NFL DFS Week 2 Thursday Night Football Lineup Built | Outlier.Bet

what's going on everybody Welcome Back fantasy team advisor.com bringing home the bacon NFL Thursday night football showdown we are into week two already week one is in the past week two is here but I do want to know down below let me know did you guys do well on week one let us know how you did either season long or NFL DFS for daily fantasy FanDuel DraftKings whichever website you play on let us know how you did so we are back if you don't know who we are fantasy team advisor.com is the website you can check it out right here we have a ton of information we go into detail with DFS currently MLB NFL um NASCAR PGA and MMA we've also got NBA once that comes back so we are full swing we're really excited about NFL and we know you guys are ready to dive into Thursday Night Football now we had the Monday Night Football breakdown uh it was you know CMC was a late scratch Jaan Jennings was one of our plays that we liked as a cheap option just other plays that we really liked that we wanted to talk about and we got through it threw us for a loop for him being out about an hour before uh first the kickoff so that was a little different but I mean Jordan Mason was a great options hopefully you guys did well so uh we're going to break down the The Showdown uh we're going to look at the game we got Buffalo at Miami um there was weather concern a couple of days ago it looks like it is good now uh hopefully you didn't got you know you're ready to go so we're going to look at it depending on when you watch this video the opening line was over 49 and a half it is now up to 50 and a half and currently it is uh the let's see the dolphins are a onepoint favorite as of right now uh depending on the book you get on get them on so if we're on DraftKings dolphins are now a a two-point favorite and we'll just kind of see how it goes throughout there are you know injuries a chain um you've got moster also both banged up and you know moster really let a lot of people down in week one so we are here to look at everything so we're going to take a look and see what we've got for um all of the plays we have a breakdown of what goes into what category and we are going to talk about that real quick but if you guys like this video hit that like button guys subscribe if you have not we are 80 subscribers away from 10,000 and I'm going to do something good for you if we can get to 10,000 subscribers to this YouTube page before Thursday kickoff I'm going to give away a lifetime pass to one person who are is a subscriber to the YouTube page so there is a $500 value right there also first come first serve to email me DFS help 1@gmail.com that's DFS help the number 1@gmail.com we have 10 spots open for a yearly pass normally $199 for fantasy team advisor.com we are going to give it to you for 50 bucks if you email me right now so first come first serve and as always these videos are sponsored by are going to do that we have our NFL matchup tool coming back and we we're current depending on when you watch this video it might be done but we are bringing it back it'll be on the website for week two what it is is this is the opposing defense these are the the passing allowed to quarterbacks the rushing allowed to quarterbacks and the fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks so you can see Arizona Cardinals averaged 17.9 fantasy points to the opposing quarter uh quarterback last week which was Josh Allen you can go all the way through that you can check out running backs which we are building onto this right now um same thing so if there are certain things you want to see in this matchup tool let us know but this is going to be part of how we break down each and every game here for the main slate come uh Sunday so we're that video will be out there this weekend there's a lot of videos make sure you check out everything we have uh rankings out there as well so we are going to dig in to this game right now so just to preface this by saying this is data from 2023 to current so right now 84% of the top nuts lineup that took the gpp down or Took The Showdown down contained at least one quarterback you've got to get that in there and we've talked about that before 6% of the lineups used the entire $50,000 salary so do not think you have to use all 50,000 that's a big Mis conception a lot of people don't know 16% of the players have had a $200 player in there so if if you or 16% of the lineups so $2 to $300 so you would look in here and you would just if there's ones that jump out to you like maybe a KJ hamler if he gets in there um he's the practice squad but maybe he gets put picked up um you've got other ones that $300 value or Flex sorry Flex are $200 value you wouldn't use them in the uh Captain spot so depending on if people are ruled out we could find some value here like Alec inold could always steal a a vulture touchdown it it didn't happen week one he had two attempts for eight yards so and one target so had he caught that you know his salary was very cheap so this is just one thing to look at you can always look at uh you know depending on who's in there so between now and when the kickoff is make sure to see if anyone's been elevated from the practice squad you know you got cheap cheaper options like Braxton baros um two Targets in week one didn't do anything with that game so there are very cheap options that you can find uh again no 16% of the lineups had a $200 player if we go further down 80% of the lineups had a $4,000 or less player in it so that is basically Bill's defense and down um which you could find jnu Smith Dawson Knox Jeff Wilson Jr would be a tremendous play who has a great offense uh going up against the defense here if in fact uh Devin and um most start are out in this game so they did get hurt they were banged up he had five attempts for 26 yards no catches but 2.6 fantasy points and we look at him he's 2400 so there are just different ways to go about it you'll always want to see your kicker I mean as we saw Jake Moody yesterday ABS or on Monday absolutely murdered it so uh average lineup has a salary of 4 7,584 so you do not again you do not need to use all 50,000 on DraftKings that being said people have asked us we love you know we love to stack baseball we stack football depending on what we do sometimes we stack with the pass schedu and stuff like that so looking at this overall a three to three uh 36% three of Three Stacks so three on each side 36% of the time that's how what takes it down so you've got to look at the game script you got to see how the lines of have moved from when they come out on Tuesday to when they uh when the game starts so definitely watch how the line moves and you can kind of get in your mind how this game might play out so on top of that 42 stack is 44% of the time and 51 stack is 21% of the time so it appears the majority of the time you want a 4 or2 stack so you think let's say for instance you think Miami is going to be up big early kind of like what we saw Arizona with B uh on Sunday and I had someone in a season long League he's got Josh Allen kept complaining he's like he's looking like crap blah blah blah I'm like you want Josh Allen to be playing from behind so in theory if you think Miami is going to be up big you want Josh Allen and the bills to be playing from behind because that's where you're going to get your points or vice versa if you think the bills are going to be up big you want Tua Tyreek Wadd who whomever else you want them playing from behind because your 42 stat could absolutely dominate there and then a 5-1 stack is only 21% of the time you know if you make multiple lineups maybe throw them in there but you know that one might be a kick or something like that just depends on if any value opens up so here's the thing we had a article and video about it last year but we're bringing it back looking at between captain and flex the captain spot 39% of the time the winning lineup had a wide receiver in it so we look at that yes Tyreek Hill is very expensive they know what they're doing uh maybe you go away from Hill at 174 and you go with Wadd at 129 and save a ton of money and you're still able to get Tyreek in there that is a way to do it so 39% of the time the wide receiver was in the nuts spot for Captain 28% of the time was a running back so as of like yesterday for Monday Night Football CMC was the highest projected and most owned Captain spot until the news broke which makes sense um again though you know it is cmc's game or team with Miami if every one of them is healthy it's kind of a crapshoot so you might have to make multiple lineups with different running backs that you think might take it if they're all healthy for this game QB was 17% of the time and you know there's always that chance for like Baker Mayfield um put up a ton of points in week one if you play The Showdown with him in it he most likely was in the nuts lineup there Anthony Richardson same thing Josh Allen same thing tight end only 7% of the time defense 7% of the time and kicker 2% of the time now it's a great recency bias we know that Jake Moody killed it on Monday Night Football so he was part of that 2% he just had it a I believe a six for six uh like 30 40 50 yard and then extra point like he dominated he single-handedly won me my season long League week one um him and Dallas defense put up uh 52 fantasy points for me um and and I won by like 20 uh he had Garrett Wilson I had a kicker and I was only up by like five because puka let me down and got hurt his knee blew I thought it was over Jake Moody said not so fast so again wide receivers 39% of the time in the captain spot running backs 28% of the time uh QB 177% of the time tight ends 17 or 7% of the time defense and special team 7% of the time and kickers 2% of the time so now that we have that out of the way let's take a look at if it is possible and how to build some of these lineups out here because we've got some we want to look at but we also want to build a lineup for you that makes sense so we're going to follow the guidelines we're going to look at the stacks the uh ones that make the most sense we're going to make sure we've got everything in order and we're going to rock and roll so if you have not already checked out the website go check out fantasy team advisor.com NFL tab you can go down and you can check out everything we have to offer we're going to update this to volume report it is now going to be updated weekly so we you know week one we only had a certain amount of stats but you want to see defenses have changed this year so how are the points allowed how are the volume report how's the Red Zone that's all going to be updated by kickoff on Thursday so give me a second we'll get everything ready and we will try to break this showdown slate down for you okay so what we're going to do is we are going to build a few lineups where we're going to do the 4-2 stack we're going to start with the uh Bills first so kind of get a couple few different Stacks with the bills for two stack and then what we're going to do is we're going to flip it and go with the dolphins for two stack because again optimal that's that's kind of what it is so I would absolutely love to see or hear about your guys' lineups what your thoughts are breaking down this game in our Discord down below so you can find all the information down below you can find outlier you can find um our core playay you can find everything there so if you guys are interested prop bets as well join it it is completely free so looking at this game we know we feel comfortable with like wide receivers 39% of the time they are in the captain spot Josh Allen is a stud I get that so he will be in some of these Captain spots I do feel so we can build that around that way for sure but if you want to do a 4-2 I think we can still get Tyreek Hill in there we can still get uh Josh Allen uh if you think they're going to stop Josh Allen just a little bit again get a kicker in there if you think Jo Tyler bass is going to do anything um four or four extra points two field goals made in week one we can draft him there so we were still averaging 5600 here so we're still hitting the wide receiver we're still going to get a fourman stack now believe Coleman had a touchdown in week one he did not have a touchdown I'm thinking uh khil Shaker aren't I okay that's who I was thinking of so you got Ken Coleman uh he's still there you got Tyler bass um you know I think two is going to have a good game he had a really good week one he put up three 338 yards with a touchdown he's still running a little bit still got what we needed he still got two fast guys especially if off his running backs are all hurt he's got to throw the ball a little bit so 1,600 is what we've got left I've got the crazy man again the what was the percent of someone under two under four 80% of the time 40 or 4,000 or less Mac Hollands at600 now again you do not have to use the entire lineup let's say you don't believe Matt Hollins are going to do anything now you know he's Barefoot weirdo but two for two last week 25 yards and had a touchdown so you know things can happen so let's say you don't use M Hollins and you go and you find a cheaper option if something opens up like a KJ hamler or you know something like that that those are kind of plays that we can look at so Mt Collins makes a lot of sense for a lineup here in week one in week two so cheaper option it did use all of the salary again though uh six% of the nuts have used the whole salary so not very much but a game like this if it is a high-scoring game 50 plus it could in fact do that so this is just one of the lineups that features a bills 42 step stack okay let's do a second one where we have a wide receiver in the captain spot it is not Tyreek hill we are saving money we're going jayen Wadd now if we look what jayen Wadd did in week one game log 19.2 505 109 yards uh and ran a little bit so again huge day for him as well um just did not have that touchdown that Tyreek had Tyreek had an ARD touchdown obviously so wle in the in the captain spot um we can still bring it back and we can still go with Tyreek kill okay so the only thing we're not going to have here is Tua in there because he is expensive as well but we're still going to have Josh Allen so that leaves 4800 for three out of there so ma Hollins a cheap option again at600 which then allows us 6,400 the rest of the way I think we want to go back to the well with Kean Coleman and now we're at 7,100 you can do Shaker right there you could do Curtis Samuel um really didn't do much last week you know he's always a he could uh you would save money so if you put in um Samuel you're 1,700 is what you're saving but if we put in um Shaker khil Shaker here I think we could still do it we're still leaving 900 on the table we are not using the entire 50,000 it's a 42 stack with them we still have the two top uh catching wide receivers on this Miami team the only thing we are missing is a quarterback in twoo so we're we're going to enter that one and we are going to try another one just depending on what we want to do um really depends let's say for instance we do want to go Josh Allen as the captain so we're doing a quarterback as the captain putting Tyreek Hill in there and we want to take Tua throwing to Tyreek now the rest of them since this is a 42 Buffalo stack we are going to look at how we're going to build around so what other bills players are we going to use so James Cook had a uh 71 yards three of three targets 32 yards so over 100 yards um combined did not have a touchdown was the only one that really didn't have a touchdown for this team um and I've got him on one of my teams that's why I'm a little salty so we're averaging 1,700 there so again I think we go back to M Hollands which brings us to 1,00 left and honestly mvs is one that's kind of intriguing he's all the way down here at 1800 um was not list on the injury report he the problem is he didn't see much he had 19 yards in week one but again we've got to forget it this is the difference between DFS especially weekly uh DFS we got to forget about last week it is a new game it is a new game plan is different ways to go so that is another lineup Allen at the top you got Hill uh Tua Cook Holland and mvs there so we did three lineups with a 4-2 stack of Buffalo now what we want want to do is three lineups with a 42 stack of Miami okay so just kind of looking starting off I think this is going to be um what you expect but Tyreek Hill at the top of 174 you're going to have to find Value um and we have been able to do that so we're going to continue this so I still think Josh Allen needs to be in there regardless but I think we can build a lineup with a 4-2 stack Miami with both of the quarterbacks in there so what's crazy is I think we can get both of these we can then do ma Hollin who's deep option you know psychopath outside leaves 2,000 now we find some value here so 2,000 do we want to go jayen right no we don't we don't even know what's going to happen there Braxton baros is one that I would look at now um he only had two Targets was any unable to make an impact in the receiving game despite working as the number three wide receiver he did return two punts for two yards baros next chance to produce coming week two versus Buffalo his opportunities could dip if Malik Washington managed to get healthy enough to make a debut so that'll obviously we're waiting on some health issues so Washington is probably up there in price or no oh he's 200 so if there's somehow that Malik Washington makes his start here $200 could be pretty sneaky um they did not have practice on Monday so that is definitely something so I mean you put him in there you leaving 1,00 on the table it that all dependent on if he gets in there and is healthy so Washington is in there if Washington is out I do like a little bit of Braxton baros here working as wide receiver three here so this is just one lineup again that you only play showdowns for tournaments so that is the thought process when we build these lineups there are not cash games when it comes to a showdown don't don't get it twisted now one thing we didn't talk about was defenses so let's go with a defense here but first we're not going to put him as the you know Captain I've seen it them win sometimes it's not not going to happen a ton we want to connect Tua with hill we want to also connect with Wadd so we got the wide receiver one wide receiver two now looking at defenses I think I'd go the uh Dolphins defense they didn't do much against Jacksonville um but again this is a showdown that's kind of what we're looking at so you add the defense in there we're doing 6350 so this is more of a one of those plays Matt Collins I just for whatever reason Mt Collins is hitting all the numbers that I need him to hit right now and that's kind where I'm at that leaves 11,100 we can add Allen in there so Allen to M Hollins then you still got Tua you still got Hill you got Wadd and you got the Dolphins defense so those are two of the 42 Stacks there and now what I want to do we've got Tua in the captain spot we' got Hill in the captain Spot while Hill is going to be the most expensive at 174 like we've talked about Jaylen Wadd tickles my fancy here we got Jaylen waddle there at 129 we've got Hill there at 116 in the flex you've got both of the quarterbacks leaves 2500 you know who it's coming in here Matt Collins is coming in as a cheap option surprised he's not up and now we're at 3500 we could go Dolphins defense not going to you could go Dawson Knox who in that game 23 yards uh you know we didn't know if it'd be Knox K K was neither really in that game so you could go both you could go those guys if you think both of the wide running backs are going to be hit hard Jeff Wilson Jr had 26 yards on five attempts once everyone was banged up so didn't do much but he was there but jonu Smith could be a sneaky option only two Targets seven yards U but let's say they get down to the goal line and the running backs can't do it and everyone's double covering uh Tyreek or Jaylen jonu Smith could be a sneaky option here a cheap $2,800 option leaves 700 on the T table now just for laughs and or Giggles SS just for SGS let's look get a kicker as the captain spot so bass but if we think uh let's say we think they're going to be up and we need Jason Sanders to kick we're going to look at Jason Sanders three field goals attempted two made extra points 10 points let's put him there that allows a ton of things to go off for us we can add Hill in there we could add joshh Allen in there we can add Tua in there as well and that leaves 5700 on both sides so to be honest we could go Jaylen waddle that leaves 2800 we can come down here to jnu Smith maybe you think Dawson Knox brings it this game we got Dawson Knox right there as well this one I'm not 100% confident on because it's a kicker but again we saw Jake Moody yesterday uh or on Monday depending on when you watch this video and he had a hell of a game so there you have it that is the FR uh Thursday Night Football breakdown uh just kind of how we build ones that make sense if you have questions uh make sure you check out the NFL content here again you can email me dfsp 1@gmail.com $50 for a yearly pass the first 10 people that email us will and pay will secure the spots that are there so that's what we've got any questions comments concerns it might be easiest to hit us up on Discord because that's where we're able to answer it got a ton of information over there we build lineups with you guys we give core plays a lot of you say this is what I'm building and we help each other out as a great Community we have I think 300 plus members um to the Discord and we're trying to build them up as fast as possible so any questions you can ask down below uh help out the community clicking on the ads helps out and uh yeah that's what I've got for Thursday Night Football breakdown make sure you check out all of our other content on the the site and on this YouTube page we're going to break down a ton of things each and every week the plan is videos for the Slate breakdown using the um matchup tool the Thursday night football breakdown the Sunday Night Football breakdown and the Monday Night Football breakdown and on top of that the uh rankings video so give or take anytime it's only me on the website me doing the videos but five videos a week just for um NFL and we still have MLB content and going through until the end of the season which then will coincide with MLB is gone we will supplement that with NBA and we'll just keep the ball rolling so that's what I've got good luck today and as always let's bring up some bacon peace