hi it's Mitch from picd do.com here with your free pick in the Astros versus Royals Major League Baseball matchup on Friday August 30th 2024 if you like all the free picks we do at piic dogs you'll love our premium picks our Best Bets you just go to piic dogs.com click on the premium picks tab of course I've got a link directly below this video in the description as well if you make really big bets thousand or more per game have bank roll of 10,000 or more and a looking for a long-term uh VIP style package we have those as well you just got to text the number so premium picks all on the website I bet mine every day long-term packages for people that make really big bets those are the ones that you text the number but anyways let's get to this game a gem we've got the Astros taking on the Royals framber Valdez on the mount for the stros Seth Lugo on the mound for the Royals we got two teams that if the season ended would be in the playoffs in fact they might even be playing each other the way things are going you know the uh the Royals playing pretty hard here down the stretch had a shot to take over first place in the American League Central fell just short against the Guardians meanwhile the Astros well this team just it is that time of year we heading into September and of course the Astros are still very much relevant at this time when we look at um you know the Royals going with Seth Lugo in this game Lugo coming off not so great performance he gave up 11 hits and six runs five of those were earned against the Phillies taking a loss last time out two runs prior to that and seven prior to that four prior to that so Lugo really not saving his best for last coming down the stretch of course he is a former reliever turned to starter and when that happens you know sometimes these guys start to wear down as the season goes on he's still giving up just 14 home runs and 43 walks while striking out 146 over 172 Innings of work over his last three starts though that 3.19 has ballooned to a 7.71 erra it's framber Valdez on the bump here for the Astros and last time out was the first time the Astros lost in one of valdez's outings he got a he um he gave up three runs in that game he actually took the loss but they had won 10 consecutive games that Valdez has started and in fact giving up just three runs in that game they lost 3 to2 he's got a 3.27 erra on the season he's allowed 11 home runs he struck out 139 over 143 and a third Innings of work over his last three starts Valdez has a 1.96 erra this guy simply is Mr fall you know when it comes to pitching in Major League Baseball doesn't always look to be the best certainly does isn't like the type of guy that threats with a no hitter every time out or anything like that but man when he's on he is on and the Astros like I said 10- one in his last 11 starts the Royals though 10 and four in their last 14 overall seven and one in their last eight on the road we got the Royals hitting 29 7 versus left-handed pitching the Astros 273 versus righties but the difference in this game the Royals bullpen 5.30 over their last 10 games while the Astros 2.90 uh over their last 10 for the pen we know the Astros are going to be there at the end with Valdez starting the Royals maybe even less of a chance with Lugo there and even worse with the bullpen I'll take the Astros and that's going to be my free pick of course while you're doing your picks putting your bets in be sure to use our free betting tools at sport chat.com 100% free and they'll help put you on the most favorable bets on the board today