Florida Gators 2024 Record Prediction | Can Billy Napier, Graham Mertz Push For Bowl Berth?

let's talk about the Florida Gators Florida Gators have been one of the most polarizing teams I think in all of college football since the season ended last year a lot of talk around Billy Napier and his job security and things like that the over under win total for the Gators is at 4 and a half taking the under taking the over we'll give you our final record prediction for Florida here in a matter of moments before we get to that though Florida fans lock in right here if you're watching this as a one-off video on YouTube like guess probably in the 6 to 8 Minute range we appreciate you being dialed in make sure you're subscribed but this is part of a live show that we do every Tuesday Wednesday Thursday at 11:00 a.m. eastern so lock in with us don't want y'all to miss a minute of us talking about the greatest sport on the face of planet Earth which is college football lock in we appreciate you for that here's the confusing thing about Florida people see the the schedule and they see what happened last year from a record point of view missing the bowl game and they say oh man Florida they're in for it Billy Napier man that seed that seed is to I don't know how he's going to do it I do not know how he's going to do it and no one's denying the the record last year is less than desirable no one's denying that the schedule this year is brutal but look at what they have on this roster Personnel is not the same as the path the path is something you can't control the path is just the schedule that you get from the schedu makers and you go from there the roster though what they have in house I think is a lot better than a lot of people would like to give credit for and here's the reason why just spoiler alert I'm a lot higher on Florida than I think the rest of the uh the college football public is every single gripe or issue you would have with Florida I think there is a very reasonable and logical solution to that gripe you say well the offense man like can't score less than 27 a game and expect to have success against that schedule man there's there's no way yeah that's right but Graham Merz is going into his second year in the system he played a lot of football we've seen a lot of individuals their second year in the system have a ton of success Joe burrow being one of those guys Baker Mayfield being one of those guys I'm not talking about grah Merz being Joe burrow but I am I am telling you I think it's fair for us to at least acknowledge guys that have played a lot of football like a burrow like a Mayfield like a Merz now having another year in the system after transferring that makes a whole lot of sense Nick D T made that point I believe the other day on the on three Round Table Channel which I think deserves deserves a little bit of acknowledgement and I think it's a really good point made by Nick there from Gator online they say well it's not explosive enough maybe so maybe last year wasn't explosive enough no one's denying that but again Graham merch getting another year in the system and also getting more weapons Shamir D from Wisconsin big time get for them via the portal I believe a sneaky Big Time G big time in the sense that that's a guy that grah MZ has played a lot of football with that that chemistry is already there Trey Wilson I've told you one of the best Playmakers in college football Elijah Badger great after the catch he was actually one of the more high-profile gets for them from that spring transfer portal there's a lot of pieces there to fix those explosivity issues on offense well hey the defense has to be better defense does have to be better but what goes into defensive football at a base level it's coaching and it's players players I believe are better at the very least they're more experienced and I think at best you talk about the improvements on the on the back end of the defense bringing a guy like ASA Turner from Washington who's going to play safety for them and he's done a lot of good things throughout his career that is that is a major major factor we have to account for talk about coaching well JD Austin Armstrong I'm just not sure about the way he's coaching the defense I there was too many busts last year they brought in Ron Roberts to sort of be the uh to steal a phrase from uh from again Nick deor so shouts to Nick deor kind of the the football dad of sorts for an Austin Armstrong just kind of getting a second pair of eyes for uh for Austin Armstrong the way that I'll say this here he is his spotter defensively doesn't matter how strong you are it's always a good idea to have a spotter when you go lift heavy Austin Armstrong every single Saturday is lifting heavy all right this this is a a new thing for him being a DC in the SEC having someone like Ron Roberts who's been around the block a couple times that's going to benefit them I promise you now here's the other thing that you hear a lot about Florida something that I think uh needs to be unpacked with a little bit greater depth I think Billy Napier gets knocked a lot for his play calling and maybe more specifically he gets knocked for not giving up his play calling and I'm sitting here saying why can you blame the guy I I don't blame Billy n everyone in their mama is talking about him being on the hot seat and he's a guy that has cut his teeth and got this job because of what he does as a play caller because of what his offenses do and you want him to pass the sticks cuz he hasn't had the success that he would like to have two years in if I'm Billy nap year I'm saying okay if if I go out if I lose this job so be it but I am res in my head on that pillow at night knowing that we went out on my terms like I I'm cool if if we don't you know have the success that we want to have and and you know we we fall short of our expectations as long as we do it knowing that I did everything possible in my power to get that done I would feel very differently if I were to lose that job on Billy napor and I passed the offensive coordinator duties off to somebody else all because there was a little bit of external pressure give me a break man Billy Napier too it's worth noting he averaged over 30 a game all four years he was at Louisiana it hasn't translated just yet at Florida but doesn't mean he can't coach offensive football we've seen that he can there is a mountain of evidence that he can so I don't have an issue with him not giving up plate calling duties honestly I love it you think that's you think that's what's best for you do what's best for you do what's best for your team so let's get to the schedule now as we kind of break down the record here uh yes it's brutal it's brutal we've talked about that for a long time but what now because at some point the talking does have to end and the pads have to get popping the first four to five games of this season are absolutely massive why because you are the most fresh all right you have you know your your most healthy roster you're going to have all season and also it's only going to get tougher as we get into November you want to really establish that buyin that confidence and that uh that swag early on that okay yes all the things we've talked about throughout this offseason us as a team we're going to squat low we're going to be powerful we're going to operate this way offensively and defensively all those things that we talked about when we weren't playing games actually works when we get to playing games you want to have early success to make that happen October is all about keeping it on the rails all about keeping it on the rails and no competitor actually thinks like that but if they can go two and one against UCF at Tennessee and Kentucky phenomenal phenomenal let's let's keep a good thing going now November is going to hit like a Title Wave No Way Around It Again no competitor actually thinks in the context of H how many games can we win here to keep our hopes alive to do X Y and Z in the postseason or whatever but like it's you know it's it's going to be brutal all right we we all understand that how how stable are they heading into November to be able to handle that tidal wave what I mean by that is health is one thing but also just like psychologically are you in a spot where you feel good about what you're doing internally is there good cohesion is there good Harmony I'm not questioning that I'm just telling you that is massive when you go play against Georgia when you go to Texas all those things are massive and so what we said about Auburn earlier on in this live show is the same thing I would say about Florida in the month of November you need marketable moments moments that you can package up and go pitch whether it be on the recruiting Trail or to the powers that be or to the fan base that says hey this thing is going somewhere here is an appetizer don't you want the entree here here is where this thing is eventually going to end up here's here's a a preview of the movie buy into this give Billy Napier some more time how that would look let's play Georgia tough let's play Texas down to the very last snap heck let's let's let's let's beat LSU let's let's beat an Old Miss let's beat Florida State those to me would be the marketable moments where regardless of what happens the rest of November the rest of the season even those are moments you can point to and say I think there's something there there's something to build off of and so as we get to this record prediction man i' I've said this a couple times six and six is uh a very very intriguing intriguing spot to land at at six and six I think if you're Billy AP year the verdict is very much so still out on what he would be as a head coach now you probably use the eye test quite a bit to try and determine exactly what Florida will be going back to marketable moments but if you go six and six with that schedule I would just be asking like are we sure he's not the right guy at Florida cuz six and six against that schedule what is that in the ACC what is that in the Big 12 like a 91 win season not throwing shade just asking that's the way it feels to me is it really worth at 6 and six hitting the reset button on your roster for the next two years cuz the portal does what the portal does man talk about nil talk about the next hire you know having good retention the portal does what the portal does if you change head coaches it does all right so let's not act like you're not hitting the reset button if you part ways with a billy Napier that's my question mark around six and six now me personally I think Florida goes seven and5 that is my prediction for them in 2024 I think there's a lot more to this roster than what meets the eye I think they're going to catch somebody in November I don't know who it's going to be but they're going to catch somebody slipping in November and I think there's a lot more belief in buying internally within that building than most folks will give credit a lot of people are just saying ah Florida man they're going to lose week one and roll over and play dead and it's like now the game against Miami is massive do not get it twisted that'll be big for setting the tone but I have not seen Florida pack it up once in the B apor era not once I've seen games where they're outmatched the game against Oregon State in their bowl game a couple years ago like yeah that looked like they were maybe a little bit uh in over their head and they had just everybody and their mama sitting out in that game I haven't seen Florida just pack it up and say no we're not playing for each other we're not playing for neier I think they're going to be able to get to that seven win Mark I really do and I think they'll have enough there to uh to keep Billy naier around for another season in games though hey y'all thanks so much for watching subscribe to the channel here to make sure you don't miss an episode of the hard count also be sure to check out other videos on the Onre 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