Nate Silver Prediction Model Shows Trump WINNING In LANDSLIDE VICTORY In 2024

from Newsmax which is actually quite funny a shocking new projection from Polster Nate silver has Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump winning every swing state in route to an election Landslide over vice president Kamala Harris mediaite reported Monday so I think we have the uh interactive polls here look at this Pennsylvania Trump Michigan Trump Wisconsin Trump Arizona North Carolina Georgia Nevada all Trump Trump trump Trump trump poly Market Trump is at 52% it's just getting better and better for the guy we can pull up the uh the latest silver bulletin Let me refresh this actually I think he's revised it and it's even better 64.4% Trump to win with a projected electoral vote count of 281 I'm going to read that again for you a Trump trump is in route to an election Landslide over kamla Harris and I'm reading this to get you really excited because then when kamla Harris wins you'll be equally as disappointed I I I tell you if you're sitting here right now saying woohoo we're going to win Trump's going to win whatever you're going to lose it's only when you push as hard as you can and you get out there and you vote you do whatever you have to do you register your friends you get everybody registered to vote that's when you win but the reality is no matter what Nate silver is telling you you we have no idea what's going to happen so the only thing that matters is assume nothing assume assume nothing you need to get out and just and do the work I can't tell whether it's kind of sweet or or a nasty Heckle that they've included Kennedy right at the bottom on the axis line there um sort of stops though KY drops off is a landmark for us 0% across the board yeah look I think all of this stuff is nonsense to be honest with you and I think the pollsters have not managed to figure out new methodologies that work with a snap candidate uh that work with this election that you know take into account everything that changed remember a lot of things changed uh in 2019 and in the runup to the 2020 election the way votes are cast the the length of period of time you have to send in your vote and I think pollsters really have not accounted for all of that which is why stuff all over the place is not a poll no it's it's it's not a poll it's a it's a percentage likelihood right this is a prediction model and this is based off the same it's the same sets of kinds of data that you're talking about I I I I got to give Nate silver a little bit more credit he's talked about how he's uh updated the model over the past several years he's selected for polls that that are weighted more correctly and more importantly he said that the current skewing Trump is facing the model actually predicted the increase so people got on the left liberals they got mad because he wasn't giving K Harris the convention bump sure and he was like there's not going to be one it's not happening so they were like no no the probability of her winning should go up because after the convention she's going to see a poll increase and he goes no she won't and she didn't and with this bump in Trump he he said uh uh recently I think he said on X that the projection model actually predicted Trump's likelihood to increase in the way we are seeing now and it or or or or something to the effect of we predict the the model predicted K Harris's polls would not be improving and they have not been now he does say it's opportune moment for her with the debate coming up because this is her chance to to to swing it back in to to bring it back around I really don't think she can do that so just every Everybody Knows tomorrow night special live show with with members of Congress in DC as we're going to have on a rotating panel of various members of Congress who are going to comment on the debate I imagine it's going to be very very funny so just just to come back on your point point there for a second with with the data that's going in so firstly you have to take into account that this is this is what Nate Sila believes are the more reliable polling that he works into his model which I'm not necessarily sure I'm ready to do yet is is is make that leap of trust there and the reason I'm not ready to do that is because it goes back to my earlier point is that those pollsters right uh you talk about the post-convention bump there hasn't actually been a proper you know Mega measurable pole bump in the last several presidental elections now I think going back to 2000 there hasn't been 3 or 4% you might get but those are within the margins of error on a lot of these polls so it's not like in the 70s where you'd have this and it would be everywhere it be front page of every newspaper and that's all people were seeing and then people were telling the opinion pollsters oh yeah I did like what he said about this cuz I saw on the front page for you know three weeks straight after their convention now you're getting these immediacy like tries to measure you know they're measuring sentiment now right coming out of these things you know how did you feel when she said this certain word that certain word and I think a lot of it is just dog