KAMALA HARRIS SURGES POST-DEBATE - Democrat set to win at least 320 Electoral College Votes

Published: Sep 12, 2024 Duration: 00:06:13 Category: News & Politics

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hello my name is Matt Garen welcome to my latest video on political predictions um my first video uh post presidential debate you may have seen the uh the uh presidential debate on Tuesday night between uh Democratic candidate kamla Harris and Republican goof uh Donald Trump it was a blowout it was a she uh she had him for dinner um at one point she mentioned in the debate that Camala Harris Kamala Harris mentioned in the debate that Putin's going to have you eat you for lunch which is uh true I I I I I joked at the time that Trump should have said no he's going to have me for dinner his favorite uh because that's what of course his hero Hannibal Lector likes to do um so it was quite uh quite something she uh she she knocked him out of the park she she baited him uh he fell for everyone uh he proved and showed To America that he's not fit to become president not fit to run a much of anything to be honest it's uh it's it's it's quite something so I think uh uh Kamal Harris came into this week with an advantage she was perhaps uh according to the polls an average of three points ahead um that was the case in uh and still is uh considered the case according to 538 she's according to them about three points ahead um and but since the uh the debate we've seen some polls come out that uh yeah yesterday Reuters ipsos gave her a fivepoint national lead that's big um that's a that's that's the that's a looking good uh even the New York Post has her ahead 50 to 47 uh Ras M reports of course a republican pollster uh uh still mysteriously has Trump ahead by two which makes perfect sense when you talk about eating cats and dogs and making a fool to yourself of course you're going to be a head Americans love that um and uh morning conso came out with a poll uh yesterday showing Harris expanding her National lead up to five um uh I won't go through the uh the Michigan poll is not is not true but Insider Advantage is of course a republican leading poster um in my in my previous videos I I I I I suggested uh that my thesis that uh us pollsters this year are over over representing uh certain demographics uh that they think that they missed in 2020 meaning that they are using the lessons they learned from previous Wars to fight the current War uh I like to emphasize that that point um so they they are I think even these new polls out since the debate are under representing Democratic support as we saw in the midterms in 2022 and in and in most special elections since Democratic turnout far exceeded what was predicted by the polls the margin of victory was much higher so I think that is still going on I think what we're seeing in in National us polls is an under representation of democratic support so where does that leave us let's uh I'm I'm going to do a full map for you today um uh so let me just start by filling in the obvious uh States New York uh Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut New Jersey uh Delaware Maryland DC all definitely in the Democratic column um I can start filling in some Republican as well Virginia's definitely uh Democratic um Minnesota uh New Mexico Colorado Califoria oops Oregon Washington Hawaii I'll give Alaska to Trump trump Trump trump Trump trump Trump trump Trump trump Trump trump oops Yeah Texas is still leaning toward Trump there we go filled in um I will give Iowa still to Trump and Ohio I will still give to Trump um a and after the debates uh I think uh Cala Harris is surging so here we go this is where I uh believe she is truly ahead oops forgot about Vermont I do think she's leading in second district to Main in the last poll I saw shoulder head same with uh Nebraska um Arizona her Nevada and Florida I think is probably too close to call I think she's on average and pulls Four Points behind that to me means they're neck and neck um so Florida could go either way um I'll be generous and give it to Donald Trump uh in in a whisker so this is where I have things currently po debate 320 uh Electoral College votes for Kamala Harris 218 for Trump could be like this I think Florida could could uh is in in strong contention here and uh perhaps in the end she's going to win it but for now put in the Trump column 218 for Trump 320 for uh Cala Harris uh that's where thing things currently stand if you don't agree with me dislike or feel free to Eng engage in a comment below um thank you for watching uh please subscribe to my channel and give this video a like if you liked it and uh I look forward to chatting with you all soon thank you

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