MY FORMULA 1 ITALIAN GRAND PRIX 2024 PREDICTION | Rubén Canales #F1 #ItalianGP

Start Well, good luck to everyone and welcome to your Formula 1 home and welcome to a new video where we are going to see my prediction for this time the Italian Grand Prix the Monza racetrack, the temple of speed hosts the category once again. has always been hosting the Italian Grand Prix since 1950 with the exception of 1980 and comes at a time where making this prediction is extremely complicated because we are at a time where it seems that McLaren is the team to beat but this type of circuit is given In addition, Red Bull is very good at Ferrari, Mercedes, we will see if they can also be in that fight for victory because we should not rule them out, of course not, and not because of the performance in Zanor, I say about Ferrari, for example, but because it is Actually, these speed circuits are usually good for Ferrari, but we also come with changes in Monza, changes in the first girl, changes in the girl in Ascari, complete resurfacing. There are many things to talk about in this Italian Grand Prix and What I mean by the equality that exists is that of course what I say I think is going to happen does not have to be what ends up happening and I hope, and I say this already in the first minute of the video, that not even one prediction is correct because it will mean The weekend has been difficult to predict, it has been entertaining So let's start now, you already know how we always do A little beforehand, as a preview, let's start, explain a little about the My predictions for the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix: The temple of speed welcomes Formula 1 at the height of its excitement Italian Grand Prix circuit, Monza circuit, I told you that It has been on the calendar since 1950 with the exception of 1980 when the Italian Grand Prix was hosted by the Enzo Edino Ferrari racetrack. Yes, Imola hosted that Italian Grand Prix. The Imola circuit and the racetrack in Cedino Ferrari. This is really the home of Ferrari. the racetrack in cedino Ferrari because it is much closer to maranelo Monza here come all the tifosi well I wear the Ferrari t-shirt no I haven't done it aosta but the truth is that As Good As It Gets is super special this weekend for Ferrari they haven't won it since 2019 that loó was won by IL predestinato chasle clire the Italian narration of that Victory is historical and also first we have to go back to 2010 where Fernando Alonso won it so well we will see if this weekend Ferrari can achieve it because there are strong possibilities After the improvements they brought in Belgium it seems that they have indeed worked and they are being competitive lecler K sain of course they are at a very good level and it is a circuit that is always good at the end what do you need to perform in Monza despite to the changes that have been on the asphalt despite the changes that have been on the layout, what do you need top speed because here it is not even like Belgium Belgium in the end the most important thing is the top speed of course for the first and third sectors But there are a second sector where you need to generate downforce So you can't have the lowest possible ailerons of downforce it is not the case in Monza in Monza there are four hard braking curves to the right there is only one chican on the left which is good and there is the second chican and the ascari chican are left but the second chican is a left curve and then to the right the ascari chican is really left and the rest is all on the right very short curves with braking except for the parabolic which is It is a faster corner, the rest are very short corners, very hard braking, and straight is what you need. Wings are the ones with the lowest aerodynamic load that we are going to see throughout the season. Maybe there is some difference from a team that has a little more aerodynamic load, because for example For example, last year Red Bull chose to carry a little more aerodynamic load which is good for you for the race because you manage the tires better, you have better degradation but you have worse top speed of course and in qualifying, above all, you are going to suffer, it is important to remember that it is not a circuit that is difficult to overtake because obviously there is a lot of speed there is a lot of straight there is a lot of area there are two drs areas But they are very long it is not easy I don't want to say we come from a ditch which was complicated Of course it is because there was only one stopping point overtaking really here Well there's only one point two of overtaking we can go so far as to say that it is the first the first chican the first curve And yes the chican ascari could also become an overtaking point But well above all the most realistic is the first chican well even reaching the second chican there you can arrive in parallel and perhaps complete the overtaking but you have to have almost completed it before it is not easy to overtake and also and I already say this in McLaren code at the start there is a lot of distance until the first corner much more than what we have been seeing in the last races As it was perhaps similar to Hungary we could say maybe there are a little more meters we would have to calculate it But we have to go back to Hungary to see such a long exit neither Belgium nor Zanor have it So be careful not to risk how you start first which is it is not easy to overtake you can Of course it is and much more easily than in zanor but it is not easy to overtake Why it is not easy to overtake I haven't explained it I wanted to have explained it well because everyone has low downforce the effect of Rs is not so strong you all carry the same downforce So in the end everyone reaches high top speeds which ends up making it more difficult when there is more variation when the downforce is greater also the res effect is greater and when there is more variation that a team carries more Downforce the other less because there can be changes there it is difficult to overtake you can of course and I said this because Norris if you start first don't screw it up again because maybe now this weekend it will be more difficult for you to recover the position I have explained a little the circuit what we have what we can expect for this Italian grand prix we remember What happened last year Well, it was an attempt by Ferrari What happened at the previous Italian Grand Prix: Scuderia Ferrari's final tension with podium finish for Carlos Sainz to snatch the first victory of the season from Red Bull it didn't happen it happened just the next race but it was Also a moment in which Ferrari showed itself very strong after a disastrous grand prix that they had that year in Zanor in Italy Carlos Sainz gets the Pole Leclair classifies third then in the end the two Red Bulls overtake them It was difficult for the Red Bulls to overtake everything to Carlos, who managed to keep them longer, especially Verstapen, it was easier for Ecler to overtake him, Checo Pérez, and then, above all, they gave the sauce for that weekend, the sauce for the pasta, because hey, because the Red Bulls were really good. They escaped, there was no fight between them Because Checoo also started from behind, he placed second at the end, he can come back Even if you have a bad classification because I say that it is difficult to overtake but it can be achieved, we saw it for example last year with Checo Pérez who was easily overtaking and they added the sauce because Well, they were fighting among themselves between Sainz and Lecler in the end he got the first podium of the season the two almost collided and were left out in the end they didn't do it so Carlos got that first podium of the season Of course the first Pole, not Ferrari's first Pole, nor Ferrari's first podium, but theirs and then the next race was really where they got the first Victory, which was Sainz's in Singapore and the only non-Victory Red Bull this year was not That's going to be the case. Ferrari will finally achieve victory in 2019. We'll see if they end up achieving it. Verstapen will return, since it hasn't done so since 2020. 2023 is not a very long time, of course not. Although it achieved 23rd and 22nd. And before it had not won in Italy had had quite a few bad results so well we'll see what happens it always gives the Monza show at the end let's remember 2020 Not that in the end Pierre Gasli won in 2021 with Verstappen and with Hamilton one on top of the other we can get to see Verstappen and Norris one on top of the other I see it as more complicated because there is less tension But hey, it is a circuit where things always end up happening and things go very fast So it is more complicated, perhaps even the decision-making. We will see what we can see this season in the qualifying race for both drivers. like constructors And yes here we see Here are the Drivers‘ and Constructors’ standings ahead of the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix: There's a World Championship! Lando Norris threatens Max Verstappen's lead as McLaren F1 is tipped for victory a change there are some changes of course especially in points the only change in positions was pier gasl who overtakes Oliver berman who were previously tied at six but as berman got sun he did it in a single race and the rest reaping six points he was ahead now gasl has overtaken her the change is that he enters with the pinto remember that Franco colapinto makes his debut this season replacement of Logan Sarian who is not going to finish the season is going to end with zero points potentially it could be the twenty-sixth of a season of 20 drivers it could turn out to be this I have seen it with memes also of this No well colapinto is He saw pilot of a season with 20 drivers Of course that's the case I hope at least he ends up among the top 20 drivers having scored points it's a weekend that Williams could go well they are always very good at this circuit for remembering Bris debuted this weekend with Williams in 2022 then in 2023 fully formed but in '22 was when he debuted due to Albon's appendix that had to be operated on and last year Albon reaped the most points here I could have reaped what I reaped throughout the season. It is a circuit that Williams is very good at because they are very good at also with low dynamic load. The improvements worked on Zanor. Unfortunately, they had the disqualification and the ground had to be changed for the two drivers. for the race because it did not comply with the measurements as the company said, so we will see if they have managed to solve it and this weekend we will see them with the improvements that were good. Hopefully with the pinto it can do well but well, classification of drivers and constructors. The number of drivers has remained almost the same, the only change as I have told you is Gasly and Norris is only in quotes 70 points difference compared to Verstapen in the constructors' classification there has not been any change in positions and it has remained such that already being 30 Red Bull's McLaren points, many people already consider them winners. I wouldn't consider them winners, especially because the film can change a lot, just as McLaren is now getting closer. There was a time when Red Bull gained an advantage. We'll see how it evolves if they win. We would give the title that they do not run anymore obviously it is not the case but they do have the greatest number of possibilities to take them now and yes let's go to my prediction and I am going to repeat it and I am going to say it and I will tell you before saying my prediction of the first five drivers is very complicated I don't usually get it right I hope I don't get it right I don't want to get it right because I wish that would mean that it has been difficult to predict and that strange things have happened that said we are going to start with best and And worst driver best and worst team Starting with that best driver for this weekend in Monza who I think is going to be Who do I think will be the best driver at the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Lando Norris Lando Norris I liked him a lot in the Netherlands Grand Prix I didn't expect such an attitude we already saw it is when I do this when I do the graphics I also see what I put In the previous race and I put Verstapen, I expected Verstapen to win the previous race and dominate, not only because of whether they were going to do better or worse, since we already saw a McLaren that was clearly the best car, but because I believed, apart from being the Verstappen circuit where he has always won every edition since he returned to Formula 1 and so on, I didn't see real Norri and I had always told you that for me, Verstappen had the drivers' world championship very much on track because I didn't see Norris winning right now. Seeing his own attitude, not the attitude of Defeated, who had many chances and who in the end is already without winning since Miami, but I really liked his attitude last weekend, he arrived on Thursday saying I know I haven't performed at the champion level. of the world is something that I had weighed during the summer break in qualifying, he takes the Pole and does not celebrate it exhaustively either, what can I say like Knowing that the classification is not what is important, we already know that they have the car to fight for the Pole, it is not The important thing is that he makes a bad start, he doesn't really get nervous, he got especially nervous to McLaren who started asking him the typical stupid McLaren questions that they are asking about what rival we are racing against, they came to tell him or then when he was leading they came to ask him What if there was a safety car? He had a 10 second lead against Verstapen. If he put in the effort, he could come back and ask questions that you don't have to ask. Well, that was more of McLaren's fault. Norris kept his head down very well. Verstapen overtook him. He didn't say anything. He started to come back. He started to reduce the time. He attacked. When he saw the opportunity at the first try, he overtook and ran away. I really liked Norris' attitude. He knows he needs to do that to win. Surely Verstapen won't come second in all the races , but if Verstapen comes second in all the races, he needs to win them all to be able to win. the title So what's going on I think of course McLaren is going to have a good one this weekend and I think he's going to be the best driver of the weekend we'll see if I'm wrong we'll see if I'm right but for me it's Norris He is going to be the best driver this weekend in Monza in terms of worst driver And the truth must be said here that they have taken away one of the usual candidates, which is Logan Sará, of course well, in this case there is not much surprise, you know that On some occasions I can say the best driver, not the one who has to be the best driver but the one who is a surprise because this category was initially a surprise. Although there are times when it is very difficult for it to be a surprise and it is better to classify him as the best driver, the same thing happens as the worst. pilot So they can continue to be pilots that I think are going to disappoint or if not that they are going to be that worst pilot, I have put Guan Yuzu, I have not complicated myself too much either in this sense Who do I think will be the worst driver at the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Guanyu Zhou Sauber comes being quite bad and Guan Yuzu comes from a weekend in sambor that if saran's was not at all good and that's why in the end it was the last straw that broke the camel's back, sarian's really was or too much because of the collision that they have free, it's about to cost him more again money to the team for not even being able to reach the classification because then their pace in the race It was not so far from Albon's it was very similar to what it has been all season of course being far but not as far as for example zuk with boots and zuk with Boots in the last weekend in qualifying is more than a second behind boots boots is more than a second behind Czech in that q1 who was the one who qualified first and no one else was more than a second behind that is That is the level that zu was more than a second behind boots when the seventeenth was not more than a second behind Czech so he is coming from a very bad weekend sauber is not contributing to his being able to perform any better I think maybe already They have informed him that he will surely not continue at Sauber next year and it is the only seat that is available because then there is Mercedes that will be announced this weekend to Kimy Antonelli and there is RB who obviously has no chance so maybe that is already affecting my mind mentally and I think that Italy is not going to be any less and he is going to be that worst driver now, already arriving at a better team well maybe I have Which team do I think will be the best team at the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Ferrari F1 thrown in a bit for eh Because maybe they do well in front of the tifosi but I have driven by Ferrari we come from two weekends in a row in which Ferrari has surprised both Belgium and Zanor, especially zor because Belgium Yes, it's good looking back on it, it's a circuit where they could perform better although there were many eh it was it was very negative it was very negative Due to the fact of the poison that they now have, they have not suffered from poison since that weekend from Belgium where they only had a modified floor and it seems to have worked. And on top of that, this weekend they bring improvements, it is their Ferrari home grand prix, let's remember The one that has the best engine, the most efficient is the Honda and the best in terms of power, which is above all what you need in Monza is the Ferrari. Mercedes, of course, is not very far away either. Those three engines are very equal, the Renault is already more far away but well those three engines are very equal I think the two drivers can do well Of course they will come even more motivated being the home of Ferrari my opinion is that Ferrari is going to perform it is going to be that best team I think it is not the team What more points are they going to get? Then we will see the team that would get the most points according to what I predict for the positions, but I do think that it is going to be a team that is going to be very strong. Its two drivers are going to compete, and it's even going to surprise, as I told you before, that this category could be a surprise, and not to put it well, I was going to say the team that's going to get the most, and I think it's going to get the most. points I'm not going to say it because I don't always go for that argument that usually in the end the team that I put as the best team is the one that gets the most points Well, on this occasion I have changed a little maybe let's see if I have said it a little Due to the fact that we are in Italy, Ferrari is the home of Ferrari and I believe that they will be able to perform very well here, but well, that has been my prediction for this weekend and as for the team, I have put the Which team do I think will be the worst team at the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Alpine F1 Alpin team. I've gone easy and just like I put Zu put Sauber and that's what he put last weekend and I'm probably not wrong but I think Alpin in this sense is going to disappoint too if we want to look at it like this it comes from a very good weekend pier gasli coming in ninth In the previous weekend ocon came in ninth he crossed the finish line tenth in Belgium but he really was ninth then with Russell's disqualification two weekends come The truth is that they have been very good it is not going to be I think the case is with the Alpinn team I didn't believe it in Belgium either but in Belgium there are more conditions why they could perform better in the end that second sector changes a lot although Alpin has a very low downforce configuration to perform well on the straight and they did very well they were the fastest car on the straight so by carrying the aerodynamic load of Monza they carried there the downforce of Monza because then in the second sector they are better than well the know-how Or maybe the rb etcetera etcetera is not the case This weekend here everyone is going to carry that aerodynamic load that they must have already tested almost in Belgium and they are the worst engine last year they both fell in Q1 they did not manage to score my opinion I think that this year it will happen more of the same Maybe I'm wrong I hope I'm wrong that will be positive if I don't get any of this list right it will be positive as I always tell you but I think that Alpin is going to be the worst team this weekend and now we are going to how I think that It's going to be the top five this weekend in Italy. I remember I said it at the beginning of the video. I hope not even one of the first five positions is right. I hope not one of those I say is in the top five. We even go so far as to say that because it will mean that Things have happened and it has been unpredictable I don't usually get it right But who do I think is going to win this Italian Grand Prix, the same one I put Who do I think will be the winner of the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Lando Norris as the best driver. I have already explained a little why I think the car can win it. Of course it is. very good, they are the team that manages my tires best. And that is important in Monza because normally there is only one stop, maybe two, but if there are two depending on how the asphalt is. If there are two it is because the degradation is high and there then McLaren will also benefit and you also remember at the beginning what I told you not the more downforce compared to your rivals because in the end everyone will have very low downforce but the more downforce you have the better you will take care of the tires but you are going to go worse on the straight if McLaren does not need to carry a somewhat higher aerodynamic load to take care of those tires, they can take it as low as possible. They will perform well on the straight and they will still take good care of the tires Because they are the team that best It does it. It is also important to take good care of the temperatures, something that McLaren has done. For example, Hungary is a case because not because of the circuit, but because of the temperatures, it will be very high, so we can see that they also take care of them very well. Or Austria, perhaps it is the best example. Furthermore, the circuit is not that different, a circuit where it is a lot of straights and hard braking. Although the third sector is more of medium speed curves. But well, it is an example that we can take as a reference and there were high temperatures and they had no complications against the rivals will be the best for all that and because of what I have told you about the attitude is why I believe that Norris is going to win this Italian Grand Prix and will continue with This piledriver that needs to win them all at least for him depends right now on winning everything now well if Verstapen didn't come second it makes life a little easier for Norris and we would like it because we have a championship that is going to be close no Who do I think is going to come second will Verstapen get the most points still in this fight Who do I think will be the runner-up in the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Charles Leclerc for the title or some driver could snatch it from him it could be Piastri of course he has the McLaren and last weekend I should even have been second because by car I could have even done it because in my opinion whoever I think is going to be second is going to be Char Leclerk, he is very good at this circuit, he achieved victory in 2019, last year he did not get the podium because his own teammate takes it from him but he is always there he always qualifies well I told you that I think Ferrari is going to perform well There is a package of improvements coming in which I think they are going to be able to do well because it seems that they have already found the After failing first with the improvements from Imola and especially with the improvements from Spain, it seems that they have found the way to a circuit that suits Ferrari well and if Lecler is good at it, my opinion is that I think it will be able to stay In that second position this year they already have a car to compete more closely against Red Bull with the best engine. I think that they could also defend themselves. I wouldn't be surprised at all. I was going to say Pole de Ecler, not Leclerc's Pole, but a very good one. position maybe even classify in second position and that is why I have put the Monegasque driver in second place now we also understand a little more why I put Ferrari if we want it also think a little as a surprise because that second position of the ecler that is why I put Ferrari as the best team and now, closing the podium, I would say, I can't put it any lower. It has cost me a lot to get it down from second position. Who do I think will be the third placed driver in the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Max Verstappen I have given Max Stappen a curious fact to say to this: if this podium were to happen, be it with Verstapen second or with Lecler, eh Second. If it happens it would mean that for now 100% of Norris' victories have been with the same podium with the same members because in Miami Verstapen was and Leclerc was And in this last grand prix also in the Netherlands Verstappen was and Lecler was the only one The difference is that in the previous two , Verstappen was always second and Leclaire third. But well, we would continue with these three members on the podium if it happened with another victory for Andon Oris regardless. Bull is no longer the best car and they are even doing experiments, something that could improve it, but Verstapen is capable of being in those positions. Red Bull is always good at it, but those circuits were very good, we saw them in Belgium, in Belgium they had a very good performance. good result good performance the result was not so good because czech drops positions in the race and verstapen recovers after the sanction but does not get more it comes after winning having won all these last years since this new regulation 2022 2023 and for me well it is going to be third because you can't put pens lower, maybe you won't be third, I repeat. I hope none of these three drivers reach the podium but predicting it is very difficult for me to put him in another position right now other than third every time I rule out a The next driver is more complicated because you're starting to Who do I think will be the fourth place finisher at the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri think about who you're going to leave out, so who have I put in fourth position? I haven't put him in second. I haven't put him in third. I can't put him further down because it's Oscar. piastri could obviously even qualify for that first position but it is very difficult right now to say to a mclaren lower than fourth even Why Oscar piastri in fourth position well there is nothing more than the fact of what I have explained to you about ecler K verstapen because it is not as easy to overtake as we have explained at the beginning of the video and we have seen Piastri who has that deficit that behind another driver it is difficult for him when he has a big advantage to overtake of course but Well, it could be the negative point that Piastri still has be the one in dirty air Perhaps it is difficult for him for those reasons, which is why in the end I put him in fourth position for the same reasons why I put Norris first, which is because of the car, etcetera etcetera, he could of course get on the podium but it is very difficult for me. It is difficult to put other drivers who are not on the podium and already lower to past, I couldn't put him right now having the best car so for that reason I put Oscar Pastam in this fourth position, there is not much more explanation, almost It's more complicated, it's easier to explain why I don't put drivers in the teams that I'm not going to put in. Although it's going to be difficult for me. Of course, because it's worth the two McLarens, of course, then what I was saying before that the two McLarens were the two. McLaren are the team that would score the most. I told you before about Ferrari that it was not going to be the team that garners the most points either. The two McLaren Leclerc Verstapen who do I put in fifth position, especially Who do I think will be the fifth driver at the 2024 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix?: Carlos Sainz who do I leave out, I leave out the two Mercedes. I left out Carlos Sainz. There may be some surprise in the top 5. It's very complicated. Well, I decided and it was Carlos Sainz on impulse, but I can't give you a realistic explanation of why not put the Mercedes in the top 5. I am not saying fifth in the top 5 in any position because Mercedes is a circuit that should not adapt to them at all badly. Mercedes come with a problem because of the temperatures they do not know exactly how they are going to perform and Ferrari with the improvements well. It is for the reason that But it has been a hunch, it has been because I have thought that Carlos Sainz may end up finishing fifth ahead of the two Ferraris ahead of Czech also that I have not even mentioned it as a possibility but it is the only reason to explain to you Well. a little hunch because of course who you leave out of the top five drivers you leave the two Mercedes and a Red Bull you are leaving out with equality that there is already goes beyond sensation because what I told you about Ferrari having the best engine that they come well that they come strong that they come motivated it is a circuit that last year managed to make the Pole and little else I can tell you why And what I was telling you about Mercedes for example well secco well because it will have the same problems that it has been having the last races and They are the only reasons why I wouldn't put them in the top and they have ended up putting Carlos Sainz there is no more So this is my top cco I repeat I say it I have said it three times I am going to say it a fourth I hope none of these drivers I hope Franco Colapinto finishes first of course yes I hope none of these drivers are in the top cco because I would assume that I was wrong and that the weekend has been very entertaining because it has been unpredictable but this is my prediction for This weekend I would love for you to leave me Conclusion and end in the comments your prediction who do you think is going to achieve victory for this great Italy the second position the third the fourth the fifth the prediction you want to make where Alonso is going to be where is he going to be Sainz, where is it going to be? Check out where Franco Colapinto is going to be. Leave me in the comments, I will be happy to receive them. Thank you very much for having reached the end of the video. Let me leave your prediction in the comments if you liked it. Leave your like, subscribe, I remind you that You can become a member and we'll see you next time.