Thursday Lines - Season 5, Ep 27 | 'Blues Despair to Elation'

Show Start hiin stn and bending back it's a goal hiin just kicked the goal he's got the goal the finals at the moment 12 seconds left welcome to Thursday lines I'm your host Scoot and what a week of AFL and N we've had mg Year got a bit of freshing up there's no AFL this week uh we probably done it a couple of times but are you Pro or against this little week freshener that's good I like to roll with the action you know me I like the backup so I'm straight into it for mine um I don't you this just doesn't make any sense at all just gives the uh NRL free hit at it again they don't need the buy just just get straight into it let's uh you know get it over and done with you know I mean you know who's missing from concussion scoot this week who need who needed the week off no one so uh yeah no I'm a fan get straight into it scoot nick tesi uh you welcome the free the free hit league needs every uh little leg up they can from the AFL given the afl's more popular sport within Australia and uh the rugby league is starting to look at Papa New Guinea for answers but um welcome to the show D in rugby league Nick tesi top row I'll be very disappoint with your attitude toward the greatest count of all uh well didn't season would have known was if we have to go jump in a to machine every week and go Friday Thursday to pre you on this podcast but uh um no look at I think we'll look at the the straightaway viewership the year tells you a pretty strong Story the most popular sport is L Flying L doesn't care L cares so little that even in MN they're wrestling with new players so not to worry there uh P yeah nothing new there per coming p& next uh Lo the only the the world game we're about to become the national game yeah outstanding the real big news positive night I like how he says he's about to become so he's just gone from saying they are and now it's about to Good Luck Good Luck in P top rope work well last the best news as I was going NRL News & Review toh talk about is the talk of under 21's rugby league uh back back on the agenda used to be frantic betting in the under 20s I think this is this just doubles the fun and doubles the action for us it is very very very exciting from a cering point of view a some of the the oh look look that's not throwing out the bus that's not called Roos this just called little uh uh nice little wages oh my gosh some of the team in and out some of the some of the mov they very very exciting you just it's a chip head overs bet for the first eight weeks of the year every time oh it's going to be fantastic it's um fun little story about uh what fox were a bit filthy about um the National Youth competition being disbanded uh it used to rate four times as high as the Super Rugby games they used to show on television so FY that the uh uh they wouldn't be able to show up anymore so unlucky to them but poor old rugby there are completely cast now they've got to deal with thec humiliating them again I think it's all it's just all upside and it' be great to see and the bookmakers will be licking their lips I would have thought it's pretty hard to take uh some of the big money on the under 20s and um yeah some of the biggest under 20s punters they not with us or some of them are um in the clink so it's G GNA be interesting I do remember I do rememberr one the um new football stadium one is nothing with a ro this was just and and obviously at the time these days were like coming through but they W as speak the um yeah so lron Mitchell and Joseph Maru are going to be playing in the under in the under 20s you probably want to back them against the shars it's like oh like $350 outside of 350 to120 bang that's what we're going to see we're going to see some uh crazy crazy flocks so once that uh gets formally announced it's going to be an absolute uh boom time for top rope and anyone that jumps on his subscription cuz that's going to be uh Next Level goodness and they'll be Ro Galore so can't wait for that one but uh it's starting to get to the serious side of things there's a couple upsets last week tigers um where did that come from 34 to 26 over Manley top rope uh where did that come come from came from the back pocket of the referee simp players so that's that certainly didn't help um hurt but uh I good at like like tigers are absolutely I they're a different they're a different team I set have set up with that win they set up one of the most anticipated events of the RO League season this week the spoon ball Paramount doesn't matter what they do this week it's so good a room par want be resting some players to get involved in the spoonball 6:00 next Friday perfect time SL heels for the Wen 30,000 left the game it's exciting so um the Tigers a little bit late uh mely mly do like to dog on the road so uh yeah it a goodday I think the big probably get to next with the Raiders Panthers is that we had turn next yeah well there that's now they're I guess they they're on the slide a little bit Melbourne storm cber Raiders are the wheels coming off is is this finally going to be the year that we see him um tipped over could be could be um four par come back late SC 16 points the last 10 minutes to to come back and win that one um they were that is a store but little bit unlucky they were Dreadful against C absolutely Dreadful would Bex this they got every opportunity to play themselves the four wi as Jo rers uh R are absolutely horrendous I can't recall what te here this year chance the word is clear is not as bad as to thought so probably going play this week I think you'll play next week uh yeah oh I wouldn't be too worried about uh penalty um um yeah I lost this week or bad performance this week you might Su Qui yeah yeah two in a row has been re pen three in a row the last few years has been not exist I did like in our warmup we were sort of talking about the US Open and you mentioned how boring tennis was cuz you know the top four seeds they just go on and have won everything for the last 20 years Mark reminds us which is probably fair I'm just going to put a bit of a a graphic up on the screen given that penrith have won the last three and uh if you have a look at the graphic that we're just about to produce storm of the minor Premier here and for the last what's that 11 years we had roosters storm and Panthers uh minor Premier so that's alarm bells for me if uh if you look at the AFL um and their draft system uh you'll see a lot more variety there you could nearly call this boring and then if if I look at the last a 11 or 12 winners of the NRL Premiership I've got Panthers three times I've got you got six different Premier you got six different Premier yeah but then if you stretch for another year it's the storm in 2012 so year Seagal back at 7 in 2011 and stretch back all you got the dragons that's that's 18 te since 2010 and if you scratch it if you go back to 2009 and then 2007 you got two scratchings I can see it there's a little other two teams you can ask so it's not a boring competition and can you explain this at the top why is the minor Premier ship looking so skewed there with only three three clubs do they pinch or the T is it brown paper bags I'm I'm alleging that I'm not saying it is but what's how how well run certain clubs are but it's like the M Prem are so little value that teams like pen tanked a couple years ago I rest of all their players a chance to win the mprip people don't care it's like you want a top four spot there is definitely advantage in finishing top two after that people just so um yeah the best T of them one things that the has to be careful with last of bit all this draft garage is like the biggest load of absolute bollocks in the world no matter what SP is with the AFL all you do is get massive T tanking at the bottom look at look at how look at the number of wins from wooden storm clubs in the last uh the last 10 years in the NRL video we'll tell tell a certain story what the difference is where the NRL is going to find a problem l a bit is parody's always been the key absolute key for the but I think was some the the mid the early 90s to to the roof in turn row teams no there's no back toback Ms now where that's G skewed is the salary cap and the same for every Club but it's getting to such a point that players are willing to take less money because the the marginal difference between saying somewhere your like for 00,000 and going somewhere you for a million dollars it was go just stay where I lo for th000 whereas in in the old days seen yeah 300,000 or 500,000 yeah a fair percentage right so that's where the that's where we kind of see it stretch out a little bit the top over the last three or four years something pb's going to want to keep it close ey I would have thought how does he do that so then how does he fix that because he's obviously got a fair bit on his hands he's doing a great job of trying to sell Rose Hill but how do they fix the salary cap issue that you just spoke about for NRL to make let's let's not misconstrue the words said I didn't saying it was an issue the in the near future what what they need what they need to do is just keep a preone LD on the cap and that means I would think stretching out Sports a little bit more so they've got like 11 million for for 30 players now Mak 11 minutes at 32 plays that's what they need to do we can we can pick that one up maybe at the start of next season Once More players get traded or or move across to the uh minor Premier clubs that we've just displayed on the screen mg it is a break in AFL world this week AFL Review but wow what a exciting Saturday oh Sunday sorry uh afternoon that was Carlton one of the biggest chokes of your life um and then uh you've had Port ad just steamroll Freeman who were pretty incipit with the ball they were sloppy and carton get the saloon passage in so I guess the the result prior was all academic especially with the Western Bulldogs uh doing a pretty good job of gws uh um can't really uh think that Collingwood and Freeman will deserve to be in the finals and I think the top Eight's been pretty warranted in terms of U the consistency across the entire of the the season obviously Carlton are decimated by injury so I guess they deserve a bit of a chance to uh Salvage their season yeah it was a great Sunday scoot it was um yeah very exciting all three games actually which they needed cuz uh unless you had some good good oil or information whatever you want to refer to it early week there was some philps going around scoot there was some uh well I'm going to say this end end of season trips were certainly paid for this is going to be some fat Babs around the world scoot wherever they travel because uh there was some absolute lay downs West Coast laid down to jalong the betting was was was crazy um your hawks just you know betting a practice match it it was a fill up as well um you know and then uh you know Sydney doing the job Brisbane pulled up late you know and kick the last five just to you know tease their supporters again for next year poor bombers um but yeah the Sunday was unbelievable like you know the um you know the dogs Giants I think the Giants might have taken a bit easy scoot with the uh the weather the way it was they pulled a couple of players out uh on the morning of because um I think they were quite happy to stay at home and play Sydney um week one of the finals so um yeah Carlton were um you know they'd worked hard under under man all game and then basically the choke at the end was pretty poor and yeah if they' missed that um the finals because of that would have been very disappointed but yeah freem men or uh you know that they match Caron's effort against bodly in the last four games of the year they were in the top four with the month to go and lost their last four to uh to miss out but yeah I think overall scoot I think you're right I think the the top eight teams um is where most of the Year's been for form um Carlton probably decimated by injuries they probably the only one that don't deserve uh or probably won't participate too heavily their big Outsiders week one so um you know and Port Adela just keep flying under the radar skot you know our two preseason bets Sydney and Port they've landed the onew slot so um you know both are double figures at the start of the year so yeah we're pretty well placed there at the moment I think Porter going under the radar massively I think they'll take care of JAL long week one which we'll um cover shortly and Sydney can do the job at home which have been pretty strong this year against the Giants they've won their last three against them then yeah we're a chance to never no scoot cards might fall and we might have the onew slot in the grand final day and uh just sit back and enjoy it outstanding stuff aflw begins uh tomorrow night uh you're AFL W pretty good at this Caper early Premiership tip Brisbane of favorites 480 kangaroos $5 Adela 6 Melbourne 850 jalong $10 and go Coast 16 Sydney $18 at top sport have you had a little dabble uh not yet scoot I'm just going to uh yeah it's always a bit harder to get get wages on during the women's football The Bookies don't like to take the bets but uh BR Brisbane are probably the obvious uh even though it's pretty open uh 480 they're probably the obvious but couple of value scoot I wouldn't mind following having a chip on is uh Gold Coast at 16 and definitely Sydney at 18 I think uh if you're looking for Value they might give you a good run not expect them to play finals this year Sydney Swans uh Global Wrap quick look at NFL season prices Kansas City looking for three p $6 a top sport 49ers $7 the Ravens 10 Bengals 13 Lions 30 Eagles 14 bills 15 Nick Tes is going to tip his ners again no doubt I haven't done the yet so just working through it this week so I have something more for you for you next week uh early thoughts are no Anders early thoughts are maybe to C but uh haven't put the work into yet so Olympics has got me a couple we fine but uh this weekend is dedicated to getting another numbers outstanding mg any mail from Jerry or any of your spies or your TS in the NFL circles but yeah it's good I don't mind the uh the Texans early um early look at $17 um just they recruited really well you know massive underperformers in their recent history but yeah not uh not the worst and the nrl's I mean the NFL's always very open and very difficult to win saying that the Chiefs are going for a three p but um do said I'd have to break some history to get there but um yeah the Texans maybe at $17 scoop outstanding outside the market there but uh cracking and uh gives us something to do it's just beautiful on a Friday morning or Monday morning and then you can get the game pass as well if you don't want to be a night out and stay up all night on Sunday night which is more my cup of tea speaking of burning the midnight oil it's the US Open tennis and looking at the uh the men's quickly top sport ALR 310 jovic 310 cner $450 zarev $8 meddev 14 and Shelton 41 our man uh Ace uh Steven Quick he's uh he's saying that jovic is the value I think he's been 4 into 310 and he's got the easy side of the draw so he's uh the way to play that one and I think he's had a little bit of a Savor on meddev who goes pretty good over there in the women's at sabinka side Tech go uh have got a strangle hold on the on the bding there but don't have any mail or information there let's have a quick look at the premiss prices as we uh straighten the wheels and get deeper into the show here and Sydney Swans a $3 60 gws a $5 Port 5 750 Brisbane jalong AFL Futures 850 Western B 9 Hawks 11 and then Carlton $31 free bet I'll probably take the gws Giants hoping that they uh they knock off the swans early but yeah it's going to be a fascinating uh final series but it's hard to hard to go outside the the top two Port outad yeah I want to believe you mg but uh they've just let us down too many times to to make it but I've got a lot of respect for or more respect for Ken hingley than most especially most Adelaide people I think he's a great coach but um yeah I'm not a a big believer in Port been burnt too many times I I think I don't know how it runs so much in the NRL but definitely in the AFL the statistics um you know if you just taking a liance say through the 2000s through this Century um you know the amount of teams that play off in the Grand Final win the grand final finishing 1 2 and four three seems to be a bogey bogey slot for whatever reason but yeah just a massive advantage to the top four sides so I'm very happy for the two teams that we're on to uh you know slot in at one one and two and if they get the win this week then obviously get the week off straight into the prelim and normally home final at that stage of the year um B's well for playing off in the Grand Final so yeah happy with the with the book and I think uh the team the team the other matches to watch is obviously the two informed teams are the Bulldogs and hawthor we will lose one obviously this week but yeah the winner out of that is definitely going toh scare some uh whoever loses from um the top four team scoot that's going to be a tough match up for whoever they face yeah it's going to be an absolute cker I might have to slip down and have a captain that one in the flesh Brown low metal prices crippa $234 day cost 250 uh luy Neil $750 the bont $15 song $21 who gets votes in the final round uh it's going to be a busy last round um yeah and it might it might go a long way to deci side it but yeah they definitely up there scoot especially the top three um yeah I'm I'm keen on Crips have been for probably the last maybe six weeks of the season I I think he's got enough in the bag and even though Doos Nails on his three Neil will get his I think Crips will he'll pull at least one maybe two in the last round that'll be enough to get it done but it's good to see The Bookies are finally clearing out I think we we spoke to this a couple of weeks ago that you know the market was just too crammed um the ones behind him so Neil's already on the drift um $6 out to 750 in the last couple of days bonds uh got R out he's almost doubled his price same as the wrong Merit um scoot it's a two horse race Neil is a chance because obviously he came from nowhere last year and he has won too before so outside of the top three scoot you can you know I know you got to price these up but pretty much none of them can win for mine so I just don't think there's a lot of meat on the bone outside I think that you know especially as bet Fair as a guide as it gets closer you'll see some big drifts on these ones you know like you know Bon will start you know longer than 20s merits far too short so on can't with wi green you can have the rest so I think uh Crips and day cost will continue to shorten and he'll hold his price there outstanding stuff uh 44 bucks for mg's brown low pack and the good thing is he's only sent about five team votes so you'll still get that one but then the bookies are just dragging their feet with the rest of these markets so there's going to be a ton of product up so if you haven't uh signed up make sure you check that one out NRL NRL Futures Prem mhip prices new favorite here alarm bells ringing for the Panthers as I alluded to earlier $320 to storm now at top sport Panthers 360 and roosters on the same quote at $360 there so your bulldogs at $9 are hanging around like a sheep with dags but it' be surprising if the winner doesn't come from the top three but uh not at all that can be well truly the the best guard for um Premiership success is is defense Bullocks considering fewer tries per G than any other team and have kept team SCS in the second I she Umble four or fifth absolutely Contender I would parent this year we talked about earlier I I B from inclined at 360 P 320 or whatever it was 280 on the Storm I that's a little short there for for Melbourne M Prem have a tremendous record going when Prem so um yeah I I i' be working on those the rest of the RO had the upside to Win It bloody hell got some downside like in that on team put 48 points on the team and look like they doged it for 25 minutes they should have put 70 on them last week I just with was out of the game throwing the ball willly knocking it on there was ordinary team could be posting 48 so um if they if they can get their [ __ ] together they they're 100% in the mix but um yeah I think they to need to get a little more Focus about their performances little a few 8 performances yeah they won't be able to do that and get away with it against storm and Panthers that's for sure mg you finished with a wet saale here big hat tip here Tipping Review round 24 had nine wins three losses 32 and a half units bet so lot of pressing there love that sort of stuff plus 13 units at 40% and it takes your yearly total or Home and Away total to 8.44 units a new chip leader over Mr teshi at 5.61% which is beautiful business and then top rope you went three from three or three and three sorry and uh 16 units bet and there was a drink in it and then you're still uh running around at plus 26 units at 5.96% pot so good season thus far for both of you boys and with plenty more to come let's have a look at uh the first game here and he's uh he's done you a favor this time uh Thursday night it's Cowboys versus Storm so we're NRL: North Queensland Cowboys v Melbourne Storm not in the time machine Cowboys do 23 storm 420 13 and a half the line and 52 a half the total makes sense of this Forest top rope I'm St L going up to as far as it has wring a lot of players wring 11 players uh but K still playing Ryan pepper has still playing Christian Welsh t m still far long host of other players better year perform very well over say c c three their last thir home s last 29 top 14 that's a storm and dos off scoring 48 or more cover 68% top four team win 20 or more at the back the year c 57% s covered 56 in state I don't know how this number has got out so like they 100% bit here the storm uh they really get full the loss this year at seven points now I don't see a lot their size still a couple Stars I haven't play spot for for much of the Year I'll be back in the storm going pretty hard yeah I think the ATMs back there at 1 and a half looks absolute luxury and you've just got so many players peppering to try and um fill in the edges of that storm team so plus 30 half at top sport looks like an absolute gift I couldn't agree more Thursday week AFL: Port Adelaide Power v Geelong Cats we won't talk about it much but we'll talk about a little bit Port Adelaide versus jalong is the next match $149 20 260 sorry the cats 11 and half line and 164 a half Free Bet mg or which way will the market go you think um the open 10 Port um I don't think it's got too much in it to scoot I think around that 10 to 12 range is about right um we got the third best defense in Port against the third best offense so I think that's going to be where it's going to be one port of one six in a row at home um happy to have him a ticket for the Premiership no need to bet and early on the total scoot I'd be leaning just to the over at this stage but obviously the weather's okay for now but we'll we'll see how it chapes up next week but yeah I think it'll Trend slightly poor and slightly over it's an interesting one I think looking at the cats the cats have had maybe a bit of a fake last four to five weeks so played easy teams oh yeah and they haven't just they were 100 points up at uh halftime against West Coast as you said and it looked like West Coast just stayed in the sheds the whole time but there could be a little bit of fake news about the um the cats last four or five weeks so I just I don't like the Midfield match up for jalong it's terrible when you come up against um you know four Keys against Port when he got wines and Butters and um you know Ros I just think it that's where it'll be won I think port at home will get the job done hopefully they will dry deck lot of speed they could be in lots of trouble or that could be the difference let's have a look at Friday night canb NRL: Canterbury Bulldogs v Manly Sea Eagles Bulldogs versus Manley you would have a chub here top rope1 61 so for the the Bulldogs $235 manly three and a half to line and 46 and a half here this would be beautiful no time machine last long we're going for a week this time we instead of and back rather than just rolling through what's actually on this weekend um vog yeah D for the dogs this is the 30 that M are in I think the bogs are probably a b to exited a loss wouldn't be the worst things for can be right now unfortunately our pressing for top four spots they won't be taking it easy but mly one n the last 10 certainly the wood late but Bulldogs covered 15 of the last 20 I think the market just has their wrong way wrong still um they've covered nine of the last 10 at night six the last seven against top eight Team Six the last eight of the course so uh small bit of the dogs not getting over the top here but um probably the last few weeks I kind of maybe a little bit I'm waiting for a little bit of a but say this year so we'll just roll on have SW on the bards I think you just being a little bit cautious over cautious as a loyal follower not used to success but no exactly I think the if the defense is half as good as you said earlier I think they'll be winning this one and jeez I don't like the the West Tigers form for me that absolutely stinks also suro against Sero against SE is a pretty fair coaching edge of the match up there as well so haven't had heard much of his name all year oh well that's CU he's been that's he's got his of the eight and and taking advantage of his soft draw so his time's coming that H next Friday night is an absolute AFL: Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn Hawks Beauty we got Western Bulldogs versus Hawthorne 174 the Bulldogs Hawks 205 3 and a half the line 166 and A2 total mg for your subscribers you've pressed in early the total points over yeah just come up too far apart there scoot um again you're taking a bit of a punt on the early forecast it seems fine um Melbourne weather generally always is scoot we don't get much rain down here so forecast for sun sunny skies for you you won't need a jacket or anything down here when you're coming down Friday night but yeah I just think uh yeah this is this is you probably I I think this is the pick of the finals actually scoot for you to come down and have a look both very good informed teams and probably the downside is we'll lose one going forward but yeah close to a pick him game Bulldogs are dis shaded but I think you're um you know if I was having a bet scoot I'm going to be on your Hawks because at the G Bulldogs have only played there twice this year and gone one and one and you know for mine it's a home home game to uh Hawthorne it's not like the Bulldog crowd's going to scare the Hawks either so um I I think the crowd will be pretty um 50/50 and yeah I think the advantage is with the Hawks and don't be surprised if there's a bit of a swing in the batting here but yeah I just think there'll be offense here and the Bulldogs um are going to have to score you know at least 90 closer to 100 to get this job done scoot so over 164 is too low for me Hawks have been riding high for a long time and I think the only uh negative that I can find about the Hawks is maybe the break won't do them any good that could be the uh big big key like they' been up and about and obviously the the kids bodies sort of get tied and can sort of knock up so if uh they come back in the similar um vein of form and amount of energy especially their pressure off the ball I think they can roll the doggy so fascinating to see how that one rolls out but uh jeez whatever they in this year's final Series be chips in for 2025 I'll have to find every dollar that I've got to back him for the flag next year I and there are the team Dolphins versus Broncos let's NRL: The Dolphins v Brisbane Broncos have a look at this one at suncorp Stadium uh madesi Broncos $45 275 Dolphins 6 and 1 half the line 52 A2 the total wow I know the uh the bronos are on the edge of the eight but $145 seems sickly short about uh those boys oh yeah me out of that um yeah look great Clash rivalry Clash uh doesn't doesn't quite name Q Clash but uh they'll they'll survive um big big game at some loser is out the year winner keeps the hopes and Liv one more week uh BR won all three matchs against the Dolphins are the war pretty close uh suspect this is a handy bassb 20 for the Dolphins teams they've covered both games of coning 40 or more team of considering 48 Plus in the back end of the year cover it 69% Dolphins cover six plus eight loss of thir plus brisman riding eight game non cover streak at sunp so uh yeah they B par last we I thought they were decidedly impressive do set I'll be I'll be back in the dolphin plus six and a half and someone on over 10 half for Year I'll be be cheering on that wi head to head head to head t battle as well yeah stuff yeah looks like a uh an auto bet the Dolphins plus six and a half can't wait for that one Sydney versus GW West is the uh I don't know used talk about West and Bulldog AFL: Sydney Swans v GWS Giants Hawks but uh this could decide who Premier here mg1 62 this one's 225 gws 7 and a half line and 172 A2 at the SG what a bll Terra which way is the money going to run here top rope's favorite contest in the AFL the battle of the bridge to two Sydney teams he loves it I still I still want to know which Bri this is about so true that's why I brought it up you love it it's the third time they played this year you love Battle of the bridge I tell you I do love to the B last time there was a whole lot of freeways not too many bridges conting Western City with her with the city yeah Battle of the bridge third time they played this year scoot um yeah I know you're a fan of the gws which is fine I'm glad I kept you off the Sydney train because uh you know you you were toring with them when they were going yeah aaring now they're back they're back in gear they've had their little uh mid to late season slump won the last three then they've won their last three against the Giants won both of them pretty comfortably this year scoot won by 29 and 27 points at home they got the best defense against the Giants who have actually ranked ninth in defense so that's going to be their Achilles heel um yeah if I wasn't even involved in Sydney so much on the flag and just trying to get him through to the last four m a seven cheek for me I think at home the only downside for me was Sydney they got a full list back Pap paple will come back and play with Mack and Ernie um so they won't be missing a player is uh just their day record scoot you know the only day final and somehow Sydney have seemed to got it uh you know seemed to got that fixture they're only five and four during the day where at night they're 12 and two on the year so Swan's love playing at night so for me that's the only downside I think Sydney will take care of business against the Giants to the roosters and uh Cambra on Sunday afternoon 4:00 fixture here and NRL: Sydney Roosters v Canberra Raiders the roosters do6 530 the Raiders 15 1 half the line and 52 and a half the total at top sport uh the way you're talking about the roosters not being able to do well not looking great bit of flare you know the way sort of Ricky Stewart coaches I'm I'm leaning plus am I guessing right you are guessing right um just small I don't have a lot of faith in camera but uh are scoring out more against P 21 six against the spread the last four G so overall there and C a pretty good story they've covered five their last seven on the road six their last seven on the road as more no knock on the roost Roost Roost put on uh 34 plus since the last set so let's a defensive thory uh I think that the Raiders can get to uh 20 points here so uh I'll be back in the plus outstanding stuff so good way to finish your Sunday afternoon responsibly prisman Carlton uh is the AFL: Brisbane Lions v Carlton Blues last one feels like a bit of a dead rubber I've sort of written both of these sides off $128 355 the blues 23 half the line and 166 A2 I say that because I think whoever gets through this game uh will be getting knocked around in the second week but uh mg Carlton it'll just hinge up on there for forward line gee they could have done with some of their key forwards late in the game last week but uh well it'll be it'll be 11th Hour stuff won't it next week to see which way the market goes here yeah the early Market's been for um definitely been for the favorite here they opened 20 so it's already gone to 23 um it looks like they're going to you know they could get anywhere from maybe three or four up to six or seven players back um which is going to be a lot to change going into a final scoop but you know there's a lot of keys that need to come back in for Caron to be able to compete with Brisbane up in Brisbane um you know they got the second best defense and you know they you know Caron need the offense against Brisbane to be competitive to have any shot to win this game because um Carlton leag points there 13th rank defense which is just non-existent so you're right with Caron they're just going to have limited influence I I can't see them beating Brisbane but yeah I can't come into the price but I think this you know unless all these players come back for Caron I just think the market might continue to uh creep through the mid 20s here for Brisbane and uh if they play the form I just think they'll get the job and move on um I think D and cartton have had too much pain on the back end here yeah I think uh yeah well as I said it's a dead rabbit zero interest for me but what's of Interest with me is the brown low package so that's $44 so uh I'm waiting with beted breath for uh the bookie CET or markets this is one of the biggest betting events of the Year Bar None you got the Melbourne cup you got the AFL inter ground finals you got origin and then the brown low somewhere in the mix it could be as big as nearly all of them or just just behind the Melbourne cup really that's how big the Brown low medal betting is and even top rope tesi who is anti AFL I'm going to say anti because he is he doesn't think the season started but the best thing is The Season's finished and you can bet on the brown low and this is the one thing that he acknowledges that the AFL do better than the NL because they can't even figure out how to do a proper daily M which Drome Hugh is going to win anyway so make sure you get the brown pack because uh you can bet your brains out responsibly look I don't know I don't have no idea what I'm backing every year but I like to go absolutely nuts I don't know whether they play well but much like Eurovision I love say the numbers T over I'm getting excited about the voting it's a it's a wonderful event and I'll tell you what my my advice to the AFL over the new AFL bosses after Gil left um just get rid of the Season just do just do just do weekly voting one weekly rail would be very exciting they could just like just an AI generated comp just a fantasy AFL your cup of tea absolutely all right on a serious note uh good luck on the weekend uh especially you top R because you've got real action and we're sort of just playing with ourselves over here in AFL World will'll be taking the misses out for dinner lunch and tea and getting the brownie points so we can raw home for the last four weeks of the finals and dominate the remote control but uh can't wait to see how all the action washes out and then yeah fascinating ins and outs for next week's uh AFL fixtures but uh good luck on the weekend and big thanks to pting home top spot as always for getting us through another season and uh see you next week good luck boys