MLB DFS Strategy - DraftKings & FanDuel Friday Main Slate 8/30 rotoscouts MLB Lineup Card LIVE

what is happening out there Roo Scouts Baseball fans happy Friday gang apologies for keeping you waiting for a minute there just getting some stuff updated up on the website real quick we got a couple lineups in the last few minutes so I was just loading them into the model and I'm just clicking him into the site right now so bear with me one sec as I get started but hopefully everybody's having a good end of the week good wrapup work day whatever you got going on out there had brunch with Mom and dad a few hours ago always nice when they come to visit no occasion just nice little uh popup for breakfast they only live like 40 minutes south of here so easy for them to pop up when they want to say hi big meal at the diner absolutely stuffed if I burp into the microphone apologies and all right we're updated we should be good up on the website see who's here Kujo is here happy Friday TG to you too buddy and missed you too COA wasn't around yesterday Anthony Taylor happy Friday to you Harold hos same thing Matthew Patterson back Ed ducking demitry Mamba good to see everybody here room's building up a little bit we'll dive on in 10 games on the Slate it's a uh interesting looking one we've got some solid pitching options up at the top in the uh super high price range we've got some workable pitching options through the mid-range and some Cheapo options that are good we've got the Orioles of Coors Field pulling a monster total got some other interesting spots the Mets draw on a pretty big total there's uh there's all kinds of action on this board so it should be a fun one to talk through during the show quick uh congrats to our guy uh Lone Wolf took down another one yesterday looks like he split first place 550 bucks in his pocket not too bad I think those are single entries that he's playing or he's dropping you know one or two lineups in but congrats that's uh multiple wins this year multiple takedowns and uh nice little prize pools to keep the uh keep the bank roll moving along Rolling Along building whatever but congrats to Lone Wolf always good to see and appreciate him shouting that out on the Tweet anytime you guys hit one shout it out to the uh at Roto Scouts Twitter handle and we'll always retweet it and mention it on the show drop it into the Discord same thing if you're not Discord already I'm sure everybody who's here already is but uh I'll drop a link in there now so that people have it throughout the show other info down in the description as usual there's a link to our guys over at a. there's Kickback info for me subscriptions are going to be starting up with the beginning of football season next Thursday so uh just be aware of that uh as discussed it's going to be very very viable for everybody we're going to keep it light but we need to be uh doing something and finally get that off the ground so uh that'll be be on the lookout for that I'll be working on that over the weekend and uh with that yeah let's dive on into this thing Ace M I mentioned him but as mine. all your optimization and Sim needs sure you guys have heard me talk about them before but Roto Scouts all in cap still gets you 20% off your first month over there going into football season I'm sure people are looking for good products and those guys are doing a killer job so give them a look there's Lone Wolf congrats buddy well done well done so as mentioned interesting looking slate got a viable spot for the Yankees at the top of the board 4.95 imply total one of the top ranked teams of the day not the very peak of the day but definitely one of the top teams of the day at 495 facing Eric fet the Cardinals in town for the weekend Series against the Yanks Yanks answering back with Marcus strowman a getable pitcher but one who you know it's rare that strowman goes completely lopsided usually it's a few runs here a few runs there that might ruin your DFS day but not really lead to a gigantic start uh day on the other side for the bats there are good bats in that Cardinals lineup though a few guys that could take a poke at the uh short porun right so we'll give it a look second game up the Pirates at the Guardians seeing some interesting power totals on both sides of this one it's Ben Lively going for the Guardians it's Bailey falter going for the hometown Pirates two playable totals the guardian or excuse me it's the the other way around the hometown Hometown Guardians uh 4.93 implied total for the Guardians going up against uh Bailey falter on the road for the Pirates and then a 4.17 impli total for the Pirates facing Ben Lively and a home start uh both sides are kind of playing and the Pirates are fairly cheap their lineup is not the best it's not the deepest lineup but the top end is pretty decent depending on what gets confirmed into it uh there's at least a few viable Parts on FanDuel we don't have um Outfield access to O'Neal Cruz yet which would be Dynamite for using that team as a stack but they're already fairly Outfield heavy anyway so it depends on who you're looking at putting them together with but for me they're on the board for value and then again the Guardians are looking like another beefy stack in their opportunity again against fault they showing a lot of power through that lineup and there's a lot of reasonable power hitters in it plus all those good sequencers it just becomes a good-look stack a lot of the time Athletics against the Rangers eight and a half run total for the game 395 going to the A's they're facing John Gray I feel like that could be a little bit higher gray hasn't exactly been sharp hasn't exactly been pitching deep into games um so I don't really get why that's quite so low I'm showing the a is pulling a better opportunity opportunity than that and then on the ranger side 464 pretty solid looking imply totally against JP Sears who is actually definitely the better of the two pitchers anyway um maybe not great he has his ups and downs but he was on a streak of very good starts before he hit kind of a wall with a five earn Run start over three and two3 against Milwaukee prior to that he had gone five or six starts in a row that were very solid very deep starts I don't think it makes him all that interesting with the Rangers drawing a pretty solid total against and that is a good team that I don't love the Target anyway so I don't think he's all that on the board but it's interesting the way the totals are configured in that game royals draw a really low total against fber Valdez I've got framber at a good not incredible total just with the low strikeout nature of most of those Royals but now they're without Vin pasano who got hurt yesterday and is going to apparently miss the end of the season which sucks um so potentially a little bit of a bump that I might have to go back in and give fber another you know just fudge it a little bit up with like another strikeout kind of projection uh but we'll see what that lineup eventually looks like fber as you guys know is one of my favorite pitchers in the league as far as non Yankees go think he's fantastic and a 3.29 imply total for KC basically says it all about his quality Seth Lugo on the mount for KC going up against the Astros basically pitched above his head most of the Season not untalented but very very average mid-range type of a guy and was pitching better than that in terms of his erra through most of the season it's caught up to him a little bit in the second half here but he's had his good starts along the way as well I just never love targeting that Houston team with mediocre pitching so I don't really like the Lugo option and Vegas doesn't really like it either 4.31 implied total Astros bats look playable but on their side you know if it is the good version of Lugo maybe he doesn't put up a monster against them strikeout wise but has a decent day they only score a couple of runs and it kind of goes bust as a stack the Mets on the other hand look pretty appealing facing Jonathan Cannon they're drawing all their usual upside for power there's good bats basically up and down that lineup now 5.41 implied total is the highest non-course total and the only non-course total above five runs today I expect the Mets are going to be pretty popular but there's a lot of ways to make that lineup work and you can move pieces around uh in terms of what you're using depending on what other stack you're putting them together with so I think the Mets are very very interesting today on the other side the white socks uh facing Tyler McGill I kind of think McGill is interesting here hasn't pitched since July 31st we'll see what the depth is going to look like today or hasn't pitched in the show I forgot to uh pull his uh minor numbers here let grab those right now so I do think McGill is uh kind of interesting because he's a talented pitcher strikeouts in the starts in AAA yeah we're getting we're getting full inning so we're fine on that projection five innings seven and two3 four and two3 so totally fine with that let me grab this though so we can talk about it when we get there so I actually have Mill as a pretty good value he's in my current placeholder lineup on FanDuel and if you're looking at like I already mentioned I kind of like the Pirates and I think there's some other good discount options if you're looking at him in conjunction with a discount stack you're getting really really cheap in a hurry and I he's certainly good enough to beat the White Soxs one of the worst teams in baseball or the worst team in baseball one of the worst teams in the last like Century of baseball 370 implied total for them the Blue Jays and the twins an eight run total on the board Minnesota pulling most of it at 4.53 they've got Pablo Lopez on the mound he's pulling a nice total against the Blue Jays they are relatively low strikeout but there's a few more in that lineup uh in this configuration they're in the low 20s as opposed to like the high teens Kevin gausman on the mound for the Blue Jays just really hasn't been on form through most of the Season seems fairly targetable with some pretty good twins bats they're looking a little frisky solid mid-range projection but I do think they might get a little bit popular just because everybody likes going to those bats the co field game I imagine is going to be pretty ridiculous popularity wise the Orioles a monster at 6.15 and with all their quality uh they're facing Austin gomber should be kind of a pushover of a matchup and then it's albertt suades on the mound for the O's 5.47 implied total on the other side for the Rockies they always get less love than the visiting team when they're at home at Coors and you they've been a lot a greatly improved lineup for DFS I don't want to say they've been a lot better like I'm saying that the Rockies as a team are good but there are a lot more usable parts for DFS and especially when they come in at price and with a lack of popularity by comparison to their opponent in a chus game I think they get interesting in games like that so and Albert SW as decent pitcher but not super high strikeout and certainly getable in that environment the last three games the night caps the Mariners against the Angels we've got the debut of the first uh Italian born and raised uh pitcher in Major League history Samuel aleri aler no history with him uh and he doesn't appear to be on either site unless one of M at him I'm sure somebody can let me know in the uh chat if they have looks like a moderately talented pitcher just based on what he's done uh rapidly accelerating through the miners hasn't pitched above doua yet so it'll be interesting to see what they get out of him here um but you know if he was on the Slate at a cheap price maybe we would talk about him what I think it might yield is an unexpectedly um low output from the Mariners at least for the Innings that he's in there against they're drawing a pretty juicy total at 4.91 um so kind of interesting there I think a lot of that is just how heavily they favored they are because George Kirby's on the round so it could be one of those days where yeah they go out they win the game Kirby has a good day and they ride off into the sunset with a three- nothing Victory we know how bad their offense has been all season long so this one feels a little bit trappy I don't love that spot Dodgers at the Diamond Backs 4.54 implied total for the Dodgers difficult to suppress their quality they're going up against Zach gallon not an untalented pitcher has his ups and downs but definitely good enough on the right day to get there interesting match up late in the slate and then it's Clay Kershaw on the mound for the Dodgers has really you know not been great in his return to action here he did go six two starts ago just five in his last start he would give up five earned runs kind of a mixed opportunity for Klay kersha against a fairly low strike a fairly decent Diamond Backs lineup drawing a 4.06 imply total I don't love that spot either and then rounding things off we've got the Marlins at the Giants it's Blake Snell dominating the top of the pitching board Giants at just a 2.86 implied or the Marlins rather 86 impli total against Snell he only went three in his most recent start that was coming off of a few monsters uh struck out five and walked six gave up two earn runs no hits faced 15 hitters over three Innings and then was out of the game got nine outs and was done um took him I believe it was 75 pitches was the note that I read so really just bad inefficient couple of innings but no injury just wasn't going right that day for whatever reason and again coming off of a number of just monster monster starts in a row including the no hitter going back five starts now looking like a great option against that terrible Morland Squad the Giants are drawing a bunch of uh Power upside on on their end Adam Aller is on the mound for the Marlins uh 4.75 implied total for the Giants they look pretty good they are again drawing big uh decent power numbers in the Home Run model and I'm sure they're drawing healthy projections all around town with that solid project with that solid implied total the thing is all is not completely terrible he was pitching pretty well in AAA before they called him up uh he had a relatively bumpy first outing against the Diamondbacks but then he had a really good one last weekend I actually used him uh I think he came up at like. five ownership or something at 6,000 and change on FanDuel and he had a great start five and two thirds he gave up one in run on four hit struck out six walked two that was against the Cubs in Miami it was you know ballpark on his side everything but this ballpark just as much on a pitcher side this Giants team has just as many strikeouts against the righty as that Cubs team does so I could see threading that needle again I don't really like doubling down on that kind of a play um but I don't know I I think that the Giants might be another spot that disappoints a little bit I think both this one and that one might be late night trappy Dodgers I have no problem with even the Diamond Backs against kersha I have no problem with angel's value doesn't really look to be there neither does the Marlins value so we're just talking pitching a lot in the uh in the final games but the Giants obviously are going to be on the board against Aller as a stack we're gonna we're going to go through them the Mariners G to be on the board in their matchup to take a look at how that all breaks down so there's poor aletti off the top of the board there did they add him on DK there DK is usually the one that gets on top of things they did seven 7 7800 that's annoying um LD you know what um we'll talk about him I'm going to add him after because it's just going to take me too long to get him in there and get it right so I'll talk him through and then I'll add him to the projections after the show we'll have time because we started early enough today fair enough if you guys really want to see it and bear with me you know we we can put it in but it's going to take a sec it's going to be annoying um looking at the board though top of the board overall Blake Snell 112 102 across sides very very expensive but the potential to absolutely dominate that Orleans lineup looking really good and really realistic at the top of the board Pablo Lopez number two against Toronto that's the one that I feel like is a little bit shakier what I love though 8600 on DraftKings you're getting an absolute bargain on that projection and he's got more than enough talent to at least pay this kind of a projection off and there's realistic ceiling on top of that especially with a bit of an uptick in strikeouts for Toronto so I think Pablo not you know terrible option near the top of the board I don't love them at this price that feels a little bit steep but you do have a number of very expensive pitchers on the FanDuel slay today it's not completely unfair but they could have done us a favor and made them a little bit cheaper ER like George Kirby being offset by 94 against La is probably not all that realistic if you're going to put Pablo Lopez against Toronto at 108 that feels a little bit upside down those pit those prices could be reversed or you could just lower Pablo to like the nines I think that would be the most realistic approach Kirby looks really good at 94 9,800 on DraftKings same thing fire away with Kirby shares against La he's very very good McGill like I mentioned talented enough and as long as we're getting we're counting on you know six issue Innings facing that White Sox team Mill's a decent strikeout pitcher plenty of KS available for him a non-threatening lineup 7500 7400 projects out really well and I think he's got a little ceiling on top of that could definitely go wrong there's a reason he hasn't really gotten his feet on the ground in a permanent role in the show yet but has upside in that matchup fber like I mentioned I saw him around town projected more in like this kind of a territory you know calling another strikeout on top and I might and give it to him I did forget when I was looking at the uh projection adjustments and everything that Vinnie wasn't going to be in the lineup for KC today so that does add potential of an uptick in strikeouts but I'm going to wait I'll adjust him if necessary when KC's lineup comes out when I go back in to do uh a the yeti at the end of the show uh Seth Lugo against Houston just don't love the matchup and really don't like the prices again I do think he is a medium Talent of a pitcher maybe a little bit more than that but not as good as he's been this year and it's a terrible matchup against a really low strikeout pretty decent Houston lineup 9800 9100 if he was in like the eights let's say he was priced a little bit you know 85 let's say compared to Ben Lively it'd be more interesting playable at least at these prices it's rough even as an SP2 over here that doesn't fit as a price I feel like Lugo just kind of Falls by the wayside maybe that makes him a little bit more valuable just if you're building a ton of lineups on a little differentiation a little bit of contrarianism but not a great match up to be contrarian in Ben Lively against Pittsburgh again I am considering Pittsburgh as a value stack today they're showing enough power against and Lively really not consistently good has spiked a couple decent ones but generally does uh allow a little bit we'll give it a look 8100 doesn't feel great on either site when we've got better options in lower prices across the board strowman playable at 7672 against St Louis just kind of a lower seiling by comparison to most of the top pitchers on the board and a lower ceiling than some of the value guys like I think he's lower ceiling overall most days than Tyler Mill against the white socks let's say um by comparison to like Sears Kershaw that's around similar probably 79 across the board for Sears not a great price to find him at against Texas like I said he is he is good enough and he did have that very good run of starts but not a guy I fully trust and I'd rather get him when he's cheap on a good run than at a higher price like you're kind of buying the high with JP here is here now or maybe that was the last St that's come down a little bit but I I don't think it's all that realistic at those prices playable but not great Klay Kershaw at 85 on DraftKings is different than the 77 on FanDuel I do think that's got a little bit of appeal I just still question what the the true ceiling looks like with Clay even if he's rolling do they let him have seven he hasn't he pitched he completed six like I said two starts ago against the uh Cardinals on the 18th four hits two strikeouts a walk I don't know what the pitch count was but it can't have been that many if he only struck out two and walk one and only allowed four hits got through 20 hitters in six Innings so that's you know that's probably not that many pitches didn't come back out for the seventh in that one can't imagine we're getting much cealing out of out of clay and we've seen some okay strikeout games but we've also seen some lackluster strikeout games in the return gallon on the other side of that one facing the Dodgers I just don't like gallon against the Dodgers against the weaker team maybe 9200 on fandel kind of a no thank you he's an effective enough mid-range pitcher that maybe he gets there for you a couple times out of a 100 but it doesn't look great against that opponent 84 is a lot more playable on draft kicks if you're looking to go like mid mid on your starting pitcher or like mid cheap like 84 for him 74 for Migel 84 for him 72 for strowman 84 one of the one of the $6,000 guys that might be a way to consider it just to get him on the board a little bit but it's not great he's entirely skippable in that position in that matchup fet against the Yankees is pretty much a no 7700 he's at least cheap on DraftKings 8700 I have no idea how they arrived at that on FanDuel I wouldn't touch it Aller again we're g to give them a look 6,600 6,900 across SES I don't think he's good but he's been pitching okay and did have that good start against the Cubs and he's very very cheap against the ghetto giant Squad but that's definitely going to be a both-sided situation when we get there later on swad has no against the uh against the Rockies but they are getable on the right day a decent pitcher can have a day even in Co field I just don't feel like we need to mine that today John Gray against the Athletics probably more playable than uh the co field pitchers but you know just medium medium opportunity there and again I come down favoring the uh the a side of that one despite a lower Vegas total than I would have expected Canon is just a target for Mets bats Bailey is a target for Guardians bats and Austin gomber is the biggest Target on the board for the Orioles bats hit the like and the Subscribe button if you haven't done that already as we get started here oh look at that my Yankees ticket rep might have actually called me back had to update the uh stored payment info and it's like this whole big process you can't just go to like a link and say like I'd like to update my credit card info you have to like go through the invoice take like the five like I agree to your terms and conditions I do this I do that I do that and then it lets you update your payment info and I didn't want to have the invoice processed that I a't supposed to process in like two weeks just a giant pain in the neck so I wanted to make sure that it's saved and it was done so I'm actually engaging with the uh the rep this is my fourth new rep of the season it's one of these you know the these ticket reps with these teams or or kids out of college that change these jobs you know six times a summer uh and you just I never have had one consistent one throughout even one season not even season to season one season one rep has not happened but they occasionally reach out to me Larry C calling out gan's for seamer down a mile an hour and getting crushed now yeah Gman just hasn't hasn't really had it it's going to be interesting uh first game up cards and the Yanks looking like a spot for offense to me strowman isn't bad you know he he's under the surface not really pitching all that well with a 471 xfit but he's gotten away with it a little bit 388 ER and he is more this guy over the course of his career last year a 395 er a 379 xfip this the year before a 35 with a 349 he's striking out Feer hitters this year he's walking a couple more 10% versus 9% % last year but he's dipped by almost 4% in strikeout rate has lost a few swinging strikes has lost a few you called in his csw overall has given up a few more home runs most importantly 3.16% home runs this year on a little bit of increased contact elevated Barrel rate this season elevated launch angle little bit more uh or a little bit less excuse me in terms of hard hits and exit vow but it's been on a different trajectory so he's gotten out actually more frequently against him when he is effective he's keeping the ball on the ground he's inducing weak and medium contact like we saw in that uh that last year those last year's numbers so maybe a day where he suppresses the cards you can still see the remnants of of that throughout their home run numbers here only Alec Burson in you know even kind of reasonable territory at 6.98 you get Goldie it's 5.60 everybody else below even halfway to the magic number and they haven't been great for home run upside all season gmid has 20 Burson leads this group of hitters with 21 Aron's got 14 it's an unimpressive lineup but I think Nar is kind of interesting just given the the Yankee Stadium of it I think burson's interesting for the same reason the two lefties Victor Scott doesn't really get that credit but he'll end up being the one to hit the Home Run watch it'll be like a little weak flyball to right that just somehow continues to sail one of those Yankee Stadium home runs but if you're considering hitters that you actually like from that lineup there's only a few but strowman is getable enough that I could see the cards rolling up a few line a few uh Innings where they sequence create opportunities put guys on and then if one of these guys does come through with the big knock whether it's a home run a double whatever um then you start creating some big scoring events so I think the cards are more on the board than strowman is but he's perfectly fine 7276 it's not like he's overpriced for the opportunity all he really needs to do is go out there and win you the game and find you four or five strikeouts for that money and he's perfectly capable of doing that um oh you know what we didn't talk about the weather and there are a thousand games on the Ross board again let's get through this one and then we'll Circle back uh five strikeouts three earned runs uh three walks in five innings in his last one got the win no quality start got the quality start in the game before that but no win against the Tigers five strikeouts four hits no runs over six but the Yankees managed to not get him win in that one does get win Equity out of the uh you know the Yankees I think that stacking him with a stack of Yankees hitters is a good idea just to pick up a little bit of upside for the win um no really great outstanding starts and a few recent meltdowns a four starts back against Toronto a fairly comparable opponent seven earned runs on eight hits in just two and two thirds three strikeouts on a walk that was his worst start of the entire season but a few you know three four five Run games in here just who Marcus strowman is fed a on the other side no no better than strowman 331 ra a 421 xfip the numbers are a little bit cleaner for him in in that department he's striking out a few more walking a few less but there's no real uptick in Talent technically if you're looking at stuff plus strowman's a little bit ahead if we're looking back over time strowman's been better for their careers you know two years ago feda pitched in in uh the Korean League last year and then two years I think I'm pretty sure uh and then 581 ra a 474 X FIP a 16.4% strikeout rate over 127 Innings and 27 starts two years ago this year he's been effective but I wouldn't call this Good random ass pitchers do beat the Yankees frequently enough that if you're inclined to roll the dice with fet if you've been going there all season long um go ahead 77 is not a bad price to find him at I just think the numbers and everything about the situation greatly prefers the Yankees bats 87 on fandu is really challenging I really don't see the upside for Eric fed at 8700 um last time out six Innings seven strikeouts gave up just one ear run that was at Minnesota against a pretty good twin Squad the ear run came on a homer five and twoth thirds against the Brewers just two earned runs on six hits two strikeouts four walks two strikeouts two walks four earned runs on two home runs six hits total against Cincinnati at Cincinnati the one before that those two starts are more emblematic of the the fet that uh I know six strikeouts in an earned run over five against Tampa Bay that's a pretty weak opponent four strikeouts five earned runs on six hits against uh the Cubbies over just five bad one against Seattle just four strikeouts two walks three ear runs the second half hasn't been nearly as sharp as the first half was half was for fet either so a week inv verion than the guy that gave you the very good RA that he had earlier in the year and this has crept up quite a bit on him a getable pitcher for home run upside with this Yankee Squad sto judge Stanton all looking pretty sharp in the Home Run model jazz is somebody not to sleep on at his Mark so just greatly prefer bats on both sides and the Yanks are at one of the highest totals on the board Mason win not a bad way to start a cardinal stack 4200 3,000 at shortstop 12 home runs and 10 stolen bases having a nice little week for me as a pickup in the dynasty League he had don't run this week I think he's stole the base few hits been reasonably effective he's not a great DFS option 3,000 though not a high price to pay for a guy who can get involved and is providing correlated scoring 335 on base a 113 WRC plus perfectly fine to plug him in just I would rather do it at second paase than shortstop with a player like that if I had a choice about it burlon for 45 3,000 Outfield in first base on both sites 21 homers on the season a 178 ISO not the best contact in the world but not not bad 7% barrels 40.4% hard hits you know a little above average there a little below average there but very low strikeout so we're getting a lot of batted balls which creates you know obviously opportunities based on the the quality of those batted ball events he's a good player he's not an outstanding player but he's a lefty facing a medium strength righty in Yankee Stadium automatically makes him playable especially when he checks in at fair prices arado very cheap at 3900 2800 as we've been saying for the name on the back of that jersey and career history but for the guy who's putting up a 268 319 394 or 126 ISO 14 home runs and 530 plate appearances a sub 30% hard hit rate a 3.3% barrel rate he's just an average contact hitter now maybe a little bit above average than your than your you know Nikki Lopez type contact hitters because he does still have a little bit of power if he manages to whip the bat around fast enough but he is broken right now and I don't know how fixable it is he's going to have to really change his swing on in the next year to to regain any kind of quality Brendan Donovan 3628 10 home runs a 127 ISO a 103 WRC plus mies and match caliber player at multiple positions and a fair price on both sides gold Schmid still does have power still rocks the ball when he makes contact 9.3% barrels and 47.2% hard hits easy enough to plug into a cardinal stack at 43100 but not the priority bat not the draw to the Cardinals that he really used to be 20 home runs on the year just a 162 ISO a 94 WRC Plus Newar is an interesting player a lefty bat with a little bit of medium power 20 home run kind of power 15 18 20 home run somewhere in that General type of range he's got eight in 309 chances this year just a 148 ISO but look at the contact 99.5% barrels 49.8% hard hits similar numbers over previous Seasons he is a good Lefty bat to throw at Marcus strowman if you're stacking cards nar's I top top three priority hitter in that lineup Jordan Walker called back up to the big Squad just a dead men on FanDuel only slashing 145 228 232 over his 79 chances in the show this year for 2700 you can have them in your outfield on DraftKings so far this has been a better minor league player than a major league player wasn't bad last year though got off to a bad start and then corrected things later in the season ended up over 465 PL appearances last year slashing 276 342 44 45 creating runs 15% better than average 16 home runs and seven stolen bases in 377 chances in tripa a this season this season uh 263 326 427 just a 94 WRC plus just a 19.4% strikeout rate which is outstanding but only a 164 ISO nine home runs four stolen bases hasn't really fulfilled his promise yet still just 22 and a young 22 though so he's one of these players that got promoted really early didn't quite click just might need a little bit more seasoning a little bit more opportunity they gave him that in Triple A this year he was okay it's difficult to say if that's growth um he had a very very good 2022 in double A and then was split between the majors and Triple A last year and saying that those numbers are growth from what he did in the majors last year would definitely be a misstatement but it is growth compared to you know the minor league numbers so it it's challenging to figure out what he actually is going to be but he is capable of hitting the ball he did put up good numbers in the show and the dead men on FanDuel puts him on the board 2700 on DraftKings on a team that's not overloaded without fielders not a bad option if you're stacking Cardinals maybe maybe maybe a got to keep in mind just as a random oneoff just because he's cheap more so on FanDuel because he's the dead minimum and probably not going to be somebody that people click on Pedro P has Victor Scott entirely skippable at the bottom of the lineup P has three home runs and 155 plate appearances and 80 WRC plus and a 108 is 106 ISO and two home runs on the board for Victor Scott who is left-handed but is only here for speed up to a 215 on base keep it going Victor Yankees lineup glav Torres off the top 21% strikeouts 10.1% walks the case this isn't problematic but it is disappointing compared to the improvements the strid Z made last year the the walks are right on par with what we expected Premium Contact is significantly dipped year-over-year he's at 240 318 359 and 94 WRC plus with 12 home runs on the board and if you watch this show regularly you know that I'm about to say in this spot in the lineup all he's got to do for us is get on base ahead of these guys so he's entirely playable at 4431 he's fairly priced these guys are insanely high priced um but if you put glaver in a lineup and let's say you just thre man it it at least helps bring that down to 6,000 pie that's really not that good we got to make it a fiveman to uh to bring that to have that any impact salary wise and we probably got to skip those guys and go to vulpi let's see how that looks that gets it to 5380 and it includes Soto and judge uh but you're skipping Jazz and Stanton I'll take jazz in that one let's go with the more expensive guy 56 if you include Jazz that's with Austin wells in it it's a very high priced Yankee stack today they look really playable on FanDuel this seems a lot more reasonable judge is at 52 and Soto at 43 but I feel like that yeah that's 39 on the average that's a little bit cheaper on average than that 6,000 plus thre man price on DraftKings if you go this way it's the same basically any way that you stack them unless you go to Verdugo Ben rice at the bottom it's going to be essentially the same average fourman price with the Yankees on fandel they feel more playable on on the blue site either way they're very much on the board like figure out a good way to get to them because they look great today Soto 15.57% on the year a 299 ISO a 183 WRC plus Aaron judge 18.5 six believe that's the highest number on today's slate in the Home Run Model 51 on the season a 397 ISO a 226 WRC plus judge is an absolute monster on the field 7,200 on the draftking Slate can he hit 8,000 before the end of the season Austin Wells 433000 having a good year 322 plate appearances he's hit 10 home runs 168 ISO 118 WRC plus 253 346 421 I feel like Yankees fans aren't excited enough about this player Young catcher you know with a good bat this is a kid who might be on this team for the next decade plus um really like them I I love them hitting cleanup for a cheap price as far as DFS goes makes this team a little bit more stackable it works another quality Lefty into that lineup I do think it would be reasonable to say that jazz should probably be hitting cleanup if you want a lefty there and move Wells down to the six spot but good enough for government work I'm fine with either way Jan Carlo Stanton still one of the best power hitters in the game 23 home runs in 370 plate appearances with a 241 ISO crushes the ball swings the bat harder than anybody else in the sport as measured by Stack cast 19.5% barrels 53.7% hard hits don't skip Stanton if you're stacking Yankees don't don't skip don't I mean you can skip them in one but don't skip them across all three of three don't skip them in 20 he he belongs in half your Yankee Stacks at worst he is very very good with monstrous DFS upside Jazz Chism for 5532 very effective option 55 at third base is not bad it's very expensive but he's got a lot of upside he's up to 22 homers and 28 stolen bases a 196 ISO 114 RC plus solid left handed back to take shots at right field in Yankee Stadium against this pitcher love the option on FanDuel I think he's absolutely fantastic because he's got second base eligibility to go with his Outfield in third base 3200 is a very good price you can see how he projects what his number looks like in the Home Run model terrific option vulpi is a mix and match quality talented shortstop 11 homers 25 steals just a 135 ISO 94 WRC plus he's all right he can give you any given slay upside for sure but limited overall Alex verou is MI just another outfielder at best 11 home runs at 294 on base 84 WRC plus and then Benji rice kind of dipped from the quality that he showed us initially unfortunately still drawing a good walk rate still seems to have a good eye at the plate makes very good contact when he connects 16.2% barrels with 11.6% walks I'm clinging to those numbers because everything else 178 273 363 starting to dip 79c plus not great seven homers and 172 chances most of them came uh in a hurry at the beginning it's been a bad stretch for Ben Ben rice in his last the month of August and it's not every day it's about probably call it 15 12 15 games 38 pled appearances 063 18463 with a zero ISO no home runs no doubles no triples One RBI five runs scored a negative - 20 WRC plus come on kid pull it together I still do think that he is potentially an effective Major League back given the eye and the power upside but we got to be better than this playable but not great at the bottom of the line uh Yankees bats Cardinals bats really neither pitcher or both pitchers are you know shakily on the board as just mid-range me kind of option but it's much more about bats and Yankee Stadium as usual I promise to do the weather real quick so Roth has like uh I don't know eight entries on here some of those are let's see that's early early all right for this late so it's including things like this that Yankees game uh not a rain drop inside a truly wonderful baseball night facts Kev um I agree Pittsburgh and Cleveland a brief spotty downpour could zip by hot and humid ball will fly he's rhyming now he is rhyming actually oh jeez I didn't catch it in the first one but all of these Ry all right I'm not reading his poetry uh green yellow across the board Pittsburgh Cleveland green yellow Mets of Chicago green yellow uh little little bit of rain maybe comes through but it's fine and Baltimore Colorado the winds are blowing out to left in course field so no concerning whether we're fine Ben Lively on the mound for the Guardians Bailey falter going for the Pirates see if we got lineups we do fantastic ikf at the top of the lineup for the Pirates I use Brian Reynolds as the Home Run pick of the day pretty solid little 12.57 in the Home Run model doesn't look like a bad option it's one of the first things that Drew my eye to the Pirates I also think the Guardians are interesting on the other side of this game I just don't loved game stacking a game on a 10 game slate never feels great to me but if I was if I was like just hot to build a game stack today this would be one of the more interesting uh opportunities to build a game stack you got three guys above the magic number here for home run upside three here cross positions the these teams kind of click together fairly well so it's not a terrible consideration and they're not expensive on either side of this game Guardians obviously more expensive but easy enough to put these teams together and you get to um it's much more about the bats here for me falter 59 7000 we did use falter once or twice in that that stretch of of quality starts that he had 425 ra with a 465 X FIP on the season just a 90 rating by Stuff Plus given up 90 plus so we're over the threshold for EXO we're over the threshold for hard hits we're over the threshold or we don't really have a threshold for barrels this is a high Barrel rate let's put it that way 18.1 degree average launch so it's a flyball pitcher who makes a lot of mistakes for hard hits probably getting a little bit lucky to keep it to 3.0 uh 4% home run so far A little bit of upside for power against that is coming through in a big way in the model for the Guardians on the other side Lively is also over the threshold there over the thresold there he's at a 4.05 this is realistic for that kind of contact he's given up fewer barrels but that just means he's given up you know a couple fewer um Premium Contact events 68.2 rating by stuff plus he is actually the worst of these two pitchers I would say 454 xfip under his 362 er a 19 7% strikeout rate so he strikes out a few more than his opponent does but not in any kind of big way and he's entirely getable for power against so I don't really see throwing a dart with him at 8100 across SS even if you think Pittsburgh is terrible even if you're not stacking Pittsburgh I get that um but I don't think that necessarily puts Ben Lively on the board at those prices maybe if he was in the sevens maybe we could talk about it a little bit more this this feels a little bit heavy for what his true ceiling looks like there is a 25% strikeout rate for this confirmed version of the Pirates lineup that's pushed up somewhat by Billy mckin at 455 he's a high strikeout guy but it's not quite that high so for the hitters who have uh larger samples in that lineup that immediately drops it to just 225 which is a lot more around just average so it's maybe not quite as big a Target but some of their BigTime hitters are more High strikeout guys 26.1% from mccut this year 31.2 most notably for O'Neal Cruz is their best overall player and then 228 for Brian Reynolds who would argue with me that he is probably their best overall player it's very very close between those two so there are KS around the best options on the board but I think that their their Edge is in the power upside so I think the Pirates bats went out for me looking at that lineup from top to bottom ikf is an okay way to start a stack just because he's not I didn't mean to do ikf okay um 42700 multi-position eligible on both sites he's an inoffensive option up there it's not great but he can get on base he can get you a base hit he doesn't really strike out he puts a ton of balls in play 15.6% strikeouts 3.9% walks just a 102 WRC plus a 124 ISO he's not a power hitter he's non-threatening generally more of a correlated scoring piece but if you think the Pirates are going to get there and if you think it's going to be fueled mostly by Brian Cruz or Brian Reynolds and O'Neal Cruz then there's at least decent reason to consider some ikf shares and he fills holes you know Short Stop alfield Third Base second base on FanDuel second base and short stop on DraftKings he plugs into a lot of lineups Reynolds has 21 home runs on the season a 180 ISO 123 WRC plus it made him the Home Run pick of the day O'Neal Cruz was the Home Run pick from the Pirates today he makes the better contact between the two 16.7% barrels 54.7% hard hits compared to 98 and 468 from Reynolds both of those are very good numbers but these are Superstar caliber numbers Cruz is on the cusp I think maybe the move to center field is going to help him out not have to worry about defense as much anymore not that Center Field's you know a cakewalk as far as defense goes but he was miscast as a short stop he's an elite athlete he's already putting up good numbers and these numbers especially in the power Department should be even better given that kind of contact has to Wrangle the strikeouts a little bit but you can be that high strikeout if you walk a little bit more lot of upside here 273 33475 at 202 ISO 117 WRC Plus on the year uh Reynolds has 21 homers and seven steals Cruz has 18 homers 19 steals McCutchen joining the Power Club at 16 home runs but just a 169 ISO on the year still makes okay contact when he connects but he strikes out more this season 261 he walks a little bit less 117 down from 159 he used to be an elite on base of walks option now he's just good at it it is still part of his skill set but it's not quite at the level it was 336 on base still a good correlated scoring piece can occasionally Drive the ball for you mix and match quality more of just another outfielder but he's fairly priced for that it's not like he's expensive Ry Tes 3326 11 homers on the season a disappointing 149 ISO from the Lefty not really hitting for the power that he's supposed to be just playable not a overly appealing option but playable nickol solz 392 27 five home runs three steals mix and match quality option with an 85 WRC plus Billy McKinny 2600 2200 across sights just another Lefty who is capable of making good contact 12.2% barrels and 41.1% hard hits in a medium-size sample last year you can roll some Billy mckin shares if you're stacking up a lot of pirates in my one pirates placeholder that I threw together he didn't make the cut just money ground D 312400 he's up to seven home runs 213 268 377 a 164 ISO occasionally he gets involved he doesn't really strike out he doesn't Crush you I mean he is definitely capable of just making outs and uh and not getting uh any points for you but he's not giving away plate appearances and he is capable of driving the ball if you're stacking Pirates it's again it's one of those if you're stacking Pirates you want to throw a few shares of the catcher in there it's fine less fine on FanDuel for 2400 you don't need the position so who cares Jared triolo mix match quality 28 24 across side six over six steals not really getting on base uh not all that good top of the Guardian Steven Quan pretty good option to set the table 13 homers 11 steals a 364 on base a 131 WRC plus direct cor correlation with their key bats like Blane Thomas soirez David fry Josh Naylor jonesi Noel some interesting bats in this lineup up and down for power now for some stolen base upside and correlated scoring with these guys kind of like this Cleveland team we've be going there throughout the season when especially on days they flash power to go with their good ability to get on base and uh and Playstation to station baseball kind of do both now 4831 for Quan is is a good price 4131 feels really cheap for Lay Thomas he's kind of earned that price this year just eight home runs but he is up to 31 stolen bases now just a 91 WRC plus not really hitting for power not really hitting for average but he was much much better last season and is a good player in there 40.7% hard hits basically matches last year output there but he's lost a few barrels it's where some of the home runs and some of the iso has gone but a lot of Any Given given slate upside if you're stacking this team for the price 6541 entirely appropriate for Jose DZ given the 33 home runs the 32 stolen bases one of the best multicategory contributors in the game 257 ISO 137 WRC plus he's a Superstar David Fry at 3800 3,000 across sights a lot better positioning on fand where you get him at uh Catcher And first base or outfield uh just a first baseman on draftking and he conflicts positionally with Josh Naylor over there which is a big problem because you definitely want Naylor's power upside in your lineup if you're looking at it just as a price flip then it's fine 3800 vers 4700 you could go to either bat and use them you know just one here one there if you're building a bunch of lineups in one I still do prefer nailor 28 homers for him versus 13 for fry that kind of all came in a hurry Fry's been okay still though 260 36444 128 WRC plus just more of a correlated scorer than he was was a big time power bat nailor is a legit power bat with the 28 overs the 224 ISO uh big Christmas Noel 3900 3100 across sites Outfield and first base on fandel Outfield only on DraftKings 12 homers in his 136 plate appearances real big time power bat for them U 339 ISO 161 WRC plus that obviously is representative of a bunch of Big Time home runs in a real hurry I don't think he keeps up that kind of toret pace but he is a decent power bat and he's still really cheap across sites stacking Guardians you could do a lot worse than including him in a lineup 13.20 second on the team behind only oose DZ ahead of Josh Naylor in the Home Run mod Andre Andre menz is a mix and match quality option little bit of medium well only five home runs not even showing power this year 24 steals 79 WRC plus roio's just here for defense Austin hedge is a skip AET catcher not really hitting the ball at all this season Guardians bats Pirates bats but given the Pirates Valley and the power potential that they're showing I am inclined to go that direction so either way you want to rank those depending it's kind of a Woody need situation if you need value go to the Pirates side of it if you need just you know good players for a good price against a bad pitcher go to the uh go to the guardian side of it a little more value to squeeze on the Pirates side really neither of these pitchers if I had to choose one I would probably take Ben Lively against the Pirates then Bailey falter against the Guardians that's really the Untouchable spot I don't see any cause to play Bailey falter against the uh Guardians JP Sears against John Gray A's and the Rangers see if we got these give our guys over at Fantasy Labs a Reload here see if they updated nothing yet let's see if Underdog has them we got time Rose white socks Mets Cubs Pirates nope doesn't look like we got either of these yet so uh JP Sears we could start there as I mentioned earli the in the show uh did snap that string of really decent starts he had four starts in a row where he went seven plus two nine strikeout games in that mix both of them came against the Giants but seven plus Innings no uh one start where he gave up three earned runs was the the most that he gave up that was at Toronto two one-run games in that stretch and seven shutout innings in the first game against the Giants that was coming on the heels of a six inning start in which he gave up seven earned runs uh eight runs total on nine hits and struck out just three against the Astros and then bookending it with this most recent start against the Brewers three and two3 nine hits five earn runs seven runs total three strikeouts two home runs allowed and a walk so you can see the bad you can see the good it's basically who JP Sears is 7900 I think is on the higher side of where you would want him against a good enough man Forman Ranger Squad regardless of what the results this year might be it's on the higher side if he was like even 75 I'd be more enthusiastic about it it is a picture that we've gotten away with a few times 435 ER is not completely terrible but the 473 xfit kind of defies it as far as like a I am actually good 18.7% strikeout rate is really nothing over 144 and 2/3 in 26 starts he's given up a decent amount of Premium Contact just under 10% barrels just under our 40% hard hits threshold 89.3 miles hour of exit V technically a little bit of a gap there 3.47% home run rate seems entirely realistic at best it's a both-sided situation where if you grab JP seers make sure that you get some Rangers as a hedge position in in another uh lineup or a couple of lineups on the other side John Gray 6764 up to a 19.3% strikeout rate now 432 ra with a 423 xfip where is that upti coming from does that work correct huh yeah 19.3 I thought it was I I remembered it being lower than that um just a couple of weeks ago and then I pull up the game log after I said you know up to 19.3 and I'm looking at the last three starts one strikeout over two innings two strikeouts over two innings no strikeouts in no Innings I don't know what happened with that one five strikeouts over seven and 2/3 not really sure where even 19% comes from but not exactly a dominant strikeout number was a little better last year and a lot better two years ago for Cas 257 most notably two years ago he is a guy who we've gone to over the years you know coming out of uh course a couple seasons ago we were saying oh maybe this is where we finally see the Talent come through because he's not an untalented pitcher but he's never really taken that next big step he's just okay in some situations facing the A's could be that situation com opponent seven and 2/3 against the white socks was that five strikeout game four hits last time again was against Cleveland he only went lasted two innings faed 15 hitters gave up 700 runs on seven hits struck out one walk two gave up a home run I just really even against the A's I tend to lean A's I really tend to lean bats in this spot they're at a 395 like I said it was a it's a lighter total than I was expecting but I kind of like the way this top end plays now Butler not bad Brent Rooker legitimately good JJ blade not bad langers is what he is but a pretty good power B at catcher Seth Brown I think is legitimately good bottom maybe Trails off but they do have Zack of hiding down there who despite a lack of quality in his slash line does have 16 homers and 19 Steals and 438 plate appearances so for DFS he's not completely terrible I tend to lean Athletics in this spot so especially if John G John Gray gets a little bit popular given he's so so cheap and he is at least a name that people know against the Athletics that would make me that would push me even more tour days in fact I'm going to pull up his ownership just to see where we're at there well he's not at all popular on FanDuel Pro's projections makes more sense that he would be popular if he is at all on uh on DraftKings but let's find out it's not High um it's reasonable like SP2 kind of just just another SP2 kind of ownership upper single digits kind of a level even that though just makes me more inclined to Target those people with A's bats there's a really low ceiling for John Gray so we're talking bats mostly in this one Lawrence Butler 42900 has 19 home runs he's stolen 12 bases he's only made 342 plate appearances crushing the ball when he makes contact he's not low strike out but he's not crazy High strikeout decent walk rate getting on at a 313 clip is paying it off decently and definitely putting up the power numbers and the counting stats 248 ISO a 130 WRC plus very very easy way to start a stack at 42900 not appropriately priced up it's been 342 pretty quality plate appearances now this it's time to raise his price Brent Rooker 5634 still very affordable for a guy with 31 home runs on the board this season a 276 ISO creating runs 61 % better than average getting on at a 364 clip for this season monster contact numbers as usual this is you know not terribly high priced it's not a bargain but it's not terribly high priced he could be a little bit more expensive same here again I get that this is a high DraftKings price don't get me wrong by comparison to the Full Slate but for the numbers he's putting up they could have gone higher is what I'm saying especially with the way that it averages into all these other prices it's not unaffordable it's actually easy enough to get to and 34 on fand is not high enough I would expect FanDuel to be at least at 36 on him 4228 for blade day 19 home runs a 211 ISO I mean that's four straight guys in this lineup being a legitimate number of played appearances that are all above 200 isos above 100 above average WRC plus marks by at least 5% everybody's at or you know around or above 20 oh runs 19 plus it's a good group of four hitters they're all cheap or it strings together cheap langers 13.3% barrels this season 22 home runs a 218 ISO a 105 WRC plus killer upside for a catcher as far as everyday contributions in a point per game sense I don't know what it necessarily looks like or mass out to but the Peaks and valleys are extreme if you catch the peak day you're in business Seth Brown 32500 way too cheap for a guy who had uh good output for power and stolen bases two years ago 25 homers 11 stolen bases a 214 ISO 116 WRC plus last year he cratered over 378 opportunities he did hit 14 home runs still had a 184 ISO but the WRC plus went away he wasn't really stealing bases hasn't really roared back to life this year he does have 12 homers in just 311 chances but we're down to a 158 ISO and dipping even further in terms of the uh WRC plus he's technically stolen four four bases by now in 311 plate appearances 99.2% barrels 39% hard hits neither of these is what he was those two seasons so we're not even in the contact Department up to Snuff from the guy who who put up those numbers a couple years ago but these aren't terrible numbers just in a vacuum for a guy who only cost 3,000 from the left side of the plate against a pretty getable righty same thing on FanDuel I don't love that he's another outfielder on this team on FanDuel that probably could have done a a favor and giving us giving us first base eligibility there like DraftKings did we've got five outfielders in the lineup on FanDuel in this from this A's team in the projected so it's not great that way but Brown is one of the more playable bats in this lineup uh I continue to believe that Daz Cameron over 138 plate appearances has actually been mashing the ball I hadn't caught that yet five home runs four steal sub Mendoza sub 300 by a mile on base percentage just an 80 WRC Plus probably why I didn't notice the Premium Contact we haven't talked about Daz Cameron a lot this year but that's noteworthy 10.1% Barrels in 49.4% hard hits 3,300 2600 it at least keeps them playable five home runs and 138 chances isn't bad gof again no no great production in terms of the slash line that the Run creation mark But counting stats wise DFS Wise from a cheap second baseman against a getable pitcher that's totally playable Max Schuman mix and match quality seven homers 11 Steals and then Jacob Wilson at the bottom of the lineup what was Wilson doing oners uh over 116 AAA played appearances after a promotion uh he started the season in the complex League he played in high a on the complex League last year6 played appearances in AAA he slashed 396 448 613 with a 17 ISO a 166 WRC plus four home runs and 116 plate appearances struck out just 4.3% 7.88% walk rate this is a 22-year-old um who just got that you know got that promotion after 93 doua plate appearances in double A he had struck out 10.8% of the time walked just 2.2% of the time so a massive amount of balls in play he had hit three home runs he had created runs 126% better than average over those 93 plate appearances while slashing 455 473 705 this again as a 22-year-old just promoted to double a he only made 17 complex League plate appearances I think that was just to uh to come back from rehab in 99 chances in high a last year 318 378 455 just one home run four steals but Extreme again extreme low strikeout low walk 10.1% case 6.1% walks there's a potential monster lurking at the bottom of the A's lineup 3,400 that's a playable Short Stop he might be completely overmatched at the major league level in general I don't know for sure that that applies against John Gray so far he struck out a couple times he's walked a couple times in his nine playay appearances he's also scored twice and driven in a run 79 WRC plus but let's give him a minute that's not a terrible option especially here for such a cheap price I might have to Pivot from my Pirates stack and consider some A's that makes 21 in short and then I can go three outfielders and then I'm dealing with both Corner infield spots gotta find a second baseman unless I instead of going to one of these three guys include gof and you go like seven n uh probably want the correlated there so it probably be that 27 75 a piece I know it's not I'm not like putting stars into the lineup there at 2775 but that gets really really cheap with a little bit of upside and um the kid at least put up legit numbers as a young age appropriate player through those levels of the minor so far not exactly facing Chris S today Marcus semi and top of the Rangers lineup remains cheap because he remains just kind of meh this season 99 WRC plus is a very meh 1% below average 18 home runs on the year is okay over 595 chances but it's not what we expect from semian still giving us low strikeout you know medium quality cont attacks he's almost exactly at the same strikeout in walk numbers as he was last year there's really nothing that looks directly wrong the output just hasn't quite gotten there I think he's still very very playable if you're going to Ranger stacks and there's all good reason to go to Ranger Stacks against JP Sears solid righty bat at second base for a fair price Cory seager's hit 30 home runs this year 236 ISO creating runs 39% better than average crushing the ball from the short stop position always always on the board uh Robbie grman if he's hitting third it makes him somewhat play not really having a great year over 204 play appearances this year last year hit 10 home runs in 420 chances 2% above average for run creation decent on base option with a 340 on base um but not a great fit in the three spot I probably would have given that to either Josh Young or if you want a lefty bat into that spot you go go Nathaniel low it's kind of a weird spot for Grossman but he's very affordable helps average down the pricing of the already affordable Rangers if nothing else adise Garcia 4433 21 Homer 11 steals in a up and down you know not great season from them but there are still great any given slate Peaks and a lot of reasons to be a buyer at these prices he's extremely cheap for what the talent upside looks like most notably on DraftKings at 44 in the Outfield that's extremely cheap Josh Young for 373,000 at third base is also cheap he's got four home runs three steals in his 122 plate appearances nothing wrong with those totals that ratio of opportunity to Output 87 WRC Plus 153 ISO I feel like we give him a minute to you know reclaim his footing in the show and he's going to be just you delivering for us 41.9% hard hits 99.3% barrels after missing most of the Season every reason in the world to put Josh Young into a ranger stack against JP seers potential to mash in this spot 8.49 in the Home Run model Nathaniel low 3628 remains a very good correlated scoring in on base opt option with some power upside at first base for a cheap cheap price Wyatt Langford 3929 just another outfielder but very playable with some upside Carson Kelly at 3126 is hitting the ball effectively 7.3% barrels 41% hard hits eight home runs and just 252 blade appearances decent total decent contact numbers everything else is just okay but he's moderately playable down there just as much as Jaheim is on most slates as equal to R 2323 across sites multiple positions across sites not having the utility year that he did last year but uh if you get that out of him on the day you play him for these cheap prices is wherever you need to fill a hole he's all right um it's kind of the same as that other game it's it's Rangers bats above A's bats just on General quality but they're both on the board for matchup to me and if you need it for Value it's like what I said about the Pirates I have no problem saying that given the relative values of the teams the A's are just as playable as the Rangers are I think the A's are sneaky sneaky interesting today and then between the two pitchers the matchup is way better for gray but I got to give it a JP Sears between the two I wouldn't want either of them but I'm going to put Sears above gray gray is more limited Royals Astros two quality options on the mound here I don't love Lugo at price and I think he's just you know like I said a slight uptick slightly above average pitcher maybe a little bit more than that but I think at 91 and especially at 98 on FanDuel against the Astros of all teams feels broken this is a pitcher with a 20.8% strikeout rate going up against the team that all their good hitters are Elite at limiting strikeouts yes he's got a 319 ra but the 395 xfip we all know that's the real number if not higher he allowing a 40% hard hit rate 89 miles hour manageable exit V manageable barrels he's been good at limiting home runs but there is a lot of quality contact here is not all on the ground at a 10o .5 degre average launch it's not all an extreme Fly ball and he's not a high danger pitcher it's probably a day where he comes out and keeps the Astros between three and five runs but I don't necessarily think that equals a big DFS day for Seth Lugo when he checks in at these prices if he came out did that struck out four or five at 7,700 that's a different story altogether these prices I don't want to go to Seth Lugo against the Astros he'll be unpopular if you're inclined to go that route um like low ceiling low quality pitchers who are just unpopular against good teams feels like the wrong approach to me as I'm saying those words it doesn't really go together as far as strategy but that's your guy here framber at 95 11,000 very differently priced across SES justifiably expensive on FanDuel he's very very good like I said at the beginning of the show he is one of my favorite non Yankees pitchers in baseball I just love his Effectiveness his ability to keep the ball on the ground he's back to being a decent strikeout pitcher this season 24.2% 11.6% swinging and a very very good 30.2% csw 327 ra with a nice tidy 310 X FIP underneath it Stuff Plus loves the Arsenal we don't care as much about the hard hits the exit vlo because it comes on a 0. n degree average launch and this is a picture we've been in negative numbers with for average launch in season's past no issues believing that that home run rate at 1.92% allowed or lower is is the realistic number for fber it's just a really good Royals lineup on the other side they are going to be without Vinnie pasano which is a big big diging to this team Vinnie's extremely good and he's extremely low strikeout so you can already see that change this takes up to a 22.8% replacing Vinnie in this lineup part of that is that three plate appearan is in Tyler Gentry is at 33.3 we take the guys with more reasonable samples it amounts to a 215 we're already getting a little lower right dat on Blanco probably going to be in the lineup do we have the actual confirm we do have a confirm I think it's this exact lineup so yeah 216 based on the um confirm lineup that's got Nick Lofton in there at 134 and just still even with with no Vinnie sever several of their best hitters and best lineup spots are very low strikeout so it limits the upside it limits the ceiling a little bit for me on fber that's where the difference came in in those projections but again when I when I went in and I was uh you know checking through the pitching projections like I always do I forgot that Vinnie wasn't in there so I might give fber back a tiny bit of strikeout Edge that will push him probably into like the 34 Point FanDuel range 16 and a half 17 point DraftKings range so give them you know consider another point point point and a half on top um and that's about right I'll probably end up giving it to him this is a low strikeout opponent but he's good enough to get there I think he looks great I just struggle to get to that price on FanDuel when I do have a lot of uh mid-range pitching options that I think are relative comparable ceiling believable comparable ceiling anyway I do not like the Royals bats in any way shape or form against fber here you can see the impact that he has on them and the home run model nobody above a six 581 leads the team that's Bobby Wht he's got 28 on the season with 27 steals a monster 613 slug with a 270 ISO makes killer contact absolutely Elite shortstop but difficult to hit home runs when the ball's just drilled into the ground no matter how hard you hit it 6744 against fber feels a little bit rough Michael Garcia back in the leadoff roll 4231 getting on at a 291 but as we've said all year just if you're going to continue putting guys that are sub 300 on base in your leadoff spot anyway let them hit 243 291 350 overall 107 ISO 33 steals is good seven home runs not great for what the expectations were to drive the ball a little bit more but that does come on a 43.4% hard hit rate so really the issue is probably more a little bit of a matter of elevation 4.2% barrels is probably reflective of that I just think we need to change the swing plan a little bit then we're dealing with a monster hitter uh but that's probably next year not this year playable not ideal at the top of the Royals lineup um and again terrible terrible matchup for this team 533 for S on a normal day pretty playable 25 home runs on the year but just a 553 against robber today one of the more likely guys two Homer if somebody has to against fber Valdez but still unlikely as compared to a normal Sal perz Day Paul D young moving up to the cleanup spot 471 in the Home Run model he's at 23 this year he's got a 214 ISO another true power bat but also a guy that strikes out 31.5% of the time one of the higher end targets for from to pick up some K upside against and nonthreatening in terms of the Home Run downside Freddy Ferman low strikeout low walk good Bat on Ball guy just 3.9% barrels and 33.3% hard hits we're at 296 342 411 108 WRC plus say it with me should be uh getting shots in that leadoff roll we W on base not speed in the leadoff spot ideally both but take the on base Nick Lofton 2922 multi-position on fand not so much on DraftKings lot lot more limited on DK just stuck in at third base not a great option for anything outside of some bat on balls and drawing some walks just a 294 on base and a 56 WRC plus over his 164 chances he's just low strike out of 134 and he's drawing an 11.6% walk in the small sample last year it was 176 and 5.9 and what I believe was a larger sample I'm not going to bother to check because it's Nick loften and who really cares mix and match quality at best there is a little bit of appe Peel in that at 2200 with the three position eligibility just drop them in a second base on fandel if you want to dip that far in the lineup but I don't think he makes the first lineup probably doesn't even make like the third lineup it's down the line a little bit unless I desperately need to get cheap in a in a stack of Royals Darron Blanco decent producer four home runs 24 Steals and just 127 plate appearances is actually pretty outstanding 312 on base if you could just manage to be a little bit more consistently in the lineup and consistently on basee this is a player who' be downright interesting he's always cheap he's always low own 3400 2800 he projects very well in the model just the way his numbers come through the other side um ends up in a decent number of Royal stacks and continues to pay them off at a fair price just a 97 WRC plus only a 138 ISO but the output has been tremendous in just 127 plate appearances I think he's entirely playable Garrett hamson low quality option with multi positions just in 277 on base a 61 WRC Plus and then we'll give Tyler Gentry a quick peek nope that's Gary drry nope that show atonic come on work with me Lads there we go Gentry's 25 in 423 played appearances in Triple A this season we were at 256 346 429 three points above average for run creation just a 173 IO 13 homers last year 16 homers and 14 steals uh 103 WRC plus 168 ISO seems very average you know capable average type player he has the dead men on both sites in the Outfield you could probably do worse if you're building a bunch of Royal Stacks than plugging them into the Outfield in a few and this is an infield heavy lineup anyway so you're not really hurting yourself just you know imagine it's Hunter rro and plug him into the lineup you're getting about that kind of production Astros lineup I don't think is in yet they're always at least playable and it's against Seth Lugo I don't think there's any anything wrong with going in that direction looks like it just dropped how about that nothing like timing in this world G thanks lar Larry see pointing out Houston lineup in and no bregman appreciate that uh note there buddy let me correct what's here had you not said that I probably would have just dropped in the uh projected one again and forgotten to change it Altuve alvz uh so it's Diaz the kartini getting a cleanup roll today that's interesting long as he still catch the moment he goes first base only he is no longer as interesting P you five oh this is where Hayward caught on huh I didn't realize that gaml seven this is a very different lineup and heyward's on the team all right cool so this configuration of the lineup um definitely interesting especially because you do have the first base eligibility on Jer Diaz on draftking so you can go Diaz kartini which has upside we've talked about kartini a bunch since he started getting uh some fairly regular plate appearances here the guy who's always hit the ball hard you know mid-40s hard hit rate is very very good especially from a player of this caliber and especially from a player who puts Bat on Ball pretty frequently this is not a high priced guy he he hits the ball significantly hard not a great Barrel rate not making extreme like plus plus quality contact he's got one of the pluses he's got you know one aspect of it but he's not a bad home run option six home runs and 191 plate appearances just a 147 ISO the output comes and goes some of those homers turn into outs some doubles turn into outs you know how it works but a good enough option for me at 3,400 hitting clean up today 2600 I think you can play them both on FanDuel you just go catch a first base for one util for the other and off and running Jose Altuve at second base is always an option 56 36 no problems with the prices 18 home runs 20 steals 297 351 442 just looking like another Jose Altuve season outside of the iso we've lost a little bit in the power Department it comes on a minor dip down to 6.7% barrels last year that was 83 the year before 77 we're not crazy far off the marks there we're drawing a few fewer walks as well but still getting on base at a three 51 clip so it's it's a little bit of a diminishment but it's really not all that noteworthy probably just amounts to happen stance in the long term with the player Jordan a 6138 up to 28 home runs on a major Rush after not having a bad year but kind of taking his time to get his numbers 313 400 563 251 ISO 168 WRC plus he's going to look like Jordan Alvarez by the end of the season 14.1% barrels 48.6% hard hits continues to be one of my favorite Power bats in the entire league um I mentioned Diaz but skipped over 46.4% hard hits this year from him he's been outstanding All Season 297 322 454 a play Everyday catcher option very very good 118 WRC plus not a monster home run hitter but definitely capable capable of driving in runs and another low strikeout low walk option so a lot of quality Bat on Ball Jeremy Peña playable at shortstop 46 3,000 across sits 14 homers 15 steals a solid mid-range season out of him no complaints about 270 313 401 from a short stop that's fine crater runs in a positive sense 3% above average so far if he gets to 2020 it'll look better in a historical sense 17.1% strikeouts and just 4% walks so again a lot of decently well struck balls in play not quite Elite but good 39% averages Jason Hayward hits the ball hard from the left side just six home runs four Steals and 199 chances this year 189 ISO but still a capable bat at a $2,500 $2,600 price if you're going to Astros he should probably be worth consideration for some cheap Outfield shares probably more so to me than Ben gaml over 59 played appearances he's got the better slash line 306 424 367 he's created runs 34% better than average and he's also hit the ball hard he strikes out a decent amount more but he's walking more this season they're both mix and match quality so I guess it depends sight by sight where you need to go for Price 25 fory vers 28 for gaml on DraftKings other way around on FanDuel 26 vers 22 for gaml so maybe that's how you consider those two options Jake Myers is having an okay year for power 12 home runs in 438 plate appearances nine stolen bases you know okay for a low-level player but just mix and match quality just another outfielder at those prices morisio dubon a mix and match caliber guy across multiple positions on both sides fber Astros bats Lugo and lugo's really again not all that much on the board for those those prices in this matchup and then the Royals for me are just kind of Mis not mismatched but doesn't look like a good spot with Frommer's ability to keep home runs in check and uh keep teams off the board Mets and the white socks both of these lineups are in Mets looking like they're pretty regular routine they definitely look like an appealing spot today showing a good amount of power upside lot of scoring potential nearly a five and a half run total the highest non- course field total on the board and the only game that's not in Co field but is also over five runs today join down against Jonathan Cannon very very getable pitcher with a 16.2% strikeout rate this season a 457 ER with a 468 xfit giving up just 3.33% home runs that's non- tragic home run number but it's also not good 37.5% hard hits 895 on the exit vo 7.8% barrels we're entirely average with those numbers nothing about that is exceptional and he's a flyball trajectory pitcher so these Mets home run bats the realistic ones could probably find some upside for power against we've got three guys in the confirmed version of the lineup over the magic number for Home Run upside there's also a Jesse Winker a JD Martinez lurking in there a Brandon nmo lurking in there any of those guys could easily hit a home run against Jonathan Cannon or at least deliver some extra base hit upside there a lot to like in this Mets line up top to bottom on the white sock side it's a lot less there's basically one guy to like and even he is not having a good season like we looked at the other day 14 homers and 21 steals in 323 plate appearan is great I appreciate the counting stats thank you Luba but the 276 on base is starting to worry me the 184 ISO is starting to worry worry me the 34.7% strikeout rate definitely worries me that's up from 289 last year which was already a little bit high for a god dra on a 5% walk rate he's walking a little bit more this year but he's barreling the ball less frequently little bit of an uptick and hard hit so compared to the last two years but it comes with all that downside in return challenging season even from lubab part of it probably comes from an unquantifiable idea of he's an emotional player and we've seen that clearly from him and he's just miserable being on this completely dead team in a Lost season in the prime years of his career so I get it but it's not like we're overcoming that tonight in these numbers so uninspired guy playing in front of 14 people in Chicago tonight uh I I totally understand it feeds the upside to me for Tyler McGill a little bit the fact that even he's bad and so high strikeout a lot of guys in this lineup are at least getable for strikeouts there are a couple soft spots like Nikki Lopez doesn't really strike out but he doesn't do anything with the bat he's totally non-threatening Andrew Ben and tendi is pretty non-threatening he did work his way up to 15 home runs now with a nice second half for power that's not really who he is Andrew V and Gavin sheets are both getable for K's Cory Lee 30 plus percent some high 20s back toward the bottom of the lineup Tyler McGill in his nine starts is 47 innings in the show this year 517 ra but a much tighter 423 X fit that's not great but it's certainly good enough to throw against the white socks 26.3% strikeout rate 10.5% walks is problematic but not against this team average of a 6.5% walk rate for the confirmed version of the White Sox lineup that includes Migel Vargas at 11% he's the only guy in double digits I'll leave out Jacob Amaya zero if we take out Miguel Vargas it drops from 65 to six that can't be oh that included the zero excuse me it drops from seven three with no zero and Vargas to back to 68 for those guys up there so this is not a team that draws a lot of walks so this is less problematic than it would otherwise be he's got a 12.3% swinging strike rate Stuff Plus loves the Arsenal if you need extra justification he has given up some barrels this year he has given up some hard hits this year it hasn't amounted to too many home runs it's a small sample in a bigger sample last year 126 and a third he was at 18.5% strikeouts with a similarly bad walk rate 470 ra with a 492 xfip moderate swinging strike rate moderate csw year before that in a similar sample to what we've seen so far this year though 255 6.5% walks 513 ra but a 335 xfit there's believably a talented pitcher here especially for strikeout upside and especially against this opponent for 75 on FanDuel 74 on DraftKings I think it's absolutely worth finding out and I stand by these projections I think Tyler Mill is good enough to beat this team or is he owned sure he's going to be popular give this a Reload so it pops up multiple if it means anything to you multiple RG experts appear to have tagged him as a picture that they like today four of them in their little colored dot system I don't know who's colored dot represents which expert uh he's defin the highest owned from the value range but he's also easily the most playable and honestly it's not problematic ownership for talent versus matchup versus you know versus spot and opportunity as far as uh angling in for cheap uh cheap slots for expensive bats that's a pretty good way to go he's probably going to end up above 20% on though I bet you I bet you they're a little bit low at worst it's a good spot at best it's it's a dynamite spot Mets bats against Canon like I said very much in play top three or four teams on the board on the projection on the top Stacks board one of the biggest totals on the Slate Frankie Lindor 56 38 still affordable at worst should be a $4,000 FanDuel shortstop should be a $6,000 draftking Short Stop 28 homers 25 steals a 220 ISO 134 WRC plus crushes the ball when he makes contact low strike out medium walk involved in everything this team does 1075 in the Home Run model today take advantage Brendan nmo 7.94 could be believably above at 10 if nmo had popped in there at 10 I wouldn't have questioned it against this pitcher he's got a 99.5% barrel 47.2% hard hits almost exactly the same contact numbers that he put up last year this year it's amounted to 18 home runs and a 177 ISO last year it was 24 home runs with a 193 in 132 additional plate appearances so you know call it 21 22 home runs once he gets to that total of plate appearances probably going to stay around this kind of an ISO we probably don't get to the 193 ISO I think that's more emblematic of just how wonky home runs can be a six home run difference or or call it you know three four home run difference on basically the exact same contact is exactly right year-over-year that's how home runs can sway just based on which ballpark did you make that contact in against which pitch you know which pitch in the sequence on what day but nimo's a really good hitter he gets on base he's very involved with a 116 WRC plus 4200 3200 easy to afford he's honestly extremely cheap on DraftKings that's too cheap I don't normally sing nmo praises I talk about him as you know he's a good player um but when he gets down to that level that makes him really appealing 42 is too cheap for Brandon nemmo against Jonathan Cannon Mark vantos 4700 you don't need to hear me say he's too cheap again 3,400 on FanDuel is more correct 266 ISO a 21 home run total in in 341 plate appearances a 143 WRC plus he's absolutely tremendous still multi-position on fandu you can put him in a lineup with Pete Alonzo or you can mix a match your way to one or or the other of them across multiple lineups Alonzo at 53400 totally affordable 44.9% hard hits 12% barrels 29 homers 228 ISO I still like Pete's chances to get the 35 homers before September's done or before you know the first few days of October whenever their season actually ends it's a tremendous power bat at first base for a very fair price against a terrible pitcher Jesse Winker 3431 12 home runs 14 steals a 152 ISO 122 WRC plus a very good very cheap left-handed run Creator in this lineup with speed with a little bit of power upside easy to play shares of Jesse WI iner today 4432 for JD Martinez and all his power all his Premium Contact is easy to reach a 186 ISO shows a little bit of a drop off in terms of output but the contact is still there monster Barrel rate very good hard hit rate both down a little year-over-year but perfectly fine in a vacuum great numbers 15 homers and 442 424 chances Jeff mcneel is skippable or playable if you need a cheap positional option just a slap hitter Francisco Alvarez has a little bit more than he's given us this season any given SLI he gives you a tremendous shot at a catcher home run for a cheap price just down at 5.01 in the model kind of reflecting the dip this year though Harrison Bader mix and match quality option 10 home runs 15 steals that's a very Harrison Bader s kind of a season over 375 play appearances he's okay the white socks are entirely skippable if you go to them it's Luis Rober off the top they'll be low owned if people are taking a big chunk of Tyler Mill like I said I expect him to be over 20% on DraftKings normally people you'd be saying all right maybe it's a contri maybe we attack the Tyler Mill ownership and blah blah blah I think this team has succeeded like three times all year doing that yes if you build 150 lineups a day every day and you play that approach every day and you have to continually do it otherwise the math just completely crumbles underneath it then it's playable if that is not your approach it is very very very ugly to play that even if you're just taking AA I only one line up day it's a lotto ticket this is a terrible baseball team they don't H for power they don't get on base they don't create runs I'll leave out the negative 100 because that's a little unfair the guys with reasonable plate appearance samples on the average are 24% worse than average creating runs everybody on this team is 20 on the average is 24% worse than the average player run creation is your most important aspect of baseball terrible team historically bad lob's your top priority 4234 in a vacuum is a fairly cheap price on DraftKings it's very very cheap 34 on FanDuel is Affordable but honestly not as cheap as he should be given the mediocre output that he's had this season he's surrounded by bad hitters Nikki Lopez is terrible off the top and shouldn't be on a Major League roster right now let alone hitting the lead off for a team Ben and tendi 3127 15 homers 15 home run total for Andrew vaugh as well they're both cheap but they're both bad 82 and a 91 WRC plus this year Gavin sheets for 2826 is a left-handed bat that you can throw at Tyler Mill he's at eight home runs this season uh 21.6% strikeouts at least is somewhat notable for being low strikeout in this lineup Cory Lee a mix and match catcher at best 10 home runs but a really bad line otherwise 35% worse than average creating runs Dom Fletcher is at least cheap Deadman in the Outfield um moderate contact over the last couple of Seasons 2100 in the outfield on FanDuel no home runs no steals in 159 chances this season I like his chances to not finish to finish the season with no home runs and no steals let's see if he can get there Migel Vargas and Jacob aay at the bottom of the line of bay is not even on the Slate and Vargas is entirely skippable this is all things Mets Mets bats Tyler McGill in that order neither of the aspects of the white socks for me Blue Jays and the twins Pablo Lopez drawn a very solid projection on the other side Kevin gausman understandable you know one might expect Gman to here and there have a good good day um but it's definitely a pretty bad opponent to throw him at oh look at that Kyle Tucker could return next week good for him history's worst Shin bruise so we've got the Twins lineup in we don't have the Blue Jays but you know it doesn't really feel like a day to find out with Kevin gausman uh against the twins who are a very good run creating lineup 88 on DraftKings is more playable than he is on fandu at 10 and5 I don't really know how they arrived at that 410 ER on the season a 407 X FIP just 22.2% strikeouts this year moderately good swinging strike rate but nothing to write home about a bad csw moderate power allowed over the magic over the threshold at the threshold over the threshold this is a bit lucky at 3.15% probably should be over 4% home runs allowed so so far it's not been pitching all that well and again the twins are just good there is a 23.3% uh confirmed strikeout rate for this lineup so maybe he sees a bit of an uptick on that a return to form would be nice last year he struck out 31.1% year before 28.3% was a dominant swinging strike rate pitcher very good csw pitcher a lot of that has just disappeared this season as Larry mentioned uh like an hour and a half ago now uh is down about a mile and a mile an hour mile and a half an hour on his for seamer and that's been getting hit a lot just seems problematic could be indicative of something going wrong in the arm that he's not talking about could be just you know some wear and tear on a pitcher who's piled up a decent amount of innings over the last couple of years but yeah he's off form and the price even on DraftKings doesn't really reflect the current form and the opponent Pablo at 86 108 is also expensive but at least you're getting a good strikeout rate of 264 is's a low walk 5.4% 426 ER is comparable higher than Kevin gausman but you see the difference in the xfip 710 of a run difference in their xips Pablo Lopez is the better of the two pitchers and he's pitching better this season he's also got a 13.3% swinging strike rate 28% csw is better strike thrower this year he's running into a few rough spots as well and they tend to happen in big DFS spots feel like a lot of days where he's blown up have been on days where it's like well Pablo's by far the best pitcher today so I guess we got to go there and then it's like yeah Pablo allowed six runs seven runs those are his worst two starts of the year I think yeah seven in the Nationals and then six twice once against Texas once against Houston other than those starts at a five Run game earlier in the year he really hasn't been bad there a couple of dings with like four here three there overall though some pretty good strikeout total games a lot of games where he pitches fairly deep six seven innings last time out seven Innings faced 26 hitters struck out nine walked just one no runs on four hits against St Louis that's a monster start six Innings of six hit no run ball against the Rangers at Texas the game before that just three strikeouts three walks but again six hits no runs I'll take that book me the quality start we'll Duke out the win against Kevin gausman six Innings with a win and quality start against Kansas City the outing before that one struck out five gave up a home run but just too earned on uh six hits not a bad stretch of games against three pretty decent opponents 86 lot more playable on DraftKings downright appealing over on the DraftKings slate against a not high strikeout but getable Blue Jays lineup not intimidating Blue Jays lineup on fanuel at 108 it's a lot more difficult to justify there are better options I imagine that would render him pretty low owned over there so you can fire away on that basis but that becomes very difficult to reach and if I'm going all the way up to the 108 ceiling I might as well just carry on and find 112 to get to Blake Snell but he is the next most highly projected pitcher on the FanDuel slate and he's not the next most expensive before I found the 400 extra for snow by the way I'd probably just go to frer at 11,000 despite the projection difference but Lopez easily on the board and probably will fall a little bit by the wayside by comparison ownership wise to those players no Blue Jays lineup yet but presumably George Springer up at the top 19 home runs 14 steals a 166 ISO 96 WRC plus has really pulled things together in the last you know month or so but it's still not a great season out of George Springer compared to expectations but there are some things to like the high Barrel rate is something to like the moderate strikeout rate the good walk rate decent but not spectacular home run and stolen base totals but he's at least been contributing to lineups 473 to not exactly star caliber pricing so he's he's a little discounted varo 4132 just another outfielder 16 homers 10 steals pretty bad in terms of average on base the slash Line's ugly 100 WRC plus does have a 191 ISO that's solid in terms of extra base hit output but it comes on only moderate contact it comes with you know a few wonky home runs in there not a big Dalton varell fan V Guero 5839 across SS appropriately priced slashing 324 398 558 in another great season excellent for contact 234 ISO creating runs 68% better than average nothing at all to dislike about Vlad gero 423,000 for Spencer haritz a bad I like in this lineup 346 on base percentage he's involved in a lot since getting regular opportunities 280 pretty good plate appearances the home runs are unrealistic to expect to hold up uh the pace he's not much of a power bat but he's a very good averaging on base bat probably not getting the average out of him that we will over time if he holds down a role going forward with this team Addison Barger mix and match quality for a cheap price in the middle of the lineup in the uh in the infield with Outfield eligibility Alejandro Kirk not a great catcher option five home runs 87 WRC plus Joey lero I've been expecting more from four home runs three Steals and 83 WRC plus has the rep and the prospect reputation of uh of being a high quality bat and he is pretty cheap at the bottom of the lineup Lefty to throw into the mix against Pablo who you not dirty for power but not unhitable either 361 one% home run rate allowed this year so if you're stacking Blue Jays low pero is probably my most interesting hitter after harwitz in the four spot Ernie Clement is just low strikeout low walk so he puts a lot of balls in play but he doesn't really hit him hard 10 home runs 10 steals just a 286 on base I'd trade that power output for the on for a better on base percentage he'd have a positive WRC plus will Wagner hit the ball really hard so far 48 pretty good play appearances home run on the board mix it match quality at worst 2727 across sight second Pace on DraftKings first base on FanDuel on the twin stack Willie Castro 4229 across sides continues to be a better play on FanDuel just because of the multi-position eligibility low priced on both sites 11 home runs 12 steals solid 338 on base a very good correlated score good table setter for the actually appealing bats in this lineup Trevor LNO is fairly priced at 313,000 for a guy with a 44.7% hard hit rate 10% barrels over 319 plate appearances got a 195 ISO he's hit 14 home runs that's not bad output in that many played appearances for that cheap a price especially on DK 31 on DK is not the same as 3,000 on FanDuel that's a very low price on DraftKings L hting second that's a good consideration and this is not unrealistic contact output look at the numbers from the last two years right that is a good power bat cheap cheap power on DK Royce Lewis at 50 and by the way combining him with walner cheap prices just makes them more appealing Royce Lewis at 52 which is totally fair 33 on FanDuel 15 home runs at 295 ISO 11.71 in the Home Run model against gausman today walner has a 26% Barrel rate with 57.1% hard hits 10 home runs and 169 plate appearances A 333 ISO potentially monstrous power bat from the left side of the plate lot of upside for the 3600 on DraftKings I still like him at 31 on FanDuel but again that is not the same discount as you're getting on DK the twins are a great value option I don't know how I had them rated out on the uh on the site but they're looking more appealing as I'm looking at that on DK for uh just the extreme value that you get Edward julan at 2700 he's a second baseman for one so that's ideal positioning he's only 25 on FanDuel yeah 244 plate appearances he's not been great this year seven home runs and six deals that's okay it's not terrible output for counting stats 217 average isn't great but a 320 on base there's nothing really wrong with that the slug isn't where you want it neither as the iso just a 96 WRC plus and 34.4% strikeouts but he's drawing walks he was high strikeout very high walk last year and last year he hit 16 home runs in 408 played appearances had a 195 ISO there's power there in Edward Jan he's very cheap at 27 um let's not block short stop with Willie Castro and go LNO Lewis walner julan and then we can't put oim on that third then though that's your worst positional conflict on this team that sucks I wanted Jose Manda but positionally black with Royce Lewis but I'll take Carlos Sana for 33 even cheaper or you could easily have just gone 42 for I just don't like blocking Short Stop on DraftKings with Wily C Ro so this is probably the best configuration and your average price for a stack that includes Royce Lewis is 3580 I know we've done this recently with the twins but it's worth talking about this is a really cheap pretty good baseball team against a pitcher who's been scuffling this year the average WRC Plus for the ninan lineup for the twins on average this is they're basically the opposite of the White Sox on average they are creating runs 20 3% better than the average player and they cost basically what the white socks do no I can't change that I what's our our ninan average price for the white so for the twins is 3600 it'll be cheaper for the White Soxs who the [ __ ] were the white sock playing completely lost there they are the eight man average for the white socks is 2850 that's not a giant discount for that's not a giant difference for the extreme quality difference there you're talking about nearly a 50o swing of WRC Plus on the average for every player in the lineup the twins are really cheap let me continue going um so lulan very very playable at that price Jose Miranda for 4,000 is extremely playable 26 on fandel extremely playable slashing 298 339 471 creating runs 27% better than average not an extreme power hitter but a very good bat who hits the ball hard typically it's in the ballpark but a very good doubles hitter a guy who's very frequently involved in their run creation 14.1% strikeouts and 4.6% walks that's an ideal bat caros Santana strikeout 17.2% 10.7% walks a 329 on base 18 home runs against a decent slash Line 183 to ISO 14 WRC plus Jeffers has 20 home runs as a cheap catcher that people just don't go to down lineup there's nothing wrong with including Ryan Jeffers at the eight spot as a catcher power bat catchers frequently put zeros in your lineup anyway so you don't worry about the lack of the loss of a a quarter point of a potential plate appearance just take the cheap upside Austin Martin playable as a mix and match wraparound guy twins are really interesting today so naturally QE the complete Game shutout 10 strikeout game for Kevin Gman now uh let's go twins bats uh yeah twins bats Pablo Blue Jays bats Kevin gausman it is Loosely a four corners game but I like everything Blue Jays less than I like everything twins uh 6563 for Austin gomber if if you feel like playing them against the orol I wish you luck 470 447 xfip 16.9% K bad strike thrower giving up a 4.48% home run rate on over the line over the line and Over The Line contact marks flyball trajectory on average targetable everybody in the brothers going to be going to the Orioles even Roth was writing about the Orioles today they're extremely playable they're going to be very expensive they're going to be very popular Rocky lineup is in the Orioles lineup is not on the other side of the game I do think Albert suades between the two guys is a more playable pitcher 6,200 on DraftKings he's got a 3180 ra on the season but a 457 X FIP over his 18 starts as 102 Innings 18.8% strikeouts it's not egregiously low but that's below average 88.1% walks is right on the line excuse me uh just a 21.9% csw is the most interesting aspect of of his numbers here that's despite nearly a 10% swinging strike rate that's a really bad csw it's actually surprising he's not walking more hitters not really giving up much in terms of barrels hard hits are fine exit vow is fine the Home Run number is actually maybe even a little bit of happen stance to have it that low but that's a spectacularly low home run against number but now we're pitching in cor field so there a lot of downside even with 62 268 on the board as far as the price goes I think you could probably do better for Value looking at bats let me see if we got the Orioles on off of Underdog it's such a big team today I'd like to have it but we don't oh that's interesting sotic has McGill lower than uh than you would have thought lower owned or lower projected if McGill's low own I mean that's just a better and better opportunity Sears might get a boost no Seager in the Texas lineup thanks for that no l Monty Monty's right in line with me every day on on Mark Vos after Vos puts up 30 plus DraftKings points DK will have him under 4500 by Sunday lower owned interesting I think that's a really good spot uh I am uh I'm surprised they've got him low or lower I think he cracks 20 I really do I promised actually to uh to mention it because maybe they're they're looking at the uh you know lack of outings in the show in August but August 6 in Triple A uh five innings of four run ball against Boston's pretty decent affiliate 18th of August AUST he went seven and two3 against the Nationals affiliate gave up four ear but who cares seven and two3 is what I care about I care about the potential to give me six Innings against the worst team in baseball in that game against the N the Nationals affiliate with the four ear runs and eight hits that he allowed over seven and two3 he also struck out 11 hitters he's got multiple seven strikeout games over the last uh month in change a six strikeout game in his most recent outing that was against the ray affiliate on the 24th four and 2/3 of one hit ball struck out six two walks I imagine the pitch count got away from him in that one 18 batters face four and two3 he was pitching really well uh but I bet there was some inefficiency in there to come out of the game early yeah that makes him more interesting if he's low the lower his ownership gets the more appealing he becomes and the less reason anybody in their right mind would have to consider the White Soxs so Orioles lineup not in yet but presumably Austin Slater in the leadoff spot against the Lefty playable um no no tax on him at 3,000 on DraftKings 2900 on FanDuel so entirely playable if you're inclined to use him when he's in there uh for platoon reasons fire away 213 327 277 kind of empty slash line empty counting stats over 171 plate appearances he's just right-handed not a great option up there I tend to skip him but he's playable very cheap to help offset the extreme pricing to follow 5700 for adley expensive but a dynamite might catch option 153 ISO 18 home runs and a 110 WC Plus on the year puts the ball in play regularly draws his walks very very good option not really paying up for him on dra on FanDuel at 36 a little bit taxed on DraftKings at 57 Gunners they're really expensive spot 68 50 uh 45 33 home runs 15 stolen bases a 257 ISO 154 WRC plus expensive for a reason Anthony Santander should probably be 6,000 on the draftking Slate $4,100 fand was correct 38 home runs on the board for him this season 278 ISO 17.63 I believe he's trailing only Aaron judge in the Home Run model today looks pretty tremendous coming in course him and Gunner are your top two priority bats in that lineup but everybody top to bottom basically regardless of who's wearing an Orioles uniform today pretty playable Lo menz for 3931 just five home runs just three steals a 0096 I so it's a really disappointing 315 plate appearances even if you take injury and everything else out of the equation is just that's not who ELO am menz is it's not even reflective of the contact he's made this year 88.2% Barrels in 49.1% hard hits you should have better results than what those numbers are so it's just a lot of bad luck in there a lot of happen stancey just a terrible Year from a from a good player so I'll buy the upside at Coors Field if he goes unpopular somehow at those prices there's no tax whatsoever for Kors for aloya menz today that's a dynamite spot Colton cows are having a great year extreme contact 20 home runs on the board and 461 plate appearances a 205 ISO 54 not unreasonably priced on DK 35 on FanDuel perfectly fine 8.91 in the Home Run model you could have easily gotten him above 10 today Emmanuela mixing match quality rone rudas mixing match with a little bit of power upside for a cheap price and then Jackson holiday very good young player 4100 3200 I know the results aren't really there at the major league level yet but today he gets to face Austin gomber if he's in the lineup uh in Kor field so I feel like we give him a chance for the upside given the pedigree of the kid 41 is super cheap at second bacing cor field 32 on FanDuel was entirely playable and shortstop eligibility to the equation for the Rockies Charlie Blackman for 5,000 feels a bit pricey on DK 33 a little more reasonable on FanDuel nine home runs six deals and 87 WRC plus just a good spot in the lineup ahead of uh their better bats facing Albert Suarez a getable spot but probably not the ideal starting point Asel Tovar is more interesting 58 is expensive 35 is also expensive but he's hit 21 home runs this year he's got a 196 ISO despite being Four Points below average for run creation this is a pretty good year out of Ezekiel Tovar nice step forward for the kid Ryan McMahon 5134 17 homers a 160 ISO very Ryan McMahon looking kind of year in the end here but definitely playable and probably still one of their better Lefty bats Brenton Doyle a lot of production out of him this year 5900 feels very expensive but he's hit 22 home runs stolen 25 bases he's got a 207 ISO a 112 WRC plus how about that he's a case study and how to actually price a player up by the way he's not been as good as Mark vantos I get that vantos is not playing a course field today but still uh Brendan Rogers 4700 2700 across sights 12 home runs on the year slashing 274 319 419 just eight points below average for run creation but he's very cheap and he fills second base cheaper on FanDuel than on DraftKings for sure basically the entirety of the rocky lineup is a little bit better on FanDuel um which is what's interesting about Rogers as I've continued to say through the season is the 44.5% hard hit rate he's up to 12 home runs it's not a great TW home run total in 461 opportunities but it's not completely empty 144 isos not great it's empty is but there's there's a hitter here I continue to feel that and when you get him at Coors Field for especially this kind of a price at the position that's a very good option JK mix a match quality 4525 but affordable considering the cor's field of it seven home runs five Steals and 289 plate appearances guy's been around for a little while um you get okay upside from them from time to time it's just the cores and the low price of it that fills them in into the Outfield Michael T has got a ton of power 16.8% barrels 49.2% hard hits 21 homers in 347 plate appearances a 262 ISO he's at 52 not bad at first base 34 first base and outfield on FanDuel highly playable one of my favorite players on this team and a 10.46 to lead the team in the Home Run model do not skip Michael Talia if you're building Rocky slimes he's their at worst third priority bat Tim toovar and Doyle and then get to whoever else you get I happen to think that bottom of this lineup is kind of interesting with him down there and with Jordan Beck down there we've talked about Beck a few times so far hasn't delivered a ton in 126 plate appearances just two home runs and three steals but he's a high-end kid for them he's a kid they expect a lot from and he's got good minor league numbers 3325 for the talent is extremely extremely cheap at Coors Field give me anybody anybody capable of making it to the major league level and price them like that at Coors Field against a pitcher like this I'll at least consider him and this kid's a high pedigree kid no issues going to that even Jake Stallings honestly over 240 plate appearances from the bottom of the lineup as a backup catcher eight home runs a 185 ISO medium contact there's nothing special about the contact but he draws some walks he stays involved he's got a 115 WRC Plus in these limited opportunities he's no Allstar but he's not price like it that's a nice discount and he's again going to be the lower own side of this these guys still do play at Coors Field they're still facing a getable pitcher odds are the Rockies are going to bat in the ninth inning so we don't even care about the home team aspect of it I'm pretty sure they're going to be trailing and if they're winning the game so much the better so no issues with it I think the Rockies are interesting and I threaten you guys with that I think opening day that we were going to talk about the Rockies more this year we've done so some success some failure but we've hit on we were early on a guy like Talia I think we're there today with the Rockies I really do orioles bats way above the Rockies bats but the Rockies bats are damn sure on the board if you're taking a picture out of this one go to Albert Suarez but don't take a picture out of this one Mariners in the Angels didn't mean to skip them uh so I'll get uh aletti on the projections it sounded like they did drop them in DraftKings apologies for not having him projected I did mention at the beginning of the show he's not pitched above the a level yet in Philadelphia where he started the season uh he began the year in high he's 20 it was 21 years old to start the season excuse me 22 to start the season 68 Innings he made 13 starts had a 318 ER with a 315 xfit and had a very interesting 34.5% strikeout rate against 10.2% walks moved up to double a made two starts there 10 Innings struck out a solid handful 30.4% of whatever however many hitters he faced in the two starts and then has made four starts since moving to the angels organization also in double A for them 17 and a third 31.6% strikeout in The Limited sample 11.4% walks 519 ER with a 290x fit I admittedly this morning did not know this pitcher's name but it does seem like there's Talent here first major league pitcher ever to uh to make it to the Show born and raised in Italy came into the year ranked fifth organizationally I don't know if they updated that for the move to LA I don't know that he was the Philly's fifth ranked organizational Prospect though um but decent you know decent scouting reports seems like he's got good stuff the results are obviously there just aggressively promoted on a bad baseball team that's got a habit of aggressively promoting players and putting them in bad situations where they spend a lot of time catching up so know that that's on the table a little bit if you go there on DK and I think he was priced in the seventh so also understand that that's on the table it's a great Target form him Mariners have been targetable all season long 25.7% uh projected strikeout rate projected lineup strikeout rate JP Crawford back at the top of the lineup in the projected form anyway do we have confirmed we don't Crawford's not been the player that he was this year nonthreatening but at least is you know if you go back to last year pretty good option to lead off for the Mariners but again good Target for the kid to make his debut against George Kirby 9894 seems like a great option today going up against an angels team projected lineup has a 26.6% strikeout rate they could be a little bit frisky for power from time to time but overall not not an appealing team at all uh I'll take out the seven top eight hitters in the lineup have an average WR plus of 85 so on the average they're 15 points worse than the average player for run creation couple of interesting home run totals 17 for Taylor Ward most notably 20 with 23 steals over 500 chances for Zack Netto he's actually having a pretty decent season up to a 199 ISO 114 WC plus still just cost 46 3,000 across sides he's playable but I mean this is a targetable targetable Angels team with a pitcher like George Kirby 23 and a half% strikeout rate against 3.1% walks Elite strikeout to walk ratio 348 ra with a 352 xvip 11.4% swinging nice uptick and strikeout potential for him today fairly priced across both sites love the opportunity for Kirby today out of the expensive or more expensive pitchers he's probably the most appealing at least on FanDuel Warrior ranks third uh by projection and behind all these guys by Price there's Five Guys ahead of George Kirby pricewise on the FanDuel site today he's pitching against the angels that doesn't really feel overly correct been a few bumps in the road lately maybe that's why the price taken a bit of a dip Last Time Out Just 4 and2 third he give up nine hits but just three earned runs only struck out three that was against San Francisco disappointing outing there start before that six Innings two earned runs on four hits five strikeouts one home run allowed at Pittsburgh not a great start but not a total meltdown the total meltdown came against the Tigers the game before that one three and two3 five strikeouts was okay but three home runs allowed six earned 11 total runs allowed on 12 hits in three and two3 face 25 headers disaster a lot of it not his fault apparently but a disaster obviously but this is a good pitcher he's very fairly priced on DraftKings he's just more you know up toward the top end of the board second highest price pitcher it looks like but very reasonable by comparison to snell at 102 there's a nice little offset with comparable ceiling if you're going to Mariners against the rookie I don't think it's a terrible idea they've disappointed all season long but there is raw ability in this lineup Crawford when when last we saw him 339 plate appearances was it 202 298 343 this is a player who last year got on base at a 380 clip it's a dramatic drop off in quality from JP Crawford 4328 against what does look like an effective Lefty with good stuff maybe not ideal to start off a mariner stack probably playable but blocking off Short Stop Lefty Lefty there maybe not the best option 5131 for Julio is a little bit cheap but only 12 home runs 18 steals 253 308 362 continues to be a disappointing year out of Julio Cal Raleigh ton of power 12.32 impossible to suppress in the Home Run model 27 homers just a 303 on base 109 WRC plus with a 215 ISO tremendous you know All or Nothing power bat with a little bit of a walk rate to keep them on base somewhat but that's not a good on base it's the only thing the walks are the only thing keeping him as a positive run Creator but he is a tremendous home run hitter and positionally he's one of the better power bats utos a 4500 3,000 for the Ross skills the 18 home runs the 20 steals him and Julio are both Elite in terms of raw counting stat production but both of them are having bad years Arosa is at least getting on base at a 333 clip so it keeps him at a 115 WRC plus he's been a lot more involved than a lot more of a run Creator this year here despite Julio hitting for better average so that's a great illustration of why on base matters a hell of a lot more than average does they're both affordable they're key bats in this stack if you choose to go to the Mariners today neither one's been good but both are good Cory palano for 36 28 13 home runs a Lost season for Bano he's mix and match quality I guess at those prices he's not at all expensive but you're just playing the memory of a once good good bat Justin Turner 3126 seven homers on the season makes a match a best 2724 for Haner 12 home runs pretty Lost season out of him Dylan MOA 3828 nine homers 27 steals 104 WRC plus just a correlated scoring option maybe a little slight bit more than that if you catch them on the right day but most of those right days came earlier in the year Victor robless 269 338 394 115 WRC plus 20 steals 4 homers he's been all right over the 198 plate appearances wondering if the Mariners are starting to regret the quick trigger on the contract extension though on the angel side of things talked about Warden nto already when I was uh breaking down the pitchers jumping to Nolan Chanel at 3627 he's a playable bat if you choose to stack Angels against George Kirby I just don't think it's all that good of a stacking spot out of the bad teams against good pitchers though they might actually rank a little bit more highly than some of the others I still prefer probably the A's I prefer the Pirates but the Pirates aren't facing a good pitcher um yeah like like Ward Netto Shanel I don't mind if I can get oh happppy in there with those guys and then take my chances on like an Adele or a kavadas at the bottom of the lineup for a home run as a value stack that angle's okay and if you consider that Kirby's been a little bit more shaky in a couple recent starts that's not how I would consider it but if that's how you choose to attack it that does put them on the board but I don't think there's anything wrong with Kirby I think it's just a little happen stance a couple of minor blips in an otherwise Stellar season Ren is almost entirely unplayable 71 WC plus six stolen bases and doesn't want to be here just contractually obligated 4,100 2,800 for Logan ohy 5.90 in the Home Run Model 17 on the board this season 165 ISO one point below average for run creation but making killer contact for a cheap catcher you can do worse than that but again a good pitcher on the mound who really doesn't allow a lot of power Kirby's also a great at inducing weak and medium cont 35.4% hard hits 88.8 milph of exava this year Mickey Maniacs just bed 2900 2500 not even good for counting stat output this season really limited reasons to play him at all Brandon jury's even worse this year 153 239 202 two home runs at 27 WRC Plus for the veteran Joe Adell 18 home runs 15 steals at least you get counting stat upside pretty big Peaks any given slate but a lot of valleys as well making good contact pretty regularly though 11.6% barrels and 4 4.4% hard hits on the season it's not bad over 428 plate appearan we just need to find better output better results we need the ball to land in better spots on the field niiko kavadas has hit the ball extremely hard since coming up it's amounted to just one home run in 33 plate appearances with a 182 200 slash line and a 7 WRC plus so there a lot of bad in with the good so far he struck out in half of his 33 plate appearances more than half at 51.5% um but he is a three true outcomes hitter with legitimate power upside so at 2221 if you need a super cheap bat you're already going to Angels he's in consideration George Kirby way up top Mariners bats aot uh on DraftKings probably slots in above the Angels bats and then it's the Angels bats Dodgers with Kershaw on the mound Diamondbacks answering with Zach gallon gall's been up and down this season but overall 365 ra with a 378 x FIP a decent 22.7% strikeout rate but that puts him about the average so does the walk rate 10.5% swinging 27.7% csw has been good at limiting home runs but it's probably a little bit lucky considering we're over the threshold there there the barrel rate is okay the launch angle is okay but not Stellar so maybe a little bit lucky it's probably be in like the three range but not a atrociously bad for power either he's an okay pitcher he's he he probably rates out ultimately a lot like what I say about Jose BOS all the time which is he's slightly above average and can be a B+ pitcher on the right day work his way to maybe like an A minus pitcher against the right opponent on the right day but also has a lot of B minus C+ kind of days in the occasional F against an opponent like the Dodgers we lean more toward the C's and the and the failing grades six Innings last time out against the Red Sox at Fenway Park though he struck out nine walked four in that one but only gave up two hits no earned runs so that's a pretty good start four earned runs in five innings to Tampa Bay the start before that three strikeouts two walks also three strikeouts and two walks just four and a third against Philly only give up one five hits but not a good start overall low strikeout game against Cleveland not at 92 on fandu against the Dodgers maybe at 84 If You're Building 50 you throw it a few times but pretty limited option there is a little bit of seiling there as a low own just angle into the Slate for not an unfair price I might up give a little bit more of a nudge if you're building 150 you can get to a little bit more than like just a couple like I said you know 10% would probably not be completely wrong it gives you 15 shots at it I think he's I think he's probably worth about that at 90 to on fandu I really don't I think he's got a better ceiling than what his median projection looks like even against the Dodgers but it's not a good spot not a good opponent uh kersha at 8577 I just don't love targeting the uh Diamond Backs with lefties and I don't love that he's got any kind of ability to pitch more than six Innings he faced 25 hitters the last time out over five innings gave up five earned five strikeouts two walks I don't know that they push him I really don't I think they'd rather have him for the playoff run than for a random seven inning start down the stretch here I forgot to change Will Smith I got to do that so at 77 the num like numbers and and who he is and what his career has been wise he's playable here but there's better upside spots there's better value spots at 85 on DraftKings he just feels mispriced the FanDuel buy is actually the better one 372 ra with a 407 X FIP a 19% strikeout rate in his 29 Innings his six starts as he builds back up to form but again I think all of this is just building him up for the playoffs so at best mid quality today greatly prefer the bats showy Otani is a beast 74800 42 home runs and 42 stolen bases a 168 WRC plus 321 ISO for the second best player in baseball Not a Bad season for a guy who's rehabbing a torn UCL in his elbow Mookie Betts 64100 a 149 WRC plus 1312 in the home runs and steals Department slashing an elite 301 395 490 for the season mook's ridiculously good second base eligibility continues on FanDuel you can also put him at short stop over there but he's fantastic at second Freddy 54 34 nothing wrong with him at those prices 284 382 475 not quite the outrageous slash line that we're accustomed to seeing from this hitter but he's getting up there in age now and we can forgive a little bit of a slip in things we don't care about like batting average still an outrageously good on base great run Creator hits for a decent amount of power 191 ISO is pretty good it's not 200 plus but it's good enough 17 home runs for the from the Lefty and it's still Freddy Freeman super low strikeout pretty high walk rate he's an excellent option at the position tandas 4,800 3500 8.30 in the Home Run model today he's put 28 on the board this year 222 ISO up against a pitcher who you know is again is giving up contact but not home runs seems like a guy who could turn some pretty good contact into a pretty long home run Gavin Lux Mi him match quality at worst at 3428 on across sits at second base 10 home runs a 142 ISO 97 WRC plus as he continues to pull the season together Will Smith 4600 very very playable catcher on DraftKings 31 on FanDuel 16 home runs a 180 ISO 106 WRC plus hits the ball tremendously hard striking out at a 20 % clip this year that's higher than it's been over the last couple of Seasons but it's still entirely manageable he's walking 9.6% of the time not bad Max Muny immense immense power upside three true outcomes hitter nearly a 30% strikeout rate in his 195 play appearances last year at 264 12.8% walks to offset it last year it was 14.7 getting on at a 328 clip creting runs 23% better than average a Titanic 272 ISO 11 home runs on the board and 195 chances he still is Max Muny don't sleep on him at 4500 DraftKings is asleep at the wheel with that price 36 on FanDuel is about right 45 is absurdly cheap for Max mon on DraftKings against even against Zach Gallen Tommy Edmond 3125 entirely playable with his multi-position eligibility and his good history of providing counting stats for DFS he's not a bad option I like him better when he leads off for teams he's not going to be doing much of that with this Dodgers team but he's very playable Short Stop outfield for a cheap price second base eligible also on FanDuel basically everybody on this team is second base eligible on FanDuel Miguel Ras mix and match quality having a good year but doesn't give you a ton 108 WRC plus it's a good Miguel roas here but again not not a great amount of output for uh DFS scoring on the dback side you get raldo Pomo and is pretty good on base and correlated scoring ability from the leadoff spot in this projected version of the lineup Randle gritch hitting two against a lefty capable bat 45.8% hard hits 88.3% barrels low strikeout just five home runs more of a another Drive of the baseball line drive hitter than he is a home run hitter but cheap 3100 2300 playable if you're going to Diamond Backs but as much as I don't necessarily want Kershaw here I don't necessarily want Diamond Backs either Kershaw's still got the ability to keep this team off the board over whatever Innings he pitches ludus gyo 413000 across site 16 Homer seven steals a 149 ISO 104 WRC plus not unfairly priced everybody in this team is pretty cheap nobody above the 5,000 Mar what do we got here 3600 average price going down lineup obviously you lose some opportunity with these guys Corbin Carrol up Tick to 5300 in a lefty Lefty hasn't mattered to them lately they're really cheap it's a good starter but again kind of limited artificially and then a good Bullpen to face after Kershaw comes out and the Diamondbacks are missing several of their you know most important bats but it's not a bad lineup for the money compares favorably at worse with some of the value teams on the board and we know we can get more production out of this team than than some of those Josh Bell's just okay at 3927 he's not unfairly priced he's got 18 home runs he's only a medium strength power bat but he's all right Jake McCarthy 4731 having a decent year eight8 home runs 20 steals a very good 366 on base and creating runs 25% better than average he gets involved from the Five Spot Jor Suarez BigTime power upside and uh good upside for a home run against the Lefty excuse me told you I was going to burp bacon into the microphone 20 home runs on the season of 192 ISO Corbin Carroll we're up to 17 homers and 21 steals up to a 188 ISO a 100 WRC plus as he continues his Torrid stretch in the second half here 18.3% strikeouts 10.1% barrrel uh walks there's less and less to dislike about the numbers as the season concludes here for Carol Kevin Newman 22-25 just a mix of match Talent at the middle infield spots and then uh at at catcher just a low-end option at the position let's go Dodgers bats Diamondbacks bats Kershaw Gallum actually it's probably gallon Kershaw close enough to not matter last game up the Marlins the Giants at the very beginning of the throw show since I didn't get to do it when he pitched uh on what was it the 25th that was what that was yeah that was Sunday I didn't get to talk about him on Sunday and I was kind of intrigued by the very low price in a match up against the Cubs who do give you a little bit of strikeout Potential from time to time I was intrigued because he had been on a decent run of starts in the minor leagues where he really wasn't giving up earned runs it was June two starts in June four starts through July and then three August starts all in Triple A for the uh Marlins affiliate or sorry for initially for the Cleveland affiliate in the June and 1 July start and then with the Marlins couple of those addings were short a couple of them were in relief but he was very good at limiting runs in those relief appearances and then four innings in on July 21st just two runs allowed four innings in uh on July 27th against Baltimore's triaa affiliate which is essentially you know well maybe not after the promotions but still got some high-end kids on it I was going to say they're essentially you know at least could have like the white sock probably better but that's changed a little bit with the promotions and the trades um but still a decent AAA opponent two in runs four Innings pitched three strikeouts not a terrible outing in a limited role five innings after that against Phillies tripa AFF affiliate shut them out one hitter over five struck out five five innings against the Detroit Triple A affiliate one ear run allowed 19 hitters face four hits four strikeouts and then the uh got promoted off of a start on the 14th against St Lewis's affiliate went five and a third two ear runs allowed struck out six in that one so across theboard uptick in production wasn't really struggling with walks which is one of the you know bad things you'll see in his numbers or you can see on the screen at 133% so far came up made a start against the Diamond Backs went just four and two thirds gave up five earned runs struck out just two walk four gave up two home runs five earned runs total on three hits that's not a good start but then came back again like I said came into last week and I think it was a about the same price I think it was like 66 65 somewhere in that range just made a lot work on a short Sunday slate not necessarily as enthusiastic on a deep slate where we've got a lot of value options but against the Giants lineup that the projected version of which has a 26.6% strikeout rate this guy just struck out six Cubs over five and two thirs face 23 hitters gave up one ear run four hits walk just two you can easily replicate that start in this pitching environment today in San Francisco I think it's just a value Bargain Bin Dart throw kind of a play I'm not really banging the drum for Adam Aller in any kind of a this is a good pitcher in Disguise kind of a kind of a sense I just think for as cheap a prices he comes in at in this ballpark in this matchup and we'll talk about the Home Run numbers in in just a second I think he's playable I think you could potentially thread that needle a second time in a row it's ask a lot from a bad low-end pitcher probably getting greedy considering that it worked out on Sunday should probably just pocket that and walk off I went a different way I went with Mill in my placeholder lineup that I built because I had the money if you're desperate and you need the savings I think he might be the next best Bargain Bin option after McGill at 7574 who I greatly prefer i' maybe rather take a shot against the Giant in the sixes than against the Pirates in the eights with Ben Lively on a day where the Pirates are showing similar power upside to what the Giants are showing and I get that the Giants have a high Vegas total don't get me wrong I know adamal is not a good pitcher strowman against St Louis for a thousand more I'll take my shot with all JP seers against Texas for more than a thousand more take my shot with all Kershaw in potentially a limited start against a frisky enough Diamond Backs lineup same thing against the Diamondbacks fet against the Yankees where are you going if this guy's not on the board John gry against Oakland sure comparable lower end potentially maybe it works out maybe it doesn't but at least those are right on the board with each other as the next best options I think it's better than SWAT as a course field I think it's better than Canon against the Mets falter gber it's kind of a there's a broad mid-range today but it's kind of of a short Bargain Bin slate puts all on the board hold your breath and I wish you luck if you play it if it works out I want to hear about it if it doesn't work out I don't want to hear about it Blake Snell at 102 112 is probably your much better pitching option in this game gives you a lot of security and a nice warm fuzzy feeling to put him in your lineup if you can figure out a way to afford it there are a good number of value Stacks that we talked about a lot of value sp2s you know from that broad mid-range that I just mentioned so there are ways to get yourself the Blake Snell who's got a 33% strikeout rate this season a dominant 15.9% swinging strike rate 31.6% csw a 376 ER above a 331 xfip that looks even better he's excellent at limiting power 5.6% barrels 28.7% hard hits 86.3 miles hour of exito absolutely fantastic in inducing weak and medium contact limiting home runs the 187 is entirely realistic in the Home Run output if not a little bit High 119 marked by Stuff Plus he's legitimately one of the best lefties in all of baseball one of the best pure pitchers in all of baseball that said he can't have his big downside days like we saw in that last complete disaster where he's just pitching inefficiently he's always been a high walk pitcher 11.2% this year to offset the 30 plus strikeouts last year it was 315 and 133 strikeouts a walk 32% and 9.5 the year before that so we know that Snell can have his bad outings but he's facing the mar today I'm not as concerned about these Marlins drawing a ton of walks against Blake sell if he loses the you know the the Zone entirely then it's a different story they don't have to be patient if the ball's three feet outside the Zone hopefully that's not the case today kind of the case last time out against the Mars completely disappointing start three Innings two earned runs to 15 uh batters faced no hits struck out five but walked six through 75 pitches in three Innings totally uncharacteristic to be that completely inefficient but does have you know a history of um for one you know injuries and everything but short outings um inefficient outings can get him but he's also got no hit stuff on the right there like we saw four or five starts ago against Cincinnati top end option on your board no real reason to play the Marlins against even in a contrarian sense even if he's allowing them to put Bat on Ball let's say he went out there and said hey I'm not gonna try and strike any of you guys out but I'm gonna throw my stuff it's just gonna be in the zone I'll yell out what pitch I'm going to throw I think he still manages to at least keep the home runs and the runs in check they would probably Square him up a few times find some base hits if he's telling them literally what pitch and where but his stuff is such that the quality of contact they'll be able to generate against him is not all that discouraging Jake Berger maybe the only threat 25 homers for him everybody else in the low to mid single digits look at Burger's Island 25 home runs a 219 ISO four home runs in 77 plate appearances from Norby is the next best uh rate 264 ISO nobody else above seven home runs yeah limited samples obviously but this is not a good team if you're going to the Marlins norie and burger are your top two priorities obviously 3651 averages down to a very nice price for both of them 2934 same thing 3150 on FanDuel on DraftKings 4,300 a piece but where else are you guys to go and you're facing Blake Snell it's really problematic both these guys also striking out at a 26% clip they're two best hitters just feeds the upside for Snell Jonah bride doesn't really strike out all that bad draws some walks he's probably the biggest threat in this lineup for walks but he's a limited hitter overall he does have a nice 353 on base a solid 113 WRC plus over 156 chances limited for contact five home runs limited option Derek Hill High strikeout at 31% seveners five steals 29% strikeouts from Hensley drops that back down to just 177% out of a Lopez but it's an empty slash line 74 WRC plus pase jumps back up for strikeouts getable guys at the bottom of the lineup there's no real quality here no real reason to go to this team everybody down line up below average for WRC plus bruhan 77 for test 47 no power very few steals no on base percentage just skip the Marlins Giants bats are more in play uh as much as I think you could get away with h it's probably much much more of a good idea to just take the Giants bats against him you've got three guys in the lineup above the magic number for home run power and another guy that's believably pushing the magic number as well as some decent mid-range tracks here in the sixes for lower end guys so a lot of power showing a lot of quality showing they were one of the higher totals on the board at 475 definitely a spot where you can consider some Giants five home runs on the year from Lamont Wade uh getting on at a 398 clip we've dipped below 400 but that's still excellent 124 WRC plus much more of a correlated scoring option but definitely looks good ahead of uh Tyler Fitz 14 homers and 16 steals for him a 14.66% barrels is good but 31.6% hard hits not great not consistent great contact contct let's say the home runs have come on those barrels pretty much but he's capable very very capable player and you know believable output Michael conforto 14 home runs on the board in 404 chances 231 309 431 is not great but a 200 ISO a 107 WRC plus he's been a positive contributor and he's hitting the ball very hard from the left side against a mediocre to bad righty Matt Chapman at 4,800 3100 another player above the magic number at 10.67 in the home run model he's hit 21 to lead the team on the season 13 stolen bases to go with that 196 ISO below 5,000 at third base not a problem with that on DraftKings 3100 on FanDuel this is an affordable team these guys are you know mid-range prices but nobody bad nobody expensive same thing on DraftKings it's just really two of them that are at you know upper mid-range prices and it's the two guys you would expect there so no issue stack of giants they're easy to afford Patty Bailey 34 2500 his seven home runs kind of got stuck was looking like he might have a decent power season and then didn't really get there still a good hard hit rate at 40.6% switch hitting catcher he's always playable but he's been a little bit lower in than I expected him to uh end up at YZ 9% Barrel rate solid 2600 on FanDuel 3,000 on DraftKings mostly just another outfielder but a little bit of Lefty power if you need a a a positional pivot for price it's not a bad option 1877 ISO 104 WRC plus Ty Estrada mixes through infield spots Grant McCrae mixes through Outfield spots that's your slate ranking this one out it's obviously Blake snow way up top then it's the Giants bats then it's a big gap of people like you know pointing and laughing at the guy who ended up playing Adam all at the very bottom of that all's almost definitely not going to work but I think it's one of very few exclusive Lanes in The Bargain Bin on DraftKings today mostly on DraftKings it's the same kind of play on FanDuel but fortunately we only need one pitcher on the FanDuel slate and we've got Tyler McGill to work with from the value bin or you've got all these quality options from a high price or some more effective options from the mid-range it's just if you need the salary savings then Aller starts to get involved snow at the top of the board at 112 102 definitely very very believable and worth getting to against Miami regardless of any prop popularity just offset it with your discount bats and you're fine Pablo Lopez believable uh like the option at 8600 that's really appealing on DraftKings because he's cheap 108 little bit expensive on FanDuel but believable upside love Kirby at 94 considering the offset price from Five Guys being priced over him he's facing the Angels today he's definitely at a he's probably at the correct price where some of these other guys might be a little high most particularly gausman um but that's a nice discount relative to the other options on the Slate McGill's an even more extreme discount but there's a lot less faith in Tyler McGill even against the White Soxs then in George Kirby against the Angels Kirby at 98 on DraftKings just you know in the mix for a lot of shares at a high price and an appropriate price fber against KC 11,000 is tough to reach on FanDuel he's a little bit more limited than 112 for Blake Snell but believable that he finds a few additional strikeouts with no Vinnie in that lineup and he is just Elite at limiting run creation and home run and power output 95 on DK on the board for shares Gman a lot less so 888's the correct price on DraftKings that accounts for his struggles fandu really at 105 against Minnesota he could snap off a good start he was formerly a very very high-end pitcher has not been that guy all year Lugo just kind of overmatched for the money 98 on fandel 91 on DK falls into the mid-range and probably gets left behind uh in most of our shares just because that price is too high for his overall quality Ben Lively I'm on the other side but I wouldn't have an issue if you told me you were playing him at 81 on either site against Pittsburgh I don't think he's very high upside I think you probably get him more around the medians on a successful day than him having much ceiling so he's probably a little too high pric for that kind of output if he was in the sevens he'd be more realistic strowman is just okay lowend pitcher against St Louis I prefer the bats in Yankee Stadium on both sides Sears mix mixed output but if you get him on a good JP seies day he could beat that Texas team and give you a decent start with a little strikeout upside 7900 he's in the mix to find out but I kind of if I'm already cutting price I would probably go to here or I would even go further and go to there I think this is a more challenging spot Kershaw against the Diamondbacks more challenging on DraftKings than on FanDuel but I don't know how much I want him on either site today Zack Gallen against the Dodgers is a pretty firm no on FanDuel more in the mix on DraftKings same thing with same as Kershaw um but or opposite of Kershaw rather um but not overly appealing considering the matchup fed's a hard no on FanDuel against the Yanks in the mix a little bit but probably lower quality than a lot of the other options on the board given the Yankees upside Aller we just talked about but again I think he's a throwable dart considering the downside of the ballpark San Francisco strikeouts and the fact that he had a decent run through Triple A and uh gave us one good start out of the two that he's made in the show so far a lot of faith or excuse me very much a uh Wing in a prayer kind of a play low Faith Suarez isn't Noah Colorado for me but I get it if you wanted to throw that Dart also 6862 not unfathomable that he would find some strikeouts and keep the Rockies off the board for a day but probably not John Gray against Oakland pretty thin 6467 it's a you know I prefer the Oakland bats I really do I think there's an uptick quality with the options that you have at the top of that lineup now Cannon a no falter a no gomers a no is your home run board one last huh yeah lar of course I was very much thinking of of Bull Durham while I was talking about the tell him what he was going to throw if you people out there have not seen Bull Durham and I'm talking directly to you younger generation gen uh whatever you are Z's Alphas Millennials I don't know I'm like I'm Gen X but just barely I'm like on that borderline where we didn't want to admit that we were you know trending toward Millennials as far as Birthday goes but uh yeah if you guys out there anybody out there especially if you've watched two and a half hours of this show and you come here every day to hear me talk about baseball do yourself a favor and go watch P durm it's one of the best sports movies ever made your girlfriend or significant other or boyfriend or whatever you have will also like it it's a romantic comedy trapped in inside a baseball movie it's a fantastic funny quotable fan excellent excellent movie it's got something for everybody bul Durham top top notch Aaron judge top of the Home Run board I forgot to sort it though so let's see who else creeps up there oh lar you asked me a question about a uh I forget what movie it was or show or something you asked a a pop culture thing like what I thought of something and I saw it and I wanted to address it but then I forgot and then after the show I think it was yesterday or the day before um if you remember what that was let me know because I did want to I wanted to talk about it but I forgot what it was but after the show I was like a I wanted to it clicked with whatever it was that you asked it clicked with something that I had uh I had seen whatever it was that you asked about or whatever uh anyway judgy at the top of your board santon D big time in Coors Field you also get gunner in Coors Field going to be super popular but obviously the top two priorities in that very good Orioles lineup Juan sto second priority in the Yankees lineup him and judgy if you can get there obviously tremendous combo Jose Ramirez Not a Bad total for Cleveland you also get Noel big Christmas there you get Josh Naylor Cleveland and Pittsburgh both teams have three guys above the magic number for Home Run upside you got uh Reynolds right there home run pick of the day O'Neal Cruz just edging him out and you get Andrew McCutchen above the magic number there you also get Brian Del Cruz uh above the magic number I forget one of those three one of those four is not in the lineup today um so whichever it is don't play that guy yeah some interesting options for um a game stack which I don't like doing on a 10 gamer but I think if you do consider it Cleveland and Pittsburgh stick together fairly well positionally and there's some power showing on both sides of that one not a bad number of guys above the magic number and a bunch of guys in like the sevens eights and nines today it's a decent day for power upside decent day for bats no clue I'm gonna have to pull up that show L and find out what it was he asked I'm pretty sure it was you that asked um but yeah whatever it was it was a good pop cult pop culture uh topic anyway guys and then go to Duram Bulls game damn right I'd love to go to a durh Bulls game I should have done that when I was in Durham instead we went to a uh a UNCC Duke football game they might not have been home I I'm sure we checked anyway let me get out of here and get this stuff updated we got an hour and change out till lock so we're head of the game a little bit I'll get the uh Italian pitcher dude into the DraftKings projections if they added them on FanDuel you get them there too I'll get probably an update to fromer so you'll see a pitching projections update come through as well every confirmed lineup will go up in the next few minutes thank you guys very much for the likes the subscribes the this that and the other thing check out guys asemio if you scroll all the way up to the beginning of the show in uh the chat there there's a link to our Discord if you don't happen to be in it already follow the Ros Scott's Twitter handle as well football coming up live next week Thursday for the single game uh opener we'll figure out the schedule I'm going to be doing a lot of stuff for football over the weekend and building out the uh the uh portal on the site and everything for you guys if you weren't here at the beginning subscriptions are starting up next week but again going to keep it really nice and light and reasonable for you guys and uh hopefully workable for everybody to to stick with but I appreciate the hell out of you and hopefully regardless of anything sitewise you come back for shows and everything so keep it rocking somebody out there go win good luck out there tonight somebody to go win something we'll see you back here on Monday later guys