MLB DFS Pitchers to Target and Fade for DraftKings and FanDuel 8/31/24

good afternoon and welcome to the DFS Army YouTube channel I am Raz 11 and you can find me on X at rasle 11 grinds going and take a look at some pitching for today the 31st of August it is Saturday we do have a 10 game main slate ahead of us this evening uh could be some slight weather issues but I haven't seen any updated forecast so we will just dig in with pitching as it is uh reminder I am looking at DraftKings as that is where a majority of my action is if you're on FanDuel I would cut my pool into about a half or even a third since pricing isn't quite as tight and the scoring system is a bit different so uh we will just jump right in uh Zack Wheeler at the top pair him and Reagan together here at the top um some tougher matchups on the surface but I think both guys are in spots to be pretty impressive wheeler uh at home has been dominant he's dominated this Atlanta Squad along just two runs in 12 Innings of the season coming off of a an average performance um he did start against Atlanta just two starts ago his K propop sitting at seven and a half with juice on the under uh the 7 and a half K prop is the highest on the Slate and he is a is 170 favorite which seems pretty strong Reagan paired in with him uh like you mentioned a little tougher matchup Houston not a huge strikeout team uh Reagan's kind of dealt with some walks recently uh being on the road uh in Houston it's a little tougher um he did struggle against Houston earlier this year even though his numbers have been better on the road his strikeout numbers do take a hit obviously they're still not not terrible just over a k per inning win on the road Houston is a minus 142 favorite so projected be a little closer than the Philadelphia Atlanta matchup rean krop at six and a half with you on the under I think both guys are certainly valuable I do like wheeler slightly more for upside but uh Reagans has obviously shown us some big time ability this season both guys probably be lower owned than uh Brian Woo is on this slate wo's K prop at six and a half with juice on the under sitting as a minus 162 Road favorite hasn't been super sharp against the Angels this year just three strikeouts in nine and a third um overall not a huge K guy uh allows few more home runs on the road more hits but uh he does have the ability to to get us you know six or seven strike Oaks kind of a a caper inning type return um the matchup itself is just better than the top two guys uh so that's kind of why I expect him to be pretty popular Kikuchi overall is throwing the ball pretty well with Houston coming off of a not so great start from a fantasy standpoint but still uh it's been pretty steady decent against Kansas City the first time he faced him I believe that was with Toronto though yeah it would be with Toronto um his kpr also is sitting at six and a half with juice slightly on the under very similar kpr to Reagans uh they're actually expecting a probably a half more KS for Kikuchi than reagin um at this point like we mentioned Kikuchi is the favorite in this matchup uh Kansas City's lineup took a hit with pasquino being lost for the season obviously that was a left onle situation so it's maybe it's not a huge loss in this spot but um it certainly could derail their their mindset a little bit uh as they were they were charging for the AL Central lead um just a couple days ago so uh I think kikuchi's fine but I think he falls behind the three above him uh because if we get upside from Reagan or wheeler I'm just not sure that Kikuchi is going to match that uh Kansas City generally does not strike out a whole lot at least in comparison to the rest of baseball Max Reed uh coming off pretty strong start against the twins hadn't been overly sharp in his return uh has made three starts against Phillies um none of which have gone very well for him kpr five and a half would Ed pretty strongly on the over so that part is intriguing uh the fact that he's a pretty sizable Underdog with Philly Philly being a minus 170 um does have me concerned a little bit he has been at his best one on the road though which is where he's at this evening uh so right now I I think I'm going to end up leaving him out but he's kind of on the the borderline um and we'll kind of see as I dig in more uh before building out my player pool um but I would plan on him being outside of my eight or so man pitcher pool on DraftKings Cody Bradford somebody that I've actually been pretty impressed with um I am going to use him for sure he shut down Oakland the first time he faced him he's been really strong at home uh I will be stacking the Oakland side as well in some builds just because Oakland's been hitting home runs again uh home runs are are great for Fantasy purposes but uh they do also strike out so Bradford is a minus 170 favorite right now uh K prop of five and a half with juice on the over I think he's pretty solid um but again playing both sides of this matchup just because we know that Oakland has the capability of hitting you know three or four home runs on the Slate and for those that are members you realize that Oakland was my number one stack last night um so I would definitely like to go back to Oakland some but I have been impressed with Bradford so I do want to utilize him Merl Kelly has not been overly sharp so I'm just not going there and I I haven't looked at his history against the Dodgers but I feel like the Dodgers have hit him before but maybe I'm thinking of a different Arizona pitcher uh Gavin Stone coming off of uh three really strong starts in a row very interesting he's been lit up by Arizona this year two starts uh I think he's going to end up on the outside looking in as well might even be one slot behind Max free at this point but um obviously gav Stone's been throwing the ball pretty well so that's always something that I like to think about recent Trends are always important for pitchers um both pitchers in this game have K props of four and a half Merill Kelly's juic slightly on the over Stones is juic slightly to the under genone is a minus 142 favorite but we do see a game total of nine and a half uh which probably makes it easy to fade both pitchers Ty Anderson um decent numbers against Seattle this season numbers on home are not quite as strong hasn't had some good starts uh forado his last five starts have been pretty bad the only reason I am considering him is because of the K upside against Seattle he is a an underdog uh but his K props sitting at five and a half uh which feels like a strong K prop for a guy like Anderson so that is why I am considering him um kind of in that pool to be like the last man in uh I'm just not sure I'm going to get there Jose buio taking on his former twin Squad a nday difference in his home road splits 20 home runs allowed in 81 Road Innings this season that's a lot um been pretty decent of late 24 plus fantasy points in five out of his last six starts uh K propa four and a half juices on the over he is a slight dog in a game total of nine uh I have a feeling I'm going to end up passing on him but you know that the whole Revenge narrative thing going back into Minnesota always plays a a role in my mind a little bit but I just don't like the way that he's looked on the road this season uh Minnesota does have some left-handed BS that have plenty of power um so I think I'm going to be on inota a lot a lot more in that matchup Montas taking on his former Squad um in Cincinnati can have some solid starts but I think I'm just gonna pass uh it's a tough one for me to pass on because we know that Cincinnati can struggle quite a bit at times uh he is a minus 125 favorite K prop a 5 and a half juic on the under game total of uh nine right now uh with juic on the over so I would not be shocked see that move to nine and a half um so I think for that that's probably a good reason to just stay away from pitching in that game samie Matthews has been really impressive pitching at home strikeouts have been there um I think he he's all right to to go with here um a rough second start where airs were involved uh no strikeouts against a San Diego team that just do not strike out very much I did mention you know the twins are minus one 42 favorites his K props a four and a half we choose on the under that does seem a little low for the guy that's a a k pitcher at least throughout the miners has come up as a k pitcher uh but I am interested a little bit in zebie Matthews just because the the bottom half of the Toronto lineup uh is full of a lot of guys that are are getting their first real taste of Major League action uh those guys can struggle at times so um kind of as we looked at down canana somebody that's going to get a lot of discussion problem is is like there's just the K upside just really isn't there um so does he have the upside we need probably does he did it against the Cubs here did it against the Padres who are a tough team to to get strikeouts against Etc uh so I think canana is going to be a fairly chalky SP2 on this slate just based on his matchup K prop a four and a half juices ever so slightly on the under but he has a minus 192 Road favorite I think that's going to draw in um his ownership a bit Edward caera is somebody that I want want to use because he has plenty of upside uh but he's super volatile ton of walks a lot of base runners but when things come together and he racks up strikeouts the upsides there now he dominated the San Francisco Squad earlier a lot of strikeouts his overall Road numbers have been terrible but this is a ballpark that as you know we uh Target pitching in quite a bit uh for that reason I think I'm going to utilize him game total in this one's just seven and a half uh his K propop six and a half juice on the under but I just think he has a ton of upside in this spot he's shown it to us before in this matchup so I want to go there again uh Mason black on the the other side probably not going to get there hasn't looked very sharp uh so even though he's favored I just think that Cabrera offers us far more upside um and as you know my pitcher pool is based purely on getting us to that upside and I think he has a shot uh to get us the raw points to make it into our our top two pitchers so uh but there we have it there's that first look at pitching if you enjoy what I bring to you please hit the like button hit the Subscribe button turn the notification Bell on get the alert anytime we drop videos here at DFS Army if you want to join us and get access to our coaches tools sheets Discord Etc I will put links in the description below you can use promo code Raz that's R AZ for 10% off monthly and as always best of luck everybody