FULL Buffalo Bills 2024 Preview: Win Total Floor & Ceiling

Buffalo Bills how do you feel about 10.5 that's the line that's been bestowed upon their 2024 win total what do the old bills say right when it's too tough for them it's just right for us Bill's Mafia feeling a little like Tony Soprano does about his uncle or Mom I mean we're family but there's only so much one can take you know what I mean the bills are only left thinking about what could have been bills are writing the same train the Ravens Cowboys 49ers are 11 and six 12 and 5 16 and one none of those numbers matter season over they can't make a three-game run at the end Bill Burr's going to have to go back to stand up backs against the wall you coming out fire man that's what we got to do every week you can say the same thing about the Texans punter by the way yeah but can they scratch out even 11 wins again without their top two wide receivers from last year it's a trifecta remember their offense was sixth in points per game fourth in yards per game throws it to digs for a touchdown first on third down fires a bullet into Stefon digs sixth in the red zone and he's going to sail into the end zone now Josh Allen has to try and prevent drop off without his top Target for the last four years I told you I was going to kill him Stefan Diggs traded away breaks through the contact from go after going for over 100 catches over 1100 yards and eight touchdowns 55 yards to perer their number two white out is also not returning quick hitter to Gabe Davis on a slam Gabe Davis and his 700 plus yards left for warmer climates complete to Davis for the touchdown now we see what Allen is about without them gab Davis the touchdown maker Bill's passing attack was good for eighth most passing yards per game and James Cook who leaps into the end zone and they were only middle of the pack and pass attempts touchdown Buffalo Allen threw 29 touchdowns over 250 yds passing per contest it's a touchdown also continued to have his turnover issues 18 in is a lot and it's intercepted again he fumbled away his fair share too Josh Allen came in with 19 turnovers he's now got 22 the bills again trying to cut back on the giveaways this year it's plagued them for two years running and the Patriots with a takeaway so who is Allen working with this season wide receiver khil Shakir should see an uptick in his targets he's going all the way for the touchdown 600 plus yards in 2023 500 yd jump from his year 1 to year two did a disapp bearing act on the tackler looking for the end zone and he's in Bill signed Curtis Samuel comes over from Washington 60 plus catches 600 plus yards over the middle caught and TouchDown for Curtis Samuel filling out the wide out picture second rounder Keon Coleman he's going to be able to win with bodies all the way around him after the catch he can make people Miss he breaks tackles with his strength Bill's passing attack features a good tight end Dalton concade was really good actually and only a rookie back across the middle it can T Waltz is Into The End Zone over 70 catches over 650 yds first career touchdown grab was a Buffalo Bill they also have Dawson Knox his Bud production dropped last year because of Dalton oh that's today baby running back James Cook big part of the passing game over 40 catches over 400 receiving yards flicks it out to James Cook who's in cook had a breakout year in 2023 as a runner over 1100 yard 4.7 a run James Cook who had 20 21 allpurpose yards in this game Allen also hit at 4.7 a carry he's going to tuck it and run right up the gut over 500 rushing yards release the beast 15 rushing TDS looking for the End Zone touchdown Buffalo's o line lost one of its starters from the group that opened up all those holes Center Mitch Morrison he had a good year rest of the group is back though all come off Good Seasons left tackle Dion Dawkins right tackle Spencer Brown guards Osiris Torrance Conor McGovern and Connor Shelby would hire them for protection for sure lean on you guys both game let's go bills with a scrambling quarterback gave up the fewest sacks in the NFL last year strike right down the scene so some pretty big changes to that offense and they made plenty with that defense too and it fumbled through the end zone is it a Touchback this was a unit that was fourth in points per game allowed last season over the middle and it's intercepted ninth in yards per game loses the ball it's on the turf at the 40 they can't really afford to regress picked off by Terell Berard three recent Main Stays in Buffalo secondary no more pun it in boys both safeties safety Jordan puyer 100 tackles last year a big voice in the locker room he did give up a plus 100 rating for what it's worth in the passing Game and his partner also gone safety Micah Hyde rate allowed close to 100 as well last year smell good today come find me today Del roll with Taylor W in one spot held his targets to a low 80s rating and it's intercepted by Taylor R and they picked up Mike Edwards from Kansas City also played the passw coming off the bench most games going to be intercepted Mike Edwards intercepted no more trade day at cornerback white departs on a four game season so they were used to playing without him anyway picked off by takeaway trade nickel cornerback ter Johnson is back mid90s rating allowed isn't bad with slot receivers his tackling skills topnotch 98 wrap-ups last year Taran Johnson in C cornerback Christian Benford returns off a season that saw him lead the team in passes defense held quarterbacks to a sub 90 rating high and it's intercepted R Douglas the third Corner came over late in the season but sparkled they'd take anything close to a 38 rating allowed like he put down for them in 2023 picked up by rasul Douglas also added safety Cole Bishop to the mix nabbed him in the second round of the draft Big Time ball magnet you can use him to match up and cover tight ends and plays with huge energy Buffalo held quarterbacks to an 81.9 rate seventh lowest and it's picked off second fewest TD passes allowed and picked off tied for the third most ints under 200 yards per game passing allowed last year's group was top seven good at least can they maintain with all that change and it's picked off by KY Elum 54 sacks in 2023 fourth most so that bar is kind of high too everybody's getting in on the ACT today they're sack lead departed Leonard Floyd smashed at 10 and a half times and he will be sucked he was the only double digit sack guy it was a collective effort and EPA has the football DT Ed Oliver half a back short of double digits he returns Ed Oliver fumble ball out defensive end Greg rouso is back five sacks for him again he goes down five is a little low expected more from him linebacker AJ epenesa came off the bench for 6 and 1 half sacks it's EPA and they're crossing their fingers that Von Miller can show back up zero sacks in 12 games last year hasn't been the same since being hurt they hope defensive tackle dayquon Jones can make it all season oh watch out he comes off a season that saw him only play seven games this is an unsung hero across the league right now this guy has taking off two and a half sacks in those seven contests they like their inside linebackers they can't run the football inside and they know it Terell Bernard over 130 tackles last year to the lead welc to the lead Matt Milano is is an a-level linebacker coming back from injury only five games last year over the middle and intercepted that's Milano Tyler Seabass 24 of 29 kicking not money exactly he missed from all sorts of ranges too so watch carefully it's off the upright and through the thumbnail overview Playmakers go first Diggs and Davis for Coleman and Samuel both new guys are downgrades Allen is really going to be tested as a passer this year four of their 5 line men from last year are back have to hash out that one inside spot McGovern could slide over to Center Morris will be tough to replace though Watch Camp to see who nabs the fifth spot defensive front all returning bills but it will be different Milano playing a full year is an upgrade over Terrell Dodson giving epinesa a push with Floyd epinesa only started one game last year so he has a shot at Double Digit sacks if he starts all season secondary lots of change Cole Bishop Mike Edwards at the safety spots for hide and I don't know Edwards and high to push based on last year's play at least losing pyer though will hurt losing trade day off a four game year isn't as big a deal as it could have been a bills hater will argue they're a nine- win type team after all the offseason changes so apply that to their schedule to find a potential floor wins against Arizona at Home Jacksonville at home weeks four to six on the road are brutal bounce back with a win over Tennessee still good enough to take Seattle on the road defend the rock pile versus Miami roadwi versus the Colts and then skip down and finish with a sweep of the expected to be lowly Patriots a floor of eight wins which would trigger lots of change miss it man miss it spray yourself with mustard and catchup and then jump on a table and you'll come up with their ceiling Coleman is a star they're better without digs if that's the case give them a huge statement win over the Chiefs at home and add a win over the Rams on the road and beat the Jets at home late too bringing their ceiling to 11 and six Allen in this scenario has an MVP type year cook is a monster game preview guide guess 9 and8 I suppose I've heard of the addition by subtraction concept but I failed math so I don't know how that works and I don't think it will in their case either El you going to see that not many other places maybe uh medieval times right around the corner