Republican pollster CANNOT BELIEVE what's happening to Trump & Kamala

Speaker 1: Welcome everybody. Hope you are going  to have a good weekend. We have some really   interesting video to take a look at today. One  of the pollsters that I have never been a fan of,   but I do think occasionally has some interesting  insights. Is Frank Luntz. Frank Luntz has been   widely considered, essentially a mouthpiece  for the right for a long time. But he doesn't   have zero skill as a pollster. And sometimes  it is interesting to get his perspective,   particularly when we know he has some kind of  stake in the game. Well, Frank Luntz appeared on   CNBC earlier this week, and he said he is stunned  by what he is seeing in the reversal in enthusiasm   since Joe Biden stepped aside and Kamala Harris  became the presumptive Democratic nominee. He says   he has never seen anything like this in a 30 day  period within a campaign in his lifetime, in his   entire career doing this. Let's take a listen  to what he had to say. And then let's think.  Speaker 2: About polls in the presidential  race, showing the vice president and Harris   gaining ground in some swing states and even  eroding some of the former President Trump's   lead in Florida. Our next guest says  if the election were held today, she   would win. Joining us right now is pollster and  political strategist Frank Luntz. That's a turn.   It's more than that. That's a plot twist. Her. Speaker 3: She's bringing out people who are not   interested in voting for either Trump or Biden.  So the entire electoral pool has changed. And   if it continues in this direction, you have  to start to consider Democrats winning the   Senate and Democrats winning the House. The actual  people who are participating. She's got intensity   now. She got an intensity advantage. She's got a  demographic advantage. And I haven't seen anything   like this happen in 30 days in my lifetime. Speaker 2: How big is that? That marginal   extra voter that she's bringing in? I  mean, how much does that change the pool?  Speaker 3: 1%. Maybe two. Speaker 2: That's it. But that's enough,   right. And I just ask you, though, about the  veracity, frankly, of the polls right now because   you go back and look and there was interesting  report yesterday showing that if you look at   where Donald Trump was in terms of what the what  the polling showed this back in 2016 undercounted,   you go even in 2020 undercounted. And so, you  know, you start to think about the, you know,   margin of error or situation where maybe  she's up, you know, 1 or 2%. But you know,   is the Trump vote fully counted? Speaker 3: But that's why my process is not   just to do the numbers. It's also to do the focus  groups to listen, to understand why people feel   this way. And now my groups are broken up by young  women saying, I'm not voting for him anymore. Make   no mistake, there are three attributes. Speaker 2: Three component. I think it's   a switch. It's not because you  just said I'm not voting for   them anymore. So you think they were  voting for Donald Trump? They were.   And now they're voting for Harris. Speaker 3: The people who are undecided.  Speaker 2: Have all collapsed towards Harris. Speaker 1: Okay, let's pause it there and   you can find the full interview. And it's  interesting. First point, it is stunning how   fast this turnaround has happened. It hasn't  even been a full month, I don't think. And in   this month we have seen a failed assassination  attempt against Donald Trump already recede   into the background after Joe Biden said I'm not  running support coalescing around Kamala Harris,   with record fundraising and delegate support  being voiced a total reversal in the polls. And   no one's talking about Joe Biden anymore. And the  fact that he stepped aside and it's been about a   month or not even that. So there's two takeaways  here. Number one, things can change very quickly   apparently. And number two, things could still  change very quickly between now and November.   And that's the risk of saying wow the momentum  is behind Kamala Harris. And so that's inevitably   going to be the way this lands. It may not it may  not. Now I want to say one other thing about these   undecided voters. Or sometimes we might call them  sway able voters, gettable voters who are they are   expressing a preference. I will probably vote  for this person, but depending on what happens,   I might change my mind. Very often when I hear  about these undecideds, it really sounds like   cagey Republicans who always vote Republican  and are definitely going to vote Republican.   Although I am still skeptical in general of  how someone could truly be undecided at this   point. If we reframe it to think more about sway  able or gettable voters, it does seem as though   something different is going on, and that the  sort of lack of excitement for either candidate,   while recognizing that Trump's a loser at the  end of the day and not someone you want to be in   business with of any kind, including having him be  president, given the 20 years younger, brighter,   more didactic and, and sort of dynamic. Kamala  Harris said, okay, it's no longer what feels   like a sort of lose lose. And even if they are  independents or center right or whatever, they now   have an option they can. Feel much more strongly  about it. And of course, the political donations   that are flowing in behind Kamala Harris suggest  this is the case. So take him or leave him. As far   as Frank Luntz is concerned, when you hear him  say, I've never seen anything like this in my   lifetime, that is something. And it is something  we're going to continue watching very closely.