MY FORMULA 1 GRAND PRIX OF THE NETHERLANDS 2024 PREDICTION | Rubén Canales #F1 #DutchGP

Start I have already known from everyone that we are in grand prix week, the Dutch Grand Prix, a race at the Zanor circuit, a grand prix that from what I am seeing this week, for many, it is hated, they don't like the circuit at all, others love it, the truth is that I personally really like the circuit, although it doesn't give the best possible races because it is a small circuit, it is a complicated circuit, it is a circuit where there are hardly any possibilities of overtaking, even though last year was one of the best races we had in all of it. the season but of course it was due to a climatological factor that seems that this weekend this year will not play a key factor here because there will be no rain it will be a stable weekend low temperatures that is also important depending on some teams that come better at low temperatures than at high temperatures. So it is important to emphasize it to talk about my prediction that this is my prediction video for this Dutch Grand Prix. We return with the trad with the traditional video that we have here in the middle of the week before At the start of the race, a video a little in advance and that I repeat, As I always say in my prediction videos and then there are certain criticisms, it is a video of what I believe, I am going to argue with you for what I believe and I hope I don't give a single one because that It will mean that the weekend was interesting and that it was difficult to predict, having said that, I want to know your prediction of course in the comments and we are going to start as we always do as a preview, remember My predictions for the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix: Max Verstappen arrives more motivated than ever for his home race. a little this weekend that we already know the Zanor circuit. Ciro from the Netherlands, what a photograph I have put in the corner that for me is the best of the entire circuit, which is turn three. The last corner also has quite a bit of banking, which also gives rise to a very interesting straight exit with the drs normally starting We will see this year but it should remain the same starting Even in the middle of the curve but since it can be done at full throttle there is no problem but for me this turn three is the best even more banked than what that last curve has and it gives play to what We are seeing here especially last year with that weather factor in the race. We saw drivers testing the interior layout which the first year this circuit debuted everyone thought was the best but it did not turn out to be the best but rather it was better to go for the outside because you came out with much more speed and you could go through the curve with greater speed was demonstrated by a certain Asturian driver who also showed that when it was raining it was better to go on the inside overtaking as we are now seeing at this point two drivers Albon and Russell passing from fifth to third position but about next year we will now talk about the Zanor circuit, as I told you, it is a small circuit, it is a circuit with a lot of downforce, it is not Monaco. Of course not, but we are not in Belgium where the downforce that required was not too high. What is required here is a circuit where we are going to have the hardest tires possible so prepare for a one-stop race as Pirelli has been thinking and also if they are already warning us that it is a single stop stop is what we are going to see surely because I don't think any team will try to make two. Because here it is very difficult to anticipate even the years in which it has been common to have more than two stops, such as, for example, in 2022 there were pilots who tested teams who tested go to a stop and it could turn out quite well, we will now talk about 2022 and a team that almost managed to do very well go to a stop in the past but other drivers also did it and achieved good results on the Zanor circuit By the way Apart from what we will see in the video, Ultra finished by Verstapen is the circuit that Fernando Alonso has done best since his return to Formula 1 in 2021. He had a very good result with Alpinn in 2022. Bad classification. Best result in the race and last year. With the conditions that were there, he managed to achieve the podium, he managed to reach that podium. We are going to talk now about what happened last year. But I just wanted to tell you about it because we have him here in this photograph, recovering from fifth position to second place. even when he was going to Red's rhythms Bull, while his teammate was fighting to get into points, that is a circuit that Fernando Alonso is very good at and what happened last year, after What happened at the previous Dutch Grand Prix: The best race of the season, with an all-time overtaking record and podium finish for Fernando Alonso some mixed free practice sessions, some of them happened, especially In Free Practice Three we saw some rain and that gave rise to what we saw at the start, the classification was quite normal in the sense of the weather factor because the classification was really spectacular, first position for Wapen, second for Norris. By the way, the first row all the years has changed with the exception of the poleman who every year since Zanor returned has been eh Max stapen in first position but in 2021 he was verstapen next to Hamilton in 22nd he was verstappen next to leclerc in 23rd he was verstapen next to Norris we will see this year if it changes or perhaps it could end up staying in third position, Russell was fourth, Albon slipped into a circuit where the Williams was not expected to perform very well. Suddenly he qualified fourth in completely normal conditions and fifth, Fernando Alonso, who is now moving on to the race. A race where it was expected that there would be rain, it was not known when it would fall to the point that there was a lot of uncertainty that everyone started with dry tires and it started to rain on that first lap, it was already a little wet and gave way to the start. The spectacular thing that Alonso was able to do thanks to those free threes that were a little wet was because he already saw that the inside line when it was wet was better in Turn Three that we mentioned before, thanks to that, going from fifth to third position. True, at the exit, not only that turn three but also turn one is a curve where you can try to make moves because the Tarzan curve, as it is called, is quite pronounced, it is quite long, not only at the exit but also in Yes at the exit. own race but it is a very good one and the only one really then for the race the overtaking point that there is in this race then Beyond there on that first lap there was already the doubt of whether to enter because it started to rain very hard and the first drivers did not do it, but they tried it from behind, being mainly Czech Pérez. The one who benefited the most because he went from being in the last positions to first in the second lap, some other drivers, such as Verstapen or Alonso, while Norris or Russell stopped. For example, they stayed on the track. By the way, on that second lap it was already raining a lot and Alonso in the wet overtook Norris, both of them with dry tires. Norris and Russell, as I said, stayed because in theory it wasn't going to rain too much, so they wanted to try it, it turned out badly because it wasn't going to rain too much. It was going to rain for a long time but it rained a lot so they lost a lot of time and then there was a dry transition. We spent a stretch of the race in the dry where I told you that, for example, Alonso even managed to match the pace of the Red Bulls in the dry, he took the lead. Fernando Alonso took the fastest lap and it's not that he put soft tires at the end because at the end it started to rain there were also problems and even the red flag came out for all this Alonso was third because he was Czech and was ahead due to a mess of When we returned to Seo, Verstapen managed to overtake him because he stopped before Cheecho, although he was going faster, I was cutting him off a lot and I checked. When the rain returned, he went off in La Curva one at a point where several drivers also went off. For example, Guan Yuzu had a flag. red start and really at the start not much happened, everything remained quite stable and finally That was the result that we had a quite chaotic result it was the best race of last year or one of the best I'm not telling you that it's going to be the best but Yes, this week you have seen many people think that it was the best, best race, I will leave you the opinion that you believe, if you think that it was a better race, because I do believe that it was a better race, but we will talk about that later when it still arrives. It has not come now well, yes, last year a historical record was achieved in Formula 1, which was the race with the most overtaking and there were I said before that it was a complicated circuit to overtake. Well, yes, but due to the weather factor, you can get more overtaking points and there were many more overtaking points. If not, it is really a circuit where it is difficult to overtake where you have to have a lot of differential where If it is at a stop there will be even less speed differential because on top of that there will be no differences in tires even with the difference in tires it is complicated and where in Seco there is only one drop-off point which is at the end of the main straight in that turn one maybe the battle could even extend to turn three if you maintain the Parallel but it is using the drs So we will see this year what happens what race we have we will remind you after the summer break we have had How is the classification Here are the Drivers‘ and Constructors’ standings ahead of the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix: Can McLaren F1 overtake Red Bull Racing with Sergio Perez continuing? of both drivers and constructors, we remember that Verstapen has a wide advantage over Lando Norris, 78 points, we will see if Norris manages to get closer. Although there are 10 races left, the truth is that it is being a very close year, but due to the advantage that Red Bull had at the beginning of the year and because although when they have not had an advantage he has continued to be the best driver because in the end you are managing to get quite an advantage over the next one, Norris has been the one who has had a car capable of competing against him the longest because there is another driver who I believe yes, also for the car at this end of the season he is going to fight and would have fought if he had had this car throughout the year but he hasn't had it now we will get to him lecler still remains third he will be overtaken sooner than late by Óscar piastri we will see how long it ends up taking piastre already overtook Carlos Sainz in the last weekend a Carlos Sainz who is also beginning to suffer for Ferrari we will see this final season how the team is going but he is beginning to suffer with Hamilton who is much more close and he is the driver that I told you that if he had had more time in the car at least throughout the season he would have undoubtedly competed against Czech verstapen who narrowly escaped in the last weekend of no being the last in the upper zone if not being eighth because thanks to Russell's disqualification he did not overtake her because Russell was ahead of him in this in the classification but due to the disqualification Alonso lost that position in ninth position who added points again in Belgium stroll closing the top 10 and then here in Those last positions hulken versus noda riardo remain the same as the points of Ricardo berman gasli magnussen oon who won the position from albon izu saran and Botas as the only drivers who do not have points sauber remains as the only team that does not have points and in the constructors' classification the truth is that positions did not change any but a McLaren is getting closer and closer that continues to reduce the difference against Red Bull and they are already 32 points away, exactly Ferrari, which has already lost it the position against mclaren and we will see against mercedes they still have quite an advantage of approximately 80 points but well the difference between Aston Martin is getting smaller and smaller, which differed a little from rb has alpin Williams sauber this is how the constructors' classification is So far Let's go there with my predictions, you know, we'll start before talking to you about the result Who do I think will be the best driver at the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix: Max Verstappen of the race with the best driver, the worst driver, the best team and the worst team. What I think I'm going to give you a little reason why, although in the case of the best driver, I'm not going to stop too much because I've put to verstapen obviously I think you can guess the position that I am going to put him in the race if not then we will see it but it is his circuit He is a driver who the truth is that in the circuits that he has support that has a lot of support he usually does very well as it happens to him in Austria in Belgium And of course in zambo they are the three circuits with the most support and they always tend to go well. This is simply out of curiosity because of course they don't have any impact but the thing is that zanor is very good at it since he returned he has done all the poles and made all the victories will be different this year man has had especially in 22 and in 23 the car to do that with ease in 21 maybe he could Hamilton would have competed a little more because it was a year in which they had more equality, but I really think that we are going to see a year that we are going to see a race that will surely be the race with greater ease of dominance for the remainder of the season. So to speak, it will be having besten there will be races in which he will continue to win there will be races in which there will be equality this race I am not saying that it will be Ultra dominated by verstapen but I do believe that it will be He will be the best driver that's it there is nothing more than say I think I'm going to say it I think he's going to take pole and I think he's going to win the race then we'll see the results of the race but I think that's what 's going to happen with Verstapen and there was no other driver to put in best driver in this case Who do I think will be the worst driver at the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix?: Logan Sargeant in terms of worst driver Well, the truth is that he ended up putting Logan Saran on a circuit that was relatively bad last year, he had quite a few mistakes that he even made, breaking the car this year it won't work there is going to be rain So in that sense we can get by but we also come in the final stretch of the season with a Logan Sarjan who already knows that he is not going to continue at least in Williams next year and surely he will not continue in Formula 1 I think It is a complicated circuit to be able to get the most out of Williams' performance. He should do very well on that circuit and for me I think he is going to be the worst driver we are going to have in this Dutch Grand Prix in terms of best team. Which team do I think will be the best team at the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix?: Mercedes AMG I had thought about keeping the one I have put in the last grand prix to talk about the team that was going to get the most points, but that's why I have the expectation that I think it will not be McLaren on the team that is going to get the most points. but it's going to be Mercedes, then we'll see the results, as I say, of the race, but for me Mercedes is going to be the best team, it's a circuit that since 2021 hasn't been bad at it, even in the 22nd and the 23rd last year Well, too. Because of the decision to keep Russell out, they then have a worse result because Hamilton also qualified poorly and so on in 2022. They had a car that was not competitive for victories. It was a two-stop race and it was a race where Mercedes almost won it. Why not? he won and with a double as well. Well, because they had bad luck with a safety car, what did Mercedes do to be in the position of being able to have won that race without a competitive car until that moment because then in Brazil they did win but in Zanor they didn't have car to win and almost having beaten verstapen Well, they did on a circuit in a grand prix that was going to be two stops, going to one stop with both cars and they were having a good pace, verstapen was going to get to both of them, yes he was going to get there They had to pass both of them but he was going to arrive with many laps on his last tire and also having to first overtake Russell and then Hamilton who was the one who was leading if there had not been a safety car surely he would not have been able to overtake one of them Maybe yes But it would have been impossible for both of them, however what benefited Verstappen is that when he still had a few laps of tire, a safety car came out and that ended up giving him the opportunity to stop, he could be much closer and overtake them on that exit. What Verstapen does is spectacular, he managed it to pass 16 thousandths behind Hamilton at the finish line which did not affect a penalty and already reaching the corner one ahead that was spectacular but They were very close Mercedes is the typical team that really Strategies come out not like McLaren in this case and I think it is going to be the best team. They come with a car that we are already seeing. The last races have been the one that has scored the most points, they have won three of the last four races and on top of that, remember what What I told you at the beginning of the video is low temperatures and Mercedes really benefits from a lot of low temperatures because they have a rear suspension that overheats the tires a lot. The same thing happens to Aston Martin. Since the temperatures are not going to be extremely low, there will be no 10 gr But there will be about 20 integrated, they are much lower than what we have Ford, for example, in Hungary, which was not the best circuit, is going to be more similar to Belgium. I think they are going to have a good performance, so I think they are going to be the best team because I already told you that they are going to be the team that scores the most points. Then we will see in what position their drivers are and as for the worst team, the truth is that here I have kept the last one that I put in Which team do I think will be the worst team at the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix?: Sauber F1 Team the last prediction video, I have put good, no excuses, I have kept the one I have put most times in the worst team in the previous I put the pin that I failed in this case to Sauber there really isn't much mysticism Sauber is being the worst team yet they are not going to bring more improvements they brought improvements but they did not work really well it is not a circuit that should adapt well there should be teams That they are ahead for me, Sauber is the one that is going to be the worst team once again, that being said, now we are going to get to my prediction of the race and quickly Who do I think will be the winner of the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix?: Max Verstappen I have already told you that Verstapen I think is going to be the one who wins the race I think He will be able to obtain it easily, it is a difficult circuit to overtake, I think he will take the Pole, I repeat the results that we are going to see both below and from Verstapen himself are my opinion of what we are going to see and I hope he fails. I hope does not happen Not because I don't want Verstapen to win, I am indifferent to Verstapen winning But I hope it fails because it will mean that it has not been easy to predict and that many things have happened, having said that, my prediction is that Verstapen will win, we will see if it ends up in second position I have put Lando in this case and if this is a Who do I think will be the runner-up in the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix?: Lando Norris circuit that McLaren should adapt well to, we have not been talking about McLaren. Why haven't I put them as the best team now we will see later but McLaren really is impressive because They have no weaknesses and almost the strengths they had last year, which were high-speed curves, are what they have had to improve a little because the weakness they had was low-speed curves and they have performed very well. in all the circuits there are also low speed curves, perhaps not always the strongest but the most constant, a circuit for which we can pay attention. Although it has many differences, it is Hungary but it is a high aerodynamic load circuit with a variety of curves, many of medium low speed. and many of medium high speed Also many of medium speed and McLaren performed perfectly therefore being a circuit that I think will adapt well to them I have put Norris that he would return to the podium because in the last race he did not do so but it would not be capable once again of beating Max verstapen that I already think he has to start getting his act together I really see it as very difficult in the world championship but he does need to reactivate himself he needs to wake up So to speak he is not doing it and I don't think he will certainly be being zanor the scenario the next race which is Italy can change things but on this occasion I don't think it will end up being the case and closing the podium appears the first of Who do I think will be the third placed driver at the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix?: Lewis Hamilton the Mercedes and I have put Luis Hamilton we are seeing in Hamilton the Mercedes team itself He is saying that he is benefiting from Mercedes' improvements because they are adapting more to him than to his teammate and it is no longer just that the improvements adapt more to him than to his teammate, it is simply the fact that I even go so far as to say that Hamilton, when he has a good car, activates and starts to work better. We have already seen it. We have seen it this year. It is the representation that I always say. The Chinese Grand Prix is ​​a very good example of this when There was because there was a Sprint, and then the qualifying for the Sprint on Friday in the wet is second. The Sprint race that started second ends up in second position. Then the normal classification was in the Dry. They didn't have a car to compete and they fell. Q1. That's a disconnection because it's not that Hamilton. From one day to the next, whether it worked better or worse, it's just that he didn't have options and Hamilton disconnects a little. Sometimes even disconnected, you can become the best on the grid, but now that he has a car to compete on top of that, I think he will be able to do it. He is going to stay in that third position after winning the last one race Even if it was because of Verstapen's inheritance But we are also seeing a spectacular Hamilton in this last stretch of the season, having won Silverstone, he had a very good race in Hungary and then in the Belgian Grand Prix he really even deserved that Victory that he certainly deserved. He crossed the finish line second but ended up winning it even though Russell, who would be the one Who do I think will be the fourth place finisher at the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix: George Russell who would finish fourth, did not win the last race because of that disqualification, bad luck, really, because Geor Russell did very well, deciding to go for a single stop, and that was also what ended up happening in the end. It ended up killing him So to speak because it was what caused him to have less weight but he did it very well We are also seeing a Russell know how to squeeze the most out of the car even though he is being more favorable AF to Hamilton as Mercedes itself has admitted but I think it will to be in that fourth position and along with this with Russell fourth Hamilton third you understand why I tell you that it will be the team that manages to collect the most points because for another team to be able to surpass Who do I think will be the fifth driver at the 2024 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix?: Charles Leclerc Mercedes in this case it would have to be o piastri fifth or Checo Pérez in fifth position And both of them could have added more than Mercedes but no, I have not put any of either Piastri or Checoo, but in fifth position I have put Chas Leclerc Ferrari comes with improvements, he was not good at it to leclerc last year on that circuit but I think that here Ferrari will be able to become a little more competitive as they were in Belgium with the modifications they brought to the car and I really believe that with the improvements that in theory they are going to bring that weekend, according to there has been different information, maybe they end up keeping it until Italy, they don't bring it. We will see what Ferrari ends up deciding, but the information that was there is that they were going to bring a new floor. We will finally see if this is fulfilled regardless of that new floor. We have seen a stronger Ferrari, perhaps being able to better understand the performance of the car. How to make the most of it, which is also a zanor circuit where the rebound should not appear. It did not appear in Belgium, which was the circuit where it should appear, but zanor. even less for characteristics so I think they will be able to do well leclerc. I also think that he will be able to do a good q3 and therefore I put him in that fifth position my feeling I don't know why I have the feeling that something is going to happen to piast In the race maybe I'm wrong But that's why I don't put him in the top five because if I hadn't put him in and check Well, in the end we'll see what performance he has this weekend and that's all for this video of my prediction for this grand Conclusion and end prix of the Netherlands I would love to know in the comments your opinion on all the topics we have been talking about and if you liked the video Well of course as always Leave your like subscribe I remind you that you can become members and we will see you in the following