13 Players I'm 100% Avoiding in 2024 Fantasy Football

its rude to skip intros I've drafted over a 100 fantasy teams this offseason uh most of them on Underdog fantasy where they are paid leagues and the best part about Underdog is they track your exposure to every single players so the exposure numbers that I'm talking about in this video when I say if 0% exposure I've done about 50 drafts on Underdog some of them are tournament style uh you know where you're entering for $5 the grand prize winner is like $40,000 some of them are just normal $3 drafts but it's a total of about 50 drafts right now so the exposure here is a is a wide volume of drafts for me not to have picked these players at any point last week we did a video highlighting the 10 players that I have the highest exposure to the most percentage of times I've drafted a single player today we're doing the opposite I'm talking through 13 players that I have 0% exposure to I have not drafted a single time and some of these players it was pretty hard to believe that they were actually on this list but I'm going to talk through my thought process I'm going to talk through where they're being drafted in those drafts and why I've been avoiding them up to this point if you missed the video from last week where I talked about my 10 most drafted players we will link that down below make sure you check that out afterwards but today today we're tucking and we are not eating I guess we're going to go position by position here and a top of the list and this was one of the more surprising names on the list was Brock pie the San brock purdy Francisco 49ers QB by all accounts a breakout year last year when I look at the quarterback position as a whole uh these Underdog drafts are one quarterback drafts so you know we're looking for obviously High upside players we're looking for guys that'll kind of break the Slate so I draft a lot of like the Jaylen herz's the Kyler Murray's those types of mid-round players Jared gof for me he's in a tier where it's like Trevor Lawrence and Tua and Jared Goff and Brock pie is the highest drafted one of those guys so when you look at the ADP he's five picks ahead of Trevor Lawrence he is 11 picks ahead of Tua he is 13 picks ahead of Jared gof when I look at the outlooks of all those players I look at good teams I look at a really high floor I look at good weapons around them so I don't necessarily have a preference of Brock pie going ahead of those four quarterback so typically if I'm looking to draft a quarterback in that range the high floor you know good arm good talent good weapon good offense QBs I am just allowing the latest of that tier to drop down to me so Brock was the first geno smith quarterback the second quarterback was Gino Smith and this one was equally surprising because I just I have a a ton of DK metf I have a ton of tile locket I have a ton of Jackson Smith and jiga and typically I'm trying to stack QBs with the weapons in these drafts I think a lot of what this came down to was I haven't really waited on quarterback I'm not going late round quarterback so if you guys are unfamiliar with Underdog fantasy the way it works is it's it's a best ball league which means you don't manage your roster in season you don't make sit start decisions you don't do waiver wire you don't do trades or anything thing you just draft a very big team in the summer so it's 18 rounds with no kickers or defense so it's only skill position players so typically you're drafting two if not three quarterbacks two if not three tight ends you're only starting one quarterback one tight end two running backs three wide receivers and a flex and the way they decide who starts is the software automatically starts each week the best you know three wide receivers that perform that week into your starting lineup so again best ball it's like if you've ever played in golf you play best ball so it's the same way so you are drafting quarterbacks that are quarterback 20 25 29 despite it being a one QB league but with Gino Smith as I said like I'm typically targeting a Jaylen Herz or a momes in the fourth fifth round or a Kyler in the seventh round and then I am usually grabbing my quarterback two that is the latest of the pery Goof Taw even like Caleb Williams is tier at this point and then I'm typically fading the late round quarterbacks because I think there are a lot of high upside players that you can draft at that point in the draft right 16th 17th 18th round where I'm looking at guys like you know the Michael Wilson's or the Jaylen PKS or the or the Tyrone Tracy or guys that I think can break out as rookies or younger players that I think have a lot of upside and i' rather have them than quarterbacks and Gino's you know banged up he's missed a lot of Camp already with multiple injuries he's got a hip injury going on right now so I am I'm okay fading him right now the last quarterback up on russell wilson this list is Russell Wilson now I've been pretty adamant that I'm that I'm high on the steel offense and it's mostly because the offense is very condensed I think it's just going to be George Pickins Pat fouth and then the running backs I think it's those four players pretty much getting the ball on every single play but this is not going to be a high passing volume offense so I don't think Russ is going to have a ton of Statistics behind him I don't really see the upside in drafting a quarterback who's on a short leash like Justin Fields might get on the field this year uh this is going to be a run first offense that only has one real outside weapon in George picking so I'm I'm I'm fading Russell Wilson despite liking the weapons on the team because it is relatively condensed the first running nick chubb back on this list is Nick chub you've heard me Yap about him continuously throughout the summer and I feel really [ __ ] good about where my stance has been all summer because when drafts first started he was an eighth ninth round pick he was going in like the 90s his 80P it's moved all the way back to 128 at this point so you're talking about a 10th 11th round pick and I'm still not even comfortable getting there Nick chub I would I would be surprised if he doesn't start on the pup he's coming back from major major knee inury reconstruction he tore multiple ligaments in there which means you got to have surgery on the first ligament let that repair then get to the ACL so like sure it happened early on in the season but he didn't actually get to repair his ACL until weeks if not months later so this is a long recovery for a player that's turning 29 years old this year I am I feel like people are talking about his upside I'm trying to be more practical here this is the point I need to make with both him and the next player up on this list Jonathan Brooks jonathan brooks fantasy in fantasy football injury Ines are going to find you all right injuries are going to plague your team they're going to plague the entire NFL why are we actively choosing to draft players that are injured why are we going out of our way to say yep you know I know injuries are going to hit my other guys but let me just [ __ ] take an injured guy also like there's no reason for fake injury optimism stop drafting players that you already know are injured we already know they're [ __ ] injured stop drafting them all right so Nick chub is there Jonathan Brooks is there Jonathan Brooks another dude who's now finally started to actively fall down draft boards because the Panthers came out and said he probably won't be ready until week three or four which probably points to him also being on the pup list he is a a torn ACL victim in late November had surgery early December uh a rookie 20 years old in a bad offense right now not a lot of scoring upside no reason to rush this kid whatsoever uh I don't expect a Major Impact from Brooks this year at all so again these guys both have to drop down dramatically in the ADP for me to even look their way so all this like hypothetical the retical upside they have I think where they're going in drafts one should be pushed down further but is where they should be going in drafts the market is the market is the market stop drafting injured [ __ ] players and stop drafting Devin devin singletary Singletary when I look at Deon single ter the Giants signed him to be like their you know their top running back but the situation there's just no upside here he's going around those picks where it's like Tony poer Chase Brown Zach moss and I'd like i' take those guys over him a million times over the Giants offense has so little upside it's a very bad offensive line he's not good enough to hold off players of like Tyrone Tracy's talent for the entire season all right so Tyrone Tracy is one of my favorite sleepers people making a mockery of Eric gray after the first preseason game Eric Gray's fine he's mid he's he is what he is he's whatever he'll make the roster probably but he was doing the preseason week one shenan against like third string defensive players so uh I think it's Tyrone Tracy open season on on Devon Singletary it's just there's just no upside in that situation so I am I am out on Devin single ter I am also out on gus edwards Gus Edwards he is the last running back on this list also going in that same range where you're picking between him and you're picking between the chase Browns and the Zach mosses and Taj Spears and uh you know maybe Tony Pard like I would 1,00% rather have those guys like Gus Edwards is just a very uninspiring pick to me he has missed like all of training camp so far with some undisclosed injury I don't know what's going on in La like they don't have any running backs healthy I don't think he's practiced JK doin is barely practicing kamani Vidal is not practicing like I don't know who is going to be the running back there this is the first time Gus Edwards one he's he's old now okay and he's had a lot of wear and tear he's had Scar Tissue build up uh on his lower body because he's had some serious injuries over the last few years this is the first time he's not going to be running behind Lamar Jackson everybody is crazy efficient behind Lamar Jackson Everybody Plays well behind Lamar Jackson he is now in La behind a hobble Justin Herbert who's dealing with a planter fasciitis injury that's going to linger All Season Gus Edwards is not a big playmaker he's not breaking off chunk plays uh he doesn't catch passes I don't think this offense will run a lot of plays I think they'll be relatively slow I don't think they're going to be high scoring this feels like the most obvious like stay away you're going to be doing a million sit start decisions like should I start Gus Edwards as my second Flex this year and then everyone's just going to be like oh well he's got a 40% chance to score a touchdown and probably 40 yards this week so just just just stay away from Gus Edwards and I just want to throw this out there if you're not drafting on Underdog you're missing a huge opportunity to get ready for your home leagues because you do a bunch of these drafts and then these picks become muscle memory I know that I'm fading certain players at certain picks but because I do so many of these drafts if I see them fall to the third fourth round whatever I know they're an auto pick there I might not like them here but I love them here and I get that practice on Underdog fantasy so if you want to start drafting high volume teams and start to see your exposure to players the easiest way to do that actually the only way to do it in the industry is on Underdog fantasy the best part about signing up on Underdog fantasy is when you use our code bdge deposit 10 bucks you're going to get a deposit bonus up to $250 depending on how much you drop on the platform you'll be able to do drafts with us all summer we're dropping links in the Discord to draft with us everybody in the office Etc plus you are getting our fans FY football draft guide absolutely free when you deposit on Underdog fantasy all right so if nothing else you get the draft guide you get a free square of Lamar Jackson half a passing yard in week one you get to track your exposure you get to do baseball drafts you get to stay on top and prep throughout the entire summer on Underdog fantasy Go download the app and I'll see you on drake london there moving over to the wide receiver position and the moment you have all been waiting for based on the thumbnail most likely this one kind of blew blew the breaks off here okay I have drafted Drake London of my Atlanta Falcons zero times this year or let me let me dive into this a little bit because a lot of you guys are gonna be like whatever okay on Underdog fantasy you need to take him at the onew turn if you are the the 202 or the 203 you can't get him past that his ADP right now is like 14.5 he is the 14th pick right now overall in fantasy football that is crazy if is a late second round pick in your home leagues if you're like a normal person that does normal leagues where you're drafting on ESPN or Yahoo or NFL or whatever Drake London's gonna end up being a late second maybe even third round pick I love that for you all right I'm happy for you I think that is a great pick I think he will be a good fantasy football player for you but drafting him at the turn ahead of guys like Jonathan Taylor even sequan who I you know I'm not that high on taking him above those guys taking him at the very top of that like second wide receiver tier to me is crazy all right he's obviously not proven it as an NFL player he's been good he's been a good route Runner he's you know top 900 yards twice in a row in an absolutely anemic offense where he's getting uncatchable targets I understand that my issue is like the Falcons are are paper Champions right now everybody just assumes all these moving puzzle pieces are going to fit perfectly everyone also assumes like Kirk Cousins we have this recency bias towards what Kirk Cousins did last year in the first eight games of the Season he was throwing the ball like 40 times a game and I think now that we saw that we're just assuming that Kirt cousins is this wildly high volume passing quarterback because of the eight games in last year when the Vikings had a terrible defense and needed to throw the ball a million times over what is more likely in Atlanta this year they're going to run the offense through a 36y old quarterback coming off a Tor Achilles no one's talking about the torn Achilles by the way either like no one's actually factoring that into anything I feel like in Atlanta just all systems go for him what is more likely them running it through him in a brand new offense with a brand new uh weapons group with a brand new coach and system and scheme and all this [ __ ] or through their 22-year old top 10 pick running back I know everyone thinks there's going to be such a high volume passing offense we don't really even have the weapons to support that we have Drake London and we have Kyle pittz I don't even I don't I'm not sold that Kyle pits is even a good NFL player to be honest with you so I I think the entire offense is going to run through bejan Robinson is going to run through even Tyler air will probably get a decent amount of work the the Drake London ADP is crazy to me 14th overall pick 15th overall pick I can't get on board with it I think he'll be a good fantasy football player I don't think he's necessarily going to lose you your league or anything but where you're taking him you need him to be a fantasy breaking type player okay so I'll will Echo this again if late second third round pick fine with it if you're taking him at the one-w turn you will be making a mistake next up we got J Williams jameson williams Detroit Lions wide receiver I really have nothing against Jameson Williams everything this offseason has been really really positive the reports out of Camp have been really really positive for him uh they have no competition at the wide receiver 3 four five spot for him either this is going to be a run first offense their defense has really improved so I don't think they're going to have to take a ton of shots downfield I don't think they're going to have to really ever play in catchup mode but more realistically the reason I don't take a lot of Jameson Williams is because when you look at all the picks around him when you look at the ADP the three guys ahead of Jameson Williams are James Connor Aaron Jones Rand Dre Stevenson the guys right underneath him Naji Harris Jake Ferguson Jordan Addison Jaylen Warren so when I try to think of this from a practical team building or practical statistical point of view what I see is this like look at James Connor Aaron Jones Naji Harris Jaylen Warren even zamir white down there if any of those running backs went over a th yards from scrimmage caught 40 passes scored seven to eight touchdowns I think that would be almost that's almost expected of those guys if Jameson Williams were to were to top a thousand receiving yards and score seven to eight touchdowns that would be considered an incredibly like massive breakout year for Jameson Williams considering he's done almost nothing up to this point so I think because again on Underdog wide receivers get pushed up the board pretty dramatically because you start three of them and then you have a flex so realistically you could start four of them so you could draft you know seven or eight and it just takes the four best each week and I get it it makes sense but like when you look at guys that could potentially be you know rb1s top 10 top 12 guys relative to Jameson Williams who ceiling is probably capped at like wide receiver 25 I don't even think there's an argument to make on the opposite side of this so like again I don't have anything against Jameson Williams like maybe in your home League he drops like the 12 13th 14th round totally fine with that but I'm not taking him above these you know Workhorse running backs in offenses that I think could score a lot of points romeo doubs number 10 this is probably the guy I'm most nervous having on this list and it is Romeo dobs of the Green Bay Packers dos is someone I probably need to be drafting a little bit more of uh he's just seemingly the most boring pick in that Packers receiver group although it does seem like he's probably going to run the most routes and and have the most snaps and perform pretty well again I just find myself drafting guys like Brian Robinson Jr ahead of him who's going behind him and and and players like that more often but I I don't feel great about having zero % exposure to Romeo dobs If I'm if I'm being uh completely honest with you here but I do feel great about having 0% exposure to gabe davis Gabe Davis just because I want nothing to do with uh with big Gabe he's going to run a lot of routes this year and he's going to have a lot of playing time but I one I just don't think he's that good of a player and two I think he's going to fall behind Brian Thomas Jr in the pecking order for targets very very quickly so I don't really want the what I think would be the fifth option in this offense behind Kirk btj Evan Ingram Travis etn here so I'm fine not having Gabe obviously I'm going to miss out on some some pretty big weeks I'm assuming but like overall Gabe Davis is not a dude that I'm kicking myself for not having and I tweeted this list out as we get to the tight ends the player I got the most push back on for sure was having 0% Brock Bowers everybody's like he's a generational tight end all this [ __ ] all that [ __ ] I don't give a [ __ ] brock bowers you have a rookie tight end who is splitting snaps with a top 35 pick tight end from a year ago with a bottom 10 quarterback in the NFL this is going to be a slow run first defensive first low upside offense with a Bonafide Superstar wide receiver and a really good wide receiver too in jacobe Meyers like I get the appeal of The Upside in talent and how they're going to use him all over the formation it's just not for me in 2024 I if I miss out on him this year I am fine because he's going you're picking between in joku and Brock Bowers and there are guys like Goddard and Pat fouth who I would take above Brock Bowers I just don't think people are being practical about the situation and him being a rookie tight end splitting snaps in a low passing offense like how many [ __ ] passing touchdowns is Garner mchu and AO Connell gonna throw for this year if Vegas had lines on it right now the the combination of those two it wouldn't be higher than like like Bo Knicks is at 16 and a half for the year okay those two together wouldn't be much higher they'd probably be at like 17 and a half or 18 and a half now you're splitting that between probably the single best goal line Red Zone pass catcher in the NFL in Dev Adams you're splitting that with jacobe Myers you're splitting that with zamir white on the goal line you're splitting that with Michael Mayer Who is a very big good pass catching tight end in contested situations like Brock Bower is probably going to score like three or four touchdowns this year okay I'm I'm good on that I'm fa to pass I'm going to pass ben sinnot the blunt to Ben sinat or Ben sinate however you say his name Ben sin is the other one the last one on this list that I have a 0% exposure to he started the summer as like the tight end 18 in Underdog drafts and I get it a lot of like rookie people and and Dynasty people per se are the ones that go right into Underdog and they're the ones that set up the ADP from the beginning but this is one of the most egregious adps I've seen in a long time he has moved significantly down the board uh but here's the thing like I know no one wants to hear this Zack Herz is probably going to be the top pass catching tight end in this offense I don't care what Ben inett did in week one of the preseason against backup defensive players without the starting line up in Washington that means nothing to me Zack Herz is probably going to be the top pass catcher at the tight end position in this offense do you remember when Zack her was in Arizona playing over Trey McBride do you remember who the [ __ ] dude calling the plays was yeah it was Cliff kingsberry do you know who's in Washington Cliff kingsberry he brought Zack hers over to annoy the [ __ ] out of us with another talented rookie tight end Ben son's gonna catch 34 balls for 311 yards and score two touchdowns if you want that on your fantasy team I'm proud of you I'm happy for you it ain't going to be me though and those are the 13 players that I have 0% exposure to I know you guys are going to yell at me in the comments so I can't wait to see how I'm wrong and everybody on here is a generational talent and everybody here is uh is a League winner in fantasy football this year my favorite time of the year when everything I say is wrong and everything you say is right and it's just you know it's beautiful it's summer it's time for me to say goodbye and give you smoochies m [Music]