Tropical Storm Francine Projected Path Moves East, Lightening Load On Bolivar Peninsula

[Music] [Music] good afternoon I actually it's morning still day so long uh we've been up here going at it so long that it's actually feels like about two or three cuz we came in about 3 and we're not going to give up uh we're going go through we've got the 10:00 update uh it's moved the the modeling you'll see it's moved even more to the east probably another 10 or 15 miles uh for the projected path and it looks like uh Hurricane Center you know they'll go ahead and do that too eventually um but what gets me is uh I got a notice while ago let's look at this this first and so what we're looking at here is this is from tropical tidbits and an awesome website want to thank all those guys over there and girls that take care of that but they've really got a lot of information in one location and if you're sitting at home take your time and just go through it and learn a little bit uh real informative but this is one of the shows the the I guess you could say how cold and how high the clouds go maybe not a meteorologist but it looks cool and it it shows the definition actually the storm is the lower one in the sort of in the center and that over there on the left top is actually some rain offshore uh not far from us and we're going to look at that in just a little bit but here's the actual this is radar scope this is a radar uh program that I use on my phone and on my desktop and this is from the Browns uh radar and so let me switch real quick because right now it doesn't look like we've got any rain offshore but let me um get my mouse down onto the other one and I'm going to switch to the galston or the Houston radar real quick um so that you can see what we have around Boliver in in Texas um so there is some some rain offshore um you can see those are some of the Bands uh from the storm that outer bands probably but you can see the rain uh there Galveston's right in the center and bber is just on the side here I tell you what let me get my um my pen out here I like doing this drawing because I don't get to do it there's Boliver Peninsula right there um just so you can see where we're at compared to the rain and so haven't had any rain yet um but we're going to get some and I and I think we'll get about 3 Ines um like I said listen to the meteorologist listen to the National Hurricane Center I just try and compile all this now as far as intensity we're going to go through all the charts uh here as far as the intensity all everything's starting to come together now uh this is the 10:00 up the 7z which is actually uh no 12z which is actually 700 a.m. this morning um and so uh you can see where everything's going now cat one midat 1 75 mph is what they're showing there but a lot of the guys are talking about maybe uh strengthen it even more and so you know I would count on 859 90 and if it's lower than that uh you know maybe a high cat one low Cat 2 uh but at least it's lower but if you're in the path I can tell you Now's the Time to take um you here's what I'm going to get to now we got a a email text alert and an email a phone call they hit everything on a voluntary evacuation for ball a while ago probably about 9:30 9:00 9:00 I think which made me scratch my head a little bit because they didn't call for one when Burl was coming in and I think for us it was a whole lot worse but they're calling for one now I hadn't figured that one out I'm not even going to try and figure it out but here's the here's what they're talking about sege forecast and this is it about you know 1 to three foot and then from Highland uh going east two to 4 foot I think we're going to see a foot and A2 to 2 and 1/2 foot um is in my opinion I may be wrong I'm not a meteorologist but you know looking at Burl and where it came in and where this one's going actually we're going to have a North wind um for a lot of when the storm's the closest probably and so uh you know I did move the biver Live trailer the event trailer that has a cam at Stingray just for safekeeping um because that parking lot floods sometimes um but let's get to the modeling now and you can see what I was talking about it's moved a little bit more to the east um I don't have a pointer on here I guess I need to get a pointer um it was closer to the Louisiana Texas line yesterday and now it's moved over over East a lot in fact it's moved again um from what I've seen and fact I saw a post that um Eric made and I haven't talked to him today that said uh Crawley Louisiana West you w even know it's a hurricane uh passing by because the wind's not going to be that bad I mean we get 20 30 mph winds down here anyway uh I think we'll may see for us being right on the coast uh maybe some 35 40 mph winds uh with maybe a foot and a half maybe a two foot uh rise in the in the tide but we've already got a rise in the tide because of the wind and so uh anyway the best thing to do is your local weather meteorologist and the National Hurricane Center that's what you need to look at and I get a lot of these from the National Hurricane Center in fact this is uh the 10:00 update from the National Hurricane Center and you can see it's moved over a little bit more and man before it's all over with it could be over at the mouth of the the river there and you know New Orleans and so um it keeps moving East it is in more of a Northeast Direction now um which is good because it's actually going to be further away from the Texas coast going up uh they still have a tropical storm watches um up through us um High Island a little bit past High Island I think and then it picks up a tropical storm warning but that's in Jefferson County if I'm not mistaken um over by Sabine Pass and so right now we're under tropical storm watches and you know every anything can change um and you know I said yesterday even if you have medical conditions um it might be a good idea to leave because we may lose the Biv Ferry at some point for a little bit either due to tide or wind and so uh I I don't think so but we might we may lose access to Highway 887 just because of the sand in the debris um text Dot is there um in High Island they sent me a message that said we're going to have people staged in Highland Tuesday through Wednesday at the school up there and so they'll have people here energy um they responded Saturday night to me and let me know that they're already working on a on a plan in case they're needed down here and so but there you can see um you know what the beach looks like right now we have a high tide in the morning and so uh my plans are to get some rest this afternoon a little bit um I'll try and make it back for the 4:00 maybe it may be 5:00 when I do the update and then um we're going to start watching really every until uh this evening and let me pull up the National Hurricane Center again they're showing 700 p.m. so it's 7 a.m. tomorrow morning it's going to be southeast of Boliver peninsula south-southeast of Boliver Peninsula and then timing has changed a little bit because they showed it going on about 1:00 a.m. in this location and then uh I think about 100 p.m. uh making landfall and so that has changed a little bit it looks like it's slowed down and I would much rather have a hurricane landfall during the day in light than I would in the dark and so uh we need to keep all our friends over in Louisiana um in our thoughts and prayers today um I know they're getting ready and it's going through uh you know a lot of marsh um and hopefully it'll die down and doesn't you know a lot of these hurricanes have have increased in strength right before landfall and so I hope that doesn't happen here in fact I don't think it's developed as much as they thought it was going to um because of some dry air that it took in and so uh but we're going to keep you posted we're going to let you know what's going on where and when here on biver Peninsula um there you can see we've got some rain just offshore of biver Peninsula right now and you know as the day goes on I imagine we're going to have some rain this evening and let's take a look at the Brownville radar real quick Brownsville radar um real quick so you can see what it looks like uh down where the storm is and that that's uh the Brownsville radar there and so you can see um the storms on it and what it's pulling in from uh up by us even some of those uh bands long bands coming into it so anyway we're going to keep you updated and let you know what's going on here on Boliver Peninsula uh we'll be here for the duration of it um you know if you have any questions make comments um they did call for a voluntary evacuation here on Boliver Peninsula it went out probably about 9:00 um and so just wanted to let everyone know about that uh I'm still scratching my head on why they didn't do it for Burl but they did it for this one but oh well maybe someone can explain it to me but anyway we're going to head on out we'll be back uh at least one more time probably two or three times before midnight tonight letting you know what's going on down here um and also tomorrow uh whenever it's South Southeast Le of us any tide that we have any rain we have we're going to let you know what it's like here on our 27 miles of beach front Paradise so hope y'all enjoyed the show we'll be back next uh a little bit later on with more information on the upper Texas coast until next time remember you can see biver live anytime in fact this camera is a saltwater gospel camp and so it gives you a good view of the beach let you see what's happening out there and you can see it on our website at Boliver peninsula.com until next time I'm David with Boliver live y'all have a great day great week come see us come explore Boliver Peninsula once we get past this God bless and bye-bye [Music] we