Success for the Florida Gators in 2024 | Can Florida, Billy Napier make an IMPACT in the SEC 2024?

one from Todd I believe the Florida Gator will be an improved team over last year will their record reflect the Improvement and now a question from TD Gator 9 who makes his opinion on this very clear dear Andy who is the last coach to have three wins or less against 500 plus teams in their first two seasons and then go on to win a championship part two when does Billy Napier get fired so I went and looked up that stat just to make sure this wasn't a negative Nelly Just trying to to get me to read that out loud when it's not true but it is true so Billy Napier opened 2022 first game at Florida with a win against eventual packed 12 champ Utah they also beat South Carolina that year and South Carolina went up eight and5 last year they beat Tennessee those are the wins against teams that finished above 500 in their season that's it that's not good I tried to go back and and see if there were coaches in their first two years that that had equal problems I went way back I back to like Bobby Bowen when he got to Florida State because I was thinking okay he had a tough first year then he went 10 and two his second year and I was like well maybe maybe didn't have that tough a SK no they they did play against teams that finished over 500 uh coacho I thought would would be interesting to to compare coach O's first two seasons at LSU first two full season Seasons he was the interim in 2016 but his first two full seasons were 17 and 18 and in the first year he did only win two games against 500 plus teams but he won six of those such games in the second so I started crunching the numbers on this thing how many teams on Florida's schedule this year and we've talked a lot about how hard Florida's schedule is but how many teams on Florida schedule this season have a Vegas preseason win total of seven or more so we're not even including the 6.5s here we're just seven or more so seven and five or better is is kind of the the Baseline for these teams there are nine Miami n and a half Texas A&M 8 and a half UCF 7 and a half Tennessee 8 and a half Georgia 10 and a half Texas 10 and a half LSU 9 and a half Old Miss 9 and a half Florida State nine and a half oh by the way Kentucky is six and a half and Billy Napier has not beaten Mark stops yet so there's your mandate Billy Napier you're going to have to win games against good teams which we knew now to get back to Todd's original question will they be an improved team over last year and does the record reflect that the schedule is harder so that yes they can be improved and wind up with the same record now if they wind up with the same record if they wind up five and seven again I don't think they're going to keep Billy apier because at that point you've shown what you are you're an under 500 Coach that program aspires to be better than that I don't think it matters at that point now that said if you go six and six and make a bowl game if you go seven and five like if you go eight and four there's no question like the question if you go eight and four and I've seen this I've seen these numbers crunched lately like if Florida goes eight and four against this schedule could they be a Darkhorse atlarge playoff team yeah I think they'd be considered I don't know that they'd get in there but I do think they'd be considered at eight and four with this schedule depending on how the four worked out but eight and four you're absolutely staying seven and five I think you're absolutely staying because it means you've beaten teams that are pretty good that either made the playoff or close to making the playoff six and six I think there's a path to staying it just depends on how the games looked were you close in the games you lost now if you go six and six and you lose the six by an average of 28 points you're gone if you go six and six and you lose the six by an average of six points that means you're probably kind of right there and next season could be significantly better so all of that context matters but the the the having nine teams on your schedule with a preseason win total of seven are better Billy Napier so far in two seasons in Florida the best of those two he beat two teams that finished with over a 500 record if you only beat two of the teams out of those nine that are supposed to have over a 500 record you're five- seven this year not good enough so that is the Mandate for Billy Napier you have to win some of those games and I look I've heard people say but the schedule's so hard it doesn't matter you're at a program that pays you to win national championships to we we quote Don graper a lot on this show but that's what the money's for you got to win those games if not now win so there's where they're at right now when you lay out the schedule like that when you lay it out there with how many teams are expected to be really good because it's not just it's not like they're all at seven and a half there's six opponents at nine and a half or higher that's crazy but again that's what the money's for you are paid to win games like that will he we'll find out thank you so much for watching just a reminder subscribe to this channel right here so you never miss an episode of Andy Staples on three and oh by the way watch all the other great videos on the Onre Sports YouTube channel