HAWAIIAN HURRICANE & STATES HEAT WAVE - Weather Update, Saturday, Aug 25, 2024

Welcome and Headlines hey welcome back weather junkies to the channel Geeks and fellow weather nerds I'm Greg maesi you a personal weatherman giving you the weather without all that social media hype so this is your update here on Sunday on August the 25th let's go take a look at our weather headlines for today is we're going to be tracking the expanding Heatwave across a big portion of the country as we go into the new work week uh we're also going to be looking at severe rests in fact we're looking at an enhanced area of severe weather expecting as we go into your Monday I'll show you the specifics on that here in a second and yeah guess what this morning we got a hurricane going by the island of Hawaii the Big Island just to the south of there I'll show you that here in just a second and if you'd like to make this weather update a regular feed in your YouTube feed all you got to do please subscribe to the channel hit that notification Bell so you learned on future content and give me a thumbs up leave me a comment down below really does help as I try to build the best weather platform out there for you guys and I can sure use your help all right let's go ahead and look at the salent imagery here Across the Nation for the this morning Current Conditions looking very good the Eastern 30 United States looking pretty good got a few showers down here in Florida old boundary just kind of washing out down here toward the South quiet here in the middle of the country we got some rain activity out here in the west I've actually had some unusual rains falling across areas of California and Nevada over the last 24 hours or so as we take a look at the surface map the Big feature here is the high that was bringing the cooler aare it's moving on off look at this warm front boundary here we got a surge of some very warm air that's coming in here out of the South look at look at these readings here in this morning 77 79 degre already early in the morning here on your Sunday it gives you an idea just how warm and toasty it's going to be we've got numerous advisories up this way cooler out in the west though we got 40s and 50s out here this feels pretty nice 43 there Nevada what that looks pretty good right there but the cool weather is now shifting out here to the West while it's warming up big time here in the central portion of the country in fact as we take a look at your Li watches and warnings here look at the surge here of all these weather advisories in here heat advisories in here as well as excessive heat warnings in here this is a heat warning watch in here across portions of Illinois and going into Indiana but it's going to be quite warm and we're going to see more of this kind of color filling here across the Deep South in the Ohio River Valley as we head for this work week ahead so going to give you the heat wave alert here on this one as this moves on notice we also have a couple advisories up here for the hurricane warning and tropical storm warning yeah it's because we've got this hurricane that's got organized here this is hone here south of the big island of Hawaii so here's the Hawaii Ocean View here it should the state of the South some squal weather here on the big island here predominantly uh not expecting hurricane force winds maybe some gust maybe here on the southern coast potentially uh but this will slide off toward the south of the main island should not be heading up toward a Honolulu should be pretty good up that way maybe some outer squaws there uh but some rough surf I'm sure the Surfers will be out in force here on the island of Hawaii now what about our weather city of the day What's our weather City for the day I thought I'd pick Gatlinburg Tennessee you know if you want to go to a place that has some of the best best fall foilage this is I couldn't highly recommend uh Gatlinburg here good place to go especially with the heat wave that's going to be coming on to the east for today we're expecting sunny skies here in Gatlinberg and a high temperature of 88 degrees so at least it's not in the 90s so you a little bit of a break there and if you would like to recommend your city as the weather city of the day and you got a great webcam go ahead and post that link down below and I'll go ahead and I'll grab that and we'll use it for a future broadcast all right now we're going to go ahead and shift over and talk about the severe weather threat that we're going to be looking at coming our way as we head toward the new work week now this is for this afternoon this is for Severe Outlook Sunday okay so we're looking at in slight risk for severe weather uh coming in here on this day so we're looking at areas toward Minnesota and into the Dakotas that's your little area for today but tomorrow is the bigger concern for me obviously we're looking at an enhanced area of severe weather here coming in here as we head into your Monday so uh that's going to be kind of a weather alert day you need to watch out for the potential for some active weather in that area here so we're talking about uh this area in here uh where the oranges so we're looking at that enhan there's numerous severe thunderstorms are expected in that zone not to mention the fact that we're probably going to be dealing with a tornado risk as well as we're looking at about a 5% chance for tornadoes there kind of right there on the boundary between South Dakota Iowa Minnesota and maybe just touching the state line there of Nebraska so that's going to be our Target Zone probably falling for late tomorrow afternoon uh for the potential for the severe weather so look out for that and then this weather will begin to shift off toward the east as we go into your day3 going into Tuesday this will shift over into the Great Lakes so we're talking about cities like Milwaukee Chicago getting over toward Detroit uh those big cities could be impacted with again some uh very strong Gusty winds isolated tornadoes I think the tornado threat will diminish a little bit on this day but definitely a high wind threat here as we go into your Tuesday uh for this upcoming week now the next update here again we're keep talking about the tropics and they continue to remain uh unusually quiet it continues to be very quiet and there's several Tropical Latest reasons for that the environment just hasn't been conducive for the fact we've had some hair and dust out there but all indications are that should diminish as we enter the month of September so we're about a week away peak of the hurricane season is September 10th so I do anticipate this to start ratcheting back up what we are watching out there for this morning as we do have a couple of hurricanes obviously we have hone that's going by South of Hawaii right now and we have Gilma which is a major hurricane 130 M winds but that particular storm looks like it's going to stay to the north of Hawaii so I'm not anticipating that to be a big problem here for that one and this storm here not formed just yet this one here probably is going to become Hector and we'll watch that one here in the coming days to see what happens with that particular storm now as far as the storm that's closer to Hawaii for this morning well here's the track again keeping it south of the island we do have that tropical storm warnings up there across the island the Big Island right now but it should stay far enough away from the other Islands to not be too big of a factor in fact it will start to weaken as it goes to tonight and then move off to the west and shouldn't be too big of a problem there but you can see the top winds are at 80 miles per hour and again the pressure 991 M bars which isn't really all that bad but a definitely well organized healthy looking system as we saw there on the radar started this program with all right let's talk about the peak of the hurricane season again this is September and I'm telling you my Outlook right now for the month of September based off the ingredents and stuff out there and I've seen some folks get a little aggressive I'm I'm thinking six to eight name storms uh for the month of September I've seen some some people going up as high as 10 I'm going to be a little more conservative with this probably closer to the climatological average 6 to8 there's just been it's been such a weird season this year um what should be a very very busy season we have a lot of latent heat ocean heat out there the Gulf of Mexico is extremely warm right now and I do expect uh we're going to see some storms St to form but for the short time as far as the short time's concerned it continues to be uh not a major problem in fact it continues to look pretty quiet here over the next 10 days let's go ahead and look at the European model we'll go and get over the model data here let's go ahead and take a look at the European overnight model here out for 10 days and as I'm looping this Model Forecast through again you watching the intertropical Convergence Zone this is where we typically look this is where we're watching to see if something develops in that red zone like we just showed you uh just to kind of see where we're going to get things to develop and right now out going out 10 days as I'm looking this through and you got that time stamp there in your upper hand Corners you're going in toward the end of the month and going in toward a Labor Day weekend not showing anything developing right now for the next 10 days it is looking all quiet out there for the next 10 days now I want want to advise folks if you're seing anybody out there in the YouTube universe that is showing potential tropical scenarios beyond 10day for sure take it as a grain of salt because the model data the error rate gets so high especially 7 to 10 days you go beyond 10 days you're really putting in some guess work and it's more the models tend to lock on to climatology what history tells you we should be seeing uh seeing so really don't go beyond 10 days that's my recommendation uh as far as tropical activity again uh we may get storms beyond the 10day not going to rule that out you can't because you're in the heart of the hurricane season just from a model perspective nah it's really a little bit in work at that point uh when we get to that point now let's go ahead and talk about what we're expecting here in the continental United States uh as we look at the weather data here uh for the next week is things are going to be getting pretty pretty busy here let me switch over to that uh again we're going to be watching that severe weather risk as we go in throughout the day uh heading into tomorrow in fact what I probably need to do let's go ahe and do this let's go a and switch over to the the high resolution model we do the short run here first all right and we'll back this up we're going to watch this model run here and we're going to go out for the about the next uh oh we'll leave the 6z run here we'll go out for the next 72 hours here so we kind of see what's going on here with the high resolution model so we're going to be watching the areas there in the high plains okay as we go throughout the day here as going on through here the 60 seeing those storms here flaring up here across areas of the Dakotas so that's going to be the area we're watching going throughout the day on Monday and then this you see the big blow up there uh late in the run as you go past 6:00 so we're going to be watching this area in here across Minnesota to Dakotas this will be the target Zone for some potential severe weather as well as iced tornadoes there's going to be a lot of Cape there which is energy to fuel these storms probably be a little bit hity there as well to kind of perhaps give us some possible tornadoes there definitely some very Gusty winds up to 80 m per hour could not rule that out for sure uh with this as this continues to move off toward the East and you see that really kind of gets very hecy in there it is very very active in there for tomorrow evening going into the early overnight period there so begins about 6 goes into the late hour course I hate that when you get those kind of storms FL up overnight it's night time you can't see anything so I highly recommend if you're in this part of the country make sure you have a weather app and please make sure that you do have a weather radio those are the great things you put that alert on it'll come right on for you really help you and keep you safe there if you do get something in your neighborhood all right let's switch you back over to the European model here we're going to go run this through the rest of this forecast model again watching that severe weather risk uh as we going through Monday Europeans showing that as well going up into the dtas and into Minnesota and then looks like that goes into the great lak so we're going be watching this area as we go into late the day of Tuesday into Wednesday this this will be your target Zone from Tuesday morning into Wednesday morning as we showed you there on the day three Outlook that'll be the target zone for severe weather there on that day and then as we look at the rest of the model run this will start to pull on out into the Northeast and we'll see things begin to quiet down there uh as we go into uh going into Wednesday so things begin to slow slow down here a little bit on that so going out to the rest of the of the European run as we're going back to the Zer Z here again watch another frontal system coming in as we go into Thursday we'll have to watch this one as well to see if this cold front is going to set up any severe weather this is the one that's going to finally beat back the heat wave that was anticipating it's going to be sitting over a big chunk of the country at least early in the week as we go toward say Thursday to Friday this will start beating back that heat wave that we're going to have uh it's going to be quite prominent and this will kind of settle things down it'll suit the Northeast and they kind of sit there and kind of stall across the South I think the way it's looking looks like it gets across the Carolinas the Deep South and back over toward uh Texas so uh we'll have the humidity back in here but at least the rain chances will be going up and we'll definitely have a cooler weather here uh moving in behind the system coming across the high Plaines and into the Northeast not as cool as what we saw over the previous cool down but at least it'll it'll knock the temperatur down from that extreme heat that's going to be moving in here uh for a few days and as we take this out to the end of this run again stays unsettled for the southeast and along the Texas C Coast but most of the country not looking too bad once we get that next system so we got that weak system coming in early in the week and we got another one here for Thursday Friday Saturday that should clear on out and then looks like Labor Day weekend shouldn't be all that bad for a a big PK big part of the country uh let's go take a look at the temperature anomalies again we want to back this up we want to talk about how uh we're going to be impacted there with the extreme heat again this is the temperature anomaly map so you can kind of say goodbye to that nice little cool little patch of what's left it here across theast this is moving on out getting lost out of here you see the heat that's building here in the middle of the country thus those advisories we started this broadcast with showing you where that heat was going to be sitting there uh hot and steamy across a big part of the country those feel like temperatures uh been running well over 105° and this will be pushing off toward the East you see how hot it is here on Monday I mean wow this is I mean this why they got that the extreme heat across the Midwest because temperatures are going to be running well above normal uh for this time of year but luckily we got that front coming on that Thursday remember we got that moving on through but it's going to stay hot there across a big part of the southeast the Midwest it kind of expands as we go into Tuesday again a bigger area here a little bit of cool down here across the high plains Across The Dakotas back over toward Wyoming and we got another little Cold Shot here coming out here on the West Coast watch we'll watch that closely as well and we continue this forward here as we're going to watch that frontal system come in on Thursday here it comes see it kind of rolling in there out from the West there as we're going to get that frontal system moving in it's going to beep back this heat W which is going to continue to hold on across the Eastern portion of the United States a little bit here uh this is only cooler because of the increased rain chances across South Texas that's what you're seeing down there with that increased rain risk and thus you're obviously going to be a little cooler there that makes sense right more cloud cover all right so we're going to bring this frontal system in it's going to roll this thing on through and it's going to beat things down it's not a big cool pool like the last one but it's going to be enough to beat back at least the the severe heat so by the time we get toward Tuesday the day after Labor Day end of the following week you notice we got significant cool down here although it is it warms up big time here in the high plans on the back side of this but does look like we get temperatures back off in the extreme heat at least in the short term here so some good news there so we're kind of making that transition you kind of get that feel we're getting in the late summer we're not quite in the fall just yet we're still about you know a little less than a month away but you can feel that transition coming as we're starting to get the little more active frontal p uh pattern taking place which is important to watch because the more of the frontal pattern is will have any impact on tropical development on whether we get something that comes up East Coast PS back out sea gets pulled into the Gulf of Mexico so those that overall weather pattern has to be watched very closely to see how it impacts any potential tropical in point impact as we go into the month of September let's take a look at the latest from the climate Center here we did have a couple of updates here I do wanted to give you as it has it did expand a little bit of that cooler weather that's coming down here this again is for August 30th through the 3D Climate Outlook here you see this little pocket cool down very hot here across the southeast we're expecting that as we go into labor day weekend but we are going to see a front moving on in one change here from yesterday is we expanded the rain uh chances here uh significantly so above normal precipitation dry here along the upper tier part of the United States and into the southwest and then this cool Port expands out with blow normals going into the seventh that's kind of what I just showed you there on that model there on the European showing that cool air kind of settling in from the Northeast into the southeast although it's kind of still keep it slightly above normal here across the Deep South but big time warm up here in the west and I think this might actually shift a little bit just based off that model day that we just looked at at the European this may kind of mve in a little bit more toward the dtas but we do have a nice cool down here coming down here as we head from September 1st through the 7th this is important to track these because anything tropical if you got a big trough coming in it's going to take it off and take it off the sea or could pull it up into the golf of Mexico it's all depending on the track and timing that's what it's all about and as far as precipitation Outlook continue with above precipitation here along the Eastern Seaboard back across the southwest and below normal precipitation continuing right along the Canadian US border there from Michigan all the way back over toward uh areas of Washington state and still looking at blown no precipitation there across the Southwest a little unusual because you know monsoon season you think they'd be getting a little little more wet activity out there for this time of year so anyway uh that is your weather update here for your Sunday morning I really Wrap and Close like this new look I really like this this opportunity to give you guys a regular daily update on weather feed when I'm here at home and I'm able to do it I'm going to give that out for you and if you'd like to make this a regular feature in your YouTube feed again just hit that subscribe button I'm fighting a war with YouTube algorithm the more people that respond to subscribing to the channel as well as give me a thumbs up leaveing a comment it reaches a bigger audience so in order to grow the channel I need your help so please consider that hit that subscribe button hit that notification Bell so you're learn on future content give it that big thumbs up as I do appreciate you guys support of the Channel all right that's your update on your Sunday hope you enjoy the rest of your weekend until we see again see you again be good stay safe and we'll see you next time bye guys