SEC Week 11 | Tennessee @ Mizzou; Ole Miss @ Georgia | Previews and Score Predictions!

[Music] it's great to be in the SEC welcome back to another episode of the SEC recap podcast I'm your host Ben Warren you can find me on Twitter at SEC recap sorry I guess X that's X now not Twitter you can find me on X SEC recap at SEC recap on YouTube however you're listening to to me uh to this podcast whether you're on Apple Google Amazon Spotify wherever you prefer to chug your pet podcast come on over to YouTube join us over here having a lot of fun you can follow along with graphics and videos and all the stuff I pull up on screen to help us get through each episode but all that stuff will be linked in the show description we are coming up on week 11 we got three more weekends of college football regular season and then we are in to bowl season uh love bow season we'll be doing all the bowl game previews I can get my hands on in the SEC um and then we're coming up on that 30-day uh transfer portal period going to be a lot of stuff happening going to try to follow it all um hard to catch it all but we're going to do our best here on the SEC recap podcast changing it up just a bit this week uh going to do a quick week 10 recap say that five times fast a quick week 10 recap um and then I'm going to save a little bit of time instead of doing previews for the full SEC slate for week 11 I'm actually going to dig in just a little deeper to the UT Missouri and Old Miss Georgia lineups and I'm kind of getting back in my groove as we start to transition back into bull season where I like to do the uh Team on team uh you know statistical matchups and stuff like that uh I know you folks on YouTube really really appreciated those last year so I'm bringing those back and you guys have showed your support we're past 300 followers on YouTube now which I greatly greatly greatly appreciate very very thankful to all of you who listen and tune in wherever you are but like I said head on over to YouTube it's a lot more fun like subscribe um and with that being said let's get into it so here is our week 10 recap now um we'll go maximized here we go um so first game up these are all the noon games or the 11: a.m games right we had 17 Tennessee hosting Yukon one in seven Yukon Huskies well one and eight Yukon Huskies now uh and laid the wood 59-3 um I did pick Tennessee to Win Pick Tennessee to cover they were 35 a half Point favorites over under was 55 a half that was a A ching ching ching we hit on all three um you know usually if we just hit two out of the three that's a dub but when you hit on all three that is exciting so I had originally picked 47 to1 as my score um for the vs cover 59-3 was the final Joe Milton was great 254 through the air to Tes Jaylen right eight carries 113 yards and a tutty on the ground including a long one that was like 82 yards or something uh he continues to impress and yardage wise total yards he is not leading the SEC he's number three in the SEC uh but when you look at yards perer and the fact that he's splitting with Jabari small and Samson who each have about 400 yards and some touchdowns and Jaylen Wright is just a dude uh squirrel Wright added two receptions for 94 and a touchdown so V's offense of these last two three weeks markedly different than what we saw from them through the first you know four or five weeks um they have made incredible strides Joe Milton is playing with a ton of confidence and a vs offense that is playing with that kind of confidence coupled with the defense which has been greatly improved this year especially against the Run um that is a team I guarantee that nobody wants to play then we had Texas A&M going to number 10 Old Miss all Miss threep Point favorites and the over under was 53 and a half my score was 30- 24 thought Old Miss would kind of just cover that they handled it no problem um it was 3835 defense suspect there um so kind of a push on the spread but they do get the win and we do hit the over um Miss has to travel to play Georgia we're going to dive more into that matchup A&M Falls now 5 and four overall 3 and three in conference um and yet another just under underwhelming underperforming season relative to the talent by Jimbo Fischer and the Texas a maggies what's going to happen there I still don't think he's gonna be fired it's going to cost him too much owe him 75 million then you got to Shell out another 100 million for whoever you bring in next H I'd hate to be an Aggie fan man I would hate to be an Aggie fan that's just just the the amount of underwhelm underwhelming coming out of college station especially in the football World basketball's pretty good you know you got some other things going on there but at least when it comes to football not great Jackson Dart 387 through the air two Tes quinon jins 23 carries 102 yards three touchdowns um some of your yardage leaders there oh miss offense really really great defense we'll take a look at at that a little bit more in depth here in a bit um now I tweeted about this one early in the week Arkansas going to Florida um Arkansas not been good um they did not have a conference win Florida playing okay but I always had Florida Peg did a six and6 I tweeted out earlier in the week that I thought this game could be closer than maybe people realized I still thought Florida would win home field advantage but hey a lazy noon kick after getting your ass whooped uh by Georgia the week before five and a half Point favorites thought Arkansas could definitely close that Gap um or come close to it you know a six-point game something like that um and I took the under on 50 and a half and I was wrong wrong wrong I'm not never afraid to admit I'm wrong I put my opinion out there I put my picks out there uh sometimes I'm right sometimes I'm wrong you know some people like to run run away hide delete stuff when they're wrong not me um you know you win some you lose some I thought this would be more like a 2822 given Arkansas struggles uh 3936 Arkansas wins it in overtime um Miss on the outright pick Miss on the spread obviously and and mega whiff on uh the under there but good on the Razer backs you know Sam Pitman kind of buys himself another game or two um still question how long he'll actually be there but uh Arkansas gets it and Florida is still looking to get Bowl eligible they're not there yet we'll see if they can do it just got harder all right uh really another really really interesting game that I talked about in the preview it was the Gamecock versus the Gamecock the Jacksonville State Gamecock in Columbia South Carolina playing the South Carolina Gamecocks Jacksonville State 16 and a half Point underdogs uh my pick was for South Carolina to win outright the over under was 55 and a half um the way Jacksonville State had been playing I knew they could score South Carolina's defense has been atrocious even South Carolina fans will admit that I know you will because I listen to your Callin shows every week um that was a winwin win got all three so Jacksonville State covered final scored there 3828 a 10-point win and it went late uh that that was a tie ball game there late uh late in the game My my initial pick was 36 to 20 so you know a few points off there but nonetheless Jacksonville State keeps it within the spread South Carolina still wins and of course we hit the over so check those boxes I know people were ragging on Beamer for you know doing the whole like our guys are going to celebrate that win and I get it it comes across a little defensive that's always kind of how he comes across in his pressers just just a little just like a like a mild slimy level of defensive uh for lack of a better term but I do think he kind of had a valid point man like they they they've been through a rough stretch and so you do have to celebrate a win wins Don't Come Easy in football ever especially not in the SEC now this was a team that you should have hand no problem they didn't exactly do that so I get the criticism for that you know the find some joy and we're going to celebrate you know because we earned it I get that have your fun it is a win but you know you got to be a little bit better than that so I'm on the fence I'm on the fence about how to feel um I've never really cared for Beamer pressors I've been open openly critical and public about that here on on this podcast about um you know the things he says and the way handles the media just it never quite feels as professional as it should but uh he also kind of had a point you know you do have to celebrate a win especially when you've been through a rough stretch like they've been to so good on them um you know they still have to play Kentucky they still have Vanderbilt I think they got Vanderbilt this weekend and and then they got Clemson um Kentucky you know I don't think they're beating Kentucky Vanderbilt's definitely winnable uh that would get them to four uh and Clemson just laid it to Notre Dame thought Clemson was looking more and more beatable each week still think um winning out win out percentage for the Gamecocks here very low um you know just about a 13 14% chance to win out so don't think they're going to do it but hey they did win a game that they had to win and in this sport that counts for something all right game of the weekend uh that was number 12 mou at number two Georgia the two-time defending national champ there 15 and a half Point favorites at home and Athens over under of 55 and a half um I did think Georgia would cover just based on you know kind of how they played Kentucky at home the way they handled Florida the way you know the week before we're going to dive into some stats with bazou I think I think people are are a little Hasty to kind of hang a banner about you they play Georgia closer than anybody past two years so you know that they're they're next up to be Champions I pump the braks on that we'll look at some stats here that kind of illustrate that missou is still in the good not great category uh but Georgia is also defensively kind of in the good not great category this is not the same Georgia defense we've seen so missou able to take advantage and had a chance to be in that game late they weren't I thought this one would be 38 to 20 it ends up being a ninepoint game 30 to 21 so I was pretty bang on with uh mou points there um Georgia is not quite able to cash in that late touchdown that would get them to like that 36 37 point range that they that they kind of needed for the cover there but no big deal dogs still win by two scores um we do miss on uh the point spread and the over there uh 3021 comes in under the 55 and a half so Georgia still undefeated Georgia still controls the East they do have Old Miss coming to town uh that is a pivotal game if Georgia loses that game and then loses to Tennessee assuming Tennessee wins out um you know there's still an outside chance that uh Georgia is not you know going to Atlanta for the uh SEC title game however it's a you know the the margins there the probabilities it's it's fun to think about it's uh highly highly unlikely as well all right then we had Auburn um I should have had this Swap this is Auburn at Vanderbilt um I thought this game would be like that 2718 I was pretty close it ended up being 3115 um Auburn did win and we did come in at the under on 49 and a half so that was two out of three uh Vanderbuilt just not quite able uh to cover there about a touchdown away from being able to cover that that spread um I mean not a whole lot else to say Auburn gets its second SEC win granted its first Vanderbilt Vanderbilt has no SEC wins they're still 2 and eight overall Auburn meanwhile improves to five- four they definitely have an opportunity to get B eligible they will play Arkansas and I think they get a New Mexico state so winnable contest for them to possibly get to seven and five um I don't think they're beating Alabama and the iron bow um sorry just the realist in me but you know pton Thorne offense not great but they do enough especially against teams like Vanderbilt 194 two touchdowns an interception jarz 119 carries for 183 yards and two touchdowns so they got it done on the ground uh and did enough through the air to get the points that mattered um and then we had Kentucky going down to Starkville where they had not won since 2008 uh playing Mississippi State the clang CLA I wow I this was kind of a big Miss score-wise for me so I picked Kentucky let me start over I picked Kentucky to win um and I picked the under on 45 and a half so that was two out of three however I thought Mississippi state would score enough at home to keep it within that four and a half thought it would be about a field goal Ball Game Boy they are they are just not good um just not good I mean Mike Wright in that offense he was 11 of 21 for 78 yards an interception Chris Parson ends up coming in six of 14 67 yards I mean they had 31 yards rushing um and 17 yards or C like this was atrociously bad um like 218 team yards like they they're listed is 100 hold on hold on hold on let me go back here sorry 145 yards passing excuse me not receiving 73 yards rushing um I got a couple numbers mixed up there but golly just did not expect it to be that bad but Kentucky wins in Sark for the first time in you know 15 years good on them uh was bang on their point total 24 points there um just huge whiff on the Bulldogs point total and we'll move on to the biggest piece of crow that I got to eat publicly uh on Twitter and on this podcast you know my big time upset pick was LSU winning a stunner in Tuscaloosa and it looked like a ball game it really did look like a ball game until Jaden Daniels got hurt now LSU couldn't stop anything Bama was doing and I just thought you know when the consensus shifts to one side of the vat and every every the consensus was you know Alabama's going to destroy LSU in Tuscaloosa that that's the logical pick and that's probably the direction I should have gone but I'm just a little bit of a contrarian when when everybody shifts to that side I like to kind of uh step on the other side just to add some counterweight uh in the off chance that you know the majority is wrong the majority in this case was not wrong uh the minority was wrong that Minority was me I was big- time wrong um I was really close to the point total just not the right direction so my original pick was 4024 Alabama ends up winning at 4228 um was a ball game until Jaden Daniels got knocked out with an injury concussion protocol whatever he had to go through um so miss on the LSU pick and the and the the win I mean we do hit on the uh the over on 61 and a half but um got to go to three to get it there uh Alabama controls its own Fate In The West it would have to lose twice to let's see Kentucky and Auburn I believe um for Old Miss and Old Miss would have to beat Georgia and then wi out uh it's SEC schedule to jump Alabama so again outside chance sure uh likely realistic probably not um so there is your quick your quick quick week 10 recap um and just before we dive into some Power Rankings I want to take just a minute to share with you uh there are no ad reads no sponsorships on this podcast I do this all just for me um and I'm thankful to each and every one of you who listen um so I just want to take a quick minute a quick 60 seconds um to plug some stuff if you want to donate to the Pod link is in the description below I've also got a QR code up here on screen on YouTube just a buck a buck two bucks a cup of coffee just to kind of help pay for some you know hosting cost to run my website and just some you know kind of offset the cost of time spent you know recording and doing all this stuff it does take up substantially more time than um you might think definitely what I thought before I even started doing this uh a little over a year ago um but if you also like merch I've got some great merch for you my SEC Pride merch and some additional stuff on my bonfire store uh over there at bonfire.com store recap again Link in the description below um Let Me Clear My my scripts off here there you go so I've got a new shirt out which I love my big doink Energy t-shirt um Let me throw this QR code up there uh if you love big dos flex your love of big dinks with the big dink energy te um comes in a variety of colors long sleeve short sleeve also got my Tennessee Beer Barrel Champs uh my beer barrel apparel up there and my Michigan FSI football sideline investigator thank you to those of you who have bought one of those uh I love it um but if you're a Vandy F&M fan Tennessee Carolina fan missou fan Old Miss fan whatever you are I've got stuff on here for you um in your school colors uh outline of the state school name mascot in the location of the school it looks great the hoodies are awesome got some great feedback on the hoodies say they're soft they're super comfortable um everything fits looks and feels great so head on over there bonfire.com store recap and check out that SEC Pride merch it just helps me out a little bit and I'm greatly greatly appreciative all right let's check out some power ranking so not a lot changed here um except the number one and two from my previous week so I moved Alabama into that number one spot I thought the way that they handled LSU um probably their strongest win today that and the Tennessee win uh I know both those wins were at home I don't know that they have like a a marquee Road win but just the way they handled getting punched in the mouth against Tennessee coming back and controlling the second half and then you know once Jaden Daniels is out of the ball game they took the bull by the horns there they just look good I mean they look like late season Alabama exactly how you'd expect them to look um I think neutral site you line them up with Georgia right now Georgia's not winning that football game and if you're a Bulldogs fan and you hate hearing that sorry I know Bulldogs fans are like the most touchy people on social media right now how dare you disrespect the dogs man I don't care like I've watched both teams play every single weekend I'm telling you you line both of those teams up on a neutral field Alabama's winning that football game n times out of 10 so um Alabama one Georgia 2 I put all Miss at number three I think they're clear-cut number three that defense is so suspect but they score enough points and they do enough uh creative stuff offensively to really give any team fits I think they might give Georgia some fits um game game you know could be closer I don't think they're going to stop Georgia but um I think L kein is is going to have some creative stuff definitely don't want to be wrong on that um and then behind all Miss I got Tennessee uh who is ahead of Missouri at number five now I know missou fans are probably not going to like that either but when we dive into the offensive in Def or Atlanta or New Orleans who's winning that game I'm taking Tennessee over Missouri by the Numbers okay um so we'll dive into those I do have LSU behind Missouri again this is week week 10 to week 11 Power Rankings uh LSU absolutely decimated uh if you line missou LSU up again on a neutral site um especially if Jaden Daniels is you know uh limited LSU they're just even as good as that offense is they cannot stop a sneeze uh so they're going to have a hard time staying in it I think with any of those teams in the top five now behind LSU like that that middle four it's really a pick them okay so number seven I got A&M number eight I got Auburn nine Kentucky 10 Arkansas 11 Florida right any of those teams could beat any of the other teams on just about any given day probably on a neutral site these are coin flips right so A&M just kind of based on the strength of that roster I think belongs in the seven spot definitely above Auburn um definitely above Kentucky just based on what I've seen from Kentucky you know these are all your five- four six and three I know Auburn's now like at that five- four Mark um Arkansas just beat Florida this past weekend in Gainesville so yeah I feel comfortable picking them on a neutral site and then in the back half it's South Carolina Mississippi State Vanderbilt at 12314 and honestly you might convince me that Vandy could beat Mississippi State like Mississippi State just looked inept inept this weekend like I think I think if you stack them up with Vanderbilt I think Vanderbilt scored points in Mississippi State ain't doing much of nothing um you know South Carolina's got big problems defensively they're decimated offensively some of their their best players offensively um you know are are struggling to get going just struggling to convert yardage into points so there's your back three you know it's a coin flip in the middle and I think your top five top six uh are pretty solid um if you have arguments or you think differently you know drop a comment tweet at me uh that's totally fine just be decent about it for some reason people get on the internet and they have to start if somebody says something that you don't agree with you just got to start name calling and you know the whole nine yards like you just you can have a different opinion I have different opinions it's never personal with anybody um I don't think other people are idiots I just disagree with what they say so anyway if you disagree that's fine let me know if you agree let me know um and with that being said let's dig right into this UT Missouri game uh we're gonna start just by jumping right into the numbers here um offensively okay the narrative to this point at least through the last three week stretch or so has been how Elite mou's offense have been kind of paraphrasing right but Cody shrer is the number one running back in the SEC in terms of yards sure other other teams split yardage between running backs always something to keep in mind okay Brady cook Luther Burton uh that mou's offense are just Elite they could score on anybody they're dangerous well here's what the numbers say okay uh missou has has the number 36 scoring offense that's in terms of points per game now we're going to look at passing rushing and total yardage as well if you're here with me on YouTube you got it right in front of you so again if you're listening in audio form I encourage you to head on over here to YouTube like subscribe smash that Thumbs Up Button share with your friends of fam mou has the number 36 scoring offense Tennessee the number 23 offense now first four or five weeks of the Season nobody was really thinking of Tennessee as having an elite offense certainly where you know the conversation didn't look like a top 25 top 30 offense Miss's putting up 32.4 points per game Tennessee is averaging 34.8 points per game now a lot of people say well yeah that's a little skewed because Tennessee just put up 59 on Yukon well yeah that's a part of it you know points per game is is points per game I I get that that that game pads that stat a little bit but you know mou could have padded their stats against South Dakota they didn't they could have padded it against MTSU they didn't they could have padded it against Memphis or Vanderbilt didn't right they're scoring in the mid-30s in those games you scored 35 against South Dakota 23 against MTSU 34 against Memphis is not bad um but you know those were opportunities where you could have scored more uh and didn't so by the Numbers scoring offense Tennessee is better Tennessee is a better scoring offense statistically than missou I'm gonna say it one more time Tennessee statistically has a better scoring offense than missou okay let's move on to passing offense this is where missou has an advantage mou has the number 23 passing offense Tennessee has the number 59 passing offense okay missou averages 285 yards a game they have 18 passing touchdowns on the season by contrast Tennessee averages 239 passing yards per game if have 16 passing touchdowns on the season so Advantage missou the passing game right let's look at the rushing game Tennessee has the number three number three one two three rushing offense in the country okay Cody Sher might be the best running back in the SEC in terms of total yards but when you look at Rushing offenses as a whole it's not even close Tennessee number three rushing offense in the country mizou number 78 not even top not even top half of the country okay Tennessee averages 228 rushing yards per game 17 rushing touchdowns on the season and they've done that against Elite rushing defenses Alabama Texas A&M who who still might have the best rushing defense in the SEC one of the best rushing defenses in the country okay 228 rushing yards per game Tennessee can run on anyone they they've proven it okay missou number 78 149 rushing yards a game most of that's Cod Trader they're also averaging 17 rushing touchdowns a game so Advantage their Tennessee so in terms of total yardage Tennessee has the number 13 offense missoui is 36 Tennessee averaging 466 yards a game missou averaging 434 yards a game it's flip it on over and check out the defense again if you're watching here on YouTube You're Going to see the discrepancy right away Tennessee's got a top 25 defense as well as offense number 21 overall defensively missou number 54 defensively that's about where they shook out last year in their six and six or six and seven season okay so statistically by the numbers not much has changed for missou defensively definitely not what we would call Elite defense by any stretch okay um Tennessee allowing just 18.4 points per game missou allowing 24 points per game again a lot of people might say well Tennessee beat Yukon 59 to3 again yes that's part of it you play the opponents you play and you have to score as many points on them and prevent them from scoring as many points as possible okay let's look at passing defenses Tennessee number 55 missou number 65 by the way just a seven yard spread there between 55 and 65 222 for Tennessee 229 for missou Tennessee though just allowed eight passing touchdowns missou has allowed 18 passing touchdowns okay that is a huge vulnerability especially against an offense that is going to spread you out stack sets into the boundary okay missou likes to run I think like that cover three defense they like to roll a safety down um and stack the box and play Stout against the Run don't think that's going to matter much against Tennessee who's proven they can run the ball and guess what you roll that safety down you're going to see raml Keat and squirrel white stacked out there to the boundary uh and one of them is going to run past your only safety that's back there so I think I think this has kind of been the recipe for how Tennessee has torched mou in the past um is is by spreading it out sideline to sideline letting mou roll that safety down there to play Stout against the run and Tennessee has just been content to you know Chuck it on some seam routes and U Chuck it on some some stack sets into into the into the boundary line there I think you see that again I mean it's worked for Tennessee the past two years I don't see any reason why that would change um all right let's move on to rushing defense so rushing defense Tennessee number 14 missou number 26 Tennessee allowing just 97 rushing yards per game only giving up nine rushing touchdowns mou pretty good as well 114 rushing yards allowed per game allowed five rushing touchdowns so you're much more likely to score through the air on maou than you are uh to probably pound it in in the Red Zone something to think about uh if you're Tennessee you're more likely going to be scoring from you know several yards out as opposed to um Power Run game in the Red Zone uh but then in terms of total yardage Tennessee number 21 missou number 42 319 yards allowed for Tennessee 343 allowed for missou now I also like to include turnover margin uh Tennessee is plus five they just had three three turnovers for scores against Yukon so again that does p that stat a little bit but that was a historic defensive performance it's only happened three times ever in the SEC believe first time ever for Tennessee three turnovers for touchdowns bazou just plus one on the turnover margin so credit the defense is there um I think both of these teams would need to cause some destruction uh some Havoc uh and create some turnovers to kind of Swing this game um but again we're just looking at Tennessee number 23 offensively versus missou number 54 defensively I like that matchup okay we're looking at missou number 36 offensively versus Tennessee number 21 defensively again that Advantage I think strongly favors Tennessee especially when it comes to run defense Tennessee has a great run defense they limited Ray Davis to 40 something yards on the road against Kentucky like we kind of know how both these teams are going to play now V uh sorry ESPN really really likes Tennessee uh that fpi heavily favors Tennessee in this game Vegas not so much it's really more of a pick them I think it opened in favor of missou it quickly swung to Tennessee minus one so flip a coin I haven't put an official pick yet um I I'll put out all my picks probably Friday or Saturday morning I won't do a separate pod I'll just do a graphic and post it on Twitter but you know the over under here is 58 and a half so let's just let's do some quick math so 58 a half divided by two that's 29.25 so Vegas is basically think that this is like a 30 to 28 type game um I definitely think it could be but I think if Tennessee gets to 30 they're going over 30 I don't think mou's defense is good enough I think Tennessee would have to beat themselves in this game to be held under 30 would not be surprised to see Tennessee get to the high 30s maybe even low 40s I'm thinking this one could be evals 38 um Missouri 28 or like a 4230 4228 something in that range I think Tennessee ends up winning this comfortably uh if you just look at the past few years where they've hung 60 plus on mizou and mou's consistently scored in that 24 range against Tennessee until proven otherwise I I'm just inclined to feel the same way this year give me the vs unofficially 40 to 28 okay that'll be my pick let's move on look at the last game here uh this is Miss Georgia and we'll start once again with the offense so uh really close here in terms of offense I like this this is going to make it exciting Miss number 14 scoring offense Georgia number 10 scoring offense Miss with 38.8 points per game Georgia with 39.3 points per game um the biggest differences are going to come in their pass versus run uh Georgia does have the number six passing offense which is crazy you don't think about that but they do 325 yards a game through the air 18 passing touchdowns meanwhile will miss 298 through the air 18 passing touchdowns on the season as well that's good for 14 then on the ground uh this is where you see the biggest drop off for Georgia number 47 okay 168 rushing yards per game 23 rushing touchdowns total compare that to miss who's putting up 181 on the ground and averaged uh or totaled 24 rushing touchdowns on the year that's good for number 35 and in terms of total yardage they're really you know close close again miss number 12 479 total yards a game Georgia number six 493 total yards a game so two really really good passing offenses slight Edge to Old Miss and the ground game especially with Quin sha Judkins um but you know really really balanced here balanced offensive attacks here uh Georgia having the biggest discrepancy between uh its run and pass over on the defensive side of that ball game uh this is where you see the largest discrepancy between these two teams Georgia number six defense in terms of scoring defense Miss number 45 and here's where I think you see that Georgia offense really swing the game in Georgia's favor versus this miss defense so Georgia allowing just 15.4 points per game miss giving up 22.9 uh on the ground sorry through the air Georgia coming in at number 19 182 allowed through the air 11 passing touchdowns compared to om Miss who's at 64 so miss is really kind of in the middle of the road they're middle of the pack in the country and FBS uh in terms of passing defense 228 allowed through the air and given up 12 passing touchdowns total on the season um and same on the on the ground here uh rushing defense Georgia number 16 of the country just 100 yards allowed on the ground seven rushing touchdowns given up through the season versus ol Miss who's allowing 137 and given up 13 rushing touchdowns rushing Tes rdes as I like to call them um just good enough for 55 so total yardage all Miss coming in at number 61 in the country again right there in the middle of the road 365 yards allowed versus the Georgia Bulldogs who were just allowing 282 yards per game good for number nine in the country turnover margin Georgia plus two oh miss plus eight that is something to watch out for uh from this old miss defense so they give up a lot of yards um um they've given up a fair amount of points uh but they have created a lot of turnover so that will be interesting to see if they can swing uh swing this game back in their favor but when it comes to just the outright matchup this is what I keep coming back to that number 10 Georgia Bulldogs offense averaging almost 40 points a game Elite passing attack okay ground attack attack versus oh Miss's number 45 scoring Defense number 61 overall defense I just think George is going to move the ball I don't think they're going to have much trouble moving the ball I think Miss offensively will have some success on Georgia especially through the air that's going to be where Georgia is kind of the most vulnerable um but I like Georgia in this game so Vegas dislikes Georgia as 10 and a half Point favorites um this is also a 58 and a half point over under so again quick math here divide that by two let's add half of that spread back um this is a really crude way to do it guys but um so Vegas is kind of feeling like a 34 24 type ball game um maybe 35 24 something in that range so old Miss good for three touchdowns in a field goal Georgia probably pretty good for four or five touchdowns um they may not have to kick much at all um and I'm inclined to agree with that I I think that's a good pick I don't know if I you know I thought Georgia would cover the 15 and a half against Missouri I think Old Miss is a better offense than Missouri you know you you can't judge one game by another but uh I'm inclined to think that om Miss could keep it closer than that 10 and a half so I might say again unofficial prediction give me Georgia like [Music] 34 Miss we'll say 26 you know U maybe they have to kick a few field goals or miss a miss an extra point you know something weird happens I don't know um but it keeps it within that 10 um but still kind of like a like slightly wider than a one score ball game perhaps uh so there you have it guys that's going to do it for this episode like I said I'll put out all my picks for the SEC slate on Friday or Saturday um don't forget follow me on Twitter at sec AP uh head on over to YouTube I'm at SEC recap there as well check out my bonfire store bonfire.com store recap find you some awesome SEC Pride merch for your favorite team or check out my other merch uh like my featured big doink energy teas over there super excited for this weekend got some great games that could decide the east and west or at least lock up the East and West Old Miss at Georgia Tennessee at missou I've kind of run it down tell you what I think let me know in the comments what you think uh hit me up on Twitter as well excited to follow along with these stay tuned for my picks this weekend guys have a great week have a great weekend and I'll be here to recap it all with you next week on the S podcast