5 Rookies Who Had HUGE GAMES! What's Wrong With Corbin Burnes? | Fantasy Baseball Advice

Intro [Music] Spencer arti in five starts in August a 195 ra90 whip 47 strikeouts over 32 in a third Innings League winner maybe he might just be welcome into fantasy baseball today on Thursday August 29th I am Frank stanfold joined by Chris Towers today on the show we had five rookies with big games Corbin Carrol is so back Corbin Burns has gone in the other direction it seems like so over we can only have one good Corbin in baseball at a time I guess uh and much more but hey hey hey Patrick Corbin was good yesterday take it back yeah against my Yankees of course let's jump in can you believe it wow all right Chris there were lots of options to choose from but you are going with Spencer arti I am Spencer Arrighetti going with Spencer arag Getti who took a no hitter into the eighth inning ended up giving up two hits walking four over seven and 2/3 shutout Innings against the Philadelphia Phillies who have been not as good offensively in the second half but had been showing signs of Life recently 11 strikeouts it's just been really with the exception of that white sock start when we were all excited to start him it's just been gem after gem for arti in August and it's giving me uh Lis heel vibes in that when arag Getti got called up and and it's possible I'm overstating this but whenever I watched him pitch early on I was like man the stuff is pretty good like he looks like he throws mid90s the both breaking balls look pretty good the cutter solid and it was just the command was was really bad he walked 23 in 43 and two3 innings over his first two months didn't really like put together any good starts until like the end of June and even then he bounced back or fell back in July so it wasn't nobody was really getting excited about him but man like you said I mean 47 strikeouts 10 walks in the month of August and 32 and two3 in it 32 in the third Innings that's like 2.78 walks per nine this was actually his worst start uh in terms of walks since July 2nd when he walked four as well and it just kind of seems like and I don't think the upside is quite as high for arag Getti as Luis Hill I don't think the stuff is quite as good but it just feels like a similar spot where if he just has decent command he can be really really good and the problem as we've seen with Luis heel this season is command tends to come and go and uh you know it's incredibly hard to quantify it's incredibly hard to project all of those things being true makes it hard to say well Spencer ragetti's just figured out figured it out and he'll be good moving forward but at minimum he is 76% rostered he needs to be 100% rostered at this point that is three double digit strikeouts in his last five games he has we mentioned yesterday um who was it Jeffrey Springs I think was a no no no there were some of that had four double digit strikeout games Shawn manah Shawn manah there were nine players with four double digigit strikeout starts this season spetti makes it 10 now and um look there are some pretty not great names on that list some guys that have had kind of outlier performances but Eric's on that list now with Chris Sale and gck crochet and Luis heel and a bunch of guys who had really good Seasons so I I I think the upside he's shown over this past month is is impossible to ignore yeah I I think we're all in agreement awesome August I read the numbers up to top four Spencer arti and I remember earlier in the season I told people just pay attention because he gets lots of whiffs right so arag Getti has three pitches with a whiff rate of 37% or higher so strikeouts are not a problem here it's everything else that you mentioned the ability to throw strikes commanding his pitches at times and I think if he can you know throw those breaking uh secondary pitches with enough conviction it'll probably help his fast ball play up his fast ball was actually his best pitch in this start today it actually generated the most whiffs so he's capable of getting whiffs on on basically all of his pitches good run support behind him with the Houston Astros yeah we're in agreement there uh needs to be closer to 100% rostered 76% for Spencer arti and uh yesterday we spoke about three names him Bowen Francis and Jeffrey Springs I think arti very clearly at the top of that list and I think we all had him at the top of the list yesterday right so I I think I went arag Getti Francis Springs um we'll see how francis's next start goes but Springs has been limited to five innings in all of his best starts so you know arti the upside is clearly high high I'm very impressed by what he's done lately all right let's talk about Corbin Carroll who had himself a huge game two Corbin Carroll for five with a double dong and five RBI and want to focus on what's changed for Corbin Carroll so first 85 games this season a 210 batting average only two homers had 15 steals a 607 Ops 35% Fly ball rate 36% pull rate 87.7 average exit velocity apologies I just threw a bunch of numbers your way and more are coming last 44 games he is batting 253 with 15 home runs 46 runs 37 RBI the steals are down only six during that time but obviously he's hitting for so much power over 900 regarding the speed I one thing I did notice he only has one Steel in August he has I think 23 hits in the month of August nine of them are homers and four of them are triples wow he just hasn't had many opportunities to steal bases yeah it's not like he's gotten slower he's very clearly still one of the fastest players in all of baseball uh but remember the numbers I said before I'm just going to compare them real quick the flyball rate from first 85 games to the last 44 games has jumped from 35% to 44% the pole rate has jumped from 36% to 49% so putting the ball in the air pulling it in the average exit velocity from 87.7 milph to 91.4 so hitting the ball with authority pulling it and hitting it in the air that is exactly the recipe for hitting for power and that has been the biggest change for Corin Carrol yeah I'm I I'm gonna steal a joke that someone on Twitter made I are are you a Simpsons guy Frank I never know what you have or haven't watched I know Scott has has seen some Simpsons yeah the Stan Rolodex is very small here have not watched I'm going through the process of watching The Simpsons all the way through and it hits a point around season 3 where just like every episode is like oh my God this one and there there's a joke where they like flash back to disco stew and he's got a a a graph that shows disco sales going up in like 1970 and he's like if this if this trend continues and that's kind of the point we're at with Corbin Carrol if you look at the month by Monon Ops it's like :9 in April 6133 in June 7:25 in July 8:22 sorry 8:22 in July 79 725 in June 909 so far in August it's basically been like a 100 Point jump every single month so far and I is he a first rounder again like are we just like all through throughout this whole difficult frustrating season are are we just kind of ve very close to back where we started I haven't thought that far in advance but my early lean is I can find 12 players I would rather draft than Corbin Carroll I think that's reasonable and there was a a way too early mock draft that um was Ryan Bloomfield put up on Twitter yesterday so that is actually a real draft that they're playing at it's just a way too early draft Champions nfbc format round draft and hold there's no waiver wire or anything but that's a 15 Team league and yeah he was 17th I think they did the first 11 rounds of that draft so yeah and carbin Carroll was the 17th pick in that one so I think he's in that discussion again and that's kind of wild because I feel like people in the comments would have I don't know run us out of town with torches and pitchforks if we had said that too months ago but and rightfully so I mean he was he was terrible and like it's still not quite back right like he's only hitting like 240 uh 253 so far in August 221 in July despite those being his two best months overall there's still like you look at the launch angle Sweet Spot which is a metric that we don't necessarily talk about a ton but I think is instructive when a player like a little lost and what that just basically means is the percentage of the batted balls that are within a certain degree right it's I don't know 11% to 30% or something um well however they Define it but that's gone from 33% in 2023 to 26% in 2024 that is a second percentile Mark so like he's still hitting a lot of grounders and a lot of Pop flies and you know he's not the same guy he was last year but yeah I still think at the end of the day at least least in a roto league in a head-to-head points League uh you probably missed the playoffs because of Corbin Carroll and now you're watching him carry you in what should have been the playoffs but I think in a Rota League you're gonna end up pretty happy with the final numbers and you know what's kind of a sneaky part of all of this his overall line 96 runs scored in a Down Season it's August 29th so he has a whole month left what is that number going to wind up 120 run scored in a down season for Corbin Carol so uh yeah we'll see hopefully he can start running a little bit more but as you mentioned there just haven't been opportunities for Corbin Carrol to do exactly that in August wanted to give a shout out to two big performances by star players I mean this is what they do yordon Alvarez I guess they he was dealing with a neck injury right over the weekend I it was I guess the neck is fine because uh four for four with a triple dong for RBI and he is going off in August 385 batting average eight home runs a 1233 Ops and ho just another day for sh Otani two for four with a sock in Two Shoes 42 homers 42 steals a month left can he get to 5050 yes I I think at this point it's like I I'd say it's like 90% likely it's wonder you can bet that somewhere for me it just comes down to like if he gets the home runs there's no way he doesn't get the steals right like he yeah it's more likely he'll get the steals in homers I think I think so yeah and just to on on the Ordon Alvarez front like we never talk about him right like he's one of those players that's just we only talk about first or second rounders if they're struggling or hurt and he's had a few injury scares but for the most part he's just been Rock Solid and and it's one of those things where like you almost don't realize how good of a season he's having because of that but like the Ops now for the season is up to 963 he's got 28 homers he's got 75 R like it's been a little disappointing I guess like you you hope for a little better in the counting stats but he's just he's awesome like it's another one where like even the relatively quiet seasons and this is the down season for yardon Alvarez are still amazing yeah I was gonna point out the counting stats he entering uh Wednesday was on Pace for 88 runs scored and 82 RBI that is absolutely a disappointment but the fact that you are getting you know a 300 plus batting average with you know somewhere in the mid-30s home runs I I think he still could have a big month in terms of counting stats as well uh yeah maybe a slightly down year but still overall just a very very good season here for yordon Alvarez two days in a row I want to highlight an oh my goodness gracious game just another crazy comeback two Cubs at Pirates days in a row this time the Cubs at the Pirates the Cubs were down 10 to three by the end of the fifth inning they came all the way back they scored six runs in the ninth inning to win that game 14-10 and how did they do that another rough outing from David Bednar some bad luck some self-imposed I was watching this one some questionable defense behind him but he also couldn't throw strikes which that's on him uh he got the ninth inning with a two-run lead he was charged with five runs on two two walks and three hits took his sixth blown save seventh loss Bednar in August a 1097 ra and a 234 whip according to mlb.com manag derck Shelton would not comment on bedar status as the team's closer moving forward uh here is a Bonker stat over the past seven years there have been 1,193 instances of a team leading by seven runs in the seventh inning or later seven run lead in the seventh inning 1,193 teams are now 1, 192 and one in those situations that is jeez that is Bonkers yeah I I I mean I I guess the thing with David bnar is well they can't leave him as the closer they also haven't moved him out of the role yet right like there's why why is this GNA be the one that loses him his job I he had a multi-run outing earlier in the week right like it just it's been a disaster of a season I I think in the long run my confidence in David bnar is not necessarily shaken I think like a healthy off season he can be back and being a a very good closer again but yeah it's been ra is almost is it over six now yeah it's got to be over nine in the month of uh August now yeah approaching 11 in August outright disaster and um doesn't look like it's getting any better it did at one point but it's just gotten completely worse for the Cubs how did they do all that damage Ian hap reached base five times three for four with two walks two runs and two RBI he got off to a really slow start but the numbers are basically where they should be 241 batting average 23 homers 11 Steals and 811 Ops Pete Crow Armstrong had another huge game four for four with a walk and four runs scored last 29 games he is betting 330 four homers eight Steals and Ops over 900 I moved him up to my 42nd ranked outfielder in head-to head points and my 37th ranked outfielder in Roto we'll talk about him in a a little bit I want to compare him to another rookie who had a big game uh on the Pirates side Brian Reynolds had a big game three for five with his 21st home run while we're talking about the Pirates Chris I do just want to mention with Paul skes do you think this was the beginning of the limitation for him because he was solid against the Cubs five innings three runs two of those earned he had six strikeouts 82 pitches was his lowest in a start this year and I feel like if this was maybe two weeks ago he very easily would have been given another inning and he would have gotten you a quality start presumably uh but in this one he's limited to five innings limited to 82 pitches which isn't like the worst thing but do you think kind of the the start of maybe his limitations it might be that this is what it looks like like right like maybe next time out he throws 94 pitches over six Innings you know like it could just be that I don't really get it like the guy threw 130 something Innings last season between college and the majors I I know the college you know he had some really high pitch outings and they might consider that more high stress than but like they babied him early on you know he wasn't throwing full outings in April and like I guess my thing with the Pirates is like he's gonna have to throw a full season at some point are we really like we can't let him go more than like 20 Innings over what he was last year I I don't really understand the thought process here it's not like there's a lot of evidence to suggest that this type of action saves pitchers so I it's frustrating but you know we saw with Jared Jones there was one really annoying game where he had a no hitter through five innings I think and they pulled him after like 60 something pitches it might just be on a game by- game basis and the next time out he might go six with 94 pitches but I don't think we're going to see any 100 pitch outings from Paul skes moving forward sure and isn't there something what is it like the verduchi effect where pitchers are supposed to increase their Innings yeah 50 was like the magic number for a long time but that was also in an era where you were trying to get pitchers to 200 Innings and I don't know if you can ever expect Paul SK to thrd 200 innings in current baseball so I I don't know but yeah it just it feels unnecessary like it feels like that was what April was about yeah and he's up to 136 and a third right he threw you said 130 or 13 I think it was right around 30 130 yeah so I mean what's the big deal if he gets up to 160 right I mean that seems like a pretty reasonable jump for any young pitcher year-over-year just adding 30 more Innings but alas this is where we're at and of course the Pirates Blue Paul SK is win in that game quick reminder to sign up for the fbt newsletter if you haven't already you can scan the QR code if you're watching on YouTube that will bring you right to the website where you click on the fbt logo you punch in your email address and it's easy as that you'll get a newslet letter delivered right to your inbox every weekday for free let's take our first break and when we return the news and notes right after this America service acem kick off their Seasons right here on CBS Sports Network [Music] welcome back in the news and notes Rafael Des has missed two straight due News: Devers out again to soreness in both of his shoulders Dave Roberts said Tyler glass now's progress from his elbow injury has been slow moving and indicated that glassnow will need a rehab assignment prior to returning which you know it's August 29th that makes things a little bit dicey here for Tyler glass now he's just played catch so far right yeah I don't think he's thrown off a mound or anything like that so uh hunter green will not throw for two weeks as he waits for inflammation to go down in his elbow Bruce Boi said it's quote going to take a while for Max Scherzer to be built back up after he resumes throwing scherzer's been out since early August with right shoulder fatigue he's droppable yes the most droppable out of that three for sure but I think just if you're in one of those 24% of leagues where Spencer's available I might even drop him for like David Festa you I hate for a legend in the game future Hall of Famer to go out like this like just injured but just feels like it happens for so many guys and I don't know how much Max Sher has left just arm you know father time is undefeated and sometimes guys go out like Nelson Cruz or David Ortiz where they just retire without ever having that ugly season but feels like there's a lot more examples of that last ugly season or two from Legend and it's just part of the game like you don't become Max Scherzer if you're not incredibly competitive and have a wildly overinflated sense of your own abilities and like he's probably going into the Hall of Fame oh yeah he's beat all expectations and All Odds but yeah it's it's hard to rewire that part of your brain when like you're a Hall of Famer you shouldn't be here as is so who who is Frank stampul to say you shouldn't be here now right like that's just I'm not and I'm not like I'm I agree with you but like that's just how these guys are wired yeah yeah for sure I mean especially Scherzer like he's an absolute M oh yeah uh so I get why he's pushing himself but you go try to you go up to Max Scherzer and tell him hey bud you're finished it's not gonna be me but guess what I'm also not gonna draft him in fantasy next year so uh Cole Reagan has been cleared for his next start Saturday against the Astros he left his start on Monday due to cramping in his left calf and hamstring Luis heel will likely make a rehab start in 5 days he got through a live batting practice session on Tuesday with no issues Clark Schmidt will likely make two more rehab starts before being activated from the 60-day iil the reds are promoting one of their top prospects Rhett louder top pitching Prospect Rhett louder to make his debut Friday in game two of their double header he's 22 years old was a first round pick in last year's draft the numbers in the miners this year three 64 ER 115 whip over a strike upper inning he's known mostly for a really good change up and command he does have a good slider as well worth pointing out that you know as he got bumped up the numbers in daa were not nearly as good and it's a tough ballpark to pitch in 18% rostered what do you think here Chris any interest in deeper leagues R louder yeah I think look I I was the guy who was saying we should be adding Jack lighter just like my my thought process when it comes to these rookies is anybody with upside I think is worth adding before their debut just because they could be anything chances are ret louder is probably going to come up and not be all that impressive like he was drafted as kind of a higher floor lower ceiling kind of pitcher every Scouting Report pretty much says he's an sp4 type but sometimes those guys surprise you and he does have a five a 0.51 ra over his past six starts 0.51 um only a 9% per swinging strike rate the fast ball doesn't have like great characteristics so my expectations aren't super high but I I'm open to being surprised Michael Lorenzen was placed in the iil with a strained left hamstring Tyro Estrada was placed on waivers it's been a pretty big Fall From Grace after two very solid seasons in a row from Tyro Estrada the Astros option Chaz McCormick to Triple A another one who's taking a big step back following his breakout 2023 Miguel andar has been ruled out for the rest of the Season as a result of a core muscle injury and before you move on to those five rookies who had big games friend of the show David Mendelson brought up a scenario on Handling H2H playoffs Twitter earlier today uh in one of his fantasy baseball leagues and other people might be dealing with a similar situation so I wanted to get your opinion on the matter his League's playoffs started this week and he has a 10 start limit per week for starting pitchers on Tuesday night Garrick crochet threw four pitches and did not record an out before the game was called due to weather it counted as a start should the commish allow his team an extra starter this week now Scott was pretty adamant on Twitter that the commissioner should not allow an extra starter uh for this week and what are your thoughts um if I was the commissioner I'd probably be okay with it but it's the kind of thing where it would only really like you would have to get the sign off from both of the people in the matchup and if the other guy is adamant that it counts as a start then I guess it counts as a start I wouldn't want to win that way I guess um same I've been in similar situations not like exactly the same but I've been in situations where we like don't have a rule for how to handle things and I tend to as a commissioner and a player go with some sense of fairness you know like I I'm I'm open to it but I understand the the idea that it like it because like if G crochet gets hurt after four pitches I I don't think I'd say the same thing right but this is a weird situation right it's a it's a it's an act of God right like I don't know like insurance companies don't cover acts of God right I like I don't know how to exactly think about it but my sense is I would be fine with it but it would have to get the sign off of the people in the league yeah I I have a similar thought on this and I know if Scott were here I I'm pretty sure he would just be yelling at us about how wrong we are on this uh on our mindset on this but yeah I think both managers would have to sign off the person who would happen to the opponent as well and I understand that rules are rules but especially in a playoff match you really want it to be decided that way so like if it's a regular season thing you know maybe you're a little bit more strict on it all right we don't have a rule for this but I feel like in especially in head-to head leagues and playoff matchups there should should be some kind of contingency set in place like we have that in my home League we play two two week matchups right where if you pick up a player or someone's in your lineup and they go on the I out of nowhere right before like the first game start you could switch them out for someone else like that's on free agency you know both teams have to agree but we do have that kind of contingency set in place so I think especially in a playoff match up you just don't want things to be decided because of like a weird fluky thing that happens like that but that's just my opinion and um yeah don't tell Scott because I'm pretty sure he would yell at us let's uh talk about some big days for rookies Big day for rookies here and uh we'll start with Dylan Cruz who hit his first career home run two for four in this one also added a double two hard hits both over 105 exit velocity and that's now back-to-back multi-hit games one game he had a homer one game he had a steel he was leading off in this one against a lefty Carlos sdon uh car uh Dylan Cruz is 65% rostered I mentioned P Crow Armstrong earlier Chris who would you rather have Dylan Cruz or PCA um Dylan Cruz especially in a points League I I would um maybe with PCA the the speed gives him but like I think Cruz is just a much better or a much more talented hitter so I I would go with him um he's 65% rostered I think that probably needs to be 100% just in case and that home run was like not a that Carlos rhon must have been so frustrated because that was not a bad pitch it was like in on the hands you know waist high but not like out over the middle and he just turned on it in a way that like we had some questions about whether Dylan Cruz was going to be able to do that he he's had more of an all Fields profile as a power hitter and uh he he smoked that one so that was very impressive maybe I'm just uh sipping the PCA Kool-Aid a little bit too much here but I have ranked him higher as of now I updated the rankings here on Wednesday uh I think longterm there's no question in my mind I think Dylan Cruz is going to be a better player but just the fact that Peak for Armstrong has doing this been doing this for over a month now yeah and he's just been so Dynamic it's and we've seen the adjustment right like the rookies tend to need some time yeah and Pete Crow has done that now so Pete Crow Armstrong yeah so yeah yeah um and I like it's not me like talking down Dylan Cruz like you know I think it's a really close call if you're someone out there listening you prefer Dylan Cruz I I wouldn't knock you for that one bit it's just you know Crow Armstrong is showing power he's hitting for batting average the speed there's extra bases everywhere I I would really like for them to move him up in the lineup I think that's one of the biggest drawbacks right now for PCA but you know don't put too much pressure on the kid he's hitting well right now uh yeah I would lean with P Armstrong but I I do think it's a really close call let's talk about Dylan Cruz's teammate jameswood who ran wild in this one two for four with three stolen bases and since July 27th last 30 games he is betting 340 only three homers of course we want that to be higher but the ground ball rate is is still pretty high uh but nine steals during that span a 987 Ops he's hitting the ball hard and he's another one who has made adjustments Chris the if you look at the last 30 games versus James Wood's first 21 games the strikeout rate is way down the ground ball rate is way down the pull rate is up he's still hitting the ball really hard so another one making adjustments and uh now ranked inside my top 25 outfielders the rest of the season yeah I mean what did we say when he was playing earlier you know during those first 21 games like he wasn't great but the fact that he was decent despite hitting as many ground balls and hitting it all you know one one line drive to the pool side in his first like 30 games or whatever it was like that was pretty impressive and and I do wonder if like the player physically that James Wood reminds me of as a batter is uh Josh Bell like very similar James Wood is so much more athletic but like in the Batters box he looks very similar and and he's another huge guy and it might be you know Josh Bell has had trouble elevating the ball consistently throughout his career and and you know maybe James Wood will have some similar issues but he's so young he's made some adjustments already that it just yeah it it feels like the the seiling is a mile high for him yeah I people are GNA crush me for this but when I watch James Wood it kind of reminds me of Ellie deor Cruz right just bigger guy being lanky now look he's not gonna run as much as Ellie I understand that you know we'll be lucky if we get half the seals of Ellie de Cruz in one season for James Wood right like if we get a a 30 or 40 seal season I think that would be the absolute Max that we can get from James Wood but just being a really tall hitter kind of wiry lanky dude he's fast on the base pass you know Ellie had some issues with the launch angle and raising the ball as well early on in his career so I I just see some similarities there uh and obviously just lots of excitement you know look the Nationals are coming man they they've got some young Talent on this team with Abrams and James Wood and Dylan Cruz obviously they they have to figure out some pitching there but man they got a pretty interesting nucleus of hitters McKenzie Gore slowly maybe starting to figure it back out yeah we'll talk about him in just a little bit one other rookie I wanted to mention David Festa turned in his first career quality start six Innings two hits two runs seven strikeouts had 11 whiffs on 88 pitches and he spammed his slider in this one leaned all the way in 47% usage and it was a pretty good pitch for him uh since being recalled on July 24th Festa has a 306 ra a 105 whip 43 strikeouts over 32 and a third and I feel like it's just kind of flown under the radar here widely available 28% rostered what do you think about David Festa what's really interesting about this start is before this the change up had been the really special pitch he had a 46% whiff rate with the change up since getting called back 42% overall um had been throwing that more than the slider uh since his recall so the fact that he felt comfortable enough with the slider to throw up 47% of the time got five whiffs with it five of his 11 whiffs um he looks like an uncomfortable pitcher to go against he's tall six foot six gets down the mound um I think he's pretty interesting he's showing some really interesting characteristics and the fact that the slider worked as well as it did as a primary pitch bodess really well um yeah I'm I'm kind of interested in David Fest not nearly on the level of Spencer arag Getti or you know but like I'd add him over Rett louder for instance yeah I would add Festa over like Jack lighter is more rostered than David Festa yeah I'd rather have Festa than lighter I would much rather start Festa right now than than Jack ligher absolutely and we were talking beforehand the twins kind of have a type right like this big tall right-handed pitcher that gets down the mound Fest is a big dude biley obber is huge he's like six foot eight yeah and um I just looked up zebie Matthews six foot five so another guy that's like really big right-handed pitcher gets that extension so the twins have a type it's worked out for Bly obber hopefully they can coach up some of these guys uh Festa and zebie Matthews as well I do agree I think uh bow and Francis arag Getti and Jeffrey Springs aree of Festa but once you get past those three he he might be the most interest yeah it's it's a lot of like ialo like Festa or his teammates Matthews uh Festa I think I think so too uh let's continue on with waiver wire Waiver wire pitchers pitchers a huge game from Brian beo best start of his young career eight shutout Innings two hits one walk nine strikeouts 15 whiffs on 97 pitches and he changed things up in this start he led with his slider he threw it 37% of the time eight starts in the second half now it's a 342 ra and a 118 whip he's quietly been pretty good Brian beo 76% rostered uh who would you rather have have him or David fesa I would rather have Festa than beo um because like this was the first start out of five in the month of August where beo had fewer than three walks um he finishes the month with 28 strikeouts and 30 Innings three er that's pretty good but 14 walks is pretty tough and obviously it's been a very tough season for him overall I don't know maybe like throwing the slider more can help you know maybe it gives him you know more of a swing and Miss pitch he throws the fast balls a little less and maybe that's an answer he's always had uh you know the very good change up and he's been looking for that third pitch and it you can squint and sort of see a Luis Castillo uh career trajectory where I always thought framber Valdez yeah no I I'm talking specifically with the pitch mix though because remember Castillo he came up had this awesome change up and it was just like figuring everything else out and beo goes Super Sinker heavy but it's not really a good pitch I wonder like would he be better off fading the Sinker for the for seamer I don't know you know maybe that you know what you're talking about would be the the framber Valdez path of like just spamming sinkers and getting a lot of grounders but the one thing framber does really well and you know is get a lot of you know kind of chases on pitches not necessarily swings and misses although lately yes tons but a lot of weak contact by generating chases on pitches just outside of the Zone I don't know if framber Valdez has that or Brian beo has that same ability so I do wonder what it would look like if he changed traded the Sinker for the for seamer but I don't know if that's going to happen either so it might have to come down to the slider and change up more than anything let's do a little beat the waiver wire looking ahead to next week because the matchups it looks like both Festa and beo are going to be two star pitchers for next week Festa is at Tampa Bay and at Kansas City and beo is home against the white socks but also at the Mets probably it's know Tampa Tampa Bay is a really good matchup obviously at KC is pretty tough though both guys have one good match yeah one yeah I think I just like Festa better so I think I'd go with that I think that's fair the next group of waiver wire pitchers Andrew Heeney solid at the White Sox five innings one run two strikeouts uh he gets the Angels next week so another one with a good matchup McKenzie Gore has turned in back-to-back quality starts after a very rough stretch for him uh six Innings two runs six strikeouts 14 whiffs on 102 pitches up against the Yankees but he is at the Marlins next week and Oswaldo beo continues to pitch well he was at the Reds six Innings two runs five strikeouts 12 whiffs on 84 pitches I feel like we haven't really given him the time of day but his change up looks awesome slider looks like a pretty good pitch as well he's having a really really good month of August 155 ra 79 whip for aaloo and two great match ups next week the Mariners and the Tigers man I I can get behind that yeah I think he's a viable streamer I'm not sure asalo beo is much more than that although it's possible I'm not giving him enough credit right like I just I see pretty mediocre like midling strikeout rates bad control overall really good quality of contact but that's a very small sample size obviously we're dealing with what 45 Innings over the course of the Season 50 Innings something like that so I don't know how much I buy into it but yeah with those matchups I think it's it's reasonable to stream beo especially in any points League he's he's RP eligible too right he's a spar I don't I thought he was but I looked it up earlier and it turns out he's not okay that's surprising because he was pitching out of the bullpen for a little while but maybe he just didn't make enough appearances yeah I don't know uh with the other two McKenzie Gore at the Marlins next week and Andrew Heeney versus The Angels I think both could also be in play for streaming uh yeah so Gore you look at the pitch level data and he was up half a mile per hour over his season average with his fast ball 96.6 miles per hour it's actually even more impressive than that because in August before this start he was averaging 95.1 miles per hour so compared to the rest of the month he was up 1.5 miles per hour and I want to say I didn't get a chance to look this up um but I want to say there was something a few starts ago that Scott mentioned that he was working on they had yeah he was struggling with his command and mechanics there was a uh a quote from Matt natch GM Mike Rizzo on what he's seeing and he he said he was struggling with his mechanics the fact that McKenzie Gore's velocity was back to where it was in April when he was really good got 14 whiffs the fastball looked really good I think that's very promising so I know it's been a rough couple of months for him but I would be okay streaming McKenzie Gore against the Marlins they've been one of the worst teams in baseball against lefties yeah so we've talked about five names that are possible streamers for next week if I'm ranking them I would go H Festa versus beo is really close I'll say Festa beo then beo because he has the two really good matchups and then Kenzie Gore and Andrew Heeney yeah I would go Gore ahead of Heeney but that that order sounds right yes all right let's quickly talk about Jack lighter's return to the Rangers he was uh a little bit inefficient here at the White Sox four Innings six hits three runs two of those earned had four strikeouts 10 whiffs on 83 pitches the fastball velocity was up he averaged 97.2 miles per hour and he threw 67% of his pitches for strikes I thought those two things were very good good signs here from Jack lighter but obviously the overall line was uh a little bit underwhelming Yeah 10 whiffs on 47 swings that's not what you're looking for the fast ball I think was underwhelming is the right word four whiffs on 26 swings that's just that's not going to get it done especially because when they did make contact with it 93.8 mile per hour average eggs velocity on eight pitches it was I was perfectly willing to give Jack lighter a chance take a flyer see if it worked out didn't work out it's totally fine to go out and drop him now you know if you had him and Mackenzie Gore's available I'd do that David Festa I would do that um if maybe there's some League where Spencer aret is available and and jack lighter's rostered it seems unlikely but maybe absolutely do that but yeah I think it's perfectly fine to drop him by the way I don't know if we've decided who to do for tomorrow's uh Prospect Spotlight but oh my god did you see Kamar rockers triaa debut I did not but I know everything leading up to this has been pretty awesome he faced 16 batters he retired 15 of them struck out 10 the slider was out of control uh I don't think he's gonna get called up this year but wow Kumar rocker looked awesome and what a great story man like you know a generational kind of pitching Prospect coming out of college had the whole Fiasco with the Mets where you know they they didn't sign him cuz the injury scare it turned out the Mets were right because obviously Kumar rocker needed surgery but he had the surgery there was there were many doubts I mean people have basically written him off and now he's come back and it's a really small sample size but he has been lights out so far so uh rooting for Kumar rocker hopefully he can um you know keep this thing going and and hopefully make a debut with the Rangers sometime next year let's take our final break and when we return we will uh talk about some waiver wire hitters right after this football action continues as the grid iron has taken over by the great white North catch the Canadian football league on CBS Sports Network welcome back in let's talk some waiver wire hitters and I do have two other outfielders outside of P Crow Waiver wire hitters Armstrong and Dylan Cruz we know lots of excitement with those guys guys Lawrence Butler is heating up again two for five with a sock in the shoe his 16th home run his 12th steal last seven games he's betting 357 with three homers and two steals 60% rostered and he has seven home games next week Jack Peterson has quietly been awesome 30 games in the second half 313 batting average eight home runs two Steals and 1151 Ops he also has seven games next week the problem yeah looks like four lefties on the schedule for Jo Chris how would you just rank all four of these guys P Armstrong Dylan Cruz Lawrence Butler Jack Peterson yeah uh Jo Peterson has 35 PL appearances against lefties um he has one start against the Lefty so if it's just for next week I don't think he's in that discussion I would probably go Cruz Butler PCA and then Peterson um but I think the top three especially like Peterson 66% rostered is probably around the ceiling for a guy that's just absolutely not an everyday player um the rest of those guys I think all are if they're in your league and you need an outfielder they're all worth a look yeah jock I I did move up to my 51st ranked outfielder which sounds aggressive it's right behind carry Carpenter I think those guys are really really similar players right now so uh yeah probably not in three outf Felder leagues but you know any five outfielder leagues those guys need to be rostered Zack gof is someone who's quietly had a strong August he went two for four with two Steals and two runs scored and in the month he's betting 253 with three homers seven steals a 739 Ops 46% rostered Chris do you think that number needs to be higher for Zack gof sorry I usually want to mute myself when the cat feeder goes off yeah I noticed that you do that I don't think you need to I think people like to hear the cat feeder um someone told me it was unprofessional I mean we're doing a podcast at like 2 am here guys like what are we talking the cats gota because if they don't eat now they're breaking down the door in in an hour I say they're gonna eat you if they don't eat their food so uh what was the question sorry uh Zack Goff yeah I I I don't see much reason to go out and add him we've done this a few times this season obviously we did it at the beginning of the the season quality of contact is still very bad he still has to sell out for what power he can get to um I I don't think he he's someone who needs to be rostered much more than he is and he might frankly might be two rostered at this point yeah I'm looking at other second basem that are in a similar range in terms of roster rate and David Hamilton 48% I'd rather have him Gavin Lux at 48 % I'd rather have him Tommy Edmond at 57% I'd rather have him so yeah I I think that's how we get to Zack gelof at 46% roster and one name in deeper five outfielder leagues you might not believe me but Andrew benintendi is having a good August 256 batting average six homers 15 RBI one steel and a 912 Ops he's 133% rostered 15 team Roto leagues five outfielders Chris can I interest you in uh Andrew Ben and tendi uh no I think if you're in the type of if you're in the situation where adding Andrew Ben and tendi might make sense for you in 2024 you probably have bigger like okay I don't know maybe Andrew Ben and tendi can keep his good August up and help dig you from 14th to 12th Place in your league I I don't every little bit counts man I'm sorry to be mean but yeah I I don't like he had four homers in three games a few weeks ago and then had like seven hits in his next 12 games if I'm eyeballing it correctly it just I no I don't see anything there hey I just had to ask you have to ask I understand for my Andrew benintendi fans out there before we get to leftovers let's take a Two struggling pitchers look at two pitchers who have been struggling lately what's going on with these two Tanner byby up against the Royals five innings five runs runs six strikeouts three homers allowed in this one did have 14 whiffs on 99 pitches but you know a hot day in Cleveland the ball has been flying out to right field all season long I think Tanner BBY kind of got doomed by that a little bit in this one uh he only has one quality start in the second half outs are down quite a bit 7.8k per nine in the second half and the other name here is Corbin Burns who I'm going to call it a weird start I know he technically was you know gave up six runs but only one of them was earned five innings four strikeouts he had some bad defense behind him he still had 19 whiffs on 94 pitches maybe I'm making excuses he he's had a bad August there's no doubt 736 ra and a 160 whip Chris what's going on here with Corbin Burns and Tanner BBY so with Tanner BBY the one thing I wanted to keep an eye on was the velocity but that doesn't really like overall in August it's been right around 94.5 miles per hour which is where he typically is give or take half mile per hour so I don't think there's really anything there maybe the the change up in curveball haven't been quite as effective as of late the whiff rate on those pitches has been below 30% in both July and August I don't know it just sort of feels like Tanner BBY like on the whole has just been meh this season like worth having around not terrible overall 36 65 ra 113 whip strikeouts are decent enough but not the leap we were hoping for certainly arguably a step back in fact so I don't know I don't see it nothing jumps out when I look at the August splits um but nothing similarly jumps out to make me think that he's about to turn it around and you said only one quality start only one start of six Innings since the All-Star break and seven starts that that's a that's concerning as well what do you think about Corbin Burns um I'm mostly think that this is just a run where he's either not pitching well or just getting bad results but not necessarily like something I'm super panicked about but it's been clear all season that he's not the same guy it was clear when he had had a 247 ER at the end of July and was still getting great results but the strikeout rate's been down all year the whiff rate on the C uh cutter is down to before this started it was down to 177% for the season last year it was 23% 2022 28% 2021 32% that was obviously the it's like the opposite of the Corbin Carroll monthly Ops chart where it's just gone straight down every year to a point now where it's just not a great pitch it's kind of it's gone from being a really special pitch to just kind of okay still does a really good job limiting hard contact still has a phenomenal team backing him up great home park I just think it's probably more you know the ER is at 323 now it's probably more that moving forward than True Ace production I am very interested in Corbin Burns's free agency to see how this 30-year-old clearly on the decline wants eight years he's a Boris agent like yep he was definitely going to ask for 200 million and he probably still will I I don't know if I'd feel comfortable giving him like five years 100 million on a big Market team I'd do that if I was the Orioles hell yeah the the one year with a $30 million option contract that he's gonna end up signing in like February is gonna be a tough look please no uh you know I did want to quickly look up the contract that Carlos Ordon got because obviously was like 150 million over eight years right six years 162 million 27 million aav that like if Carlos rordon got that that kind of seems like the floor for Corbin Burns Carlos Ron's last season before a free agent was a lot better but obviously Burns has a much longer track record um yeah that that might make sense yeah like I could see 6 150 7 180 something like that yeah 175 right like 25 mil aav something like that but like he's not he's not getting the gar Cole contract no no I don't I do Leftovers, bullpens, streamers not see that happening for Corbin Burns some pitching left over is Chris S just keeps on plugging away at the twins six Innings one run six strikeouts for him Freddy prto was awesome up against the Giants six shutout Innings with eight strikeouts had 17 whiffs on 105 pitches Luis castio was okay up against Tampa Bay five and two3 two runs only four strikeouts but had 19 whiffs on 97 pitches so feels like he was deserving of more strikeouts in that one and Joe Musgrove a quality start at the Cardinals six Innings three runs but only three strikeouts Chris anything to add on Musgrove Castillo Peralta and chrisel yeah I mean you said Chris S keeps plugging away there was a a start a couple maybe last week you know a couple starts ago where I didn't mention him in the newsletter and I got an email like why didn't you write about Chris ha it's like because this like it it's a it's a dog bites man story at this point right like he's gonna win the sa young he's going basically six Innings with one ear and run every time out like I'll I'll write about him if he gets rocked but at this point I don't really have anything to say he's on awesome um Freddy Peralta I'll take any good start I can get from him at this point because it's been a really frustrating season good to see the fast ball playing up in this one that had not been there uh the same way had we've gotten used to but he's also always been you know kind of the right-handed Blake Snell he goes through these stretches where he's dominant he goes through these stretches where he's just not very good and at the end of the day you're pretty happy you have him on your team it's just you kind of have to just cover your ey along the ride so that's you know if he had an unbelievably good September I would not be surprised at all um and the Luis Castillo just okay that's kind of the Luis Castillo story at this point it's just everything's gotten a little worse I'm surprised he hasn't like gone back to the change up just to see um because that you know obviously has been a very very good pitch for him in the past but he's kind of ditched it since getting to Seattle and you know the fast ball we're reaching a point of diminishing returns I I I wonder if that's one possible uh move for Luis Castillo Chris Basset had his best start in a while and for anyone who actually had him in the lineup you could thank me because I bench Chris I benched him too you know you see at Boston on the schedule and let's see his previous nine starts before this a 680 ra and a 153 whip he just goes out there six and two3 Innings one run nine strikeouts 17 whiffs on 102 pitches he threw more sweepers in this one and it clearly worked so maybe this is something that can help Chris Basset finish strong I he's sort of like Jose Brios and that it's just like it's never quite clear why things go wrong it's never quite clear why things go right it's just at the end of the day you probably feel okay about Chris Basset in your lineup after the season the ride there is Bumpy and I I don't think I ever had Chris Basset on fantasy teams but I always remember like previous years doing the podcast it's like oh look at this awesome stretch that Chris bassard is on and then you know I drafted him in a few spots this year and it hasn't been the most fun experience it also yeah it's been more bad than good far it's been a bad year for him it's been a down year compared to previous years but uh yeah not the best from Chris Basset maybe he could finish strong after this one uh wanted to mention Carlos Ron who hit a speed bump up against the Nationals five and two-thirds Innings five runs had eight strikeouts still getting lots of whiffs 16 whiffs on 100 pitches in this one uh his last six starts before this it's 267 ER 107 whip um also notice he has some really Stark home road splits so maybe that's something you keep in mind when deciding starter sit on Carlos Fon yeah from what I saw you know watching the highlights and and looking in the data this was a pretty good start and just the results didn't quite go his way but I I I wasn't too alarmed I think he's fine some hitting leftovers Vinnie P baby Vinnie pass quantino four for five with his 19th home run he had four hard hits in this game he is having a big second half 303 batting average eight home runs 843 Ops William ceras has picked things back up in August 289 with seven home runs and a 1018 yes Julio Rodriguez homered on Wednesday but he has been quite bad since returning from theil 15 games 190 batting average only one Homer and a 559 Ops and despite missing some time Jazz Chism has been great with the Yankees maybe not defensively I think he has five errors in his last three games but uh two for three with a sock and the shoe his 22nd home run his 28th steal 20 games with the Yankees 304 batting average nine homers six steals and an Ops approaching a thousand for jazz Chism some Bullpen updates for the Royals Lucas EG entered in the seventh inning with Runners on first and second a two-run lead he gave up three singles he allowed three runs in he was charged with his fourth Bown save and fourth loss I get why teams do this they want to use their best reliever in the biggest game but obviously it sucks for Fantasy yeah I mean more often than not the ninth inning will be the biggest spot yeah and so it it's unfortunate that he didn't get it today and didn't get a save uh the way he pitched today he wouldn't have gotten a save anyway so you know I I guess you can't feel cheated there for the Guardians Emanuel class pitched a clean ninth inning for his 39th save for the Rangers in game one of their double header Kirby Yates walked one but struck out two for his 24th save for the A's Mason Miller gave up a hit and a walk but he struck out two for his 23rd save for the Nationals Kyle finigan had a three-run lead he gave up a hit and walk but picked up his 34th save uh for the Red Sox Kenley Janson struck out one for his 25th for the Padres Robert Suarez got the bottom of the ninth against the Cardinals the game was tied he gave up a run on three hits and took his second loss for the Brewers Devin Williams struck out one for his sixth save for the Dodgers Michael copc struck out two for his 12th save and I am just seeing now that Justin Martinez struck out one for his seventh save Chris who do you like that was uh when Diaz blew the save in the he was going for a four out save gave up the I think did he give up the Grand Slam to Corbin Carroll that would make sense yeah uh yep Grand slamed Diaz has given up some big homers recently too yeah he's had a a handful of blown saves I'm not particularly worried about it but the area is up to 430 um yeah and then uh so yeah that was the other side of that game Martinez is the closer sure looks like Michael cop's closer um who do you like more Martinez or copc I don't know how strong the the job security e for either of them is um I don't know who I think is better either cop's obviously been awesome for the last like month or so but I think I would go Martinez but I I think most people would not agree with me I have them backto back in my rankings but I forget which one is ahead so I am trying to pull it up real quick and I say don't look at it it's it's Schrodinger's closer rankings and just whichever one has a better game at any point you can just claim that's the one you have ranked higher here you go Chris people might not agree with you they might not agree with me either because Justin Martinez one spot ahead of Michael copc in the rankings to stream or not to stream on Thursday we have Bowen Francis who's at the Red Sox Ryan Nelson gets the Mets David Peterson is on the other side at the Dbacks Hayden bird song and Aaron Sali are facing each other would really prefer not to use any of them even though there are some names I really like there like Ryan Nelson and B Francis especially but those matchups and like even David Peterson who's been really good lately at Arizona I mean it might work out for all three of them but I just don't like the the matchups for what are ultimately I think still pretty marginal starters and on Friday we have Colin Ray at the Reds Rett louder is making his debut against the Brewers Martin Perez at Tampa Bay Ben Lively gets the Pirates JP Sears at Texas I don't love any of these but if I had to choose I would probably say Lively against the Pirates Martin Perez at the Rays and JP Sears at the Rangers yeah I think those would be my favorites and I I might might like the top two more than anybody on Thursday all right we are going to wrap there for Chris I am Frank thanks as always for tuning in to Fantasy Baseball today please make sure to follow and leave a five star rating on Apple or Spotify and we will be back again tomorrow bye-bye