Pennsylvania's Electoral College_2024 US Election Prediction#election2024#trump#kamalharris#shorts

just based on where my mouse is I think it's pretty obvious what those three states are going to be we're going to begin with the Keystone State of Pennsylvania 19 electoral vote there's no doubt Trump is the favorite here I mean just look at the betting markets they give him a 55% chance at winning this state without Joe Biden on the ballot

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So these are two states that donald trump is no doubt going to win if he can carry the popular vote and even if he doesn't he is still the favorite in all three of the blue wall states and so with all of the solid likely and lean states filled in trump is at 312 electoral votes harris at 191 but we... Read more

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Moving on now to the likely states these states are characterized by margins between 7 to 15% they're going to be slightly more competitive than the safe states but one candidate still has a clear advantage and so starting off with the likely blue states we have many states that used to be solid for... Read more

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And so with the solid and likely states now filled in for both candidates trump leads with 219 electoral votes just 51 away from the white house with 138 left up for grabs k harris trails not even at 200 we're now going to fill in the lean state states that will be decided by margins between two to... Read more

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Are going to begin by filling in the solid states for both candidates beginning with the safe haris states these are states that will vote for her by 15 percentage points or more and so this is going to be a realistic map barring any extraordinary circumstances this is what i believe the best case scenario... Read more

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We also have new jersey senator bob bendeez has done a lot of damage to the democratic party there he's been convicted multiple times of bribery as a sitting senator he finally resigned just a few weeks ago and we have joe biden's home state of delaware three electoral votes Read more

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Those were the extraordinary circumstances under which obama was able to win north carolina we're not seeing any of that right now for kamla harris there's no doubt she is going to lose the state of north carolina she is also on track to lose in neighboring georgia the state just went to joe biden by... Read more

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And so with the solid and likely states now filled in for both candidates trump leads with 219 electoral votes just 51 away from the white house with 138 left up for grabs k harris trails not even at 200 we're now going to fill in the lean state states that will be decided by margins between two to... Read more

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In 2016 and over these last eight years iowa has only shifted even more to the right in 2022 it's governor kim reynolds of republican was reelected by a 20 plus point margin and so iowa will be solid red on our map but just barely trump can probably pull off a 15 to a 16p point victory we will also... Read more

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Now despite trump's decent lead kamla harris has started gaining a little bit nationally as of recently and that is certainly a concern for donald trump but i actually believe the data shows that a trump loss in 2024 is very unlikely even in harris's best case scenario and i'm going to show you something... Read more

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So we're going to start off by filling in the solid states and it's important to remember that in 2016 trump lost the popular vote to hillary clinton by 2% he then lost it by nearly five to joe biden in 2020 however the electoral college in the way it works it was able to help donald trump get over... Read more

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In 2016 and over these last eight years iowa has only shifted even more to the right in 2022 it's governor kim reynolds of republican was reelected by a 20 plus point margin and so iowa will be solid red on our map but just barely trump can probably pull off a 15 to a 16p point victory we will also... Read more

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And so with the solid and likely states now filled in for both candidates trump leads with 219 electoral votes just 51 away from the white house with 138 left up for grabs k harris trails not even at 200 we're now going to fill in the lean state states that will be decided by margins between two to... Read more