ATP Washington D.C. Predictions - Can Tiafoe Win at Home? Korda, Rublev Looking for Wins

Add 'bird strike' to the list hello everyone and welcome on back it's betting Weekly game bet match a new week of tennis betting action I'm still here in umag uh my handicapper senior handicapper Sean Cal is back in the UK you see GNA tell you about the adventures of that in a minute uh so I'm still here it was a big week last night big match the final s do W epic against the ren City but that was the yesterday it's all about this week and it's the start of the American hardcore swing and we start with the 500 event in Washington which we're going to preview here we've always got the Olympic show already but before we do that Sean very good afternoon to a nice little journey back two hour Breeze back should be no problem for you GL to see you back but what happen that didn't happen that did not happen at all yeah uh five and a half hour delay on my flight because a bird flew into the blew into the wind screen of the incoming flight from stanstead the one that I was on the week before coming out from obviously stunad to to Pula that the same flight obviously when that flight lands they just kick everybody out turn it around and go back but we were stood there waiting for that to happen nothing happened we were just stood there and I said to Natasha this isn't this isn't right they they wouldn't just keep this on the ground for like half an hour without doing anything normally they you know what they're like these Ryan Air and EasyJet flights they they're in and out quick aren't they every minute they spend on the ground is money uh to them so when it didn't when nothing happened I thought this this doesn't look good and then you got the the random text on the app saying oh by the way uh there's a problem with your plane we're not taking off an now until I think they said 5 P 5 this was bear in mind I've been at the airport since 11:30 the flight was supposed to take off at 2:00 then they sent a text to saying oh it be 5:00 sorry and everyone was like for God's sake and then because we' already been through security they had to they didn't know what to do with us then because you've been to Pooler airport it's tiny isn't it it's even smaller than south end it's it's it's really little and they sort of kept us in there for a bit and then they went n you all you've all got to go back so we all have to go back through security uh through passport control the other way but there's nothing there is there in poer airport there's there's a couple of dutyfree shops a dodgy Cafe um and that's it isn't it there's literally nothing else there so then they set another tech say n n it's not going to be fire it's going to be six because it it turned out that because that Ryan a don't have a base in Pula they didn't have any technicians there so they had to fly the technicians out on a Le jet from stanstead into Pula and then and also a new crew by the way because they couldn't use the same crew because that delay would have meant the crew went well over their allotted hours and they're not allowed to fly are they they've been working for x amount of time so they had to send a technician and a new crew on a Le jet over to over to Pula and then they had to fix it they just said bird strike which I I think from what I can gather means a bird or like a I'm guessing it was bigger than as Sparrow I guess it was like a goose or something uh at some point smashed into something important so that would have been so bad if it was if it's on your own you don't you don't you don't really mind if it's on your own but when you've got you know your misses and your kid there and a kid in lean who who's bored after like 30 seconds of anything um five and a half hours in a in a boring airport and then of course you got to get back to stanstead there's a massive queue there then I had to had to get involved with the car people cuz that was going to be delayed on the parking so I had to text them and say I'm sorry I'm going to be late and all this sort it's a whole pain I got back I think it was about it was about 10:00 last night which was about 11 hours after I left the accommodation in in umag so then I've got up this morning had a look at Washington DC so that's that's where we are mate at the minute it's uh it's it's you know I don't like to moan about these things but uh there you go and of course you can't get a refund by the way either you can get you can get a refund but only if don't take the flight so I could have walked out of there and said I'm not having this and I could have got a full refund but because I took the flight you don't get a penny so there you go that's where we're at that's been Ben Weekly game bet match thank you very much for watching this been a fantastic show Sean does anything ever go smoothly for you mate does anything ever go smoothly uh the rest of the the week was all right there was no problems of the outbound flight or anything like that there's no no problem with the taxi pickups there was no no real issues at the the tennis or mozes that was a problem but I mean that was only a minor issue everything else went all right but you were so happy you were so happy on that patio you were happy you were it feels like about 10 years ago now that does even though it was about two or three days ago yeah and this morning you took lean to basketball morning had to get up you take lean to basketball yeah and then come back look at these matches it's not matches it's like um okay it's like a practice session he's getting pretty good at basketball actually well at Le is some positive you know basketball session went well tonight you know listen relax now we're back at one thing it's very very hotty today I know I've said it every day but today it's really really hot on my Instagram little post today I put up it was 34 degrees when I took so that's about 100 just over 100 is in the direct sun is that or in the shade yeah just sitting just sitting on that little bit there it was really hot so anyway I might see the bus go past in a minute the little train that's going to go back INE yeah little train will go past as we're doing these videos nice little backd drop the the grapes are coming out as well I might I might not go home I might stay I quite like it just can't get back anyway because you know there's a problem probably well well I won't take I won't take the flight you're not on Ryan Air are you no no easy jet we' got off in the world anyway let's move let's move on let's move on from the from last week and concentrate this week obviously there's only one 8b2 8p 500 event this week it's in Washington there's also the women's tournament going on at the same time we've just done a podcast with to Roy jaani looking at the women's draw and that's the turn of the men's with sha um there's Olympics going on as well Sean and you know we've got lots of tenis action going on there's a show on the Olympics and myself and Sean which we recorded 24 hours ago the weather out there's been awful so that could potentially still be live so we've got you covered here throughout the week uh Washington Preview this is all about the tournament in Washington uh to give us some Trends in Washington it's going to be hot I mean it's hot here hot hot in the UK it's it's hot in America as well um give us a little trends of what to expect the cor speed the conditions and look at the previous winners it's been dominated by big servers yeah but they changed it a couple of years ago from a quick Sports Master surface that they always used before which was good it was Lively it was quick you kind of knew what you were getting and as you said quite a lot of big servers won it but they changed it to a hartery one in 2022 and it's a lot slower now but I don't think that's the court itself I think it's the fact that they they're using now these techn fiber balls which I've moaned about a lot of times on this show they're awful they're like dog balls they're they're Dreadful they're so slow um they have them in Rotterdam as well it's it just slows everything down it makes it very very hard to hit winners um The Players Taylor Fritz was saying last year it was so slow you couldn't believe how slow it was plus the humidity there makes makes the balls fluff up a little bit makes it a little bit slow as well so I don't think it's the surface which is a Harr one which they don't they don't use anywhere else really apart from the the clay one in Houston I don't know any other tournament that uses an outdoor hard hard true but I think the issue is the balls and the humidity so since it's been this new Surface it averages only 79% holds and 72% first serve points W that's about two or 3% down on the average when it was a sport master um so I've just looked at the the trends and and the stats from the last two additions because I don't think anything else is relevant because it was on a different surface so uh averages 42% tiebreak matches and in the two editions there's a slight Trend to the overs 54% of the matches in the last two editions have gone over 22 and a half games Underdog winners it's it's kind of bang average 34% um but the weather is all important here I know it's been very very hot in in Washington DC in recent weeks like really hot I think it's a touch cooler now but it's still very very hot and humid around about the same sort of temperature that you're sitting in there um but with quite high humidity quite a lot of thunderstorms Thunders showers expected so it's it's it's hot it's humid it's slow um so that those are the things that you got to bear in mind if if we look at the trends um Dan Evans last year became the only unseeded player to win this tournament since radic steepen won it in 2011 so it's it normally goes to one of the seeded players but looking at this draw I think all bets are off as far as the trends are concerned because this is a much weaker tournament than it usually is because everyone's at the Olympics um but I'll go through the trends anyway only two number one seeds have won this title in the last 10 editions and four of the last five Runners up have been priced between 40 to1 and 200 to one so a lot of big price losers in the final um you know very very good prices good for the each way obviously bet Rivers only one player from the qualifying draws made the semi since David weaton remember him oh yes I do semi-finalist at wi always semi-finalist at wi he always had a bit of a Ser volley game at Wimbledon didn't he anyway David weaton made the semi-finals here in 1997 only one player from the college draws made this semy since that was Peter gofi as a lucky loser in 2019 so qualifiers don't don't normally go well so that's the conditions hot humid slower than it used to be um and yeah there we are that's that if you look at the previous winners Dan Evans as Sean said they won in 2023 a shock result there Kiros in 2022 yanic sinner 2021 curios again in 2019 very very in 2000 back to back in 2018 and 20 17 and as Sean touched on there the draw here hasn't got the caliber of those kind of players playing in the draw um let's have a look at the draw and this is the way it should go obviously it's a it's a 48 man draw uh with 16 seeds guarantee through to the second round and the other 32 players playing for the right to play those seeds and if it went to the seedings which some of these these things very rarely do this is how the draw would pan out in the top half of the draw number number one seed is Andre rub he will play rinda kich kabash baina will play TFO cord will play vtic pettish perigard will play Thompson that's the top half bottom half davidovic Rina against caboi Michelson V kachanov manarino K manovic and Nakashima against Shelton now when I was writing that draw down Sean I was going he can't he can't win it he can't win it he can't win it he can't win it he can't win it he can't win it and did that to the 16 players so hopefully you have a better idea of where we should be going than me because this this looks like Minefield I don't have a better idea I wish I did um I was kind of doing it the other way I was I was doing what exactly what you were doing but I was going he could win it he could win it so the exact opposite but the same the same thing same same conclusion um the same conclusion but yeah different different way of looking at it yeah I mean I'm looking at this draw now I've been looking at it for a while I did have this draw at the airport yesterday it it was available to me I didn't have any odds but I had the draw and 6 hours in the airport didn't really give me any more plus plus two hours on the plane so eight hours I obviously wasn't looking at the whole time but it didn't really give me much of a clue I'm I'm I'm going to take a punt on one as you can imagine um I don't think there's any real Advantage top half or bottom half it just looks it just looks a mess this draw doesn't it it you've got the number one seed Andre rublev I mean you saw more of him probably in new mag than I did did last week but not not in great form I can imagine the heat and humidity here is going to send him nuts at some point you know he his blood boils at the best of times anyway in this sort of heating humidity if he's not playing well I think there could be problems might need a medic on hand uh well for several players actually in this heat but certainly for him and then you're looking at the next seed down is rendines who's just gone deep in Atlanta in insanely hot conditions that also puts me off um nishioka who's in there somewhere in that in that second quarter he's a player that he's when he's playing well and he obviously is at the minute then he's one to follow but he's got to the final in Atlanta another long match last night he's still got the final to play difficult to see him doing it backto back weeks in these these sort of hot conditions kabes Bay I can't I can't see him winning a outdoor hardcore tournament even even as slow this one he's played a ton of tennis lately as well um then you're into TFO who can continues to sort of confound he played well at Wimbledon then lost I think to nioka um in Atlanta still very up and down I'd like it quicker for him anyway than this I think this is his home tournament he's from like the Baltimore area isn't he T I think this is his home tournament he's never done particularly well here uh Sebastian cord who I I would think would want it quicker and he's always a fitness doubt he he's one that I'll be worried about in extreme heat uh and as I say it's a bit too slow for him anyway vukic is the next one he retired ill last week in Atlanta due to the heat he's played a ton of tennis and it's it's probably too slow for him as well uh then you're into imp pety pericard who you would think would want it very quick or certainly quicker than this but he's a a possibility he's obviously won a tournament in Leon on the clay so he can play on slower surfaces as well he's perhaps one of interest there and then Jordan Thompson who's still got to play the Atlanta final so he's going to be shattered you would think as well well so that's the top half does that make it any clearer no no I didn't think it did I didn't think it did and the bottom half is even more confusing there goes the train there goes the train there we go there goes the train there we go see the train there there I can see it in the background yeah it's actually cheaper to get a cab isn't it than that 100% it's actually cheaper for myself lean and and Natasha it was 10 10 EUR it's four Euros per adult isn't it and two EUR if you're under 10 yeah which which lean was even if he wasn't I would have said he was anyway save two so two two is two certainly is half an ice cream nice so yeah what was I talking about yeah the train anyway let's let's not let's not worry about the train but a cab as you say is only it's only about 10 EUR anyway isn't it yeah yeah then you get rather then you yeah and it all condition perfect so the bottom half it's even more confusing than the top off yeah so you've got davidovich forina who I sort of did toy with for a while but he he just doesn't have the consistency match to match to you just know he's going to throw in a bad one at some point or you feel like he is which is why he's never really he's not won a tournament yet ATP to level got to the final Monte car Mass has won you I think didn't he yeah um big jovic and got got to that final I think off the top of my head but yeah very very inconsistent then you got Cabo who's played a load of tennis on Clay um you wouldn't really expect him to win a an ATP 500 on hard at the minute um Nicholson who's someone that I would prefer you know in quicker conditions again um kov is certainly a possibility but you know when does he ever win a tournament about once every five or six years I think he's only W one since he won that Paris one back in what 2018 2019 won Z High didn't he last year that that's the only tournament that I can remember him winning in the in the last sort six or seven years so he's not someone to to regularly you want to put your money on uh then you're into man who's absolutely shocking form and even if he was in good form you wouldn't have fancied him in these conditions K manovic is possible shapovalov yeah maybe if if they have good weeks but those two are not not what you would call Reliable are they you know you wouldn't be surprised if either of them either lost in the first round or or made the final you know who knows so the one I'm taking is is Nakashima this is a very long buildup for this but I'm taking let's give let's give the odds on before we come into nak Washington Futures Market let's give the odds on the market Ru is the and bet rivers of the same conclusion as us really they can't really find a clear favorite rubby is plus 650 Shelton is $9 he's in that bottom half TFO is $9 quarter 10 there's that Trio of American players kachanov is 11 shaal 16 Jiang is 16 DAV Ren at 18 and pesi perigard is 18 Nakashima is 22 going to come on for that in a minute melson 25 Thompson 25 and appela who is on the comeback Trail is 28 to1 so they are the prices with bet Rivers Head across the website now you'll be able to check out all those odds but Sha's pick is down that list about the 10th in the betting is Nakashima who is in the bottom half chice C 13 he due to play Ben Shelton the last 16 but Ben Shelton is not a a tough challenge at the moment so give us the argument for Nea it's not the strongest of arguments to be completely honest I think it's I think it's the best of of what I can do with with the draw that we've got and the odds that we've got um there are some reasons to fancy him I think he's going to handle a which is a a big factor here for me uh he made the final in Atlanta not this time but previous occasion also made the final in Lost Cabos where it's very very hot as well and in San Diego won the title in San Diego where it was a slow hardc very slow hard cour pretty warm conditions not not that hot but he ticks the boxes for being able to handle the heat he ticks the box for been able to get to a final on on a slow hardc cour Los lost Cabos is slow San Diego is slow um so he ticks those two boxes he should also be highly motivated playing at home obviously an American player you know no American has won this since Andy rodic in 2007 so the Americans have been waiting well it' be 17 years this year without seeing one of their home players uh win the tournament is made the final a couple of times I think McKenzie McDonald made the final here at a a very big price when it was quicker a few years ago lost a CER in the final 150 to1 I think he was um McKenzie McDonald that year so certainly due one the Americans the the draw for Nakashima obviously You' mentioned the fact that he'll probably have to beat Shelton but he's not exactly in great form is he Shelton um and I wouldn't have thought this slow humid conditions would be ideal for him at all um and Nakashima is is is a more proven performer excuse me on the in these sort of condition so it's it's a tentative pick I don't think anybody can be look at this draw and be confident about an outright this week everyone will have theories this is my theory uh a 22 to1 each way Brandon Nakashima I think that's that's the best I can do yeah I thought you might have gone for someone in un SE like a really big 100 one shot or you know given the record of The Underdogs there I thought you might be finding someone completely random just in the mix I might still we've got we've got a couple of shows to do yeah haven't we this week it I think once this first round's out of the way I might have a a sort of clearer picture but it's a it's a really really this is one of the toughest draws of the season I think if you're getting an outright winner here that isn't the the favorite or the second favorite I think you're doing very well yeah it's a draw that throws up more questions and answers for sure a lot of these players are sort of in terrible form of the Season lot of them have concerns about their form lot of concerns about their Fitness uh coming through tough matches in Atlanta as well so lots of questions to be answered at the city open in Washington and hopefully we have the answers to those questions over the next couple of days as Sean said there we'll be back on Tuesday and Wednesday previewing these matches as well as matches at the Olympic Games as well you have looked at three matches for us in the first round and let's start off with the first match it's rori up against borich reservor is Emil Ruusuvuori Vs Borna Coric minus 157 currently with bet Rivers plus 125 for corich the spread is one and a half reservor is minus 125 giving up the one and a half corage receiving one and a half start is minus 103 total is 2 two and a half with over minus 1221 under - 106 they've met once before in 2021 in Melbourne P won that match 75 64 which would have reduced 22 games which would mean the unders would have casted on the totals a difficult match to start with for this one what you're thinking here I think they're all difficult yeah yeah yeah they're all extremely difficult I think you might have to be a little bit careful with your Stakes this week because I think we're going to get some peculiar results because of the heat and humidity that that I think it's going to lead to a few problem problems for a few players and these are two players that aren't particularly keen on this sort of heat Rus ofor has struggled a lot in the heat in the past as you could probably imagine coming from Finland uh he's not he's not a great one in the heat he's always got a retirement in him uh and corich had a a lot of issues last week in the heat of Atlanta as well where he lost to Mayo and he was he was having his Vital Signs checked so two guys that will hope be hoping for either a very late match or a very early one where where they're out of the Heat but I think this I think this price is a little bit too short on Rus ofori definitely last 50 main level matches on outdoor hard I've compare the two of them that their stats are exactly the same their service points one and return points one tits both 101 and their service hold and break titles both 100 so if you're doing it on the bare stats on this surface it's an absolute pick them uh move on to the head-to-head which was on a outdoor hardcore reasonably paced outdoor hardcore in Melbourne 2021 cage won it but the service points what was he won it in straight sets and it was pretty dominant service points won and return points W total 110 to 90 in favor of of borner corage so a a commanding win really uh so the matchup I know it's only one match it it certainly hasn't favored Ru r or it didn't on that particular occasion coage has also been out here in the States this part of the world longer to acclimatize to this extreme heat obviously he prepared for Atlanta then he played that match which he disappointingly lost to to Mayo in and struggling in the heat um Rus ofo not played since Wimbledon so he's a little bit out touch as well both of these players have really really struggled with injuries this year um Rus Roy has just not been able to get going after an injury earlier on in this season coric is a seemingly always injured um so and and these are the best three matches I could find so that that's where we're at it's a tough one but I think there's value on on Courage plus 125 um he is I think I think this should be at worst a pick them there's an argument for saying cor should be slight favorite so I think there isn't that much value around but I think corage is uh is worth a bet plus 125 I think is a as I say bit of value on him here B cor our first pick the seran his plus 125 to beat ruse ofori the Finn in extreme weather hot conditions always a good strategy to oppose the finished players in the heat I think that's probably not a bad assumption to even start with uh minus plus 125 courage is a decent bet there the next match sees Riley opelo on Reilly Opelka Vs James Duckworth the comeback Trail he got reached the semi-finals in Newport we we bet him didn't we and one his match two to1 was was huge sub subject to a huge gamble on that occasion a lot of people liked him there he went to the last 16 in Atlanta and he's up against uh the veteran James Duckworth who's always always someone that I I think is uh a dangerous opponent especially in this kind of events pelker is a very very heavy favorite here minus 22 5 which ran who at a lengthy layoff is a very very short price James dwor hasn't played his wi he's plus 175 this bre's two and a half Appel minus two and a half isus 110 Dorth receiving two and a half he's the favorite at minus 125 in the totals as as you would expect with theel matches his high it's 23 and a half with over minus 1225 and under minus 110 they met once before in a challenger event in 2018 long time ago six years ago now but Dorth did win that 766 three and U Aela he seems to be a player that is just getting bet because everyone oh it's Riley Aela he's going to come back to his form he's a big server it's a hard call you know's he's a giant of a man and he's he's gonna blow people away think minus 225 is a very very low price for very short I don't like the the really big guys like Isner and obviously Aela round it in this sort of heat and humidity I always feel like it it takes more out of them it just feels like they have to the movement and stuff the movement becomes very labored um if the fact that it's not quick here you know he can't he can't just get away with his serve I don't think he probably can to a degree obviously but it's that slow I imagine with Riley Aela still being quite a big name I imagine he'll probably be on a show CT possibly at night which will make it even slower more humid um not good conditions for him I just like the odds on duck with here plus 190 I saw about D duor um it's it's a good price it really is I mean as you said he beat Aela as a A plus 117 Underdog so he was only 2.17 in decimal that day now he's 2.9 plus 190 uh in that career meeting yes it was a few years ago but he didn't even face a break point that day Duckworth and now he's plus 190 against the same player several years later and a player that's just had two years out not a few months two years out with injury and has come back and he said he he said about Newport he said he's body was absolutely wrecked by the time he got to the semi-finals um played a couple of matches in the in um in Atlanta beat Kover chich lost to davidovic forina um you've got to wonder how how his body is is reacting after several matches six or seven matches five or six matches having not done anything really for two years Duck's got a decent record against BG serers he's beaten Ben Shelton a couple of times beat Kiros querry obviously beating apela as well and he's four and two win loss in tie breaks in matches against the big servers in my in my database so he's held his nerve well against the big servers in in tie breaks and you feel like tie breaks are probably inevitable here as well again this is another match where we're talking about Fitness AEL we've just said he's had two years off can't can't be at his best fitness duckor pulled out a Newport and Atlanta with a back problem now he's back is he fit enough maybe this is what this price is about I don't know um I don't think the Heat's going to bother him though you know he's he's played a lot of very tough matches in Australia in very high heat I don't think he's going to have an issue with it I would be more worried about Aela in this sort of heat and humidity as I said the big guys I'm not keen on them so duckor for me plus 190 you can get somewhere around that I think that's um I think that's decent yeah the current price of bet Rivers is plus 175 unless he Chang with bu 175 he hasn't played since wi in D was TI pulled out for a couple of tournaments as Shan said there back problem but he has been playing a lot of hard cour tennis this season his record and this kind of levels been has been pretty good and obviously the pelker been out for two years he is a a public player I think Riley but pelker I think a lot of people like him like his style think he immediately come back and show the form he did three or four years ago which uh I don't think it's the case so Duckworth here plus 175 I also like the the spread uh plus two and a half because Aela will win sets 76 and you could you could 76 76 you're still going to cast on the two and a half so head any odds on that that's the only reason I didn't I couldn't see any odds a lot of these matches haven't been priced up yet have they or they're just being priced up now and they're kind of trickling through I had seen the prices on the handicap yeah minus 125 it is it's two and a half start for James Duckworth but head across the bit with's website there'll be a load of markets being added throughout these day I mean this is a normal time for the American viewers watching this you'll be able to have a nice lie in and watch it with all the action being across in Europe you know have an early start you'll be able to watch it a reasonable hour and remember if you do place a bet with bet Rivers you can bet live and watch live with bet Rivers this matches will be streamed on the BET Rivers app if you do place a wager on the match let's move on to our final match it's mayot minus 137 against Christopher O'Connell Vs Harold Mayot oconnell plus 110 two players in real terrible form at the moment may on the on the spread is two and a half May giving up the two and a half is plus 110 oconnell receiving two and a half is heav favorite minus 150 total 22 and a half over - 125 under minus 110 okon was lost in the first round in his last six tournaments and it hasn't won in the main draw since Miami back in March but may saying that isn't in great form himself um OK Connell if you're looking for an underdog price I'm sure I'm sure you're looking favor towards o Conor here but his form is is really questionable isn't it it is but he's he's not been fit for for a while um I think with one if oconnell is fit then he's a a very decent price is under Underdog against mayot who's kind of plays most of his tennis at Challenger level the odd Bor into the into the main main draw main level um doesn't tend to do particularly well at this level I think he is sort of decent Challenger level that's that's about it really um OK Connell another Australian that's had injury problems you know like Duckworth but for a longer period of time he's only played two matches since retiring at Rome I I'll tell you what he said about the Olympics cuz he had qualified for the Olympics he said I was so excited to qualify for the Olympics and I'm disappointed that my body is just not where it needs to be to compete on the clay so I'm reading into that the fact that he he feels like he he can't handle the really long rallies on the clay but he's he's more than happy to try try his look on the hard courts he withdrew from the Olympics played at Atlanta last week where he was a setup and five all in the second set against purel then having dropped that second set 75 he went away a bit tamely in set three which suggests he's just getting back to that that match Fitness but he's another one the heat the heat I don't think he going to worry him that much obviously he's played a ton of matches in Australia um I just can't have mayot as favorite at this level against a a more than capable opponent a better player you would certainly argue I mean mayot is 27 win loss in his last nine matches at Main level one of those two wins was against aor aage who was struggling in the Heat last week in Atlanta and that was after mayot had lost to Billy Harris in in qualies and got back in as a lucky loser so if you look at the alltime stats at Main level oconnell couple of points better service points one 10 points one tler 98 mayot 96 which is tells you pretty much the level that that mayot is the other thing is May's only won three out of the nine main level matches he's played outside of France he tends to do his best stuff in places like monel um you know Mets the these kind of places so I mean he's a doubtful stay in the heat as well although he did he did he did better than Bor corage last week in those sort of hot conditions but I feel like if if you are having a bet on this one it's this is a PT and I think it's got some value because I think o Connell probably needs to win this in straight sets and he is the better player if he's fit I think he's got a reasonable chance of winning it in straight sets and that's a plus 240 chance bet Rivers plus 24 40 uh the odds I saw so betting in this OK connell's a better player feel like he's got to win it in two because the the stage is at in his recovery so I'd take the two-nil if I was betting in that take a chance take a chance why not plus 110 on the money line plus 240 to win two nil sound reasoning to go for the bigger price on the prop there of the two-nil set win uh so there's three bets uh there is an outright pick there and what is actually going to go down on the official records Sean the official records are looking quite good we I think we're about 6 point something units up in the season so far Rory's overtaking you with 12 units of profit after his win last week on the money line with mag on the tournament in Prague with mag the Lanette so about 19 points combined Good Start yeah I mean for the as far as official plays are concerned um taking Duckworth I think you said plus 175 didn't you that's unfortunately that's going to be the price that's going to be plus 175 still bigger than I I would have expected it to be really um that's to beat that's duck with to beat Riley appela and borner corich plus 125 Underdog to beat uh Rus aori and the outright which is it's the best guess I can come up with I think there were some pretty sound reasons for it um but Nakashima 25 to1 each way 22 to1 I think he is isn't he actually uh yeah he he's the outright for me it's in what is an extremely difficult draw very very difficult one of the most toughest draws to break down of the season so far my thoughts exactly when I looked at it this morning when I when I broke it down SE spent eight hours at an airport trying to do it and he we could have do it yeah well there wasn't much to do other than that so nashima is 22 to1 is our pick there's our two picks on the on the matches tomorrow corich at plus 12 125 Duckworth at plus 175 head across to the B's website you'll see the order of play you'll see loads of props you'll see loads of specials more than any other sports book Across America uh with the bet those odds on the tennis offering that we're offering you there uh myself and Shan will be back on Tuesday I'm flying back to London tomorrow hopefully no delays hopefully no uh no birds flying the wind screen no hopefully none of that hopefully straight in straight out and get back to London myself and Sean will be back on Tuesday and Wednesday looking at the matches here in Washington and at the Olympics and I'm sure probably adding to our portfolio on the outright wins with probably 100 run shot that could go all the way here uh if you want to follow all our content you can on our social media page at because we win on Twitter and on Instagram please subscribe if you haven't done so yet to our YouTube channel betting weekly Studios it's tennis all the way now the countdown to the US Open starts which is a month a month away before we' be flying out to uh to New York for the US Open and we'll have all the breakdown of all the tours now some big 1,000 events coming up here keep the comments coming lots of comments keep them positive any bets you like any interest anything you want to share with us any questions happy to answer them on the comments box below and please obviously like and keep ringing that Bell be notified of every time any of the content drops and finally if you want to download the podcast Benny Weekly game bet match you can do so on your preferred podcast provider Sean nice to see you back I know it was a long day yesterday I appreciate your time uh a very long day I appreciate your time today go and get some rest uh you don't you don't have to sit on up either side court and watch le play today put your feet up you have a nice nice cold one and have a nice bit of lunch and uh and get yourself fresh for the next couple of days enjoy your day off tomorrow thanks everyone for watching uh we'll be back again on Tuesday breaking down the tournament here in Washington and all the Olympic action in Paris take care enjoy your day thanks for watching