Iowa State vs. Iowa Rivalry Showdown | CyHawk Trophy Preview & Predictions

[Music] the irrational confidence podcast it is for the coveted the prestigious the amazing s Hawk trophy it is the Iowa State Cyclones going to Iowa to face the Hawkeyes at timer record Iowa is a two and a half Point favorite over under is set only at 35 H fresh H I'm kind of wondering on this one which way should we go there listen I'm going to say this with both these team for us I liked what Iowa state did week one I thought that they played a very conservative game they didn't do anything they got out with a win against the North Dakota fighting Hawks and then Iowa wanted to put up and light up the scoreboard K mcnamer three touchdowns there they just wanted to do it just so they say they could do it Caleb had a real nice game averaging over 10 yards a carry but I don't think either one of these teams showed anything going into week two I thought they kept both of their offenses were very vanilla both have great defenses so again folks yeah we're going to get on their offenses a little bit but these are great defenses on both chords fresh what you got for the shawk well first off we got to add the history in there any time you bra game got throw that back in there Iowa leads all time 47 to 23 Iowa has won eight of the last 10 matchups the only two times Iowa state has won was 10 to7 in 2022 and 20 to 17 in 2014 both those games at Iowa City the same location on Saturday's Fair Iowa state has won 11 times going back to 1998 six of those have come at Iowa so they feel historically more comfortable coming on over to iow Iowa City and playing the Hawkeyes um then playing in ases at home the last time I lost as an AP Top 25 team in this matchup with 2005 and they got smoked 28 to3 by I state so the the trends favor the Hawkeyes for the most part but there is ways that Iowa say can get a w only one team has scored 21 or more points in this game since 2018 and that's when Iowa scored 27 points in 2021 so going back to that over under total and that take the under folks it's you're most likely going to be in great shape there financially um when that comes to back now spoke about last week with the Cyclones they beat North Dakota 21 to3 it was a rough Affair offensively definitely they had to hopefully hopefully they were playing to Super vanilla and didn't want to give anything away to Hawkeyes coming get in this game but if they were putting in some special stuff kind of has to be a worried about the offense ready ready to rock and roll come Saturday afternoon the key though Jaylen noell and J Higgins at wide receiver they've got to create separation we know about the Hawkeye secondary historically they're going to be on them all the time how do these two receivers make plays for Roco back in that offense um and get open and make some big plays down the field at least keep the drives going because Iowa's defense can be locked down you've got to find ways to catch the pass take advantage of the opportunities get off the field and score some touchdowns they did give up 174 yards rushing in North Dakota they kind of has me worried a little bit by the cycleone defense what were they showing were they actually tackling correctly were they just just going through the motion trying to get the game over if that still persists here on Saturday Iowa should have no trouble running the ball down their throat so hopefully Cyclones can clean that up a little bit Iowa put up 40 points they got their ball game you know people are shocked to that offense um can they replicate can K maera and that offense get it going again was it just playing an a solid SCS team or is this a sign of things to come new offensive coordinator new lifeblood in that program uh we're going to find out a lot about both teams in this game because we've seen what Matt Campbell can do at Iowa State when they're underrated nobody pays attention to them and somehow they make charg up radar but still struggles beating Iowa we've seen Iowa play great defense and their offense be terrible both these things have got emergence ball game can Iowa State and Matt Campbell win a big game and can Iowa score points consistently and dominate offensively in this modern ER of college football if those two things come to play We're GNA have a we're gonna have a heck of shootout um but it's going to be an interesting which story is truly going to continue to building a narrative and which is just a mirage of last week and of the previous Seasons um looking at this game I mentioned Rocka Beck the quarterback um Iowa State this is a big chance for him he has a chance to become a legend kind of the same kind of Brock pretty bold manage the game make the throws when you have to on third down don't try to do too much but be reliable Jeremiah Cooper sa safety for the Cyclones you've got to dictate your defense toward this offense be the aggressive team make plays hunt down Kaden nakera watch him like a hawk literally and force a couple turnovers shorten the field we get the team get the momentum for Iowa State try to go in there pull up the upset play loose don't play so up tight on the other side Jay Higgins and Sebastian cter are two elite players of the Iowa defense you have a chance again beating up on little brother lock it down get off the field um are you living up to your All-American stats Jay Higgins are you going to wrap up make you know 20 tackles 15 tackles pass three you got a lot of nods for a great one of the first uh I think third team All-American nods there and first third Team all big 10 as well show up make a play for the Hawkeye defense you don't have to put up 40 points you just got to win the ball game but where's this team GNA be focused at coming in this game in the end I think Iowa State wins 18- 17 in a shocker on Alaska game-winning drive and they go for two to win the ball game fresh here's something that really popped off the page to me and I mean this is like jumped off the page as much as a cyclone Hawk trophy type of thing because that's a unique type of trophy there fresh last week IA ran they ran 71 plays of total offense they ran 71 plays on offense last week the Cyclones ran 48 okay and people be like well all right 21 Iowa put up 40 yeah that's true but in Iowa State game they get let the defense play run 72 plays what that means that they were efficient with their offense or they're just doing three and outs or running there but also says that the Iowa State Defense was a Ben don't break mentality that makes me a little nervous for a football game like that because what I have a feeling is mcnamer Johnson you know you got Lea you got this young kid now Vander Z I like the last name who was the leading receiver last week I love love the unique names kids of freshman are they able to is Iowa gonna rack up like a bunch of yards inside the 20s like are they going to be able to go 20 to 20 but then the minute they hit the red zone Iowa State's defense really suffocates the opposing offense and that's kind of what looks like they did last week they they got off the field when it mattered the most and they didn't let these teams you know yeah they held on to the ball and ran a bunch of plays but you still didn't get into the end zone I think that's going to be a unique thing with it if either one of these teams can develop a Powerhouse level of offense and again I'm G to kind of like fade a little bit to the Iowa side on that one because I like the fact that they have a new offensive coordinator they didn't have KT fence last week uh as he was serving a one game suspension if I recall correctly mhm you got mcnamer who's playing with a big and I mean a big chip on his shoulder I think and then you have a guy like Caleb Johnson you have a guy like Lee who is one of the best tight ends in college football this year you have a lot of things to like the I feel like the ingredients to a great meal like there's the ingredients to a great offense is there at Iowa they have to put it together but I also feel like Iowa state has the ingredients to kind of stop a team like this as well I'm I'm leery about that 35 and the half I think like his they want like history says to take the under in this game and for some reason I think they're going to cross the over on I don't know why I get that feeling I'm going to say that they're going to cross the over not crazy I'm going to go a game like um like a 217 game Mamer or gets a late touchdown pass to Lee to win the game in the fourth quarter to put them up 217 I'm going with Iowa in the game but just just a bit hitting over hey we split this is actually a good sign we're gonna see you know chaos we hav both pick the same team yeah exactly so I love the shawk man I it's one of my like low-key favorite rivalries well it's those Regional rival especially in the midwest where this the literally the only thing in town is this game e you get your basketball game maybe in November or December yeah they're gonna meet in the wrestling matches during you know the winter but this football game everybody sort of gets off you know it's Harvest Time wrapping up your your chores turn the game on it means it means a lot to a lot of people yeah and it's a respectful respected rivalry game out there that it's one of those that if you gave me like every week you get allowed me to choose like a different ticket to go see a game each and every week and said you know whatever one you want to go check out what's like if shawk was one of my options I definitely think it'd be a top like closer to the top of my list of just random games to want to be a part of I mean you meet some cool people drink some beer getat some corn want some football yeah exactly