LIVE | Virginia, Oklahoma, Georgia Election Results | June 18

stream we've got a few primaries tonight so we started on time welcome and we take a few minutes to make sure everything's in order but we've got a stream coming up June 18th three primaries one runoff two regular primaries schedule is up here nice to um have everybody back again for another stream hopefully it's a success probably go for a while like we usually do and the first poll closings will be at the top of the hour and that is going to be Virginia and Georgia Oklahoma is going to be the following hour so let's let everything fill in it's going to take a little while and hello Bob good is he going to survive his primary challenge uh I think I thought about putting out a poll on that you know I haven't intimately followed it but from I'm thinking yeah that that's that's what I'm going with did any any polls come out on that in the last few days that I might have missed that'll uh something we could take a look at real quick um there there are a few on here this from a few weeks ago and that did look like good was going to go down but I don't know actually yeah let's see let's look at let's look at all the endorsements wow we got Bannon Steve Bannon splitting with Trump here Trump goes for Maguire and Bannon splits and goes for good I don't know that that is tough good is the incumbent I'd like to give him a slight Advantage but it's going to be one of the hot races to take a look at today yeah right on time we've got it done Rando hello you know there's a whole dispute here with good and Maguire because good voted to oust Kevin McCarthy so McCarthy is against good something like that a lot of people like to get revenge in politics you see it all the time but no no polling in the last couple of weeks here but anyway we that's going to be one of the big ones to take a look at swinger hello thanks for stopping by we're just getting going here always takes a little bit of time to get things going but that is going to be a good race between Maguire and good um I didn't get to look in depth on that as much as I'd like but we're going to see we've got the Senate too who's going win that one is it going to be hunga or could it be Scott Parkinson we've got to see what happens in that we've also got action here in the Seventh District this is going to be an open seat same with the 10th these are blue laning districts especially the 10th that would not really expected to be competitive the seventh could be so possibility but two open seats then we've got some Georgia runoffs here not a ton of action but enough here hopefully to get us through the next few hours here's the schedule we've got these three states today then next week we've got Colorado we've got New York South Carolina runoff and then we've got Utah then there's a gap the convention for the for the Republicans comes up and then there's some primaries Late July and then into August so we're going to do a stream here and oh YouTube sending out the notifications I'd like to think that they've done that every time uh for everybody that's requested them but hey YouTube sometimes they do their own thing I hear people sometimes their comments don't go through I was reading that within the last couple of days again that's always a shame hate to see that but here's what's going on today says Trump opts to stay in Milwaukee for the GOP convention so that's um if you were thinking he might leave looks like he's not going to leave so about 23 minutes till we should hopefully get some results it's Virginia it's Oklahoma and it's a Georgia run off but yeah does everybody think what you guys think good is GNA win you think Maguire is going to get it done what are we thinking here it's kind of a split uh next week yeah Bowman and laimer well it looks like B is is going down but yeah that's going to be one a high-profile race to watch but yeah everything I've seen Bowman looks like he's kind of finished but maybe something happens in the last week yeah the VP spot it's starting to get into the campaign season and Trump's going to have to make that decision still pretty much up in the air is it going to be berham is it going to be Vance here's actually the current market looks like bergham is the favorite right now followed by Vance Rubio Tim Scott he kind of sank he was a front runner for many many months and then Byron uh Donald and Ben Carson so we'll have to see who that ends up being first time got a notification H yeah I put this one up late I wasn't sure if I was going to be able to get it done had a lot of stuff going on so I'm squeezing it in but behind the scenes means there's a lot of a lot of other stuff going on but hopefully we can just set that aside get the stream in time for another stream absolutely Liberty's Coalition you're back again couldn't resist so we'll see how many people we get showing up this time try to start a half hour before the polls close to give people adequate opportunity as always people are probably busy in their lives they're working they just got off of work maybe they're just going into work maybe you're out getting some stuff done maybe you're in school we've all got lives to live but anyway three states today one runoff four states next week including another runoff and not sure which streams I'm going to be able to do I'm definitely going to miss some of these but election day that that should be the the guarantee I mean that's the big event okay simp Scott is a good choice special election well yeah I think that is less risky than if he picked Marco Rubio and had to deal with the special election there or even Vance maybe South Carolina that should stay red outside of really atypical circumstances yeah they working saw the stream that works keep it on in the background whatever you've got to do you know maybe you're only stopping by for 15 20 minutes but probably go for a while so waiting on the poll the polls to close in Virginia hopefully the stream stays up this time usually it does one time it went down for a while but state legislator primaries in Oklahoma that that's kind of too far down ballot for me to have followed but if anything is notable I'd like to hear about it but oh Oklahoma we've got the fourth that seems to be the race that is maybe the most high-profile we've got incumbent Tom Cole he looks to be getting a challenge from Paul bonder but no Senate race no Governor's race in Oklahoma just the US House guess there's a corporation commissioner election happening but nothing really that exciting and Virginia has the Senate the US Senate pretty much on the Republican side only we we know they're going to face Tim kanaine in November lot of candidates running here hunga who ran in the US House in the 10th last time against Jennifer wexton who's retiring he made it a little bit closer but not really that close so he's going for the Senate I don't know that's going to pay off might be kind of a John James type of move going up to the Senate but he might be facing competition here from Scott Parkinson or I guess any one of these people yeah the VP and the president from the same state that does get a little weird but supposedly they should not be from the same state but things can be changed around but I'm not sure if he would pick anybody from Florida I don't see him picking Byron Donalds um at Rubio Rubio is not a bad choice but I don't know if he's looking to shore up support in Florida in state he should probably win yeah local elections I mean that's definitely important stuff but that's the kind of thing that's not good for a mass audience a lot of people don't really want to hear about what's happening in some State House seat in a state that they don't live then could always be a couple of exceptions hunga is overrated you know I haven't followed his campaign much this time but I think he is overrated in the sense of what I was just describing where he did not win in the US House last time and he didn't even really get extremely close so to go from that all the way up to an upgrade for the Senate that does seem a little bit like a stretch uh bllac or Harris and George's 14th will be able to defeat green I have my doubts about that that's going to be interesting to see who wins because I have no idea it seemed like they were both pretty close in the first round but green going down seems it's such a red District even last time there were talks about could she be vulnerable because she's too much of a spectacle not really it didn't happen lot of the competitive primaries in Oklahoma are the same formula red states where a lot of the moderate incumbent with far right challenges well I mean that's kind of what the dynamic is politically these days in red and blue districts you're going to get a challenge from your right or left depending on which party we're talking about Democrats want more Progressive candidates in a lot of places Republicans want more Trump friendly candidates in a lot of places especially if it's a fairly red or blue District I know a lot of people will dismiss moderate candidates as just establishment corporate friendly and that's probably true to a large extent yeah wasn't the what was it about like a 10-point loss or so for Huna or maybe nine somewhere around there right good evening will thanks for showing up the more people we get in the Stream the better it might be more difficult to read all the comments but either way so we're about 12 minutes away from Virginia and Georgia a few races to take a look at in each state these two Georgia races are going to be of interest but I would expect Wayne Johnson to win here in the second and Brian Jack he does have the Trump endorsement he's probably going to win that one you could see in the first round he got almost 50% anyway 46.7 so I would think he'd be able to pull together another three% and secure that nomination all right green did do awful and 22 well yeah down to 66 I mean again that's kind of like the Ohio Race we were looking at last week where yeah you could say the margin is lower but I mean she's easily won so I don't think she's in any danger of losing even if she goes down to all the way down to 50 51% I mean that's that seems unreasonable but she would still be the winner I mean she's got room to spare in that District that that is a very red District all right have it on in the background as you get some work done that works sounds good do whatever you've got to do we'll be here uh the important races are at Virginia's fifth this is probably the biggest one I suppose can Bob good the incumbent fend off a challenge from John Maguire it's very split and who knows what's going to happened in that one and then in the seventh that's an open seat the 10th is an open seat those are races to take a look at it's probably going to be vinman here in for the Democrats not sure about the Republican side in the 10th the 10th this is pretty much wide open I think maybe Dan Helmer is slightly favored uh I guess he has more funding or something but this is too blue of a district to really be competitive in the general this is the the one hung cow ran for a couple years ago and then Oklahoma's fourth is going to be one to look at here with Tom Cole seeing if he fends off a challenge from Paul bonder and then Georgia has these runoffs um doesn't really matter who wins the the Third District or sorry the Third District is the open seat actually that's going to be the Drew Ferguson District but the second district that is the one that is that's the Sanford Bishop District so that's going to be blue very likely in November so assuming Wayne Johnson wins he's going to lose to Bishop in a few months and then the US Senate here Republican primary I'm not so sure it's going to be honga could be Scott Parkinson I don't think there was a lot of polling here unless I missed it the last few days have been busy stuff could have slipped through oh we lost by six okay so he did a little bit better than I thought um okay but still he didn't get it under five so I guess it's not really that competitive but he did take down the the previous margin I know there was redistricting so it gets a little hard to compare sometimes but Virginia 10th yeah that's loaded up ien filler corn she was the former speaker of the house I believe in Virginia a few years ago so she's trying to get in on this but Dan Helmer I think he has a fundraising Advantage he might be the favorite and then there's a couple other candidates who I think are going to be competitive but we'll see what happens six and a half minutes from some results potentially so hopefully everybody's having a reasonable evening here we're doing another stream two in a row did one last week hopefully it's another classy successful stream we'll go for a while we'll see what happens but starting to get into election season it's not February or March anymore we're coming up on July pretty soon got a debate coming up next week it's still not really um I think to the point where things matter I mean I think post Labor Day that's going to be where everything really starts to come together as people actually pay attention to politics but things can always change um Virginia 10th isn't that blue I I think it's blue enough to where it would not actually be in competition unless it was a Red Wave if it was a Red Wave then yeah but it's just not one I'm thinking is going to be that competitive it's just it's it's Northern Virginia it's it's a little bit too blue I think yeah she filler corn that is that is that that name does stand out that's for sure yeah unique name yeah I believe she was I me we could confirm that right now something to take a look at yep former speaker of the house for a couple of years she was disp speaker so she's not a nobody but I don't think she's favor to win but she could could be some stuff that you the posters do miss candidates on occasion especially in a crowded field all right so we've got several hours of uh primary action ahead and I put out a video today about the Iowa poll from a couple days ago or maybe that was yesterday it's recent that's for sure and that one had a massive lead for Trump they're 18 points higher than what I was ever even anticipating it's not really going to be competitive but it the pollster is fairly reputable but again it's still only June can't put a whole lot of stock into things just yet uh I don't believe Virginia has any runoffs uh I think mostly Southern States ex that are not Virginia The More Southern States those are where the uh the runoffs are that's for the most part um writing some scripts about elections working on cting logos all right sounds good hopefully enjoyed the um the video on Sunday the Missouri video about the trends and a little bit of the political history might be something you're interested in but yeah it's tough to get a video up every day uh it's tough to do that and take care of other things but try to keep it all going smoothly as smoothly as I can all right we're less than 2 minutes here we're at about a minute hopefully this thing fills in a little bit more I get that this is not an extremely high-profile primary all right Missouri they don't have a state party in Missouri send them a video I see yeah it's a good video that one I did like all of them at least in that series hope hope all the other videos everybody's enjoying those but it's going to be primaries today several hours of primary action we're about 10 seconds here we don't know if the results are going to pop right away is it going to take a few minutes is it going to take a while other streams it's been a whole variety sometimes it comes in right away sometimes it just trickles in very very slowly yeah I mean a lot of people are saying Virginia is going to be competitive I'm not there yet uh I'm still thinking it should go Blue without a whole lot of fanfare I think those polls that show it tide um I'm not so sure they're going to hold for the next four plus months and that's that's tied at 42 in that recent poll I think in the end a lot of those disaffected Biden voters are going to come back four five 6% and he should win the state now it could easily get under 10 where it was last time but I'm not so sure it's actually going to be competitive if it if polling comes out over the next month or two and it's shows it in low single digits I'm going to start thinking maybe there is something to this but not yet I'm just not there yet yeah if there huge field nobody gets 10% I would like to see some runoffs myself I'm Pro runoff uh it's never satisfying seeing somebody win with 26% but you know it is what it is so we've got the polls closed but we don't have anything yet not sure how long it's going to be or how they Count Their votes haven't kept up with that process Tim Kane is sitting pretty right now he's awaiting his competition even though I think he's likely to win in November if not very likely so again the fifth the seventh and the 10th those are I think the districts with the most action couple of open seats couple of Democrats retiring and the seventh Abigail spanberger is hanging it up to run for governor that's going to be next year that Governor's election looks like she's the front runner in that more uh Suburban District and then in the 10th District that's bler but Jennifer wxon is retiring as well I think she has some health issues but in the fifth here we've got in combat Bob good getting a challenge from John Maguire good was one of the cand is to get R vote to get rid of Kevin McCarthy as Speaker I believe there were eight eight of those Republicans and apparently there's some backlash Maguire has the Trump endorsement apparently Bob good has the Steve banon endorsement I don't know how often you see those two misaligned but you're seeing it right here as Biden's campaign using Obama so much um is it that much I mean I haven't followed it super closely I've seen Obama around in some ads and probably at some fundraisers I mean that makes sense I suppose if you're Biden he already was on the ticket with Biden back in the day and Biden is he's a popular Democrat and he's still relatively young for presidential politics and I'm uh Obama has all those fundraising connections he is he's one of the elite guys he's he knows who to call he's trying to get that support up bring back the Obama Coalition get the turnout increased for Biden that's that's how I see it going anyway we're still waiting on some results got nothing have to see what happens here I'm assuming it's between Huna and Scott Parkinson but we oh here we go we've got some Georgia Georgia is the first one out of the gate and Wayne Johnson with 5% big lead and that's what I was expecting and there we go in the Third District Brian Jack opens up with a 595 and then in the 14th to go up against Margery Taylor green we've got short Harris with a pretty big lead here 70% so only I think only one of these districts is really con consequential that's going to be the third because that is the open seat to replace Drew Ferguson 14th should stay red second should stay blue the third should stay red as well but who's going to replace Drew Ferguson probably Brian Jack but we'll find out anything in Virginia no nothing well we're got a stream going two weeks in a row we got another vote dump here and Third District has tightened up right there but I'm assuming the turnout is going to be so low and a runoff it's going to be low I would think of these primaries is as it is but yeah Obama maybe he's getting too much use maybe people are going to be tired of him thinking that Biden is just unable to win on his own and they got to bring get bring back the guy before him it could get a little desperate uh what do you think are effective what do you think are effective campaign marketing someone who's in that field effective campaign marketing well I assume that's separate from policy it's just purely marketing cuz policy that's going to be that's going to highly depend on the specific electorate uh as we've got nothing in Virginia but the marketing itself you know it's it's a tough question because yeah I have no no actual interest myself and make it a run because yeah the marketing would be tough but that's going to involve yeah a lot of social media influence that part can be difficult how you going to craft ads what type of angle are you going to go for are you going to Pander are you going to come off as sincere are you going to stand out in any way or you just going to run as a generic Democrat or Republican and how much of a ground game is there going to be you got to get the right kind of Staff in there I would assume somebody that knows how to tap into I guess the community level I'm not sure exactly which is the most effective but appealing to just the blue collar worker is usually the the fail safe obviously if you're in a certain kind of District that strategy is going to change everybody always tries to seem so sincere that they're in touch with every demographic every Community they love every where they go a lot of times it's fake so I think it's effective to not act like you're just intimately involved with everybody just try to craft and present yourself craft policy present yourself as somebody that's going to have Simple Solutions not necessarily go really convoluted uh you didn't vote because you don't care who wins the second district runoff too much effort for a runoff uh are you you're in the second district I can't remember where everybody is from but that would be highly relevant if you are in this second district still got nothing here in Virginia oh no we do we do we've got the seventh we got some Republican action very little 1% and here we go the Senate is in hunga less than 1% he makes a splash with about 55% Scott Parkinson third place these are just these are the redder counties demographics are important yeah they react differently but that's the balancing it you don't want to just try to Pander you got to be sincere that's why I think focusing more on universal policies and that kind of thing I think is what I find to be most effective I'm not up maybe I've got it all wrong but I'm not a big fan of the explicit demographic pandering I always think policy should be and marketing yeah that should be crafted around things that are Universal and and Bridge gaps between everybody instead of siloing everybody off into just what they want to hear just for their specific demography I think it's also unrealistic to think well this group is getting get this or that group is going to get that I mean whether it's age or race religion any of that yeah you're not going to appeal to everybody but that's why it should be more focused I think at least more on Blue Collar type of having a blue collar type of appeal it's going to be the most I think successful probably in the end and as well as the most important all right we've got Hana he lost just a little bit there nothing here in the fifth nothing in the 10th Georgia is pouring in we've got 22% in here Wayne Johnson with a big lead that's probably going to be insurmountable I would imagine yeah you know that's why I'm not you know I'm there's a lot of aspects I'm not a big fan of um so yeah I might not be cut out to be in in or a part of a campaign because I I just I don't I don't like trying to have so much of an appeal on a micro level and obviously yeah you can't go completely generic with everything but I just hate completely crafting a message depending on the audience as far in in politics you can do a little bit of tweaking of course that's going to make sense if you're talking to senior citizens you might want to mention Social Security that's going to make sense there's going to be more Salient issues in different districts and States but once you start going obvious with it it I think it just starts to fall flat it get becomes insincere it becomes watered down and unrealistic I mean we see it all the time we see it in primaries people they want to stir up their base we see that and then all of a sudden they go to the general election and they try to moderate and usually I think it becomes kind of kind of an eye roll where both sides usually abandon some of the stuff they talked up in the primary and then it just becomes Politics as Usual it's who who's going to move the needle slightly to the left or slightly to the right because everybody just wants to win the middle so they can get in there all right 2% in here we've got hanao he's at 53.7 waiting for some here in Northern Virginia and we've got a little bit more here in Georgia not a lot in the Third District nothing in the 10th if this is working properly all right let's see what have I missed here not a ton of comments seems to be a little quieter than some other streams but it's all good um yeah if you go so generic then it just becomes you're speaking in platitudes because it I'm trying to not focus so much on policy and just the marketing and I know a lot of that is not able to be separated so it's difficult but it all depends on what kind of campaign you want to run you're probably going to have to run some kind of negative do some kind of negative um marketing but I think the turnout is going to be key I mean that it is difficult to come up with a a specific answer for how to Market politically uh Virginia's tth will about the same margin must Kane or Warner decide Kane is pronounced sa really I man I thought I have heard it pronounced as cow but it's been a while that was back probably that was a while ago it's going to be hard for to change it I'm going to have to I have to pull something up to hear him say his own name but hopefully I get that uh corrected by tomorrow if um I do a video for these results um primaries are set up have to be a bit more extreme yeah I know you never know what anybody really thinks and wants to do um they want to win a primary but then they moderate in the center and plus they can just get in there and do whatever they want we've seen John fedman a lot of progressives are disappointed that fedman seems to have gone I guess they would consider that a little bit toward the right in some ways obviously probably not in plenty of other ways but usually more moderate candidates again they're labeled as just so corporate friendly I think you might have to go to The Fringe at least to find some people who want to get money out of politics it seems if anybody even does anymore don't hear as much about that as I used to but people a lot of people do like they say they want a moderate candidate but then when you get somebody in there then sometimes they're moderate and they hate it like you had keeping the filibuster the Democrats kept that and people some people liked it but a lot of Democrats were going what is this is way too moderate we got to get rid of that filibuster with cinamon mansion wanted to keep it so in that sense they they did not want somebody moderate we see it it there's always going to be the divides no matter what if one party has full control then there's going to be all kinds of um subdivides yeah that staying neutral that's understandable the election reforms yeah I I've done a lot of community polls on Election different election issues as we've got some results now here in the Fifth District we've got Maguire who's actually head of the incumbent good but not enough in here to make any real conclusions exactly moderate could be so all over the place it all right comes from Chinese the C is pronounce is in s hung sa okay well I might um make that correction again for tomorrow but for today I'm gonna I might keep saying cow because that's that is how I heard it it's not like I'm just making that up uh I thought I try to look up almost every last name or place when I'm doing a video obviously some stuff slips through but I try to get most of the names as close as I can but sometimes there's variation in the name some people just you hear them differently all right now we've got some action here with the Dems we've got vinman who's probably going to win he does open up here with a 58% advantage and this side I have not followed the Republicans this is wide open from my perspective but we got a close one here but only 3% in okay now we've got the 10th we've got Dan Helmer he's at about 24 and we that's 13 in and Lowden all right and George's 14th has been called for sha Harris with 34% in he's going to face margorie Taylor Green in November M where he's going to be the severe Underdog and Wayne Johnson continues to hold a better than two to one advantage over Chuck H in the second district in the third it's also almost a two to one advantage for Bryan Jack and Derek Anderson has taken the lead here over Cameron Hamilton um you've heard cow so I'm getting some backup here that cow just like C pretty much am I getting corroboration that it's cow I'm glad I'm not the only one but maybe maybe I've got it wrong that's definitely possible question about Maguire and good what makes this competitive uh well because Bob good I guess voted to OU Kevin McCarthy as speaker and there's always backlash retribution in politics if you support somebody that is if you support if you go off in your own path and support somebody else else we'll put it we'll put it that way then uh you're going to be subject to some backlash and good is getting some backlash he's in the freedom caucus though as far as I can remember so he's he's getting backlash Kevin McCarthy uh I think has a an issue with Bob good but then um Steve banon endorsed good Trump Endor endorsed uh John Maguire I thought I would think good would have an advantage as being the incumbent but as of now good is trailing remember there was an incumbent in Virginia who lost uh last decade maybe about 10 years ago that was an upset I can not think of the name it escapes me right now but for somebody would know in the chat who I'm talking about um Dave brat Dave brat was the winner I that I remember I can't remember who he defeated off the top of my head but I think it was um it was somebody in power minority whippers something like that okay so now now we're back to Cow so I was right well at least getting a little bit of corroboration Eric caner that's the name yeah Dave Brad caner went down that was an upset so we've we figured that out pretty quick but that was a big deal at the time caner going down like that yep oh minority whip okay close enough all right all right let's see what have we got here okay it's called for cow wow that's I mean that can narrow up easily but that is an fairly early call Scott Parkinson flops here I'm not even sure who Edward Garcia even is but so far cow is dominating so that's an early night oh now Parkinson uh quietly snakes into second place so we've got a cow and Kane matchup that I would say is borderline likely safe you could put it at either I can understand either rating on that majority you know I thought I was wondering was it majority at the time but I figured okay yeah well we teamed up we got that figured out yeah caner caner took an L to Dave BR that was a big that was like a shock wave upset but that was a while ago uh yeah it's cold here cow Senor Scoops thanks for showing up nice to have everybody here we've got one call actually two calls we've got actually three there it is Wayne Johnson defeats Chuck hand he is going to face Sanford Bishop in November and Bishop the longtime incumbent in this Southwestern District Bishop is favored to say the least so we've got some early calls here and 10th District Dem primary we Wow E filler corn fourth place yeah then BR yeah he did not last too long it was such a big thing at the time and then he got taken out yeah I can't remember exactly I spanberger probably sounds right in the seventh and yeah that's kind of when Republicans started losing those more Suburban type of districts I'm not even really familiar with this person here I actually want to look this up state senator okay this is the leader right now state senator from the 32nd District that is that is definitely Nova so we'll see if that pans out at Republican side Mike Clancy see if we can get some background about him lawyer oh candidate in 22 but not the nominee I'm guessing yeah there's Huna pulling in 46.7 Clancy got in fourth place in 22 so he's looking to be the nominee this time and looks like he's Far and Away the front runner that I would think should be called if he's at 61% with 51% in but nothing in Prince William and on these congressional districts yet a lot of times it doesn't matter which part of the part of the district you're from sometimes that can we've seen that before where somebody's from one County and they dominate that County but then they completely get wiped out in the rest of the district uh Eugene vinman here brother twin brother of Alexander vidman who was notable a few years back so we've got McGuire here holding on to under a 10-point lead uh thanks for doing hey no problem Matt Rogers thanks for showing up I mean it glad people enjoy the streams I wish more people would enjoy them be nice to get 50 60 70 people but if we only have 15 20 then then that's fine it's not the biggest primary night there is you jumping the gun very curious about the governor's race in Virginia likely the pr yeah that's true you can't really call that if Biden were able to win uh I could it could stay red that much more likely if Trump were able to win then it could be AB Abigail spanberger as your next Governor there the Republican side who knows could be Sears could be Jason Miis those are probably the highest profile I think Sears has an advantage in early polling if she were to go for it it feels like youngin just got in there the other day but no he's down to almost a year left yeah spamburger got in early but Sears is she going to get in let's see at these other districts none of these are really that interesting but this is the big one here Narrows up a little bit good is making a little bit of a comeback only 3% in here for the DS in the seventh still waiting at one more race here in Georgia the third that's really probably the most critical race because that's the open seat even though it's a red leading district for sure so again everybody uh appreciate you showing up it's another stream every once in a while we do them we usually go for a while sometimes a lot of regulars show up sometimes we get new people had people from all over stop in different countries even which is surprising to think that people in other countries would be interested in this channel it's a small Channel but trying to expand slowly but surely okay Maguire gets that lead back or that that March back almost 9 to 10% and I think uh this will be an opportunity to take a quick one minute break we'll put up the the fifth while we're waiting be back in just a moment real quick e all right so which races are is everybody taking a look at here I assume this is the big one we've got Oklahoma coming up top of the hour sure we've got a lot of people uh that are lurking in the background that usually happens but it has gotten a little quiet that makes it easier to read every comment and follow what's happening but this is probably the Marquee race is the incumbent good going to be able to hold on we'll find out soon enough all right Georgia's is almost completely over now Georgia does have some state legislator runoffs so if you're into local Georgia races super local they're right here on the bottom and we've got apparently there's a Democrat Kemp in Georgia running in this state senate seat gotta love that maybe he's distantly related to Governor Brian Kemp only one of these uh races here is an incumbent in the state legislature that's this one right here all right let's see how many people watch you that are in the politics industry besides myself you never know who's lurking I mean I don't think anybody's explicitly mentioned that I would be surprised to I'm already surprised as it is given how the channel is relatively small I would say we've come a long way though from humble beginnings to 3,100 subscribers it has slowed up though the last month though not sure why that is yeah I've had somebody from Chile some people from Europe and that's in the streams I know the comments you know there's no way to remember all the comments but it is surprising to get some um explicit comments from other countries I don't know how excited I am but Oklahoma's fourth is really the only one that I think is on the radar if Tom Cole can hold on here against Paul bonder that'll be coming up in about 18 minutes other than that there's no Senate race there's no governor race so that's what we're looking at there in Oklahoma and a four-point lead here for Maguire over good and only 4% still here in the seventh they are really kind of dragging their feet here for the Dems and not much is changing here in georg's third Brian Jack still holding a significant lead here over Mike Dugan and we've got a call here in the 10th on the Republican side it's Mike Clancy who got in fourth place just two years ago he's going to be the nominee crowded field here for the Dems and I've not looked up the pronunciation of this name so it would be a lot easier for me if Dan Helmer wins or takes the lead for a while he look at Eileen filler corn former Speaker of the House only fifth place Brian Kemp yeah Brian Kemp is running in the state legislator yeah will Brian Camp run against oof in 26 I know people have asked that and it's a little bit off still uh CU we got to get through 24 then then we'll have some a little bit of an idea about 26 but will he run I I guess if I had to pick I'd say he would he's going to be pressured into it for sure because if it's not Camp um it's going to be tough for the Republicans to flip that seat even with cemp it's going to be tough but without Kemp it just seems like that's going to be a hold especially if Trump won if Trump won then without Kemp there's no chance because I would expect if Trump won for there to be kind of a blue leaning environment in 26 it's usually what happens in politics somebody finally gets full control and it only lasts for a couple of years and then the other side is energized and the Pendulum keeps swinging uh yeah I wouldn't want to speculate on the background of his name but it could be Indian could be Indonesian sure all right we've got it under 2% here for John Maguire at least we've got a an exciting race to watch here and hunga still in the mid 60s 14 minutes for Oklahoma and again next week we've got four states Colorado New York Utah and a South Carolina runoff so that's going to be probably more notable than tonight because New York a lot of races okay Polish names are hard to pronounce I mean I guess it depends I mean a lot of different names have letters that are silent and you might not know that so yeah that could be difficult I'm not sure which names have the most difficulty to pronounce and the most silent letters but yeah I I've seen some where yeah I would have no idea how to pronounce them but I can't limit it limited to just one specific country okay the Seventh District here is very slow for the Dems only 5% in this is pretty much the race to take a look at then plenty of counties have not reported anything yet the 11th haven't really looked at that one yet but yeah that has nothing in hate to see that kind of a delay um just finished closing your precin in Virginia 7th in Orange I mean two to one for Hamilton low population though there it is right here okay yeah there's nothing here nothing in Orange County Virginia um but hey that if you're you're from there that's great it's always great to have people on the stream with the results coming in at the same time uh yeah cow doing that well is surprising I that yeah we're it's not even I mean there is a lot of candidates here but the fact that he's way over 50% that's surprising I mean he's over 60 I didn't think it would be that much but I guess in a primary and in an Open Primary here um an open seat as far as the Republicans are concerned to challenge Kane it's it's wide open on their side I I guess sometimes you get these crazy results that you're not expecting but yeah I didn't think C would get that much yeah good have somebody on the ground floor in Virginia right here the precinct is 78 Hamilton to 31 Anderson okay and of these two of these candidates what are we looking at for these candidates that's I think the question we've got a Anderson attorney and candid in 22 we've got Hamilton defense contractor Anderson's got the cotton endorsement Hamilton's got the Rand Paul endorsement and hey there's Dave brat right there so I'm not exactly sure who people are preferring here this kind of a split here but I would guess Hamilton looks a little bit less establishment but maybe that'll uh flip then if that's what we're hearing on the ground here if Hamilton has some votes in the pipeline yeah I mean once you're in the 60s no need to worry about even if there were runoffs yeah Hamilton Freedom C is endorsed Anderson the leadership endorsed yeah that seems to be confirms what we're just taking a look at hung can do it you take out Tim Kane uh I I'm not thinking that Kane is in danger but we'll see I mean yeah Huna has a couple of months to start getting his campaign rolling and then we'll be right in the midst of um deep into the election season but if if Kane went down then I'm assuming Larry Hogan is also won at that point he would have gotten Trump endorsement if he did almost 100% okay yeah I don't know how much weight the Trump endorsement has it seems like it usually has weight sometimes not that much but usually it has some weight as Maguire now has a little bit of a lead now and it's called for Brian Jack and George is third for the Republicans so Brian Jack he's the winner to replace Drew Ferguson uh okay Anderson is how many preds are in yeah Virginia seven Anderson is not establish me as your candidate he grew up in the district and went to the same College as me let's see uh okay we've got Danville County Virginia looks like a star this is the um okay I this should probably be an independent city and not its own County Virginia has independent cities to make things even more complicated that's my my assumption here yep hunga maintaining a 63% support here and we're waiting on the fifth that's the um that's the major race take a look at so not a not a ton of action here but 41% in we're going to see what happens so again thanks for everybody showing up for a stream hopefully everybody likes and uh subscrib shares the stream whatever you want to do to support the stream the channel we're doing it again did one last week might do one next week and I know everybody has busy lives and schedules I certainly do I'm sure everybody does so squeezing in a little bit of stream time is much appreciated there are more important things out there than the stream I can admit that uh okay Stafford County the 7th hasn't reported results but Anderson has the local officials endorsing him here okay yeah it's not overwhelming here for Anderson I mean it's about a 10-point lead but got 95% in here in Spotsylvania that's always a amusing name so we're about 3 minutes here from Oklahoma see what happens there maybe the fourth district has an upset but I'm guessing not Scott Parkinson now in second place not that it really matters yeah Huna with a massive win Here and Now little bit of a narrowing here in the fifth Maguire his lead slips very slightly and in the 10th here and again it's already called for Mike Clancy on the Republican side the Democrats it's actually 54% in big lead here and it's not Dan Helmer it is uh suas subaman something like that I'll get it right for uh for the future if he's the nominee and aguire now 70% was there just a gigantic vote boat dump and we just missed all of it wow did that just happen in that like 15 seconds [Music] or is there some kind of tabulation error yeah I'm looking at it right now are you're going to have to go all right check out hey that I'm assuming I'll do a results video um it's easy to just put one out real quick cuz yeah these streams really take a lot of effort but uh yeah take care of your work thanks for stopping by appreciate it but yeah look at this Fifth District it's just just like a minute ago it was like a five-point lead now it's a 60 40 70 30 40 points what happened how how could it jump in no time at all so it happened right before I swapped wow wow that is stunning I thought we were looking at a close race but now we got a 40-point lead well that's it then this is over how is good going to come back I mean was that all same day voting and good just had none of it that's pretty wild okay now wait a minute now it just completely reverted now it's back to where we were okay that had to be a tabulation error that make nope maybe not now it's back again oh this is this is too crazy this is completely wild stuff who knows what it is now it this just doesn't make sense let's see maybe we'll have some better luck here in Oklahoma because now the polls have closed and now this Fifth District back again to somebody is tampering with um New York Times at least that just did not make any sense for it to Lurch 30 40 points like that now it's back to a five-point race for Maguire we'll see how fast Oklahoma gets their results in but we've got some Wild results here in the fifth oh absolutely these numbers are way way all over the place it was like three or four changes in just a few minutes we have seen some tabulation errors on on our streams we've seen Chris Christie in the lead I remember in New Hampshire or some State it's been a couple of things all right now we've got a little bit of a gap narrowing here Maguire's still in the lead but by four to 5% oh we've got another person from virginas from Virginia here in the seventh you voted for cow and Anderson supporting spot Sania wow I was just mentioned yeah very amusing County that's it's a great name Oklahoma Christy Le oh oh is that right okay yeah there was something like that maybe it was Oklahoma great to have everybody here on the stream though again even if maybe this is your very first stream maybe you've been here for four five six of them um try to do them once in a while hopefully we get a big enough crowd to sustain a stream uh I know there's more important things out there I know this is not exactly a ton of action happening tonight but we've got 34 people that's decent hope everybody's having a pretty good night here um political landscape USA this is Virginia's 7eventh right here and we're going to go back to the fifth because that's probably the bigger race this pretty much all US House action hunga already secure nomination for the Republicans in that Senate race massive lead for C and then we're looking at this race here incumbent Bob good is trailing John Maguire 44% of the vote in in the seventh we've got vinman for the Dems with a pretty comfortable lead here over 50% Derek Anderson for the rep Republicans is at 46 Cameron Hamilton is in the high 30s and then in the 10th M Clancy nominee for the Republicans waiting on the final results here for the Dems but suas has a medium Advantage here over Dan hmer and then Georgia's already called these three races are done you can see the results right here VAP website has those big 7030 then back okay yeah I that's a good resource for everything Virginia didn't pull it up on here just didn't think there was enough there but I don't know what those swings were about that was completely um weird to say the least and now it's down to a four-point margin we've seen this before it was down to four for Maguire maybe 15 minutes ago still got some counties that have zero that's going to be potentially the deciding factor how about Oklahoma nothing yet oh we've got the the uncontested races have been called here in Oklahoma but appreciate everybody showing up even if it's for 5 10 minutes it's always good to have a big crowd on a stream whatever a big crowd actually is it's going to be relative but we're doing it again The Big Race here is probably this fifth because this is an incumbent here that's in danger Bob good and a very slight narrowing again now it's under two or under 4% excuse me it's getting just a little bit more narrow you can see here I mean both candidates in the six th000 so not a ton of votes separating them that narrowed up a little bit more now we're down to 400 votes for Maguire so this is getting pretty dicey let's see if hunga did he win everything well it's not all in yet but I'm not seeing anywhere he did not win or his leading yeah with a 64% lead I would guess that should be enough probably in almost every County if not all of them unless uh Scott Parkinson has a strength in one or two counties all counties of Oklahoma voted for Trump in 2020 I yeah I think that happened that and um in West Virginia I believe all of them uh went red so it's getting close here for Maguire and good still got some counties that have nothing reporting yet and it's called for vinman here Eugene vinman that was expected he's going to be the nominee in the Seventh District to replace Abigail spanberger who is retiring to run for governor of Virginia next year so vinman is the nominee Republicans were waiting but Derek Anderson has a little bit of a lead here it's a blue leaning district vinman is going to be the favorite but it's not overwhelming there are some other races here in the other districts Missy smol that is a Kind of a Funny last name this should be the Jen kgin seat for held by Republican Jen kiggins okay and look at that Bob good has just taken probably his first lead I think that we've seen here all night over aguire it's only by eight votes but uh Hey red Legion nice to stop in here great job Virginia you paid yeah so here we go cue the suspenseful music we've got Bob good has pulled the incumbency card and he's in first place now at the beginning of the stream I said I would guess he would nearly win up until a moment ago I didn't want to emphasize that because he was trailing but at this point I could say that is what I went with but again it's going to be so close I don't know both of them have a lot of endorsements they're stacked I was surprised to see this District get a lot of action here for an incumbent okay is that what we mean here vinman in the seventh he's the nominee gotcha he's going to potentially replace Abigail spanberger but he has to win in November that's that's not a guarantee but he's going to have the advantage let's see Oklahoma we've got here it is 6% in incumbent Tom Cole big lead over Paul Bon uh not a Republican man I I I get it um not sure who you're rooting for then in the other districts here's the other Oklahoma results let's go back here to the fifth and it's almost tied again 40 vote Advantage for Bob good and it Narrows even more 33 vote advantage 56% of the vote is in I don't think there's been any incumbents that have been defeated yet there's been some that have retired but in these primaries primary season this year now we had Garrett Graves who announced he's going to retire but a p defeat for a a uh either side going down to the primary usually there's always somebody who gets defeated Y and now look at this Maguire back in the lead that was a big boost for Maguire there it's got to be tense here if you're both of these candidates meanwhile yeah for the Democrats Gloria wit um can't say I know anything about her but 57% only 28% of the vote in there let's take a look at Oklahoma again nothing has been updated got a call here in the Third District Frank Lucas the incumbent minor opposition and in the seventh it's narrowed up just a little bit but still an advantage for Derek Anderson back to the fifth we've got Maguire with a very very slight vote dump and it has gotten a little quiet hopefully everybody's still doing well out there it's a Tuesday evening it's not the best time to get a stream going but hey this is when the results come in see if there's any updated news nope we've got oh no we do have here uh that's this is the vendin winning it okay and Y there's a debate here they're mentioning between Jamal Bowman George ladimer it's going to be a big one next week although Bowman looks like he's headed for a defeat again here's the upcoming schedule real quick we can glance at that got Colorado New York Utah and a South Carolina runoff then we've got nothing for a while and then we've got conventions four-point Advantage here for John Maguire the Challenger to Bob good who voted to oust Kevin McCarthy as Speaker and now good has made a little bit of a gain it's a two-point race less than 500 votes and here is Oklahoma the fourth and right now looks like Tom Cole has a cakewalk here to Victory but there's only 11% in and it really got super quiet here at some point you have to wonder if it's even working but everything seems to be working from my end so what's everybody looking at what are the what are the key races what do we got coming up how about that debate coming up in a week week and a half could that change the trajectory of this race 79% in Maguire with a 3% lead couple Counties have nothing in yeah I assume it is working but I mean there's plenty of other people out there that might have a question or comment and it's it's gone silent so is is Maguire going to hold on this would be an upset I guess it'd be an upset because good is going to go down is the incumbent but it's too early to say we've still got some counties that have nothing in five of them and Oklahoma okay now Cole is under 70% it's called in the first here for Kevin Hearn who is at 86 token opposition pretty much okay we've got a little bit of a gain for uh Bob good and it's another game now it's narrowed up again good is again closing the Gap we've seen him on top once or twice 93% less than a two-point Advantage for Maguire hunga really he did well all over I guess there's a couple of counties where he's under 50% but he's over he's at 79 in Lowden and he ran in that 10th District which is uh kind of Norther Virginia so maybe he does a little bit better there against Tim Kane so it's a showdown here Trump has apparently Endor Maguire so if he nearly wins you might be able to attribute it to the endorsement couple other races we're still waiting on let's go back to Oklahoma not much has changed about in Georgia how about the state legislator here we've got these races there's a couple of close Ones Still outstanding and Oklahoma does have their uh state legislator going on lot of house districts so we're in a mid to late June primary here you might remember if you were around here for the Iowa caucus stream earlier in the year and time flies now we're in June already coming up on July and we still have more questions than answers for this upcoming election we got polling today to glance at this we've got something out of New Mexico here finally it updated New Mexico poll from PPP and it's a seven-point lead here for Biden that would be a reduction from 20120 when it was just into double digits other than that we've got same old stuff pretty much for the head-to-head matchup it's either tied or Trump has a one or twoo lead or maybe Biden has a onepoint lead at least in the National popular vote is there more turnout uh the Dem primaries in the fifth well they don't they're not all at the same amount called we've only got 38% in here for the Dems and they're at 12,700 the Republicans and now we're at more than 95% and they're at 29,400 so it's hard to compare it when there's such a disparity with the number of votes that are in but right now Maguire more than 95% but there's still a little bit with uh two counties two places have nothing to me it seems like this is not more than 95% it seems like there's just less than 95% in couple of these counties are under 50% and this has zero and this has has zero and this has 59 this seems to me more like 70 or 80% of the vote in maybe 85 but as of right now looks like Maguire is holding steady but yeah the Dems I don't even know if this stopped counting but it's still only 38% but they do have a good amount of votes uh 12,700 and if we go back to last year or uh 22 we got Bob good here who he won with over 57% of the vote so that's a 15o gap for Bob good so the general election even if he should be any Republican should be able to win theoretically and in the seventh here it's still a lead for Derek Anderson for the go they're awaiting um or vinman is awaiting one of these to on the Republican side still got King George County has 0% in bats Sylvania with more than 95% it's going to Anderson 57% how about Oklahoma it's a little bit more narrow here for Tom Cole but nothing too dramatic okay and Maguire with a little bit of a bump there so we've got a few races still outstanding the 10th here for the Dems the seventh here for the Republicans and then the fifth here for the Republicans and it's narrowed up a little bit now again Bob good gains a little bit on John Maguire it just seemed like there were there was less than 95% of the vote in it seemed like that was a little bit premature hey there's not much else we could take a look at here again the fourth district in Oklahoma that's the one that's potentially the most competitive but although right now it does not look like it's competitive and now it goes down to 94% of the vote in now that makes a little bit more sense so they got ahead of themselves as I just said it seemed premature now it's down to 91 okay maybe they heard me before saying 80 maybe 85% uh you read a story about a random astrologist from India who said World War III would start today okay I mean I don't buy that kind of stuff really there's always somebody every once in a while that says some event is going to happen the world's going to end I mean you got to take that with a grain of salt 92 % in now yeah they must be watching this thing and now we're down to 88 okay make it a lot more sense we've seen some crazy things though we saw it lurch like 30% like three or four times times in a matter of minutes we saw that earlier okay is it mainstream I haven't heard it I mean it's probably so much out there that I'm not able to catch in time but so far it looks like we're in the clear I I don't I didn't hear that a war started today but depends on how you define start as well I assume starting means you know serious Hot War action and now we're down to 84% crazy how this thing is okay Anderson yeah 82 how about the 10th not much change here it's called for Tom Cole and comb Tom Cole is the winner Paul Bond did not really get anything going um not that it was really supposed to be that close but out of all the races That was supposed to be probably the most high profile but so far it's a flap so stay tuned here for this fifth congressional district this is not over yet it looked like it was done with this 95% plus but now we're down to 84 um I did not see that comment I don't know if it was on a video or in this chat but either way I missed it um I mean I've been pretty swamped for the last several days uh some comments are slipping through because it just I I can't I can't get to all of them um but who's stronger I really don't know uh I I I I'm not sure I have after that would take a little bit more research to differentiate those two I mean Kane has that running mate appearance for Hillary and that might I don't know if that helps him or hurts him you a lot of these guys were Governor as well it just Warner though almost went down and that close race to Gillespie that can 14 I don't know they're both probably good enough they've got adequate experience I'd have to look more into the specifics Newton I'm not sure which Newton we're talking about uh Tim Kane is more liked is he okay uh you clear the video a little more um I there's nothing I can really do uh that could just be your bit rate thing I mean all I can do is make it bigger unless my own stream is having think a little bit reduced quality at the moment but in general it should be um it should be pretty good quality it should be 1080 and I don't see any indication that I have anything going on with the stream yeah it says it's good on my end um and I've never heard anything before unless there's a temp very blip I would maybe recommend you know doing the standard refresh take a look at your uh the quality within YouTube is there an update on okay still 41% here for the Dems oh okay I must have missed it on this stream either I missed it or it didn't pop up I usually able to capture all the the comments unless there's occasionally where it's pouring in and now we're down to 78% well they really blew it on this the tabulation here all right so I'm heing the video is fine so that it's probably going to be more a specific issue for you if your video is not clear I hope we get that fixed sounds good good good to hear that it's all going well yeah I'm not sure what kind of delay there is or if it varies from person to person I don't think I have a delay set myself anyway so Oklahoma is pretty much over unless you're into the state legislator here we've got some action here not all these are uncontested and Georgia pretty much finished up a while ago except also for the state legislator few races outstanding here 10th district for Virginia for the Dems still 80% in still a fivepoint Advantage here for suas mik Clancy already the winner for the GOP the seventh we've got 92% in we've got Derek Anderson leading Cameron Hamilton by 7% and vinman is the winner for the Dems to replace Abigail spanberger who again has decided to run for governor of Virginia next year so we're down to the fifth district that's the big one it's several people that came to vote in Virginia seven thinking they would be voting for Maguire orange bord is the Northern end of va5 okay ask why the Democrats results are so slow that there's no way I can answer that uh we've seen that in other states where one side is way further ahead and the other side is not I mean there's just something's going on with that sequence of events where the one side is slow and I hate to see it it's weird where one side is 10 20 30% higher but they must be having some issue along the way it's pretty generic but I don't want to speculate too much sometimes there could be more mailin types of balance maybe they're take more time to look through a lot of things depending on the state depending on the race okay the seventh now dropping down to 80 which yeah that seems to make sense because yeah we've still got outstanding vote here down to 80% so VA is giving us some crazy results as far as the tabulation goes 79% in here in the fifth how about honga he's sinking but barely and we're up to 81% we've got a three-point Advantage here for Maguire filler corn bumped up to Fourth there you go that's that's the Highlight for her congrats she's in fourth former Speaker of the House it seemed like Dan Helmer was going to be the favorite here he had fundraising but or he yeah he had I believe he had a ton of funding right now he's not getting it done he's only a 26.4 but there's a this is a crowded field here so Dan Helmer is leading outside of Lowden and Lowden has 95% in and that's where Helmer is doing his worst so it looks like there's zero in here it looks like Helmer has some vote out here outstanding it looks like Helmer stands to gain a little bit Now is it going to be more than 4% maybe not but he's probably going to go up a little bit more if these results are accurate yeah after redistricting a lot of people they might have their the lines change in their own town and might take some getting used to part from Ohio Montana West Virginia what state is the most likely to flip in the Senate oh that's three states right off the board but after that I know then it's going to be a scrape um it's just it's either going to be Nevada or Michigan I would say uh then I would say Wisconsin but I would say Nevada or Michigan I mean that's that's pretty much what anybody would probably say anyway that's not a bombshell prediction but probably those two it's not going to be Pennsylvania that I think would be down another tier uh yeah filler corn doing poorly didn't she resigned suddenly I think she did I she just suddenly resigned from what I could recall when she was in the legislator in the house so I'm not sure if there's more going on behind the scenes I haven't kept up with her personal life and Oklahoma yeah we can check here once in a while but there's not much going on let's see any news here we've got the race between Bob good chairman of the House Freedom caucus and his Trump Endor hard right Challenger they always throw in these descriptors like that but uh it's tighter than expected the bitter primary has split the mega Universe the I don't really characterize things like the way this person does but hey that's what people do uh two close to call expect a recount while the good camp uh he waits on provincial and absentee ballots all right okay Georgia usually never if any noticeable redistricting change es uh I mean I'm sure you go back enough there's going to be some uh look at va7 and hilarious part elmarie County Far West yeah look at that one vote 50% in with one vote Dems have two votes yeah that that tiny part of that what one vote and it it covers a good amount of I that's not a lot of space but I would think there's more than one person that's going to vote in this entire piece of land here looks kind of like an appendix or something just hanging off the end there Chris vanallen claimed Larry Hogan was a magga candidate I mean I'm definitely not surprised I think that comes off as desperate because nobody thinks that I mean Van van how is not even running against Hogan but yeah I mean he's in the Senate there but his his that should not be his plan of attack his plan of attack should just be going for the obvious keep the balance of power with the Dems and Hogan's another vote for the GOP and he's a great Governor but he's not right for the Senate that's what he should say I mean just say that he's just if that's what he said I haven't seen that but that's that's what I would expect to see but I doesn't really make a lot of sense I don't know if that's going to land for voters there stupid redistricting move they have to have a Preen open for them they're a separate County yeah that is weird oh but two votes one vote I would think there'd be a few dozen people at least Trump did endorse Hogan did he endorse Hogan like overtly that could have happened easily I uh I missed a few things over the the weekend but but even if he did I mean Hogan is known for not being a trump style candidate he that that's if there's one thing he's known for it's that he's mo more moderate that mean Trump could come out and endorse also Brooks does that make her a trump candidate no okay yeah let's see where's the vote outstanding it looks like good has um a little bit he can gain I would think his vote outstanding here and this is where uh good has a lead so it looks like he might be able to squeeze out maybe another a couple hundred votes or so if these margins held and Maguire probably has a just a little bit left he can go for as well but not at ton this District though this is fairly split it's interesting and then the seventh not much of a change so I think the big thing here is still this Fifth District in Virginia that was the big one early on and here we are uh two plus hours later and we're still looking at this race it is surprising honow just totally dominated Fairfax he's at 67 and he's up huge Lowden 79 he's got um they have 36 registered voters okay that is I wonder what the turnout here is tonight 20 25% I mean if it's only that one person showing up then that's way way less than that but the turnout overall I would expect to be probably 20 something but maybe not maybe it's just really low so every other race here in Virginia is called we've got these three up still it's a about 1100 vote lead here for John Maguire less than 10% W that is pretty low I could see for a runoff this is the primary you'd like to think it's going to get into the 20s that's why it's just really hard to predict what's going to happen in November with mailin ballots and then with the turnout I mean we've seen special elections we've seen primaries but what's it it actually going to be in the general election obviously the turnout's going to be higher than 10% it's just real tough to imagine who's actually going to show up and what are they going to be motivated by okay it's an 8020 Republican Precinct you read about Vermont's demographics sh me it's one of the bluest State it's rural most Rural and whitest in the country yeah I mean it goes to show yeah it's not all about race but education income that's another Factor culture that's also a factor but yeah it is overwhelmingly uh blue even though it used to be longtime Republican state as we've mentioned a few times here on this channel but Phil Scott liberal Republican very liberal Republican he's going to be going term number five that's that's impressive whether you love him or hate him I mean five terms even though they're only two years you know you got to got to respect a five term incumbent if he gets it done which he probably will it's quite decent early voting numbers for the county as a whole all right then does that mean not many people showed up on Election Day I guess Anderson was announced the winner in the seventh let's confirm that uh yes Derek Anderson is the winner here over Cameron Hamilton uh they might want to wait for one more vote out of this County but 90% in it's going to be Anderson up against vinman and I would guess vinman is going to win this thing and it's probably it's not out of the question but let's double check uh what spanberger won last time so she won by under 5% That was supposed to be the red wave that didn't really materialize spanberger even though it looks red here uh all the people live in the blue Parts spanberger wins by almost five so it's not impossible this could flip it could but the vinman is going to be the favorite okay now this just narrowed up here now for good and Maguire uh Trump endorsed Hogan okay Phil Scott also the most popular yeah he's quite popular it sometimes politics just amazes you you know Trump said he would like like to see him win I maybe I heard that part if if Hogan did win and Trump won then you'd just see I would guess you'd see a lot of battles between Hogan and the more establishment candidates would be Hogan marowski and Collins possibly doing what cinamon Mansion did and taking down some legislation that might have passed otherwise I remember when Trump endorsed in the Missouri US Senate race in 22 he just endorsed Eric and there were two Erics running gron and Schmidt so he kind of covered himself there by not picking one over the other that was pretty funny uh it's not supposed to be funny in endorsement but that that was pretty funny you might remember that one spanberger is really liked vinman doesn't have any Roots here uh I don't think vinman even lives here really well that could be uh something somebody a carpet bagger that's probably going to be thrown around then if he doesn't actually live there I think people hate to see that but yeah spanberger seems like her going for governor is going to that's going to be tough but although we saw mcauliff go down and he was the former Governor I thought he was pretty popular uh Romney I forgot about him he's going to replace Romney and as the male Le some rowski Susan Collins okay and we've got that Utah Senate race coming up next week who's it going to be is it going to be John Curtis probably but um I assume Republicans are thinking anybody's going to be an upgrade over Romney that's my guess even if it is Curtis but we'll see what happens and almost everything is wrapped up we've got State Legislature though still happening in Oklahoma as well as Georgia some runoffs down here uh where did you see Anderson being announced uh that it's called here AP on New York Times uh that's what I'm looking at uh okay how bet you think David Tron was if we spent 50 million and uh he's probably pretty mad it's embarrassing um money doesn't always get it done I mean sometimes a lot of times it gives you a bit a boost and usually your favored but not every time and trone taking an L there is you know that's embarrassing all right Dan Helmer has made a slight gain here as it looks like outside of Lowden he should be gaining a little bit that was probably not enough there for him but he should gain a little bit theoretically if these margins hold so about a 1,000 Advantage just under that 990 for Maguire 78% in so still got some vote left Garcia was a nice guy when you met him you talking about Edward Garcia okay sounds good then C one every County and City accept them for you yeah 90% I mean look at this second place is 10.6 he doesn't need to run off Eddie Garcia okay third place for him I can't say I uh have followed him at all but good to hear there's a nice guy out there running all right now it's down to an even 2% for Maguire still 78% he had the least money running Grassroots well maybe he goes up from there he uses that goes into a different race I'm not sure about his background maybe he was already in the state legislator so maybe there's nowhere else to go I like this they've added they now they've added the hundreds on here we've got another digit I don't think that was on there a second ago okay and a plus Z and minus Z okay now we've lost the hundredths of a digit I kind of like that that was kind of cool now we're just down to 0 five but it's a onep pointer these these guys are sweating it out right now that's guaranteed yeah we could have a recount I guess certainly if it's less than a half a point I would think that'd be happening uh I'm not sure what the rules are for automatic recounts in this state or Republican votes in the primary that Dems oh aguire goes up 1110th uh 50,000 here 18,000 yeah I don't I wish this was the same amount in but yeah I mean again you can point that out that's for sure but how much bearing is that going to have on the general I tend to think not enough you don't think Hogan is as left as marowski or Collins we'll most likely have to cater to the more liberal Republican establishment to keep in favor with his base yeah I mean that's I would say that's mostly going to be accurate are there bears I was just comparing the vote counts uh they're bears oh the seventh all right 33 34 okay yeah 8491 maybe in the end it'd be Dems having more but again yeah super low turnout I don't know uh I wouldn't make too much of it but yeah yeah this stuff does change pretty quickly a lot of times and still 79% in yeah I suppose if this ended a long time ago I don't know what else we'd be taking a look at uh so we've got a good Showdown here at least for a stream so again hope everybody's doing well this evening and and you're having a reasonable day slash night hope everybody likes the stream subscribe share donate join become a member if you feel like supporting the channel you volunteered last election for Vega you came up short going for a better with Anderson yeah I did I thought yeah in that midterm where it seemed like there was going to be some kind of a red wave it did seem like spanberger would have been at least in serious danger if not going down but that didn't happen she held on by four five points whatever it was all right what have we got we've got nothing updated I would assume this 10th district is going to get called here for the Dems pretty soon because I don't know how much is left out there for Dan Helmer Vega is awesome you're glad you volunteered what happened her what did she end up going on to do uh in the last couple of years youve knocked on a thousand doors well sounds like you're intimately involved there in that campaign but she wasn't enough to take out spanberger he a little bit more vot coming in but nothing is changed more than a onepoint lead for Maguire they endorsed Hamilton and she came up and said I gave you a hug wow said I could switch your PIN to hton Any Time nice yeah maybe she'll run again in the future so we're pretty much only waiting on the 5th and the 10th the 10th is less consequential and Oklahoma is kind of done as well 80% of the vote in we're waiting on more to come in and see if we can get a result here yeah that is pretty wild if we've got two people from Virginia here tonight I guess it tends to happen sometimes people show up for a stream if they're from that state hopefully enjoyed that video I put up a couple of months ago the Virginia explained uh went through that for 2024 not a fan of spanberger people need to read up on her yeah she might be a future Governor spanberger that's certainly if Biden um lost if Trump won i' say her chances go up uh this issue is what your District contains city of Fredericksburg in the northern part of the district it's where the focus needs to be all right and now it's been called here in the 10th we've got a call it's not Dan hel Dan Helmer it's suas sub manam going have to read up on how to exactly say that but state senator I think uh he's going to be the nominee in the 10th to replace Jennifer wexton who has declined to run uh I believe for health reasons he's going to face my Clancy uh yeah spanberger 66 to 75% chance I mean it's super early but now if Biden wins then I would say it's 5050 but again that's super early depends on if Sears runs or she doesn't run good will probably win look at the ones with the lowest percent yeah I mean here's there's one from Maguire I mean he could get a little bit more out of that there's not even half the vote in it's going to be tough um Anderson's focus on infrastructure it's great for the northern part of the district sounds good focusing on um infrastructure that should be a crowd pleaser I suppose wxon has a form of Parkinson's okay I might I probably heard about that this is pretty much the last race uh to take a look at here outside of some state legislator races I mean there's a ton of these Happening Here in Oklahoma onepoint lead less than 600 votes I I don't know what it could get down to but I don't know I wouldn't want to be either of these guys right now but yeah it's always great to have people local in the the stream next week we might um might get some Colorado New York Utah South Carol Ina people if there's a stream there might be a stream I can't guarantee it but it's a possibility so this is I this is the last race outside of the state legislature this this is it and it might go late the count seems to have kind of slowed up a little bit so yeah there's not a whole lot else we can take a look at so yeah I don't know how long this is going to take the Democrats are only at 57 sometimes these percentages just sit there even the next day they never really go up so that's it here's Georgia again this kind of wrapped up pretty quick Wayne Johnson defeats Chuck hand Brian Jack wins against Mike Dugan and that's an open seat in Georgia the Third District to replace Drew Ferguson Brian Jack pretty confident had that Trump endorsement again I bring it up because sometimes that matters in a pretty red District the 14th here this is a red District as well the Democrats have Sean Harris he's going to challenge Margery Taylor green who either you love her or hate her that kind of a person but she's heavily favor to win to say the least oh here we go and now it tighten again and we've got the hund's digit back on the board 5028 49.72 still 80 81% in oh now look at this good on top he's reclaimed the lead it's been a while but he's back on top and it's by a little bit he's got a several hundred vote cushion here uh in case you missed it only 1506 of 303 precincts are in uh yeah I don't think it says the precinct no numbers that might be on uh VPAP but I don't have that up at the moment kind of just winging it here on on the times but uh good found some votes but theoretically Maguire has a little bit to gain here well waiting for the the next vote dump and in the meantime again we could see uh current polling today we've got pretty much New Mexico it's been a while since we've gotten something out of New Mexico but we've got a public policy polling poll here PPP has bed up seven 48 to 41 that's pretty much all we've got uh yesterday I cover this De Moine register poll Trump up 18 that is gigantic and then we're waiting on the VP selection here for Trump and beram on the markets is the leader Vance is behind and then Rubio Tim Scott has slipped down to third fourth place with Ben Carson at N9 cents so that's what we're looking at here while we await some results and we also have um there's a little bit of a vote dump slight reduction for Bob good and in the meantime we could look at everything else is pretty much in Oklahoma everything is in here we could look at the 538 model they're their updated model look at this Trump 50 Biden 49 I mean that's as close as it's going to get I mean they run this simulation 1,000 times and they have Trump winning 503 Biden 492 no winner five times so that is pretty wild stuff and they updated this very recently we've got Trump 270 Biden 268 live in Wisconsin my family always goes Republican but it does not look great for HDI his nursing home comment hasn't registered well here um I'm gonna have to take a look at that let's see well I think uh Hy I mean he already ran tried to run or he did run back in the day and he he didn't win so I didn't I don't I think baldwood is clearly a stronger candidate there but I mean hey it's Wisconsin it could be it Anything could happen but I think yeah Trump wasn't Trump just there doing a rally or an event or something was that today yesterday there was news about it on here anyway okay here's a vote dump and good it goes up slightly but yeah H the I I thought thought Republicans were going to get somebody oh that's living Wisconsin not live by the way we'll correct that but um yeah they didn't get Gallagher I don't know if did David Clark say he's actually not going to run because he was thrown around for a while his name and they didn't get Tom Tiffany they did not get somebody high-profile so so they're going back to HDI which it doesn't seem like a great move but who knows yeah HDI is the business guy running in for the US Senate of Wisconsin yeah Clark said no okay officially last time I heard it was like he's maybe doing it still looks like this narrowed up again I believe yeah I mean Wisconsin is a state Republic should be putting up a good candidate I mean they had Ron Johnson winning but now they've got to try to take down Baldwin but that's it's that's going to be uphill uh he's from California are we talking about Hy well he havy already ran back in 12 right and he lost to Tommy Thompson I think in the primary I would assume he was living there back then or at least registered to vote there maybe that's why he lost to Thompson but look at this narrowed again under 200 vote lead for good I think Wisconsin has a late primary I think that's August or something probably look here on the schedule at August 13th we've got that all right I think we're all caught up on everything this is pretty much the last race 34 people here again welcome if you're lurking or if it's your first stream as Bob good slightly gains on John Maguire but yeah we do try to stream once in a while we usually go for several hours cover all the action and hopefully you're enjoying the stream and you like share subscribe whatever you want to do to support the channel if you're a fan maybe you're not a fan at all maybe you hate watch this stream it's always a couple people like that 83% of the vote in but back to this 538 model they have Trump barely ahead now in the Electoral College but in the Russ Bel Biden wins all these I mean all the states the rust spell so H we'll have to see what happens but this is this races the whole reason the stream will be several hours yeah but you know we want to cut it after only an hour would we uh let's see you always find ausing of the three Northern counties of Wisconsin go Dem uh was Superior in the two next to it yeah that is true way up there there are three blue counties um Ashland I can't recall them off the top of my head Douglas probably another one but yeah the those do go Blue they're not extremely blue but they are kind of blue uh I'm going to stream the June 25th primaries another somewhat a somewhat close close primary New York's 23rd uh 22nd sorry uh probably I going to try to do it but I can't guarantee it uh I wouldn't want to say there's going to be a stream and then it falls through I mean it could always fall through even at the last minute but I'd like to do it next week cuz I know I'm not going to be able to do it every week but then after that there's no primaries for a while uh there's the conventions coming up there's a debate coming up but as far as the primary next week I I'm going to try to do it um so stay tuned for that because yeah we want to see some New York action as well as the other states primaries they're all a big deal but then by November everything that happened to the primaries is usually forgotten about for the most part all right and we've got another vote dump Bob good goes up a tenth of a percent and McGuire goes down a tenth now a lot of these good counties are kind of maxing maxing out on the turnout and some of these Maguire counties still have a little bit left that's how it looks so especially here in Pennsylvania that has it's not a huge lead for Maguire it's only eight points but if 62% in maybe Maguire gets another 100 votes out of that that's not going to close the gap all the way Superior makes sense because of the Luth right next to it right right that is uh some decent population up there right by Minnesota 86% of the VOE in let's go back here to 538 so yeah I'm not sure exactly they have Trump winning getting 270 but on their forecast here they have him losing the Russell States and winning the other ones so that that would come out to 268 for Trump but they have Biden at 268 so maybe I'm missing something here we'll uh we'll see what happens but we following this model as we go it looks like uh over the last couple of months Biden had a small lead and now he's slipped behind slightly here's the popular vote this hasn't really changed that much this has been biting ahead by about three to four and now it's about two or so win probability just happy to livein a trump plus 30 County surrounded by Trump plus 30 I think that's 30 40 I can't even read that counties uh you're talking about Wisconsin okay well good to see you interested in these in the Stream here in the other states uh there's a lot of ton of trump friendly counties out there a lot of them are sparsely populated but yeah some of them are massive massive Trump counties it's kind of like the opposite of going into the extremely Blue urban areas that are 90% against Trump shows you where the polarization is all right here's another small vote dump and now this time John Maguire goes up2 86% do you think it's more likely New York Democrats are going to win more of the competitive house districts and do you think that that will tip the House Majority toward well the Democrat should at least flip one of those seats I I haven't looked it up recently I don't want to get the numbers wrong and the exact seats um so I'd have to look that up I think Brandon Williams is I believe in the most danger um I don't I I could be getting that all mixed up but I'll have to try looking that up again get brush up for next week but I it does seem like democrats should at least flip one maybe two seats they should hold that Pat Ryan seed and molaro should maybe be able to hold on I'd have to again double check but Democrat should probably at least get a a seat and they already flipped that George Santos seat on Long Island with u Tom swazi uh you live around a few Democratic counties mostly dhy County Georgia I live in deep red while you live in deep red Lee County all right sounds good and yet you made it here to this stream I always wonder how people uh found the channel to begin with some people have been here a little while maybe even over a year at this point so it's always nice to have people on this small independent Channel trying to get it up uh you think Maine is the most likely state in the Northeast to flip um Trump would have to get three out of four electoral votes more likely than New Hampshire yeah there's been talk about Maine flipping being competitive we've seen a couple of polls not lately though those polls are several months old um in both candidates were in the 30s I think a lot of that as I've said in my video on those polls is that that's a lot of Biden support that is just not enthusiastic for him but by election day those Biden voters are going to say they don't want to support they want to support coming out against Trump so they're going to come out against Trump that's where Biden's going to get some of those voters that are on the fence about Biden they're going to come out and vote against Trump that's how I see it going and then bid should be able to win the state I mean easily maybe even maybe even by more than five points it could get under five that's a possibility there's a shift there it depends how many candidates are on the ballot that's the other thing but would it be more likely to flip than New Hampshire that's a question to uh for everybody to think about the channel should have at least 100K subscribers yeah well what's that about I mean that's being obviously a little hyperbolic but I mean I I almost have 1,000 videos we're going to be coming up on that soon a thousand videos and maybe half of those are pretty good you know but it hasn't translated into a ton of subscribers for whatever reason uh should be more than what it is okay you subscribe to other channels and later got recommendations that makes sense I can see that happening uh would I would think there'd be a bunch of other people like that as well I mean I've been doing this a long time now what's safe Republican state do you think is trending most towards democrats for future elections um it could be Utah I mean it's so red but that's could be trending a little bit that could be going Bluer that's a possibility with migration into the state Montana as well they do get uh people moving to that state it's a state that could become a little less red over time but I mean we're just talking about would be a little less red yet Kansas is another one that's already been moving that way and that's not extremely red but it's it's red enough it could it get under 10 at some point in the future yeah it could other than that a lot of these states are just very red of the the obvious ones in the South it all depends how you want to look at it in 20 years which of those states are going to be five to 10 points bler yeah I would guess potentially Utah Montana Kansas uh Nebraska also is a oh look at this John Maguire has taken the lead from Bob good and this has been back and forth this is a pure horse race 88% of the vote in he's only ahead by 200 of a point and eight votes he get your popcorn ready for this this is going down to the wire that's probably came in from Pennsylvania where Maguire was ahead but oh this is this is getting pretty spicy eight votes eight votes out of 59,800 this is probably the most exciting race we've done on a stream uh and this is only in the primary it's so exciting it is completely shocked the chat what inspired me to talk about politics in the first place well uh the simple answer is going to be redistricting that's how I uh that's what I first wanted to talk about primarily because during redistricting a couple of years ago I was wondering as John McGuire has a slight boost there I was wondering why no one was really reviewing the maps no one was really talking about them um and I was following them and I some of them I thought were um unfair some of them I thought were overhyped how unfair they were and I thought well let's take a look at this so that's how I those are the videos I initially was doing for months and I come the primaries also two years ago so that's the main thing um that got this thing off the ground now hardly anybody watched those videos over two years ago but it was mostly redistricting uh District yeah I have used that uh not lately cuz I haven't taken a look at redistricting since I uh it's kind of fizzled out um I know there's a few court cases still out there but I I have used it in the past yep and you know on top of all that you know you want to see what what happens if you've got an idea for a Channel or maybe it's just you want to just get out there and see what happens you're never going to know if you don't try it so so here we are 87% in so yeah over uh over 950 videos uh the quality has improved a little bit obviously since the beginning maybe it's improved a lot certainly the audio has gone up okay that was a year later that they got recommended well that's unfortunate I mean I it could be a keyword thing um even if it's not it's still I'm good makes a gain there anybody searching for redistricting videos I would think they would come across this channel because I mean I've gone through I've reviewed every state 44 Maps I believe I've ranked them I've reviewed them I mean some of those videos are only a minute or two long because it's hard to make a seven minute video if nobody's gonna there's no audience surpris the oran governor's race almost went Republican uh yeah though I is that going to be on some Ballot or they I know some of those Counties have wanted to join the the greater Idaho um movement or whatever it is but that race was pretty close but uh Tina cotek and she the the partisan Lane of the state put her over the top Christine dren came up short um that's probably my number one miss uh for my prediction at the I had that going to CCH the whole time at the very end I changed it to dren but I that's that was I I would like to take that one back because I think the day I put that up the final like two polls came out like the day before the election and showed dren down and kotek up and I and it was kind of a three-way race with Betsy Johnson believe that's her name but uh yeah maybe you could say abortion is the issue there where if that didn't come up Republicans maybe would have gotten 1% better in some of these states and they could have flipped a couple Governor's races possibility nobody's going to know for sure um what did Trump have against Bob good um I my guess is that um Trump would wanted to keep McCarthy in his speaker and because McCarthy got taken down partially by good then Trump turned against good that's that's what I uh that's what I'm going with uh the the the 2022 midterm retirement video only has four views I think I looked that up uh maybe a month ago and I think I did go back to some of those old ones and and I was pretty stunned how some of them had just no views it's it's kind of astounding uh now it's not the greatest video I get that but four I was going to make one for this year but I decided you know what this probably not going to get a lot of views I did make one but I did the Montage you might have seen that video the the retirement montage for the house I thought that was uh a better approach to take to do put a music on do a slideshow kind of thing um but yeah it's embarrassing looking at some of the view counts on these it took a while a while to start getting views there months months went by with without a lot going on so to the few people who were into the channel the first three four five months well that's very impressive even on the midterms I did stream for the midterms at 22 it's on there if you want to take a look at it not a lot of people there for that I think at that time we had about 300 to 400 subscribers everyone seems to be writing off Colorado with safety but every metric primary Bo polling fact that they tried booting Trump I can see flipping over what some call New Mexico as the Battleground uh yeah I you know Colorado just seems to have just been no success for the Republicans ever since Cy Gardner they tried to run Joe day for the Senate last time he did nothing and the state senate the house it's just it Republicans have have flopped hard there um I could see it getting closer but getting under 10 I don't know I mean there's been a one or two polls it did show it under 10 but again that's pretty early uh 15 counties I believe but Ido hasn't commented on yeah anytime there's any kind of thing or seccession or breaking off starting your own State usually that's viewed unfavorably by anybody outside of it generally it's just it's going it'd be too hard to get any steam going on that for real I mean outside of the U the area in question will the Democratic governor for North Carolina help Biden a little on the presidential level uh Jos Stein is the candidate for governor there I I don't know you know I think it's probably going to be a wash because I think Trump is going to be igniting Mark Robinson voters there and Biden probably is similar to Stein they're proba both probably not going to be super exciting so I could see yeah Stein wanting Biden to keep the state or wanting some support from St uh from Biden to keep the state in the hands of the Democrats for governor to balance out the super majority in the legislator but I don't how much Biden has like no star po power terms of excitement I would think Robinson is gonna be more affected by Trump but that could have a negative effect some people could just be more motivated to vote for Stein again to vote against Robinson and possibly Trump as well okay we got a Stein call here winning 05 to7 I mean that's a p toss up I mean if that's that's anything goes when you're down to that kind of a margin Colorado isn't flipping it's like Oregon it's too far gone I give New Jersey a better chance of flipping uh yeah I mean mean these are all solid blue States but yeah New Jersey could could be I mean last time New Jersey had a wider margin than Colorado if I'm uh not incorrect here that I I just don't think either of them are worth really talking about I I put out a tier ranking for the most competitive States last week and a lot of people mentioned New Jersey should not be on the bottom New Jersey New Jersey and maybe maybe but in June I'm not thinking New Jersey is on the radar yet I do think that's probably the state that's most likely to have some potential movement to get down to a likely rating in the uh that part of the country and some people said New York and I'm thinking well that's it I can't I can't see that yet 90% of the vote in now it went to 90 but I didn't see a vote dump come in any updates here not really some of these Georgia legislative races are in obviously if you're from that area that's going to be important for you and it looks like Oklahoma we've got some runoffs I I guess in some of these legislative races and here here's going to be a moment where I'm going to take another one minute break real quick so we'll be back in just a second e all right and we've got I think Nikki Haley's future chances for president in 28 will be impacted more positively or negatively due to her marks toward Trump we talk about is is there recent remarks if there's something that happened very recently I may have missed it because I've had a lot going on the past few days but if we're talking about before that just generally during the primary season um I yeah I could see it either way I could see in four years or three and a half probably when the campaigns start getting going uh maybe even a little less than that 3 to three and a half years I could see there being some resentment about how Haley stood up to Trump in her way um but at the same time that could be in a while I mean that's in a lot of time I could see a lot of people not caring a ton because somebody's going to have to step into Trump's shoes and but that I don't think I don't expect her to have a ton of success as of now if she rebrands herself and tries to lean in toward uh Trump especially if he got elected then I could see her having success it all depends how she postures herself and if Trump wins and then what he does but yeah I do yeah I mean she's not what the base has been looking for at all and I don't see it changing a ton again unless she gets on board with Trump if he wins leans into that then I could see it not being a big deal but I still think there'd be other candidates that would be ahead of Haley um I mean it just doesn't seem like Haley is the person to succeed Trump so we've got Maguire here in the lead by two 300 votes 90% in and Bob good has a little bit maybe more he could squeeze out here but so does Maguire uh designated Survivor or House of Cards uh yeah I have not really gotten I have not gotten into those um there's a lot of shows out there haven't been able to get into them so yeah can't can't comment on those so Oklahoma's in except for some of the legislator and then of course Georgia the same thing those three races are in all with similar margins 65 to about 35 so how much more are we going to get out of Virginia's 5ifth I mean I've heard yeah House of Cards that's one everybody used to talk about back when it was on that was a supposed to be a great show but I mean you can't watch everything um there was Whitmer priter new some running Democrat nomination 28 you have guess who'd win uh probably probably Nome then pritsker then Whitmer that would be my guess I think Nome just has I would guess the right characteristic characteristics to make to do well in the uh de primary there and prit I mean Nome has all the connections pritsker has connections as well he's super wealthy but I don't know if he would have the I he's going to have less Charisma less of the appearance I suppose if that's a factor and Whitmer I think is probably better as a VP pick I think she's probably a little overrated um or probably in the cabinet that'd be another thing for Whitmer but 28 is a long way off I mean it's so easy to think who would get it based on now but three four years that is that's quite a long time in politics all right we're at 90% can we go higher than that so Bob good here he's on the ropes he's he's down but he's not out yet and we're uh coming up on about 4 hours on the stream we're at about 3:40 and we've got about 30 35 people in here something like that it's always good to have the uh the total go up maybe at the more high-profile races we could get that number even higher next week New York Colorado South Carolina runoff Utah Utah has the most action they've got Governor Senate and House although the governor's race not really expected to be that competitive the Senate might not even be that competitive either but we'll see what happens in the final week but New York a lot of races there and Maguire gains very slightly uh your family does not have favorable views not many Democrats but Andy Basher and West Mor the Maryland governor seem to be the two more likable Democrats interesting I mean Basher that guy is kind of a crowd pleaser I mean he's kind of comes off with that U Southern Hospitality kind of disposition and he's considered kind he's considered moderate and he's young a lot of Democrats are a fan of him and West Moore he I don't know a ton about him but yeah he he's in there and he seems to be doesn't seem to be a bad guy but obviously it's a much Bluer State he's going to be much more to the left of Basher interesting to see those two as as the uh the ones that are liked uh should they call it now this race there's a little bit more vote coming in 91% in yeah I mean it maybe pretty soon I could see it cuz yeah this is not as extremely close as it was so there's going to be a uh big deal if Bob good goes down I guess Trump would be bragging about his endorsement winning it is it is a little weird though that Maguire gets the Trump endorsement when good is already on the freedom caucus uh if when Mitch McConnell retires who takes his seat came down to Basher versus Massie if it was Basher and Massie in the general election well I mean it I would say almost any Republican would win so Massie should be able to win that uh I don't think b b already said he's not going to go for it but you know of course he could change his mind but Daniel Cameron is another guy who could certainly be poised to make a run for that seat after he came up short in the governor's race but Massie does seem to be kind of a kind of a guy with some other the radar type of support maybe Rand Paul would be behind him but I don't I don't see Basher winning anything outside of Governor that's of any consequence he could win a house seat in the the blue district there but for the most part um this year Governor is kind of it for him I mean that's how I see it going and I don't think M McConnell's probably got be done I don't know if he's even going to finish his term uh uh good Endor to santis and that's probably why oh okay you know that could be another Factor but I thought it was because Trump supported McCarthy for speaker a good went against McCarthy so then now Trump's going against good did you see decision Des had Minnesota and Main tossup uh I I saw they have from favored to win uh by a com almost a comfortable margin but I did not ex I don't think I saw that explicitly I know those are two states people and that in Virginia that people have talked about being really competitive um I could see it happening uh but I I I want to give it more time I'm more open to that as the time goes on but you know I kind of got to see it to believe it uh any had vegans uh I I don't know what what to say about them just the act of being a vegan I mean that if they're just choosing to do that that should not really affect me uh I mean all depends on how you carry yourself I mean if you're anybody could be a jerg right uh Trump Endor Maguire because good endorsed the santis in the primary okay uh what do you think think the future of the democra party is be the party of Marin orange Maricopa and Oakland County or the party of mome Mahone kha Green County wow those are you're you're hitting up some counties here uh future of the Democratic Party uh it's probably the former um basically you're asking I would think if if they're going to return to more of a blue collar working class type of appeal I know I think they should I think well probably both sides should go for that but will they do it probably not the uh the the the wealth the coastal counties they have a lot um there's a lot more power there a lot more funding there and it's hard to imagine um that not the party not being centered around that uh that would be my guess now at least nationally locally you're going to have it's going to be easier to get candidates to have appeal in some of those counties do I have a favorite tonight uh I favorite for I'm not sure what there is this is the only race that's not called uh I slightly predicted good would come out on top I suppose at the very beginning but I said it should be very close and it is other than that there's really nothing to predict here everything else is over uh thanks for another stream at 3 it's four I'm going to say this is closer to four hours and it's still going uh I know you know how taxing the streaming for so long can be you appreciate taking the time to speak to us for so long well that's a very nice comment it it sounds similar to I got last week that might have been the same person David Lee that's a possibility that might have been you but yeah this is this is a long stream it's not super long last time we went over five five and a half hours I believe and the time usually flies uh sometimes the uh the chat dries up and there's no nothing to talk about and there's no races to call but a lot of times it's fun uh but yeah it's great to hear people appreciate it um last that last time somebody gifted a membership that was great uh for that I think got a super chat I think it's been a little while but I think that was maybe a couple streams ago so but just people showing up and appreciating it and appreciating it that's that's how to do it but yeah it does take a lot of effort to sit here and do this takes a lot of effort to make a f minute video but um the wigs uh what What's see Campbell County is almost done so looking like there's no path for good now okay um 92% in let's see you have election prediction video If came down to Trump versus Hillary round two oh I skipped over here the wigs party should restart because the name of the party is funny yeah it's going back ways uh I mean I guess it's a little funny sure uh so prediction for trumpers Hillary round two is for if 2024 I mean I it's hard to say get that I didn't put out a prediction video this month due to the Fallout from the Trump conviction and then of course we have a debate coming up so I was I wanted to let the dust settle on that and it's still going to settle there hasn't been a lot of movement slight slight movement I would think toward Biden makes sense to me I after a conviction I've done several videos on the polling since I'm sure I'll have another one coming up but if it was Hillary again I have no idea I would guess uh Hillary would probably lose because she's damaged goods she already lost but then again she's not Biden and almost anybody body that's not Biden should be able to win because they're going to be younger but that'd be my guess it'd be close but I could see Trump coming out narly on top again but it's going to be hard to say um Let me let me jump into this with we've got the Super Chat going now we've got a a from bears great stream you're tired after sitting at the precin for 14 hours so you're headed to bed well hey I I appreciate it that's that's great you know every every extra little bonus is always nice just sit here for all these hours and keep the channel going and I love the super chats they don't come in often but you know you got to you got to tip your hat to a Super Chat you know hopefully someday we're getting tons of them we're getting them coming in every minute or two but and yeah you're this stream is relevant to uh where you're from so glad I was able to cover it for you probably be heading to bed at some point myself but uh have a great night uh thanks for the uh the vote of confidence here all right let me go back up to okay stay on well we'll stay on for a little longer we'll see uh this District there's a bunch of drama most people are covering the race are talking about um is that the drama that I mentioned between McCarthy and good and is that we're talking about it could be other drama uh are from California DTE valo and Garcia's chances uh California you know there's so many districts there and there's several rematches in the works um that I would have to take a look at the specifics now I with think Garcia Mike Garcia uh he should be able to win that'd be my guess and DTE uh and Val I you know the my recollection is in the primary the Republicans got decent numbers in that top two primary and of course it's just the primary but if you compare it to the other years the primary number turnout should doesn't look bad there for the Republicans so that's what I'll say there but I Garcia seems to be the one that' be um be able to hold on he's not going against Christy Smith again it's not going to be another Christy Smith matchup but uh and sounds like you might think that they're going down based on that question so uh some of those I'm going to look into a little bit more there's so many districts I like states that have maybe five to 10 seats probably less than 10 it starts getting a little out of hand but I have to I I have to double check how many rematches are going on exactly in California uh MTG definitely whispered in Trump's ear to endorse Maguire Bob good was one of the reasons why she got kicked out oh yeah she did get kicked out that's true tester probably barely holds on to Montana if was Rosendale he probably loses but with shei tester wins by two to three you know I actually it got brought up last week there was a debate between shei and tester already and I I was able to actually check out that debate that was one of the things I was able to squeeze in this past week and I thought they both I think did ex what they needed to do I think sheii it came off reasonably well he might get labeled a carpet bagger for not having the extreme roots in the state like tester does but that's going to be close I could see I could see sheii winning it uh the last prediction was tester winning it because I mean people know tester and I think that does go a long way um what sort of video eding software to you use for your videos uh Kaden live that's that's mostly would I do the editing on uh I know there's other ones I I can't think of the name off the top of my head but I've been using Kaden live that's for the editing uh there's other stuff out there for other things but the editing most of the editing is on on that do you think Trump could actually pull off a V pull pull off a VA the Nova area he seems to dominate oh okay could he went I don't think so I've had Virginia likely for Biden for a while and it's low likely it's it's like six points uh no actually on my last prediction no it was probably seven or eight points so it's an improvement for Trump but but could it get down under five not I don't think so yet but I mean we're all just kind of making up stuff really once the actual results come in then we're all going to scramble to try to explain it it's usually what happen certainly after 16 all right you appreciate being an unbiased Source even though identifi as a Democrat I really like your unbiased opinion and I've looked at both right and left sources talking about this um is this we talking about the election results because but either way yeah I do hear that a lot I mean of course sometimes I've got some opinions on certain topics sometimes they get mentioned can't be a complete unbiased robot 100% of the time I don't think anybody wants that but when it comes to call the results or talking about what's happening yeah I I try to keep it pretty pretty much in the middle I mean it's usually the most fun I don't know I don't know what fun it is coming on here and rooting for or against somebody the whole time that just seems not that interesting for me oh this election I should have read the next comment that might help sometime s uh very relevant and my candidate won so I could sleep well good stuff oh yeah again thanks for that Super Chat uh if you're still here you know see you on the next stream uh so M Maguire was the only States mcquire okay only state senator to vote no unbanning child marriage in the state as well as Co sponsored some pretty left laning bills as well MTG was working hard to get ousted or get good oued um that that's some uh additional background information that I cannot corroborate but I will take your word for it uh you missed the debate that tester Shi debate I mean it's you probably watch it anywhere but um it was interesting it was an early debate I was wondering why are they having a debate already um I I don't want them to wait until the end but that that was uh not a bad debate there in Montana okay recently watched video on Missouri noticed a trend where you uh uh to overemphasize suburbs even in States dominated by rurals like Missouri uh I mean I if that's how you want to look at it I suppose I mean I try to point out what I see and the suburbs there are much rder than in other suburbs I mean there's only so much you can talk about when you're pointing out counties or Urban suburban and rural areas and you know I try to point out strengths and weaknesses for each side um these results don't have a pattern d Richmond suburbs are going for Maguire but the other Urban centers are going for good and also about the Missouri or any of the other videos I mean I mean if you just enjoy them on the whole get some information about them and you know that that's the main takeaway um I mean for some trying to find something that you weren't a big fan of I mean you can if you'd like but um I think there's just beneficial information on the whole and hopefully everybody enjoys those videos you appreciate imparting my political knowledge with so many districts and race it's hard for me to keep up political scene appreciate you making it for me to for us to understand and you don't follow poptic closely it's hard for me to often know what's going on otherwise uh that's true it's there's just so many out there it's hard to follow I mean was just mentioning California I can't recall some of those specific districts myself off the top of my head because it's just there's too much you can't remember every candidate every year every margin there's just way too much I don't think there need to know that either uh if you know the the major stuff that's that's good enough you know if you don't know you don't know I mean a lot of people don't follow politics closely I'm not even saying I follow it super closely um my more do follow the current elections but you know a lot of people don't follow it and they don't really need to I mean there's other things in life um a lot of people are going to vote even if they don't follow it I don't think Biden is more likely to win Arizona or Wisconsin in this election especially since the polls have been narrowing more towards Biden in Arizona and more toward Trump in Wisconsin well it seems like Trump has had some decent Arizona lead um and that that makes me think he would be more likely to or Biden would be more likely to win Wisconsin because that is pretty narrow and you know I'm not going to go get too caught up in the week to week fluctuations in the polling I mean it's not it's impossible to not factor that in at all but I want to more so think about it in a maybe a month-to-month type of uh on a month-to-month level now of course as you get close to the election then the week to week stuff is going to matter more but we're four or five months out I don't want to get too caught up in it but given how narrow Wisconsin has been I could see that one being more likely to go toward toward Biden even though I would think that one could easily go to go toward Trump as well but you know again it's all just anybody's best guess the immigration is such a a big Topic in Arizona that I could see you know Trump doing well there um but again things could change by election day uh okay Wisconsin do you think uh because he's got both get you think he gets both due to abortion being on the ballot in Arizona and pushes Biden over the top all right there's also that immigration uh referendum there in Arizona I mean they I they could who knows what any of it's going to do really I mean if you were a republican looking to flip Virginia 7 you would have wanted hona to run he would have been able to do better than Vega in Prince William since Nova is his base and and he had a tight race in 10 yeah he did have a narrower race than uh I thought at first as we discussed earlier uh so it was down to four or five points I think or no no was it was over five it was five to six so he made it closer but not extremely close but yeah maybe if he did run in seven he does have those ties uh to to Nova there maybe he could have won it it is always weird when a candidate runs in the house then they fail and then they try to go for the Senate it's like well wait a minute you didn't win this lesser race how are you going to the bigger race uh does Trump comments on taxing tips help him close the gap in gap in Clark County uh yeah I heard a little bit about that and I think it was the the union bosses were not buying it at all which we've seen in a lot of unions but probably the workers are going to be much more um open to it um I don't know how much that matters it might just be viewed as a a promise maybe an empty promise during campaign season I don't know how much is going to matter in the end but I don't think it's going to be a dramatic thing in Clark County but if he just improves a little in Clark yeah then he would be able to win that state which the polling has indicated as such but yeah the the the taxing tips I mean candidates all the time they come out election season and they make these sweeping claims about what they're going to do or not do and a lot of people are are kind of Jaded by promises from politicians they they tell them what they want to hear but do they really buy it I think a lot of people need to see it in action in order to believe it because a lot of people are just disaffected and they're not going to really buy it uh I played Minecraft long time ago not with just just briefly uh never really got into that okay agree with the idea about him losing va10 running for the Senate I was looking for him to build a political career I want him to switch to seven yeah I mean I I I bring up John James in Michigan he ran for the Senate twice back-to-back Cycles failed and then he decides to start rebuilding he goes for the house he narrowly wins and at least that's something maybe he eventually goes back for the Senate but he's already got two losses under his belt there's probably other examples of somebody failing in the house and then going for the Senate at an emergency first time checking on the polls looks like hand got embarrassed I'm not expect to be that bad in Georgia here Chu hand yeah he in in the first round way and Johnson got about what 45% of the votes so it was looked like Johnson was going to be able to just put up another 5% and take it and he did right here and I think chuckh was U more controversial but so it's going to be Wayne Johnson he's probably going to lose to Sanford Bishop oops all right let's get that back on here uh okay you would have thought Vegas to be relatively closer you wouldn't have thought Vegas to be relatively closer to Big City Trump would do best in yeah there's a lot of working class Blue Collar voters workers in Clark County there Vegas I mean to keep that City running a lot of people behind the scenes on the ground there tons of culinary workers and Casino staff and police it's all it's all a big thing there but it does look like I that state could go toward Trump I mean I've had it at going toward Biden because I do expect the polling to tighten up there let me get back to the fifth here I do expect the polling to tighten up I think it's a state where one of the few states where I think that it could underestimate Biden the Democrat but we'll see what happens uh we've got a we got a super chat here from Dustin Kramer glad to finally meet we plenty of your comments I've seen uh your first stream but I appreciate the uh the Super Chat here an extra couple of bucks for the uh the channel that's good good stuff but thoughts on VP uh for Yan you know it's not that bad of a pick actually um I thought about it actually the other day and uh let's pull up the VP Market real quick yonen is at six cents see if that has changed at all up he he's down to five now young can I don't think he would flip the state if he was a VP but I guess yon can it's it's he'd have to step down from Governor so that's going to be a big blow but if it put Trump over the top then of course it wouldn't matter but I don't think it's too bad of a pick I think it would be better than beram in terms of adding to the ticket because bergham is just so Bland he's not from a significant State he's older youngen at least is a little bit more in the direction of addition to the ticket but but stepping down from govern that that could be a big blow especially if youngan was going to challenge Mark Warner with the Senate next time it's not a bad pick but it is a little risky giving up that very valuable position as Virginia governor oh and I actually mispronounced your name there it's carner not Kramer sorry about that uh anyway uh Blake Masters if the other way around he's running for the house now but the primary is close uh yeah that is that yeah that's the other way around if Masters failed for the house and then went for the Senate that would be the same but yeah he's in a tight battle there to replace uh Debbie leco against Abe hameda we'll see what happens on that one does Bob good have still the chance I if it hasn't been called you've got to say there's a chance because when it is close who knows what kind of balance are still trickling in but on a glance it doesn't really look like it there's still some vote outstanding here but this is going to be the best bet for for good but it seems like he'd only be able to scrape out another or 60 votes um do you think that Outsider candidates have increased overall due to Trump's Outsider win in 16 uh yeah probably because I think both sides are going for you they rediscovering themselves you know progressives have emerged for the Democrats a lot of them are Outsiders and a lot of Republicans they've had a lot of Republican Outsiders now they St establishment doesn't like Outsiders on both sides they don't want to see that happening so that's a whole another issue but yeah generally I think a lot of Voters on both sides are not a big fan of the status quo so they're looking for people outside the establishment and they're going up now there's all kinds of smears with Outsider candidates but I would say yeah they have gone up uh could bite and drop Harris for Jimmy Carter at the convention uh that n that obviously no chance but hey technically could if Carter makes it he's almost he's going to be 100 this October that is massively impressive considering he entered hospice last February so he's still going can he make it to 100 that's going to be massive stuff I you know he sure he'd want to make it to the next election to see who's going to win but yeah Harris uh I think Biden could probably get an upgrade I mean a lot of people probably would prefer somebody other than Harris bergham is being chosen for fundraising yeah bergham has he's wealthy and he's probably going to be able to get some tap into more than uh I would think JD Vance okay all good thoughts on Trump winning Georgia by his 2016 mergin uh yeah that what was that margin like four four and a half I'd have to double check that to get it completely accurate it was three and a half I don't know but um I I would think it would not be that high if it was something if it ended up if it was six if I'm thinking of the right state it I don't think it would get up to something like six that seems way too much of a stretch but could he win it by two or three yeah he could the bows are showing it's steady for Trump and that's impressive but again it's June let's see what happens in August September after Labor Day that's really when the gloves come off and everything starts to really take shape so it's fun to take a look at things in April and June but after Labor Day is really when you know the excuses kind of start to go out the window but yeah Trump has shown he's successful in these Sun Belt states and Nevada but Republicans have blown it in the Senate they've wiped out in those races the last few Cycles but Biden is unpopular so that I know Democrats talk up abortion and of course that's gonna that's that is one of the few beneficial issues to them in the Atlanta suburbs that's going to be key but other than that Biden he's not popular now it could change he could go up but I don't know if George is going to be able to go back four or five points for Trump that if he maintains a lead in the poll significantly then I'm going to I'm going to be open to it then okay oh hey you're back seems like the race is pretty close for Maguire and good it is close but uh there's not a whole lot here outstanding for Maguire or for good left uh Maguire got about a one and a half point lead but hey I've been out here so long we've got people coming back that happens from time to time so good stuff trying to keep up with all the comments that looks like uh sports news Willie Mays has uh has died at 93 uh not relevant to this but that's a uh something some people might care about uh you heard from another political YouTuber that Bob good is going to run for lieutenant governor if he loses but after that his political political career is probably over uh good running for lieutenant governor uh yeah I guess that's I could see that because he's what he wants to stay in politics and he does have some support he could get some crossover support in theory lieutenant governor that's an interesting position uh I would think they're going to call this race at some point but now it's down it was at 91 or two now we're back down to 90 I don't get it uh Jimmy Carter was a bad president but overall he's been one of the best people to be to be president yeah he's kind of one of these humble guys and he's fairly lowkey but yeah a lot of people did not like his presidency but his post presidency which has been a very very long time um kind of a guy that's hard to be he's hard to hate I suppose he is a nice guy who's that I it might be referenced to the Willie ma thing that the baseball player uh Hall of Fame Legendary player uh about five I'm not sure what the five is in reference to maybe I missed something I think the chat disconnected for just a moment I think it's back uh hopefully something will come in here to confirm that so as of right now it went down for just a split second or a minute so we'll see if anything comes in here if anybody okay there we go now we've got something Georgia all right now we're back at it um about five so yeah okay then yeah again I I would say that beating that seems unlikely at this point it seems unlikely but again it's June if if Trump's pulling in polling if he's pulling five six point margins in October then yeah I'm going to say that's going to be a possibility but it'd be tough to think that it could go after he lost last time that it but again it also depends how many candidates are on the ballot but it's tough to imagine it going that far back toward Trump but then again I was surprised Brian Kamp had an easy re-election he's been relatively popular um I think it's easy to be wrong in politics I mean it if you can get a 50% track record I think that would be impressive obviously outside of anything that's blatantly obvious um Nevada do we think Nevada will be the new Republican Western State while Arizona becomes Democrats you know I want to wait and see what happens after this election that's what a lot of people have indicated that Nevada is going right it's going to be red it's been a little while since that's happened Biden won it by three and a half last time uh something like I believe that's the margin but so yeah it's tough to think that it's just all of a sudden going to be the red State and then Arizona immigration's a big deal there and that's going to be a strength for Trump of course we know abortion is going to be good for Maricopa County for for Biden that's the big County more than half the people live there but it could they Arizona's already it already has they've lost their Republican Senators and but Nevada I'm not so sure it's already to just be a red state yet they haven't they've got Joel Lombardo there for governor but um theyve had laxalt not getting anything done in the Senate he's got to some they've got to have they're going to have to win a senate seat there for me to really think so I mean they did have Dean heler in the Senate not that long ago so but since then okay five points right that sounds right um yeah so yeah I I would think not right now I think he's he's under five Trump loses this election do you think someone like Nikki Haley would be able to get the nomination 28 that comes up from time to time I generally don't think so but anything could happen in three three and a half years in politics I think that somebody else could easily emerge somebody more close to the Trump direction that hasn't really gone against him Haley she could she has time she could if Trump wins she could get back in the cabinet even that's a possibility she could cozy up to Trump and then try to run and maybe she would have success I just think that's not that likely two and a half sorry I had three and a half it's two and a half so many margins so many states uh same with Hillary even with third party voting stay the same thought it's a Brian Kemp unseed John oof that does get brought up once in a while uh in the 26 and the state government stays Republican well I mean this this this legislator 26 I mean that's that's skipping ahead couple of years we got to see what happens in this election for that but it it could it could stay Republican but for ass off and Kemp uh I did cover that earlier my answer is that if Trump wins then I think it's more likely to be blue leaning it's Blue Wave type of environment in 26 I would think it's more more likely that oof is going to hold on now Kemp I Kemp has been impressive for my point of view in terms of popularity I think I guess K is probably the best bet for the Republicans at this point and I would be a little bit more likely to think he would try to run and if Biden were able to win then I think ass off could be in real danger and Kemp could win because then I would think it would be a red laning environment in 26 but if it's if Trump wins and it's a Blu lining environment then I think it would be competitive but asov I think could hold on but I do think Kemp makes it pretty interesting uh if he took an ass off if drop is still around who will he endorse in the 28 primary if he's still around who will he indors um I whoever is loyal pretty loyal to Trump and has a reasonable chance to win maybe that's somebody like ramas Swami maybe it ends up being Des santis again Dan santis was the favorite for a little bit just a little bit but other than that it could be somebody else completely not of the map if somehow he picked Vance as his running mate and he won then it's going to be Vance as far as someone like Byron Donalds I think Donald's would have to probably have a Statewide win before he would be in contention for something nationally I think maybe Donald's could go for for governor he could go for the maybe go for the Senate if Rubio decides to retire leardo is only 61 could pull a Hogan uh yeah he could I mean he's probably going to go for a second term and then maybe I know there was talk about Rick Harrison going for the Senate from Pawn Pawn Stars but that never materialized uh you're still convinced of the big possibility of Georgia being the new North Carolina where it's uh just Out Of Reach for Democrats well if that happens we'll have to see over the next two to four years Republicans are going to have success there and they're going to have to pick back up those Senate seats we saw in that state supreme court election that the Republican backed candidate Andrew penson he won very easily now that's a totally different race and a totally different election but that's got to give Republicans some hope there but then again we see in the special election in Ohio last week Democrats uh they lost but you know they cuted the margin significantly very very low turnout hard to draw any solid conclusions from low turnout on that note I'm going to take another quick one minute break be back in just a second e for all right so where are we here uh generally tilting AR a competitive for Georgia yeah that that I hear you on that's the North Carolina comparison uh I thought that might have been the case up until the elections for Senate the last couple times where assoff and waro won and took down those Republicans so that made me think okay maybe these Atlanta suburbs are just they are not into the Trump brand and they're that's it this is not going to tilt our they're going straight to voting for Democrats just like Arizona but maybe they pull it back they could uh if georg's migration Trends continue Atlanta sub Atlanta metro could Trend BL um yeah maybe I mean Trump could make some gains actually in Fon County itself in in Atlanta but it shouldn't outweigh what potentially could be gains for Democrats in those suburbs C and gwet looking ahead you think if Republicans elect their popular Governors for Center raises they can get pretty strong Challengers for some of these Democrats seats soon new Kemp Lombardo yeah I mean but you got to think Democrats might do the same thing they could put up Whitmer they could put up Tony iers they could put up Josh Shapiro uh you know there's always somebody um transends Atlanta suburbs have been really slowed down though including migration to Atlanta the black belt and Central J are not are still trending red yeah I mean I do think it's it's Up For Debate it's up for discussion it should be be close um but as far as the recent elections I mean Democrats delivered the goods I mean they went to runoffs I that was after the election way later I that's not I don't really care for that but Democrats got it done when it counted and you know there's going to be I'm sure Republicans are demoralized there I think during those runoffs they felt like they didn't even want to show up there was talk about that because it just seemed like a lost cause they lost faith in the election system and you know that maybe that was a factor in their in the Republicans defeat there where will they call it I don't know uh it might keep going but we're going to have to actually at some point wind this stream down we've been going over 4 and a half hours so uh I mean it's great to go while especially when there's action in the chat but more so if there's action happening uh to look at here elections I mean we could always get on and do a stream even if there's no elections if there was enough people for it but we've got uh any political candidates from the mainstream that you think could be the next Obama level winners oh electoral winners excuse me uh does that mean on either side that kind of if you mean having a ton of electoral success it just seems like we're so polarized now that things would have to change um things would have to change on a macro level a lot of cultural changes would have to take place it would have to be kind of more of a consensus I don't think we're there yet I mean anything can happen in you know four or five years maybe even less but seems like it's going to have to take some time to sift through some things because there's a lot of divides out there in a lot of different ways but I don't know who could have Su people often talk about Michelle Obama having a ton of success or Oprah now I don't know if they're exactly serious candidates for office I don't think they are people talk about them having a ton of success but as far as politicians um I can't think of anybody that's going to just be some kind of a transformative type of figure and just have a ton of success I we've seen a lot of people flail and and and flop in primaries over the past few Cycles I mean yeah some people have mentioned West Mo in Maryland he his name got brought up earlier as him potentially having aspirations for future office uh some people mention Nome doing that I think he's kind of polarizing but he still could have success I don't know if it would be a ton of success uh been lurking in the background doing some program me fair enough um I've been doing the stream but we're probably going to be winding it down here uh just joining hey you're late to the game but that works uh any inside of who is the more magot like candidate in VA five uh Trump endorsements aren't always a great indicator well in the fifth here it's it's supposed to be Maguire is the um candidate to the right of Bob good that's how it's described um so Maguire should be if that's what you mean by more magga if you mean which one is more Pro Trump that I could not tell you but if Maguire is being described as the candidate that's more to the right of good then I'm going to say that Maguire is more Maga if that's how you want to interpret it but it's true that the Trump endorsements have sometimes he has endorsed a candidates you would think would be more established Nancy ma we just saw that he wanted her out of there a couple of years ago now he's endorsed her so yeah it's it sometimes there's inconsistencies you enjoy the live streams and conversation Yeah well yeah I I'm surprised this is your first one um but yeah we've all got lives can't do it can't do it every time uh voice is so believe that says cool uh well good to hear that after 4 and a half plus hours um it gets a little tiring there's bound to be some some strain but yeah when when things are flowing the time goes by favorite Southern State pair Kentucky in Tennessee or Alabama and Mississippi are you just talking about the state in general just just it forget politics just its own state like natural resources that kind of thing the weather or are you talking about the Senators the governors a lot of different ways to interpret some of these questions let's see if we've got any updated news here nothing really that's I know we've got 13 minutes too Virginia does not have an automatic recount but if the difference between the two candidates is less than 1% either side can ask for a recount absentee balance which must be postmarked by today could still come in as late as Monday it may take a while until we know the result in Bob good versus John Maguire so there you go right there so they might be waiting on absentee ballots which uh could take until Monday that's 6 days so that's that is I mean nobody's going to be excited about that but are there really that many there for Bob good so that's probably where we're at it looks like they might not call it then even though the margin is greater than 1% but there is no automatic recount process in Virginia um just in general uh I have to take those two States combined um I probably Kentucky in Tennessee I mean that I just leave it at that I tough tough uh tough thing to think about uh we'll ever do a face reveal well I mean ever I mean who knows what could happen way way down but uh that is not in the plans really at all uh yeah like the video that's for sure I'm hopefully everybody already did that subscribe share um eventually you know the you can join the channel if you'd like to support it couple of options there there's not a lot of perks that's the thing it's hard to create a lot of perks if there's not a lot of members but at the same time it's really all about supporting the supporting the the channel if you're really into it you want to try to prop it up that there's an option there if you choose the strongest candidates for president on each side who would you pick the strongest candidates this year uh it's really difficult to completely forget what we already know um there just there's always going to be a way to tear down every scenario it seemed like the sis in theory could have been a strong candidate yeah there's a little bit of issue of an issue with some Charisma there I get it uh but he's governor two-term governor of a significant State he won in the Blue Wave of 18 he seemed to have he wanted a landslide back in 22 it seemed like he had a lot of the elements to have National success uh that flopped so if you take that out I don't know who else they really is I mean you can go down the list you can you you can go through the primary candidates you got Chris Christie you've got Nikki Haley but it's tough and for the Democrats a lot of people go to Nome he on the betting markets he's usually the person who's as we got a little bit more vote coming in he's usually the person uh people think is going to be the backup to Biden so I don't know uh but right now yeah we've got Biden and Trump they're strong in one sense and they're also weak in a sense it's just it's it's tough first time dropping by how come I hear people saying States like Rhode Island and Delaware will be become Republican states while Kansas and South Carolina will become Democrat also so well first of all thanks for uh coming by on the first stream um I have not heard people saying Delaware and Rhode Island will become Republican states Delaware only after Biden is off the ballot because that's his home state it could go a little bit toward the Republicans that's not unreasonable but if we're talking about becoming Republican or just becoming more Republican then um I guess there's some I guess the best case I come up with is you know the workingclass voters in Delaware and Rhode Island they're there and maybe they'd be more open to a workingclass populist type of message and that could happen in theory from the Republicans but I haven't really heard they're actually going to get close to the competitive level but as far in Kansas and South Carolina well Kansas is kind of trended blue a little bit there's it has the makings of becoming blue over the next maybe decade or two could potentially flip if everything kept going and the suburbs just stayed blue and the rurals have been maxed out for Trump and they start to regress a little bit then then it could get bler in South Carolina it's not the reddest State out there um if that just Trends in the direction of its neighbors Georgia and North Carolina it could get it could get Bluer if people come in to the state and they vote to the left it could get a little bit Bluer but as far as actually flipping that's way too far off I I don't think that's worth really discussing if you're talking about way into the future yeah I guess there's those possibilities in the coming decades um probability oh probably Biden and Trump terms of getting elected I'm scared if Trump doesn't win our country will collapse well hey a lot of people think that about either side it's they view the other side as an existential threat and I always say every election is the most important of Our Lives until the next one it's just every time time we hear the same stuff um people thought when Trump was going to get in there that everything was over we're done for there's going to be a nuclear war uh the economy is going to collapse you name it and there was Co that nobody saw coming but a lot of that stuff was overblown and then a lot of people thought well similar with Biden not to that extent but you know the pendulum swings you can't say uh I can't say it's going to get better or worse or it's going to be I try to remain a little bit optimistic and if people don't like it they will vote for somebody else that's if somebody gets in there and they're just not getting the job done there's going to be another election usually in a couple of years and things can change and frequently they do but I understand there's some aspects that I can see people being concerned about for for different sides getting in there all right let me get caught up here uh does it grip I'm not sure what that means can you do Chrissy holahan Rama Swami spinner battle uh I think you asked me that and I did respond and the answer is that I mean it's it's interesting I mean I could sit here and do those all day but they just don't really bring in that many views um hoolahan is that I don't think she's a high-profile candidate um and I mean I'm doing the spinner battle on Saturdays um I'm I was doing coin flips and and and other things I might do those again those usually don't bring in a lot of views so it's tough to want to make an entire video put one up that's 8 or 10 minutes long and and people don't really care so even though I enjoy them they do take effort and the effort you're going to want to put that into something that's going to have a medium amount of expected success so I I cannot guarantee I get to that plus I do have a ton of backlog already people have suggested tons of different matchups and there's no way I can get to all of them I tried to filter them down and do the better ones the ones I think we get in bring in more views uh youngtom cotton 28 okay battle between sub 50 approval 50 rating candidates what is Biden's home state p pa or Delaware yeah and that was answered yep Delaware he was in the Senate forever there in Delaware but yeah technically I guess born in Scranton Pennsylvania uh why does r Eagles say pa uh does he I don't I say PA a lot of times I think that that is not an uncommon thing uh from my perspective I guess it just it's an easier way to say it than Pennsylvania I mix it up not sure what everybody else does oh you oh you don't mean he just says PA you just mean he says that Biden his home state is Pennsylvania I understand now I got it um wow five hours on here you know um I don't know why he says I don't know he said that I have no idea yeah I would probably ask him or see what the comments say there uh you live in PA the county I am in is extremely blue okay duly noted that uh could be right at Philadelphia area Chester Montgomery something like that uh every election is important at the border yep you had to bet who would win Michigan are you betting on well uh I my last prediction has Biden winning it that but that was in May it's so close I it's just I don't think there's any shame in getting it wrong unless one of them wins by four or five points um the right now it's so close it just is and plus I still not sure what Kennedy's doing um what kind of ballot access he's going to get he should be on the ballot in Michigan um but it it's closed I mean if I had the beted I would just I'd say Biden's going to get Michigan but I mean that's just well let's see what happens after this debate and the end of the month polling let's see what happens it's still only June we've got a lot of time to go uh if my life was on the line I'd say Trump all right could could happen I mean there's talk about um Biden taking a hit there in Michigan after for the situation in Israel or involving Israel would you ever consider doing a live reaction to a presidential debate uh I suppose uh I think a a big problem with that is it's unknown what is even allowed to be shown live uh you know with fair use and copyrights and all that kind of thing um so that's an issue there with what's actually within the rules of uh YouTube no party labels existed what Donald Trump versus Paul Ryan presidential versus Paul Ryan presidential pan out uh I mean I would Paul Ryan is saying so hard I I think he's not going to have a ton of success if if you're talking about National yeah Ryan would do better in the the wealthier the higher educated areas uh and Trump's going to do better in the other places but Paul Ryan yeah I don't think he has a ton of appeal maybe makes a comeback you know he's not old you do more spinner battles dice coin flips uh I mean I would guess I'm going to keep doing it a little bit but again yeah those videos they're fun they're you know they're tons of fun uh they're a little difficult to set up but um I like them it's just that you know they're not massive Sellers as terms of the views you know people aren't flacking in to see that there's some people that really enjoy them but when I look at what they're getting they're just not getting a ton so it's hard to again take the time to put up a video for the whole day and then that's only going to get 300 views 400 views uh uh you're in Chester all right gotcha so yeah you're right there though right outside Philadelphia Southeast pa uh have you heard what happened to Biden in California fundraiser uh I'm going to say no because I mean there's probably so many fundraisers if it happened today then no but uh if it's something like several days ago or last week then I might have heard and I just can't recall where it was we can see very likely 269 tied this year the main Nebraska districts could be extremely important that's true I mean Trump seems very likely to win Maine second Biden seems kind of likely to win Nebraska second but that could potentially flip it got a little bit R after redistricting that's the Don Bacon District he's going to be uh in some danger but he seems to have success when it comes time to vote but yeah there could be tie it's a possibility uh up good to diagnose diagnose with terminal ligma okay is that is there some news about good I can't be 269 if any candidates gets or loses the state then they're already getting other states they'll put them 270 yep yep I understand that angle but it I mean the 269 is technically possible people have ranted to debates they usually don't have the video just audio uh yeah I know they I I have seen some of that but it it what are the actual rules with that I mean how much video can you show and then what about after the fact it seems like people put up stuff after um you know would want to jeopardize the channel but uh as a viewer of the channel you person would rather have less spinner elections because I'm more interested in the current elections uh well I mean I have done less already the last few months cuz we've been getting into the primaries we've been getting into election season I still try to do them though for the fans of those videos um so that is what happens I I still doing them but I am doing less I we got to yeah cover what's going on in the election of course but I don't want to completely forget about them yeah 269 goes to the house yep you think Georgia will be leans uh yeah I wouldn't have thought so uh 8 to 10 months ago but I mean the bowling has held steady doesn't mean it's going to stay steady but I mean again I think if Biden looks weak he's going to put out executive orders we've seen some he's going to do what he can to not lose uh it's crazy how Chester has turned from extremely oh okay okay I that's gone good head ligma okay not sure what we're talking about 35 all right okay oh so some meme not sure about it would you say your best performing videos usually the prediction videos are the best because you know that's what more casual people want to see so those are usually the ones that are going to get the most once in a while though yeah again the different video catches on catches the algorithm and just surges but other than that yeah the the more in-depth videos about the the trends those usually are reasonable but you know it's still debatable the last month or so the views have been down a little bit so there's no really way to predict it but there's been a little bit of a decline for whatever reason um but yeah I might do some deep Dives again not sure I mean those usually was doing those for the midterms those usually had more success than other videos Chester County was extremely red to blue uh yeah it it it did change and it could be some migration there but it also could just be the the Trump brand is just too much for that type of voter they just another Factor political party am I well you know I usually just tend to uh defer to the video uh that's titled why both parties suck that one I think that's the trailer video or the the main video if you're a subscriber it's somewhere on there but you could also search for it that's that's the best way I describe it because there's just different views it's all over the place it all depends on the specific issue it's too difficult and also you know it's not as fun going into certain things so you can get some answers in that video but I decided to put up one of my requests either the John Carney versus Mark Gordon or Joe Mansion versus the uh I well I still got a bunch on the list I may have those on the list I the Carney and Gordon I I that's probably one where it's just not going to get a ton uh I did one with Mark Gordon I did forgot who he was up against but I mean that it just didn't get a lot of VI it just and I guess I kind of understand it I mean Mark Gordon who who is Mark Gordon does anybody care about this guy uh Mansion as a republican that you know I'm just I'm I don't think I'm cut out to do that much speculation Mansion is a republican I mean I could come up with anything and I don't know how how serious of an effort that would be to make so that's kind of a problem there um you know I used to do more outlandish hypotheticals there's always going to be one or two that are going to be borderline but I try to keep it mostly to what's going to be have enough of an appeal and I I'll have enough confidence to make I don't want to make a video and just be completely think I'm just making it all up uh what I doing Al alt history for 2012 I've done I think a couple uh they're on there if you search for them I've got a playlist and you could find them but I do those rarely very rarely because they're just it's it's difficult again I don't want to just comp I don't want to feel like I'm making up 75% of it uh I hate when people drag out the safe States election prediction official is notorious for this um I I'm not sure what he does or they do if how they drag it out uh maybe they're just trying to fill their runtime I'm not sure if it's working for them though then I guess it's working uh some of the polling video yeah the polling videos are hit or miss some have done well and I go wow how did this do well and then some have done not well and I go what happened here um imagine the prediction videos would do the best yep that's what I mentioned since that's typically what people look for maybe you could compare States um yeah I mean I want it to be accessible enough content and I want to have enough fun making it I don't want to go into so much detail that I'm not even that interested but I mean again I guess other channels have more success and who knows what they're doing they're seems to be working though for them um I don't know if they're going to call it here we just saw that we're waiting for absentee ballots so that looks like we might not we might not get a call here so that that's the update uh some of these characterizations I don't know they're just not how I would describe anything the bitter primary has split the Maga universe and now ex experts predict it will be too close the call uh did I have 3,200 subscribers no I not that I saw uh it's been ever since I hit 3,000 it's been like going up slower than uh than expected Can't Tell You Why putting up a ton ton of content still even though it's tough to get one of these up every day but no did not have 32 uh yeah you know it's not about who somebody does or does not vote for uh you know I don't really I usually don't go into that kind of thing again I just direct people to that why both parties suck they giv you get some idea you know the video is a year and a half old but you know and it it doesn't really matter anyway because you know I'm just here to call the results provide a little commentary as we go uh the Deep Dives in 22 was right when you found the channel like the First videos we watch waro and Walker and fetman and eyes ah good stuff those are good videos I do wish they had more success those took you know that that wasn't just you know 10 minutes to make that it was it takes a little bit of time um might do those again see if I can get those going in a at some point but yeah I mean those are good videos to get people who aren't totally familiar with the race just cover the background and the Outlook yeah that was uh that was a while ago why is is Red Eagle not making a live stream on this I did they not do a stream today no idea what's going on maybe he already did and he's done maybe he's busy maybe he's not feeling well who knows uh do I follow West Virginia politics you ever wondered what the state what the senate race would pan out if Don blank and Chip won the Democrat nomination well I mean then the theory is that Joe Mansion would come back in and run as an independent uh that's that theory but I still think Jim Justice would win but I D blanket [ __ ] man I I'm surprised he I wasn't even aware he was even running as a Democrat till I don't know wasn't I don't know was not that long ago but a blanket sh just doesn't I don't know how much of a appetite there is for him it doesn't seem like there's much we're waiting on one more race probably not going to be called tonight Maguire leading incumbent Bob good uh election prediction official sounds like he is so bored while doing his videos I wish he sounds like he's having fun like political exes keep up the good work thanks a lot appreciate the comments usually there's uh positive comments about the voice or something along those lines but yeah I there's no fancy graphics on my videos but try to do a variety and keep people engaged to the best I can but if his if his uh videos sound so he sounds bored um I don't know I would wonder why there's a lot of success there then I mean sometimes yeah you look at other channels and they've got way less videos and somehow they have way more going on in terms of uh their their subscribers and such it's amazing how Virginia went from six to 8% for Biden to tide the polls uh yeah I know we I saw the 4242 poll it's tough for me to think if it was 4949 I'd think oh okay and if we saw maybe a couple more of those around there I'd think all right this could actually be competitive but if it's one poll that's at 4242 and then there's another one that was kind of close a little before that I still think we got to wait I'm thinking there's a lot of Northern Virginia voters that are going to be disaffected not enthusiastic about Biden but in the end they're going to say well they don't they don't want to see Trump in there so they're going to they're going to vote for Biden that's my guess I would still think Biden's going to win by over five points but you know again we've all been wrong in the last few elections and probably a good number of races I enjo the the ad the ad reactions yeah those are that's another series I've doneen uh haven't done those since almost almost a year uh when during the Kentucky governor's race um usually they don't a lot of the times I was only doing one ad in a video and it's a shorter video it's like three minutes and that's easier to make I'm not sure if people want to see a 3-minute video or a seven-minute video but I might do more of those but it depends you got to pull in the right ads you got to they have to be ones that I there's a lot of different factors that go into the ads and the candidates um there's no slam dunk on what brings in the the views once in a while something catches the algorithm it gets promoted a ton and that's great other than that prediction videos usually do better but you know there's exceptions uh is anything else going to happen this is pretty much it this is absolutely it everything is in we've got the seventh in the 10th is in Georgia is in we've got all the state legislator races the runoffs are are in Oklahoma is in we've got some of this is headed to a runoff some of this is still outstanding lot of races here but that is pretty much it uh we've been doing over we've been another five hour stream so we're going to have to wind this down pretty soon the last thing is the fifth here in Virginia but again apparently we're waiting on absentee ballots and John Maguire's ahead by a little over 300 votes and 1 and a half% about but other than that I mean yeah if you if if you go to bed that you didn't you're not going to miss much else if you've got other things to do um your shorts did well the shorts there's views but again yeah the the watch time is very very low because they're so short and then I know those videos I knew they would get a lot of different types of reaction and yeah there's that's what they did I mean there's too many comments there's no way I could comment on all that and a lot of them are just completely lopsided comments anyway there's nothing to add but yeah put out a couple of shorts finally did that what surprises you the most I about these these primary well probably going to be right here in this Fifth District that it actually that Bob good is potentially going down and he was in the freedom caucus I wouldn't think he would be going down but he is going down other than that we've got hunga with a gigantic lead I didn't think hungka would to totally dominate here so anyway we we're going to have to kind of wind this down pretty soon here because we've been doing over five hours I got to get on to a couple other things here still 30 people here that's great but um yeah I guess it does take some patience um you could never sit for five hours I mean it's going to be happening like this on Election Day I assume probably way more than this it's tough yeah I mean it you can always slouch in your chair and shift positions so many times and you know there's only so much you can do but you know that we had one race outstanding and plus we had a lot of comments coming in so that keeps the time moving uh do I think David Purdue should have tried to run for Senate in 22 rather than governorship I don't think he should have ran for governor but I thought um I can't even think of his name now the um oh the guy in Georgia in the in in the US House who retired he was going to go he was almost going to go for the Senate but or didn't he they lost or he didn't go I can't even remember at this point I've been going here for a while uh but I don't think uh Purdue Purdue is kind of old I would think he would want to retire but what primary election this cycle had been the most hostile toward incumbents in both the GOP and D primaries there hasn't been that many it' be this one for the Republicans because I don't think any any other incumbents have gone down this is the most endanger and comat is really in and he's down right now uh other than that i' have to think back um uh NE it's probably going to be next week in New York when Jamal Jamal Bowman goes down um uh it's a freedom caucus coming to an end I mean I would think not yet we have to wait till after the next election uh Doug Collins that's a guy I was trying to think of Doug Collins in Georgia I thought he was going to get in but it never really panned out or I thought he was going to be appointed over Kelly laugher in Georgia that's what I thought but Kemp went for laugher probably a blunder but who knows all right you're taking off Liberties Coalition have a good night thanks a lot appreciate coming back in I've R touch besides one person was United in the Senate primary behind Hong yeah I didn't look way into it I guess hona had a ton more support than I thought uh but it is surprising it's that high considering he didn't even win for the house but let's see what he does uh okay just funny BS good night thanks yeah thanks everybody you want to watch more SP see there's some support for the spinner battle see got to satisfy um that need so those are coming up still every Saturday I've been doing them as we get right into the election and maybe I don't know if I can might have to change things around right at the end but for now those been coming up uh coming out on Saturdays but yeah have a great night thanks for showing up my castle should have run for the Senate uh yeah he' have to move down there and uh and try to do that but uh I don't think that's going to happen but anyway I am think I'm gonna I gotta I gotta wind this down I don't think we were going to get any more in I covered everything the quick recap here is man in the seventh is going to take out Derek Anderson to replace Abigail spanberger in the 10th I have to look up the name pronunciation here but suas San um that's terrible I'm sure but he's the nominee against Mike Clancy he's going to be favored along with vinman in the seven and then Georgia we've got the runoffs here Wayne Johnson easily defeats Chuck hand Ryan Jack easily defeats Mike Dugan and he's going to try to replace Drew Ferguson in the Third District the 14th District Shan Harris is going to face rery Taylor Green in Oklahoma we have the results here and not much to say Tom Cole Easley wins that and the only thing outstand and hun how is the nominee to take on Tim Kane in the senate in the Fifth District Bob good the in cumbent is trailing John Maguire right now and we're waiting on the final votes it could take until Monday they say the absentee balance could come in until Monday uh thanks for the stream okay yeah it's been a pleasure good comments classy stream a good conversation uh trying to have a more consistent schedule well I put up the videos usually at the same time every day the weekends are a little couple hours earlier during the week usually they're at the same time but sometimes I put them up a little earlier if they're more time sensitive if I'm able to I mean it it really there's a lot that goes a lot of factors in these videos who do you think will win the VA race for Senate uh Tim Kane you should with that but it's not a guarantee but he's going to be favored and at the very least Kan is going to be favored hunga he has his work cut out for him he's got a little bit of Name ID but he's going to have to really Step It Up run a smooth campaign and hope Tim Kane has some kind of a misstep and that Trump turn out somehow puts hunga over the top but uh I'm going to say that's unlikely uh people saying Minnesota could flip I think think that it's I don't think it's there yet I don't even think it's competitive I had it about probably around five points for Biden as of my last time I thought about it it's close it's borderline Lan likely I don't think it's down to being really really competitive where it could flip yet I just don't think it's there it could get there it does have the makings of a state that could get more competitive but it got very close in 16 that was with third party support being elevated ated but last time of course it lurched hard toward Biden easy margin for him seven points or so but I it could get more competitive I just want to give it some more time uh oh if you did not mean hun CA uh versus Tim Kane in this race if you meant this Fifth District then I mean I'm not sure how much were the absentees are going to be skewing toward but I mean Maguire's ahead by one and a half I mean it seemed like he might be uh potentially the favorite but again who knows where these outstanding votes are coming from uh Huna does not have a wicked pity P hey somebody could change that but yeah I mean I he's just he's not notable enough that that's it Minnesota right now for uh gops like how Democrats feel about Texas uh yeah I guess you could say that uh but Democrats never really got super close in Texas Trump got one and a half away in 16 and a lot of candidates do have a Wikipedia page yeah I guess I mean if certainly if you win even if it's just a state legislator you can get a page I mean then you're notable enough but outside of that who knows you got to have some other not Bron KY in New Mexico he's a guy who failed twice uh I think he has a page uh he did not for a while I remember that there another guy to look up to get a little New Mexico plug in there but other than that uh I think this is going to conclude it this is if almost 5 and a half hours again we've done it it's a success maybe next week can't guarantee it but that's a possibility other than that and remember to like share and subscribe if you're a fan of the channel if you'd like to support it feel free to do so but this concludes another stream thanks for watching have a great night for