MY FORMULA 1 GRAND PRIX OF GRAND BELGIUM 2024 PREDICTION | Rubén Canales #F1 #BelgianGP

Start Well, that time of the week comes when it's time to try to predict what we're going to see in this next grand prix. We're going to see the Belgian grand prix this weekend. So it's time to talk about my prediction and before begin to emphasize that it is my prediction it is what I think is going to happen it is not what has to happen in this grand prix it is what I believe based on more or less how the cars come and how I think they will be able to perform what I believe What we are going to see but then it is going to be different and the fun thing is that even though I always see a lot of criticism of well you have not got it right well obviously not yes the first thing I say in all my prediction videos is that any resemblance to reality It's going to be a mere coincidence. So having emphasized this, we're going to start with the prediction as we always do a little My predictions for the 2024 Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix: the most historic corner on the F1 calendar as a preview and we arrive in Belgium for the Franco Shams Spa Grand Prix where we have one of the most historic circuits on the calendar with above all the most recognizable corner of the entire Formula 1 calendar possibly even also Monaco really has a lot of corners and possibly could be there eh more or less rivaling loeps but rus of course the most iconic corner is the one we have here right now on screen in its life and by the way important grand prix also interesting on this occasion unfortunately it has not given a spectacular race for a long time it has been host to very historic races but the truth is that in recent years well they tend to be quite flat really and even above all races in which it is easy to overtake, there is a lot of drs. Especially the straights, not the straight of the main straight but the uphill straight of or rus, of course there is a very large drs, very powerful and which is very very It is difficult to defend yourself if you do not have speed. What I am saying with this is that in other circuits it also depends on the circuit we go to, but more or less they are adjusted to try to get you there unless you have much more speed, to try to get you to the end of the straight, paired here. The fact that overtaking is completed depends on the car Of course it is going to overtake you but you may have been overtaken before braking Even in the middle of a straight So this facilitates many overtaking It has been a circuit in which we have recently seen many drivers take advantage to commit sanctions to make engine penalties, I mean to use a new engine and then you carry it for the rest of the season. It will not be or it does not seem like it will be the case because we are still very early. Well, now the fourteenth race By the way, we already know, we already crossed the equator last weekend, we already started the second half of the season and the Belgian Grand Prix on this occasion will host again more than the last Grand Prix did last year. prior to the summer break, last year it lost the privilege of being the first post-grand prix race of the summer break and next year it will not even be the previous one because Hungary will return to have this space of being the last race before the summer break and Belgium will be right in front So we will see if this year we see a more entertaining race there is a slight possibility of rain that We hope is not the case of what happened in 2021 But well it is a slight possibility of rain and on Sunday in In theory, it is also the day when there is the least possibility and also to tell you that the circuit has undergone a remodeling that has been going on for a long time last year. We already saw a somewhat different circuit, especially with a changed orus and there have continued to be renovations, especially with a new layout the asphalt is new So we'll see how the teams adapt to this track this weekend there were also complications when it was the we for the entries of the fans if you were any I know there are also quite a few Spaniards who travel if anyone is watching This video tell you that what they have reported is that it will be solved that there will no longer be that problem we will see if this ends up being said as a preview of the circuit What happened last year What happened at the last Belgian Grand Prix: Red Bull Racing dominating for the second year in a row Well, really very similar to which also happened in 2022 an Ultra race dominated by the Sir, what are we seeing here? Last year there was a Sprint format. Next year there will be a Sprint format. This year there is no Sprint format. So for whatever reason, they removed it. Well, then it comes back, which is the strange thing. This year there will be no Sprint format. There is a better normal format of course but it does seem strange to me that last year Yes next year it comes back but this year for whatever reason they removed it and last year the Sprint race was also in the rain the Sprint qualification was also slightly in the rain and everything was dominated by verstapen last year we had the format remember different free one Friday qualifying for Sunday on Saturday we started with the mini quali eh then we had the Sprint race and on Sunday the long race in the Friday's qualifying was unrivaled, that is, he had a stratospheric Pole here, the differences, by the way, in qualifying are going to be bigger than recently, and above all Austria, Austria is the circuit where the differences are usually smaller. Although Well, this man here Max Stappen He also made a stratospheric Pole this year at the Red Bull ring But well, the differences tend to be smaller because the circuit is smaller, it's more eh, it's the one without counting Monaco, it's the one with the least length So that's the one with the differences. The smallest ones are This is the longest 7 km it has a Franor Shams spa So it is the circuit where the differences are greatest and the aple he did here last year was a tremendous animal he got an aple by a lot we went on Saturday to the second classification and there piastri was one thousandths away piastri eh who has just won the last grand prix he was one thousandths away on that occasion he didn't manage to take the Pole then piastri managed to make the podium gasli also made the podium in that Sprint race but he won it verstapen Although Piastri led it for several laps. He managed to recover the position and then Sunday's race had overwhelming dominance and the point is that it was not overwhelming dominance just because of the car itself because for example Checo also happened to him in 2022, it started not in 2022, sorry, it was Verstapen. Verstapen started 16th and finished first, almost 20 seconds behind Czech. On this occasion, Czech started behind and was also able to recover on his own. And Verstapen also had a penalty. In this case, it was about five places and he ended up managing to win with a huge advantage. Here, it is not just the The fact that the Red Bull fits very well we will see this year we will see if it has more rivalry but the Red Bull fits like a glove in this circuit we know that the Honda engine is the best engine, it is not the most powerful but it is the best engine especially because of how the race itself is managed by the electro and so on and that is why Red Bull has a lot of benefit when it depends only on the engine this circuit does not depend only on the engine But for that same reason they also have more advantage than against the engine more than more powerful than Ferrari is Ferrari here despite having a more powerful engine here it is a very demanding engine circuit but the second sector is also a lot of aerodynamics There is a lot of electronic management and that is why here it has even more advantage then that engine that the Red Bulls have but regardless of them that does not play the whole factor because if Racing Bulls would also be one of those who were going to win and obviously that is not going to be the case then Red Bull has a car that suits them very well here mclaren even for example they have They have come to say that they believe that in all the races they will be able to fight face to face with Red Bull in all the remaining races except this spa and except Monza, which are two circuits where Red Bull should be. We will see later but it should be a step ahead and if we add to that that it is ca verstapen, this circuit is phenomenal, there is not much else to do verstapen curiously there is a fact that is chilling which is that the last time verstapen finished a race outside of points it was just here but it was in the 2016 Belgian Grand Prix in the rest all the ones he has finished have always been in points and well curiously this same circuit is one of the ones that verstapen has done best in. He was born in Belgium Well there is three drivers born in Belgium, Verstapen Norris himself is born in and stroll is also half Belgian Because also his mother I think she is Belgian so well it is also a curious grand prize and it was the grand prize of Verstapen's house until it entered the calendar The grand prize at the end of the Netherlands this was the one that Austria there were also many Dutch who traveled but the one from Belgium because being born in Belgium and having Belgian nationality because it was his home grand prix he was given Perfect then it's a Red Bull team here verstappen flies here he has flown I say this Also in these last two years and we are focusing on what happened last year because it is very possible that maybe it will be repeated this year or we will not see the prediction that I make and of course I also want to know what it is. what's going What you think about the world championship, this is before arriving at the Belgian Grand Prix and just Drivers‘ and Constructors’ standings ahead of the Belgian Grand Prix 2024 Formula 1: McLaren F1 is already second in the World Championship and Lando Norris is closing in on Max Verstappen before the summer break with a Verstapen who is going to lead the summer break with a Norris who is mathematically going to go second, that's it It is impossible for someone to take away that second position from him and then here there are more differences Leclerc Saint Piastri We will see that Piastri could perfectly go third even if he doesn't go third in This race is getting dangerously close to the Ferraris, he has a better car, he is going to end up putting himself in that third position except that Ferrari is pavile the ecler who moved away a little from Sainz Hamilton who overtook both cheeko and Russell we will see this weekend if cheeko manages to maintain the position even recover it with Hamilton or could lose it with Russell then we will see my prediction of where I think they will end up then we have Alonso who did not score stroll which I assume one more point and then in the in the area on the right the 10 the last 11 really Because it is still clear berman only points one Noa the rest no Nothing has changed and there has been no change in positions in terms of the Constructors' World Championship. The only change is that McLaren is already second, which has taken a long time but he already is and also, getting closer and closer to the Red Bull team, they are getting dangerously close and as they continue to have The pace they had in the last weekend, be careful with Red Bull in the constructors' world championship, which is what the drivers' world championship is what gives prestige, it is what the drivers of course want to win because for a good driver it is important to of constructors but you don't care about constructors if you can win the drivers' competition the team wants to win the constructors' competition because it is where they give money so we will see what happens Ferrari does not lose its advantage over Mercedes because they both added 20 points but yes, he loses the position against mclaren Aston martinn who only added one point more than rb who added two and the rest of the positions have changed. So the more races that pass, the more certain it is that he will manage to keep that seventh place. That being said, this is time to talk about of my predictions for this Belgian Grand Prix and as I told you at the beginning, just in case any resemblance to reality is a mere coincidence and I want to know your predictions, I want you to disagree and tell me why you think this driver is going to be we are going to start with as always best driver worst driver best team and best team and worst team So I want you to leave me in the comments this part I want you to leave me in the comments who do you think is going to win who do you think is going to come second Who do you think is going to make the podium Who do you think is going to make the Pole I want you to leave it in the comments This is my prediction and I think that Max Stapen will be the best driver coming Who do I think will be the best driver at the Belgian Grand Prix 2024 Formula 1: Max Verstappen from dominating it the previous two years on the 21st he won which was 2021 obviously he shouldn't have won it Not because he didn't deserve it he made a very good pole obviously in the rain but there was no race then But well he has been winning the last two races here in Belgium a circuit that he is very good at Unless something strange happens, I think he's going to be the best driver. I can really say it, let's see, I can already say it. I think he's going to be the driver who 's going to win. I'd go ahead and say, look, we don't usually say that in this type of race. In the prediction video I think he is going to be the driver who makes the Pole as well. I think he is going to be a driver who goes He has been dominating for two years of absolute dominance, making the poles, although he did not start from the poles due to a sanction for an engine penalty. I mean, he has been winning for 2 years with an advantage, which is that last year he was asking to please let me make a stop to take the fastest lap also, although they didn't let him, he comes with a lot of advantage, it's a circuit that runs very well. I think that Red Bull can really get back to being close to McLaren here because the last race. They were very far away, McLaren was much better, I'm not saying that McLaren is not the fastest car because it is possible that they will continue to be the fastest car. I am not saying that Red Bull is going to be that fastest car but I do believe that Verstapen is going to be able to win, he is going to be that best driver, he is going to be able to I hope not. dominate but it is possible that he will also even dominate So for me I am going to put him in best driver, there is not much more to comment Honestly, we have already gone from best driver to worst driver Well, we have had three races in which you already Who do I think will be the worst driver at the 2024 Belgian Formula 1 Grand Prix?: Guanyu Zhou know that we have changed this section that before was surprise driver surprise team surprise driver and disappointment team we have had several races in which I am not putting surprise driver because I don't expect there to be much surprise but I was putting disappointment driver because I did see that some driver could do especially badly and it will be disappointing, I don't think it will be Belgium, I think that in Belgium and also due to what I told you before about the ease that it can even be possible to overtake, there will not be anyone who will be a disappointment because even if it is in qualifying you will be able to recover it almost in the race So my feeling I think that there is not going to be anyone who is disappointing as such nor is there going to be anyone who stands out so I have put the one who I think is going to be the worst driver of those who the one who I think is going to coming last I'm going to put here in this case that for me it's going to be wan yuzu really sauber comes with complications it had improvements last weekend and they weren't bad in race pace they have a powerful engine I think even so on such an extreme circuit so long in a circuit in which there is also only one stop that also tends to fail not only in stopping but also in own strategies. The strategy is not very complicated either except that it comes at the end but well izu also has a few races weak for me I think he is going to be the worst driver we would put in this case of those who finish the races Well I think he could be the last and that is why I have put him because I don't think there is anyone more disappointing I have even been thinking about putting to a driver from the worst team that I am going to use to change, I have not done it because it is not going to be knowing so as not to repeat in this case also because it could have been knowing but I have been using a worse Sauber team I think for the last four races so well then to change and I had already thought about putting Sarian in as well, but I decided not to put Sarjan in, especially because Williams should not do badly here. Williams is a team that knows that it generates a lot of top speed also with its Mercedes engine. So I think it can be done. not to do badly and saran not to have a bad result in terms of best team I repeat the same from Hungary Which team do I think will be the best team at the 2024 Belgian Formula 1 Grand Prix?: McLaren Racing and in Hungary of course I did not fail I put McLaren I believed that it was going to be the team that got the most points and it was the point with the team with difference that it got more points because its drivers were first and second and more of the same I think it will be the team that will get the most points I think it will be a team that will have its two drivers with very good results unless They screw up themselves, that can obviously happen, but I think it's not going to happen. I think they already know what they're playing for. I think they've made a lot of mistakes this year. They've also lost victories that they should have won, not the ones they could have lost. victories that they should have won I say no longer Silverstone because they could have won in Silverstone no longer Canada because they could have won in Canada or no longer Monaco that they could have won but races that Spain should have won Yola they should have won there races that of course they should have won and they have lost Austria they should have won it if it weren't for Norris with piastri but they didn't manage to win it with piastri either. There have been many mistakes so I think it seems that they are already redirecting themselves a little and the problems while for At least they are only looking inward like they did last weekend but even so doing first and second will still serve them well in terms of the team. So for me that best team is going to be McLaren again and in terms of the worst team, I have already told you that I am going to change, to know Which team do I think will be the worst team at the 2024 Belgian Formula 1 Grand Prix?: Alpine F1 why Sauber is already doing the last races and I think there may be a team that does worse, which is Alpinn. We have a pretty bad weekend, and there have also been two retirements from Alpinn. consecutive races in addition to Gasly two consecutive races in which they have once again been last and penultimate in qualifying at Silverstone Gasly did not qualify so it did not matter Well he did but he did not qualify well because he was going to leave because he was going to be penalized so he was going to leave last yes or yes and he classified last but in both of them Okon has also classified ninth so they are coming from a bad streak and beyond the bad streak I could give it Exactly the same but it is important here the engine was not bad in Austria but we have already talked about that almost Even in Austria it was also a bit of circumstances that the rivals got a bit lost Like for example Aston Martin itself that should have been competing against them and they were a bit lost looking for different configurations and also it was end of week the Sprint is a circuit that depends a lot on the Renault engine, it does not have an Alpine engine, well we have even seen the information that they would even be thinking about changing the Mercedes engine next year. That is the agreement that maybe they are even negotiating according to different information This was where he started last year, especially complaining about the engines because there was a lot of deficit because they wanted it for a reason, especially here, they were ignored, but the resolution was, we are going to let you develop that right now they are not Leave it to no one else and in the end they didn't accept it because they didn't want to waste that money, so I think that Alpin is going to be the worst team because oops they still have an exceptional team. I'm realizing that I haven't changed this on the graph. Well It really works the same for me . I think it's going to be the worst team because it's really going to be the team that's going to cost the most and if they don't finish last in general, well, because I'm putting Azu, but I think that the pin is going to be one of the last and that's why overall it's going to be because of the car and not just because of the driver. So I think they're going to be in those last positions, having said that, we're going to move on to that prediction of the top c, which, as I told you, is what I'm going to repeat. because every prediction video I see those types of comments and I say, If it's a prediction, if it's right, you can guess what's going to dominate. I think it's not going to be a problem. I don't know what else you want me to Who do I think will be the winner of the 2024 Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen tell you in this case. Because it's also been doing it. In recent years I think that Red Bull is going to do very well and beyond that winner of this race. Here comes the doubt of course I am Who do I think will be the runner-up in the 2024 Belgian Formula 1 Grand Prix?: Lando Norris telling you that Red Bull this year on this circuit has done very well McLaren believes that Red Bull is going to be able to do very well, they are not going to be able to compete here. Can Checo Pérez come in second or will it be another driver? Will it be a McLaren? Hey, Ferrari has the best engine. A Ferrari can appear in second position. Mercedes Mercedes are not going. Not bad either in this type of circuits Well , I put Alando Norris in second position, I think the truth is that this is what I also predicted for the previous race, I say Verstappen first, Norris second, in the case of Verstappen, no, in the case of Norris, yes. And I think Norris is going to not get a victory again, I think that in this case it's not going to be so much his fault but Max's fault because I think he's going to be able to do double whammy and beyond that he's going to do the most he can. with that car the mclaren is not the best either in top speed as such That is why they say that in these circuits Maybe they suffer but I think that Monza they are going to suffer more but in spa Francos Sams The good What it has is that the second sector and almost the third the second sector is aerodynamics it is not just top speed So it is a not like Monza Monza is accelerations AND braking so it is top speed basically being able to brake well and it is already in this case in that second sector you do need aerodynamics and I think that there to be able to take advantage of McLaren are high speed curves that are very good for curves. Even on some average occasions and there I think they will be able to make the difference to at least be second in addition It is a demanding circuit in terms of McLaren compounds, we know that it is the team that is managing the tires best. So for me I have placed second to Alando Norris and completing the podium to the recent winner Óscar Who do I think will be the third placed driver at the 2024 Belgian Formula 1 Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri Piastri who has just won the last race and I have also been also thinking about whether to maybe put Checo Pérez since we haven't put him in yet and Red Bull is going to do very well. Maybe he doesn't appear in the top cco now we see the last two we have left I have been thinking about putting cheeko also in the podium but I have been thinking about it because Piastri is a circuit that has degradation that is also demanding and the weak point that Piastri had since he arrived in Formula 1 a year and a half ago is tire management. what has hampered him the most and we come from a circuit in which tire management is the most important thing and he has not suffered we come from a circuit in which last year something similar already happened between the two McLarens from Piastri winning position over Norris at the start then McLaren undercutting Piastri which I say is very curious that it actually happened last year because there have been many people who have been talking about it and so on and I say there are people who forget that last year in The same scenario occurred, the issue of the undercat occurred, there Norris did not return the position first because it was a different position and because it was mid-race, and when it happened it was undercat and second because Piastri was declining a lot due to the degradation, that's why they made him the undercat to save asking him to let Norris pass on that occasion and really piastri after overtaking Norris on the first lap he ended up 30 seconds behind . radio conversations about team orders Even though the two drivers have even been managing Even though Norris has been faster He didn't suffer so much from tires so I think it's something A positive step and that's why I think Piastri is going to be in that third position and therefore This is what I told you to call the best team because it would be good not to be the team that Who do I think will be the fourth placed driver at the 2024 Belgian Formula 1 Grand Prix: Sergio Pérez scores the most but one of the teams that scores the most because if we add points in this race I have put Red Bull as the team that scores the most Because first and fourth adds more than second and third Checo Pérez I think he will finish in that fourth position it would really be Czech's best result in a long time and it was already last weekend Horner described it as the race the best race since China which of course That was the case, but the entire weekend was a bit bad, especially what happened in qualifying. I think that whatever happens in qualifying, in this case with Checoo, we know that he comes with a lot of pressure that they are putting on him all over the place. issue of his future and so on, I think that whatever happens in qualifying he will be able to come back. I think that in this case this weekend he will not have classification problems because it is a circuit that Checo is not bad at either, but although If I had them, I'm not saying falling in Q1, but possibly falling in Q2 or not qualifying in fourth position. Imagine qualifying in eighth, seventh, something like that. It's a circuit in which, as we have explained before, Red Bull is doing very well and it is a circuit in which that you can overtake, you can recover positions in Hungary, not only did Russell recover positions very easily, which is a difficult circuit to overtake, and they managed to overcome quite well. So even if there were classification problems, I don't think I'm going to see them, but Even if there was, I could easily overcome it He has made comebacks eh about let's go last year he had to come back in 2022 No but in 2022 he started from second position he qualified third he started second due to Verstappen's suspension he finished second overtaking Sainz but losing position with his teammate and I think that here really It is going to be in that fourth position, not ahead of the McLarens, because of what I have already explained, but it is that, coming in fourth and closing these first four positions, there really Who do I think will be the fifth driver at the 2024 Belgian Formula 1 Grand Prix?: Lewis Hamilton hasn't been much difference here in fifth position on this occasion it has been difficult for me because almost It is the most difficult position of course And there are at least three drivers that I have to leave out, either the two Ferraris and a Mercedes or one or two Mercedes and a Ferrari of course I choose because Mercedes seems to be ahead and the rest I choose because Ferrari Well It has a powerful engine And maybe here it can go. I better opted for Luis Hamilton. What I was very clear about was that the Ferraris, I think, are not going to be here at all well. Ferrari, this circuit does not suit it at all badly, but we already know the problems that it faces. They are having the por poing appear again here they are going to use the Imola floor according to what was reported. Remember that they already made this change in Silverstone last weekend. Yes, they used the floor from the Spanish updates but in the previous one eh This weekend they are going to return to the Imola ground because it has less bounce but of course it also has less performance Ferrari is going to be able to defend itself on the straight because of course they are one of the best on the straight but that's why that bounce is going to weigh them down It is going to annoy them in general in terms of degradation in terms of overheating the tires and they are also going to have to find a balance to try to still manage to generate the aerodynamic load for that second sector. I think that Ferrari is not going to do well here. Maybe they surprise me, I hope they surprise me, I keep saying that I hope I'm wrong and the order is completely different from what we're seeing and a Ferrari appears or a Williams appears in these five positions. I just know. I hope it happens, of course, but I don't think it will happen. In that case I put Mercedes ahead, I think both of them, surely, if I made more than the top five, I would put Joh Russell sixth. I think this is a race that is quite the first. Well, the Red Bull and the McLaren, who are quite equal, the Mercedes and the Ferrari. surely and I want to think about the Aston Martin and so I want to say that by teams I think it is going to be a quite differentiated race and between Hamilton and Russell Well, I have put Hamilton ahead basically Well, because he has a better streak since the car has improved, he is Seeing a much better Hamilton, he is coming after screwing up in qualifying Well, coming back in the race but he comes, as I say, from screwing up in qualifying in Silverstone, he did the wrong thing, eh Russell, but then in the race he was ahead with Mars pace Hamilton I think that in the race he is going to have Mars pace Hamilton so that's why I think he's going to be in that fifth place and this would be my prediction for this Belgian Grand Prix I repeat I've said it three times we're going to fourth and we finish it's a prediction I don't have to be Conclusion and end right and I hope not right I want to know your prediction also in the comments So leave me in the comments who do you think is going to win who do you think is going to make second third fourth fifth leave me the top 10 If you want the Pole How are the best driver going to be ranked in the classification? worst driver the surprise team disappointment team best team whatever you want leave me your predictions in the comments that I will be happy to read if you liked the video Leave your like subscribe and I remind you that you can become a member see you next time