Perpetual Reaction | ALLAN LICHTMAN Predicts Kamala Harris Wins In 2024

hey everybody uh welcome back to Perpetual news I just wanted to go over this video because um Alan lickman has come out um and with his uh predition of who is going to be the president of the United States 2024 um he sport he predicted Trump would win in 2016 Biden in 2020 and today we're going to find out who he Sports this election year I believe I already know there's a lot I'm going to watch this video here he is not there's Alan good old Allan see that guy in the red shirt that's Alan lickman 77-year-old Alan lickman and he's racing in the qualifiers for the Senior Olympics but there's another kind oface you can just tell by him just as qualifi he's just the most history nerd [ __ ] ever almost every presidential election since 1984 and today Alan liman's ready to tell us who's going to win 2024 God oh Alan dear God you see you may think Alan's just a jock well I was a steeple chase champion in the 1970s his name is Dr Alan look that actually a history professor and a quiz Show Champion these days he's on a different kind of winning streak to make his presidential predictions Allan's model ignores the poles and the pundits IT hinges on 13 keys that I developed in 19 1981 with my geophysicist friend Vladimir kyus B it's based on 120 years of presidential election outcomes before this told you he's a nerd Alan mod was one of the few that called it for Trump in 2016 Trump is going to win and in 2020 Allan got it right again Trump will lose the White House the race was tight but the keys were right so let's get to how these Keys actually work they are 13 big picture true false questions that tap into the strength and performance he's such a weird guy and only two keys he's just a weird guy he he comes up he came up with this system in 1981 like you said and he's been sticking with it ever since I got to say I just want to say clarify he did not correctly predict the 2000 election he predicted Al Gore to win however in Al Gore we know that there was some election interference that definitely could have it definitely could have hinged on you know maybe some illegal things happening such as the hanging Chads incident and the fact that Jeb Bush the brother of the man who was being elected president was in fact in charge of the election in Florida the deciding state in that election so Perhaps Perhaps George W bush technically kind of stole the election I'm not I'm not saying that uh officially I'm just saying you know there was maybe a little bit of interference deci if Florida was decided by 500 votes that is what tipped the 2000 election so perhaps he got them all right and perhaps he didn't I'm not sure have anything to do with the candidates but Allan 2024 is an unprecedented election year can your 13 Keys really call it right the keys absolutely will work they are the Conant Northern Star of political prediction all right a lot of confidence and find out who will be the next president of the United States according to Alan but first let me change into something a little more comfortable okay Alan sounds good number one the White House Party gained House Seats between midterm elections the Democrats did better than expected in 2022 but they still lost House Seats so the key is false remember a false key is good for Trump number two the incumbency key the sitting president is running for re-election Biden withdrew from the race costing the Democrats this key it is false wait you're saying it would have helped the Democrats if Biden stayed in if Biden stayed in they would have salvaged this one key that's all H okay moving on for now number three the White House Party avoided a primary contest the Democrats finally got smart and United overwhelmingly behind vice president Harris so the key is true a true key that moves Harris off the starting block number four there's no third party Challenger RFK Jr has dropped out of the race and no other Third Party candidate is anywhere close to the 10% polling threshold needed to turn this key it's true for keys in and it's neck and neck let's keep going number five the short-term economy is strong look despite all the loose talk about a so-called Vibe session the economy is not in recession so this key is true that's true everys economic this presidential term has been at least as good as the last two terms growth during the Biden term is far ahead of growth during the previous two terms so this key is clearly true number seven the White House has made major changes to National policy rejoining the Paris Accords on climate change the chips Bill the infrastructure Bill the inflation reduction climate change Bill both all of those are good key is true yeah number eight there is no sustained social unrest during the term there have been sporadic protests but nothing approaching the massive sustained social unrest needed to turn this key so it's true but schools are just going back to session with new protests couldn't this key flip yes there are a lot of protesters upset with Biden's policies in the Middle East but now with Harris not Biden front and center that has dampened social unrest number nine the White House is untainted by Scandal oh my favorite key the Scandal key and Republicans have been trying for years to pin a scandal on President Biden and come up empty so the key is true but come on Alan Biden's horrific debate performance questions about his Age Hunter Biden doesn't any of that count no there has to be at least some bipartisan recognition of actual corruption that implicates the president himself and not a family member so the key remains true God he's such a nerd he's such a nerd dude this is the nerdiest [ __ ] that exists we have four keys left all of which would have to be false for Trump to have a path number 10 the incumbent Party candidate is charismatic this is a very high threshold key you have to be a once in a generational yeah this has to be a JFK candidate level guy haris has not met that standard is false not that charismatic the Challenger is Bernie Sanders could that people think Donald Trump is a God but he only appeals to a narrow base so that key is true but wait that means the Democrats will hold on to the White House and kamla Harris will be the next president of the United States but wait a sec alen we still have two keys left the foreign policy Keys you're right foreign policy is tricky and these Keys could flip the Biden Administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight but even if both foreign policy Keys flipped false that would mean that there were only five negative Keys which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the white house so I guess that means you're standing by your prediction kamla Harris will be the next president of the United States at least that's my prediction for this race but the outcome is up to you so get out and vote this image that I paused on as insane but look Allan lickman I I I just want to say just for some context I don't trust entirely and I think everybody should take his prediction with a grain of salt because you know the things that he is talking about are correct I mean there's a lot of what he talks about with his you know not reading into pulling data and not reading into um you know the a lot of the stuff that we're focused on in politics and I agree with some of that um but I won't I won't necessarily agree that a lot of people necessarily care about things like the inflation reduction Act and the chips Act and the climate Accords I I like all those things personally but that doesn't mean the average voter does and I don't think that they necessarily mean anything I'm not saying that his keys are wrong I'm just saying maybe the keys are taken as kind of an indicator rather than an actual prediction I do like Allan lickman as a guy but this is maybe a little bit too overzealous with his prediction here maybe I'm wrong though and I hope he's right and I hope that K Harris wins but we will see this this freeze frame of him is just just absolutely goofy um um well I guess that that race but what about the one we started with well I won some medals I didn't get hurt and I qualified for the 2025 National Senior Olympics let's go not bad for a 77y old huh no not bad at all Allan okay well thank you all for watching I hope you enjoy this video um it's been it's a very interesting video and like I said take everything that Allan says with a grain of salt but it's a good indicator of what might happen and you know he was right about Trump winning in 2016 that's that's more that can be said than a lot of people because a lot of people was like ah Clinton's got it but no it didn't work out that way and Trump won Trump won big um so you know thank you all for watching I hope you enjoyed this like a little bit of a reaction uh if you enjoy this sort of content let me know like And subscribe thank you and enjoy