Breaking Down Nvidia's Stock Earnings Aftermath! | VectorVest

[Music] all right all right all right good evening vvv Nation my name is Ryan welcome to the channel especially if this is your first time today's going to be Nvidia so what else would you expect me to talk about right nvidia's earnings now I do record this video in the morning it's pre-market right now the Futures are down ever so slightly I think the market is just getting a little bit you know little Jitters before nvidia's earnings I was looking at some of the option data we're looking at a 9% swing so I'm not going to guess you know what's going to happen cuz by the time you watch this video it's already happened so I'm going to take a look at those 9% levels see where they're at on a chart and in tonight's presentation I've got nothing but Nvidia ETFs I've got ETFs on semiconductors QQQ um leveraged ETFs ETFs just focus on Nvidia itself whether it's 1.5 two times leverage so if you like Nvidia and you like what you saw when it comes to the earnings call I've got a lot of bullish ETFs and I've got some bearish ETFs if you're holding a lot of Nvidia and you need to protect this position so if this is something that you're interested in stick around cuz I'm not going to try to guess what's going to happen with nvidia's earnings call but I am going to show you how we can manage this position if several situations were to occur now let's get started now we're going to start off tonight's presentation with the ETFs that track Nvidia or large popular ETFs that follow the space in general with large Nvidia Holdings now as far as you know being bullish or bearish on the position you saw my video last week Glenn came out with the video last night giving our opinions I mean I'm pretty optimist istic about nvidia's earnings overall my only concern is really you know the Blackwell delays guidance there's huge Expectations by the market when it comes to the earnings per share so any misses there there could be potential problems but overall really bullish on the stock in general now as we take a look at these ETFs here there's quite a few we've got nine in the list right now now nvd if I move the symbol over we got nvd U this is 1.5 times leverage so if you want to leverage your position slightly more this is a great ETF to look at here does have a direct correlation with Nvidia now in vdx this is two times leverage and at no surprise both of these positions do have buy ratings here so if you want to get a little more banged for your buck with Nvidia and looking at the price here we got $19 and $16 so clearly cheaper than just buying the regular Nvidia stock if you're working on a lower budget we also have QQQ here this is the NASDAQ 100 Nvidia is one of the largest Holdings of that so if you want to play it safe and have some exposure to Nvidia but yet get 99 other great stocks you know some of the largest companies throughout the US this is a great ETF to have on your radar if you don't already know about it now we do have the yield Max here nvd y I'm going to say this outright me and Glenn both do not like this it does not have a direct correlation with price action to Nvidia so from a chart perspective I'm not a fan so I'm going to delete this one here so if you do have nvd you know that's you know a personal decision but obviously me and Glenn we've talked about this we don't like this ETF so I just wanted to put in the list here and give you fair warning so I'm going to delete that again that's nvd now as we take a look at some of these others SMH this is the vanx semiconductor space broadcom is the largest holding the second largest holding is NVIDIA so if you want exposure you know to Great AI stocks and again you know a large component of that is NVIDIA this is a wonderful ETF to try out does have a hold rating it's not leverag so it's not going to give you as much bang for your buck but you don't have to worry about some of that price volatility as well now just below that we have S soxl and S Soxs if you're more aggressive in nature and you can with stance volatility this is how you play the semiconductor space as a whole nvidia's large Holdings in both of these positions here I've got the long semiconductors so if you're bullish and nvidia's earnings seem phenomenal this is a great way to leverage and to the adverse effect if nvidia's earnings did not pan out so well s Soxs this is a great way to leverage you know an existing Nvidia position or just be bearish on the space in general both of these do look at the semiconductors so top companies like AMD broadcom Intel super micro they're all going to be in these ETFs so depending on what the space is doing you can either be bullish or bearish and leverage it three times now for my bearers watching this I've got nvds this leverages Nvidia 1.25 as well I got nvd which will leverage it two times to the downside you can get a clear understanding from the recommendation itself that Nvidia is clearly moving in a bullish manner right now the bullish ETFs at the top of the list buy ratings giving here the semic conductor space in general we got mostly holds here and we do have S soxl the triple leverage long does have a a sell recommendation right now but again Nvidia is only one stock in this space next up we have S soxl and S Soxs which are the triple leverage ETFs mixed ratings here the long has a sell rating the short or the bearish ETF has a hold rating here so some indecision in the space in general but as far as the Bears they've got two sell ratings here for the bearish ETFs relative timing well below one all right now this is what we all want to discuss and that's going to be Nvidia stock chart so let's take a look here see we're currently trading at $128 42 right now we're about 20 minutes before the open we can see the moving averages all in our favor right now that's not my concern you see these blue lines here you're probably asking yourself what are these lines they're kind of in random spots well I did look at the option information we're looking at about a 9% swing when it comes to the expected uh volatility from the earnings so I put lines here 9% to the upside brings us about 13979 and 9% to the downside it's going to bring about $117 now no surprise these lines are key levels here the one at the tops right at the high here in the zone of $14.7 so if we do get a gap up right at this level here I'd like to see price take out the prior High to get some kind of confirmation for loading up on any more Nvidia shares otherwise if we do get a gap up and rejection at this level we could see a potential for a double top formation here but in all honesty if we get a big gap up to the upside and earnings call was phenomenal earnings beat forecast of data Blackwell delays are a thing of the past well then I could definitely see Nvidia hitting new highs and that was actually the title of the video I put out last week and the situation I believe that's going to occur otherwise the other situation would be the gap down situation if we look at 9% to the downside we got $117 see this reded dotted line here I'm a dollar off in the same Zone you see a level support here so really from about 119 to 117 if we get a gap down that's the level where I could see price action trying to find a level of support and buyers coming in to scoop up Nvidia shares you can see what happened on the last dip when the price of the stock dipped below into the '90s even below our valuation I did put a value heat line here at $112 I've said it multiple times if you bought Nvidia when it's undervalued on this dip to the downside I'm not mad at it definitely not we can see value still on the climb here we value the stock at $112 right now on the video last week someone did put a comment about this being a Target price this is not a Target price this is just what we feel that the company is worth now Nvidia being the main AI play there's a lot of hype investors are willing to pay a premium for this position and if I scroll back historically you can see that investors pay a premium for the stock but look every time price action touches this value line what happens investors realize that there is a phenomenal deal out there on a stock called Nvidia they come in and buy it up up and they're buying the dip right so if Nvidia does drop to the downside well I'm expecting another buy the dip mentality so if you're holding Nvidia and you see it drop tomorrow selling it not my biggest concern in the near future but if price action drops much below this 117 level I would be concerned about that my next level support would come in right at the top of this consolidation line around 108 and if price action drops down there and below our value line once again don't come back asking me why you didn't buy it right I'm telling you right now if Nvidia is below the valuation and I will even say this if Nvidia dips below our valuation again I will buy some shares personally I don't own Nvidia I actually am looking at options on arm to play today just because the option uh implied volatility the options are expensive for the buyers on Nvidia and I don't have 100 shares of Nvidia to start selling options all right everybody hope this information is able to keep you on the right side when it comes to your Nvidia trip good luck on earnings I'm sure all of us want the earnings to be good a lot of us are holding Nvidia like I said I'm thinking about buying it myself especially if it approaches valuation now if you think the valuation can add some you know some real value for lack of better terms to your portfolio make sure you check out our trial we're actually offering right now A Labor Day special for just 99 so check it out the link I'll put in the description down below if you like the video make sure you hit that subscribe button like the content share it amongst your Social Circles so that way others can be profitable in the market as well you guys have a good night hey VV Nation knowledge is power 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