7 DROP CANDIDATES Including Paul Goldschmidt, Reid Detmers & Others | Fantasy Baseball Advice

Intro up fantasy baseball today on Wednesday May 15th I am Frank stanfel joined by Scott White and today on the show it's time to fire up the dropo meter for seven potential drop candidates we had some big pitching performances and I'm stealing Adam aer's old hey real quick some quick pitching questions that I have for Scott we'll get to that later on thanks for being with us it's our latest start of the year I realized that thank you for your patience five games on the west coast is just a killer for making the rundown those are my excuses for the night but here we are we appreciate you uh hanging out and being with us on this very late slash early Wednesday morning let's jump in go crazy folks go crazy all right Scott what made you go crazy here on Tuesday night or afternoon I am going to say the Aaron Aaron Nola shutout Nola shut out oh yeah made me go crazy because it was a shut out right it was a shut out Aeron Nola is doing his uh eveny year thing which is pitch like an Ace and uh this was maybe well I mean it was obviously his most impressive start struck out eight walked done but beyond that beyond the fact it was a complete Game shutout uh his velocity was up one to 1.7 miles per hour on his top three pitches which basically returned it to last year's levels his his velocity was down early in the year he was succeeding in spite of it his velocity was basically back to normal in this start and I think that's that's encouraging because I wasn't totally buying the success Aeron NOA that the evene success Aeron NOA was having and I know I've long been an ainola apologist and uh I don't know that I ever had a chance to to voice my concerns on the podcast prior to this shut out but his swinging strike rate this year has been pitiful below 9% his expected erra his FIP his ex FIP all virtually identical to last year when he was doing his odd year Aeron Nola thing which is not pitched like an ace so I I thought the success he was having might be a little bit phony uh if this velocity holds here with this complete game shut out if he keeps getting whiffs at the rate he did in this start then I think those concerns are going to dissipate for me and I can get more behind the idea that Aaron Nola is a fantasy Ace and not just and not just a a high-end pitcher who's less than an ace which is what I worried he was yeah I I noticed a lot of the same things here it's got the velocity being back up closer to where was last year for arinola The Swinging strike rate being down as much as it was heading into this start but he did have 13 swinging strikes on 109 pitches here it was a four hit shutout eight strikeouts to zero walks at the New York mitts and uh just quickly peeking at the rankings which I will be updating in full force on Wednesday and you have arinola as your sp13 I have him at 16 so we're kind of in the same range maybe I'll uh push him back up a little bit but uh I think that's probably the right spot he's like a high-end SP2 that is arinola and that was a fantastic start another fantastic start came from reys Reese Olson Olsen who was awesome but it came against the Miami Marlin so you put a little asterisk next to this one but uh he's pitched really well recently and in this start it was eight shutout Innings three hits zero walks six strikeouts with 13 swinging strikes on 96 pitches for Rees olssen he's allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his eight starts so far the season he's down to a 209 ra a 101 whip a 255 FIP the xfip is a little bit higher says there has been some home run luck so far this season but gets a lot of ground balls I wish the strikeout rate was a little bit higher Scott but uh overall it's been a really really nice start to the season for ree Olsen he is 60% rostered uh what did you see and do you think he should just be a must roster pitcher at this point I mean I've been saying that for a long time I think the reason Rees Olsen isn't is because he doesn't have a win yet he's had very bad run support for having an erra in the low twos and I think people are just looking at those Point totals and in head-to-head leagues and saying yeah this guy's not so great but Reese olssen has been pitching really well uh quick clarification before I get into Olen Moore I think you gave my points League my head-to-head points ranking for Aeron NOA 13th among starting pitchers it's actually actually 15th in Roto so I have him behind Freddy paralon Dyan CE in that format so that's where I stand on Nola as for Olen um as well as he is pitched as much as I like him the 209 ER is too good to be true that maybe goes without saying but specifically he hasn't allowed a home run yet and he will allow a home run several home runs at some point that'll bring that erra up having said that he probably won't allow a ton of home runs because he has a 55% ground ball rate he has a top 10 type ground ball rate he has a great whiff rate on the change up and slider uh which has always been true for ree olssen since we saw him late last year and uh he looks really good I I would make a sell High case for him except that that he's already being undervalued and because he doesn't have a win yet so uh I think you just pick him up where he's available you just write him out where you already have him again that is reys Olen two other names that could be available in shallower leagues Gavin stone is all the way up to 77% rostered but he turned in another quality start here he was at the Giants he threw six Innings of one-run ball more walks and strikeouts three walks two strikeouts but did have 11 swinging strikes on 90 pitches again that is Gavin Stone he's turned in four straight quality starts allowing exactly one earned run in each and Eric fety dominant once again against the Nationals he threw seven shutout only allowed three hits six strikeouts to zero walks only had six swinging strikes in this one uh feels like fetty is constantly tinkering Scott from each start to the next and you know in this one he led with the Sinker and the cutter I I think that's why the swinging strikes were down a little bit more but they have been down each of the past three starts that hasn't mattered because fedy has now allowed two ear runs or less in seven of his nine starts and he's down to a 260 ra and a 106 whip how would you rank those three fedy olssen and Gavin Stone I'm gonna go Gavin Stone one I guess I gotta go fetty over I'm I'm sorry I'm gonna rank ree olssen one I guess I'm gonna go Fetti over Stone but I don't feel great about it I don't for for being some somebody who was especially high on fetty coming into the season I don't really understand how he's succeeding now he's he's leaned a lot on the cutter especially and you know does doesn't miss any bats with that with that pitch the ones that were hyped with his new Arsenal that he picked up prior to going to the Korean League last year the ones that we we were hyping up were the the split change and the sweeper and those have been kind of Mia for fetty this whole time uh he's now down to a 260 erra and A6 whip his FIP though is 389 his X FIP is 358 his expected ER it's not updated after this start but it's similar it's mid to high 3es so by all three measures there he's overperforming and I think if and and you know if you just look on a more granular level at what Eric fetty's doing uh not getting a ton of strikes strikeouts not an especially good control pitcher not an especially good ground ball pitcher like he was in the Korean League last year just kind of a I don't know pretty pretty middle of the road there as far as ground paa rake goes not giving up especially weak contact not really doing anything that would signal Eric fetty is uh is like a great pitcher could he be uh kind of uh I don't know could he be could he be that mid to three High three ra guy yeah I I could see that and I I think he'll be streamable at times because of that but if you are a mid to high 3es ER guy with less than a strikeout per Inning on a team as bad as the white socks what is that going to add up to for fantasy and I I don't think it's gonna add up to much so Eric fetty looks like a pretty pretty strong sell High case to me and um you know it it'd have to be a league on the deeper side I think to get anything of real value for him but I I don't think he's going to be able to keep this up nothing nothing underlying the the the actual 260 ER suggests he could and uh the bad team the bad supporting casts makes it even worse as for Gavin Stone we've been harping on how maybe he doesn't have anything but the change up to work with and and so that's that might limit his upside well he got five of his 11 whiffs in this start at San Francisco on the change up but he got four on the slider which he threw 21% of the time twice as often as usual so he hardly uses the slider 10% normally threw it 21% of the time this time got whiffs with it it actually has a better whiff rate this year than the change up it has a better than a 40% whiff rate so maybe the key to unlocking Gavin Stone's potential is going to be mixing in that slider more and maybe this is the start of it obviously he has a great Supporting Cast opposite end of the spectrum from Fetti as far as that goes so uh that's why I'm kind of tempted to put Stone ahead of Fetti when I'm ranking these two but for now I'll go I'll go ahead and say Fetti over Stone I noticed the same thing with the slider for Gavin Stone the biggest problem for me is that the strikeout to walk ratio is bad it's flat out bad for Gavin Stone uh 7.1% K minus walk rate uh that's after this start ranks 78th among 81 qualified starting pitchers for Gavin Stone and his X FIP is 445 I yeah I think there's going to be a regression with him the biggest difference which you spoke about with fetty is that Gavin Stone could pitch not so great and still up with a good amount of wins just because he pitches for the Dodgers and we've seen that with James Paxton who I think still has more walks and strikeouts on the season and he's been racking up wins with the Dodgers as well so uh if that's something that you're looking to chase I I totally get going after Gavin Stone over someone like fetty but I do agree that ree Olson would be at the top of the list I will say that bad strikeout to walk ratio for for stone is mostly because the strikeout rate is low and it's weird that the strikeout rate is so low given how how much he miss is bats given what Stone's swinging strike rate is maybe it's because he has um so many of those swinging strike rates so many of those swinging strikes come on the change up and it makes him too predictable and two strike counts he's not able to put hitters away that's why I'm hoping bringing in the slider more will change that for Gavin Stone because if it does we could see a a surge in strikeouts for him I think that would help the strikeout rate I I would push back a little bit in that I think the walk rate is still high though 3.3 yeah no yeah it's it's manageable though it's it it's mostly the like a 3.1 3.1 walks per n or I'm sorry let me look at the updated stats 3.3 walks per nine isn't as bad to me as 5.9 case per nine yeah yeah I think that that is a fair assessment there on Gavin Stone a quick reminder that if you are uh listening you can always listen and follow on Spotify you can find both fantasy baseball today and Five Minute Podcast fbt and 5 on Spotify if you're watching live you can scan the QR code that will take you uh right to the fantasy baseball today Spotify page and again thanks to everyone watching us live make sure to hit that like button subscribe to the YouTube channel if you haven't already let's take our first break when we return we'll get into the news and notes Here on fantasy baseball today PGA Championship on the rage tease off Thursday on CBS Sports Network [Music] welcome back in the news and notes we News: Ronel Blanco ejected haven't had one of these in a while Scott ronell Blanco was ejected Tuesday because of a foreign substance on his glove which means he'll also be hit with a 10 game suspension so uh you will not be using ryel Blanco in your lineups next week and I always wonder how pitchers bounce back from something like this if if there's some kind of mental hurdle or I don't know it's just always kind of a weird situation with these uh substance things was it driving his success I I think is the biggest question fair and I don't know I mean he he was pointing out to the Umpire that there was nothing sticky on his fingers um and I looked at the the data from this start it's not like his spin rates were way up or anything like that which means either it was in his glove but he wasn't really using it or or it doesn't mean this I guess it would suggest that that that it was in his glove and he wasn't really using it or that he's been using it all along and that's partly why he's exceeded expectations to this point what do you do with that suspicion I I don't know I mean I would have called ronell Blanco a sell High prior to this start because he was overperforming I think we've made that clear um you know well worth rostering but not going to be able to sustain his current Pace in light of this news I don't I don't know that you could call him aell high anymore I don't know that anyone's going to be eager to buy and in fact I might look to buy actually if um if the cost is reasonable if the cost is you know uh somebody somebody on the back end of my pitching staff or or a bench bat or or something like that just if if if somebody is going to presume okay this has been the whole key to Blanco's success I just want to use this as an opportunity to get rid of him before he totally collapses maybe he does that's why it you know the cost would have to be reasonable but I I think just given uh the sentiment surrounding Blanco in the in the aftermath of this you're you're more likely to get a a discount buying than a good return selling Bryce Harper was out of the lineup with a migraine but is expected back on Wednesday his teammate JT real Muto is also expected back Wednesday after missing three games with knee soreness Austin Riley has now missed two straight with left side inflammation Blake Snell's next Rehab start will come Friday at triaa Nico horer was scratched from the lineup due to left hamstring tightness Royce Lewis did some light running on the field Tuesday he'll do do more aggressive change of Direction things later in the week and that will give more insight to the timeline for his rehab assignment Evan Carter received a cortisone injection in his back and could rejoin the Rangers late uh lineup on Friday Bobby Miller will throw two simulated Innings on Wednesday if all goes well Miller will either move on to a Sim game or a rehab assignment he's on the I with right shoulder inflammation both George Springer and Justin Turner were out of the lineup again then with that illness that's been hampering the Blue Jays Zack gof was reinstated and in the lineup at second base for the Oakland A's he is down to 73% rostered Scott would you be looking to add Zack gof if he was dropped my guess is he's probably only available in shallower points leagues yeah and that's the format where I wouldn't be so interested in adding him unless I just you know I was I was basically screwed at second base and was looking for any upside I could find there but outside of that you gof was off to a terrible start he strikes out a lot anyway which doesn't make him so viable in points leagues he would kind of need to deliver his best case outcome to overcome that strikeout rate for points leagues and I'm not willing to bet on that at this point but if he happens to be out there in any categories leagues for sure pick him up in my home in my home League it's a 12 team head-to-head points league but we use Roto style lineups I think my second base and middle are Nolan Gorman and Zack Netto I have injuries yeah I actually had to drop gelof because they only have three I spots so I'm probably gonna pick him back up in a league like that uh Imaging revealed structural damage in Jung hul Le's left shoulder he'll receive a second opinion from Dr Neil ELR on Thursday reys Hoskins was placed in the ilil with a right hamstring strain Owen Miller was recalled from Triple A Evan Phillips will throw a Bullpen on Wednesday he is he's on the I with a strained right hamstring Patrick biley was placed back on the 7-Day concussion I retroactive to Sunday uh here's a name we haven't heard in a while noelie Marte has been able to play in exhibition games in Arizona during his suspension and Scott when when would you be looking to add Noel V Marte who is eligible to return on June 19th now I I actually have some Roto leagues some I guess on the deeper end like T Wars where around 450 players are rostered and I I think I in the podcast for the people League which is uh 16 Team league 22 players per team so that's around 350 players rostered I I I think I've already been stashing Noel V Marte in those leagues and uh obviously I'm going to try to hold on uh shallower points leagues where you want to use all your bench base on pitchers you know obviously it's not worth occupying a bench spot for another five weeks but uh anything deeper again 350 plus players rostered especially if you need help at third base I think I think now's when you need to make a play for Noel V Marte Jonathan Ronda was activated by the Rays and was not in the lineup against the right-handed pitcher they opted for ESO parus DH with Amed Rosario at third and Richie pazos at second Scott I know that you are the biggest supporter of Jonathan aronda but I don't love this I mean against a righty he's not in the lineup no but he came off the bench and got two of bats played third base so maybe he'll pick up eligibility at that position unexpectedly uh has also seen time at second base and first base in the past so I'm I'm excited about his return a lot of people were tweeting at me about it I don't want to oversell it like somebody was asking me if uh if he was a viable replacement at first base and I don't think he is right now unless it's a very deep League there's probably somebody better like we don't know how Jonathan Rond is going to perform his minor league numbers are ridiculous and I'm not just talking about the slash line the the the forward- facing numbers I'm talking exit velocities I'm talking plate discipline it all looks amazing for Jonathan Rond which is why I'm so enthusiastic for him but his previous tents and the majors have gone very poorly and he doesn't have a job all to himself and he might be out of the lineup a lot of times against left-handers so uh it's more of a okay he's back so let's see Scout what he does closely situation it's more that situation than okay he's back so let's get him in our lineups you know and especially since the rehab assignment went pretty poorly for Ronda he was striking out a lot it was uncharacteristic for him I'm surprised he got activated when he did I'm not sure he has his timing down yet so that's concerning because you know at 20 26 now I guess he is and already having gotten the chances he is he's he's gotten how many more chances will he get I don't know that I like the idea that they're calling him up when he doesn't have his doesn't appear to have his timey down maybe they have better ways of gauging that than I do but uh I'm a little concerned about that aspect for aronda too as excited as I am about him in general the Mets will recall Mark Vientos on Wednesday it sounds like he'll work in a platoon with Brett batty at third base and Michael Soka has been moved to the white sock Bullpen Brad Keller will take his spot in the rotation let's fire up the dropo THE DROP-O-METER meter 10 on the dropo meter means you can be dropped in any size Le League one you probably want to hold on to that player and we will start with two pitchers Reed Detmer is first up he's still 76% rostered another rough outing here against the Cardinals where he allowed five runs four of those were earned over five innings he still had seven strikeouts still had 17 swinging strikes and over his last five starts Reed deur has an 846 erra a 166 whip I I still remain the underlying num still look really good I I get there is no way you could play Reed Demmer right now but Scott what do we do uh the dropo meter Reed demmers yeah I'm gonna put it at like a two oh wow is that should it be should it be even lower no no no no I too high I thought it was gonna be higher no no no I thought it was gonna be high it would have to be a very shallow league for me to consider dropping depur because the the talent level I believe is is so high um and it would the only scenario where I drop Demmer is just I've I've accumulated a a lot of quality pitching already because there's been a lot available on waivers throughout the year and somebody's getting forced out and it pains me to do it but Demmer is the one getting forced out that's the scenario in which i' drop him which again would have to be a pretty shallow league would you drop him for any of the pitchers we mentioned earlier Stone fetty Olsen I'd consider consider it with Olen but not the other two it'd be a close call deur and Olsen I I think it would partly depend on how much trouble I was having filling out my lineup because as you say it's hard to trust demmer's in your lineup right now we I believe over the weekend said that we would drop deur for Christian Scott who is still available in a quarter of CBS leagues would you drop Reed Demmer for Taj Bradley who had a strong debut no okay let's move over to Aaron svali who was still 75% rostered he was at the Red Sox where he allowed three runs over five innings he still uh did have six strikeouts only two swinging strikes don't love that uh and over sali's last five starts it's an 887 er a 171 whip as I was writing all of this down all my notes for Sali I just kept thinking to myself Scott I've got to give it up I've got to give up the svali thing because I I just it's like fetch I'm trying to make svali happen and it has not been happening uh so where would you put him on dropo meter uh pretty high let's say eight on the dropo meter for dropo meter for savali but I don't think he's rubbish to use a British term garbage seems a little harsh I don't well I'm saying he's not that so maybe it's not harsh I don't think he's like useless for Fantasy I think he's a fine streamer and that's basically what he's been to this point in his career I I it's it's it should be clear by now that the the Rays aren't going to work they raise Magic on him and turn him into a top-of the rotation type which is I think what you meant when you said letting him go giving him up yeah I I I was of the belief that savali could have this Zack ethin type season from last year and that has not happened so far right yeah yeah no and I don't think it will but I I think as a streamer type as a Kramer uh use him when the matchups are good and he's in line for two starts especially in a points League I I think seali is fine for that purpose but that makes him pretty Expendable yeah I I do think there will see be some regression the other way for him his home run rate is very high his left on base percentage is very low so again you know there there will be some positive movement here for saali but not really somebody I would want to start right now uh let's get into some of the hitters and I've got some big names on this list Scott all of them had a sub 600 Ops entering Tuesday's action uh and you know we're about six weeks into the season now Paul Goldman where are we at he did go two for five with his second stolen base here on Tuesday but the strikeouts are a huge problem 32% strikeout rate the Zone contact is a career low The Swinging strike rate is a career high these are all the things you do not want to see from an AG player someone of Paul gmi's caliber where is he on the dropo meter I mean can you consider it in a in a shallower format maybe I I guess I'll go two because I think there is a circumstance that exists where dropping gold Schmid is possible it would have to be ver shallow League Of course and I and it anything deeper than that let's say a 12 team head-to-head League I I feel like I feel like you're kind of handcuffed to him and and that's frustrating but you risk losing too much by dropping him at this point I don't think freeing up that bench spot is worth it in a league where uh there there isn't constantly new Talent emerging that is highend so I'm just encouraged by everything I'm seeing I had gold Schmid as a bus pick coming in so it's it's it's affirming my fears for him you know he's even worse against the fastball this year and I think that may be the clearest indication of Aging happening for Paul gold Schmid but he is Paul gold Schmid we've seen him we've written him off before when he's had a miserable start to the year and he he came back with MVP caliber numbers and so I think you have to give give him I think you have to give him a Long Leash here uh by the when when can we give up we usually say Memorial Day right I mean the end of this month I I I maybe in maybe in a few more leagues maybe he'll go from a two to four on the drop a meter at that point but I in in leagues where you have a corner infield spot to fill I think you need to hold on even longer than that yeah it's a sun cost but I I agree with you I there's not really much else I think you could stick him on the bench for now you can play the matchups with you know maybe pick up a first baseman and just play the matchups or try and buy on another name right now someone like uh like a Vinnie pasquantino or or a yandi Diaz who's kind of off to uh you know Vin he's picking things back up a little bit but you know try and acquire one of those names and just ride with them until hopefully gmid picks it up but I want to give the specifics on this I said he's even worse against the fastball this year so hopefully hopefully I sight swinging strike rate enough that you have a frame of reference for it you know 12% is really good 13 14% you're going to be among the league leaders this is this is for pitchers Paul gold Schmid's swinging strike rate on Fast balls the the the the pitch you're going to swing and Miss on least often 19% oh that's like every fast ball is is Spencer Strider to him is kind of like Jared Jones's wow yeah that's not good that's been that's a problem let's slide over to glaber Torres who is batting 214 he's got two home runs three steals a 569 Ops where is glaber Torres on the dropo meter uh I haven't looked into him in a while but my presumption is he'll just you know slow start he hasn't fundamentally changed as a player let's see his strikeout is up quite a bit from last year but it is in line with career Norms more or less last year was an outlier for strikeout rat he doesn't have a a Max exit velocity on the level he's used to yet that's a little concerning but at the same time he has a long track record of being a solid fantasy option he's only 27 years old uh I'll go I'll go three and a half on glabber Torres and it's really just again those shallow League contexts where you have a great option at second base already so you really just don't want them occupying a spot on your bench let's get into three outfielders George Springer who I mentioned has missed the past couple days du due to illness is betting 200 with three Homer six steals so still kind of helping out a little bit with power and speed but it's a 563 Ops he is now up to 34 years old this could be the uh beginning of the end here for George Springer Scott where is he on the dropo meter well Outfield being as shallow as it is I think I think that has to factor in yeah uh he has not hit a ball nearly as hard like his max exit velocity last year was almost 116 miles per hour and he's only hit W 110 uh that's his hardest hit ball this year which doesn't mean he couldn't have a harder tiit ball going forward but usually by now you've pretty much met your max exit velocity um I will say George Springer let's put him at let's put him at a three okay what about Jackson Trio we've talked about him a lot recently losing playing time he's batting 210 again still chipping in power and speed four homers six steals 579 Ops striking out quite a bit uh where is Jackson Trio on the dropo meter I feel like in a three outfielder points League we might be there with Jackson Trio yeah I think so probably about a four mostly just in that format five outfielder leagues no chance I'd drop them but three outfielder leagues you know I'd have to feel pretty good about the three starters I have but uh I I think I think it's more likely chorio gets sent down than that he's allowed to struggle for the next two weeks like if Memorial Day he's just continued to do this he's continued to be in and out of the lineup he'll probably just get sent down at that point I would guess last name is Cedric Mullins who does have six homers and six steals the batting average is down to 185 with a 592 Ops how do you feel about Cedric Mullen on the dropo meter I think he's pretty droppable in a points league so let's put him right out of five uh he was the first three uhoh it's time for Robos Scott to make an appearance yeah little later than usual yeah we lasted uh you know 35 minutes in that's that's not bad I know I I told them I I talked to my cable company today and told them it was pretty much all done at 1:30 that the interruption stopped by that point and here it is 133 and it's happening so I lied they're not going to be able to diagnose this problem now I blew it I blew my chance what about Cedric Mullins did he blow his chance I mean I just how about this if you're playing a three outfielder points league would you be all right dropping any of Springer Trio or Mullins for let's say your top sleeper hitter of the week someone like a Max Kepler on a given basis or like a Brent Rooker before you know he was still available Mullins I'd be fine doing that uh chorio you know if it if it was a matter of like I'm for sure starting this player and I I can't start Chio then then yeah I could see doing that uh George Springer probably not all right let's take our final hopefully the numbers I gave line up with that let's take our final break when we return we'll get into the rest of the waiver wire options we'll do that right after this two big boys getting ready to play Big being the eff of word here and here they come welcome back in we spoke about the big waiver wire pitcher names earlier on Gavin Stone ree Olsen and Eric fety uh a Waiver wire pitchers couple their names that pitch decently well Jose B was fine but the walks continue to be a problem five innings one hit two runs four walks four strikeouts had 10 swinging strikes on 97 pitches buo has a 308 ER and a 113 whip Trevor Williams was solid again at the white sock in game one of their double header five innings three runs only one of those was earned he had two strikeouts and has now allowed one earned run or less in six of eight starts but has only completed six Innings once the season so lots of five inning outings for Trevor Williams uh Ryan weathers was great at the Tigers he threw eight shutout Innings with three hits zero walks and four strikeouts only five swinging strikes in that one and Michael Waka with a much needed strong start at the Mariners where he allowed just one run over six Innings seven strikeouts with 10 swinging strikes that's back-to-back quality starts for Michael Waka it's got an interest in this group Waka weathers Trevor Williams and Jose bhau Ian Waka is probably going to improve because he has so much improving to do I'm leaning toward the the last two years being kind of fluky for him and that his mean that the mean that he's regressing to is is more like that that Aaron seale Dean Kramer class of pitcher where streamable in the right matchups but definitely not must roster um uh so having said that Waka is probably the most valuable of this group uh budo his walk rate is five per nine now five walks per nine innings and I wonder if he could get the budo once or if he's close to I like I don't think he's he's pitched his way out of the rotation yet he's he's kept runs off the board well enough but they have Tyler McGill coming back hopefully they have kodai senga coming back before too long and I I'm I'm not sure budo will be worth keeping in the rotation once everybody's right so that's something to keep in mind with him uh Ryan weathers I want to point this out for him because his ER is down to 381 now to go with a 117 whip pretty good numbers all things considered but that's to go along with a 457 FIP and a 445 X FIP just not enough strikeouts and which it it's kind of strange because the whiff rate on his main secondary offerings change up in the sweeper are both really good 38% whiff rate on the change up 55% whiff rate on the sweeper I just think it's he throws his fast ball too much and his fast ball doesn't miss bats at all so if if Ryan weathers were to really lean into those off speed pitches he may be on to something but with his current approach I'm skeptical he can keep that ER south of four two names in deeper leagues Joe Ross pitched well against the Pirates he allowed two runs over five innings he had six strikeouts and 21 swinging strikes for Joe Ross pretty awesome uh start for him there and Cal quantrol has quietly pitched very well the problem is that he plays for the Rockies he was at the Padres where he allowed one run over six Innings he had five strikeouts only six swinging strikes but quantrol has now allowed one earned run or less in five of his past six starts he's down to a 366 ra that comes with a 132 whip these are deeper League options Scott but um are you looking at any of them in any of your like 15 team leagues Joe Ross Cal quantro no I'm not but both are doing something kind of interesting that I'll take the time to mention here Joe Ross the 21 whiffs in this start okay that's that it it's not GNA be that good very often but for the year I believe this puts him at better than a 12% swinging strike rate so far which as I mentioned earlier in the program is good that's a good swinging stri grade is the best of his career I wonder if it'll continue for Joe Ross but as of now it's just a curious development and no reason to to show interest in him in fantasy and Cal quantrol managed to keep his erra respectable despite pitching half his games in cores and the way he's done that I think is he's he's basically just abandoned is breaking balls which is probably the way you have to pitch if if you're going to pitch half your games at Coors Field because they don't break enough to to to have their effectiveness and then if if you try to recapture that on the road it's it's going to be a problem for you so just do away with him uh he's he's basically going with the fast ball and the splitter and uh it's working well enough it's working as well as it can for somebody like Cal quantrol let's slide over to the waiver wire hitters and two Nam between 50 and 60% rostered Waiver wire hitters Abraham Toro just continues to rack up the hits right now two for five with a double and a run scored he is now batting 295 with the Oakland A's he's got an 800 Ops he's let off in eight straight games and Conor Joe has now homered in three straight that's right my Connor Joe one for three with his sixth home run he is batting 293 with a 370 on base percentage 24 runs scored this year 21 RBI 8 90 Ops he's started eight of the past 10 games uh Conor Joe is 53% Abraham Toro is 55 do you think either of those numbers need to be higher than 55 and 53 no I think that's about right 15 team Roto leagues they probably have to be rostered at this point but I don't have a ton of confidence in either sustaining the the numbers they're putting up right now Conor Joe has a 220 expected batting average and a 389 expected slug now maybe he's just doing such a good job of pulling the ball in the air he's doing that uh uh isach Petes trick that maybe he can keep it going but we don't have a track record of that for him and it's a small sample right now I'm not ready to say Connor Joe is a unicorn after a seven week sample of part-time at bats at that so uh and the long run I'm not sure he'll be worth rostering but in those deeper Roto leagues he is for now I will point out with Conor Joe that pull rate is up it's a career high 49 a half perc so it looks like he's actively trying to pull fly balls and and that might be helping him but as you mentioned it is a uh a smaller sample size for him so far this season two names that are right around 30% rostered South freck and Andrew vaugh South freck had a big game one for three with a sock in a shoe his first home run his fifth stolen base of the season the problem for him is that uh we thought he was going to take this step as a contact hitter hitting for lots of line drives and batting average and kind of a Steven Quan Type and South freck has not taken that step so far Andrew vaugh had a big game in game two of their double header he went two for three with a double dong four RBI even after this game he is batting just 211 with a 600 Ops I think it's a good game for two young players Scott but we need to see a lot more before we consider adding either one yeah freck has been a disappointment for me so far I may have dropped him in the memorial magazine League which is 12 team Roto five outfielder spots I dropped him in a 15 team five outfielder League oh wow you must have been in good shape I do have some pretty good options yeah I'm I'm running in second place in in the memorial magazine league and and have a lot of good outfielders for it being a one of those situations players coming back off the I I gotta drop somebody Scott I went ahead and Roo Scott so I I went ahead and dropped South fre um vau let's talk about vaugh for a second because a lot of the data for him seems pretty normal the the main thing that that sticks out to me why he entered the day with one home run and now is up to only three pull rate is way down this year it wasn't good to begin with but it's down to 31% this year versus 39% last year so he's just not optimized his swing just isn't optimized for power and maybe it never was but it's been especially bad this year and uh you know considering he's in the White Sox lineup I'm not sure he's worth waiting around for just to add some context to that 15 team five outfielder League where I dropped South fre my Outfield is currently uh Josh low SE Suzuki Lars nupar Andy pz Tommy fam I also have Brenton Doyle and Johnny Duca on the bench so I feel pretty good I mean I would I would have dropped some of those guys over Freel myself but fair enough I know you hate Tommy fam Scott you're never gonna like him no matter what yeah Tommy fam's won he's a lot more useful than South freck right now ah I mean you you obviously don't need him in your lineup I don't know why you'd have such confidence in him long term yeah I so I have Doyle I have Doyle on the bench I like to just play him whenever he's uh in Co field and Johnny Duca I just I think it's a lottery ticket he has I think he has more upside than from what we've seen from South Frei he might have more upside I don't know yeah no I get that maybe I'll regret it who knows a couple of their names in deeper leagues Trey lipom in game one of their double header went three for three with the walk and three stolen bases he is now up to 10 on the season WIIL Perez continues to hit for the Detroit Tigers he added two more hits today he's batting over 300 with three homers three Steals and 892 Ops Nick Gonzalez hit his first home run since being recalled by the Pirates he went one for three in that game he has started four of the past uh five games he's got one Homer and one steel so far and Alec Burleson Scott someone I know that you have fancied for quite some time went three for five with a sock and a shoe his fourth home run his first stolen base he has started six of the past seven games very deep League stuff here but any interest in h burles Nick Gonzalez WIIL Perez and Trey lipam uh yes especially when seal Perez I'm kind of surprised he's only 25% rostered I guess the playing time has been a bit spartic but he's uh his his eligibility is kind of all over the place depending on what site you're on on some places I've seen just Outfield only some places he seems to have second base as well some he seems to have shortstop as well and um there's an element of speed there he been hitting well so far uh yeah I have in a couple of 15 teamers where I needed help in the Outfield um and and then burles I'm I'm not ready to pick him up in in those same leagues where I was picking up one seal Perez but you know I he he he still hits the ball very hard on average and he still doesn't strike out much and if this is the breakout it wouldn't be the most shocking thing to me let's see if the playing time continues let's see if the batting average continues to rise I think I think a big part of his profile is going to have to be batting average because I doubt he has like 30 Homer upside uh but with a 27% line rate Drive rate that that with with with burles in doing that and striking out as little as he does I think a high batting average is distinctly possible his expected batting average is 80th percentile again that is Alec burles and I think there's a chance the Cardinals are desperate for offense so if burles could give them anything then he is going to stick in the lineup he's a name let's just see where it goes but in some of those deeper five outfielder leagues uh he's someone you might want to add that is Alec Burleson Last Chance what is it the last chance to do it might be LAST CHANCE your last chance to buy low on Matt olon who went two for three with his fifth home run added four RBI here on Tuesday and it might be your last chance to sell high on Anthony vulpi who is bouncing back he went two for five with a double and an RBI over his last seven games a 344 batting average two homers eight RBI one steel the expected numbers for vulpi not that that's everything so I I you know I don't want to over that but the expected batting average and the expected slug they're not good they're not good for vuli so if you are someone who believes in those numbers this might be your last chance to sell high on him Scott what do you think about buying or selling either of those names uh I mean look I would have said byow on Matt Olson all along I still think he's gonna perform like a second rounder at worst rest of the way what's crazy is his average exit velocity is actually higher this year than it was last year yeah yeah and yeah he's looks like he's about to get going I'm not even sure you could pull it off after game just had but I'm not sure either honestly it's worth a try uh vulpi he's been kind of a tough one because there there are some things I really like about him and there are some things I don't and I I kind of get the hunch is going to be a player who outperforms his expected stats uh but you know obviously I can't guarantee that there's not enough of a track record to say so I like that he walks a lot I like that he runs a lot he hasn't been stealing bases lately but it's not like that's something that keeps at a steady Pace over the course of the year I guess if I told you Anthony vulpi is going to perform like we were expecting Andres Jimenez to perform the rest of the way would you want to hold because that doesn't seem far-fetched I I would I would hold and I I think I am buying for the most part I am buying what Anthony vulpi has has done so far the adjustments that he's made this season he uh is uh the plate discipline is much improved the Zone contact has been great swinging strike rate is way down um he's hitting to all Fields more he's hitting more ground balls which again that affects the power but these are the things that I think you want to see from a speedy type leadoff hitter wi which is what Anthony vulpi is right now so for the most part I am buying um if you could sell High I don't know to the highest degree like yeah turn them into B bashet I mean that's right well that's yeah that's as much a buy low as anything now let me see where so vulpi to this point in points leagues is seventh at shortstop that's great so I mean if you could find a way to turn him into Francisco Lindor obviously it would it would require giving up more than but that that I think that's the right idea like if you have vulpi and I don't know just an excess pitcher that's overperforming like a Reese hson or something like I don't know throw it out there you could try yeah I'm not sure I'm not sure ree olssen would get it done probably not but look here's a great offer Anthony vulpi and Jose BOS for Francisco Lindor I love it yeah try it out I think you could do that for or Cory Seager you could try to buy low on Cory Seager you can you know to some extent b bashet um you know maybe might still be able to get O'Neal Cruz because the overall numbers still don't look great yet but obviously he's coming around too so uh yeah I would try on any of those things but for the most part I am I think I am buying into what uh what Anthony vulpi has been doing hey real quick let's uh run through some quick questions here starting pitcher Edition and uh Nick Hey Real Quick pavetta looked much better in his second start back from the I he was up against Tampa Bay five and twoth thirs innings two runs eight strikeouts to zero walks what I noticed is that in two starts back he's throwing his fast ball a lot more typically we want Nick Peta to throw his breaking pitches is there a chance that he's not throwing the breaking pitches as much because he was dealing with an elbow injury I this requires some kind of like Galaxy brain thinking Scott but uh what do you think of my hypothesis here uh maybe but what I've noticed is that he's basically ditched the cutter he normally throws at 21% and he I I didn't get an exact count but he he hardly threw it in this start he went from 21% to he might as well not even have it and if fast ball if more fast balls are taking the place of of that cutter that's probably a good thing because the batting average against on that cutter for Nick Peta is 438 so cut it out get it out of here if if it means more fast balls great I was encouraged by what I saw from Nick Peta today hey real quick Chris Sale continues his great starts of the Season he was up against the Cubs where he threw seven shutout Innings two hits zero walks nine strikeouts had 15 swinging strikes in this one did notice the velocity was down around a mile 1.4 miles per hour on uh all of his main pitches here but he has allowed a total of two earned runs over his last four starts combined is Chris Sale back Scott th this looks like the best version of Chris Sale since 2018 that that's been a long time yeah I mean there were there were a lot of things to like about Chris Sale and in the amount of time we saw him last year but obviously the ER ended up on the high side I've been Chris Sale believer for a long time throughout all the injuries and so I am quite pleased with what we're seeing and I have nothing negative to point out except oh maybe he gets hurt again just because he's gotten hurt so much over the past four years a wide variety of ailments many of them not even being like standard baseball injuries just really fluky things happening to Chris Sale which is why I'm hopeful that he does stay healthy but it's not common for any pitcher to stay healthy and so uh if if Chris S falls into that I think a lot of people are going to be um regretting feeling like they should have known better I guess so that's the only negative thing I could say about sale but overall me personally I'd just be happy to sit back and enjoy the ride I'm treating him as a top 20 starting pitcher maybe he needs to be even treated as higher than that because with the Braves offense backing him with him getting 11 K berine he looks like an Ace and you know Braves locked him up for three years if he can have three great years with them he's he's probably back on a Hall of Fame trajectory so I'm sure he's motivated to to do that I agree completely and there are arguments like you said for selling High while Chris S is healthy but my push back and I'll say the same thing about Jared Jones who might have an Innings cap at some point this season give me the bullets the healthy bullets these awesome pit starts while I can get them while these guys are healthy and if they go down I'll figure it out when that happens but the way these guys are pitching right now just take whatever you can get and and continue to roll with them I I don't think I would be looking to sell on either of those guys Chris S or Jared Jones especially since there seems to be such pitching Surplus right now and it's not a huge amount of pitchers that we have total confidence in it's just that look really interesting and we feel like they need to be on our roster so uh if they were to go out go go down whether you're talking about sale or Jared Jones or Tyler glass now I'd say the same thing about him yep you probably have a way to to make up for that loss in the meantime they're clearly setting your team apart at that position they're they're totally bankable high-end outcomes every time virtually and uh yeah I think you just need to enjoy it hey real quick hunter green seven Innings two runs five strikeouts at the Arizona Diamondbacks the velocity was back up to normal after his previous start when the velocity was down and all of a sudden hunter green has a 327 ra a 118 whip he's doing a much better job limiting hard contact this season Scott is this the best version of hunter green that we have seen yet yeah I think so I'm not convinced that he's going to sustain it uh but because because what is he doing differently um he is throwing his fast ball and his slider the same amount as last year that third pitch that was hyped up this spring hasn't really manifested the shape of the fast ball and SL and and slider is basically the same as last year well you know what that's not true he is getting better movement on both of those pitches um I don't know maybe there's something to that but I would be uh I would be a little fearful of regression from Green just given his history hey real quick and I think we can make this one really quick Jack lighter his career is off to an awful start he's made three starts in the majors he's got a 1639 er a 257 whip would you be looking to BU low in Dynasty on Jack lighter uh probably not probably not I didn't I didn't have him as a top 100 Prospect coming in his minor league career has mostly been bad and uh I just think I think the odds are against him coming through as a as a as a differen maker in fantasy and most Dynasty leagues aren't as deep as the ones we playing and uh there's a good chance Jack lighter's just on waivers in them let's get into the leftovers and we will Leftovers, bullpen, streamers run through three pitchers here Carlos hordon has a quality start in four of his past five outings this one at the Minnesota Twins six Innings one run six strikeouts 14 swinging strikes on 102 pitches he did allow a lot of hard contact in this start but over Ron's last five outings it's a 307 er a 0 92 whip 31 strikeouts to just three walks the control has really improved for Odon during the stretch Logan Gilbert turned in a quality start but wasn't his best six and two3 three runs allowed three walks seven strikeouts still had 18 swinging strikes in that one uh the control has gone the opposite way for Logan Gilbert he has three plus walks in three of his last five and sunny gray two rough outings in a row he was at the Angels six Innings five runs still had nine strikeouts with 16 swinging strikes anything to add on Sunny gray Logan Gilbert and Carlos rodon yeah rodon looks great the slider has been effective for a long stretch now enough that he's actually getting a better whiff rate on it than he got during his Ace years in 2021 and 2022 so I don't think he's an ace now but I think he's uh a number four for your fantasy team in all likelihood so I feel good about where Carlos Ron's going you know Logan Gilbert was obviously pitching over his head to start the year but he's he's good he's just not I don't think he's going to continue being Ace level for you uh Sunny gray same thing I could say the same thing about him certain amount of regression was inevitable for those two Gilbert and gray and I think uh I think you just have to you have to be cognizant of that but I'm not seeing any like red flags here that would suggest that they're performances recently are going to be a long-term issue some hitting leftovers Josh low hit his first home run of the Season he went two for four with a walk and that Homer he is eight for 25 early on that's a 320 batting average John Carlos Stanton has three home runs in his past six games he went two for five with his ninth home run on the season Alex bregman starting to get going two days in a row two for four with his fourth home run he has three homers in the past two games Josh Naylor one for three with a sock and a shoe his 12th home run his third steal of the year and Cho Otani had a big game three for five with his 12th home run of the Season some Bullpen updates for the Nationals in game one of their double header Kyle finegan allowed two hits but struck out one for his 13th save for the Tigers Jason Foley pitched a scoreless ninth with the game tied Alex Lang allowed a hit and an unearned run in the 10th he took his third loss of the season for the Marlins Scott pitched a scoreless ninth with the game tied he struck out two it was AJ Puck who got the bottom of the 10th with a one-run lead he converted his first save of the season and I want to be very clear not that people see this and start thinking whoa uh AJ Puck is the closer now again Tanner Scott had pitched a ninth and he's still on the team so as long as Tanner Scott is there and pitching relatively well I I do think he's going to remain the closer so just keep that in mind for the Brewers Trevor McGill got the ninth with a a two-run lead he gave up a solo Homer but struck out two for his fifth save he remains just 40% rostered that number still feels like it needs to be higher for Trevor McGill for the Guardians Emanuel class walked one but picked up his 12th save for the A's Mason Miller tossed two scoreless innings across the eighth and Ninth he struck out five he's so ridiculous I love you for the Astros Josh ha threw two scoreless across the ninth and 10th he struck out three and picked up his second win for the Cardinals Ryan Hesley struck out to for his 13th save for the Rockies uh with Jaylen beaks unavailable Tyler Kinley pitched a clean ninth for his first save and for the Royals James MacArthur recorded the final four outs he gave up one run he struck out three for his 10th save of the Season I'm a little worried about James MacArthur though that that was he he's now allowed a run in at least a run in four of his last five appearances which is not a you want to set as a closer it hasn't cost the Royals games at least not many games so I I I'm not sure the alarm has been raised yet but he's not he's not like a conventional closer who approaches triple digits with his fast ball and uh and now he's struggling to keep runs off the board in those deep leagues where saves are scarce it might be worth putting in a preliminary preemptive pickup for um his setup man whose name am I forgetting uh John shriber there it is I was thinking Schneider but no it's shriber John shriber yes so far this season shriber has A90 ER and a 105 whip less than a strike uper inning but uh he has pitched pretty well so far with the Royals to stream or not to stream on Wednesday and I believe yesterday we said Casey M against the Marlins uh Robert Gasser against the Pirates Randon fought against the Reds Taj Bradley is pitching but he's at the Red Sox uh I like Alec Marsh more than fought okay he's at Seattle uh yeah I don't love any of them though that t Wednesday is not a good day for streaming Cole Irvin against the Blue Jays it's it's in Camden that could work it could yeah and then on Thursday we do have a shorter slate and don't think I want to use any of these if I had to choose one I I guess Clark Schmidt at the twins but o yeah light slate uh I might I might say Cooper Criswell against the Rays Thursday if you're forcing me to pick one which is what You' like to do in this segment all right we're going to wrap there for Scott I am Frank thanks as always for tuning in to fantasy baseball today please make sure to follow and leave a five star rating on Apple or Spotify and we will be back again tomorrow bye-bye