Kamala Harris Now the Favorite to Win the Race

all right guys I'm going to show you a bunch of numbers here that show you that KLA Harris is now the favorite to win the race so uh I'll give you the numbers on the debate and who won the debate and and why it might make a difference and the impact of the debate is will it be a little bit or a lot we'll get into all of that uh so of course at uh 6 PM Eastern which is just in about an hour uh live show starts and Young Turks on YouTube Obi uh and uh in that show we've got Donald Trump melting down blaming the moderators crying crying crying now asking the Republicans to shut down the government epic meltdown epic meltdown uh the other Republicans going no we lost what are we doing okay so it's great check that out at six o'clock Eastern you know every weekday six o'clock Eastern young tur is live okay so now let's get into and by the way if you're me become a member or Super Chat I'll try to give you shout out as we do this video that beautiful join button right down below all right so first who won the debate uh snap hole from uh uh CNN not close 6337 KLA Harris so look this Common Sense anybody with eyes and ears can tell that she won uh but all these numbers are important because first you never know because everybody's in their own bubble so you got to check to make sure that you're not in a minority bubble where you think the whole world thinks like you but they don't now now what's very relevant about that poll is that uh going in the people that they were asking were at 5050 after the debate it swung to 6337 so it's not like they were already leading kamla Harris no they were at Stone Cold 50-50 so she crushed that's a 26 Point uh victory for her and and here's another reason why you could know that that poll is honest because that's the same poll that showed that Donald Trump crushed Joe Biden similar way they go in 5050 and Trump won by an even bigger margin against Joe Biden which is not surprising because Joe Biden just like melted gone gone right like he he said things like we finally defeated Medicare nobody even knows what that means right not look guys Biden is gone but the point here is these polls are real and you know the Democrats didn't well they largely believed it last because every body again eyes and ears but um so this time around I think the Republicans kind of believe it whether they believe in the signs of it or not and by the way last time Trump had won 6733 even bigger margin margin that's a basically a 34 Point margin which is gigantic okay so uh now I'm gonna give you more numbers from um the last four debates and then the ratings and hence the impact but first I was looking at Ply work oh hey Martin J Mass uh thank you for joining appreciate appreciate it um Martin you're not part of The Young Turks that's awesome uh so uh checking polym market.com poly Market's one of our sponsors and they and why I care about them is number one it gives you a stateof the race as to what other people are thinking and not they're not just thinking it this is they actually put money behind it and hence they believe this with a lot of conviction and so that's part part of the reason why it's interesting so first who will win the debate according to the polls well that issue is now settled 99% so if you're in Trump World and you think oh Trump won I I don't know what you're talking about Trump won no the markets are settled she won every poll indicates that the money indicates that everything in the world indicates that it's over right uh so then they have like are they going to do another debate that's only at 40% that's interesting right maybe maybe not right but uh I tend to think they will but the one that's the most important here is 50 to 40 n Trump is still leading on who's going to win the race no that's wrong look it's one one man's opinion right but I've been covering politics now for a quarter of a century after you know you you're done listening to all the numbers you're gonna see no she's the favorite that's crazy talk so I'm not saying she's like is definitely gonna win not even close this race still has a lot of room to go okay we still could have a war in the Middle East that's a giant Game Changer uh KLA Harris and Tim Walls I hope start doing interviews a lot of interviews so we don't get back into that mess and the negative press that comes out of that uh but the issue of word salad seems to have dissipated and that was the number one uh you know concern that I had about kamla Harris and people paying attention had about KLA Harris those days look like they're behind her meanwhile Donald Trump's like tossing his own words salad in the middle of the debate okay he's like he's trying to figure it out what how do I do this so I mean he was a hot mess you know cats dogs babies everything got executed in debate in Trump's mind now um how does this uh compared to the other big debates that have happened in the last four well uh so this is one of the bigger ones Trump won uh by 34 points against uh Biden that was a huge win was such a big win it knocked Biden out of the race and guys don't forget there was a giant misconception about that debate that Trump had won it and I say it all the time too but the reality is that Joe Biden lost the debate Donald Trump didn't do anything good or interesting he wasn't a masterful debater he wasn't a masterful anything right he had nothing but lies weirdo conspiracy theories but no one could pay attention to that because there was a guy whose brain like popped out of his ear in the middle of the debate so Biden lost it's not that Trump won but okay so he but that it so do debates matter it knocked one of the candidates out of course they it matters certainly within that context this is a 26-point win for KLA Harris huge margin Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump pretty badly but but only by 13 points I mean I say only in the relative context of these big wins and other debates and interestingly Biden in back in 2020 uh beat Trump by 32 points and did it have a polling bump after those wins and the answer is yes every one of the people that won the debates including Trump against Biden in this round had a a bump in the uh polling afterwards it affected the race okay yes but how many people watched because if like two and a half people watched and KLA Harris crushed it it doesn't matter the whole country watch watched it's almost over then I would say k Harris chance of winning aren't like 55% they're 75% so but no no hold on then we're not there yet right did the whole country watch of course no the whole country doesn't watch anything right so how did the ratings come in oh they were monstrous huge and much larger 28% larger than the Trump Biden debate so that is great news for kamla Harris's team so it got a 70 share across all the networks that is likely to be about 65 million viewers that's an enormous number if you did great in a debate here's what you want 65 million people to watch right so that's another huge relief that the people didn't tune out of the race they were very interested most of them had their 18% of people weren't sure about Donald Trump the rest of the country totally made up their minds but 48% of the country was not sure about K Harris I think that's why such a huge number showed up to watch this debate to make up their mind and if they showed up to make up their mind no well their mind got made up because she had a crushing uh 26-point Victory and so again if you said to me 60 to 65 million viewers depending on how the overnight ratings come in 32 over a 32 share um you know I would say I can't believe that many people watch that's an enormous win enormous win so it couldn't happen on a better night so now I'm I'm G to summarize a little bit here in a second uh by the way Christopher Hill exact right on the Super Chat Trump looked like a kid scolded and sent to his room without his Big Mac I was on Piers Morgan this morning and some people and then I was on a a Twitter spaces thing last night uh with Mario it's it was an interesting conversation anyway like a lot of people are like oh well you know yeah okay Trump didn't do that great but is it gonna make a difference I don't know Etc no brothers and sisters uh it the all of these numbers indicate that it's going to make a big difference and then they somebody was criticizing K Harris's look and like she was looking at him like this and was she too scolding and I said no no no I don't mind I don't mind because I talk about how Trump looked and Trump looked defeated and Chris Christopher you're totally right scolded eventually he started slumping his shoulder slumping his shoulder and then he got the Putin slump the same slump he had with Putin and he's like oh and then he started he literally did this near the end of the debate he was pouting he looked morose he wouldn't look at she kept looking at him he couldn't make eye contact with her I mean just epic disaster all around he looked weak and the thing that I asked on Piers Morgan is what I'll ask any you know right-wing independent whoever you are that's watching this that that's not convinced guys every single person including the rightwing now admits and again for more info on that watch the live show at uh 6 o'cl he Eastern right here on The Young Turks YouTube channel and all the almost all the right wiers admit it now in their analysis so they all say yeah he got baited he shouldn't have gotten baited she laid traps for him and he fell into the traps but think about it why would you fall into those traps like if I'm in Trump's shoes I'm thinking she's gonna try to bait me right why because he's easily baited he has very thin skin everyone knows that did no one tell him that did they tell him that and he ignored it he probably takes no advice at all he probably thinks he's smarter than everyone else in the room dun and Kruger right he's actually the dumbest guy in the room but he just doesn't know it he he thinks oh my dad gave me $400 million so I must be really smart where is it now I lost it but still how many bankruptcies do you have six oh okay but brother it doesn't matter because you get a moment of reality in the debate and Mike Bloomberg got that reality too surrounded himself with Yes Men went into a presidential debate and got his ass handed to him right and Mike Bloomberg is about 2,000 times smarter than uh than Donald Trump is so he goes in unprepared but I mean things like when she mentions your crowd siiz at a rally and that people got bored at your rally she's obviously trying to trigger you you couldn't figure that out think about how weak unprepared and frankly unintelligent you have to be that when she mentions crowd size that you don't realize she's trying to go you and you fall right into that trap pathetic totally pathetic and they're thinking about having another debate uh you know that's the other Market that I mentioned in the uh in the poly Market uh you know site I mean if in a sense K Harris is now leading so you can say oh let's play prevent defense here and sit on our lead and that's what a lot of politicians do don't give Trump every opportunity for another debate and you think oh well he could make a comeback he won the first debate no he can he's not physically and mentally capable of having a good debate because he's not bright he doesn't do any homework he genuinely believes in lunatic conspiracy theories he has no chance of surviving another debate with an intelligent functional human being so have at it hos have at it so I I'd love for them to do another one so right now guys to summarize I I think it look I had it at 5050 forever and people kept asking me to make a prediction make a pred this is not a prediction and I there nothing is set in stone at all there's a lot to go here and I'm not just saying that to be cautious I'm saying that because it's real right but at this point KLA Harris is definitely the favorite she's the favorite because this debate was such a huge win and it had a big impact because tons of people saw it but not only that uh it it got rid of the number one worry that we had or almost got rid of it which is that she was going to get nervous and then there was going to be some sort of verbal slip up there was no verbal slip up she's back to the old kamla Harris that won the first uh debate in the 2020 primaries and won it comfortably against like 17 people and or 11 or whatever the number was she's back to being the tough prosecutor she's back to being the tough Senator that was grilling the corporate Executives if that's the KLA Harris that we see the rest of the campaign then it's going to be over okay especially if there's no war in the Middle East so it's not over now but we have a new favorite and it's kamla Harris all right tune in six o'clock Eastern right back here in just a little bit uh you got Republicans melting down you got Trump melting down crying and crying about the not only the moderators now he's crying about Fox News host everybody's unfair to me and he's saying shut the government down brother the government didn't do the debate it's a different issue but at the same time the Meltdown continues so come right back here in a couple of minutes at 6 o'clock Eastern like we do every single day love you guys every member you are The Young Turks thank you for letting us do this show we have fun with it we're honest with it and you get the real news not something that's biased we told you Biden lost the last debate we told you Biden was too old we never lied to you we didn't go oh well I'm left wing I'm Democrat so I'm gonna say this no we give you the truth and I've been telling you for just as long if not longer that Donald Trump is too crazy and he Prov just spectacularly last night all right we'll see you in a little bit