PICKING Iowa State at Iowa | Cy-Hawk Rivalry with Matt Campbell, Cyclones vs Kirk Ferentz, Iowa

let us go to the great state of Iowa because as you know on this show we always pick the Iowa total but this time we're also picking the Iowa spread the shawk game Iowa State at Iowa Iowa is a two and a half Point favorite the total on this sucker is 36 and a half Iowa scored 40 against Illinois State mm are you are you pumped are you jazzed are are are you ready for an Iowa explosive offense where they they hit receivers for touchdowns they had three receiving touchdowns two receivers scored touchdowns they tied last year's total for touchdowns by wide receivers that stat does not ever stop being like I can't I cannot even believe that's a real stat um so let me ask you this where are you with Iowa like you you feel good about like things being fixed or do you think that they are marginally better and were playing against a team that physically couldn't just handle what the athletes like do you think that they are going to be functional on offense this year probably not I think they're probably the same team they were last year Yeah just they were playing Illinois state they're playing FCS team like no I am not confident in this offense because it took a whole half to get going this game was six to nothing at halftime but yes ree ree vandery who we're going to call the ice cream man because his family runs an ice cream business in in extreme Northern Iowa he had two touchdown catches maybe maybe he's the savior of the offense I have no idea but I do not feel supremely confident that Iowa was going to be any different than they were last year that said being the same as they were last year still win them nine or 10 games yeah I mean I don't know if I'm ready for them to be fixed because I enjoy like kind of watching The Misery it's very compelling to me um but I do think that Iowa State might actually be a lot better than people are giving them credit for Year too so like I feel like the spread of this game has been Iowa minus two and a half for like the last 30 years um it just like seems to be the same spread every single year here um but like laying points uh I just I'm not in a position where I'm comfortable with Iowa laying points against a a power five opponent that actually has very good skill position players prize pick is the best daily Fantasy game in America use that code Staples play $5 get $50 instantly and so let's let's take us back to Saturday I was using a demon square with Quinn yers and Sam lit so Quinn yers was playing as Colorado State I knew he was GNA have a good game my question was will it be too good and he gets pulled really early and then Sam Levitz the the Arizona State quarterback and obviously he had a good game but at that point it didn't matter because Quinn yers got pulled just before he could go more than 299 a half yards the the demon squares on prize picks those are a little more difficult to get but the potential payout is higher that's how prize picks work you you pick squares and you say I think this person's going to do more than this or less than this you pick at least two you can go as high as five and the more you pick the higher the potential payout I did win one though I did win one though I went Dylan riola more than two 235 and a half passing yards Lenoris sers the South Carolina quarterback more than 40 and a half rushing yards and Nick Singleton the Penn State running back more than 0.5 rushing or receiving touchdowns so that one $50 play wins you 250 bucks that's how prize picks work it is so much fun it it really livens up a Saturday or a Sunday NFL obviously I mean or any day because they've got everything they have gaming like League of Legends like they've got all of it so you know download Prix now play $5 get $50 instantly with the code Staples uh they've got the they've got the free squares uh it's a Caleb Williams free square right now for the first NL games this week where it's basically more than 0 five passing yards so if you pick that one you're gonna get that square as long as Caleb Williams completes one pass and I think he's probably going to complete a few so download that prize pick app use the code Staples well Iowa State I feel like it it's felt different since they went and beat Kansas State at the end of last season and Roco Beck you know he's he's been there because remember this time last year Rocko Beck was not the guy they had planned to start and they had to deal with the The Fallout of of the gambling investigation and Deckers was out so Rocko Beck now full year under his belt as a starter I am I'm excited about this game I don't know that I'm as confident about Iowa State's offense against Iowa's defense as you are so I I am going to take Iowa to cover and I'm going to take the under I'm gonna take the under but I think Iowa State's going to win the football game okay I I I like I like Iowa State's pieces I mean like the the running back uh Abu Sama is one of the best running backs in the country I I saw some people reaching for him in Dynasty uh fantasy football leagues I think he's really really talented and then Jaylen Noel at the receiver position is a guy who who can get you over 100 yards receiving every week um and Rocko Beck has been pretty impressive to me uh I think that like if this game is 13 to 10 at the end of the road um that might just mean like that Iowa had a special teams touchdown or something I mean I just like it's like the Jesse Pinkman me we can't keep getting away with this like I don't know like last year last year Iowa won nine how many games did they win last year they they got to almost 10 I think I think they won nine games last year they had a really good year they can keep getting away with this Ari they keep getting away with this so yeah the thing with Iowa is they score an inordinate amount of special teams and defensive touchdowns and a lot of those types of touchdowns were the difference in the games that they won um is that a you know you always like to say something travels like the offensive line travels does like do defensive touchdowns travel do special teams touchdowns travel like I don't know how much on that year year after year like it's like but they scored like I think that was like two or three times more special teams and defensive touchdowns and receivers caught touchdown passes like that's not a sustainable thing that's going to lead you to success and like it when you keep doing it it is but like do you think they can keep doing it's what I'm asking you because I do think that there's an element of Randomness to to special teams defensive touchdowns against not Ohio State and not Penn State yes I do think they can keep doing it because it's not the points you're getting directly from special team scores or defensive scores it's the fact that you have elite special teams and defense which are GNA win you most games yeah yeah but I do think that Iowa in many time in many situations last year needed the points they got from those things and I think you can have an elite defense and elite special teams without generating as many points as they did last year I think it's one of the biggest statistical anomalies I mean Iowa last year is if you like show people their statistics and record and and some of the play byplay from last year and a 100 years from now like they'll like do archaeology studies on like how that was even possible like I I I still don't even know how you can feel the football team that won as many games they did last year while being that incompetent on offense and I just don't know that I think year over-year it's something that I anticipate is is reliable like I think it's random and good defense isn't random but scoring on it is um I don't I don't think it's random because if it were random they would have gone 4 and eight at some point and they didn't yeah now maybe that's a product of the Big 10 West and with it gone but they still got the easier schedule draw in the Big 10 so I don't even know let me ask you it this way then Andy if I told you that Iowa would not score special teams or defensive touchdown um in this game would you still pick them to win like if I said that that cannot happen it won't happen yeah yeah because they they would still have a situation where they pinned Iowa State on the two with a punt Iowa state gets stuffed goes three and out punts from their own five and Iowa gets the ball on offense on on the Iowa State 45 and they score a field goal that you know they gain 20 yards and score a field goal like I think that will happen happen but that always happens that's that's how this works yeah so but I think that like getting the ball at to 45 and like hoping that the it results in a field goal is problem all right so Iowa State spread or money line you want the two and a half points you want to say Iowa State's going to win the football game all right thank you so much for watching just a reminder subscribe to this channel right here so you 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