2024 Presidential Election Map Prediction Based on BETTING ODDS | Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump

hey everyone and welcome back to another presidential election prediction video this time instead of going by polling we are going to be going by betting odds via bet 365 so even though polling did of course have an impact on what the betting odds were we are going to be going specifically by the betting odds and not just like one specific polls but before we go ahead and dive into today's map leave your thoughts and comments below who do you think is going to win the 2024 election do you think that KLA Harris is going to win or do you think that Donald Trump is going to win leave your comments below but let's go ahead and dive right into it and as usual we are going to be starting with California and according to bet 365 KLA Harris does have a 99% chance of winning the state of California so the 54 Electoral College votes are going to be going to her now we're going to be going up to Oregon and Oregon comma Harris has a 97.1% chance of winning and then in Washington KLA Harris has a 98% chance of winning so we're going to be giving the eight Electoral College votes in Oregon to kamla Harris and the 12 Electoral College votes to KLA Harris in Washington as well now we're going to be skipping over to Idaho in Idaho Donald Trump currently has a 98.5% chance to win the state of Idaho then in Montana Trump has a 96.2% chance of winning and then in Wyoming he has a 99.6% implied probability chance of winning in in Wyoming and then in North Dakota he has a 99% implied probability of winning in South Dakota Trump has a 99.8% implied probability of winning in Utah Trump has a 95.2% implied probability of winning so we are going to be giving all those states to Trump that tallies up to 23 in total Harris right now has a 74- 23 lead now we're going to be going down to New Mexico where comma Harris right now has a 83.3% implied probability of chance of winning and then in Colorado KLA Harris has a 95.2% implied probability chance of winning and in Minnesota she also has a huge lead there 92.3% implied probability chance of winning the state in Minnesota in its 10 Electoral College votes so of course at this point Harris does have a 99- 23 lead now we're going to be going to Nebraska Nebraska actually has three District three different districts so in the first congressional district Trump has a 98.5% chance of winning at least according to Nate Silver's projections then in the second congressional district that is Omaha K Harris has a 74.1% chance of winning and then finally fin in the third congressional district Trump has a 99.9% chance of winning then we're going to be going over to Kansas in Kansas Trump has a 97.6% chance of winning the state of Kansas in Oklahoma Trump has a 99% chance of winning and in Texas he has a 90.9% chance of winning in Iowa Trump has a 95.2% chance of winning in Missouri Trump has a 97 6% chance of winning in Arkansas Trump has a 99% chance of winning and then in Louisiana Trump has a 97.6% implied probability chance of winning the state of Louisiana so we have an updated chart there up on the screen you can see the map Trump now has a lead 111-99 now we're going to be going over a few more States in Illinois right now Comm Harris has a big probability chance of winning 9 % Illinois is going to be going to kamla Harris kamla Harris is also going to be taking Hawaii as well at 98% chance of winning that state so you can see the updated map KLA KLA Harris now has a lead 122 to 111 now we're going to be covering a few more states starting out with Indiana Trump has a 98% chance of winning Indiana Trump also has a 92.3% implied probability chance of winning Ohio Trump is also going to be winning Kentucky 99% chance of winning Kentucky he's also going to be taking Tennessee 99.5% chance there in Mississippi Trump also has a 99.5% implied probability chance of winning that state and in Alabama Trump also has a 99.5% implied probability chance of taking the state of Alabama and of course he's also going to be taking Alaska as well at 9 3.3% so right now we can see the updated map on the screen Trump now leads 176 to Harris's 122 but don't worry if you're a fan of KLA Harris she is going to be taking most of those Northeastern states so we're going to be starting out in Maine in Maine they have two different congressional districts in the Congressional District number one KLA Harris has a 98.7% chance of winning at least according to Nate Silver's projections and in the second congressional district Trump does have a better chance at winning that one at 68.4% however Carris is going to be taking most of the Electoral College votes there then in Vermont in Vermont of course KLA Harris is going to be taking Vermont 99.5% chance of taking Vermont then in New Hampshire KLA Harris has a 90.9% implied probability of taking New Hampshire in Massachusetts 99% is going to be going to KLA Harris KLA Harris has a 97.6% implied probability chance of taking Rhode Island in New York she's at 98% in Connecticut she's also at 98% in New Jersey Kay Harris is at 97.1% in Delaware KLA Harris is 97.6% in Maryland she's at 99.5% in Washington DC she is at 99.9% so right now KLA haris has pulled into the lead after we cover all those Northeastern states that are typically going blue Harris is now at 22 to Donald Trump's 177 we have just a handful of States left to cover let's go ahead and move over to West Virginia West Virginia is going to be a red State once again Trump at a 99.5% implied probability South Carolina is also going to be going Trump's way as well at 97.6% implied probability but Virginia is going to be going KLA Harris's way 87.5% implied probability that KLA Harris is going to be taking Virginia however Trump is going to be taking Florida once again Trump and an 87.5% implied probability chance of taking Florida so there's an updated map it is super close 225 to Harris 220 to Trump we still have Nevada Arizona Georgia North Carolina p Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin left all these are going to be going either way pretty much they are considered Battleground States we are going to be starting out with North Carolina though where Trump right now does have a 65.3% implied probability chance of winning so we are going to be giving North Carolina to Trump and in Georgia we are also going to be giving the state of Georgia to Trump as well at a 63.6% implied probability chance of winning so there's updated map Trump now at 252 to Harris's 225 all it's going to take for Trump now at this point if he wins Pennsylvania that is going to get him at 270 to win or he can take like Michigan and Wisconsin or Michigan in Arizona or Michigan in Nevada or any sort of combination that gives him at least 18 more Electoral College votes out of those five states left up there on the screen now we're going to be moving over to the West Coast with Nevada in Nevada it is very very close if we look at the implied probability chances Trump does have a higher chance at 55.6% Nate silver actually has KLA Harris having a slightly better chance but we are going to be going with bet 365's here so we are going to be giving Nevada to Trump then in Arizona this is also super close as well both Nate silver as well as bet 365 does give these St of Arizona to Donald Trump though so we are going to be giving both Arizona as well as Nevada to Donald Trump there's an updated map Trump is now at 269 to Harris 225 Trump just needs to win one of Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania to defeat KLA Harris in this election whereas KLA Harris has to win all three these states we are going to be starting out in Wisconsin though in Wisconsin K Harris does have a 63.6% chance of winning Wisconsin's going to be going to kamla Harris then in Michigan kamla Harris has a 69.2% implied probability chance of taking Michigan we are going to be giving Michigan to kamla Harris and then finally in Pennsylvania it's going to be coming down to this state once again in Pennsylvania KLA Harris does have a slight chance of winning at 55.6% chance Nate silver also has her at 53.3% chance of winning it is very very close and as you can see up there on the map we actually have a dead tie 269 to 269 this would be an incredibly rare event to take place and as you can see according to CNN what happens if there is a tie according to the 12th Amendment enacted in the wake of that divisive 1800 election If no candidate gets a majority of the Electoral College votes the new Congress which would have been sworn in on January 3rd of 202 25 chooses the new president the Senate would then choose the vice president and then how exactly would the process work well rather than voting as individuals each state delegation in the house would get one vote although how the state delegations select their preferred candidate is not spelled out a simple majority though 26 State delegation votes would appoint the new president that would give the advantage to the Republicans and if that happens to be the case where we end up having a tie that would pretty much mean that we would more than likely see Donald Trump as the next president of the United States just because of how that process is going to play out but with that said leave your thoughts and comments below do you agree with this map do you disagree who do you believe is going to be the next president of the United States who do you think is going to win in November do you think comala Harris is going to win or do you think Donald Trump is going to win leave your thoughts in comments below but that's all we have for today's video and I will see you in the next one