Soccer Predictions - Marseille, Villarreal, Celta Vigo Take to the Road to Extend Their Streaks

Dealing with a Blow-out in Betting welcome to betting weekly extra time European Edition you're with myself Dan robok alongside me Steve whis and James East uh back to form last week from the boys but the four unit play unfortunately after huge buildup on Sunday and winners Galore on Sunday building up to the game didn't quite cash Steve our good friend never to be spoken again after this show Eddie wahi um I don't know how many chances he missed but with that that bet should have cash for for us well good day to you gentlemen and um you know after that match on on Sunday evening I just wanted to quit the betting game I really did because uh was I I said in our show last year I very rarely um deserve to lose a bet and that was an absolute prime example of it I don't mind losing fair and square but that should have I mean Mars should have been four or five nil up at halim and that is no exaggeration I was uh a backer of Elie vahi anytime scorer at a big price I was on um Mars gold totals over two and a half and three and a half and v i mean I knew a half time I said I'd actually given up V scoring at half time I said I actually tweet I think I messaged you take him off the field it's not going to happen today he's one of them players if he misses an early chance he's done for the day he's a confidence player but if he starts well you know um either scores or gets one away on target he can have a lethal match so yeah look what can you do he's one of those players this week hope hopefully he comes good indeed we'll get to that in just a second uh James um I was messaging you throughout Sunday because you're parlay lean uh cashed and then your your hot dog we with a goal scorer cash it was all going to plan uh until we got to that Mar game yeah we had a good day didn't we last Sunday with Ludovic blast scoring for Ren in their game that was our hot dog pick last week at plus 255 the thing about the Mars game not cashing I actually don't mind when a game goes like that and we lose because we were right really weren't we Steve if you look at it that way we thought Mar were going to win we were on them on the Asian handicap and they absolutely battered rants in terms of General play so it's frustra on the one hand it didn't cash but I find it a lot worse when you've kind of called a game completely wrong you know if marel had been outplayed then I'd be thinking oh blind me what did we what were we expecting here and why but a game like that honestly I I'm sort of encouraged really that we called how the game was going to go correctly we just couldn't really legislate for those Miss chances and I think that's why we're both still quite hot on Mars aren't we we'll see later in the show well indeed we are we're going to kick off with it because we have to don't we here the boys haven't been put off so much so that Steve's even got his Mar top on what vintage is the Mars top Steve I think it's a 2012 uh kit 2012 Toulouse v Marseille and um I wore it on the Friday's live show and we had a few winners on that show so I thought let's bring some positive energy hang hang on we're not going down we're not going down lucky pants territory are we here well we we were talking about betting superstitions actually on the live show on Monday this week any betting superstitions I mean that's uh everyone has their own quirks don't they um yeah it's not quite in that territory but I thought let's bring a very nice looking kit to the show and um and hopefully it can bring a bit of turn of Fortune yeah well look we're sticking with Mars more weight ways than one obviously Steve's got the Jersey on uh for the show today and we're going to go for you again from Mars and they trip to toou but we're splitting our Stakes obviously if you're new to the show the boys have a two-unit player piece every single week it's a banker bet it's a lock it's a shoe in whatever you want to call it's their best bet so we're allowing two units um from our handicappers and they've both gone the same game again but it's slightly different in terms of the markets that they're going for so uh they both can still win uh which is good um so it's a way to lose or Mars are a way to lose to lose a plus 280 Mars are minus favorites at 107 the draw is plus 265 this is main game in France on Saturdays at 3 p.m. Eastern um now James you're going to go first with your play here now for those looking at sort of past form or last season form there might be slightly concerned with your play but obviously things have changed quite a lot with Mar over the summer in terms of the coach and indeed the players that have come in so talk us through your bet here yes so I'm going on Mars to win the game here Dan that's my two unit pick marsill at minus 107 uh to win the match for anybody that's not watched them so far this season they've played two games they won 5-1 away at breast on the opening weekend they were good value for that win it was an excellent performance and then the bet that we didn't win on last weekend was when they drew 22 at home to to rant but as we've alluded to they were by far the better team in that game and they created a stack of chances so I think marel really good value to win here minus s it's what it's 51 52% chance of winning the game I honestly think given how they've played so far given they've got good team news going into the game this weekend they've got a better chance of winning the game than those odds would suggest I think away from home will probably suit them we saw when they won 5-1 away at breast where they maybe got a bit more room than they're going to get at home uh they can be very quick and dangerous on the break so I really fancy them to to make up for those drop points last weekend and I think those drop points might be a factor here down I think they'll be they'll be fuming actually and they'll be very annoyed with themselves that they didn't win a game having dominated and created so many chances so they'll want to put that right here they've got good team news and I think they'll get the job done and very quickly on to lose the opponent they've been pretty poor for me so far uh they've played two games they've drawn them both didn't play particularly well in either match they got a draw away at nce last weekend they drew it nil nil at home to not um on the first weekend both of those teams they faced are weaker teams uh than the mares side they're going to face this weekend and at the beginning of the week they've lost their best defender Logan Costa who's a terrific Young Center back has moved to Villa roale I know we're going to come on to Villa roale later on in the show so they go into this game without him um he was already missing last weekend I think but the new look back three we think they'll use a back three here they they do swap between a back three in a back four it will take some time I think at to lose to settle down because they've had changes in that defense um even before Logan Costa left so there's a bit of uncertainty about to lose this is the first big attack they'll have faced this season in marsill and um yeah I think the number of chances they created last weekend Mar was very encouraging I think they'll convert enough of them this weekend uh to get the win and just very quickly we've talked about Elie vahi the man who missed the chances uh last weekend I don't know if Steve wants to mention him as well but he's plus 230 to score any time this weekend now give any was getting in the positions to score I don't know I'm quite tempted by that but my main pick is just on marel that's to win the game at minus 107 um Steve you're you're also playing in the same game with your two unique play but it's not uh on the money line uh you have uh gone for the goals Market here what's the play over two and a half goals at minus 124 and um do you know what I I kind of going to apologize here for the next few weeks because I think my my I've got a strategy actually for the next few shows my two unit and one unit plays are going to be quite boring actually um I need I need the units you know I've had a poor start on on this on this season show so I need the units and um the best way to do that is sometimes to simplify it so there's not going to be that many snazzy picks for me for the two unit in one unit play you know call me Mr boring Mr unoriginal M lame whatever Mr vain was a song wasn't it um it's quite a good one um but you know I'm just trying to break things down here and I was speaking to the boss Nigel cely about Mar with all things and um he was he was saying that he thinks Marci are going to be a massive over team this year having watched so much of derer at Brighton he and if Nigel Seely is saying that then I think that that's saying something isn't it and just looked at it last week and I was thinking I should have been on the goals here because desery football is a bit manic isn't it you just never sure they're going to keep a clean sheet under him and I think this is going to be a crazy game it usually is by the way here at the stadium in to lose uh marel have a crazily good head-to-head record against too the last time too beat them was in 2016 in a competition that doesn't even exist anymore the CP de la League uh you have to go all the way back to 2007 the last time they had a home home League win against Marseilles and the Dums usually rocking for this match but there's tons of Marseilles fans that come to this fixture so Marse are really well supported it's going to be electric atmosphere it's going to promote good football uh five of the last six G head-to heads have been over two and a half goals at this venue Mars have had 3-2 wins twice and a 5-2 win in recent times and I think I could see something similar I think he could go way over I think Mars capable of covering the goal line on their own to lose should be able to contribute in some form I agree with James they haven't looked that great this season um you look at their defense they've got Charlie Creswell in defense you know the Le United player um the goalkeeper saved them a lot last season restes can the same happen again this year I'm not sure um offensively they have averaged a decent amount of shots this year only scored one goal but I think there will there will be goals in to lose and um yeah so this is why I I prefer the over over two and a half goals minus 120 for I say pretty boring pick really you know but for a desery team um to be this sort of price I think Mar away games could be more Bonkers than the home matches actually I think they might be more open so I mean I I think we're well covered it I'd be surprised if Mar don't win the game I think the only dangerous score Line's probably won all um yeah this Mars I think come back on track here based on what we've seen the first two games um they're very very capable of racking up a good number so two unit play for James Mar to win - 107 two unit play for Steve over 2 and a half goals at- 124 let's round up some French leans for you because the Ligue 1 Round Up boys were in good form uh last week we've got three games to look at Steve got a couple uh stian Against Breast here but a surprise for me what you're going for here because s eten yet to pick up a point yet to score my lean's actually sent eten straight on the money line a big price 335 based on I just don't like what I've seen from breast this season they've looked really poor in the first two matches massively outplayed by Mars and L this is a much easier game but there's a lot of pressure on this now suddenly everyone's thinking they need a result here but um when this goes live brush will know their Champions League opponents I do believe and you know that's something exciting to look forward to but that's going to bring its own challenges next month um I think they're going to feel the heat here stien I was a really surprised they lost against lav at home got to be honest but there's a lot of pressure on sentian at home you know I think some of their better result and performances might come on the road as well and stien quite a big Club really they're not in the business for draws I think they come here and get try and get the victory I wouldn't have a lot of money on this but at plus 335 I think it's worth taking on breast and laav O what's your lane here yeah this is one I might have got L wrong I did um quite fancy to go down this year uh preseason one of my better Auntie post bets but they've actually looked all right I thought they played quite well against PSG for 65 minutes uh beat stian last week like I said um and you know the manager dgar did all right at n didn't he and I think I might have got them wrong I got a feeling the half might be okay this year and how are they draw no bet here at minus 104 they're actually a slight Underdog against o at home newly promoted team it just doesn't feel right to me o have looked okay but I think most of their points will be at home um yeah it just looked to wrong price I think the half should be in a quarter favorite really so draw no better I think this could easily be a draw so you need the full security but the home side look overpriced uh James you go a nice parlay with with leans last week I think one of them was was fading on J and you're going down that route again yeah I'm opposing Andre again this weekend and my my lean here is on ni to win away at Andre at minus 103 if you've seen ni you might wonder why I'm backing them they've not been great I must say they've they've only got one point from the opening two games but it's really about how poor uh anj have been and how poor I think they are in general they've lost both of their games so far they lost one- nil against L they lost 2-0 against leil fact they've not scored I think tells a story there because they have been really poor in attack if you look at the outright relegation Market they're way out on their own at the bottom of that market with B Rivers they're minus 225 to be relegated so they're they're the favorit to go down by a long long way and I think that's fair actually I think they they look really weak at they haven't really strengthened in the window they're not really able to strengthen in the window so I don't think it will take a lot for nice to actually win this game this weekend and while they haven't played well I think there is more to come from Ni we know that they've got injuries at the moment but they've got a really good manager in Fran s so I think away from home here against an anj side who are probably going to go forward and then not actually do very much when they get forward I think it will give nice chances to hit them on the break which is I think how they're going to be most effective this season so it's really a play on how poor n are I think some sorry how poor an are I think somehow n should get the job done here and um it's only a lean it wouldn't have been one of my picks but I think you know the price a bit like Steve was saying with the laav pick I think the price here on nice um once the game starts it might actually start to look quite good so ni minus 103 is my lean uh if you want to play all three in apala it's around about 16 to one incidentally and as we say the boys put an awful lot of work into all of the the lean so well worth uh taking note of the structure of the show is a two-unit play a one unit play a hot dog and one same game parlay each week so we've got seven official selections but obviously the boys throw out plenty of leans for you to get stuck into over the course of the European weekend uh that's France rounded up let's move on to Spain Valencia vial we're going to talk about Valencia v Villarreal first of all Steve um 3:30 Saturday Valencia here are plus 185 V started the season really well both in terms of wins and indeed indeed goals uh Steve I mean they're plus 145 I know you're not playing on the money line but could you yeah definitely could I think Vel win the game uh Valencia bit worried about them the start of the season to be honest with you Dan um the bet that I'm going to go with uh is over two and a half goals at minus 127 again another really boring pick Mystic me Mystic me hardly saw this one coming um I can't believe this is the odds are this generous and there's no way a kickoff this is minus one 27 so if you're watching or listening get on this quickly I think because Vale matches I mean Vale nearly an automatic over Team every week no matter who they're playing against um they're just making every match into a shootout Monday's fixture against CAO was the most wildest thing you've ever seen in a long time 4-3 win I the XG numbers were off the charts um I think the XG numbers were even more than seven overall it was ridiculous um yeah under Marcelino they're just full of champ is in full of goals playing to the strengths which is good making every ball sort of a basketball type of match and I've said before with Valencia depends on the opposition with them they'll get they can get sucked into a shootout in midweek they got sucked into a ky tactical battle against Bill Bal um Athletic Club Bill b should I say and they were awful to be honest they offered nothing they they can of tried to play the same way that athletic Bill b played and it just didn't work for Valencia uh but I think that'll make them fired up for this game at home this match is I think this sort of a local geographical rivalry I can't remember the name of the Derby but it is usually quite spicy just one of the last 15 head-to-heads have contained under one and a half goals which was the most recent meeting fully enough but there was mis penalties and everything in that nine of the last 15 have gone over two and a half I'm just struggling to see how there's not goals in the game really um you know the goalkeepers are going to have to go well for it to go under it just looks a massive price to me Valencia will be will be better than midweek people might look at Valencia stats in that bill bow game and think oh gosh I mean how on Earth can you trust them to score for you well they they did score against Barcelona they did score against sgo and also vill roale could cover this goal line all on their own so over two and a half goals minus 127 pretty confident this was nearly this easily could have been my two-unit pick to be honest um really confident in it um not an original play really like the goals though uh you mentioned Logan cost James who's gone to VI roale came off the bench to make his debut after Playford to lose in the first game what will he give to viale do you think you said he was going to be a Mis for to lose this season yeah he's a really good Young Center back he was a a France youth International when he was 16 17 years old and he he's he's developed really well in League one I know Vel have conceded a lot of goals haven't they they conceded eight goals I think in three games and they do have some decent center backs if you look at the players who started matches actually for Vale this season Al beol and I think it's CA they brought in from from Manchester United as well um Eric Bailey's there as well X-Man United so they got options I don't know if they see Costa as an immediate starter in their side but I think if you look at that defensive record um he's got a fair chance I would I would think of breaking into the side because he's very solid physical athletic Defender he's good in the air we saw that with tooo so um yeah a good buy I think and one that I think the V roale fans will enjoy watching it' be interesting to see if he starts at the weekend but maybe not maybe want to uh to introduce over the course of the campaign sticking with Spain we've got Steve's official hot dog here this is my favorite play of the week I've got to Osasuna v Celta Vigo tell you it's also soon as Sela vgo which is 11:00 a.m. Sunday Eastern Time Sela vgo are The Outsiders at plus 235 which I can't quite get my head around because um they've been great to watch I mean by that um incredible uh penalty that they uh conceded uh against Vel they might have got something from their game I mean this this this could go over Steve as well but talk us who you play well the bet that I'm going with on the hot dog and you know what I've done with the hot dog this week I've kind of gone back to basics with it if you hear some beeping in the background by the way it's not the police it is is it a vehicle reversing it is a vehicle reversing and it is the the garbage truck and I'm hoping that OA sooner it come for your Mar memorabilia I'm hoping that ASA sooner are going to be garbage here because um this is uh this the bet I'm going with s vgo on the money line at slightly concerned about a rattle of bottles there he did have a part he he was a party as they say wasn't it plus 235 on Sela vgo and um I said I've gone back to basics with a hot dog when I first brought it in the whole idea was each week to find a a team on the money line that was a big price and worth backing and the hot dogs evolved into all sorts of things Big Goal lines um shots on target anytime scorers we even had the correct score hot dog didn't we in the Premier League show last week so but I've gone back to basics here and I think it's a huge price number one they've had they're going to have a lot more days to recover for this game at the time of recording we don't even know what o asuna's result is against Yona by the way but I don't care I mean even if they go there and Beach J owna 4-0 this wouldn't change my reasoning I just think it's going to be a massively short turn around for OA 3 days um and that's a huge Advantage for Selter Selter played some really good soccer under claudo geraldez who took over from um Rafa Bitz last year 1.77 points per game since he took over from 13 matches 343 system he's got players like aspas scoring goals Jonathan bber looks good vilot Swedberg who was a a signing from hammerby in Sweden a few years ago as a 17y old um fine talent and they're just enjoying their football full of goals good record here in uh s against aler as well um W here 3-0 last season haven't even conceded a goal in any of the last three trips to osasuna I was thinking actually Dan teams that we hardly ever talk about on this show and Osa are one of them I mean they've hardly had a mention have they last year anyway um for those are interested in them from a city of city called Pamplona more known for its famous bull run each year the crazy scenes through the street and I took the ball by the horns here and I've gone straight on the nose with Sela vgo on that know how you possibly shoehorned that reference I know I know bu by the horns plus 235 just absolutely shocking Cel on the money line I can see why you like this because the more I thought about it I love it you know this is a I think I've just I've seen I've seen C on the Tali like a couple of games and they look wild they look like they're going to score they look pretty good as well I mean vial a decent uh I think they beat Valencia didn't they prior to that I I I I don't know a lot about osasuna but I just think selaa will be entertaining just one more thing the manager new manager for Rossa this season as well so they're getting used to his system Vicente Marino he was sacked after seven games last year at Al Maria um he's already obtained more points here in two games than he did in his whole spell at Al Maria doesn't take much doing did it but I just think they're a bit up and down OAA they're not a team I bet on very often but this just looks a good really good spot to oppose them uh give us your final thought on LaLiga Round Up Spain Steve because you've got a lean in the Barcelona match here it's an interesting one because yes they they play three one3 but they have conceded in every game Barcelona but you'll taking a a counter a counter view of this one I I think Barcelona went to nil here at plus money plus 104 and um I think the reason that that price is because they have conceded a goal in all the first three games but look who they've played against Valencia away is not easy Athletic Club B bow at home's not easy and um I think the Ry of aranam that was a much people did SP to win to nil there to be fair um but it was a very early goal and then they dominated the fixture we we had rwer bow on the live show on Wednesday and we were talking about VI and he just thinks they're really lacking Firepower this season he actually called a the tie actually yesterday against the aanas was a good call from Rory but he just thinks they haven't got much to offer offensively and I kind of agree with him newly promoted side they're not going to have much to the ball here are they this could be this is oneway traffic probably less than six shots in the match Barcelona winter plus money decent bet that one even though they have conceded in all three so far maybe the odds compilers the book he just reacting to that a bit too much let's get to Italy and we've got plays from James here we've got the hot dog and the one unit play we've got some leans as well or one lean as well it's Sera uh we're going to start James with your hot dog pick here because it's the Napoli v Parma main game or one of the main games on Saturday 245 Eastern Napoli versus palman Napoli a short price favores atus 220 Palmer plus 575 I always thought you were going to look at goals for this particular game given what we were talking about last week but I didn't realize you were going to go hot dog with a player and I've got to confess I have never heard of him whatsoever so you're going to have to talk us through this particular player yeah the hot dog pick is on this game Napoli Palmer Dan and the player is Dennis man of Parmer who has come up with them from Seri B Palmer being promoted uh into Sera this season and he's uh he's my hot dog Pig so he's he's a pick to score anytime in the game at plus 380 and um I think that's a good price because he he's looked very dangerous in the opening couple of weeks of the season so for people that don't know Dennis Manny scored 11 times uh in Palmer's promotion campaign uh last season so far this season he's played on the right hand side in attack and um very dangerous player coming in on his left foot and um that's what I've really liked about him watching him in the opening weeks he's scored in both of their games so far he scored in the 1-1 draw against fantina with with a great finish actually off his left foot and then he scored in the 2-1 win over Milan uh last weekend he's not a he's not a shot monster he's not a player who has a huge number of shots in every game I think he's only had five shots on goal so far across those two matches Two On Target both of which were goals so he's a clinical player rather than a player who has a massive volume of shots but I just feel that the position he's taken up in the games so far for Palmer which on the right hand side and then coming in on on his left foot should make him dangerous here and I think you Napoli at home you'd expect them to get forward wouldn't you expect them to to attack I I just feel if Palmer can find him maybe on the break in that position that he's taken up so far uh then he should be dangerous maybe he's going to be a Markman now he's got two goals in two games so he's made a good start to the season I don't know but so far for py certainly looked the most dangerous player for them and I think at plus 380 if his hot streak of the Season he's going to be now then a bit like our pick with lovic Blast for Ren last weekend this would be the time to back him I think so he's a man to look out for here on the game plus 380 to score anytime I did have a look at goals in general uh down on this game I think the line is quite High isn't it they're expecting an open match with goals I a look at over 3.5 something like that at a big price because we should see chances here we should see them at both ends of the pitch but in the end I went for the hot dog pick on a player it's Dennis man to score at plus 380 Dennis man to score 380 yeah we talked about Napoli last week that Antonio Con in charge there when he's in the embryonic stages of his coaching career in league matches his the games that he prises of tends to throw up goals it's not something you readly associate with K but it does happen uh Juventus Roma is the Sunday Juventus v Roma game 245 this is the one unit play here just on the title situation uh James I mean Juventus are getting shorter every week at the moment I think people are starting to bind to what Thiago m is doing and they look pretty good last week I mean your SGP cash last week but I was slightly concerned that we might go over the three and a half goal element of your same game party thankfully we didn't yeah we didn't we we I mean you called that actually Dan because you did say you know there's a concern with the Thiago M side if they're playing well that they might break through the three-goal barrier and win 4-0 or maybe even 5 nil on their own they looked like they might do that didn't they because they were they were 3-0 uncomfortable and the game was wrapped up and then thankfully for us because we were on under 3.5 they didn't add any more goals but yeah I can see why they're attracting attention in the uh the title Market they've started the season really well uh two very comfortable three- wins now they've not obviously faced the top opposition in the division they they've beaten coma Como and Verona so far but I think it's the way they've done it isn't it you know it's a new manager and they've they've cruised to two three nil wins there without a full team yet you know we know they're still buying the window um coup miners comes has come in hasn't he this week and maybe Jaden s from Manchester United will be added so they might be even stronger by the time the window closes I can see why they're attracting attention um obviously inter are the favorites it makes sense you know they won last weekend we had a winning play on them but it's possibly going to be a bit closer uh Than People suspected because Juventus are looking very good they take on Roma um Roma a plus 350 to win in Ching this weekend maybe a bit of reality check for Daniel D Ro he certainly late last season and running into this season I think it's a good time to bet Juve James and probably a good time to fade Roma give us your play yeah I'm backing Juventus here on the money line uh down to get the win I was actually surprised how how big they are they're minus 129 I think it is now that's obviously an odds on shot but you'd expect Juventus to be an odds on shot at home and I I I thought they'd actually be um I thought they'd actually be shorter than this given how they've played so far we've mentioned those those two three wins they've had really impressive and if you think they can go on and win this game by a couple of goals then you might actually want to look at Juventus on the Asian handicap line I think minus 0.75 goal start on the Asian handicap they're plus 102 and again with that pick you only need Juventus to win the game don't you and you're going to make a profit and they've shown so far they can go on and win by a couple of goals so that would be the other way to play it but yeah I was very happy to back them here just to get the three points because they've played so well so far um I don't see any reason why that would change this weekend they've been really comfortable uh in control of both of their games so far bit more competition for places this weekend as well with a couple of new players may be coming in and and romor have struggled you know they've struggled they drew nil nil away to cerie on the opening weekend and then they lost two one at home to empy uh last weekend so it has been a tough start and you mentioned there maybe it is a reality check for DSI I think one thing that may have gone a little bit under the radar with Roma not not so much with their fans and people who follow the team closely but maybe casual fans of Sera is that they did change their sporting director this summer they brought in floron gizi who's really highly rated in France uh worked as a sporting director at L and then he just did one season at at n last season but he's new to S you know and a few people have looked at the Roma transfer dealings and you know wondered what the plan is and whether they maybe could have done a little bit more I don't know how much that is down to the change I think gazoli did such a terrific job in France as a sporting director I can see why Roma targeted him but it's just a sense of change really at the club that maybe has led to a few teething problems over the summer I don't know but so far they've not impressed me I thought they Wen great in either of those two matches and I think the chance to oppose them playing the Juventus side here are absolutely flying at the moment it was too good to overlook really so it was almost my two-unit pick this I had a long hard look at the two picks that I've gone for but in the end I went for one unit but as I say I think Juventus the way they've played so far really impressive and very happy to back them here at home to get the win at minus 129 sometimes Steve you've got to reset and readdress your own opinions of teams and I think UA and we said it on on Match week one you've got to look at them and think they're going to be very very different to what they were in recent Seasons um I think they finished last season with five of the last six under two and a half tho Mal is such a different coach and this can apply to any team new coach comes in you talked about deser with Marse but I think Italy in particular there's you know traditionally I mean you know I'm in my 50s now you just think of lots of unders lots of one Nils and you got to get your head out of that sometimes because there is value to be made the book makers can can have those same sort of opinions and if you are a little bit counterintuitive you can get some Fair odds about certain aspects that you might not think are value you've got to keep up with the trends what have I said about Simone to Atletico Madrid is a good example of that as well things can change quickly um want to congratulate James on the SGP winner last week and the hot dog as well um and he's started well in Italy as James he's got some good reads on on the teams one thing I just want to pick up on this game and James mentioned it last week is the corners Juventus have had an incredibly low amount of Corners in their games at both ends of the field and the corner line is as high as n and a half here in fact you can bring it down under eight and a half Corners is plus 117 with B rivers and if you look I mean I don't know if it's the style I think a lot of well I think a lot of it is because they cut inside so much quite early in the final third of the field as well it's not like get anywhere near the by line um Roma obviously a bit different with their uh Corners I think they're aaging 10 and a half a game but it's not that's only just over that Mark so I think under Corners might be worth looking at here I really do and um that would be my lean of the of the week in in Syria um along with another lean actually that James has I totally agree with his the lean that he's going to come up with in the Cali game yes we will get to that right now yeah it's interesting cuz spin at Sol's left for Napoli and he was a player that just love pH for Roma Lov to get on that left hand side and get to the by line but I I think it's just the way that juuv play if if you looked at bolognia last season everything came from the back it was fairly slow patient buildup play cohesive but you know you're not looking at uh UV I would have thought bombing on the wings it it might change if they get a bit more dominant but I think under Corners is it's a stranger isn't it CU you will correlate Corners with goals but you know over goals and under Corners might be an interesting combo for you Juventus backers this season let's get to that lean um James um I don't know if this is more about leche or calary the way you're framing this one this is a game that's 12:30 Saturday Serie A Round Up Eastern yeah leche versus cery and the lean is on Cal on the Asian handicap with a plus 0.25 goal start at minus 107 leche clear favorites to win the game here at home they're plus 120 to do so ceria plus 250 I just feel the price on leche is too short based on what we've seen of mainly them so far but also cery um leche have lost their two matches without playing well in either of them so far lost 4-0 at home to Atlanta in their opening game and then they lost 2-0 um away at inter last weekend now obviously they fa Top Class opposition there so this is by far the easiest of the games that have had so far this season but there's been so little an attack I think from Lee so far that even against the weaker side I don't really fancy them at the moment and um yeah I was surprised they were this short you know we talked about them whether they were valuing the relegation market last week or a couple of weeks ago when they were plus 300 I think to go down they've come in now to plus 200 to go down um there are still four teams shorter than them in the outright relegation market and caly are one of them but haven't seen anything so far from leche to suggest they should be as short as plus 120 to win this cerie theyve unbeaten so far they've got a couple of points on the board they got a decent draw against Roma then they drew against k so you know that will give them a certain amount of confidence going into this they've managed to avoid defeat in two matches despite being one of the favorites to go down I just feel it's one of those a bit like Steve mentioned earlier with the laav game in France where you just look at it and it's not that you're particularly fancy KY but the price to me just looks a bit wrong here I'd have it more of a 50/50 match uh than the market would suggest here so that was why it was a lean and it's on cerie to get something and with the Asian handicap pick plus 0.25 goal start as as long as kerie gets something a draw or a win uh then you're going to make a profit I mean your lean Steve was was on cerie last week wasn't it it was an unders lean for the Monday Night Football which cashed yeah and you know what I actually quite more I think about I like the under as well here but the line is pretty low I think the goal lines at two I I think leche I I they look awful to me and I think they might just go into simplify mode here keep it clean cheet get a point on the board Cali just to me seem the sort of they just feel like an under team and that might include a few one all draws I think it's a tight game this could go like 01 nil nil I don't it's not going to be a classic is it let's be honest um at all so uh but I I certainly think um leche are a struggling at the moment to Germany we have got a same Leverkusen v Leipzig game parlay uh to give you here now the same game parlay cashed of course last week as we've referenced already uh James going what I would suggest is a more sort of Orthodox um profession professional is probably over egging it but Orthodox play for the same gay p and now if you're a fan of the Premier League show and I'm sure many of you are the way that Nigel and Jack have started with the same game pilot it's a more sort of aspirational same game paray and I know that Nigel like wants us to to try and get the big prices I'm I'm split because I think if you're a pro if you speak to will white he he'd play it as James played it last week and it cashed and we can't argue when it cashes but Steve you've been influenced by you've been speaking to Nigel too much here do you know what I mean I can I can see Nigel's hand on this same game par I can see hovering o no no no no add that one no no no add that lusen leig 12:30 Easter you have got uh an interesting SGP for followers I told you earlier in the show I've got a strategy for the minute and for the the two this is not boring you told us it was boring you said it's going to be boring it's going to be two it's going to be mining money going to be boring sorry this isn't two two unit in one unit plays are going to be boring when I'm on the SGP Duty when you know hot dog as well that's when I can sort of have a go a bit more and um I've took a I've took influence here from from Nigel Jack James as well James on the anytime scorers is has been really good so I have gone with a a very simple play here it is Leverkusen against liip by the way I'm going to make a big statement here I think lusen get beat I think liky come here and win and end this unbeaten record plus 280 on leig um they get the job done but gold the SGP is on two go two players to score anytime at plus 550 remember the SGP is only half a unit and I'm going with Lois appender to score anytime and Victor bonface to score anytime and so pretty simple the two top Strikers on each team to find the back of a net aenda actually scored in both fixtures against Leverkusen last season I wonder how many players could say that uh in the previous campaign probably not that many um he's a huge price on his own plus 180 anytime um you he looked he just look sharp in preseason I think he's in the shot window a bit openda the links to Arsenal maybe some other big teams I don't think it'll be this window possibly janere um or whatever and um you know it's going to be a tricky one but um actually hold on John you got have to edit this I've got a partial that has to be answered I think we just keep it in don't worry about that give us your thoughts on LOA Pender James well well well well Steve goes because he was at SC scored a lot of goals at La didn't he that is good timing because he is one of my favorite Strikers in the Bundesliga I mentioned him was it last week when I I said if you're looking to oppose Harry Kane in the uh bundes leuea top scorer Market Lois aenda would be my pick at plus 700 in that market I know we had an about who do you actually back if you're going to back someone right yeah I'm a massive fan of him so for him to come up in Steve's SGP here I've got absolutely no issues with that at all I'm a huge fan 24 goals last season for leig what was the package Steve so for the for the wife and if I I thought it was going to require a signature I thought I thought it was going to require a signature can we get a can we get a live opening on the show you know you get these YouTubers that like have those unboxings don't you and they go through I don't know Apple TV or something oh it's something a lot more than that it's something a lot small than that in an actual envelope um but let us know everybody just on the comments let us know what what you think was in the box for Steve Steve continue we're keeping it in the show continue right where was I was on we had a penda chat with James so no one's missed any betting chat don't worry we didn't just stop go on yeah um yeah sup plus 550 appender and Bonny face and um I say I think app Pender's in the shop window I think Bonny face might be eventually as well um he you know 24 goals last year for aenda 14 for Bonny face but he missed a large chunk of a season with injury so that they may well have got into the mid 20s as well um scoring the super cup of course in uh preseason and I I just think I think this is going to be a crazy game uh full of goals by the way I actually nearly had a plus 900 SGP here I added in well I was just going to add in over three and a half goals and over six and a half Corners I the goals I think I think it's a high-scoring game and corners should just naturally come in every fixture really like this where there's a lot of shot shots and chances um and that that pce plus 900 but I thought you know let's just keep it simple here if it's a one all draw and both scored I'd be furious with myself so um yeah I think this is going to be a intriguing game um shout out to you by the way Dan you've nailed Leverkusen both the first two weeks um you know scoring late goals what did I say last week I can't remember just just back them if they're not winning going into an injury time uh I I I I backed um I backed Carl Zeiss Yer is it um on the handicap last night in the German cup because they put out a very old team lusen so yeah they're my favorite team at the minute anyway go on but um yeah I to say I think there could be a shock on the cards I think leverkusen's time they're du a defeat we've said this for a while haven't we but leig are the sort of team who may well deliver it um they've got the quality in all area of the field and if they play well they're capable of getting the win and they've got in a Pender up front I think he's a top quality Striker um D on his own like I say plus 180 for a penda any time was a is a massive price here Bonny face including the SGP plus 550 for half a unit I I really quite like this one uh last thought before we wrap things up Bundesliga Round Up we've got a lean in the Bundesliga uh from Steve been an interesting one this because I looked at the expected goals for iron trap frankfurt's defeat away at Dortmund and According to some expected goals models they got more than Dortmund but you are siding against I mean is just a lean you're siding against them uh with hoffenheim yeah this was on my hot dog short list hoffenheim on the money line popular play last year plus 2805 here at Frankfurt main reason is that hoffenheim just have a good way record um under the current regime um six best away record last year in Bundesliga seven wins they had only buying l and leig scored more away goals in hoffenheim and they just they're all or nothing you know they away from home they they they wreck up some interesting wins um which surprises you um so they're always on my short list away from home on the money line I wouldn't back them handicaps because they just lose too many games as well uh Frankfurt I mean they're not a team I tempt to bet on very often their games tricky uh it's only a lean but I just think hoffenheim I can guarantee in the first five away games they'll surprise ruris you somewhere with a a big away win and this might be it that's the lean in the Bundesliga that wraps things up Steve James thanks for your company good luck to one and all we keep everyone updated of course uh via Twitter and make sure you give us your comments on your best plays in uh the Youtube section below make sure you subscribe as well we've got a reminder of the boys p&l on screen for you so we'll be uh highlighting that over the course of the Season we're only a couple of match weeks in though um and that is a at for betting weekly extra time European show we're going to be back in a fortnite's time of course we've got International uh break but don't forget we've got our live shows Monday through Friday 11:00 a.m. eastern always plenty of betting chat a lot football covered no doubt we'll be looking at those Nations League games as well over the course of uh next week got the US Open with Nigel in New York as well make sure you follow us across all the usual social media channels from all of us for now though it is goodbye