The Close Begins >> THE COUNTDOWN IS
ON.EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO GET THEEDGE AT THE END OF THE
MARKETDAY.THIS IS "THE CLOSE."ROMAINE: INVESTORS
LOOKING PASTINFLATION BUT LOOKING TO EXACTLYIS NOT SO
CLEAR.LIVE FROM BLOOMBERG STUDIOS INNEW YORK.ALIX:
NVIDIA, I HAVE ASUGGESTION.IT FEELS LIKE TRIED AND TRUE.THERE
IS A RALLY.EARLIER THERE WASN’T A LOTHAPPENING.THE NASDAQ 100 WAS UP.IT IS NVIDIA LEADING THE
CHARGE.ROMAINE: WE WILL TALK ABOUT THEEGO DATA WE HAVE BEEN OBSESSING--
ECO-DATA WE HAVE BEENOBSESSING OVER.PRICES CAME IN SHOWING A
PICKUPIN APRIL AFTER DOWNWARDREVISIONS IN JULY BUT
THE PP --BUT THE PPI CATEGORY IS MUTED.MARKETS ARE NOT SURE
WHAT TOMAKE.OSCILLATING BETWEEN GAINS ANDLOSSES EARLIER IN THE
SESSIONWITH THE BULLS TRYING TOMAINTAIN CONTROL UNTIL
THECLOSING BELLS IN LESS THAN ANHOUR.AND A BIG PART OF THAT
BULLISHPAUL IS THE AI AND CHIP TRADE.NVIDIA ON A FOUR DAY RUN
WITH AIBACK IN FOCUS ON WALL STREET ANDBACK IN FOCUS AT THE
WHITEHOUSE.CNN REPORTED THAT OPENAI CEO ANDANTHROPIC’S
LEADER MEETING WITHSENIOR OFFICIALS IN WASHINGTONFOR A
DISCUSSION -- INWASHINGTON.A DISCUSSION ON THIS SHOW
AHEAD.AS INTEREST AND BUDGETS INCREASEIN THE CHIP AND AI
SECTOR,INTEREST IN THE PHARMA SPACE ISWANING.AS MODERNA IS
STRUGGLING TO FINDA PAVED TO BOXING PROFITABILITYIN A
POST-PANDEMIC WORLD.-- IS STRUGGLING TO FINDPROFITABILITY
IN A POST-PANDEMICWORLD.ALIX: TAKE A LOOK AT AUGUST
ANDSEPTEMBER.THE P TO THE TROUGH -- THE PEAKTO THE
TROUGH.S&P -- TODAY AT 65.WHY?THE EGO DATA DID NOT DO THATMUCH FOR US.-- THE ECO-DATA
DID NOT DO THATMUCH FOR US.NVIDIA IS THE KIND OF
ENTITYTHAT HAS CENTRAL-BANK POWER ATTHIS POINT.AND WET --
AND WHAT CUSTOMERSSAID YESTERDAY IS THEY STILLWANT
THESE CHIPS AND THERE IS ALOT OF DEMAND.HIS MARKET F -- IS M Mimi Duff, GenTrust ARKET FOARKET FOMOBOOSTING
THIS.ROMAINE: MIMI DUFF IS THEMANAGING
DIRECTOR AT JEN TRUSTJOINING US.>> I LIKE THE CROWN.ROMAINE:
START THERE.WE HAVE BEEN THROUGH MARKETCYCLES WHERE WE
HAVE ONE OR AHANDFUL OF STOCKS THAT HASDOMINATED
EVERYTHING.NVIDIA, AND YOU COULD BROADENOUT TO CHIPS, THAT
IS THE TRADERIGHT NOW.HAS ANYTHING CHANGED THAT?MIMI:
WHAT I WOULD POINT OUT ISOVER THE LAST 100 YEARS THEREHAVE
BEEN MARKET LEADERS AND ITIS USUALLY A NARROW SET.WHAT
CHANGES AI?LOOK AT THE PEOPLE WAITED S&P ITIS GATHERING
STRENGTH.WE ARE SEEING A BROADENING OFTHE RECENT
RALLY.ROMAINE: YOU MAKE A GOOD POINT.WE HAVE
BEEN THROUGH THIS.YOU FOCUS ON A TURN THAT GOESTHROUGH.IT
RAISES THE QUESTION, IF YOUWERE NOT LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET ONTHE
TRAIN WHEN IT LEFT THESTATION, WOULD YOU GET ON ITNOW?MIMI:
NOT WITH THE AMOUNT OFENTHUSIASM PRICED INTO
THESECTOR.ROMAINE: IT IS TOO RICH FOR YOU?MIMI:
YES.ALIX: JANET YELLEN SAID CENTRALBANK
HAS THE POWER TO MOVE THEMARKETS.IS THAT THE BROADER
INDICES YOUWANT TO OWN?MIMI: WE WOULD WANT TO OWN THEIRBROADER
INDICES AND KEEP OURHUMILITY AND LET THE WINNERSWIN.WE THINK
THE BIGGER PICTURE ISGOING TO BE DOMINATED BY THEECONOMIC
CYCLE AND OTHER DRIVERSAND NOT A FEW COMPANIES.ALIX:
CENTRAL BANKS STILLMATTER?MIMI: THEY STILL MATTER.ALIX:
WHAT IS YOUR SIGNAL TOBUY?MIMI: WE HAVE BEEN
UNDERWEIGHTEQUITIES.FIXED INCOME HAS RALLIED WITHYIELDS COMING DOWN.WE HAVE SEEN THE
AMOUNT -- YOUSHOWED THE INTRADAY VOLATILITYON THE
EQUITY SIDE AND ALSO THEAUGUST DIP WHICH WE THINKHIGHLIGHTS
FRAGILITY IN THEMARKETS.WHAT WOULD CAUSE US TO GET BACKOUR
EXPOSURE IS A FIXED INCOMEGOT TOO RICH.AND REPRICING AND
EQUITIES, ASUBSTANTIAL -- AND REPRICING INEQUITIES, WE WOULD
GAINCONFIDENCE.WE THINK IT IS A PRETTY HIGHCHALLENGE TO LAND
THAT AIRPLANECAREFULLY COMING FROM A HIGH .5%FUNDS
RATE.ROMAINE: WE HAVE GOTTEN TO APOINT WHERE
EVERYONE KNOWS THEEASING CYCLE IS COMING.THERE IS A LOT OF
DISAGREEMENTAS TO HOW AGGRESSIVE THE CYCLEIS GOING TO
BE.THIS IS A MARKET DOT PLOT WEWERE GOING TO GET 75-100
BASISPOINTS OF CUTS THIS YEAR ALONE.THEY HAVE PARED BACK
THAT.MIMI: I THINK, GUNNED THEMAHEAD, I
WOULD SAY THAT.WE HAVE 100 PRICED IN FOR THISCALENDAR
YEAR.AND 10 CUTS PRICED IN THROUGHTHE END OF NEXT YEAR.THAT LEAVES A GREAT DEAL
OFVARIABILITY. YOU COULD SEE A WEAKENINGECONOMY WHERE -- ON
THE WAY UPTHE FED HIKE TO AGGRESSIVELY.IF THINGS WERE TO
WEAKEN, --ROMAINE: WHEN WE LOOK AT THENUMBER OF CUTS PRICED IN,
IFYOU ARE TALKING ABOUT BRINGINGTHE FED FUND RATES
DOWN, YOUWOULD GO TO THREE.IS IT A SOFT LANDING?I WOULD THINK
THERE HAS TO BESOME WEAKNESS IN THE ECONOMYSOMEWHERE.MIMI:
WE ARE COMING FROM A VERYOVERHEATED EMPLOYMENT
PICTUREAND A RIDICULOUS INFLATIONPICTURE.THE INFLATION
PICTURE IS WELLBEHAVED.ON THE EMPLOYMENT SIDE, WE
HAVESOFTENED.WE ARE BACK TO THE PRE-COVIDLEVELS.TO GET US TO
3%, YES, SOMEWEAKENING FROM HERE BUT ALSO THEFED KNOWS THEY
ARE RESTRICTIVERIGHT NOW.I WOULD SAY THE ACTUAL PATH
THATWE WILL SEE AND THE SPEED WITHWHICH THE FED MOVES WILL
BEDICTATED BY HOW AND WHEN THEWEAKNESS --.ALIX:
YOU MENTIONED YIELDSGETTING TOO HEATED AND YOU WOULDREALLOCATE MONEY FROM BONDS.WHAT YIELD IS
THAT?MIMI: 370 IN 10 YEARS IS NOTEXCITING.THAT IS PRICING IN THE MIDPOINT.IF -- WE HAVE A
HIGHER DEGREE OFODDS ON A RECESSION THAN THEMARKET.AND
THAT JUSTIFIES LOWER YIELDS.IF YOU HAD A PERFECTLY SOFTLANDING
AND FED FUNDS WERE DOWNAT 3%, THEN PROBABLY TENDS COULDBE LOW
-- TENS COULD BE LOW.WE THOUGHT BONDS WOULD PERFORMIN A BETTER
RANGE OF SCENARIOSSOWETO MONEY OFF THE EQUITYTABLE TO PUT IT
THERE.WE WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW THINGSDEVELOP WITH THE
DATA.ALIX: HOW ARE YOU LOOKING AT
THEELECTION?MIMI: OUR ANALYSIS ISINCONCLUSIVE.IT REALLY
DEPENDS, THE EXACTCOMPOSITION YOU WILL GET.WE DON’T THINK
EITHER PARTY WILLHAVE A CLEAN SWEEP.WE THINK THAT WHATEVER
ECONOMYIS HANDED TO THE INCOMINGPRESIDENT MATTERS MORE
THAN ALOT OF THE OTHER FACTORS.WE ARE NOT PLAYING ONE
WAY ORTHE OTHER RIGHT NOW.AND THE POLLS SHOW THEY ARE SOCLOSE
AT THIS POINT SO IT IS NOTAT OUR FOREFRONT.ROMAINE:
MIMI DUFF, MANAGINGDIRECTOR KICKING US OFF TO THECLOSE ON
THIS AS THEY AFTERNOON.WHEN WE COME BACK WE HAVE AMESSAGE FOR YOU JUNIOR BANKERS.AT JP MORGAN
THEY ARE TAPPINGYOUR HOURS -- CAPPING YOUR HOURSTO 80 HOURS A
WEEK.ALIX: SALESFORCE HAS AI RELATEDNEWS
OF ITS OWN AND WE WILLBREAK IT OUT FOR A CLOCK ANDWHAT IT
MEANS FOR THE AI ARMSRACE.ROMAINE:
BOEING CANNOT CATCH ABREAK.IT IS FACING THE POTENTIAL FOR
ASTRIKE AT ONE OF ITS KEYFACTORIES.CONTRACT
NEGOTIATIONS GOING DOWNTO THE WIRE AND A BIG VOTE ONTHE
NEGOTIATIONS COMING UP.THIS IS "THE CLOSE" ALIX:
JP MORGAN AND BANK OFAMERICA ARE ROLLING OUT SOMEMEASURES
THAT MAKE THESE JUNIORBANKERS’ Katherine Doherty, Bloomberg News WORKLOADS -- THAT MAYEASE JUNIOR BANKERS’ WORKLOADS.THIS
MEANS 80 HOURS UNLESS YOUHAVE A DEAL YOU HAVE TO CLOSE.DOES
THAT MEAN THE FLOOR IS 80?>> THE REAL QUESTION BECOMES
--DOES -- DO THESE MEASURES, THESESO-CALLED PROTECTIONS
ACTUALLYMAKE A DIFFERENCE FOR THESEJUNIOR BANKERS?IS THEIR
WAY OF LIFE, THE TYPEOF WORK THEY ARE ENGAGING WITHCOME IF
THE EXCEPTION FOR THE 80HOUR CAP IS THAT YOU ARE WORKINGON A
LIVE DEAL, IF YOU ARE HIREDAS AN INVESTMENT BANKER, YOUWANT
TO BE WORKING ON LIVE DEALSALL THE TIME.IT IS HOW YOU ARE
DEVELOPINGYOUR SKILL SET AND HOW YOU WILLGET PROMOTED.THIS
80 HOUR FLOOR SEEMS TO BETHE MINIMUM WHICH, TO ME,INDICATES
THERE IS STILL SOMEWORK THAT NEEDS TO BE DONE INTHE
INDUSTRY.ROMAINE: HOW SERIOUS CAN WE TAKETHIS?I
FEEL LIKE WE WENT THROUGH THISWITH GOLDMAN AND CITI. WHEN DOES --WHY DOES WALL
STREETPLAY THIS GAME?WE KNOW WHAT IT TAKES TO GET TOTHESE
LEVELS IN THE INVESTMENTBANKING INDUSTRY.>> SOME ABOUT -- SOME
OF IT ISNECESSARY CHANGES.SOME OF IT HAS TO DO
WITHTECHNOLOGY.PART OF THE REPORTING OF THEHOURS THE
BANKERS WERE PUTTINGIN WAS WEEKLY.THE TECHNOLOGY HAS A
BETTERINFRASTRUCTURE AND COMMUNICATESIN A MORE EFFICIENT
MANNER.BANKERS WILL NOW WANT TO PUT INTHEIR HOURS ON A DAILY
BASIS ANDTHEIR MANAGERS CAN SEE IN REALTIME OR A MORE
ACCURATEREPRESENTATION OF WHAT THEIRJUNIOR BANKERS ARE ABLE
TOHANDLE AND IF THEY ARE ABLE TOPICK OUT MORE WORK OR NEED TO
BEDOING LESS.ALIX: IF THEY ARE NOT WORKING ONA
DEAL, WHY ARE THEY WORKING 80HOURS A WEEK?>> CLIENT
DEVELOPMENT, YOU ARECONSTANTLY THINKING ABOUT YOURNEXT
PITCH.JUST BECAUSE YOU’RE NOT HIRED ONTHE DEAL YOU ARE
WORKING ONGOING LIVE DOESN’T MEAN YOU’RENOT CHASING
BUSINESS.ROMAINE: WE ARE VERY SKEPTICALOF THIS 80
HOUR THING BUT ISTHERE ALSO AN ISSUE OFCOMPETITION?AND IT
TOTALLY THERE HAS BEEN ALOT OF TALK ABOUT FIRMS THATHAVE
SIPHONED OFF FOLKS FROM THETRADITIONAL AVENUE OF GOING
TOTHE TRADITIONAL BANKS.IS THAT ALSO A CONCERN?>> REPUTATION
MATTERS ON WALLSTREET.IF YOU SEE FIRMS IN THEHEADLINES THAT
THERE ARE JUNIORBANKERS COMPLAINING, EVEN SOCIALMEDIA
HAS CHANGED THE GAME IN AREAL WAY.I TALK TO YOUNG PEOPLE
STARTINGOFF THEIR CAREERS ON WALL STREETAND THEY SEE THE
TYPE OFINTERACTION AND THE FEEDBACKFROM DIFFERENT FIRMS
AND THEY’REMAKING THEIR DECISIONS EVENBEFORE THEY START
THEIR FIRSTJOB OF WHERE TO GO.AND MAYBE THE NEXT JOB
INPRIVATE EQUITY MIGHT BEACCELERATED BECAUSE YOU
DON’TWANT TO PUT UP WITH THE GRUELINGWORK HOURS.ROMAINE:
CAN’T YOU MAKE MORE?IF YOU ARE GOING TO BUST YOURBUTT FOR 80
PLUS HOURS, YOUWOULD MAKE MORE.>> THE ECONOMIC SCENT
INCENTIVESARE ALL CHANGING.BUT I WILL SAY THAT THE PERIODOF
2021 WHEN YOU SAW A SHAKINGOF THE SHIP AND THE JUNIORBANKERS
WERE JUMPING TO PRIVATEEQUITY OR EVEN OTHER BANKSBECAUSE THEY
COULD CHASE BIGGERPAYCHECKS.THAT IS NOT AS
ACCELERATED AS ITWAS IN THE PAST.ROMAINE:
CATHERINE, HOW MANYHOURS DO YOU WORK?>> SOMEBODY ASKED ME ABOUT
THAT.THEY SAID, DON’T WORK SO HARD.I SAID I’M NOT BEING
COMPARED TOTHESE BANKERS WE ARE TALKINGABOUT.ROMAINE:
CATHERINE ABOUT THECHANGES IN WALL STREETESPECIALLY AT BANK OF AMERICA.ALIX:
MATT LEVINE HAD A GREATPEAS GETTING ON THIS AS WELL.HE WAS
MAKING THE POINT, YOUWORK LIKE THAT FOR TWO YEARS BUTTHEN YOU
KNOW HOW TO DO YOURMODELS OR FINANCIALS AND YOU CANSIT IN
MEETINGS AND BECOME ASENIOR BANKER AND KNOW STUFF ANDSAY
STUFF.IF YOU DON’T HAVE THOSE TWOYEARS, DO NOT HAVE
THATKNOWLEDGE?ROMAINE: THAT GETS US ONTO ADIFFERENT TOPIC
WHICH IS THEWHOLE ISSUE OF AI AND TRYING TOAUTOMATE A LOT OF
THOSE TASKSTHAT WOULD NORMALLY GO TO JUNIORBANKERS WHICH WOULD
ROB THEM OFTHAT EXPERIENCE THAT GETS YOU TOA LEVEL WHERE YOU
CANCOMMUNICATE LIKE THAT.ALIX: YOU TELL ME.ROMAINE:
WE ARE IN A DIFFERENTPHASE OF OUR CAREERS SOTHANKFULLY WE
DON’T HAVE TOWORRY.WHEN WE COME BACK, FOLKS ATMODERNA ARE
SCRAMBLING.THE BIG VACCINE COMPANY ISTRYING TO FIND A WAY
TOCAPITALIZE ON THE COVID-19 BOOMAND TRYING TO FIND NEW USES
FORITS VACCINE.IT HAS BEEN STRUGGLING AND WEWILL TALK
ABOUT SOME OF ITSLATEST MOVES TO CUT COSTS RATHERTHAN
FOCUSING ON GROWTH.THAT IS Top Calls ROMAINE:
LET’S GET A VIEW FROMTHE SELL SIDE WITH OUR TOPCALLS.WE START WITH CARVANA, GETTINGAN
OVERWEIGHT RATING AS THEANALYST PRAISING ITS BUSINESSMODEL AND
PROFITABILITY SAYINGIT ENABLES ECONOMIES OF SCALE TOPROVIDE A
HIGHER QUALITY ANDCONVENIENT AND LOWER COSTCONSUMER
EXPERIENCE.ROKU, SECOND UPGRADE OF THEWEEK.THE ANALYST SAYS
FUNDAMENTALRISKS ARE FALLING AND SALESGROWTH RISING.TWO
FACTORS HE SAYS SHOULD BURYANY DEBATES ABOUT
PROFITABILITY.INVESTORS LIKING IT.AND ENDING ON MICRON, THE
MAKEROF MEMORY CHIPS HIT WITH ADOUBLE DOWN GRADE.BNP PARIBAS
MAKING THAT CALL.THE ANALYST MORNING INVESTORS OFOVERSUPPLY
AND HIGH-BANDWIDTHMEMORY CHIPS AND HE SEES
MICRONUNDERPERFORMING AI PEERS THROUGH2025.SHARES DOWN 4%.THE
DECLINE YOU’RE SEEING ANDMICRON DOES NOT COMPARE TO WHATWE SEE
AN MODERNA.ONE OF THE BIGGEST MOVERS OF THEDAY.THIS YEAR IS
DOWN AFTER THECOMPANY ANNOUNCED UPDATES TO ITSSALES GUIDANCE
MORE IMPORTANTLYA COST SAVINGS PLAN THATINVOLVES DEEP CUTS TO
RESEARCHAND DEVELOPMENT SPENDING.GERRY SMITH JOINING US
FOR MORE.HOW DEEP ARE THE CUTS?>> THEY ANNOUNCED THEY
WOULD BECUTTING 20% OF THEIR R&D BUDGETBY 2027.IF YOU STEP
BACK, THIS IS ACOMPANY THAT DURING THE PANDEMICGENERATED A
LOT OF REVENUE FROMITS COVID VACCINE.THEY REINVESTED THE
MONEY INTO AVERY LARGE R&D PIPELINE.THE BELIEF THAT MRNA
TECHNOLOGYCOULD BE USED TO TREATEVERYTHING FROM THE FLU
TOCANCER.NOW WE SEE A SHARP DECLINE INCOVID VACCINE
REVENUE.THAT IS CAUSING MODERNA TO REININ SOME OF ITS
AMBITIONS.ROMAINE: I’M CURIOUS ABOUT THEAMBITIONS
-- IS THIS ANINDICTMENT OF WHAT THEY WERETRYING TO DO OR THE
WAY THEYWERE TRYING TO DO IT?IS THIS MORE ABOUT MODERNA ANDITS
EXECUTION?>> FROM MODERNA’S PERSPECTIVE,THEY SAY THEY ARE
VICTIMS OFTHEIR OWN SUCCESS.THEY HAVE HAD A LOT OF
CLINICALTRIALS THAT HAVE SUCCEEDED.YOU GET TO THE LATER
STAGES,THEY NEED MORE MONEY.WHEN COSTS ARE GOING UP
ANDREVENUE IS GOING DOWN, YOU HAVETO MAKE SOME CUTS TO
YOURRESEARCH BUDGET.ALIX: THE MRNA VACCINE DIDN’T
DOANYTHING MORE SIGNIFICANT THANOTHERS.AND THERE WHOLE
POINT ORIGINATEDUSE MRNA FOR CANCER VACCINES ORTREATMENTS.>>
THIS IS A COMPANY THAT HASTWO PRODUCTS, A COVID VACCINEAND THEY GOT APPROVAL FOR AN
RSVVACCINE.THAT HAS NOT GOTTEN OFF TO AGOOD LUNCH.PFIZER AND
GSK WERE BIGGERCOMPANIES THAT HAD A HEAD STARTIN THE
MARKET.MODERNA HAS TOLD INVESTORS THATIT WILL BE A
DISAPPOINTINGLAUNCH FOR THAT VACCINE.AND CANCER WAS PROBABLY
THEBIGGEST LONG-TERM HOPE THATINVESTORS HAD.THEY SAID
TODAY THAT THEY GOTSOME FEEDBACK FROM THE FDASAYING
THEY ARE NOT GOING TO BEABLE TO FILE FOR AS QUICKLY OFAN
APPROVAL FOR A CANCER VACCINELIKE THEY HAD HOPED.ALIX:
WHAT KINDS OF PROGRAMS ARETHEY CUTTING?>> THEY SAID THEY ARE
CUTTINGFIVE PROGRAMS.THESE WERE NOT HIGH PRIORITIES.THEY ARE
ALSO DELAYING SOME OFTHE DEVELOPMENT OF RARE
DISEASES.THEY ARE FOCUSED ON 10 PRODUCTSTHEY ARE HOPING TO GET
LAUNCHEDIN THE NEXT THREE YEARS.ROMAINE:
THIS GETS BACK TOANOTHER ISSUE IF YOU ARE A DRUGDEVELOPMENT
COMPANY AND REDUCINGR&D.WHAT ABOUT SOME OF THEIR
PEERS?MODERNA WAS AT THE FOREFRONT OFTHIS ESPECIALLY
REGARDINGTECHNOLOGY.OUR THEIR PEERS IN THE SAMEBOAT?>> PFIZER
WAS THEIR MAINCOMPETITOR.PFIZER AND BIOTECH IN THE
COVIDVACCINES.THEY ARE SEEING SIMILARSTRUGGLES.AS THE
PANDEMIC HAS WANED, THEREVENUE FROM THE COVID VACCINESHAS
DECLINED.ROMAINE: AND THEY HAVE NOT FOUNDA WAY TO
TAKE THE TECHNOLOGY ANDAPPLY IT TO SOMEBODY ELSE--SOMETHING ELSE, RIGHT?>> PFIZER HAD SOME
MRNATECHNOLOGY BUT THEY USEDDIFFERENT
TECHNOLOGIES.ROMAINE: BIONTECH?>> THEY HAD SOME MRNA
BUT NOTCOMPLETELY.MODERNA CALLS ITSELF A PLATFORMCOMPANY.MRNA
WORK FOR ITS COVID VACCINEAND SHOULD WORK FOR OTHERS BUTYOU
CAN ONLY DEVELOP SO MANYDRUGS AT ONE POINT ESPECIALLYWHEN
YOUR REVENUE IS STARTING TODECLINE.ALIX:
I REMEMBER WHEN STEPHANWOULD COME ON TALKING
ABOUTVACCINES.THANK YOU. BIONTECH, IT IS STILL A
$24BILLION COMPANY.ROMAINE: HE MADE A GOOD POINT ATTHE END
ABOUT HOW MODERNA -- ITSIDENTITY AS A COMPANY WAS
AROUNDBEING A PLATFORM FOR OTHERTHINGS.I DON’T KNOW IF
THIS IS THE ENDBUT A SPEEDBUMP.ALIX:
WE HAVE ASKED WE ARE AHALF HOUR FROM THE CLOSING.WE ARE TALKING
ABOUT GOOGLE,OPENAI AND OTHER EXECS HEADINGTO THE WHITE HOUSE
TO TALK ABOUTAI INFRASTRUCTURE.GOOGLE’S
PRESIDENT SAID TODAY’SMEETING WAS CRUCIAL TO ENSUREU.S. LEADERSHIP IN AI.THIS IS "THE
CLOSE" ON BLOOMBERGTELEVISION. ROMAINE: JUST ABOUT 3:30 P.M.HERE IN NEW
YORK.I’M A VERY MANLY ROMAINEBOSTICK.ALIX:
THIS WILL MAKE SENSE LATERON.THIS IS A SHOCKER, BUT
TECH ISLEADING THE WAY. AI INDUSTRY LEADERS
INCLUDINGSAM ALTMAN, JENSEN HUANG, METWITH SENIOR BIDEN
ADMINISTRATIONOFFICIALS TO DISCUSS HOW TO FILLTHE MASSIVE
INFRASTRUCTURE TOKEEP THE U.S. Michael Shepard, Bloomberg News AS THE LEADER INTHE AI ARMS RACE.MICHAEL SHEPPARD JOINS US
NOW.WHAT WAS THE TAKE AWAY FROMTHESE MEETINGS?MICHAEL: WE
ARE STILL WAITINGFOR MORE REPORTING ABOUT THEWHAT NEXT
STEPS WILL BE AND WHATTHE RESULTS WILL BE BUT HEADINGINTO
IT AND SOME OF THE EARLYREADOUTS THAT WE GOT
SIGNAL THEIMPORTANCE OF THIS GET TOGETHER.JUST BY THE VERY
NAMES WE HAVEJUST MENTIONED.JENSEN HUANG, GINA
RAIMONDO.THAT IS A STAR-STUDDED CAST THATINDICATES THE STAKES
FOR THEU.S. IN TERMS OF ITS ECONOMICSECURITY AND
MAINTAINING ANEDGE.ALSO FOR THE COMPANIES AND THEIRINVESTMENTS
IN THIS AREA ANDTHEIR PROSPECTS FOR GROWTH.THEY NEED
INFRASTRUCTURE ANDDATA CENTERS BUILT AND THEYWANTED TO TALK
ABOUT THE WAYS TOGET THAT DONE.ROMAINE:
I KNOW THIS WAS MORE OFAN INFORMAL CONVERSE OR
--CONVERSATION BUT HAS BEEN ANYSENSE THAT A MORE
FORMALPROPOSAL COMING OUT OF THEGOVERNMENT, ANYTHING ON
THETABLE PRIOR TO BIDEN LEAVING THEWHITE HOUSE IN
JANUARY?MICHAEL: THE PRESIDENT DIDEARLIER THIS YEAR PUT OUT
ANEXECUTIVE ORDER ESTABLISHING AWORKING GROUP ON AI.IT WAS A
LITTLE MORE FOCUSED ONTHE REGULATORY ASPECTS OF IT.JUST
AS IMPORTANT IS THEQUESTION OF WHAT THE GOVERNMENTWILL DO TO
PROMOTE AND MAINTAINTHE U.S. EDGE IN THIS AREA.THE KEY WILL
BE TO DEVELOP MOREPATHS OF GETTING ENERGY TO THESEDATA
CENTERS THAT ARE BEINGBUILT IN THE INDUSTRY CANNOT GETENOUGH
OF THIS DATA PROCESSINGCAPACITY TO SUPPORT NEWINITIATIVES LIKE
THIS STRAWBERRYMODEL WE JUST SAW OPENAI TALKABOUT TODAY.ALIX:
SO WHY WEREN’T THERE POWERPROVIDERS AT THIS
MEETING?MICHAEL: THE ENERGY SECTOR WASREPRESENTED AT THE
MEETING.WHAT IS INTERESTING IS IT MAYNOT BE SO MUCH THE
POWERPROVIDERS BUT THE GRIDOPERATORS.IN HER STATEMENT,
THE PRESIDENTOF GOOGLE NOTED NOT JUST U.S.POWER GENERATION
BUT MODERNIZINGTHE GRID.IN THE SPACE COME ON THEAIRWAVES, AND
I AND OUR COVERAGEWE HAVE NOTED PROBLEMS IN THISAREA, INCLUDING
ACUTELY IN TEXASWHERE A NUMBER OF DATA CENTERSARE BEING
BUILT.BUT POWER GENERATION ANDTRANSMISSION ARE BIG ISSUES
FORTHESE COMPANIES.ALIX: MICHAEL SHEPARD JOININGUS.AT
SOME POINT YOU WILL HAVE TOPUSH SHOVELS IN THE GROUND TOPUT A
PIPE IN THE GROUND.ROMAINE: AS THEY FOCUS ON POWERAND
TRANSMISSION ISSUES ANOTHERBIG ISSUE, JUST BIGOLD-FASHIONED
NATIONAL SECURITY.A LOT OF DATA THAT NEEDS TO BEPROTECTED.AT
LEAST THAT IS THE VIEW OFCHRIS SESTITO, COFOUNDER AND CEOOF
HIDDEN LAYER, A STARTUP Chris Sestito, HiddenLayer THATOFFERS SAFETY SERVICES TO
OTHERAI MODELS IN ONE OF THE FIRMSWITH THE BACKING
FROMMICROSOFT’S MAIN VENTURE FUND.GREAT TO SEE YOU ONCE
AGAIN.WE NOW KNOW EXACTLY IF THISTOPIC OF CYBERSECURITY CAME
UP,BUT I WOULD BE SURPRISED IF ITDID NOT.CHRIS:
CYBERSECURITY REMAINS THENUMBER ONE POINT OF FRICTION
TODEPLOYING GENERATIVE AI.I ASSUME AND HOPE WE
AREDISCUSSING IT AS WHAT OTHERREQUIREMENTS TO
DEPLOYGENERATIVE AI SAFELY SOORGANIZATIONS CAN INTO NEW
TODEPLOY IT AT THE EDGE. AI REMAINS THE MOST
VULNERABLETECHNOLOGY.I WILL BE SPENDING TIME ONCAPITOL HILL
TRYING TO CONVINCEEVERYONE TO BE AWARE OF THEREQUIREMENTS
THAT NEED TO BETHERE.ROMAINE: YOU SAY YOU WILL BEMEETING WITH
FOLKS ON CAPITOLHILL.HOW RECEPTIVE HAVE THEY BEEN TOTHIS
MESSAGE, AND IF THEY HAVEBEEN RECEPTIVE, HOW FAR ALONG DOYOU
THINK WE HAVE GOTTEN,WHETHER IT IS THE REGULATORY ORLEGISLATIVE
PROCESS?CHRIS: IT REMAINS ONE OF THEBIPARTISAN TOPIC THAT
EVERYONEIS EMBRACING IS EXTREMELYIMPORTANT IN THE
UNDERSTAND FROMA GEOPOLITICAL PERSPECTIVE WENEED TO ADVANCE
ARTIFICIALINTELLIGENCE.WE UNDERSTAND WE CAN BE IN
AVULNERABLE POSITION.I THINK THAT IS VERY WELLRECEIVED
ACROSS BOTH AISLES.IN TERMS OF TIMING, WE NEED TOGO
FASTER.THAT IS TRUE AT A GLOBAL LEVEL.LOOKING AT MULTIPLE YEARS
BEFOREWE ARE GOING TO SEE SOMESUBSTANTIAL
REQUIREMENTS.THE EXECUTIVE ORDER IS STARTINGTO TAKE SHAPE
WITH EXCELLENTSTEPS FORWARD LOOKING ATANTHROPIC AND OPENAI
MODELSBEFORE THEY MOVE FORWARD WE NEEDTO HOLD ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCETO THE SAME STANDARDS WE DOOTHER BITS OF
SOFTWARE.ALIX: IT IS NOT JUST THE AIPART, IT
IS BUILDING THE DATACENTER AND THOSE CONNECTED TOTHE GRID
VERSUS BEING THEIR OWNMANY POWER CENTERS.DOES THAT EXPOSE
THE GREAT TOANOTHER LAYER OF CYBERSECURITYISSUES?CHRIS: YES
ABSOLUTELY.THERE ARE AN ENORMOUS AMOUNT OFREQUIREMENTS
OF ENERGY AND OTHERARCHITECTURE AND INFRASTRUCTURECONSUMPTION
REQUIRED TRAINEES.IT ABSOLUTELY DOES.CYBERSECURITY WAS ALREADY
INENORMOUS LIMIT IN TERMS OF OURNATION’S CONFESSIONAL CHAIR
ANDTHEN IN TERMS EVERY FIREMAN’S,THAT HAS ONLY
MULTIPLIED BY THEAMOUNT OF RESOURCES WE AREPUTTING INTO
TRAINING THESEMODELS AND HOW MUCH WE ARE GOINGTO BE RELIANT
ON THEM BOTH INTERMS OF GOVERNMENT AND LARGEENTERPRISE
INSTITUTIONS.ALIX: IT IS BIPARTISAN, EVERYONEWILL
BE BORED -- AND ON BOARDWITH IT.WHAT ARE THE HURDLES
TOIMPLEMENTING THIS WHEN WE AREDEVELOPING AI?CHRIS: YOU
HAVE ORGANIZATIONSLEADING THE CHARGE THAT AREINTERESTED IN
RESPONSIBLE AI ANDCYBERSECURITY, AND THERE
ARENATIONAL -- NATURAL REASONSBEHIND THAT.WHETHER IT
IS THE COMPETITIVEEDGE.BUT IT DOES REPRESENT THINGS WEHAVE TO
TAKE LESSONS LEARNEDFROM OTHER TECHNOLOGY WE
HAVEDEPLOYED.THINGS LIKE WE NEED TOUNDERSTAND BASIC THINGS
LIKE WHOIS INTERACTING WITH HER MODELS,CHAIN OF CUSTODY, WHO
HAS HADACCESS TO MY MODELS.THOSE THINGS COST MONEY
AND TAKERESOURCES.IT IS EXCITING TO BUILD MOREPOWERFUL
AND BIGGER MODELS BUTWE NEED TO CONTINUE TO PUT THOSERESOURCES
TOWARDS CYBERSECURITY.ULTIMATELY IF
CYBERSECURITYVENDORS LIKE US ARE DOING OURJOB CORRECTLY IT
ALLOWS US TOCONTINUE TO ADVANCE THEDEVELOPMENT OF AI AND THE
USECASES ORGANIZATIONS ANDGOVERNMENT WANT TO
DEPLOY.ROMAINE: WHAT DOES THAT FLOW OFMONEY
LOOK LIKE RIGHT NOW?NOT NECESSARILY THE GOVERNMENT.WE
HAVE TALKED A LOT ON THE SHOWABOUT SOME CORPORATIONS
AREREEVALUATING THEIR AI SPEND.THIS IS PROBABLY MORE
SPECIFICTO BUYING CHIPS AND DATACENTERS, BUT I AM SURE THIS
HASAN EFFECT ON CYBERSECURITY TOO.HAVE YOU SEEN ANY PULLBACK
ORREALLOCATION OF MONEY?CHRIS: WE CONTINUE TO SEE
STEPSFORWARD.WHEN TIMES ARE GOOD OR BADPEOPLE ARE SPENDING
ON CYBER ANDAI IS NO DIFFERENT.WE ARE SEEING
GENERATIVE AISTILL BEING USED FOR STRONG USECASES.THINGS LIKE
INTERNAL SEARCHES,CONTINUING TO DEVELOP CODE.THESE ARE THINGS
ORGANIZATIONSARE LOOKING TO WORK WITH GROUPSLIKE US TO
SECURE TODAY.I DON’T THINK IT IS ONE OF THEAREAS WE ARE
PULLING BACK.ROMAINE: CHRIS SESTITO, CEO ANDCOFOUNDER
OF HIDDEN LAYER,CYBERSECURITY COMPANY FOCUSED ONTHE AI
SPACE.AFTER THE BREAK WE ARE GOING TOTAKE A LOOK AT SOME BIG
MOVERSON THE DAY AND ONE THAT ISREALLY SPARKLING,
SIGNETJEWELERS.KIND OF FITTING ON A DAY WHEREYOU’RE LOOKING AT
OLD AT ARECORD HIGH.WE EXPLAIN WHY THEY ARE MOVINGHIGHER
NEXT.THIS IS BLOOMBERG. Stock of the Hour ROMAINE: ALL THAT LITTERS IS NOTGOLD.SOMETIMES IT IS
DIAMONDS.SIGNET RALLYING MORE THAN 12%,ITS LARGEST SINGLE
DAYPERCENTAGE GAIN SINCE 2022 AFTERA BETTER THAN FEARED
QUARTERLYREPORT.ABIGAIL DOOLITTLE JOINING USMORE TO
TALK MORE ABOUT OURSTOCK OF THE HOUR.I HAD A QUICK GLANCE AT
THIS.NUMBER OF UNITS OF ENGAGEMENTJEWELRY ROSE.IS THIS
WHY WE ARE SEEING THIS?ABIGAIL: SO ROMANTIC.WE DON’T EVEN KNOW
IT ISDIAMONDS.ROMAINE: DEAR GIRLFRIEND, PLEASETAKE MY
ENGAGEMENT UNIT.ABIGAIL: WE DON’T KNOW HERE, BUTYES,
SEEMS MORE PEOPLE AREGETTING MARRIED OUT OF THEPANDEMIC.THE
STOCK WAS DOWN MORE THAN 40%FROM ITS 2015 PEAK.THEY MADE
A BIG REBOUND OUT OFTHE PANDEMIC, BUT IT HAS BEENKIND
OF CHOPPY.IN TERMS OF THE RECORDER HERE,THEY BEAT
EARNINGS AND BEAT COMPSALES.BUT THE COMP SALES STILL DOWNFOR A
NINTH STRAIGHT QUARTER.SEQUENTIALLY BETTER.IT
IS ONE OF THOSE BETTER THANFEARED QUARTERS BECAUSE
PEOPLEARE FIGHTING FOR LITTLE PIECES.WE DID REITERATE
ANNUALGUIDANCE, SO THAT IS A POSITIVE,BUT WE ARE STILL
LOOKING AT UP1% TO 2% AND WE HAVE THE STOCKHAVING ITS BEST
DAY IN MORE THANTWO YEARS.SOME OF THIS HAS TO DO WITH 12%SHORT
INTEREST.ALIX: I AM INTERESTED BECAUSEPRICES
FOR THE JEWELRY ARE UP.GOLD AT A RECORD.I WAS LOOKING AT THE
DIAMONDSTANDARD INDEX.IT IS HARD TO GET A BROAD-BASEDPRICE
FOR DIAMONDS.ABIGAIL: FAKE DIAMONDS, LAB-MADEDIAMOND,
MAY BE A CONSIDERABLEPERCENTAGE OF DIAMONDS AT THISPOINT.IT
SEEMS AS THOUGH WHERE THEREIS LOVE, WE HAVE PEOPLE
CHASINGTHEIR ENGAGEMENT UNITS.THE DIAMOND STANDARD
INDEX ISDOWN.ACTUAL DIAMOND PRICES ARE DOWN.ALIX:
MAYBE THAT IS HELPFULBECAUSE PEOPLE --ABIGAIL:
IN THE PANDEMIC THEREWERE A LOT OF COUPLES WHO CAMETOGETHER,
THEY COULD NOT GETMARRIED, AND NOW THERE IS ABOOM.THE CEO IS
SAYING THE ENGAGEMENTBOOM IS GOING TO LAST.HERE IS SOMETHING
INTERESTING.THEY HAVE A PROPRIETARY WAY OFTRACKING
ENGAGEMENTS, 26 POINTSOF DIFFERENT WAYS OF DOING
THIS,NOW 9% HIGHER.THAT IS WHY THEY ARE ABLE TO SAYTHAT THEIR
ENGAGEMENT WILLLIKELY INCREASE.ROMAINE:
THAT WAS MY NEXTQUESTION.IT IS ALWAYS LIKE, HOWSUSTAINABLE IS
THIS?IS IT JUST A ONE-OFF WERE ALLTHIS PENT UP LOVE FOUND ITS
WAYOUT?NOW THEY ARE SAYING MAYBE WE CANSEE SUSTAINABILITY
IN THERESULTS.ABIGAIL: AT LEAST UNTIL THE ENDOF THE
YEAR WHICH IS NOT VERYFAR OUT BUT AT LEAST IT ISSOMETHING FOR
A COMPANY THAT HASBEEN POSTING NEGATIVE COMPS FORNINE QUARTERS
IN A ROW.3.5 MONTHS.VALENTINE’S DAY MAYBE WILL HELP.ALIX:
OR BABIES.WHAT IS THE BABY GIFT CALLEDAGAIN?ROMAINE: WHAT DID
YOU DO WHENYOU HAD A BABY?YOU JUST SHOWERED IT WITHDIAMONDS
AND GOLD?ALIX: WHAT IS IT CALLED?ROMAINE: I DON’T
KNOW.ALIX: ANYWAY, APPRECIATE IT.SHARES
HAVE BEEN PUMMELED SO FARTHIS YEAR.15 MINUTES AWAY FROM THE
CLOSINGBELL.JAY WOODS, CHIEF GLOBALSTRATEGIST AT FREEDOM
CAPITALMARKETS, WILL BE JOINING US.TAKING A LOOK AT WHERE WE
ARE.S&P UP .8%.NASDAQ UP 1% AND THE DOW JONESUP .6%.THE BOND
MARKET I WANT TO POINTOUT, THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OFSELLING
AND COMMODITIES ARESEEING A NICE MOVE IN.THERE IS NO
NARRATIVE STORY THATCONNECTS ALL OF THESE TOGETHERWITH
GOLDMAN AT A RECORD HIGH.THIS IS BLOOMBERG. >> WHAT I WOULD POINT OUT
ISOVER THE LAST 100 YEARS THEREHAVE BEEN MARKET LEADERS
AND ITIS USUALLY A NARROW SET.WHAT CHANGES THE AI?IF YOU
ARE LOOK AT THE EQUALWEIGHTED S&P IT IS GATHERINGMORE
STRENGTH.SO WE ARE SEEING A BROADENING OFTHE RECENT
RALLY.ROMAINE: KICKING US OFF TO THECLOSE
ABOUT 15 MINUTES AGO.THERE IS INDEED SOME BROADENINGTO WHAT
WE ARE SEEING TODAY.YOU LOOK AT THE BIGGEST POINTGAINERS ON THE
DAY AND WHO ELSEIS IT GOING TO BE?NVIDIA, MICROSOFT,
META,BROADCOM.ALIX: MICRON GOT THAT RARE SELLRATING FROM BNP
PARIBAS, ANDMICRON AND NVIDIA ARE NOT ONEPLUS ONE.BUT IT WAS
INTERESTING THAT SOMEOF THEM ARE TRADING HEAVY.TEXAS
INSTRUMENTS WAS ALSOTRADING IN THE RED.ROMAINE:
I WAS LOOKING AT THEPHILADELPHIA SEMICONDUCTOR
INDEXAND IT WAS IN THE RED DESPITETHE FACT YOU HAVE THE
NASDAQ UP1%.YOU HAVE ABOUT FIVE OR SIXSTOCKS HIGHER.THAT GIVES
YOU MAY BE A SENSE OFWHERE INVESTORS’ HEADS ARE.WHAT THEY
FLOCK BACK TO, A LOTOF PEOPLE Jay Woods, Freedom Capital Markets FOCUS ON THE
TECHNICALLEVELS.WHETHER THIS REBOUND CAN SUSTAINITSELF.JAY
WOODS ALWAYS TAKES A LOOK ATTHAT STUFF AND HE JOINS US
NOW,CHIEF GLOBAL STRATEGIST ATFREEDOM CAPITAL MARKETS.I
WANT TO START WITH TECH.LET’S TAKE THE CHIP SPACE.NVIDIA ONCE
AGAIN TAKING THISMARKET OVER THE LAST FOUR DAYS.IS THAT
ENOUGH?WHEN YOU LOOK AT WHERE THEMARKET WAS WHEN IT LOOKED
LIKE AWE WERE JUST HEADING FORSOMETHING BAD AND THIS
REBOUNDWE HAVE SEEN, ARE WE GOING TOGET ANY HELP ENERGY --
OTHERTHAN NVIDIA?JAY: WE ARE GETTING HELP.THE MARKET HAS
BEEN BROADENINGOUT.GIVEN THE MARKET CAP WEIGHT ITWILL TAKE
PEOPLE WITH IT AND WEHAVE SEEN THAT.THIS RALLY HAS BEEN NICE
BUTTODAY BEFORE I JOINED YOU 10SECTORS WERE HIGHER.S&P 500,
ABOUT 70% OF THOSESTOCKS ABOVE THE 200 DAY MOVINGAVERAGE.I
THINK WHILE TECH GETS THEMICROSCOPE EVERY TIME, GIVEN
THEPULLBACK WE SAW IN BROADCOM ANDNVIDIA, THESE REBOUNDS ARE
NICE.NOW THE QUESTION IS CAN THEYSUSTAIN.WE HAD FOUR DOWN
DAYS, FOUR UPDAYS.THE S&P IS A MAGNETIC TO WHEREWE HAVE BEEN
DRAWN THE LASTTHREE OR FOUR WEEKS.ROMAINE: I WAS JUST LOOKING ATTHE MOVING
AVERAGES.THIS WILL BE LIKELY NO -- WHAT SHERLOCK QUESTION OF
THE DAY, BUTWHAT IS THE NEXT CATALYST FORTHE MARKET?JAY: THE
FED.THAT IS ALL YOU’RE GOING TO TALKABOUT THE NEXT FEW DAYS.WE
GOT MIXED INFLATIONARY DATAIN THE SENSE THAT IT
WASPOSITIVE.WE SAW HEADLINE NUMBERS COMEDOWN BUT THE CORE
CPI WAS MORETHAN EXPECTED.WE ARE NOT GOING TO GET A 50BASIS
POINT CUT.WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY WAS ASELLOFF AND WHERE DID WE
HOLD?WE HELD AT LAST FRIDAY’S LOW.TELL ME PEOPLE ARE NOT
LOOKINGAT THE CHARTS.AND WE GOT A REBOUND.DID NOT MAKE A NEW
LOW OF THERECENT LOW.EVERY TIME DOWN IT IS A HIGHERLOW.CAN WE
GET THE CATALYST TOBREAKOUT?HE WERE TALKING ABOUT THATBEFORE
WE CAME ON AIR.IF WE GET IT WILL NOT BE THEDECISION, IT
WILL BE THE PRESSCONFERENCE AND GUIDANCE FROM JAYPOWELL.THE
MOST VOLATILITY OUTSIDE OF ACPI NUMBER COMES FROM THAT
FOMCPRESS CONFERENCE.ALIX: FINANCIALS HAVE
GOTTENHIT.TRADED AT ABOUT 50 DAYS SO THATHELD.HAVE WE HIT THE BOTTOM?JAY: IT IS THE
SECOND-LEADINGSECTOR ONLY BEHIND UTILITIES OFCOURSE
BECAUSE EVERYONE SAW THATCOMING.GOLDMAN, JP MORGAN,
THEY TOOK ASTEP BACK.WE HAD SOME SPEAK OUT OF
THEIRLEADERSHIP AND IMPURITY -- ANDIN PURE JAMIE DIMON
FASHION,CONSERVATIVE.HE DID NOT GIVE US WHETHERANALYSIS THIS
TIME SO THAT WASNICE.BUT HE SAID LOWERING INTERESTRATES
COULD HURT OVER THE SHORTTERM.BUT THERE ARE A LOT
OF POSITIVESWITH A SLIGHT DRAWDOWN ININTEREST RATES.WE
ARE SEEING MORTGAGE RATESFALL SO YOU ARE GOING TO SEEMORTGAGE
ACTIVITY PICK UP.ONCE WE GET THROUGH THE ELECTIONEXPECT M&A
ACTIVITY TO PICK UPREGARDLESS OF OUTCOME.REPUBLICAN PROBABLY
A LITTLEMORE THAN DEMOCRATIC GOOD SOTHERE ARE CATALYSTS FOR
THESECTOR TO CONTINUE TO DO WELL.MY FUN FACT IS 25 YEARS OF
THEXLS.IT HAS BEEN UP 15 YEARS, DOWN10.IT HAS BEEN UP AN
AVERAGE OF21%.WHAT WE HAVE SEEN OUR NICEPULLBACKS, NOT NEW
LOWS.ALIX: YOU KNOW WHAT LOOKSTERRIBLE?ENERGY STOCKS.S&P
ENERGY SECTOR, A STRAIGHTLINE BELOW THE 200 DAY
MOVINGAVERAGE.JAY: IT IS GETTING A LITTLE INTOTHAT
OVERSOLD TERRITORY.ENERGY IS ONE SECTOR IT SEEMS TOBE ALL OR
NOTHING.WHEN IT GOES IT GOES WELL.BUT EXXON MOBIL AND
CHEVRON DONOT LOOK GOOD ON THE CHARTS.I WOULD TAKE EXXON OVER
CHEVRON.EITHER ONE I WOULD AVOID RIGHTNOW.BARRING ANY
GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS.ROMAINE: WHAT IS OUT THERE OTHERTHAN
NVIDIA?LET’S TALK INDIVIDUAL NAMES.THERE HAS BEEN A LOT OF
HYPEAROUND SECOND-TIER TECHCOMPANIES.CISCO RALLIED.JAY:
WE JOKED ABOUT THAT LASTTIME.ROMAINE: AND DELL.JAY: DELL IS A STOCK THAT WAS
UP150%, THEN IT RETRACED OVER 50%.THE STOCK IS STILL HAVING
AGREAT YEAR BUT WHAT WE HAVE SEENIS THE BIG NEWEST ADDITION
INTOTHE S&P 500.SO CONGRATULATIONS, YOU AREBACK.HE
JUST BROKE ABOVE HIS 200 DAYMOVING AVERAGE.THE AI STORY
IN DELL IS STILL INAI STORY THAT IS GROWING.THEY ARE NOT
JUST A ONE TRICKPONY. I THINK MICHAEL DELL,
KNOWINGHIS REPUTATION, THIS IS NOT AONE AND DONE.I THINK IT
GOT OVERDONE ON THEDOWNSIDE AND IF IT STAYS ABOVE110, A KEY
LEVEL IT WASWATCHING, I THINK YOU WANT TO BELONG THE
NAME.WILL IT REBOUND TO NEW HIGHS?I AM NOT SURE BUT THAT
WOULD BEA HECKUVA RUN IF IT GOT HALFWAYTHERE.ROMAINE:
REAL QUICKLY, PALANTIR,DO YOU LIKE THAT?JAY: I LIKE
IT.IT JUST WENT IN THE S&P 500 ANDA LOT OF TIMES YOU SEE
STOCKSGET A LITTLE EUPHORIC.I THINK IT WILL PROBABLY
PAUSEHERE.52 WEEK HIGHS.ANY PULLBACK UNDER 34 ISPROBABLY A
GOOD ENTRY. IT IS EARLY INNINGS.
IF I CAN GIVE DAN A SHOUT OUT IWILL.ROMAINE:
HAVE YOU EVER SEEN HISCLOSET?JAY: I HAVE NOT SEEN
THE CLOSET.ROMAINE: IT HASN’T RUBBED OFF ONYOU.JAY:
NO.AND IF IT DOES --ALIX: WE WILL LET YOU KNOW.JAY:
THERE IS ONLY ONE DAN IVES,I CANNOT PULL THAT OFF.ROMAINE:
THERE IS ONLY ONE JAYWOODS, JOINING US TODAY TO
HELPCOUNTDOWN TO THE CLOSING BELLS.VSTOXX OFF FAR SESSION
HIGHSWITH DOW UP .5%.THE RUSSELL IS YOUR OUTPERFORMERON
THE DAY.IF ULBRICH DOWN STARTS RIGHT NOW-- A FULL BREAKDOWN
STARTS RIGHTNOW.>> BLOOMBERG’S Closing Bell COMPREHENSIVECROSS-PLATFORM
COVERAGE OF THEU.S. MARKET CLOSE STARTS
RIGHTNOW.ROMAINE: AND RIGHT NOW WE ARETWO MINUTES
AWAY FROM THE END OFTHE TRADING DAY.ROMAINE BOSTICK ALONGSIDE
ALIXSTEEL TAKING YOU TO THE CLOSINGBELL.OUR GLOBAL
SIMULCAST STARTS WITHSCARLET FU, CAROL MASSAR IN THERADIO
BOOTH ALONGSIDE TIMSTENOVEC AS WE WELCOME OURAUDIENCES ACROSS
ALL OF OURBLOOMBERG THAT FORMS, INCLUDINGYOUTUBE.A FOURTH
STRAIGHT DAY OF GAINS.CAROL: I THOUGHT IT WASINTERESTING, I
HEARD YOU JUSTGETTING INTO THIS.THE SMALL CAPS
OUTPERFORMING.INTERESTING TO SEE INVESTORSSPREADING OUT AND
PUSHING THATINDEX HIGHER THAN SOME OF YOURLARGER CAP
INDICES.TIM: NEXT WEEK WE GET THEFEDERAL
RESERVE PRESS CONFERENCEAND DECISION.25 BASIS POINTS AFTER
TODAY’SDATA?IS THAT HOW YOU ARE SEEING THIS?SCARLET:
THAT IS WHAT IS BAKEDIN AT THE MOMENT OF THE A LOT OFPEOPLE
ARE EXPECTING A 100 BASISPOINT CUT OVERALL FOR THIS YEARWHICH
A LOT OF PEOPLE SAY STILLSTRIKES THEM AS TO
DOVISH.BUT THIS MARKET HAS BEEN TODOVISH ALL ALONG.THE FED HAS
NOT BEGUN DOINGANYTHING YET ALIX: NVIDIA HASTHE POWER OF A
CENTRAL BANKER.WE HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT ITALL OUR.YOU GET
THE FORMAL AND THEN THECATCH-UP.ROMAINE:
IN A GUEST TO THEQUESTION, WE TALK ABOUT WHAT THENEXT
CATALYSTS ARE AND I’M GLADYOU BRING THAT UP.MAY BE THE
CATALYST IS NOT ASMUCH THE FED, GIVEN HOW MUCH ISPRICED IN.HE
WILL GO BACK TO CORPORATEFUNDAMENTALS IN THE
ONEFUNDAMENTAL THAT MATTERS, CHIPSAND AI.SCARLET:
MAYBE THE RUSSELL, WHATIS THAT DIFFERENT THAN THE FOMOBUYING
WHEN IT COMES TO NVIDIA?CAROL: NOVEMBER 21 IS NVIDIA’SNEXT
EARNINGS.ROMAINE: A SLIGHT UPTICK INYIELDS ON THIS DAY CAROL MASSAR,SEPTEMBER
12. THE DOLLAR DOWN IN THE VIX DOWNBUT STOCKS GREEN ACROSS
THESCREEN.THE DOW UP ABOUT .6%.S&P HIGHER .8%, RIGHT BACK
TOTHE 5600 LEVEL, A LEVEL THATCOULD BE A BIT OF
RESISTANCE FORTHE MARKET NASDAQ UP ABOUT 1%.THERE IS YOUR
OUTPERFORMERBELIEVE IT OR NOT, THE RUSSELL2000 ADDING 26
POINTS.CAROL: IT IS THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER12.TOMORROW BY THE WAY
IS FRIDAYTHE 13TH.BIG CAPS, S&P 500.372 NAMES GAINING
GROUND.SAW FAIRLY BROAD-BASED BUYINGTODAY, 130 TWO THE
DOWNSIDE.SCARLET: SPINACH PIE, PESTO PIEALL
AROUND FOR EVERYONE.ALL 11 SECTORS IN THE GREEN LEDBY
COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES WHICHIS REALLY COMPANIES LIKE
WARNERBROS. DISCOVERY AND CHARTERCOMMUNICATIONS.ENERGY
STOCKS RECOVERING A BITBECAUSE THEY HAVE BEEN LAGGARDS.TODAY
IN TERMS OF THE WEAK LINKSYOU HAVE REIT’S IN
FINANCIALSTRAILING IN THAT THEY ARE ONLYUP BY .1%.CAROL: LET’S
GET TO INDIVIDUALGAINERS.YOU SET ME UP SO WELL.WARNER BROS.
DISCOVERY, NUMBERONE GAINER IN THE S&P 500, AGAIN OF 10.4%.A
TOP NAME IN THE S&P 500,NASDAQ 100.THE CEO SPEAKING TODAY
SAYINGTHEY SIGNED A NEW MULTIYEARDISTRIBUTION DEAL FOR
ALL OF ITSCABLE CHANNELS.THE COMPANY SAID THAT WITHCHARTER
COMMUNICATIONS RENEWINGEARLY, WARNER BROS.
ALSO SAYINGCHARTER HANG HIGHER PRICES FORCHANNELS.YOU CAN
UNDERSTAND WHY INVESTORSARE INTERESTED IN THAT ONE.ANOTHER
ONE TOP IN THE S&P 500,KROGER.THE GROCERY STORE.WE
KNOW WHO THEY ARE.THEY TALKED ABOUT SECOND-QUARTERGROSS
MARGIN EXPANSION.THAT IMPRESSED WALL STREET.THEY ALSO LIFTED
FULL-YEARGUIDANCE.THIS IS THE COMPANY SAYS IT ISBENEFITING
FROM CONSUMERSPRIORITIZING SPENDING ONGROCERIES AND OTHER
ESSENTIALS.THEY ARE STILL DEFENDING THEIRPROPOSED
ACQUISITION AND DEALFOR ALBERTSON’S IN COURT.ONE MORE
FOR YOU.BROADCOM, K TOP GAINER IN THENASDAQ 100.BROADCOM AND
NVIDIA REMAIN TOPPICKS IN THE SEMI SECTOR ANDTHEY HAVE
OUTPERFORMED RATINGS.EARLIER HE TALKED ABOUT NVIDIAAND ITS HELP
IN PUSHING THEEQUITY MARKETS HIGHER.TIM:
YOU HAVE THE EASY JOB TODAYWITH FINDING THE STOCKS THATMOVED
HIGHER.MICRON LOWER TODAY.THE COMPANY EXTENDING THATRECENT
SELLOFF AFTER BNP PARIBASWARNED THE STOCK WOULD CONTINUETO
PERFORM -- UNDERPERFORM.DOWNGRADED THE
STOCK BY TWONOTCHES, BECOMING THE ONLYANALYST TO RECOMMEND
SELLING THESHARES.SHARES FALLING BY 3.8%.MODERNA, I
THINK I SAW GERRYSMITH EARLIER TALKING ABOUTTHIS.ROMAINE:
THANK YOU FOR WATCHING.TIM: YOU LISTEN TO OUR
SHOW,RIGHT?ROMAINE: ABSOLUTELY.TIM:
DO YOU KNOW WE TALKED TODEREK JETER EARLIER?ALIX: SCARLET
DEFINITELY SAW.CAROL: SUPER NICE GUY.SCARLET:
DID YOU CALL HIM THECAPTAIN?CAROL: WE DID
NOT.SHOULD WE HAVE?SCARLET: THIS IS WHY YOU NEEDME.TIM:
LET ME GET BACK TO MODERNA.THEY AIM TO REDUCE RESEARCH
ANDDEVELOPMENT BUDGET.THEY ARE LOOKING TO FIND A PATHTO
PROFITABILITY FOLLOWINGDISAPPOINTING VACCINE
SALES.THEY ARE DISCONTINUING FIVEVACCINES IN THE PIPELINE.
THEY SAID THIS IN A STATEMENTEARLIER TODAY.LOOKING
FOR A SECOND DAY IN AROW AT TRUMP MEDIA ANDTECHNOLOGY DOWN
3.6%, CONTINUINGITS POSTDEBATE SLIDE.THEY HIT AN ALL-TIME LOW
BACK INMARCH.THEY OPERATE TRUTH SOCIAL,DONALD TRUMP IS ITS
TOPSHAREHOLDER, DOWN MORE THAN 75%.SEPTEMBER 19 IS WHEN THE
LOCKUPPERIOD EXPIRES.I WANT TO LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENEDSHARES OF
WELLS FARGO, FINISHINGTHE DAY DOWN 4%.THE BANK REACHED A
DEALREQUIRING THE LENDER TO BEEF UPSYSTEMS FOR DETECTING
MONEYLAUNDERING AND COMPLYING WITHINTERNATIONAL
SANCTIONSHAPPENING A LITTLE LATER IN THESESSION TODAY.ALIX:
TAKE A LOOK AT THE BONDMARKET.SELLING ACROSS THE
BOARD.YOU HAVE YIELDS UP ONE BASISPOINT THE FRONT AND THE
BACK UPABOUT THREE.A 30 YEAR OPTION.IT MANAGED.IT WAS OK.IT
WILL BE ABOUT POSITIONING INTHE YIELD CURVE WHICH IS STILLDIS-INVERTED BY ABOUT
RE-BASISPOINTS.ROMAINE: WE ARE WAITING EARNINGSFROM
ADOBE AS WELL AS OUR AGE.WE SHOULD POINT OUT FIRST
ORACLENOW SPEAKING AT A CONFERENCEPROVIDING GUIDANCE ON
FORWARDAND SHARES POPPING 5% INAFTER-HOURS TRADING.THEY SEE
AT LEAST 66 BILLIONDOLLAR REVENUE IN FISCAL 2026AND AT
LEAST 100 $4 BILLION INREVENUE INTO 2029.WE WILL SEE IF THE
LONG-TERMFORECASTS HERE BUT OVERALLLOOKING AT A 20% WROTE
ONAVERAGE ON THAT SIDE.SCARLET: ADOBE COMING OUT WITHRESULTS
FOR THIRD QUARTERREVENUE BEATING THE AVERAGEANALYST
ESTIMATE.EPS WAS FOR 65 THE PAST QUARTERVERSUS 453 WHICH
WAS ANTICIPATEDBY WALL STREET ANALYSTS.FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER
REVENUE,OVERALL MISSING THE AVERAGEANALYST
ESTIMATE.ANALYSTS WERE LOOKING FOR $5.6BILLION.DIGITAL MEDIA
REVENUE, THATRANGES BELOW WHAT ANALYSTS WERELOOKING FOR.I
POINT THAT OUT BECAUSEEVERYONE IS REALLY FOCUSED ONTHE
CREATIVE ANNUAL RECURRINGREVENUE BUSINESS
OPPORTUNITIESWITHIN DIGITAL MEDIA.THAT IS GOING TO BE
SOMETHINGTHAT PEOPLE ARE GOING TO LOOKOUT FOR AND LISTEN FOR
ON THEEARNINGS CALL.CAROL: VERY MUCH SO.LOOKING FOR ON THE
EARNINGS CALLSPECIFICALLY WHAT IS GOING ON INTERMS OF CUSTOMER
BUYING HABITS.THAT IS SOMETHING WE ARE GOINGTO BE LOOKING FOR
INSIGHT FROMMANAGEMENT.KEEP IN MIND THE STOCK IS DOWNABOUT
3%.IT WILL BE DOWN POTENTIALLY ALOT MORE TOMORROW WHEN
REGULARTRADING BEGINS.IF YOU LOOK AT WHAT IS HAPPENINGIN THE
AFTER-HOURS IT IS DOWNABOUT US AND A QUARTER PERCENT.TIM:
DO MEMBER YESTERDAY WHENCAROL TALKED ABOUT HER LOVE OFHAPPY MALES?CAROL: OUCH, THAT
HURT.TIM: WHEN SHE WALKED INTO THEOFFICE
THIS MORNING SHE SAID,DID YOU SEE THE MCDONALD’S NEWS?NO, IT
WAS NOT A SPECIAL HAPPYMEAL FOR GROWN-UPS.CAROL:
THOSE FRENCH FRIES AREINCREDIBLE.TIM:
GOOD NEWS FOR YOU, THESUMMER OF DEALS AT MCDONALD’S ISTURNING
INTO A FALL AFFAIRBECAUSE THEY WILL EXTEND THATFIVE DOLLAR
MEAL DEAL THATDEBUTED IN JUNE, IT WILL GO INTODECEMBER IN MOST
MARKETS.CAROL: WHAT IS IMPORTANT ABOUTTHIS IS
A REALIZE SOME OF THESEFAST FOOD CHAINS ARE
FINDINGCOMPETITION IN A BIG WAY EVENFOR THE BUDGET
CONSCIOUSCONSUMER.AND SO THEY ARE FINDING THEYNEED TO KEEP
THESE PRICES LOWER.THIS SPEAKS TO WHEN WE TRY TOLOOK FOR
DIFFERENT METRICS,GOING ON WITH DIFFERENTCONSUMERS, YOU SHOW IT
IS ALITTLE TOUGH.SCARLET: THOSE FRIES LOOK GOOD,AND BY
THE WAY I HAD MCDONALD’SFOR DINNER YESTERDAY.I HAD A 10
PIECE CHICKENMCNUGGET AND FRIES.THIS WAS BEFORE THE
YANKEESGAME, BECAUSE I DIDN’T WANT TOPAY FOR THE $15 HOT
DOG.WHERE I SAW PAUL SWEENEY BY THEWAY.CAROL:
MIGHT ROMAINE HAVE A CASEOF MANFLU?ROMAINE: WHAT IS
THIS?CAROL: YOU TELL ME.ROMAINE: IS IT DIFFERENT FROMWOMAN
FLU?TIM: I GET IT ALL THE TIME.YOU WAKE UP NOT FEELING
WELL.YOU COMPLAIN A LOT TO YOUR WIFE.CAROL:
GUYS GET SICK AND THEYARE LIKE, I AM DYING. SCARLET:
THEY NEED THEIR MOMS.ROMAINE: I DON’T UNDERSTAND.ARE YOU
MINIMIZING OUR PAIN?IF I PRICK, DO I NOT BLEED?ALIX: YOU DO,
BUT WE DO AND THENWE STILL GO TO WORK, WE TAKECARE OF THE
KIDS.CAROL: THE URBAN DICTIONARY,MANFLU IS
MORE PAINFUL THANCHILDBIRTH.THIS MAKES ME
CRAZY.TIM: YOU SAID IT, THANK YOU.CAROL: RH JUST OUT.THERE’S NO EASY
SEGUE.A LITTLE BETTER THAN THEESTIMATE.SO, I HJAVE A
CONNECTION. --CAROL: A MAN WHO HAS FLU ISLIKE, I
HAVE TO BE ON AN RHCOUCH, BECAUSE I AM REALLY
SICK.ROMAINE: I STOPPED LISTENINGABOUT 10
MINUTES AGO.CAROL: THAT’S A WRAP.YOU GUYS
ROCK.ALIX, I KNOW YOU ARE HEADINGOUT.SCARLET IN ROMAINE
CONTINUE ONTV.ROMAINE: YOU MIGHT HAVE TO DOTHE REST OF
THE SHOW BYYOURSELF.CAROL: WE WILL SEE YOU
GUYSTOMORROW.ROMAINE: STICK WITH US.A LOT MORE
COVERAGE COMING UP ONTHE BIG PROGRAM.RESULTS OUT OF ADOBE
NOT LOOKINGGOOD.ORACLE LOOKING GOOD.RESULTS OUT OF RH
LOOKINGPHENOMENAL.WE START WITH ADOBE AFTER WECOME BACK WITH
MICHAEL TURRIN.STICK WITH US.THIS IS BLOOMBERG. SCARLET: WELCOME BACK TO
THECLOSE.ROMAINE: YET ANOTHER WILD DAY ONWALL
STREET ONCE AGAIN.IF YOU ARE A BOLT, YOU WEREPRETTY HAPPY.AT
ONE POINT IN THE DAY ITLOOKED LIKE ONE OF THOSE DAYSWHERE WE
COULD SEE THE MARKETFALL BUT ONCE AGAIN THE DIPBUYERS CAME
IN FAST AND FURIOUSAND YOU SAW THAT HERE ON THEBOARD.
NOW MORE THAN 3.5% OVER THE PASTFOUR DAYS, THE
STRONGESTFOUR-DAY STRETCH IN THE INDEXFOR AT LEAST A
MONTH.MODEST MOVES IN YIELDS.WHEN YOU LOOK UNDER THE
HOOD OFWHAT CARRIED THE MARKET, ONCEAGAIN IT WAS TECH.OIL
STOCKS GETTING A STRONG BIDCRUDE OIL UP A SECOND
STRAIGHTDAY.BUT I AM NOT SURE WHAT THEREADING IS WHEN YOU
TAKE A LOOKAT GOLD.GOLD HITTING A RECORD HIGH.THE INDEX OF GOLD
MINERS BUYINGINTO THAT TODAY UP 5%.SCARLET: THERE IS A CURIOUS
MOVEWHEN YOU TRY TO READ ACROSS WHATTHAT MEANS ABOUT RISK
APPETITE,OR THE APPETITE TO TAKE ON EXTRARISK.LET’S LOOK AT
INDIVIDUAL MOVERSON THE DAY.MODERNA FELL AS MUCH AS 19%
BUTCLOSED OFF OF ITS LOWS.THEY PLAN TO CUT ITS R&D BUDGETBY
ABOUT 20% OVER THE NEXT THREEYEARS FOLLOWING
DISAPPOINTINGVACCINE SALES.PETCO, HEALTH AND
WELLNESS, THETICKER MY FAVORITE ONE, WOOF,CLOSING AT A ONE-YEAR
HIGH.THIS IS AFTER THE PET SUPPLYRETAILER GAVE A THIRD
QUARTEREBITA FORECAST THAT TOPPEDANALYST ESTIMATES.THEY
ARE NOW SAYING THE OUTLOOKIT PROVIDED SIGNALS ITSTURNAROUND
EFFORT IS STARTING TOTAKE HOLD.WARNER BROS.
DISCOVERY, THE BIGGAINER AMONG COMMUNICATIONS ANDMEDIA
COMPANIES, UP 10% ON THEDAY, THE BEST ONE-DAY RALLYSINCE
NOVEMBER OF 2023 AFTERANNOUNCING A
MULTIYEARDISTRIBUTION AGREEMENT WITHCHARTER
COMMUNICATIONS.THESE ARE A LOT OF OLD ECONOMYSTOCKS.SO LET’S
GO FROM OLD ECONOMY TONEW ECONOMY BECAUSE OUR TOPSTORY IS
HOW EXECUTIVES FROMOPENAI, NVIDIA, AND OTHER TECHCOMPANIES
PAID A VISIT TO THEWHITE HOUSE TODAY.THEIR MISSION IS TO HOLD
TALKSTO BOOST COOPERATION BETWEEN THEPRIVATE AND PUBLIC
SECTORS INDEVELOPING AI DATA CENTERSAROUND THE
COUNTRY.SEPARATELY WE WILL SPEAK WITHTHE CEO OF SALESFORCE
AI, ASWELL AS TAKING A DEEP DIVE INTOADOBE’S EARNINGS TO
GET ATEMPERATURE CHECK ON DEMAND FORTHEIR AI TOOLS PRETTY
--ROMAINE: 11% GROWTH TO
$5.4BILLION.PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH WHAT WEHAVE SEEN OVER THE
LAST TWOQUARTERS FOR THIS COMPANY.CREATIVE REVENUE UP
ABOUT 9.6%.THE FORECAST GOING FORWARD THECOMPANY THING Michael Turrin, Wells Fargo REVENUE FOR THEFOURTH QUARTER,
5.5 TO $5.55BILLION.OVERALL IN LINE BUT YOU CAN SEEWHAT SHARES
ARE DOING.INVESTORS WANTING MORE.MICHAEL TURRIN IS SENIOR
ANALYSTAT WELLS FARGO AND HE JOINS USNOW.MY FIRST QUESTION
FOR YOU ISEXACTLY WHAT INVESTORS WANT.WHAT MORE DO
THEY WANT HERE?MICHAEL: BETTER GUIDANCE IN Q4.Q3 INS RECORD.WE
THINK A BIT AT HER THANEXPECTED.Q4 GUIDANCE COMES
UP BY LESSTHAN THE Q2 UPSIDE WHICH WILLLEAD TO QUESTIONS
AROUND Q4.WE WILL BE LISTENING INTENTLY ONTHE CALL TO HEAR IF
THIS ISCONSERVATIVISM, IF THERE ISANYTHING TO CONSIDER MACRO
OROTHERWISE ON THE Q4 GUIDANCE.ROMAINE:
WHAT IS THE AI STORY,OR THE AI READ YOU GOT OUT OFTHE NEWS
RELEASE?MICHAEL: THEY HAVE BEEN TALKINGOPTIMISTICALLY ABOUT
WHAT THEYARE DOING WITH GENERATIVE AI ANDADOBES PRODUCT
SET WHEN AI ISCALLED FIREFLY.WE THINK IT IS ONE OF A FEWTANGIBLE USE CASES OF
TECHNOLOGYCURRENTLY.THIS IS PRODUCTIVITY GAININGWHEN YOU
TALK TO USERS.ADOBE HAS BEEN SPEAKING TOINVESTORS.THE POINT
IN WHICH WE SEE --WE ARE SEEING SOME EVIDENCE OFTHAT.INVESTORS
EXPECT THIS TOCONTINUE INTO Q4 AND NEXT YEAR.THAT IS WHERE WE
ARE GOING TOGET SOME QUESTIONS.ADOBE ALSO HAS THEIR
BIG DIGITALMEDIA FOCUSED CONFERENCE SET TOTAKE PLACE IN
MIAMI IN OCTOBER.ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR THECOMPANY TO
HELP THREAD THENEEDLE IN THEIR PRODUCT AS TIEDTO AI.SCARLET:
LET’S TALK ABOUT THESTORY WITH ADOBE OVERALL WHAT ISITS
COMPETITIVE POSITION?IS IT STILL THE DEFAULT
SOFTWAREPROVIDER, OR IS ITS POSITIONTHREATENED IN ANY
WAY?MICHAEL: UNCERTAINTY HAS COME UPAND INVESTORS DO NOT
LIKEUNCERTAINTY SO ADOBE STOCK HASBEEN MORE VOLATILE THAN
USUAL.IT IS TIED TO A FEW THINGS THECOMPANY HAS BEEN
HIGHLIGHTING.THEY ARE THE ONLY PLATFORM WITHAN ENTERPRISE THAT
CAN HANDLETHE PROCESS FROM DESIGN TOPUBLICATION.METRICS
AND MONITORINGEVERYTHING REQUIRED AFTERWARD ASWELL.WE
THINK IS THE END TO END TOOLCHAIN IS QUITE STRONG,
THERE AREA LOT OF COMPETITIVECONVERSATIONS AROUND
THE DESIGNCAPABILITIES IN GENERAL.THAT IS WHERE WE HAVE
SEENOPENAI, OTHER TOOLS COME INTOTHE MARKET WITH I THINK
SOMEATTENTION GRABBING HEADLINES.BUT OUR SINS IS IT
WILL EVOLVEWHERE A LOT OF IMAGES FLOWTHROUGH A DOBBY’S
PRODUCT SET.THE COMPANY IS ALSO TAKINGADVANTAGE OF TRUST.TRUST
IS A SIGNIFICANT CONCERNACROSS LARGE BUSINESSES WHO
ARELEVERAGING THESE TECHNOLOGIES.ADOBE PROVIDES
FULL ATTRIBUTIONOF WHERE ANY IMAGE USING AITOOLS COMES
FROM.YOU HAVE BASICALLY A FULLLINEAGE OF WHERE THE IMAGE
COMESFROM AND THIS LEADS TO LESSLEGAL RISKS DOWN THE
ROAD.WE HAVE SEEN EVIDENCE OF SOME OFTHE OTHER TOOLS DO NOT
HAVETHEIR HANDS AROUND THAT YET.SCARLET:
DOES ADELE BE NEED TOMAKE ANY ACQUISITIONS?THEY ARE UNDER A
LOT OF SCRUTINYAS OR ANY COMPANY ENGAGED IN THEAI SPACE
RIGHT NOW.MICHAEL: AT THIS POINT ITDOESN’T LOOK
LIKE IT.ADOBE IS ALWAYS LOOKING FOR ANEW FORM ACTOR IN THE
OFTEN COMEFROM UNEXPECTED PLACES.IT BECAME CRITICAL TO
DESIGN ANDEVENTUALLY BECAME MONETIZABLE.GENERATIVE AI
CREATES A NEW DUCTCYCLE FOR THE COMPANY AND A LOTOF THE
INNOVATION WE HAVE SEENHAS COME INTERNALLY ANDORGANICALLY FROM
THE BUSINESS.THEY HAVE DONE AN AGGRESSIVE JOBBOTH TO NEW
PRODUCTS AND KEEPINGMARGINS ON A BEST IN CLASS 45%LEVEL.SO WE
DON’T THINK THEY NEED TODO ANYTHING TOO OVERSTATED.WE
THINK THEY JUST NEED TOSHOWCASE LIKE THEY DID
THISQUARTER.CONTINUE TRACTION AND GIVE USMORE
BREADCRUMBS.INVESTORS ARE ALSO LOOKING ATADOBE AND OTHER
COMPANIES ANDLOOKING FOR METRICS TIED TO AICONTRIBUTIONS
AND NEWSUBSCRIBERS.IF THE COMPANY IS ABLE TO GIVEUS NEW
METRICS, THAT IS ANOTHERTHING TO LOOK FOR THAT CANRE-INSTILL
SOME CONFIDENCE.SCARLET: GOOD STUFF.MICHAEL TURRIN IS
SENIOR ANALYSTAT WELLS FARGO.ADOBE SHARES LOWER AFTER
HOURSBY ABOUT 6%.COMING UP, WE ARE COUNTING DOWNTO THE FED
DECISION NEXTWEEKEND.ITS IMPACT ON THE MARKET RIGHTNOW WITH
JENNIFER JOHNSTON.THIS IS THE CLOSE. SCARLET: IT IS TIME FOR OUR Jennifer Johnston, Franklin Templeton MUNIMOMENT.WE ARE WESTON --WHAT
DOES THAT MEAN FOR THEMUNICIPAL BOND MARKET AT LARGE?JENNIFER
JOHNSTON IS DIRECTOR OFRESEARCH AT FRANKLIN TEMPLETONAND JOINS
US NOW.GOOD TO SPEAK WITH YOU.AFTER MONTHS OF
ANTICIPATION,YOU COULD EVEN SAY YEARS, THEFED IS EXPECTED TO
FINALLY BEGINITS RATE CUTTING CYCLE IN THENEXT WEEK.HOW HAS
THIS LONG BUILDUP TOTHIS MOMENT EFFECTIVELY SUPPLYAND DEMAND
DYNAMICS OF THE MUNIMARKET?JENNIFER: IT DOES
SEEM LIKE ITHAS BEEN A LONG TIME TRYING TOGET TO THIS
MOMENT IN TIME.WE HAVE EVEN HAD DATA COMING INTHIS WEEK THAT
CONTINUES TOSUPPORT RATE CUTS STARTING NEXTWEEK.IT WILL BE
INTERESTING TO SEEWHAT THE IMPACT IS.FROM THE TECHNICAL
SIDE OF THEMUNICIPAL MARKET, WE HAVE SEENEXTREMELY STRONG
SUPPLY OVER THELAST SEVERAL MONTHS.A LOT OF THIS IS DRIVEN
BY THEELECTION AND THE DESIRE TO GETBONDS ISSUED INTO THE
MARKETAHEAD OF THE ELECTION.WE HAVE ALSO SEEN FUND --
FLOWSSTART TO TURN AROUND.THE MONEY COMING INTO THE MARKETIS
GOING INTO THE SMA PRODUCTLINE AND NOT AS MUCH INTO THEFUND
FLOW.SO WHAT WE ARE LOOKING AT ISWHAT IS GOING TO GET THAT
MONEYINTO THE FUNDS.AND WE HAVE HAD AN INVERTEDYIELD CURVE FOR
QUITE A WHILENOW AND WE HAVE SEEN THAT SLOWLYSTART TO
STEEPEN AND WE THINK ASTHE RATE CYCLE -- THIS NEW RATECYCLE
STARTS WE WILL CONTINUE TOSEE THAT.WE THINK IT IS A GREAT
TIME FORPEOPLE WHO HAVE BEEN ON THESIDELINE INVESTED IN CASH TO
GETOUT OF CASH AND GET BETTERINVESTED AND THE MUNI
MARKET ISA GREAT PLACE TO DO THAT.SCARLET:
GOING BACK TO THESUPPLY QUESTION FOR A MOMENT, TOWHAT
EXTENT ARE SOMEMUNICIPALITIES HOLDING OFF ONISSUING DEBT
UNTIL AFTER THECUTTING CYCLE BEGINS IN EARNEST?I KNOW THEY
WANT TO GET IN THEREBEFORE THE ELECTION, BUT I AMSURE SOME ARE
WAITING IF THEYCAN.JENNIFER: WE ARE GETTING KIND OFMIXED
RESULTS ON THAT.THE PEOPLE WHO CAN ARE GOING TOTRY AND FRONT
RUN THEELECTION.THESE ARE ISSUERS WHO PROBABLYHAVE MORE
FREQUENT MARKET ACCESSCYCLE.THOSE THAT COME IN
EVERY TWO ORFIVE YEARS, IT WILL BE MOREDRIVEN BY THEIR CAPITAL
PLANNINGPROCESS.THEY MAY NOT BE AS DRIVEN TOBEAT THE ELECTION
LIKE OTHERSMIGHT.SO WE ARE KIND OF SEEING A MIXEDVOTE DEPENDING
ON IF YOU ARE AFREQUENT ISSUER AND THE MARKETOR ONE WHO POPS
INTO THE MARKETEVERY TWO TO FIVE YEARS.ROMAINE:
HAS THERE BEEN ANYCONCERN ABOUT POTENTIALCOMPETITION ON
RATES?WE HAVE GONE THROUGH A LULL IFYOU WILL IN THE HIKING
CYCLE,THE END OF IT.AND MUNIS LOOK GREAT.IF YOU ARE AN
ISSUER, THE IDEATHAT RELATIVE CONCERNS ON THETOP AND THE
BOTTOM LINE IN THATSPACE WERE ATTRACTIVE.THAT CHANGES,
PARTICULARLY IFYOU GET A FED AGGRESSIVE INMOVING RATES
DOWN.JENNIFER: WE ARE MORECONSERVATIVE IN
TERMS OF WHATOUR ASSUMPTIONS ARE FOR RATECUTS GOING
FORWARD.WE THINK IT MIGHT NOT BE QUITEAS AGGRESSIVE AS WHAT
THE MARKETIS TELEGRAPHING RIGHT NOWANYHOW.BUT WE DO THINK THERE
IS GREATVALUE OUT THERE.IF YOU MOVE LOWER DOWN IN THERATING SPECTRUM INTO THE AA, A,AND BBB
UNIVERSE, AS WELL ASMOVING OUT THE MATURITY CURVE ASWELL, WE
THINK THIS IS THE SWEETSPOT FOR PEOPLE TO GET OUT OFCASH AND
TRY TO LOCK IN THESERATES.WE DON’T WANT TO BE LATE TO
THISPARTY BECAUSE THIS WILL NOT LASTFOREVER.ROMAINE:
TO PLAY DEVIL’SADVOCATE, DO YOU GO DOWN INQUALITY AND OUT IN
DURATION IN ARATE ENVIRONMENT THAT IS GOINGDOWN, A RATE
ENVIRONMENT THATYOU WOULD ASSUME HAVE TO INCLUDEAN
ECONOMIC RISK?OTHERWISE, WOULD WITH THE FED BEMOVING?JENNIFER:
WE THINK THAT IS WHYMUNICIPALS CAN BE A GREAT ASSETCLASS TO DO
EXACTLY THAT.THAT IS BECAUSE DEFAULT RATESARE LOWER.EVEN AS
WE GO INTO SOME TYPE OFECONOMIC SLOWDOWN, THAT SORT OFTHING, WE
STILL HAVE VERY STRONGFUNDAMENTALS IN THE
MUNICIPALSPACE.THERE MIGHT BE HEADWINDS AS THEECONOMY SLOWS
AND SOME DECISIONSTHAT HAVE TO BE MADE FROM ABUDGETING
STANDPOINT, BUT WITHDEFAULT RATES AS LOW AS THEYARE, WITH
DEFAULT RATES LOWERTHAN SOME OF OUR CORPORATE ASSETCLASSES, WE
THINK THAT WITH AGOOD RESEARCH STAFF, WHICH IS ANIMPORTANT
COMPONENT BEING ABLETO FEEL COMFORTABLE GOING DOWNLOWER IN
QUALITY, I THINK IT ISA GREAT PLACE TO BE.ROMAINE:
ALWAYS GOOD TO TALK TOYOU, IT HAS BEEN WAY TOO LONG.JENNIFER
JOHNSTON, DIRECTOR OFRESEARCH AT FRANKLIN
TEMPLETON’SMUNICIPALS DEPARTMENT WITH ACLOSER LOOK AT
THE MUNI BONDSPACE IN OUR MUNI MOMENT AHEADOF THE BIG FED
MEETING IN LESSTHAN ONE WEEK’S TIME.WHEN WE COME BACK THE FED
WILLALSO TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT THEHEALTH OF THE CONSUMER AND
WEARE GOING TO DO JUST THATOURSELVES.ADRIENNE YIH OVER
AT BARCLAYSWOULD BE JOINING THE PROGRAM INA SECOND.THIS IS THE
CLOSE ON BLOOMBERG. SCARLET:
THE LATEST EPISODE OFCHIEF FUTURE OFFICER HIGHLIGHTSJOE
WALKER.SINCE SPINNING OFF ITS CONSUMERDIVISION IN 2023,
THEHEALTH-CARE COMPANY HAS SHARPRENT IS FOCUSED ON
DEVELOPINGNEW DRUGS AND MEDICALTECHNOLOGY.HE TELLS DAVID GUERRERO -->> WHAT IS THE
RIGHT STRATEGICFIT?THAT IS 80% OF OUR CONVERSATION.DO WE HAVE
A SCIENTIFICEXPERTISE, A COMMERCIALCAPABILITY, MAY BE
SIMPLYBREADTH AND SCALE, THAT ALLOWSTHAT ASSET TO BE MORE
VALUABLEIN OUR HANDS THAN THE CURRENTASSET HOLDER?OUR
ACQUISITIONS DO NOT TEND TOBE COST SYNERGY BASED.A LOT OF OUR
ACQUISITIONS AREDONE MORE OUT OF NEED.THE ONE THING AS CFO I
HAVE AGREAT ADVANTAGE IS I HAVE David Gura, Bloomberg News EVERFELT THE PRESSURE TO SAY
YOUHAVE TO DO IT BECAUSE WE AREFEELING A WHOLE-- FILLING
AHOLE.SCARLET: THEY JUST FINISHED THISSPLIT OF
THE COMPANY AND HE ISTALKING ABOUT M&A.DID HE TIP HIS HAND
IN ANY WAY?DAVID: I TRIED TO GET HIM TO DOTHAT AND HE WOULD
NOT DO IT. BUT THEY ARE DOING VERY WELL.
THEY ARE PAYING CLOSE ATTENTIONTO THE PATENT CLIFF.
WE TALKED A LOT ABOUT THE RATEENVIRONMENT WE HAVE BEEN IN.
THEY HAVE MADE RECENT SIZABLEACQUISITIONS BUT I
CANNOT GETHIM TO DIVULGE.ROMAINE:
WHAT DO THEY WANT THISCOMPANY TO BE?THERE IS THE PERCEPTION
THECONSUMERS HAVE OF IT, WHICH ISPROBABLY NOT REFLECTIVE OF
WHATTHE COMPANY IS.BUT HE IS A PART OF SHAPING
THATSTRATEGY.THAT IS KIND OF THE WHOLE POINTOF THE
SHOW.DAVID: SO MUCH OF IT ISRETHINKING THE
ROLE OF THE CFO.A LOT OF PEOPLE STILL THINK OFTHIS COMPANY IS
ONE THAT MAKESBAND-AIDS.THEY ARE TRYING TO THINK ABOUTHOW TO
DEVELOP SYNERGY BETWEENMEDICAL TECHNOLOGY AND
HIGH-ENDPHARMACEUTICALS.WE SAW A LOT OF LABS ON CAMPUSWHERE
WORK IS BEING DONE.I PUT ON A LAB COAT AND ALL OFTHAT.ROMAINE:
DID YOU GET TO KEEP IT?DAVID: I DID NOT.WHAT THEY ARE PROUD OF
THE FACTTHAT THEY CAN DO THOSE TOGETHER.ROMAINE:
DID HE TALK ABOUT THECOST OF DOING THAT?WHEN YOU START
TALKING ABOUT WEWANT TO BE THIS EXPENSIVE DRUGCOMPANIES, IN MY
HEAD I AM JUSTHEARING DOLLAR SIGNS, CHINGCHING, CHING
CHING.DAVID: THERE ARE SUCCESSES BUTMANY
MORE FAILURES.SO WHEN THE INTERNET ASSETS THEYKNOW THERE
WILL BE A LOT OF RISKASSOCIATED WITH IT.HE SPENT A LOT OF TIME
TALKINGABOUT NEW AREAS OF TIME ALLERGY-- OF TECHNOLOGY THEY
AREGETTING INTO.DRUG DEVELOPMENT COULDACCELERATE THE
PROCESS.THEY HAVE HIRED HUNDREDS OF NEWEMPLOYEES
WORKING ON GENERATIVEAI.WHAT THE CEO SAID IS THEADVANCES THE
NEXT 10 YEARS WILLDWARF WHAT WE HAVE SEEN THE LAST100 YEARS.SO
HE IS VERY OPTIMISTIC THATWILL CHANGE THE GAME.SCARLET:
THAT DRUG DEVELOPMENTAND INNOVATION, HE ALSO CITED
ATHREAT TO THAT WHICH IS THEWHITE HOUSE’S DRUG
PRICINGNEGOTIATION LAW THAT THE BIDENADMINISTRATION HAS BEEN
BEHIND.HOW DOES HE SEE THAT SHAPINGWHAT THEY ARE ABLE TO
DO?DAVID: THE INFLATION REDUCTIONACT AS A PROVISION
WHERE THEYCAN RENEGOTIATE A LOT OF PRICESIN THE TOP 10 MOST
EXPENSIVEDRUGS, AND THREE OF THEM AREJOHNSON & JOHNSON
DRUGS.THE CEO WAS VERY FRANK AND QUITECRITICAL OF THAT
LAW.BOTH HE AND THE CFO SAID TO METHAT THEY AGREE THERE
AREPROBLEMS WITH HOW DRUGS AREPRICED, BUT THEY SEE THAT
LAW ASBEING A HAM-HANDED WAY TO DEALWITH IT.IN TERMS OF HOW
THEY AREINTERSECTING WITH POLICY, THISIS A HUGE INTEREST
OF THEM NOW.ROMAINE: GREAT STUFF.DAVID GURA THERE.WE
HAD A CHANCE TO CATCH UP WITHTHE CFO OF JOHNSON &
JOHNSON ASPART OF OUR CHIEF FUTURE OFFICERSERIES.THAT
LATEST EPISODE AVAILABLENOW ON BLOOMBERG.COM AS WELL ASON
YOUTUBE.SCARLET: LET’S LOOK AT HOWMARKETS CLOSED
ON THE DAY.WE HAD A GAIN OF .8%.IT WAS KIND OF A STEALTH
RALLY,JUST GAINING STEAM THROUGHOUTTHE TRADING
DAY.ROMAINE: WE SAW THIS PATTERN THELAST FEW
SESSIONS, A LOT OF THATCOMING INTO TECH.WE WERE TALKING THE
LAST COUPLEDAYS ABOUT WHETHER THERE WAS ADEFENSIVE POSTURE TO
THIS ORRATHER THIS WITH PEOPLE BUYINGIN.JAY WOODS CAME ON AND
TALKEDABOUT THIS IDEA TO PAY ATTENTIONTO THE TECHNICAL
LEVELS IN THES&P.THE IDEA THAT DURING THIS TYPETRADING RANGE,
IF THERE ISCONVICTION OF BUYING -- ABOVETHIS YOU WILL SEE A
BREAK ABOVE5600.IT DID NOT DO THAT TODAY.SCARLET: SMALL CAPS
DIDOUTPERFORM.TREASURIES DID NOT MOVE A LOT.ROMAINE:
DID YOU BUY GOLD TODAY?SCARLET: I DID NOT BECAUSE IT ISAT A
RECORD HIGH.ROMAINE: SMART.SCARLET:
I AM WAITING.THIS IS BLOOMBERG. ROMAINE:
WE ARE FOCUSING ALITTLE BIT ON WHAT HAS BEENGOING ON IN THE
CONSUMER SPACE.WE ARE GOING TO Adrienne Yih, Barclays GET A CONSUMERSENTIMENT READING
OUT OF THEUNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN TOMORROW.JOINING US TO
TALK MORE ABOUTTHE HEALTH OF THE CONSUMER ISADRIENNE YIH,
MANAGING DIRECTORAND SENIOR RETAIL ANALYST ATBARCLAYS.YOU
CURRENTLY HAVE A NEUTRAL ONTHE RETAIL SECTOR.I AM HAVING A
HARD TIME EVENWRAPPING MY HEAD AROUND WHETHERTHINGS ARE GOOD
OR BAD.WE HAD EARNINGS OUT OF OUR AGE,WHICH IS SOME OF THE
PRICIESTFURNITURE, AND THEY ARE KNOCKINGIT OUT OF THE PARK.AND
OTHER RETAILERS SEEM TO BESTRUGGLING.PUT THIS TOGETHER
FOR US.WHERE DO WE STAND?ADRIENNE: I WILL PUT IT
TOGETHERFOR YOU.WHAT IS HAPPENING IS IF YOUTHINK ABOUT
A CYCLICAL CURVE,THAT BIG WAVE, THOSE COMPANIESTHAT WERE
SITTING AT THE TOP OFTHAT WAVE, THE LULULEMONS ANDULTAS, THEY
POWERED THEIR WAYTHE PAST TWO YEARS WITH GREATSUCCESS.THAT
WAS NOT THE CASE FOR AN RH THAT JUST REPORTED.THEY PUT UP THEIR
FIRST QUARTEROF POSITIVE SALES GROWTH BUTTHEY ARE SITTING ON
THE BOTTOM.THIS IS SUCH A STOCK PICKERSMARKET.I CANNOT SAY THAT
ENOUGH TIMES.THE HEALTH OF THE CONSUMER ISFINE BUT THEY ARE
BEING VERYCHOICE FULL.THIS IS THE PART OF THE CYCLEWHICH IS
AN 8020 RULE.20% OF COMPANIES ARE NAMES YOUWANT TO
OWN.THEY’RE COMING OFF THE BOTTOM,EXTENDING MARGINS, BUT
IT ISWHERE THEY ARE IN THE CYCLERATHER THAN BUYING A
BASKET.ROMAINE: I GOT YA.WE’RE SEEING SOME
COMPETITORSLIKE WAYFAIR ALSO RISE.CIGNA EARNINGS OUT
EARLIER, THEYARE RALLYING ON THE DAY.TALK ABOUT THE LOWER
ENDSPECTRUM OF THE CONSUMERLANDSCAPE.THOSE FOLKS
LOOKING TO SAVEMONEY.WE HAVE SEEN PEOPLE GRAVITATE TOWALMART
AND SOME OF THEQUOTE-UNQUOTE DISCOUNT PLACES.SHOULD
INVESTORS BE LOOKING MORETO THOSE PLACES FOR THE BASKETOF
STOCKS OR IS THAT MOREIDIOSYNCRATIC?ADRIENNE: I
WOULD SAY THIS 50 KTARGET CONSUMER, THEY HAVE BEENUNDER
THE MOST DURESS FROMINFLATION.IF YOU THINK
ABOUT THEESSENTIALS OF WHAT PEOPLE NEED,FOOD,
TRANSPORTATION, HOUSING,THOSE CATEGORIES FOR THIS 50
KCONSUMER COHORT MAKE UP ABOUT75% OF THE TAKE-HOME
PAY.THERE IS JUST NOT A LOT OF ROOMFOR DISCRETIONARY.SO WE
HAVE SEEN WALMART DO WELL.WALMART ROLLED BACK PRICES.
THEY TARGET LOWER HOUSEHOLDINCOME.IF YOU ARE
LOOKING ATDISCOUNTERS, FOR THE ONES THATTARGET THE LOWER AND
HOUSEHOLDINCOMES, THEY HAVE TO BECOMPANIES GETTING BACK
PRICE.THE PRICES IS TJX AND ROSS AREDELIVERING ARE LOWER THAN THEONES --THEY ARE TAKING
THA --SCARLET: THAT PUTS COMPANIESLIKE DOLLAR
STORE IN A TERRIBLEPOSITION BECAUSE THEY DON’T HAVEROOM TO
MANEUVER. TO WHAT EXTENT DOES YOURMANAGEMENT TEAM MAKE
THEDIFFERENCE IN EVERYTHING INTERMS OF HOW TO EXECUTE ON
THESTRATEGY THEY HAVE LAID OUT?ADRIENNE: THAT IS
ANUNBELIEVABLY GREAT POINT.WHAT I WOULD SAY IS YOU AREBUYING
THE MANAGEMENT TEAMS ATTHIS POINT.WE ARE IN AN ADMIN
TIME.THE DEMAND PART OF THE CYCLEWITH NO SUPPORT WHATSOEVER
ONTHAT INVENTORY SUPPLY.WE ARE AT PEAK MERCHANDISEMARGINS
BECAUSE WE CLEANED IT UPLAST YEAR.TODAY WE ARE RUNNING SO
LOW WITHNO SAFETY NET.IT IS ALL ABOUT ACCELERATING ANDTAKING
MARKET SHARE.AT THIS POINT WE ARE LOOKING FORA TURNAROUND
STORY.IT IS ALL ON THE MANAGEMENTTEAM.FOR A
PRE-EXISTING STORY, IT ISON THE MANAGEMENT TEAM.THAT IS THE
MOST EXCELLENTPOINT.WHEN YOU ARE IN A STOCK PICKERSMARKET,
YOU ARE RELYING EVENMORE ON BULLYING THE MANAGEMENTTEAM
MATCHES WHAT YOU AREEXPECTING THEM TO DO.SCARLET:
GIVE US EXAMPLES OF THEMANAGEMENT TEAMS YOU THINK
AREEXECUTING AS THEY SHOULD ANDPUTTING THEIR COMPANIES IN
AGREAT POSITION TO CONTINUE TOCAPITALIZE ON THE
CURRENTENVIRONMENT?ADRIENNE: TO MAKE A COMMENTHERE, WE ARE IN
THIS PART OF THECYCLE WHERE REALLY GREATLONG-TERM COMPOUND
GROWERS, THEYARE STILL GREAT COMPANIES BUTTHEY ARE NOT GREAT
STOCKS RIGHTNOW.THEY ARE COMING OFF THE PEAK OFTHE CYCLE.THOSE
WHO ARE COMING OFF THEBOTTOM OF THE CYCLE ARE
YOURCYCLICALS.THEY MAY NOT BE THE BESTLONG-TERM GROWTH
STORIES BUTTHEY ARE THE BEST STOCK ASSETS.THE NAME I WANT TO
POINT OUTWITH THE GREAT MANAGEMENT TEAM.RICHARD DIXON,
LOOK AT THEDELIVERY THEY ARE PUTTING UP INTHE APPAREL
SECTOR, KILLING ITAT OLD NAVY.ROMAINE:
THIS IS A GREAT STORYAND AN ONGOING ONE THAT WOULDHAVE TO
CONTINUE ANOTHER DAY.ADRIENNE YIH OVER AT BARCLAYS,AS WE
CONTINUE OUR COVERAGE ONTHE CLOSE AND A PIVOT TO ACLOSER
LOOK AT AI.NEWS CROSSING ABOUT Clara Shih, Salesforce AI SALESFORCESHAKING UP THE AI
GAME.THE SOFTWARE COMPANY UNVEILING APLATFORM THAT ALLOWS
COMPANIESTO SCALE THEIR WORKFORCESON-DEMAND. CLARA SHIH JOINS US RIGHT
NOW.WHEN I HEAR AGENTS FOR US AND ICAN UTILIZE THESE BOTS TO
DOTHINGS FOR ME, EXPLAINSPECIFICALLY WHAT
THISTECHNOLOGY CAN DO.CLARA: WE ARE SO EXCITED TO
BELAUNCHING AGENT FORCE.WE HEARD FROM MCKENZIE,
GOLDMANSACHS, SO MANY, THAT 90% OF THEVALUE REALIZATION
FROMGENERATIVE AI COMES FROM THEFRONT OFFICE.AGENT FORCE IS
ABOUT GETTINGSALES TEAMS WERE CAPACITY,MARKETING TEAMS,
COMMERCE TEAMS.AT A TIME WHEN IN THISMACROENVIRONMENT EVERY
INDUSTRYWANTS THAT BOOST.ROMAINE:
NORMALLY WHEN WE THINKOF THESE ASSISTANCE, THE IDEA ISTHAT
WHEN I ASK A QUESTION IT ISJUST FEEDING THE ANSWERS THATHAVE
ALREADY BEEN PREPROGRAMMEDIN THERE.IS WHAT YOU GUYS ARE
PUTTING OUTHERE, IS IT CAPABLE OFINTERPRETING WHAT I AM
ASKINGAND COMING UP WITH ITS OWNANSWERS ITSELF?CLARA: THAT
IS EXACTLY RIGHT.THE PREPROGRAMMED DECISION TREEIS A BOLD WORLD OF
CHATBOTSPRE-LOM.AI IS ALL ABOUT THE DATA AND SOCUSTOMERS
ALREADY HAVE 25 YEARSOF THEIR TRUSTED CUSTOMER
DATA,TRANSACTION DATA, STRUCTUREDDATA, UNSTRUCTURED
DATA, PLUS WEHAVE OUR NEW DATA CLOUD ZEROCOPY NETWORK SO WE
ARE PULLINGDATA FROM ALL THESE DIFFERENTSILOS SYSTEMS TO BE
ABLE TODELIVER A MUCH SMARTER AGENTTHAT CAN ANSWER QUESTIONS
BUTALSO AUTOMATE ACTIONS.SCARLET:
SO WITH THESEAUTONOMOUS AI AGENTS THATSALESFORCE IS GOING
TO UNLEASHUPON THE WORLD, THESE CUSTOMERFACING OR DO THEY WORK
IN THEBACKGROUND AND BEHIND THE SCENESTO HELP EXISTING
EMPLOYEES?CLARA: THAT IS A GREAT QUESTION.AGENT HAS BOTH
AGENTS THAT HELPEMPLOYEES LIKE A MERCHANDISINGAGENT ASSISTANT
OR A BUYERAGENT.WE ALSO HAVE SELF SURGEON --SELF-SERVING
AGENTS.WHETHER IT IS A CUSTOMER SUPPORTAGENT THROUGH AGENT
FORCE.IF YOU LOOK AT OUR CUSTOMERSUSING AGENT FORCE
TODAY THEY ARESEEING A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT
OFPRODUCTIVITY GAIN FROM DEPLOYINGTHESE AGENT FORCE
AGENTS TO BEABLE TO ANSWER AND TAKE ACTIONFOR THEIR CUSTOMERS
24 BY SEVENON A CHANNEL.SO THEY CAN SAVE THEIR HUMANWORKFORCES
FOR THE HARDER, MORECOMPLEX QUESTIONS, AND PROBLEMSOLVING
AND DEEPENING OFRELATIONSHIPS.SCARLET:
HOW DO YOU GET AROUNDTHE FACT THAT SOME HUMANCONSUMERS DO NOT
WANT TOINTERACT WITH AI AGENTS?THEY DON’T WANT TO
INTERFACEWITH AI, THEY WANT TO TALK TO AHUMAN BEING?CLARA: IT
IS SO IMPORTANT TOHAVE AGENT FORCE BE THE PLACEWHERE HUMANS
AND AGENTS WORKTOGETHER BECAUSE THERE WILLALWAYS BE SITUATIONS
WHERE YOUWANT HUMANS TO INTERVENE.AT ALL TIMES YOU WANT
TO KEEPHUMANS AT THE HOME SUPERVISINGWITH THE AGENTS ARE
DOING.WHEN CUSTOMERS HAVE AN ISSUETHAT THE AGENT IS NOT HOW
-- NOTKNOW HOW TO ANSWER, YOU CANSEAMLESSLY HAND OFF TO
ACUSTOMER SERVICE REP USING SALESCLOUD.ROMAINE:
I WANT TO TALK ABOUTTHE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS ANDWHERE IT
GOES NEXT.THIS IS AT LEAST ON THE EDGE OFTHAT HOLY GRAIL OF
WHAT AI WASSUPPOSED TO BE WHEN FOLKS WERETINKERING WITH THIS
IN THE1950’S.BRETT TAYLOR USED TO BE ATSALESFORCE AND HAS
REALLY BEENBANGING THE DRUM ON THIS.ARE YOU WORKING WITH
OPENAI ATALL ON THIS PROJECT OR IS THISINDEPENDENTLY BEING DONE
THANSALESFORCE?CLARA: WE HAVE HAD LARGELANGUAGE MODELS
DEVELOPED BY OURSALES RESEARCH DEVELOPMENT TEAMFOR ALMOST 10
YEARS.WHAT WE ARE HEARING FROMCUSTOMERS AND SEEING IN OUR
OWNBENCHMARKING LEADER BOARDS ISTHE NUMBER OF MODELS THAT
AREAVAILABLE AND THE STACK RANKINGOF MODEL PERFORMANCE ON
LEADERBOARDS IS CONSISTENTLY EVOLVING.AND SO WE PARTNER WITH
OPENAI,WE WORK WITH ANTHROPIC, GOOGLE,AMAZON, WITH ANY
NUMBERINCLUDING OPEN SOURCE MODELSLIKE LLAMA.BECAUSE WE
WANT TO GIVECUSTOMERS CHOICE, AND WE KNOWTHIS IS A RAPIDLY
EVOLVINGLANDSCAPE.CUSTOMERS DO NOT WANT TO LOCKINTO A SINGLE
MODEL OR SINGLEMODEL PROVIDER.AND SO WE GIVE THEM
MODELCHOICE.AND MORE IMPORTANTLY WE GIVETHEM THE
ENTIRE TECHNOLOGY STAFFTHEY NEED TO MAKE THEIR MODELWORK IN
PRODUCTION.THE DATA LAYER, THE TRUST LAYER,THE RELEVANCY OF
THE CUSTOMER360 APPLICATIONS AND INDUSTRYCLOUDS.ROMAINE:
I AM CURIOUS ABOUT THERISK INVOLVED WITH THIS AND HOWMUCH
OF THAT IS FED INTOCOMPANIES YOU JUST MENTIONED.I AM SURE
EXECUTIVES -- I AMSURE YOU KNOW THE EXECUTIVESFROM THESE
COMPANIES WERE AT THEWHITE HOUSE TODAY,
SPECIFICALLYTALKING ABOUT NEED FOR MOREPUBLIC-PRIVATE
PARTNERSHIPS TOENSURE THE ROLLOUT OF PRODUCTSLIKE YOURS
AND OTHER SIMILAR AIPRODUCTS CAN BE DONE IN ARESPONSIBLE
WAY.RESPONSIBLE HONOR ENERGY GRID,WHEN IT COMES TO
NATIONALSECURITY AND ENERGY SECURITY ASWELL.WAS ANYONE AT
SALESFORCE A PARTOF THAT CONVERSATION?CLARA: WE ARE
PROUD TO HAVE BEENENGAGED WITH THE WHITE HOUSE
ANDADMINISTRATIONS FROM AROUND THEWORLD TO BE PART OF
THATDIALOGUE AND MAKE SURE WE AREDOING AI IN A RESPONSIBLE
WAY.IT IS ALSO WHY THE VERY FIRSTFEATURE WE BUILT INTO OUR
AGENTFIRST PLATFORM IS OUR EINSTEINTRUST LAYER WHICH
ENCOMPASSESDATA PRIVACY, DATA SECURITY,ETHICAL GUARDRAILS, AS
WELL ASOBSERVABILITY AND MONITORING TOMAKE SURE THE
AGENTS AREPERFORMING THE WAY THEY ARESUPPOSED TO BE.THAT IS
ABSOLUTELY PARAMOUNT.EVERY INTERACTION THAT EITHER
ANEMPLOYEE OR A CUSTOMER HAS WITHSALESFORCE AI RUNS THROUGH
THEEINSTEIN TRUST LAYER.TRUST IS THE COMPANY’S NUMBERONE
VALUE.JUST LIKE WE HAD TO INTRODUCEAND INVENT A NEW WAY
OF TRUSTWHEN WE INTRODUCED SASSAPPLICATIONS 25 YEARS AGO,
WEARE DOING THE SAME THING NOWWITH AI.SCARLET:
YOU TALKED ABOUT AIAGENTS AS A THIRD WAVE OF THE AIREVELATION.
THE SECOND WAVE IS GENAI, NOWTHE THIRD WAVE IS AUTONOMOUS
AIAGENTS.CAN A COMPANY GO THROUGH NOTGOING THROUGH THE
FIRST WAVE ORSECOND WAVE AND JUMP RIGHT INTOTHE THIRD
WAVE?CLARA: WE ARE SEEING A LOT OFCOMPANIES ADOPT MORE
PRODUCTIVEAI THROUGH GENERATIVE AI AS WELLAS AGENTS.BUT THE
ANSWER IS YES.FOR COMPANIES THAT HAVE MAYBEBEEN BEHIND THE
CURVE ON AI,JUST SO LONG AS THEY HAVE THATTRUSTED DATA,
THEY HAVE THOSEINDUSTRY-SPECIFIC APPLICATIONSWITHOUT, THEY CAN
TURN AGENTFORCE ON AND JUST GO.WE ARE SEEING
REMARKABLERESULTS.BEING ABLE TO DEFLECT 40% MORECUSTOMER
SERVICE CASES THROUGHTHE AGENT FOR HIS AGENT.THIS IS ABOUT
FREEING TIME FORTHEIR EMPLOYEES FOR MOREMEANINGFUL WORK.SCARLET:
CLARA SHIH, CEO OFSALESFORCE AI, THANK YOU SOMUCH.ROMAINE:
STILL AHEAD, SETTINGYOU UP FOR THINGS TOMORROWINCLUDING A BIG
VOTE FOR BOEING.THAT IS COMING UP NEXT ONBLOOMBERG. SCARLET: BOEING IS BRACING FOR
APOTENTIAL STRIKE AS UNIONWORKERS IN SEATTLE FINISH
VOTINGTONIGHT TO ACCEPT THE Julie Johnsson, Bloomberg News TERMS WITHTHE PLAN MAKER.BOEING
SHARES DOWN IN AFTERHOURS TRADING.JULIE JOHNSSON JOINS US
FROMSEATTLE.DO WE HAVE A SENSE OF WHATPEOPLE ARE
ANTICIPATING,EMPLOYEES AND ANALYSTS, ON HOWLIKELY IT IS
THIS DEAL WILLPASS?JULIE: I CANNOT SPEAK FOR THEANALYSTS
BUT THE EMPLOYEES IHAVE TALKED TO TODAY ARE PRETTYCONFIDENT
THIS WILL WIND UP IN ASTRIKE.THAT WOULD KICK IN AT
MIDNIGHTTONIGHT.ROMAINE: WHAT EXACTLY DO THEYWANT?OR LET
ME REPHRASE.WHAT MORE DO THEY WANT?JULIE: JUST REMEMBER,
THISCONTRACT REPLACES AN AGREEMENTTHAT WAS NEGOTIATED IN
2008, SOIT HAS BEEN A LONG TIME SINCEBOEING AND AS UNION HASHED
OUTTHE NITTY-GRITTY OF EVERY ASPECTTHAT GOVERNS THEIR
JOB.THAT IS PROBLEM NUMBER ONE.NUMBER TWO, WORKERS WERE
LOCKEDINTO A LONG-TERM CONTRACT ABOUTA DECADE AGO AND HE PAY
RAISESIN THAT DEAL DID NOT COMEANYWHERE CLOSE TO INFLATION
WHENIT TOOK OFF THIS DECADE.SO PEOPLE WERE PINCHED, AND
THEYWERE REALLY ANGRY ABOUT IT ANDREALLY FEELING LIKE THIS
DOESNOT GO FAR ENOUGH TO DO AWAYWITH THE HURT THAT
THEYEXPERIENCED.SCARLET: HOW MANY UNION MEMBERSARE WE
TALKING ABOUT, HOW BIG OFA SHARE OF THE OVERALL STAFF
ASIT?JULIE: ABOUT 20% OF THECOMPANY’S GLOBAL
WORKFORCE.BUT THIS IS THE HEART OF THEMANUFACTURING FOR THEIR
JETLINERBUSINESS.33,000 PEOPLE HERE IN SEATTLEAND IN OREGON
AND THERE AREOTHER SMALL UNITS AROUND THEWEST COAST.IT IS
REALLY THE SEATTLEMANUFACTURING THAT IS AT STAKEWITH THIS DEAL
AND WITH IT ISBOEING’S FINANCIAL RECOVERY.ROMAINE:
WE HAVE BEEN COVERING ALOT OF THESE LABOR STRIKES
LASTYEARS.PARTICULARLY OVER THE LAST YEAR,YOU WERE DEALING WITH
SITUATIONSWHERE THE WORKERS KIND OF HADTHE UPPER HAND
BECAUSE THEYCOULD POINT TO THOSE COMPANIESAND SAY WE WANT
A PIECE FROMTHAT.WHAT ARE THEY POINTING TO WITHBOEING RIGHT
NOW?JULIE: YES, I THINK THERE IS ALEVEL OF CONCERN HERE ABOUT
THECOMPANY’S LONG-TERM STATUS.HOWEVER, BOEING GAVE IT
CEO A40% RAISE IN MARCH.THAT IS NOT REALLY NOT GOINGOVER WELL,
BY THE WAY.ON THE STREETS TODAY OUTSIDE THE737 FACTORY, PEOPLE
KEPTBRINGING THAT OUT.ROMAINE: WELL, OPTICS CERTAINLYMATTER.WE
WILL CATCH UP WITH YOUTOMORROW TO FIND OUT THE RESULTSOF THAT
VOTE PARTICULARLY IFTHEY GO TO A STRIKE.JULIE JOHNSSON ON THE
GROUND INSEATTLE.BACK IN NEW YORK, WRAPPING IT UPWITH THE
CLOSE.BALANCE OF POWER IS COMING UPNEXT FOR ALL OF YOUR
The close begins ♪ announcer: the countdown is
on. everything you need to get the
edge at the end of the market day. this is "the close." ♪ romaine:
the jitters in the markets continue for another day.
live here from bloomberg headquarters in new york.
i am romaine bostick. alix: and i am alex steele.... Read more
Trade and tariffs, so let's continue the conversation with the former commerce secretary of the u.s., wilbur ross, who served in the trump administration prior to back. he continues as chairman and ceo of ross acquisition corp. great to have you on the program. kind of fitting that the g7 is talking... Read more
Joining us right now to help kick us off
to the close is gil luria, senior software analyst at d.a.
davidson. and we've seen the phones.
we knew they were coming. we knew they weren't going to include
the features immediately. do you think that's going to hamstring
the potential upgrade cycle on the... Read more
Bloomberg: the close announcer: the countdown is on.
everything you need to get the edge at the end of the market
day. this is "the close." ♪ romaine: it's nvidia's world.
we are just all living in it. from studio 2 in new york, i'm
romaine bostick. scarlet: and i am scarlet fu.
alix steel is off for... Read more
We've been closely watching.
lilly is narrowing the gap with novo nordisk.
the sales are coming quite close. i mean, lilly had 1.2 billion in sales
of bound, which only launched a few months ago, and novo nordisk had 1.7
billion in sales of its weight loss drug wegovy, which they reported yesterday.... Read more
They're providing a value for money and
it's something that they've talked about for a while now in their calls.
now, the reason why these are easier to produce is, you know, the fill in finish
capacity to the capacity needed to actually put the drug in the pens and
the capacity needed to manufacture... Read more
They're providing a value for money and
it's something that they've talked about for a while now in their calls.
now, the reason why these are easier to produce is, you know, the fill in finish
capacity to the capacity needed to actually put the drug in the pens and
the capacity needed to manufacture... Read more
The close begins sticking with us on bloomberg
tv, the close is next. >> the countdown is on,
everything you need to get the edge at the end of the market
day. this is "the close." alix: live from studio two in new
york, i'm alix steel. great to have you here with us,
vonnie. we are seeing some market... Read more
I would have to say that they're either
making things up or getting bad information or just trying to pump the
stock price for their own self-interests.
right. the reality is that the numbers that
we're seeing in terms of iphone orders from the supply chain probably indicate
an annual decline on iphone... Read more
I would have to say that they're either
making things up or getting bad information or just trying to pump the
stock price for their own self-interests.
right. the reality is that the numbers that
we're seeing in terms of iphone orders from the supply chain probably indicate
an annual decline on iphone... Read more
The apple tax case.
we start with that. in 2016, the european commission made
this finding. it assessed a $13 billion penalty, which
was basically what it said were unpaid taxes because the irish tax authority
had given these favourable opinions to apple that essentially amounted to
improper state aid.... Read more
The apple tax case.
we start with that. in 2016, the european commission made
this finding. it assessed a $13 billion penalty, which
was basically what it said were unpaid taxes because the irish tax authority
had given these favourable opinions to apple that essentially amounted to
improper state aid.... Read more