How Potential Tropical Cyclone 4 is shifting and forecast for Northeast Florida

Published: Aug 02, 2024 Duration: 00:03:15 Category: News & Politics

Tags : weather florida Jacksonville Potential Tropical Cyclone 4

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THAT THAT PAGE LOT OF GOOD POINTS THAT YOU RAISE THEM THANKS SO MUCH. ERICA IS HERE. >> EXACT TRACK. 40 DETECTS DANGEROUS WEATHER DAYS AHEAD OF TIME. SO YOU CAN MAKE THE RIGHT PLANTS FOR YOUR FAMILY. ♪ >> AS I SAT HERE AND I WAS TALKING IT OUT, IT DIDN'T MAKE ANY SENSE TO ME. MAYBE YOU ARE HEARING THE SAME THING AT 10 O'CLOCK. AND I THOUGHT, WELL, MAYBE IT'S BECAUSE IT'S OVER TOP OF CUBA THAT WE'RE GETTING THE UPDATED 10. IT'S SET FOR 11, BUT THERE WAS SOMETHING STUCK INSIDE OF THE SYSTEM BECAUSE A BARREL WHEN IT WENT THROUGH CENTRAL TIME ZONE. SO THAT'S WHY WE SAW THE 10 O'CLOCK. WE'RE BACK TO OUR REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE. 11 O'CLOCK IS ERE 'LL E AT N. I LL SAY I'LL SHOW YOU COMING UP HERE. >> THE SPAGHETTI PLOTS CONTINUE TO LEAN HEAVILY TO THE WEST. SO I DO THINK THAT WE'RE GOING TO SEE THAT LITTLE BIT MORE OF A SHIFT HERE. AND THAT'S NOT THE BEST NEWS. YOU KNOW, WE'RE ALWAYS THINKING I MOVED TO THE WEST, MOVED TO THE WEST AND IT'S PROLONGING IT OUT OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE WATERS IT DOES MOVE INTO AN AREA THAT'S FAVORABLE THAT COULD LEAD TO FURTHER STRENGTHENING OUTSIDE. HERE WE ARE. 78 DEGREES. TEMPERATURES THAT REACH 91, POSSIBLY 92 HERE THIS AFTERNOON, I SAW 91 AT THE LAST CHECK BEFORE THE STORMS CAME IN AND DROVE THOSE TEMPERATURES DOWN TO 77 DEGREES, WHICH IS HOW WE STARTED THE DAY. LET'S GET BACK TO THE TROPICS HERE. WE'RE TALKING ABOUT THE RAINFALL IN THE IMPACT COMING THROUGH HERE WE GET TO SUNDAY NOTICE. WE'RE AT 11 O'CLOCK AND WE'RE JUST REALLY STARTING TO SEE THE ENCROACHMENT HERE OF THE TROPICAL RAIN. THAT'S ONE OF THE BYPRODUCTS THAT WE SAW EARLIER AS THE PATH SHIFTED THE FIRST TIME AT 5 O'CLOCK TO THE WEST. SO WHAT DOES THAT MEAN? WHAT WE'RE SEEING HERE WITH THE GFS? IT'S THE FASTER THE MODELS, BUT WE'RE BACK TO INLAND AREAS RECEIVING ANYWHERE BETWEEN 2 TO 4 INCHES AVERAGES AND THEN SOME OF THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS COMING THROUGH AT FORTY-SEV D WHERIT SWS DOWN. HERE IS WHERE WE COULD SEE THOSE AREAS TOPPING 7 INCHES. AND AS YOU SEE SHOWING WHAT COULD BE AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL. SO THAT WOULD BE LATE SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY. AND WE COME BACK THAT UP HERE WITH OTHER MODELS THAT AND WHAT THIS ONE IS SHOWING SHOWING THE LIFT THE ENERGY, THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS HERE. SO THOSE ARE GOING TO EQUATE TO SOME REALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COMING THROUGH IN SOME OF THESE PRODUCING WHAT COULD BE 2 AND A HALF TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN PER HOUR. AND THAT'S WHY WE'RE SEEING THESE AMOUNTS. HOLMOE ELEVATED ONCE AGAIN. AND I WILL SAY THAT OUR HOPES HERE AND I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO BE WITH ME ON THIS IS THAT THE GFS IS THE MORE ACCURATE OF WHAT WE'RE SEEING HERE IN THE MODEL UNCERTAINTY BECAUSE IT DOES MOVE FASTER. THEN WHAT WE'RE SEEING HERE IN THIS PARTICULAR ONE THAT IS DRAWING THROUGH AND THAT'S BASED ON THE EURO FOR US THAT ACTUALLY EQUALS MORE RAINFALL COMING. AND I'LL SHOW YOU THAT COMING UP HERE WILL DO MODEL COMPARISON. AND I'M GOING TO TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE WIND, WHICH IS STILL ON THE BACK BURNER WHEN IT COMES TO SOME OF THE DAMAGE THAT COULD COME THROUGH HERE IN THE POTENTIAL, I SHOULD SAY DAMAGE. YOU'LL SEE THAT THE PATH TO DO WITH THE PATS SHIFT. OUR RAIN SHIFT IS ALSO COMPARES TO THE SHOW 60%. IT ACTULY CREAS OM THAT 16 BUILDS INTO WHAT BECOMES THE 100% AS WE GET INTO EARLY MONDAY. AND THEN STARTS TO TANK AFTER THAT AS WE GET TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY, RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE. TEMPERATURES ALL OF THIS IS GOING TO CONTINUE TO MIGRATE UNTIL WE GET THE OVERALL PATH AND THEN EVENTUALLY AS IT GETS OUT OF HERE, THE TYPICAL PATTERN WILL BE THAT REGIME WITH THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TURNING A LITTLE BIT WESTERLY TYPICALLY CLEARING US OUT AND GIVING

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