Will Saquon Barkley's receiving production take a hit? | Fantasy Football Happy Hour | NFL on NBC

y all right let's jump into tier two headlined by saquon Barkley now a Philadelphia Eagle he's comes in at six on your list Matthew we get to him uh just in front of him Jonathan Taylor Jia Gibbs Derk Henry on the other side of Barkley and then Isaiah Peko Kiren Williams Travis etn Jr coming off a massive workload in Jacksonville last year and then Devon hen who is maybe the highest variance running back on the board um but let's start off Matthew with saquan I think there is some uncertainty here and it mainly revolves around is he going to get goine work for a team that obviously loves the tush push and also is he going to get receiving work which Philadelphia running backs historically have not had with Jaylen Herz and that's the concern right since Jaylen Herz became the starter the Eagles are 28th in the NFL in running back targets right think about DeAndre Swift Last year DeAndre Swift who comes there like that was his whole game prior he went to Philadelphia was he was this great pass catching running back out of the backfield he had a career low Target share last year now they ended up using him you know he got a he got a huge workload and the other argument is he's saquan Barkley he ain't DeAndre Swift right he you know he's not some of the other guys they've they've had there but uh but yes that is a concern Jaylen Herz throughout his career as a starter in Philadelphia has not shown a propensity to dump it off to the running back and so if saquon's not getting a not getting a big Target share like he'll get some because he's saquon and they're paying him a lot of money for a reason but just that's the concern is that does his does his passing game production go down a little bit and then there's concerns to me about his touchdown Equity again because even if Herz doesn't run it as much as he did previously last year and again uh you know and no Jason Kelce on the offensive line that's going to hurt a little bit but uh you know you don't it's just it's a slight concern all that said it's a it's a better offense and it's a better offensive line right he's going to have more opportunities while the receptions are concerned he'll have more opportunities to score uh the football look at this this number right here DeAndre Swift had 14 carries inside the five last season that was 11th in the league saquin only had six carries inside the five last season which was 33rd and that's you know just being on the Giants offense if you go to sequan year before that when the giants made it to the playoffs right saquin had his best year since his Ricky year he had 15 carries inside the five and scor seven touchdowns like that I expect that number to go up so while the receptions may go down a little bit he'll have more opportunities near the goal line yeah with saquan my concern would be and this is from Jacob Gibbs on Twitter in terms of the past three seasons just his tackle avoidance percentage he's been at 12.9% the NFL league average has been 18.4% saquon's in the same range as guys like Jamal Williams and Rashad white and AJ Dylan like I'm just worried that he is not the same guy physically that he was when he came out as a generational running back Prospect so obviously the environment changes he's going to be more efficient just with the Eagles o line uh and just the offense in general but I think there was a little bit of concerns with his age injury history that he might not be the guy that everyone expects it's why he's in he's in tier two and I like you sort of look at the tier two and that's why I like I sort of like going with either a you know one of those first round running backs are waiting a little bit here uh a as well right so you think about think about uh Kieran Williams right so we like uh we like Kieran Williams right but um uh there's concerns about injury right this is somebody who has missed uh five games each of his uh at least five games each of his years in the pros and now there's this weird stuff Lawrence like he's going to be returning punts yeah do you see that from MC and and that sent people online into a frenzy all of a sudden he's he goes from Kyon Williams to people to Darren spros now that's what they see but your former colleague Mike Clay over there at ESPN tweeted something that actually made sense because a lot of people like people are like you know oh man I can't draft Kyon Williams now yes you can this is what Mike Clay said Kyon Williams handled 100% of the Rams punt returns last season weeks one through three in that span he was he played 80% 86% of the offensive snaps do we like that I think we do he saw 19 targets and had 39 carries in that span then he took over only one of those games uh cam Acres had that the game where he went 22 carries 29 after that it was all Kyon Williams right so he's still returning punts this what a lot of people don't understand sh like fantasy aside punt returning you got a trust the guy you put back there do I expect Kyon Williams to return every punt this season absolutely not he may start out you know returning the punts and they like all right we found somebody you know you're back to Ken Williams also too he averaged 21.3 fantasy points per game last year no one else as a running back had more than 18 so just take that into consideration remember we're not drafting him like a top three to five running back like he was last season so we kind of already have the Blake km roll baked into that so what's 60 if he gets 65% of the snaps like we cool with that the positives the positives of the punt return thing is that obviously McVey is not worried about any health concerns that's one of the big knots on on Kiren Williams and and maybe they think that you know they're going to get some quality snaps from Blake Corum so okay if if if KY Williams has to take a handful of snaps to return punts okay that's fine because we've got Korum to uh uh to you know handle that you know to take on a little larger workload here but that's why Kiren Williams despite last year despite the the massive success the massive workload that's why Kiren Williams is in tier 2 as opposed to tier one because just based on the production last year in the expected role this year he would still be tier one but that's that's why he's there um and then the you know the the next guy in in tier two I don't know if we're going to um uh to the let's jump to De let's jump to Deon aan who is I think Matthew the guy the skill position player with maybe the widest range of outcomes this season of anyone where uh if if Raheem Mo gets hurt and Deon Anan assumes closer to bcal responsibility he could be the number one running back in fantasy like that's a a viable outcome and he could also just be in a time share and not be particularly uh enjoyable to management fantasy so where do you sit on Devon hm like you know look he I I I'm in on David Devon hen I I'm actually in on both Dolphins running backs at cost like to your right like what are we doing playing for a second you're right there's a wider range of outcomes with Devon Anan than there are with some of the other running backs but number number one running back in Fantasy is well within the range of outcomes for him as you as you pointed out he's also somebody that can individually win you a week we just we saw that last year multiple times and so getting rid of you know there are health concerns and if we knew for a fact if Mike McDaniel came out and said by the way I'm guaranteeing you guys 17 touches a game for Devon Anan like he's he's going as a top four running back right I mean he's got you know he might right I mean he's right up there so the problem is we just don't know is it going to be 10 get touches the game 12 touches the game or could it be 17 to 19 we just don't know that this is somebody I will say hn is somebody who did get a decent workload at Texas A&M in the SEC and if you go back and watch the film like this is somebody that used to like they it wasn't just all sweeps like they would run him off tackle they would run him between the lines so like he's a tougher guy than you think and so uh I'm I'm in on aan in a big way I just think Elite Talent and uh we saw it on display in flashes last year going to take another step this year and and just real quick Tyreek Hill Jaylen W Braxton beros and Malik Washington those are the four active receivers on the Dolphins right now the other guys are hurt right now but three and a half targets per season last year they've already experimented with putting Devon aan out wide so they will use him in that way as well hey it's Matthew Barry from nbcsports.com and rotoworld.com and I want to thank you so so much for watching whatever it is you just watched or if nothing else being too lazy to click out of the autoplay after this video started after whatever it is you actually wanted to watch finished but now that you're here I'd like to take a moment here to ask you respectfully respectfully now okay I'm asking you respectfully to subscribe to the NFL on NBC YouTube channel you'll get the latest rot to World fantasy news headlines all sorts of great shows including my own fantasy football happy hour so go subscribe now again I'm asking respectfully