Aidan's Favorite Draft Pick in Every Round of Your Fantasy Football League

Intro we're in the middle of peak Fantasy Football Draft season and on today's episode of the regression of the mean podcast we have Aiden holler's favorite pick in each round of fantasy football draft I'm your host sha Moran and I am joined by my good friend my fellow noer ball and the man of the hour Aiden holler Aiden brother how we doing today I'm doing well Sean um yeah we're coming off uh me and Sean Keegan we had our first redraft uh draft live this past weekend so you know just been stared at my roster um getting excited about the Year got another draft that's coming like we're fully in redraft season like it is oh yeah last weekend was like maybe a little early but like this weekend and Beyond is like really The Sweet Spot because you're going into what week three here of the preseason you know not a lot of starters are going to play then you got the week off there which is you know Labor Day is Like That absolute money spot if you can get away with a live draft on Labor Day um no we're there man so no I'm I'm fired up feel good to going under my belt yeah it was fun I uh I ended up with bejon you know if anyone's been listening to this uh podcast I haven't necessarily been the biggest beon guy but I was at the 108 these these Gibbs hamstring injuries kind of had me had me a little uh a little nervous and I ended up capitulating and just taking bejan Robinson that was a little bit uh that was surprising necessarily yeah you did Pro beon but I couldn't do it I don't know my my brain wouldn't let me do it um I wanted to but but I didn't do it what if I like tricked you into not taking bejon and then bejon just has this huge season it'd be hilarious I've got a ton of stock in him across like Dynasty teams and stuff too so it's like okay too many eggs in one basket was kind of how I was looking at it there motionally hedging I like it's a good idea I love be on there love okay the format for today's episode is pretty simple Aiden has his favorite selection in rounds 1 through 12 of fantasy drafts and we're going to go round by round but before we do that one quick thing the regression of the M podcast it's a Round 1 - Justin Jefferson relatively new channel Aiden Keegan who's not here the the mustached one is's not here today and I have been doing this for about 18 months and it's been a ton of fun talking ball with all you however we've got full-time jobs this is a total passion project for us and if we ever want to turn it into anything more than a passion project we're going to need your help we can't do it without you so if you found us today or you've been Rock rocking with us for a while on YouTube and you like our content and you haven't subscribed we'd love it if you could hit that subscribe button and uh you know make sure you don't miss any of the content that we're dropping it makes a huge difference for our audience as we look to grow I'm getting kind of good at begging for Subs huh what do you think it's good you got it down man but I got it down no we mean it though man if you guys like our content we do it for you guys we're having a great time but it really is for the team it's for the team we're hoping to help you guys win some money this year I want to put like the in the arms of the angel on the background it kind of felt like that you know the the dog s mlin there yeah like only for $5 a day that you can help us one comment in the YouTube One subscription a day H yeah okay so pandering aside let's dive in Aiden why didn't you kick things off here who is your favorite pick in round one of fantasy drafts this year yep so this one shouldn't come as a surprise if you've been rocking with us um either last season or even in the off season um is jettus it's uh Justin Jefferson man you you're never going to get him this cheap again uh just you know play and simple this was a guy everyone was taking 1-1 last year he's going at the six pick this year so the third wide receiver off the board um again yeah you're getting an all-time discount on the guy who's pretty much pacing to be like the best wide receiver in NFL history you know still 25 years old absolute Beast you know was a bit banged up last year but you know came off an absolutely ridiculous wide receiver one season the year prior um I know there's a lot of concerns around Kirk Cousins not being that offense but you look at of the other QBs that were plugged into that offense last year like just playing some Kevin oconnell he's a good coach like whether you like it or not he had Josh dos and Nick mullen's looking like you know average above average quarterbacks in that scheme and you know whether you like him or not Sam darnold's better than both of them um Sam's better than both of them you know plain and simple so you know he's goingon to walk into 10 targets every week like there's no reason he doesn't finish this year in the you know 160 to 180 range of targets and the talent alone is is just flat out ridiculous so no I absolutely love Jetta um I was hoping to get him in our league at the seven spot um he didn't quite make it down to me um but man getting him in the middle of round one this year like man dude like wide receiver one like he's a wide receiver one waiting to happen again like it's just going to be an absolute Feast with him I think Jordan Addison avoiding a major injury is also very beneficial for him um without Jordan Addison like it's truly dust in that room there's there's no one else you know got Naylor you've got a couple of other like really unproven guys um but I think Jordan Addison at least like there's another respectable player next to him so dude I I love Jettas this year love love love Jettas big fan of Justin Jefferson last year with three different quarterbacks in nine games he averaged 10 targets per game six receptions and 98 receiving yards like he averaged 18.7 PPR game points per game his touchdowns were a little down because his quarterback play was was not great but he went over a th yards in nine games like that's he's still really damn good and yeah he's man he's so discounted this year and again I'm not the biggest Sam darnold believer I definitely think there is a talented arm in there poor decision maker he can kind of the the the wires get a lacrosse with Sammy D sometimes so that he's definitely prone to some jamus Winston pick sixes there's no denying that but he definitely has the arm talent to push the ball down field and if you look at Justin jeffron comps here in in The Sims over at roov is um his range of outcomes is 22.8 is his high as 16.4 is his mid and 12.5 is lowest that's honestly one of the safest picks on the board thanks to uh thanks to Kevin oconnell so we appreciate you Kevin okon for scheming up looks for for Justin Jefferson love oconnell there all right second round who we taking moving on to round two we've got Travis etn um Round 2 - Travis Etienne who okay this is a guy that I feel like I really haven't talked about a whole lot um but like The more I've kind of looked at him as we've gotten into redraft season um really like him where he's at so he's um 18th overall right now the ninth running back off the board and just feels way too cheap you know coming off a running back three season where he was really damn good you know through two years now he's rushed for a thousand yards both seasons and is averaging just under 50 catches and another 400 yards through the air like just feels like he's a really safe pick here I know we've talked about it over and over again it feels this Jaguars offense is going to be better this year um maybe we were a year too early last year um you know we were kind of all in on the Jags offense last year and it kind of fell in their face just so many things went wrong um just you know bad decision- making drops you know little injuries here and there but really like Travis etn here man um you know G has the running back nine towards the end you know middle end of the second round um really like him here so you know he's around a handful of wide receivers there you know kind of the Drake londons of the world um I just think this is such a safer pick like if you start your draft with a wide receiver you know say you start with Justin Jefferson and then you go etn round two like you're Off to the Races here so really like him as running back none yeah I have etn clearly in the uh I think it's the fourth tier I have where it's etn Kiren and um Isaiah P those are my three in that tier younger guys clearly could be work horses in the offense I liked DN a ton last year and I I liked him even the year before I think uh he he was fantastic before the buy last last year I think he was like the rb2 before the week n by and then it kind of fell off it wasn't as consistent he still had some great weeks week 13 week 14 in the fantasy Championship he scored 25 points so even when it wasn't great he still performed well um in terms of like his season who he matched in his year three you're looking at guys like David Montgomery in 2020 Joe Mixon 2018 2022 David Paul uh Tony Pard David Pard where'd that come from um a bunch of good lists guys Aaron Jones Mark Ingram C.J Anderson all guys that we really like right and then you look at what his his Sims are for next year in comparable you know range of outcomes 21.6 is his high as 14.7 is his mid 9.8 is his low that's coming around 14.1 fantasy points per game that's great I'd say really my only concern with Travis etn Aiden is the Jaguars offensive line it is uh it is not look great in the preseason I know it's preseason but them and the Browns have been the worst at pass blocking and run blocking so I think he still will get a ton of dump offs but a lot of the concerns of what happened to etn at the end of last year was their offensive line and him kind of running out of steam um I think that could potentially happen again it sounds like tank bsby is better which is good I think we want a better tank bsby to be honest it's good A bit it's good bit I I definitely think it's good to spell eten who clearly kind of you know broke down at the end of last year but outside of off lines I think it's wheels up I think Travis's in a good spot I like the passing game just like Flor he has um you know I think you know I don't think that part of his game changes you know a poor offensive line could limit his you know rushing upside um but yeah I like GTM he he really finishes the rb3 last year I'm now that's hilarious in a point that's crazy I read it and I was like is that right am I seeing this correct and I looked at like yeah you know he definitely was you know you CCH 60 balls rush for thousand yards you're you're going to do pretty fun all right round three who you taking who's your favorite pick this is a Round 3 - Nico Collins consensus like across the boys here it's Nico Callins um just absolute smash um I have him as my Keeper in the league that we just drafted with like I could not drop like a better round three Target for you in fantasy football going as the 31st overall pick and wide receiver 14 like dude he's just coming off an absolutely Nu clear season 80 catches 1300 yards eight seasons to finish as the wide receiver 12 this offense is only going to get better um I know there's a lot of concerns with maybe like too many cooks in the kitchen with Steph Diggs and Tang Dell um I think it only benefits them because like you can't double ni like what are you GNA do double Nico and let you know Tang Dell run rampant on the outside like no probably can't do that we you double him and let Steph Diggs go on a linebacker it's like can't really do that either um so I really like Nico Collins dude's 25 years old he's the clear Alpha in this offense um you know I don't care how you know other people try to spin it like this is the clear one of that offense you know I think you've got more 2A and 2B in Steph Diggs and tank Dell and you got CJ strout who people are projecting to throw for 4500 5,000 yards this year um not to mention D bro man playing in the dome absolutely love love love Nico Collins as your third round pick this year yeah last year seven targets five receptions 80 yards and a half a touchdown a game Ultra Ultra Ultra efficient player I mean his perception perception profile for Matt Haron is glowing this guy is establishing himself as arguably one of the upand cominging X wide receivers here in the NFL he just got paid nice little chunk of change on an extension after really his breakout season um the man is legitimately if you could build an X receiver in a lab height weight speed um route running it's NCO Collins I think I think a lot of people are a little reluctant to get super high on Collins because Diggs who's obviously been a Target hog wherever he's gone and you got tankel who's honestly one of the more unique special players right now in the NFL given his size route running ability like the guy think everyone thinks he's a slot receiver this guy's a downfield Target owner and he's like what 165 he wins downfield like he's winning downfield at that size it's it's it's truly unique you what he's doing it it's definitely a lot of cooks in the kitchen type thing with Nico Collins but don't overthink it that that's my Approach with Callins don't overthink it he's really talented yeah if it second round pick it's like like I don't know like dude if you go wide receiver one two three like what Nico is your third wide receiver potentially or your wide receiver to like I don't know man I I love Nico this year high range of outcomes they have him at 20 fantasy points per game 15 at his mid-range and 12 at his low it's pretty that's pretty damn good in round three from The Sims I'm not going to lie all right Aiden round four who we taking all right we're going Team B Team No bias on this one um Round 4 - DJ Moore it is none other than DJ Moore himself um this price has never made sense to me all offseason um I'm a Bears fan but like you look at what he did last year and how this offense has changed and I don't understand it he's going 46th overall 23rd wide receiver off the board this guy's on the heels of a wide receiver six year where he had 96 catches on about 1350 yards and eight touchdowns who's thrown to him Justin fields and Tyson pent um I love Justin Fields I'm I've always been a Defender um but the QB play wasn't very good you know it was you know bottom five you know if you want to be generous call bottom 10 QB play in terms of passing of the football um insert Caleb Williams now like you know even on like a modest kind of projection like FES Caleb Williams you know probably throws for 3,500 yards um I think there's a case to be made for even more than that in his rookie year just given what that offense is going to be like it's like DJ Moore is a guy that has produced time and time again with quarterback play in his career and now is getting you know you know a generational QB Prospect you know one of the best QB prospects in the last you know decade two decades under Center um I truly think it's you know sky's the limit here um you know kind of similar to Nico where you know I know there's a lot of cooks in the kitchen um concerned with this one but this is a guy that's done it this is a guy that you know is an absolute beast and wide receiver 23 like I don't no man that that seems extremely silly to me he should be up you know at least five or 10 like wide receiver spots in my opinion it's hilarious cuz DJ Moore finally has his breakout season last year I mean was incredible so many Spike weeks was pretty consistent for the most part one of the best picks in fantasy averaging 81 yards per game six receptions eight targets and now he has by Far and Away the most talented quarterback he's ever played with and people are like yeah you know I don't get it man I yeah I don't get it competition it's the competition but like they're going to throw the ball a ton like Shane Waldren when he unlocked Gino like they threw the ball a ton like they're not going to run the ball dude they're gonna throw the ball so much in Chicago this year all the Sims are really good for him basically has the same profile as Nico Collins and you're getting around later it's pretty much dead on the same profile 20 15 12 in terms of high medium and low I I yeah you're right it's honestly one of the best picks on the board in round four again like it's similar to Nico for me it's like you're looking at the clear Alpha in a really good offense like what we fear it to be and you know potentially your wide receiver three potentially wide receiver four like oh man love it love it love it all right round five I think I uh I know who your Round 5 - Anthony Richardson your guy is this one's gonna put Goosebumps on your arms um first quarterback that I um really like this year and it's Anthony Richardson um this is a guy that you know very very favorable across the program here um very small sample last year but was pacing to be the quarterback one last year in his rookie season like was doing truly remarkable stuff both on the air um both in the air and on the ground um just looking at his overall situation like you've got Shane siken a guy who absolutely knows how to draw you know plays and offenses for this type of quarterback you've got great infrastructure around him in terms of your wide receivers your running backs your tight ends in um in Indianapolis and then you just look at his man this guy's a beast like we've got Jaylen Herz level type you know outcomes with Anthony richson this year and he's going his qb6 so um about 52 overall qb6 off the board and like if he can actually stay healthy like there's really no reason why he can't be quarterback one like 10 plus rushing touchdowns is in his you know range of outcomes another 20 to 30 through the air and like the dude's an absolute smash as qb6 dude scores 21 f F points in his first game against Houston he plays 32% of the snaps I think it was a quarter he dropped 18 fantasy points in a quarter uh then he comes back against the Rams misses Baltimore drops a 30 burger and then he gets hurt weak five actually tears his his shoulder um his labor room scores Five Points in that one I agree honestly it's probably one of the riskier picks on the board but man just Anthony Richardson has the ability to just flat out win you a league and in fantasy football you just have to pursue that range of outcomes especially in round five like you're not necessarily you know getting him on a discount most of the Anthony Richardson Bros are always going to push him up the board so you're still gonna have to pay up but his range of outcomes is tasty you know he's getting comped to 2019 Josh Allen 22 Justin Fields I'm looking at I'm looking at a 2020 Kyler Murray here so his range of outcomes is is pretty absurd for a guy that that is probably going to rush for like 700 yards 10 rushing TDS and then whatever you get out of him through the air is is kind of the cherry on top so man I'm I'm all in on on a rich I think what makes it like Tony I think what helps make it such a good pick too is like the quarterback position is so deep right now in fantasy football to where like you can just take a safe guy behind him um literally this last weekend I took Anthony Richardson Jared Goff as his back up like go take like there's so many like steady QB tws in fantasy right now like it's not like it's some FL you know it falls off after tier one there's so many good quarterbacks so it's like sure it's risky at ADP but you know just put someone behind him that like you know is a much safer bet so um man I love him so Round 6 - Kyler Murray we did a draft this weekend we were pick you picked right in front of me the whole time right I was you were in front of me I was behind you know we we on the rrap I was in front of you you took Anthony Richardson which was the pick I was going to go with but I then settled for the next guy and uh it's another fan favorite of this podcast and it's none other than Kyler Murray tell us why if you miss on Anthony Richardson Kyler Murray is a uh pretty sweet consolation prize yeah so this is like this was my QB flag plan it's funny because I ended up with Sean's he ended up with mine um I absolutely love Kyler our our picks went much closer than they're going in kind of like your standard ADP right now um Kyler's going 71 overall so actually about you know 19 picks lower than Anthony Richardson um qb10 though so there's three other QBs in between Anthony Richardson and Kyler Murray um I could go on and on about Kyler I just think everything is set up for him to succeed like just looking at the past proven production with him you know he's got a qb3 qb6 and a qb10 finish under his season uh between 2022 and 23 you know a little banged up but if you look at him on a points per game basis he was the qb9 um so it's not like there was this steep fall off you know both before the ACL and after the ACL now we've got a full off season with him the offense infrastructure is pretty good too man you've got Marvin Harrison Jr you've got Trey McBride Michael Wilson the dorcher chamber you've got some steady running backs here you know pretty good play caller um I don't know man there's there's a lot to like here at qb10 um you know you're getting a Konami quarterback here qb10 like at this point you've already built out your roster pretty well um you know depending on your roster settings you're you know you've likely filled your running backs you definitely filled your wide receivers hopefully you know maybe not your tight end depending on um you know your approach there but like this is such a cheap QB with like top five QB upside so I I I love him Kyler is one of my favorite picks in fantasy this season He just flat out is I'm very happy that I was able to NAB him in the draft over the weekend um I I just was so impressed with how he played down the stretch considering how anemic a lot of his Playmakers were drops 20 points against the Bears week 16 against the defense throws up 24 in week 17 in the fantasy champ Championship he clears over 17 fantasy points in 1 2 3 four five six out of his eight outings his floor was Ultra consistent and I don't think he tapped into his ceiling post ACL I think we get ceiling Kyler back in the fold and if you look at some of his comps here let's getting comp to 2015 Cam Newton 20 2002 Donovan McNab man he's getting comp to 2023 Kyler pepper like Co pepper Co pepper MC the these are all guys that that you want to to bet in in fantasy and man I'm I'm just all in on on Kyler Murray this year especially in the sixth round I got him in the fifth I'm a firm believer and like I'm I believe I can go pick up value in the later ends of draft so if I need to jump up around to go get somebody I'm just gonna have to go get them that's kind of the way that I approach it all right man round seven we're halfway through here who are you taking in round seven who's Round 7 - Najee Harris your favorite pick here we go so we've got my second running back um that I like so far um it's a guy that's actually burned me quite a bit in the past but it's just I love the value this year and it's Nai Harris um Nai Harris in the seventh round going 74 overall right now as the running back 25 even last year with a you know truly horrendous offensive line in Split time with Jaylen war and he's still running back 23 on the year which you know running back 23 he's going running back 25 like why am I so excited like you know it seems like you know he's right around where he belongs and it's like he still a thousand yards last year man eight touchdowns and then you insert Arthur Smith like this is a guy that obviously just wants to Pound The Rock like especially in the Red Zone um I really don't have a ton of belief in that passing offense um which again makes me sad with Justin Fields um you know one is going to ride the bench but has looked pretty horrific in the preseason not expecting a whole lot more from Russ i' I'd assume we see both of them this season Russ is a check down Charlie though I think we want I think we want Russ I think he's good for niji I think he's good for niji um yeah and then you in the you know the recent injury news with uh with with Jaylen Warren um hamstring you know looking to miss about three to four weeks um you know likely won't miss much time but you know soft tissue injuries especially from you know the running back and wide receiver position you know guys that are constantly going you know start stop you know full speed um you know if that lingers whatsoever and Naji Harris ends up being you know closer to like a true you know like Workhorse three down back like we thought he was going to be when he entered the league like this could be an AB absolutely you know insane value for him so I really like nii um in the seventh round uh you know again this is another guy that I walked away with for my team on Saturday um you know you kind of hammer your wide receiver spots go grab a quarterback and then like look at him as your wide your running back to in the seventh round it's you know I think it's a really safe pick coming out of the kind of a like running back Dead Zone um in terms of guys that I'd like to running back to yeah I think overall I'm in on Nai this year if you look at what he did you know in 2021 it's a complete aberration he finishes the rb3 because he saw 94 targets because he had noodle arm Big Ben 2022 he Ultra disappoints on his ADP but then if you look at the numbers was pretty consistent the guy's cleared a thousand rushing yards in every year he's been in the league and he's had seven plus touchdowns um in every single season he's been in on the ground he he he's been pretty consistent for the most part and hasn't missed a single game either you know Ultra durable Ultra durable he's Ultra durable he's healthy like training camp reports are solid for him right from what I understand and I'm a little worried if Fields comes in it feels vultur a little bit there's also I think Jaylen Warren who's I think better than Nai but you know the hamstring issue is definitely a real thing and Nai is the most similar player to you know that Josh Jacob season where he went nuts like the parallels are there gets his fifth year option declined yeah you know he's been consistent for Fantasy each year he's played it's kind of sniffs of Josh Jacobs a little bit I'll be careful because the range of outcomes don't necessarily love his ceiling but man I I think I think he's a really good pick at ADP yeah round uh round eight who do we got Aiden I've got another running back Round 8 - Zack Moss um it's it's not a sexy running back it's you know we're we're like pretty similar range here it's Zach Moss um so I've got Zach Moss uh 88 overall running back 31 um he's this cheap for a reason um you know you figure he's going to be splitting time with Chase Brown this year but you know on a service level this is he should be the early down and goal line running back in what going to be a very good offense um what I just keep going back to is like Joe Mixon hasn't looked very good in years um and the dude was running back six1 and four over the last three years like I just think the Bengals running back is such like a gold mine in fantasy um you know sure it's going to be split even if we only get call it 60 65 even 70% of that with Zach Moss at the running back 31 I really love it um and the guy had some flashes last year like when he stepped in for JT um like that's a that's an NFL running back like he this guy's definitely not a backup you know he'll be either a complimentary role with Chase brown or you're walking into a potential you know like Workhorse and primary ball carrier and again what's going to be what I figure to be a you know top 10 offense with a healthy Joe burrow um hopefully Jamar Chase is feared out by then but I think it's a really good pick it's it's not sexy by any means um but again it's like a safe pick to kind of start filling in your running back room if you kind of opt to go later running backs I think that chase Brown is interesting I think he offers a lot of explosiveness but I think he's overrated I I do um it's got a little out of hand it's gotten a little out of hand with them I want both of them in fantasy this season and I think Chase Brown's had an awesome narrative wise uh for for the preseason good for him but I think Zach Moss is a way more more consistent player and um there's plenty of running backs that get signed to Second contracts and aren't that great right like he was a free agent for a reason it's his third team you could write all that off but I mean I really like Zach Moss's range of outcomes here 18 Is His Highest 10 is his mid seven he's probably going to average 11 to 13 fantasy points per game be a steady Eddie rb2 and you're getting him in what the eighth round like you're G to take that every time yeah 88 right now yeah all right round n who do we got here round nine we we we've got an old Round 9 - DeAndre Hopkins Savvy veteran with this one um this is a guy I think we've talked about too you know it's I think it's a really safe pick here it's DeAndre Hopkins um man he's just he's he's dir cheap dude 98 overall right now wide receiver 41 off the board um you just look at what he did last year you know he was still wide receiver 22 um you know during you know will L's offense was so bad too man oh still produced yeah he was still wide receiver 22 over a th yards you know just over half a dozen touchdowns um the concern is not very high around the knee injury um I don't know if this has to do with much of the value here um I think it does I think he fell because of his knee injury but it sounds like he's going to be ready for the season opener yeah and if not the season opener what you miss what call two three weeks um I'm pretty fine with that and then like dude like this is just like pure price right now like what he's watch receiv five on your Roost like you don't even need him week one um this guy is so cheap he's done it before like he's done it so many times in fantasy like sure he's 32 um but he didn't look 32 last year like this is a guy that still looks like he's got it you know like top five hands in the game can still beat you over the top too like he's he's still got this like his speed down the sidelines um to beach on those you know deep nine routes kind of some of those Mike Evans you know deep balls down the sideline so I like Hopkins this is another guy where I'm you know a little confused by uh by the price uh that I'll definitely be scooping up he did not slow down as a separator at all I think he's clearly a better option as the alpha in this offense and Calvin Ridley's more of a complimentary piece I I think that Calvin Ridley is also a pretty good pick at ADP All Things Considered but I don't think that DeAndre Hopkins slowed down at all last year on a per route basis he was better than that Calvin Ridley across most metrics so if he's healthy this is a steal in the ninth round you're getting somebody who could you know plug and chug into your Flex roll in the ninth round it's it's pretty it's a pretty sweet pick in my opinion yep round 10 Aiden here we go we got three more um Round 10 - Caleb Williams all right so these are my picks so I I've gone I've gone team no bias for the second time um in 10 short picks here and it's it's Caleb Williams um his value is starting to rise so you know by the time you draft in a week or two this you know this could have changed a little bit he's going as 111 overall right now as the QB 13 um it just feels like everything is set up for Caleb to have you know a very good rookie season like we know the wide receivers we know we got DJ Keane and Rome two really good tight ends and Gerald Everett and Cole Kat you know again two really good running backs and DeAndre Swift and CLE Herbert you know you've got Shane Waldren like he's ready to AB you know dial up an offense directly to him and I think something that like isn't really getting factored into like his ceiling it is the rushing um I think like we've kind of talked about it before we saw it on Saturday like the guy had 21 rushing touchdowns over his last two seasons um in college so you know I don't think he's going to torch you for 100 yards but I think in the Red Zone if you don't respect his legs you know he is plenty quick and he can absolutely beat you there so I think you know the passing output I'm expecting around 3,500 yards you know call it somewhere around you know 25 30 touchdowns and I don't think it's crazy to think he rushes for like six to eight touchdowns um I think he's super smart and knows when tuck the ball down so I really like it like he's got top five to top 10 QB outs um upside in my opinion like it's just everything is really lining up for you know a good rookie season from him he's Aaron Rogers 2.0 he's not going to rush for 100 yards but the minute you get in the Red Zone you gota you gotta keep you know your eyes on Caleb he's gonna extend the play he's always gonna look to pass if you get caught sniffing touchdown like if you get caught slipping touchdown he he's Russell Wilson ask in terms of what he's going to do always looking down the field but has that Mobility uh Caleb is I'd rather honestly I know it sounds like a hot Teck I'd rather have Caleb than Jaden in fantasy I think Jaden is the floor is so much higher with Caleb I think Jaden has like you know like 700 yards 10 touchdowns on the ground upside but Caleb's floor is so much like so much higher weirdly enough I think it's reversed because I think Jaden has a good floor because his rushing Productions just going to keep minut but I think that straight up he's going to struggle as a passer I don't really believe in Cliff kingsberry as an offensive coordinator whereas like Caleb I think is gonna have a little bit of a baseline floor as a as a rusher but I think Caleb's gonna come out and throw 30 touchdowns or at least score 30 touchdowns I know it sounds like a hot take but he he's got everything infrastructure is so good like it's like how how like yeah like how does this not and like he's looked good in preseason like he looks poised he's reading defense as well like all the reports you see are like it like you're seeing the right things like you know saying and doing the right things so it's he's checking all the right boxes we'll see what happens when he goes up against Real defenses that aren't throwing vanilla coverages and stuff but he's checking all the right boxes he looks like he belongs all right Round 11 - Blake Corum 11th round who we taking so this one's gonna make sense given my my narrative all offseason um and is BL Quorum in my opinion this is like the handcuff you absolutely have to get um whether you own whe you own KY or not uh yes I miss gorm damn but I think this is still a guy like this is a guy that I would take whether I own Kiron or not um so 120 overall here running back 40 um yeah my opinion this is the best handcuff in football you know Kiren has missed no six games per year so far through his two NFL seasons they just spent round three draft capital on Blake Corum like this is a guy that if Kiren goes down he can step into a three- down roll like right away if he gets hurt like this is a running back two immediately with running back up like running back one upside in Shawn mcvey's offense um you're getting him you know in the 11th round here at this point you probably already have you know three running backs um this is a guy that's not going to play for you right away which is fine but I think like if Kiren goes down which he shown he does you know like two years in a row yeah it's leag winning upside here so um yeah I think he's an amazing pick yeah I I think ky's going to be like the for sure featured back out of the gates I do think that he's a very similar Blake korm is a very similar running back to Kiron and from my understanding Shawn McBay really just wanted if he had to take KY off the field um he just wants somebody comparable to him uh and I think they do want to limit kirn's touches like they're being cognizant of that and korm had just ridiculous college career he scored 27 rushing touchdowns last year which is just freaking insane he's good man he just yeah he's good he's good he reminds me of Mark Ingram he does he's a he's I think last year he didn't look as explosive because of the miniscus injury the year before so he's a year removed from the meniscus injury I think he's going to be a good Pro and I agree I think he has some contingency upside and a contingent like I think he has a a legit role probably throughout the year as like somebody maybe you're in a pinch and it's a bye or injuries and you throw him out there and maybe he scores like eight or nine fantasy points but like if Kiren gets hurt this guy's going to be a top 12 weekly play and you get that in the 12th round you're gonna do it every time yeah final pick round 12 Aiden who is it Round 12 - Curtis Samuel let's let's take at home um I'm going with Curtis Samuel uh pick 134 overall wide receiver 51 um i' like this guy for a lot of reasons I think we're kind of playing like rushian roulette with like who the actual like wide receiver to have here in this offense is but my money still on Curtis Samuel um you know this guy was handpicked by Joe Brady you know they've had success together in the past um back in Carolina um I don't know I I don't think I believe in Keon Coleman um preseason has been pretty ugly by him um you know just not a guy that's really separating at his size and you know really doing well especially down in the Red Zone it's been really ugly you know you've got K Shakir you know you've got mvs um but I'm like this is the only guy that's like actually kind of done it in the NFL in that wide receiver room um you know Josh Allen's g go Josh Allen mode you know probably absorb a lot of the stuff in the Red Zone still and then you've got conc you've got Knox but in terms of like the wide receivers um you know naan Kia and then it's kind of him versus C Shakir um you know very similar players but you know Curtis Samuels kind of done it you know looked good last year in spurts so this a guy that I like I I think he's gonna be pretty heavily involved um he is dealing with the toe injury which um you know turf toe not great you know can linger sometimes but you know we're three weeks out like we're three weeks out from week one um probably just shut him down for three weeks be ready for week one ideally but um I just think he's super cheap um and I think there's a range of outcomes where he's the watch receiv one on that team so it's you know watch super 51 like you really want upside at the end of your drafts I think like we scream upside upside upside um you know I don't want a safe pick here I want you know someone that I think is going to crack my starting lineup not just you know Decay on my bench or end up on the waivers after a week or two and you know that's a guy that I see with Curtis Samuel his last year in uh Carolina with um Joe Brady as his OC the guy was awesome 17 21 26 points 21 12 16 20 19 he was so electric That season under Joe Brady I think he had what 851 receiving yards 77 catches three touchdowns and then he he did a bunch of stuff as a rusher too I'm not seeing it here in the column uh here on here on sleeper but he he had some juice as a uh as a running as a rusher which is a fun fun element to to what Curtis Samuel brings he's he's actually been used in the Debo role throughout his career he's not like the same athlete but a lot of people are like the dbo rooll like this is actually somebody who's been used in that way and I think he is an underrated route Runner I think he's an underrated downfield player and I agree I think out of all those guys in the pass catching group I think he's the one who's actually done it and I do think he's a talented player so I'm worried about this turto injury not going to lie I see I see toe I see foot I see ankle it's always a little love it but you're right it's three weeks to go for the season just rest it usually the only way it gets better is just rest so yeah and you got a couple weeks um so yeah we'll see okay I I like Curtis Samuel but that's it those are Aiden's 12 Justin Jefferson Travis CN Nico Collins DJ Moore Anthony Richardson Kyler Murray Naji Harris Zach Moss Nook Hopkins Caleb Williams Blake Corum Curtis Samuel if you like tight ends Aiden says deal with it I'm not your guy um I'm not a big I'm I'm not a big draft tight ends guy um I they're all so expensive but it is what it is all right Aiden thank you for for gracing us with your favorite picks in each round I think this is a pretty pretty solid round by round draft I'm not gonna lie I'd be pretty stoked if uh if I was able to to get a lot of these guys and you just got a lot of these guys in uh your uh last draft we had together so you're standing with with five them um I wed out with five of these 12 guys so like there's no smoke here I'm I'm actually tarting these guys if I'm drafting with you I'm I'm gonna be leaving with at least one of them 10 toes down well Aiden we appreciate you for joining thank you everybody for tuning in until next time