2024 Fantasy Football Draft Advice | Lisa Ann Fantasy Football Draft Show w/ RosterWatch

e e e e this is Anthony Richardson and you're listening to roster watch this is AJ Brown and you're listening to roster watch this is Josh Allen and you're listening to roster watch okay I hey I guess we're live Lisa we're live here we go okay we did it we did it we're here yeah we're just like we're just like hold on wait are we live what's going on like Lisa are texting hey Alex done laugh Lisa and here for the Lisa an Fantasy Draft show with roster watch man so pumped to be here today Lisa I cannot believe it I got the ultimate draft cheat sheet from roster watch in hand I have I have actual fantasy football drafts this weekend man we've actually made it we we've made it back we're here oh we sure did we are at this time of the year where we're excited it's all pure joy right now though we are feeling the burn this early with some injuries that do impact the way that we're Drafting and building our teams and maybe even some Dynasty team managers or some keeper leagues where you made the decision last month Alex and next thing you know oh no Hollywood Brown what are we gonna do yeah for sure well hey and listen this is uh this is a big thing that you bring up as far as the injuries and the good news is look we're keeping our fingers crossed but our good friend Dr David Chow at pro football Doc is trying to trying to take some time off between surgeries here to uh to come in and give us a a little bit of advice so not sure exactly when uh when Doc is going to be able to come on but our producer Matt will let us know and we'll bring him on at that point to kind of Grill him with some questions and really find out the details from a guy that was a 19-year um Team Orthopedic physician in the NFL so uh we're gonna have that stuff we're gonna we're going to run we're gon to run a mock draft using the ultimate draft cheat sheet again it's available at roster watch rosterwatch docomo that you need this Fantasy Football Draft season where if you follow the three Simple Rules the top of the sheet of paper an expert quality draft is guaranteed and it doesn't have to be a sheet of paper you could use the web one I like to walk in there with my sheet of paper like a g like an old school gangster um and and dominate the draft and so that's again at rosterwatch domcom Lisa Lisa people have drafts this weekend it's the second biggest weekend of the year you've been doing cameos all day as far as far as these draft orders for all these degenerates out there that need to uh they just get so crazy every year about their FY drafts man it really is just a wild time we're all so crazy about it what do do you have any just over before we get into some of these players any just overall tips and tricks for people in their fantasy league things that they should be thinking going into their drafts and ways that you might approach it you know I will say I'm impressed with how many more 14 team leagues I'm drawing this season which adds a lot of Challenge and I always make sure I give a 14 Team league like yo you're taking the extra step to deal with the fact that your waiver wire could be trash you're going to need to trade more you're going to De you know draft a deeper team but I'm also finding a lot of leagues where there is already a team named HW Tua and I'm not sure if you saw the HW Tua girl actually threw out a pitch at the bets game I got to give this kid credit nobody has run with a short flip of Fame for longer and it's added a lot of laughter to be pulling these draft orders on gam you my friend Scott Scott Barrett on Twitter said you can you can um you can it's super easy you can just draft Tua Tong of vioa and TJ Hawkinson you can and you can name your team Hawk Hawk Tua yeah certainly I I thought that 15 minutes of fame might have been up by now but you're right she's she's she's doing everything she can to um everything she can to kind of keep that thing going look we have a bunch to get to so we have our friends uh our good friends and our co-workers I guess our you know they're are friends but we work with them Trashman is not not really that much of a friend he he'll be on he'll be on the show next week um is like your best friend okay what are you talking about well you'll you'll see you'll see next week Lisa he's not he's not the easiest guy to work with um we're gonna be here for the next three three Fridays talking to you guys through your drafts and stuff like that bringing you the latest news and notes but trash man is at practices right now right now he's at joint practices with the Colts and the Cardinals he was with the Bears earlier in the week uh we have some notes from him we have Cody Carpenter that was with the Bucks joint practices with the Jaguars earlier this week than just yesterday um got up there for Steelers and um bills joint practices so some takeaways from that stuff but before we even get to any of that Lisa I thought that the big news that I saw today or I guess you know it was it was last night whenever they said it at the press conference but it came out today the chief starters are going to play the first half of their preseason game this this uh this Saturday and so we're gonna get to actually see like Patrick Mahomes was on a football field throwing it to you know I guess not Maris Brown that's somebody that we'll have to ask pro football doc about when he gets on but we'll get to see Xavier worthy out there and Isaiah Pacho and Kelce and just all the all all the stuff for a whole half of football what do what do you think about this and I wanted to specifically ask you about the running back Isaiah Pacho what's what's what's happening with this situation is you know in previous years Jerick McKinnon had been there to kind of siphon off some touches and some carries Clyde Edwards Air a former first round pick was a player who you know for a while they looked like he could be something but he has just fallen off a cliff they've been bringing in undrafted free agent type guys like daic Prince and um some of these some of the they've been bringing in guys off the street to try and find an rb2 Lisa and it makes me think say what you will about peo and he wouldn't like he was a big first round stud or anything like that but he was on the field for every snap with the starters last week we we'll see Saturday if he is you got to feel like if there's no real competition for touches in that offense maybe I think peo could be a big value this year yeah and look the trust is there as well right he's been working with momes long enough now to have this even though WEA may have been you know I remember drafting beo maybe two or three seasons ago in a late round thinking he was going to be like Kiren Williams was for me last year and it was a year too early now the consistency is there and I think yeah again if you are not able to get another piece in that offense you want a piece of a Kansas City Chiefs offense that is real and those players are going to be got after so I do like the fact that peo is there now will we see another addition coming in and if so at what level of mediocre would that competition actually be for Isaiah Pacho to change our mind as to how we feel right now I honestly think Lisa I I kind of think the worst the the worst case scenario for for them would or the worst case scenario for Peko might be just I mean M McKinnon is still unsigned I think just bringing him back because he's familiar with it we've seen like he can kind of bite into it so I would keep an eye on that they really are bring they really are recycling through some some dudes right now so um and we're also going to see some stuff that happens with you know when we get down to 53 man cuts they're there are always running backs who get cut that people don't expect so I wouldn't be surprised if they added one but right now he's certainly seeming like seeming like a good value to me as as far as uh you know what we're hearing now just kind of news out of camps what's going on the chief starters to play Saturday is sort of a big one Cody Carpenter was at uh commanders um practices earlier this week and he reported back that it's looking like a 6040 split between Brian Robinson and Austin Eckler with um even in PPR he thinks that we should be taking Brian Robinson ahead of Austin Eckler even though that's not how the PPR ad adp's average draft positions are shaking out out right now um do you think Eckler still has it I know he's such a big fan of fantasy football and you know he loves to he loves scoring fantasy points for his for his fantasy owners and stuff but does he still have it I do think he still has it but I do think he's gonna temper it I think he didn't want to be as much of a Workforce as he has I think he wants to elongate his career right maybe we see Austin Eckler looking at somebody like Frank Goron saying I wonder if I could play that long if I played cautiously a 60/40 split is going to be a total bummer in fantasy because we're not know going to know where it's going to lean if it was me I would be like okay I'm in a new spot I'm going to show my old team how amazing I am but if it's him and he's like look I'd like to prepare my body and take care of it long term this could be the ideal situation for him not having as much pressure but who steps up Brian Robinson gets injured Austin Eckler gets injured can either of them really handle 100% of the workload yeah well I I think that Pro I'd say that probably Brian Robinson is probably better suited to because he's he's a bigger dude I certainly think that e well Eckler at the height of his powers is is is more talented but it's like ja we jack witry says here in the chatler slower than him at this point well I don't know how fast old Jack witry in chat is Brian van Shake says he can't wait to draft next Friday Brian I would recommend going to rosterwatch domcom Lisa and getting the ultimate draft cheat sheet it's the only tool that you'll need to help you dominate your fantasy drafts this year by following the three civil rules of the top of the sheet of paper uh that thing is is updated I've I've updated the PPR sheet twice today okay I I'm up to version 6.4 uh they get updated at least daily so every bit of news that comes in we got the news earlier in the week about jir Gibbs had to move him down just out of pure precaution as we got more reports we've kind of moved him back up and up and up where where are you on on on on jir Gibbs Lisa because if you look at the Detroit Lions this year they're a team that all of our tools uh the strength of schedule tools and you know that they only play three outdoor games this whole season their average implied team total is the second highest like if you take the implied team totals from every single every single um available game right on on draftking Sportsbook right now and you just take the over unders and the totals and you and you uh you formulate the teams implied team total for for the week the Lions have the second average highest implied team total each week they're implied to score like 26 points for comparison teams like the pat streets are only implied to score like 18 points a week so um I'll Beed to let's let's I'll be interested to hear what what you have to say about Gibbs but I'm getting the note in the chat that says that Dr Chow is here he's on he's on a very very tight schedule so let's get him on Dr Chia he's even in he's even in uniform Dr this this mask is not a covid mask this I literally see behind me I'm in the O there's no I assure you there's no patience asleep on the table table there's open right between you know the change over of surgeries Etc so thank you for accomodating and working with me on the time I I told you guys I'd make it I just couldn't you know well I don't want to rush the surgery just to come on right no and by the way Dr Chow we do not want you to Russ a surgery to come on with us though we do appreciate you've made this much effort because we've got a lot to talk to you about he's he's Dr David Shia atpr footall doc on X and you can also find him at Sports Injury Central six score.com he's going to be talking before he gets out of here and onto his next uh onto his next job here uh about uh the sick picks that they have over there 55% winners as far as against the spread over the course of the last few seasons just based on dude they they have a they have an algorithm that just that projects these games just based strictly on health and it actually works so we'll talk about that and we'll also talk about the preseason injury guide which I was lucky enough to get my hands on yesterday and yeah I mean I've already doc like the the Insight that I've gained from from you and everybody over there at um at six score.com has already made a big difference as far as the way that we have guys slotted so we know that your time's short we're very respectful of it Lisa Lisa an and I are just gonna switch off from person to person and ask you about some of these players where are you on Nick chub love Nick chub incredible athlete this is a knee dislocation as much as you say coach speak and I love Kevin stefansky and Andrew Barry and all those guys they're trying to be glass half full turn sorry about that like I said the the uh the as much as you want to be optimistic he's ahead of schedule he's doing great this was a knee dislocation this was not an isolated MCL remember he had two surgeries an open surgery and a second one go back and look at the video it's so graphic you don't want to look at it I don't see how he is ready to go it would be defying odds now I get it there was internet video of him squatting like 17,000 pounds right I mean whatever it was the bar was bending but if you watch it he clearly favors his left knee he uses the right knee he's strong as all get out oh my gosh and he's working hard but that does not make a dynamic running back I think it'd be great to see him back I think it's asking a lot to see him back as Nick chub fair enough Dr CH I've got one for you who we were just talking about before you came in to join us today jir Gibbs uh how do you feel about this injury and how will this change through Camp how much time do you think he's gonna miss well Lisa an as you know I deal on Insider knowledge not Insider information so I'm not calling the Giants head team physician who I know or athletic trainer give me the good I go by publicly available information video and other things to do the analysis like a soft tissue muscle injury first of all is training camp there's really not any video right and uh severities matter Etc look his training camp he's gonna be sitting out do I think this is a long-term deal no but he's had some history right and so is it we don't even know if it's the same side so I I try not to guess I try and be honest and say where we don't know we don't know we don't see this as a do not draft situation but you know what you might have to and this is what we do at Sports Injury Central temper expectations for the early couple of weeks and certainly week one so every week during the regular season we will have individual grades six scores Sports Injury Central scores so if you all are projecting a healthy jir Gibbs to get 18.7 fantasy points if we say his score is 81 it might be 81% of that 17.3 or whatever you're projecting and that's what we try and do and then we have team scores team offense against defense offense Run game against the opponent's run defense for DFS and fantasy and projections and prop Wagers we're information I'm Not A Tout I don't do I don't even do look I play one fantasy league okay just for fun Scot Fishbowl I'm not a fantasy expert you guys are I'm not a gambling expert okay you guys do all that stuff I'm an injury expert but you can take the injury information that we utilize from our 17 years of NFL head team position experience to extrapolate and and it's not just me we have a panel of doctors the only people that we utilize are people who worked in pro sports with pro teams yeah I I should have mentioned that I should have mentioned that that doc was the head sideline physician and surgeon for the chargers for I don't how long doc was it like 17 years or so was a long time yeah okay so yeah I guess that's a big piece of his resume I probably should have thrown but only the San Diego Chargers I always want to say only the San Diego Chargers never the LA Chargers I get it's the no but you were in a totally different Stadium you weren't in sofa it's a huge difference yeah man you can look up old pictures of Doc standing next to dudes like you know Junior SE and like you know Philip Rivers and stuff um all right let's see here about um what about Hollywood Brown I'm I'm sure you put we did get some some video EV evidence of that one and everybody was real scared because he got taken to the hospital I guess he's okay is he okay I always say judge the injury not the reaction to the injury and the hospitalization in some ways is a reaction to the injury I'm not suggesting that the medical staff overreacted they did the right thing this was an ESS sternal clavicular joint injury the sternal clavicular joint is near the sternum clavicle versus the AC joint a chromium clavicle this is much more common this is not as common but it did happen to Tyreek Hill Chief's wide receiver in 2019 the reason for the hospitalization there was no surgery but you got to be careful sometimes when the SC joint is bad and it presses and the clavicle comes back and presses on the great vessels you can have some unexpected bleeding and that's a major vessel so that's out of precaution he's fine it was reduced Tyreek Hill did it in week 1 2019 and returned in week six missed week two through five so four weeks out but that is that was quicker than we expected so look I think that it is you know not a guarantee that Hollywood Brown will play week one he's going to obviously Miss some practice reps and it wouldn't shock me if he went on IR for four weeks if you know he was still getting it wouldn't shock me it wouldn't shock me so put that into your fantasy projections for the season we'll have a week-by-week fantasy projection on him especially as we roll closer but right now if you go to sports inury Central we're downgrading him a little bit because you can't expect 17 game output right now you know you have to temper it uh one more for me right here Dr Chow I know you got surgeries to do the rest of the day I'm looking at Phil um I almost went back the Chargers Philip Rivers okay so Matthew Stafford Matthew Stafford suffered an injury yesterday in a practice against the Dallas Cowboys left practice early what do we know I love Matthew Stafford right to me he's Philip Rivers 2.0 Philip Rivers you're right right I mean they're pocket guys great downfield passers great teammates you know I think Hall of Famers but in any case neither one runs a lot right but they they do they're Iron Man Philip Rivers had the longest starting streak ever Matthew Stafford we've seen him limping through things and playing through everything my biggest concern on Matthew Stafford isn't the hamstring like yeah yeah he's not gonna be running or doing anything he's got a strong arm he'll be fine from that my biggest concern for Matthew Stafford is is his offensive line do they have enough on that offensive line to help protect him and last year he was okay but remember two years ago he had a neck issue a quote spinal cord issue and that not something to mess around with and as he gets older in life and other things so my concern is the offensive line for Matthew Stafford more than his hamstring and hopefully there's nothing that happens with his neck but he's always as tough as can be if he can play he will play through maybe we'll do one more then they're tapping on the window to well yeah yeah doc I mean look man that this has all been great why don't we take this last bit of time and you could tell them where they can get the um where they can get the the preseason injury guide and what all you guys are going to be rolling what we do with the preseason injury guide is just like what I said we have doubts about the Rams offensive line we have doubts about the Dolphins linebacking crew based on injuries it's all based on injuries so you know if you're doing extensive research I mean look Warren sharp is one of my guys I've been on podcast with him he's got this huge book but he doesn't talk about injuries or current injury issues and this is what we do so 80 Pages you can go to sore.com sports iny Central and before they before the business guys start charging for it it's free right now so go go get it and then you know if you're a fan of the Cowboys just look at the Cowboys you know my cons look at what my concern for the Bengals are our concern is not Joe Burrow's wrist it's the right tackle and left tackle on their offensive line and what you talked about earlier and thank you like I'm not a t yes historically we're 55.1% against the spread when there's an eight-point Health difference all comers but look we get it if Lamar Jackson is not playing Baltimore's health is lower but that's a known quantity right what we love are the unknown quantities I mean did anyone really realize how banged up the chief's offensive line was going into that Tom Brady Super Bowl it wasn't really Tom Brady beating Patrick Mahomes it was the offensive line of the Chiefs getting throttled by the defensive line of of the Bucks that's the hidden advantages that we look at right there and from a fantasy perspective you know if you have rb1 two running backs or you're trying to decide who to play against of course steam scheme in the game but it might behoove you to look at the health of the offensive line of running back this running back versus this running back or the health of the front seven of the opponent and we have all that at Sports Injury Central all right doc we go go go get those good people fixed up man they're they're definitely counting on you brother just like we count on you for all the best uh injury information through and just for fun I I tweeted a picture at pro football doc of a it wasn't Matt Milano but I just finished a quote Matt Milano surgery distal biceps tendon if you want to see it this is this happens to be on a rugby player it's not Matt Milano I'm just saying it's that type of surgery if you want to see it on Twitter I'm sure you get some takers on that doc I'm a I'm a little bit squeamish man it kept I put a warning on it I put a warning on it all right dude hey awesome to hear from you doc man I'm sure we'll talk to you again soon and can't wait to see all the great stuff that you guys uh knock out this year over at six score.com thank you guys byebye all right there he is Dr David Chia atpr foot doc Lisa do you want to do a mock draft using the ultimate draft cheat sheet I just like go I've done these things get updated all the time again it's like having me like having Lisa like having trash man Byron Cody like little angels and Devils on your shoulder they're gonna be telling you what to do with every single pick in the draft you cannot afford to draft without the ultimate draft cheat sheet at roster watch I'm there's a simulation that I started and I I wanted to pick from the turn the 12 hole because Lis and I were talking about how you have drafts coming up and you she's doing these draft orders on Cameo and you know you get a little bit bummed to get the last pick in the draft people say you want to pick first and all the rest of it I'm going to show you how a um how a uh a a pick at the very end when you when you have two picks in a row and then two picks in a row again at the third and fourth you can have a really good draft just by using the ultimate draft cheat sheet and F the three super rules so Matt it looks like this screen is shared i' I never stopped sharing it but I think I needs you to put it back up there we go there so let's see now if I just got now I just have to go back to it all right here we go so at the 112 it has this um and whenever I do these this is being this is going against the expert consensus at fantasypros.com the average draft positions at ESPN sleeper any anywhere that you're playing CBS Sports nfl.com all of them right MFL RT Sports and then the pre-draft rankings qes right so all that goes into the algorithm and this is a simulation uh here at the 112 the cheat sheet tells us that we we actually have a no we don't have a choice but it doesn't matter these players are back toback we're GNA take saquan Barkley and Garrett Wilson Lisa do you worry at all about Garrett Wilson and the fact that for him to be awesome this year and for him to have this kind of upside Aaron Rogers sort of has to stay healthy I yeah I'm not that worried about it because we had a horrible experience with that first Monday night game for the Jets Aaron Rogers getting out there for four plays but Seasons before that he's been able to power through uh I do understand he is a bit older not all older quarterbacks will be like Tom Brady I've got a lot of faith put into Aaron Rogers this season and what he's gonna bring out in his teammates we have with here at this next turn it's gonna have us take uh it's building a good Balan roster so far um Josh Jacobs and Cooper cup Josh Jacobs another guy kind of like Isaiah peo that we talked about ear Lisa it it really it really makes you feel good whenever you hear that you know AJ Dylan is looking better than the stud rookie Marshon Lloyd because you you figured man if Lloyd can come in and really look really awesome we kind of know what AJ Dylan in is he's a known quantity looked at def steps slower last year if he's ahead of the rookie I think that means that Josh Jacobs is gonna have a huge carry share this I could say that as well yes I like those two back to back uh let's see the next two looks like it's going to have it's having a shift toward gosh I'm just going to barely miss out on Anthony Richardson here I'd love to take him um but we're going to take tank Dell and we're take Z flowers here nice balance yeah yeah we can start out we can start with with with this build one quarterback two running backs two wide receivers one tight end two Flex it would work whether we were doing three tight ends two Flex three tight or I'm I'm sorry three wide receivers One Flex three wide receivers two flex two wide receivers One Flex it all works the same um be because of how the sheet is built and how it's the architecture of it so that's at the 56 we're going to get those two guys and then look right here the chat brings us back he says well you just took two wide receivers we're going to take two Super Value running backs here an Tony Pard and javante Williams Lisa I don't know about you but I don't understand how Javonte Williams we're not seeing an ADP bump out of him when it's so clear that he's by far the way ahead is just all the rumors from beforehand that you know maybe he was out of favor with Shawn pyton yeah I mean that's probably what it could be and I think we're you know that that odd recency bias thing we talk about but uh we're going to see a big switch I think in about Two Weeks It's usually the later drafts the leagues that wait till like the first week of September that start making all of these very smart decisions it starts getting harder and harder Lisa people get smarter and smarter yeah all right uh we're gonna take Jameson Williams here who's had just maybe one of the biggest stars of OTAs and uh training camp of of all players with the way he's come on and like we talked about earlier we want that Lions offense and then Chase Brown who was looking like a 50-50 split between him and Zach Moss there with the Bengals you can get Chase Brown a whole lot later yeah um we talked last week about Jaylen Wright the rookie there in Miami uh so what we're going to do is we're going to go ahead and take him as a just a nuclear kind of handcuff option or not so much of a handcuff as handcuffing somebody else's guy if they draft Devon H man and then we're going to go here with man Cody could not come out of Commander Camp saying enough things about jayen Daniels his rushing upside we saw in week one just it was a very limited sample but gosh does he look good uh he could he could break fantasy if he hits so we're picking here in the 12th round we might as well go upside with our quarterback so that's where we'll go ahead and go and look what we can always do here take the upside quarterback and then right here we got two picks in a row let's take Darnell Mooney who's definitely gonna be cirt cousins' number two option this season and then and then we'll take we'll just take Jared G love it I love it right and so like it Daniels if Jaden Daniels goes busto then uh you never you know it's like you just go to golf we like said we love these lines so again all I did was follow the three simple rules of the top of the sheet of paper this was a random draft from the 12 hole and this is an awesome team this is Jaden Daniel saquon Barkley Josh Jacobs Garrett Wilson Cooper cup tank Dell and Z flowers and then this is the bench which is the craziest part Tony Pard and Javonte Williams were on the bench so is Jameson Williams Chase Brown Jaylen Wright Darnell Mooney and Jared G so you can just draft a kicker in a defense see what happens they've only gave me any a B+ I think that that thing deserves an A+ but then again it never gives me the it never gives me quite a quite quite the grade that I think Lisa but um yeah and some of my better graded teams at the end of the year didn't play out as well so can't really go about that you know Scott olmer a friend of mine in the room says Chase Brown might just have a breakthrough season Scott seems to have these little hunches and I rock with them so I agree with you there Scott thanks for joining us thanks thanks to everybody for for joining us today thanks to Matt deuts for putting this thing on thanks to uh Dr David Chow for taking some time today um and just another reminder roster watch .c Lisa that's how you go get the ultimate draft cheat sheet rosterwatch dcom Lisa Lisa so good to be on with you today we will be back next Friday and that's gonna be and guess what next Friday the next Friday you got me if you want me for an hour I could do an hour on those days it's all this is our whole lives are going to be revolving around that 5 then so I look forward to it every week and yes I've been reminding every single Cameo I do to make sure they take advantage of the ultimate draft cheat sheat so use the rosterwatch docomo list of the new people in here to put together a new league that I will launch in the next two weeks so really fun being here with you and everybody in the chat all right all right awesome well Lisa thank you so much for being here again today always great thanks to everybody in the chat and yeah rosterwatch tocom Lisa we'll see you guys next week on the Lisa and draft show with roster watch this is Anthony Richardson and you're listening to roster watch this is AJ Brown and your