Breaking Down the 2024 Election Map Latest Polls from All 50 States!

Hello friends the election race is gaining momentum day by day and new poll results for all 50 states keep coming in we will begin our assessment of the 2024 electoral map based on the latest polls before we move on to our survey you can support us by subscribing to our Channel and turn on the notification Bell to be informed about current videos on the west coast We Begin our electoral analysis with Washington State according to the latest polls kamla Harris is only five points ahead of her opponent in this state compared to President Biden's 19point victory in the 2020 elections this is a worrying decline for the Democrats Washington State traditionally a strong Democratic stronghold is now in the Democrat leaning category with this development Oregon is the next state with eight electoral votes kamla Harris is five points ahead of her opponent in this State as well compared to President Biden's 16-point Victory four years ago this is a remarkable setback for the Democrats the state of Oregon is also favorable for the Democrats in contrast the situation is quite different in Harris's home state of California where she holds a significant 31-point lead over Donald Trump this strong performance suggests that California known as the Golden State we remain in the safe blue category for the Democrats let's move on to Nevada no Republican candidate has won in Nevada since 2004 but in this November's elections Trump seems to have the potential to change that Trend the latest Redfield in Wilton poll shows Trump with a one-point lead moreover Trump leads in four of the last five polls conducted in Nevada we will therefore Mark the state of Nevada as likely leaning for Republicans the latest polls in Arizona on the other hand show Donald Trump leading by three points remarkably haris has not LED in any poll since the beginning of this month the fact that this latest poll was conducted by the left leaning the New York Times adds to its significance Trump is back in the lead in a state he won by three points in 2016 but narrowly lost in 2020 therefore this state is in the favorable category for Republicans we have no current polling data for Colorado this state was won by Joe Biden by a significant margin of about 14 points in the 2020 elections given the political environment we can say that kamla Harris will win the state albeit by a smaller margin therefore Colorado is in the likely category for the Democrats for New Mexico we have two recent polls the most recent Redfield and Wilton poll shows vice president comma Harris ahead by six points this is a setback for the Democrats compared to Joe Biden's almost 11o margin of victory in 2020 therefore New Mexico is now in the likely leaning category there is an interesting development in Texas the latest poll conducted by yugov shows that former president Donald Trump's vote is declining in this state Trump is five points ahead of his opponent kamla Harris this is well below the advantage Trump would like to see in a traditional Republican stronghold like Texas in the 2020 elections Democrats spent hundreds of millions of dollars to win Texas but lost by almost six points suggesting that Harris has little chance of prevailing here according to the latest yugov poll Texas is in the Leaning Republican category let's look at the middle of the country the vast majority of states in this region are traditionally Republican strongholds States like Utah Wyoming and Idaho the latest poll from Montana shows Trump with a clear 18-point lead the states of North and South Dakota most of Nebraska Kansas and Oklahoma are also in this category in Nebraska's Second District District kamla Harris is ahead by eight points she is therefore likely Democratic Alaska will be safe for republicans and Hawaii will be safe for Democrats let's move to the Midwest and start with Minnesota comma Harris is ahead with walls' support the latest polls show that Harris has a seven-point advantage in this state so she is in the likely category there are currently no polls in Iowa between Harris and Trump Donald Trump won the state by nearly 10 points in 2016 and repeated a similar feat in 2020 this shift was reinforced in 2022 when Republican Governor Kim Reynolds was reelected by more than 20% Trump is therefore expected to win here by at least 10 points Iowa is therefore in a likely Democratic category Wisconsin is among the most pulled States the importance of Wisconsin lies in the fact that along with Michigan and Pennsylvania it is one of the three key states that kamla Harris absolutely cannot afford to lose according to the average of the latest polls kamla Harris is ahead by an average of two points she is therefore in the likely leaning category there are no polls in Illinois but it is in the likely category for the Democrats Indiana is among the safe States for Donald Trump the state of Michigan is traditionally the most liberal leaning of the three key Rust Belt states in every election since 2000 Michigan has tended to vote further left than its neighbors Wisconsin and Pennsylvania while the most recent poll shows a tie between the two candidates an earlier Redfield and Wilton poll shows Donald Trump ahead by one point therefore the Wolverine state is in the likely leaning category for Republicans the only poll in Ohio shows Trump leading by 10 points he is therefore in the likely category for the Republicans the latest polls in Pennsylvania show Donald Trump leading by two points with 19 electoral votes this state is crucial for both candidates if Trump wins Pennsylvania it will be very difficult for kamla Harris to close the gap even if Trump loses Nevada and Arizona a Pennsylvania Victory could keep him on the Electoral path we mark this state as leaning for Republicans let's move to the Northeast the latest poll from New York shows kamla Harris leading by 17 points this is a much more favorable picture for Harris than the previous two polls in the past there were doubts as to whether this result would materialize given that the last Democratic candidate to win New York by a significant margin was Michael du tus in 1988 but this latest poll strengthens Harris's position in New York she is therefore in a safe blue category States like Vermont Massachusetts Connecticut Rhode Island Maryland and the District of Colombia are in the safe blue category in the states of New Jersey and Delaware Harris's probability of winning is just under 15 points these states are their therefore in the likely Democratic category the latest polls in New Hampshire show kamla Harris with a five-point lead however it is known that polls in this state tend to overestimate Democratic support recalling the 2016 elections New Hampshire was the second closest state in the country where Donald Trump lost by just 0.37% it is therefore in the Leaning category for the Democrats the latest poll from Main shows kamla Harris leading by 17 points although Joe Biden is considered a stronger candidate than Harris he won Maine by nine points in 2020 Harris is unlikely to double Biden's lead in 2020 however based on the available data we are marking Maine as safe blue the state's First Congressional District also looks safe for Democrats while the second district will lean Republican Donald Trump is expected to perform strongly in the Southeast region Louisiana Arkansas Missouri Mississippi Alabama South Carolina Tennessee Kentucky and West Virginia are safe States for Trump to win by at least 15 points the latest poll in Virginia shows Harris leading by three points but Trump was leading in the previous two polls Joe Biden won by 10 points four years ago we will call the state democratic leaning the state of North Carolina has been in Republican hands since 2008 and has swung to the Democrats only once since 1976 Donald Trump has won North Carolina in the last two elections and this trend looks set to continue in the 20120 elections there was an interesting situation Trump managed to win the election by one .3 points despite never leading in the polling averages according to the most recent poll Trump is ahead by two points he is therefore in the Republican leaning category George's basic political lean still seems to be close to the Republicans indeed this is supported by the re-election of Republican Governor Brian Kemp in 20122 in all of the last six polls conducted in the current election cycle Trump is either ahead or neck and neck in the latest poll Trump is four points ahead it is therefore leaning for the Republicans the State of Florida has been trending strongly Republican in recent years one of the clearest signs of this shift was the reelection of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis two years ago by a margin of 20% according to the latest polls Trump leads by Five Points this means means that the state will support Trump for the third time in a row despite Barack Obama winning Florida in 2008 and 2012 Trump's consistent dominance over Hillary Clinton Joe Biden and now kamla Harris is evident this state therefore leans Republican according to the most recent polls from all 50 states Donald Trump is on track for re-election with 302 electoral delegates in contrast kamla Harris is trailing with 236 delegates thank you for watching share your thoughts on November's elections in the comments you can like and comment on our video and don't forget to subscribe and turn on the notification Bell if you're not already subscribed whatever happens keep in mind that everything will be beautiful friends