WNBA Picks Today 9/3/2024 | FREE WNBA Best Bets, Predictions, and Player Props!

welcome back to the channel into another WNBA video we got a four game slate to dive into for Tuesday September 3rd and I hope everybody had a great Labor Day weekend hope you guys are able to kick back and relax and enjoy some time with friends and family um but hey relaxation time is over like I said we' got a four game slate to dive into plenty of opportunity for us to get some cash so we're going to go over each of those games we'll break them down and analyze them uh we'll talk about which way that I'm leaning as far as the points and the spread we'll also talk about any player props that I found for those games that I like and then any picks that I put in officially myself I'm going to list down there in that pin comment so make sure you check back in that way you can see if you'd like to ride along with me but before we get into these games to go over what we took on Sunday um how that all ended up going down man I took the sun plus the one point and we do cash on that one they win that game outright and then we took Courtney Williams of The Links over 15 and a half points plus assist and we do cash on that as well took the fever laying three points it was another cash then took Kelsey Mitchell over 19 1 12 points she clears this one by mile man she finishes with a season High I think it was 33 it might have been 34 um but definitely over that 19 and a half points there we do cash on that one um then we took a same game parlay the Aces and the Mercury a full game under 174 a half and combine that with the Mercury plus eight points and we do not cash on that one because the Mercury just came out completely flat again man they lose that one I think by 18 um you know anybody watching these videos man if I roll with the aces it ain't no go man if I fade the aces it still ain't no go man I don't know why I'm touching any game with the aces uh maybe I'll learn my lesson right probably not um but anyways took rakia Jackson of the Sparks also over 17 and a half points plus rebounds and wouldn't you know she lands right at 17 so we lose that one on the hook um five- one man would have sounded really good right we'll take four- two though man can't be mad at a profit uh we do end up cashing on the day so um like I said four and two on the day but we got these four games to dive into so let's not waste any more time man the first game that we're looking at is going to be the Seattle Storm versus the Connecticut Sun now the sun are laying 2 and 1 half in this one we have a over under sitting at 160 A2 this is another one of those runit back games here in the W right these two they just met on Sunday it was a 93 to 86 Connecticut win uh these two have split their first two meetings so far with the storm winning by 11 in their first meeting back in June uh these two are running in different directions since the return from the break the Sun have looked like one of the top teams in the W in that addition of Marina mabery has this offense humming man and this defense is still one of if not the best in the league uh they've now won six of their last eight uh Tiffany Mitchell is listed as a game time decision for Connecticut and it feels like it's been that way for like a week or maybe two weeks now at this point um it's just listed as an illness and I can't find any more info on this no matter how much I try to dig in no matter where I look just not seeing any anything new or any more info period it's just game time decision illness that's all I can find anywhere so I'm not sure what's going on there but I'm going to assume that something's up here man and she's not going to be here for this one as well um the storm on their end are just two and five since the break they failed to cover in nine straight games now dating back before the break um they're struggling on the offensive end in these last seven games specifically shooting just under 42% from the field that's second to last overall and just 26% from Deep that's last in the W they are last in rebounds they're last in assists they are scoring mostly out of the paint hitting from the restricted area at 65% that's fifth in the W but they're tied for second as far as points in the paint um over these last seven games they have ranked first overall in points scored off of turnovers and they're tied with this sun team for the most forced turnovers despite this they have struggled on that end as well defensively um you know just struggling to consistently get stops they're ranking just ninth in defensive rating uh they're giving the third highest shooting percentage and the highest percentage overall from deep and that's all good for 85 points per game allowed that's also the third highest overall son in their last eight games since returning from the break they're giving up the fewest made field goals overall at the fourth lowest shooting percentage and they are allowing the third lowest shooting percentage from Deep uh they're allowing the third fewest points in the paint and the fifth fewest points off turnovers while ranking first themselves in point scored off of turnovers fast break points and points in the paintt they are shooting 4 4% from the field in this time which is middle of the pack at six but they continue to improve on those numbers from three-point L man they're sitting at Fourth um in three-point shooting percentage so I'm going to lean Connecticut here at home with this Short Line uh this might be a money line spot for the Sun for me uh even though it's a little Juiced at minus 142 currently but I can't trust the Seattle Team especially on the road where they are just seven and eight uh taking on a sun team that sits at 13 and3 at home so give me Connecticut here and then for the total I'm going to over but I'll be looking at the sun team total over 81 A2 most likely before I look at that full game they just crushed this line with 93 points in Sunday or on Sunday against Seattle and me personally I don't see Seattle making enough adjustments to all of a sudden in a matter of what a days of rest uh be able to come back out and hold this Connecticut team to 12 less points on the road uh than they did against this exact same team in the exact same place so I'm going to lean over full game and then I'm also leaning the Sun team total over 81 A2 let's pop over here to outlier we got Marina ma her points over 13 A2 now look man what I've cashed on I think three in a row for Marina mabery her points over it might be it might be four man riding this one till the wheels fall off y'all um look she has popped over here to this sun team and it's done numbers for her she was you know look she was a scorer on Chicago she was their second leading scorer um she might I think she's leading Connecticut in scoring now I'm in her time over there or she might be second on here as well but um definitely definitely getting the points in and cashing on these overs I can't believe that the books still have her at 13 and A2 they bumped it up to 14 and A2 uh the other day but we cashed on that one as well um but in her last five she's hit over this number at a 100% rate averaging 18 points per game in those five games and if we push it back a little bit further to her last 10 she's still hitting at a 80% rate right I me if we look at their head-to-head um she has hit in the last two against the attle as well um in that game that we just saw on Sunday as well she hit it for 15 points and then if we look at Seattle against guard specifically they do rank just fifth in points allowed um so like I said man Marina Mary I mean if we look down here her last five her last 10 her last 20 on the year um even last year she's just all green you know she's a scorer man so like I said it's it's surprising to me that the books have this still down at uh 13 and 1 12 points we can catch it at minus 114 odds too we're not even juicing it so look what am I missing you know is this a trap that I'm falling into I don't know but like like I said we have cashed this now multiple times in a row so riding it till the wheels fall off guys um most likely you could see this one down in the pin comment later I would be very surprised if I don't end up rolling with this one then the next game we're looking at is going to be the Washington Mystics taking on the Dallas wings and the wings are laying four and a half and we have over under sitting at 1702 the mystics are going to be on the road here they have a one-day rest Advantage coming into this one off of a loss to the Sun at home in their last time out they've won three straight prior to that one but those wins came against the struggling Chicago Sky the Seattle Storm and the LA Sparks um so not sure how much stock we can put into those victories in that little three-game win streak right there Shakira Austin is going to miss another game here with an anchor injury and man that's been the story of the season for Washington right uh no time to Jael as a unit players are in and out of the lineup and then in and out again uh it's just been a mess uh for the for the entirety of the Season just injury-wise for Washington they've been one of the most disappointing teams on the years and you can attribute that really to the injuries that's the major factor for them uh the wings are on the last game of a five-game home stand and they've gone three and one through the first four games that started with a come from behind win over the Sparks which they outscored La 40-8 in the final quarter to win that one by three uh they followed that up with wins over the Aces and the links and they held four-point lead in the fourth quarter over the fever on Sunday but ultimately couldn't hang on they were outscored by Indiana 30 to 19 in that final period for their first loss in those four games so Dallas has been playing good ball man um look they've been one of the worst teams in the W for much of the season I and much like Washington injuries have hit them extremely hard as well but they are finally healthy maybe it's a little you know too little too late but they are two games back from the final playoff spot with eight games remaining so win out or you know get close to it and they may have a fighting chance here so Dallas does have something to play for if we look at their schedule man after this they go on the road to face the dream and then the sky so three straight games against the teams that are directly above them in the standings as the mystics are right there as well in the mix so Dallas definitely has something to play for here and definitely has the momentum to where they could make a push for that final playoff spot as crazy as that sounds cuz like I said they've been one of the worst teams throughout the course of the season um but you you know like I said also definitely because of injuries so you know this is a very talented team uh top the bottom so let's dive into it a little bit more man over their last five they have been one of the top offensive units in the W um in this time they are making the most shots per game um and shooting at the second highest percentage only 2/10 of a percentage lower than first place Vegas they are scoring just under 93 points per game that's good for first overall uh they have an offensive rating in this time of 113.9 also first in the w the thing is they are out here running around like they're the 06 Phoenix Suns man they're just simply trying to outscore you as they are still playing zero defense even with the returns of uh you know everybody that was out with injury um for their last five their defensive rating is sitting at 110 uh that's last in the W which is where they sit for the full season as well so Dallas is giving up the fourth highest three-point shooting percentage and the highest shooting percentage overall in this uh in these previous five games and that's all leading to them allowing the 91 points per game that is the highest in the W so offensively man they're rolling defensively they're just hanging on by a thread still so the thing is though the mystics have struggled offensively for much of the year and then in their last five they are scoring just 78 points per game that's ranking or they're ranking seventh in three-point shooting percentage and eighth overall in shooting percentage so the mystics are turning the ball over at a higher clip than Dallas as well they're giving up the third most points off turnovers while Dallas is allowing the second Fest so I'm going to lean Dallas here for the win but even as well as they've played offensively as of late and the inconsistencies from Washington I'm not sure I'm comfy laying four and a half points with them in their last 10 they've only covered that number twice looking at the mystics they've only covered that line in their last 10 four times but three of those have come within the last four games so I could definitely see this one being a closer game that Dallas like EES out a victory in right um if the money line wasn't sitting I think it's it's close to 200 I think minus 190 minus 195 for Dallas so you know that if we could get that a little bit lower I would love to go there but uh just way too Juiced and like I said man I just I'm not sure I can get behind Dallas and four and a half points right now um but we do got to keep in mind this is a double Revenge spot for Dallas as well and they are at home so you know like I said if I got a pick here I'm going to pick uh Dallas that's where I'm going to lean but I'm not sure that I make it all the way there with that one personally uh for the total I'm going to look at the over here and I probably wouldn't mind looking at either team's team total over as well um but in that regard I do like Dallas's line more sitting at 87 and a half they've crushed this line in six of their last eight hitting at 91 or over in each of those six and then those two that landed under that happened to be against the liberty and their Elite defense so um Washington definitely isn't rolling out a defense that uh you know can compete with the with the Liberty here so uh I like Dallas's chances of getting 88 points in this game I might like that more than the spread or the full game total even if we pop back over here to outlier man a player prop that I'm looking at would be arque Goa W her rebounds and assists over 10 and a half we can catch this at plus money right now as well and if we look down here man she has hit this in five of her last six games at home now some of these we are creeping right at that number right she's hitting at 11 um so it's close it's close but five of her last six games she's averaging 10.7 rebounds and assists in that time hitting at a 83% rate and if we look at in her last five she smacked that at a 100% rate right and then if we look at it in the last 10 push it back a little bit further she's still smacking that at a 80% clip uh so you love to see it man and then looking at Washington against guard specifically they do rank just seventh in rebounds and assists allowed um so over 10 and a half at plus 112 like I said she is getting pretty close here so there is a little bit of a risk but for plus money it's definitely something that I got my eyes on our next game is going to be the Chicago Sky taking on on the Las Vegas Aces now the aces are laying 11 and 1/2 we have a over under sitting at 1632 and here we are back to breaking down another game of who's become my sports betting arch nemesis the Las Vegas Aces look in all seriousness they have some real talent over there I do enjoy watching them play when they're rolling man like we've seen at different points of the season but man I just can't personally seem to get on the right side of any of their games um I'll back them and back them and back them with no damn luck and then I'll fade them and they come out looking like the best team that's ever stepped foot on a WNBA court so I don't know man with that said after losing four or five they have since won three of their last four they're home here before a tough four game Road Trip that sees them play the Sun the liberty and then the fever twice so potential look ahead spot here but in my opinion you know this is one that they can't afford to come out flat like they have at times over the year so this is this is one that they need to get right they're sitting at fourth in the standings any further slide in the standings will put them on the road starting out the playoffs one would think that they would want to maintain Home homecourt Advantage for the first round at the least um so yeah this looks like one you know with the upcoming four game road trip this is one that you would think that they would want to get um it's it's the aces though man what team are we going to catch today man I who knows Vegas will be without Chelsea Gray in this one She's suffering from a hip injury for Chicago Kennedy Carter is still listed out with Co as well um Chicago has struggled since the return from the break and post Marina May trade they're going just 1 in seven in that time uh sliding down the standings in the process currently Clinging On to the eighth and final spot but they're tied with the dream at 11 and 21 um so I mean in all honesty they need this one too uh they've lost six straight offensively they've Fallen apart during this losing skid man they are hitting the fewest threes and fewest shots overall shooting at the fourth lowest percentage from Deep the second lowest overall they do Remain the top rebounding and offensive rebounding team in the W on the year in these last six despite the struggles elsewhere look the combo of cardoso and Rees have turned this team into a low post presence for sure they feed off of each other they clean up after each other on the offensive glass frequently uh it's it's nice man most of these teams in the W they don't have enough bigs to rotate in and out to keep up with the height that these two bring you know you got cardoso at 67 Reese at 6'4 know those are it's like twin towers down here right for the WNBA yeah it's cool um but like I said you know most of these teams they don't have the depth to keep up with that um and then you know considering that they're both rookies like man the future is bright in Chicago right uh those of you that follow these videos you all know that I'm a huge Co copper fan right from Phoenix uh but I'm realizing I failed to express how big of a fan of angels I've become uh Angel Reese dude like I love how she plays this game guys I really do um you know more so than like I like how she plays the game more so than like men women college ball just whatever it may be like the passion that she brings to the floor each time she steps out is pretty unmatched um by anyone in my opinion the energy that she plays with it's undeniable and man like what a forest on the glass she is already at such a young stage of her career uh look in my opinion This Woman's got the potential to average 20 plus rebounds a game as she gets stronger and just more acclimated with the league in general um she's going to be a man she going to be a force and then like I said combine that with cardoso who's also a rookie and then you got Kennedy Carter when she comes back and she could just light it up from the outside like Chicago's got some good stuff going on man they've got some good stuff going on for sure for the future um but with all that said the guy just don't have the depth or Talent at the moment to keep up with Vegas for a full 40 minutes so I'll lean the aces in this one but you could probably guess it ain't no way I'm laying in 11 and a half uh I'm not laying 11 and a half with Vegas personally no matter how good that they've looked in the last few games you know as soon as I put my play on this they're going to come out and drop 65 and lose by 20 so um yeah I'm going to lean Vegas I'm not playing it myself um if you do best of luck man best of luck I truly mean that um I do however though I really really in this one I like the sky in the first quarter and I'll explain why man in their last five they have covered this three and a half point line that they are catching uh four of the last five for a 80% rate um head-to-head with Vegas on the year they have not only covered this three and a half points that they're catching they've won each of those three first quarters outright um Chicago Has Talent man they are big in the post like I said and they can frustrate the opposition in the paint Asia pulled in 18 points against the uh or 18 boards against the sky in that last outing um it was pretty recently here too um she hit the game-winning shot against them at the buzzer as well but she struggled throughout that game um shooting just eight of 28 so like I said I'm going to lean Vegas full game but I'll most likely play Chicago in the first quarter catching the three and a half points and then for the total I'm looking at the under man Chicago has taken a huge slide offensively and then without Carter again in this one I can't see that changing too much over the course of a full 40 minutes uh Vegas is also hitting the under or hitting under this Mark this line specifically at a 60% rate in their last five uh failing to even hit 80 points in two of those games um and then the two that they went over this Mark were against the Mercury who have struggled on defense throughout the year and then the wings who we talked about earlier they're rolling out the worst defense in the W uh Chicago for all it struggles they can lock up on D more so than Phoenix and Dallas for sure and they should make things tough on Vegas on that end of the floor at least uh the last meeting between these two was a low-scoring physical playoff environment type and with both teams still fighting for playoff position or just to get in Period like Chicago is I could definitely see more of the same here if we jump back over here at outlier we got Angel Reese her rebounds over 13 and a half now guys if you are not on to outlier make sure you check down in the description we're going to have a link that you can click into it's going to give you a free 7-Day trial that you can try this out for yourself and then at the end of that free 7-Day trial man you can decide for yourself if you'd like to keep this or not and chances are I bet that you will man there's so many different ways that you can filter this down to you're liking to find exactly what you were looking for and just kind of condenses all the information into one spot for you so you're not bouncing around between what four five six seven different websites uh trying to find this information but like I said man looking at Angel Reese in this one her rebounds over 13 A2 um we just talked about you know how much of a rebounding prow she is and you that's a high number right that's a high number but if we look down here she's she's eclipsed that in 80% of her last five games um that one game that she went under was against Indiana and she still got 11 boards it's not like she's not on the glass man so she gets her opportunities for sure um then her last 10 push it back a little bit further she's still hitting at a 70% rate um then head-to-head um yeah only 33% but we look at her against Vegas in this last game right those other two were uh before the break like I said still in the double digits it's not like she's not on the glass right and then this last game what sitting at 22 that was in a stretch where she had three games in a row of 20 plus rebounds um man just just killing it on the glass like I talked about already but when we look at this inside from outlier um Angel ree has exceeded this 13 and a half uh rebound Mark and four of her last five when we look at her against defenses ranking in the bottom five for rebounds allowed she's actually averaging 17 boards in those games hitting at a 80% rate as well in those and if we look at the aces overall for rebounds allowed they're 10th if we look at them specifically against Fords dead last where's Angel ree you know she's playing forward man so not a good look man like I said giving up the most rebounds allowed and we got the rebounding leader coming into town I like our chances here with Andrew Reese over 13 and 1 half boards all right guys and last but not least we have the Atlanta Dream taking on the Phoenix Mercury now the Mercury are catching one point in this one the dream are actually favored by one it was swapped man the line has since moved um the over under for this one is sitting at 158 a half now I I do believe this line moved um because of the injuries and suspensions which we're going to get to here in a minute the dream will come into this one um off of an 18-point win over the Sparks on Sunday they snapped a four game losing streak a win here and a Chicago loss to Vegas would put them in the driver seat for that eighth and final playoff spot so they definitely they got something that they got something they're playing for here man uh this is the last of a four game Road Trip for Atlanta and they're going to be without aerial powers and Cheyenne Parker tias again for this one the Mercury however are in a much worse spot this is where that line movement came into play Becca Allen and Charisma Osborne already down to injury um now Diana terazzi and N Natasha Natasha Cloud they're both out due to suspension as each picked up their seven seventh technicals of the season in that blowout loss to the aces on Sunday uh the Mercury are struggling man they've lost three straight and four of their last five by an average of just over 13 points and that one win in that five game stretch was a two-point victory over this dream team in Atlanta that honestly they almost gave that one up as well they held a seven point lead at the half and then they were outscored by five the rest of the way like I said they they just squeezed out a two-point Victory so with the Revenge factor from that two-point loss to Phoenix in mind at has run for the playoffs and the Mercury's recent struggles and depth severely jeopardized by injury and suspension at play here can't look anyway but Atlanta for this one I don't even really need to dive too deep into this one um I'm leaning Atlanta for sure um for the total I'm also going to lean under man Atlanta's success has been predicated by the play of their defense and the Mercury have just been lost offensively themselves right so while they have struggled on the defensive end throughout the season Atlanta has fielded one of the worst offenses so a lowc scoring grinded out game could definitely be in store for us here with this one now player prop I'm looking at but I'm not sure that I get to it guys this just it's it's already pretty Juiced all right minus 150 but K copper her three-pointers over one and a half now here's the thing man if we look at this in her last five it's not looking too hot right not looking too hot there's more red than we have green here it's not what we want to see but if we look at her head-to-head against the dream she has actually smacked over this number in those three games and if we look at a little that a little bit further man the dream against guards for three-pointers allowed they are just ranking 10th that is giving up the third most in the W so um with the injuries that we see and the suspensions in play for Phoenix they're going to have to get their points somewhere man and you know y'all know I'm a fan of K copper bro and that's because she gets down dude she loves to score the ball man she's aggressive as hell out there at times and I think with nobody else out there really on the offensive side like I said the points got to come from somewhere so I could definitely see her jacking up a lot of shots man and the chances of us getting up over one and a half three-pointers made we just need her to hit two I I like our chances here especially for the fact that like I said against the dream she has hit this number in each of the three games they've played so far and the dream struggle against guards man for three-pointers allowed so it's just that minus 150 that's kind of got me a little hesitant man it's it's a little more juice than I'd like to see but maybe it's something that we use as like a parlay piece um you know I definitely think that K has a chance to get up and over that number there for sure so guys that's going to wrap it up for another video here I hope you guys enjoyed the content I hope you found it helpful and useful and if you did in any kind of way please do not forget to smash that like button down below and please don't forget to hit subscribe as well if you have not already that way you don't miss out on any of the content that we are dropping here on a daily and that's going to do it man I hope everybody has a great day let's start off this week with the bang man hopefully we can cash hopefully we can go for another sweep man it's been a little while since we had one of those maybe a week or so man but it's time for a sweep guys I got the broom over there in the closet hopefully we can break that thing out man the the the desk right here is looking a little Dusty so hopefully we can get a little sweep action going on on it right so let's see what happens man uh like I said hope everyone has a great day best of luck see you on the next video [Music]