also dry air and this wasn't in the satellite imagery but here is tropical storm hone um it was previously a very powerful hurricane about a category 2 in my analysis as it just passed by by Hawaii but it is currently on a weakening phase it has a wind speed of about 65 mph and is expected to become post tropical by sometime late Thursday maybe early Friday morning um but it will try to maintain its intensity up until then well here is the ocean heat content in the northern Atlantic there is a ton of stuff for storms to work with in the Caribbean Sea as you can see with all those darker red Reds yellows oranges and even Greens in the Gulf of Mexico it is the same story it has been gaining up some very deep ocean warmth and they have also been crawling into the open Atlantic and Main development region with um which may give these storms an earlier forming point if they can battle the wind shear in dry air well as always I want to say thank you all for watching this video if you are not subscribed please do that and if you enjoyed like too as that helps spread my videos around and gets this information out to everyone and is always stay safe and be prepared