Trump vs Harris Based On The Latest Poll In ALL Swing States!
Published: Aug 24, 2024
Duration: 00:08:00
Category: Entertainment
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the 2024 election is coming up fast so let's take a look at the latest polling and betting Market data to see who is winning the race to the White House starting with the states former president Trump will win Maine's second district West Virginia South Carolina Florida Ohio Indiana Kentucky Tennessee Alabama Mississippi Arkansas Louisiana Missouri Iowa Kansas Nebraska Oklahoma Texas South Dakota North Dakota Montana Wyoming Utah Idaho and Alaska now for the state's vice president Harris will win Hawaii California Oregon Washington New Mexico Colorado Illinois Maine's First District Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut New York New Jersey Delaware Maryland and finally Washington DC now let's go through the Battleground states that will ultimately decide this election we'll start in the west and make our way across the country in Arizona former president Trump is showing a lead of 1 to Four Points this state has become increasingly competitive flipping to the Democrats in 2020 for the first time since 1996 moving to Nevada Trump and Harris are in a tight race with more recent polls giving Trump a slight Edge Nevada has leaned Democratic and recent presidential elections but remains a swing state heading to the Rust Belt Wisconsin shows Harris with a growing lead now up to four points this state has been a true Battleground famously flipping to Trump in 2016 before returning to the Democratic column in 2020 in Michigan Harris holds a lead of 3.5 points like Wisconsin Michigan was part of the blue wall that Trump breached in 2016 but it swung back to the Democrats in 20120 Pennsylvania is showing a dead heat between Trump and Harris with Trump ahead in the newest polls this state has been crucial in recent elections flipping between parties in the last two cycles moving North Minnesota shows Harris with a solid seven-point lead despite being considered a Battleground Minnesota has consistently voted Democratic in presidential elections since 1976 in New Hampshire Harris leads by Five Points New Hampshire has voted Democratic in seven of the last eight presidential elections Virginia shows Harris with a three point lead once a reliable Republican state Virginia has voted blue in the last four presidential elections heading south North Carolina is tied between Trump and Harris but the state's voting history suggests Trump may have an edge North Carolina has gone Republican in 10 of the last 11 presidential elections finally in Georgia Trump holds a lead of 1 to Four Points Georgia was a major upset to Republicans in 2020 voting blue in a presidential election for the first time since 1992 based on this polling data and considering recent voting history our current projection shows a very tight race Paris seems to have an edge in the Upper Midwest and Mid-Atlantic while Trump is holding on to key Southern States and making the race competitive in states that have recently trended Democratic with several States showing tight races or ties this election remains highly competitive and could still go either way while polling data provides valuable in sites it's not the only measure used to gauge the potential outcome of an election let's now turn our attention to the betting odds which can sometimes capture Trends and sentiments that polls might miss these odds reflect where people are putting their money which can offer a different perspective on the race starting in the west Arizona's betting odds show Trump leading with 55% to Harris's 45% in Nevada Trump holds an advantage at 54% to 46% moving to the Midwest Minnesota's odds overwhelmingly favor Harris at 94% to 6% Wisconsin's betting odds give Harris a lead of 56% to 44% Michigan shows Harris with a solid lead of 61% to 39% in the betting markets in Pennsylvania the betting odds favor Trump at 52% to 48% up in New Hampshire Harris is strongly favored at 80% to 20% Virginia's odds also lean heavily towards Harris at 84 % to 16% down in North Carolina Trump leads in the betting odds 60% to 40% finally georg's odds favor Trump at 61% to 39% these betting odds paint a picture of a race that's still competitive but with clearer leads in several States now let's translate these betting odds into our Electoral College map for the key Battleground States remember while these odds offer insights they're not guaranteed predictors of the outcome starting in the southwest Arizona's 11 electoral votes are leaning towards Trump with odds of 55% to 45% in his favor moving West to Nevada Trump maintains his Advantage at 54% to 46% potentially securing its six electoral votes shifting to the Midwest Minnesota shows overwhelming support for Harris at 94% to 6% likely giving her its 10 electoral votes neighboring Wisconsin also favors Harris the less decisively at 56% to 44% potentially adding its 10 electoral votes to her tally in Michigan Harris's lead of 61% to 39% suggests she could claim its crucial 16 electoral votes however Pennsylvania tells a different story with Trump narrowly favored at 52% to 48% possibly securing its 20 electoral votes up in New England New Hampshire strongly backs Harris at 80% to 20% likely giving her its four electoral votes moving south Virginia also leans heavily towards Harris at 84% to 16% potentially adding 13 more electoral votes to her column in the Southeast North Carolina favors Trump at 60% to 40% suggesting he could win its 15 electoral votes similarly Georgia leans towards Trump at 61% to 39% potentially giving him its 16 electoral votes this odds based map shows a competitive race with each candidate holding advantages in different regions the ultimate decision of course rests with the voters on Election Day now let's examine the overall betting odds for this presidential race which have seen some significant shifts over the course of the campaign when President Biden unexpectedly dropped out of the race former president Trump initially held a substantial lead over vice president Harris in the betting markets this reflected the sudden change in the Democratic ticket and uncertainty about Harris's position as the new nominee however the landscape has shifted dramatically since then the most recent overall betting odds show an incredibly tight race with Trump holding a razor thin lead at 50% to Harris's 49% this single percentage Point difference underscores just how competitive this election has become it's worth noting that these odds have been in flux recently with neither candidate able to establish a commanding Advantage as we've seen both the polling data and betting odds paint a picture of a highly competitive race with razor thin margins in several key States and the overall odds nearly even this election could truly come down to the wire while these indicators provide valuable insights they're not crystal balls voter turnout last minute developments and the choices made in voting booths across the country will ultimately decide the outcome thanks for watching