Trump vs. Harris: The SHOCKING Polls You NEED to See Before Election Day!

welcome to today's Deep dive into the latest polling in the 2024 US presidential race between former president Donald Trump and vice president kamla Harris as we break down the data we'll explore how these two candidates are fairing both nationally and in key Battleground States what factors are shaping voter opinions and what it could mean as we head toward election day Buckle in because this election is shaping up to be one of the closest and most consequential races in recent history overview of the national polls as of now Comm Harris holds a slight National lead over Donald Trump the polling averages from multiple sources including 538 indicate that Harris has a two three-o Edge a recent poll conducted by IPOs and Reuters for instance showed Harris with 47% of the vote compared to Trump's 42% among registered voters this five-point lead for Harris has grown slightly since earlier polls where the Gap was closer to two four points this is an interesting shift especially since Trump led many of the polls earlier in the year the current lead for Harris has largely been attributed to her strong performance in their recent debates according to post debate polling many voters felt Harris had a better grasp of the issues that affect everyday Americans which has helped swing some undecided voters in her favor however National polls don't tell the whole story especially in the US where the electoral college system means that state-by-state results are what really matter so let's take a closer look at how things are shaking out in key Battleground States States Battleground states where the race is too close to call the 2024 election much like the past few elections is likely to be decided in a handful of Swing States these states have a history of flipping between parties and will be critical for either candidate to win the presidency let's go through some of the most closely contested States and what the latest polls are showing one Georgia Georgia which turned blue for the first time in a presidential election since the 1990s in 2020 remains one of the most important swing States right now Donald Trump is slightly ahead of Harris by a margin of 49% to 45% interestingly despite Trump's narrow lead polls indicate that Harris is viewed more favorably in terms of honesty and caring about the needs of the people 46% of likely voters in Georgia believe Harris understands their problems compared to 48% for Trump however Trump scores slightly higher on perceived leadership which could be helping him maintain that small lead two North Carolina another closely watched Battleground is North Carolina here Harris is actually narrowly leading Trump in a tight race polling at 49% to Trump's 46% North Carolina is an essential state for Trump as it has been a reliable Republican stronghold for years though it did swing narrowly in Biden's favor in 2020 if Harris can hold on to her lead it could spell trouble for Trump's path to 270 electoral votes three Arizona and Florida both Arizona and Florida Florida remain incredibly tight races with Trump holding just a two-point lead in each state in Arizona which flipped to the Democrats in 2020 Trump is fighting to reclaim his Advantage but the margin is Raaz or thin just two points similarly in Florida traditionally a red State Trump's lead is slimmer than many expected and Harris has been performing well among independent voters four Nevada polls also show a dead heat in Nevada with both Harris and Trump neck and neck this state will be crucial as its population growth and shifting demographics have made it less predictable in recent elections factors shaping voter opinions so what's driving these numbers there are several key factors that are influencing voter preferences in 2024 one debate performance one of the pivotal moments in the race so far has been the first debate between Harris and Trump most post-debate polls showed that Harris had the stronger performance with many voters especially Independents saying she came across as more relatable and better equipped to handle key issues like the economy and health care this has provided a boost to Harris especially among undecided voters where she now leads by over seven points among Independents two voter perception of leadership despite Harris gains Trump still pulls better on leadership for many voters especially in swing States like Georgia Trump's time in office is seen as proof of his ability to lead despite the controversy surrounding his presidency this could explain why Trump is outperforming Harris in states where the econom is a top concern as voters there may associate him with economic growth during his term three Independence and third party voters another critical factor in this race is the independent voter block polls indicate that Independents are leaning slightly towards Harris with 49.5% of them saying they would vote for her compared to 41% for Trump however Independents are also the group most likely to consider third party candidates although that number has dropped significantly since RFK Jr exited the race still these voters are pivotal and whichever candidate can secure their support in the final weeks will have a significant Advantage four negative favorability across the board it's worth noting that neither candidate has overwhelmingly positive favorability ratings according to a recent Yuga poll Harris holds a net favorability of three while Trump's remains significantly lower this has created an interesting dynamic as the election is becoming less about voters enthusiastically supporting a candidate and more about voters choosing who they dislike the least this phenomenon could depress turnout in some areas particularly among younger and independent voters the road ahead with just weeks to go until election day it's clear that the 2024 race will come down to a few critical factors first and foremost is voter turnout in many of the key Battleground States the margins are so slim that a small shift in voter participation whether through early voting mail and ballots or election day turnout could swing the state one way or the other addition add Al both candidates will need to focus on winning over undecided voters and maintaining support from their core constituencies for Harris this means doubling down on issues like Health Care economic equity and climate change which resonate with her base for Trump focusing on economic recovery and National Security could help Shore up support among his key demographic groups the debates and campaign strategies in the coming weeks will be crucial in shaping the final outcome as we've seen in past elections polls are just a snapshot of the race at a given moment and things can change dramatically as we get closer to election day in conclusion the 2024 presidential election is still anyone's game while Harris currently holds a small National lead and is competitive in several Battleground States Trump remains strong in key areas like Georgia Florida and Arizona the next few weeks will be critical as both candidates make their final pushes to sway voters and secure a path to the White House that's it for today's analysis of the 20 24 presidential election polls if you enjoyed this video make sure to subscribe for more updates as we follow this historic race to its conclusion thanks for watching welcome to today's Deep dive into the latest polling in the 2024 US presidential race between former president Donald Trump and vice president kamla Harris as we break down the data we'll explore how these two candidates are fairing both nationally and in key Battleground States what factors are shaping voter opinions and what it could mean as we head toward election day Buckle in because this election is shaping up to be one of the closest and most consequential races in recent history overview of the national polls as of now kamla Harris holds a slight National lead over Donald Trump the polling averages from multiple sources including 538 indicate that Harris has a two three-point Edge a recent poll conducted by IPOs and reuter for instance showed Harris with 47% of the vote compared to Trump's 42% among registered voters this five-point lead for Harris has grown slightly since earlier polls where the Gap was closer to two four points this is an interesting shift especially since Trump led many of the polls earlier in the year the current lead for Harris has largely been attributed to her strong performance in their recent debates according to post debate polling many voters felt Harris had a better grasp of the issues that affect everyday Americans which has helped swing some undecided voters in her favor however National polls don't tell the whole story especially in the US where the electoral college system means that state-by-state results are what really matter so let's take a closer look at how things are shaking out in key Battleground States Battleground states where the race is too close to call the 20124 election much like the past few elections is likely to be decided in a handful of Swing States these states have a history of flipping between parties and will be critical for either candidate to win the presidency let's go through some of the most closely contested States and what the latest polls are showing