Four Tropical Disturbances Churning In Atlantic As Peak Of Hurricane Season Nears

HAVE A GOOD ONE. YEAH, EXACTLY. A LOT OF YOU DEALING WITH SOME NICE CONDITIONS. SOME OF YOU IN THE RAIN. YOU NEED THE UMBRELLA AS WELL. AND OF COURSE, LET'S NOT FORGET ABOUT THE TROPICS. THEY ARE ACTIVE. YES, VERY MUCH SO. SO THAT'S OUR LEAD STORY. I MEAN, WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE BOARD FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCES, IT CATCHES YOUR EYE, ESPECIALLY BECAUSE WE HAVEN'T HAD ANYTHING SINCE ERNESTO. THAT'S TRUE. YEAH. IT'S VERY, VERY ODD TO HAVE SUCH A QUIET AUGUST. YEAH EXACTLY. AND YOU THINK ABOUT THE STRETCH WE'VE HAD 56 YEARS OR SO SINCE WE'VE GONE THIS LONG WITHOUT A NAMED STORM HERE. IT'S INCREDIBLE. SO, YOU KNOW, YOU LOOK AT THE MAP, YOU'RE LIKE, WELL THAT'S INTENSE, BUT WE HAVE NO BONAFIDE SYSTEMS, WHICH IS ODD IN ITSELF, BUT WE ARE STARTING TO SEE A LITTLE MORE ACTION, AND WE COULD SEE SOME DEVELOPMENT OUT OF SEVERAL OF THESE AREAS. SO LET'S GET RIGHT TO IT. THAT'S THE BIG BOARD, PROBABLY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NUMBER TWO, THE ONE THAT IS COMMANDING MOST OF THE ATTENTION, ESPECIALLY BECAUSE OF ITS PROXIMITY TO THE U.S, BUT ALSO BECAUSE THAT COULD INVOLVE THE GULF OF MEXICO, WHICH IS PROBABLY THE WORST SPOT THAT YOU COULD ASK FOR SOMETHING TO GO INTO, BECAUSE THE HEAT CONTENT THERE IS SO HIGH. WE'LL START THINGS OFF THOUGH. OFF THE EAST COAST AGAIN, VERY CLOSE TO LAND. SO A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE WONDERING ABOUT IT. THE GOOD NEWS IS, IS THAT WE HAVE COLD FRONTS THAT ARE COMING OFF OF THE NORTHEAST. IN FACT, IT STILL IS BEAUTIFUL ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WITH COOL AND DRY WEATHER. THESE COLD FRONTS THAT ARE REINFORCING THAT WEATHER THAT EVERYBODY IS ENJOYING PUSHES NASTY WEATHER OUT INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC. SO SOMETHING DOES PULL TOGETHER, WHICH THERE'S A LOW CHANCE WE'RE TALKING 20% OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. IT WOULD NATURALLY BE PUSHED OUT TO SEA. SO JUST WANT TO GET THAT OUT THE BOARD, BECAUSE I KNOW A LOT OF YOU ARE WAKING UP IN THE EAST COAST, SEEING THAT SPOT ON NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND WONDERING ESPECIALLY THAT CLOSE TO THE SEABOARD. EXACTLY LIKE, WAIT, WHERE IS THAT GOING? SO WE'RE OKAY COMING THROUGH. AS I SAID, THIS ONE'S A LITTLE MORE INTERESTING. IT'S THE SAME SPOT, CRAIG, THAT WE'VE BEEN TRACKING FOR WEEKS NOW, TO BE QUITE HONEST, BEHIND THE SCENES. AND ALSO HAVING THE OPEN CONVERSATION WITH YOU GUYS AS OUR VIEWERS, YOU KNOW, THE MODELS CONTINUE TO WANT TO TRY AND PULL SOMETHING TOGETHER IN THE NEXT TEN DAYS SOMEWHERE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. AND WE'RE WATCHING THESE THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE KIND OF DRIFTING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN. AND WHAT HAPPENS TO THEM WHEN THEY GET INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THAT'S THE QUESTION. IT'S SO INTERESTING, THE CHANCE STILL A 30% CHANCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS, WHICH HAS COME DOWN SINCE YESTERDAY. WE WERE 30 YESTERDAY THE DAY BEFORE THAT AT 40 IT DOES. ONCE IT GETS TO THAT AREA, IT IS PROBABLY GOING TO SLOW DOWN AND INTO SOME WARMER WATERS, WHICH IS WHY IT'S SO IMPORTANT TO WATCH THAT ONE, BECAUSE IF IT DOES DEVELOP THERE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE, WE'LL LOOK WHAT'S UP NORTH, THE US AND ALL OF THE US GULF COAST STATES AND THEN REALLY QUICK, WE DO HAVE ANOTHER SPOT THAT WE'RE WATCHING A 10% SHOT OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS THAT LOOKS LESS FAVORABLE. AND AGAIN, NO THREAT TO THE US. LET'S GO BACK TO DISTURBANCE. WE WANT TO START TO BREAK DOWN A LITTLE BIT MORE ABOUT WHAT'S GOING ON WITH THIS STORM. THERE IS A RISK OF HIGH SURF ALL ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. CAPE COD, MASS. OH BOY, I LOVE THIS SPOT. SINCE I FINALLY GOT TO GO THERE LAST WEEK, I WAS GOING TO SAY YOU JUST GOT BACK. I CAN'T WAIT TO GO BACK. IN FACT, I SHOULD GO WATCH THESE RIP CURRENTS. YOU KNOW, IT'S GOING TO BE DANGEROUS. YOU GOT TO WATCH THIS. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF NORTH CAROLINA, IS PRODUCING SOME LIMITED SHOWER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THERE. BUT IT IS MOVING TO THE NORTH, AND YOU TALKED ABOUT THAT FRONT THAT'S GOING TO HELP TO SWEEP IT OUT OF HERE. BUT IT'S THE WAVE ENERGY THAT'S STILL IN THE OCEAN, EVEN IF THAT SYSTEM OR WHATEVER'S THERE GETS SWEPT OUT TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST, YOU STILL HAVE THE WAVE ENERGY COMING THROUGH THE WATERS HERE. WHEN WE TALK ABOUT THE CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT, ONLY 20% CHANCE IN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS, 10% CHANCE IN THE NEXT TWO DAYS. WHEN YOU LOOK AT THIS, JUST STANDING THERE ALONE, YOU'RE LIKE, WHOA, THAT'S PRETTY CLOSE TO THE CAROLINA COAST. WHAT'S THE DEAL WITH THAT? AGAIN, WE DID TALK ABOUT IT GETTING SWEPT OUT THANKS TO THAT FRONT THAT'S ACTUALLY GOING TO BRING SOME RAIN TO THE NORTHEAST, WHICH WILL BREAK DOWN IN JUST A MOMENT HERE. BUT HERE'S WHAT WE'VE GOT AS WE'RE LOOKING AT THIS SYSTEM BRANDON. IT'S PRETTY COMMON. WE SEE THIS A LOT SOMETIMES IN JUNE, BUT WE CAN HAVE IT AT THIS TIME OF YEAR FOR SURE. THAT SPIN OF LOW PRESSURE COMING OFF OF A FRONT, SOMETIMES IT SITS THERE FOR 24 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN YOU START TO WORRY ABOUT IT. YEAH REALLY THE BEGINNING OF HURRICANE SEASON AND THE END OF HURRICANE SEASON, BECAUSE OF COURSE YOU HAVE TO HAVE A FRONT AND THAT'S USUALLY THE TIME OF YEAR THAT WE HAVE FRONTS THAT ARE COMING OFF OF THE EAST COAST, STRONG WINDS, A LOT OF WIND SHEAR. YEAH. SO THAT'S WHY WE'RE SAYING, YOU KNOW, THERE'S A LOT OF HURDLES THAT WOULD HAVE TO BE OVERCOME FOR THIS TO PULL TOGETHER. BUT EVEN IF IT DID, IT WOULD BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA. IT'S NOT JUST THE WIND SHEAR. YEAH IT'S THE TEMPERATURES. I MEAN, THIS HAS MAYBE 100 MILES OF, OF WATER TEMPERATURES THAT ARE MARGINAL, 80 TO 81. AND THEN YOU'RE QUICKLY IN THE 70S, DESPITE THAT, THE FOX WEATHER EXCLUSIVE MODEL DOES SPIN UP AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, BUT AGAIN, NOT TROPICAL PROBABLY, AND NOT STRONG ENOUGH FOR CLOSED OFF TO REALLY BE A BONA FIDE SYSTEM BEFORE THE FRONT. KIND OF MOVES IN. NOW WE DO SEE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THOUGH, AND THAT BRINGS UP TO THE POINT THAT YOU WERE GIVING CRAIG OF, YOU KNOW, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS, SOME LARGER SURF. THE FRONT ITSELF WILL DO THAT AS WELL. WITH THE WINDS COMING IN. THAT IS TRUE. YOU'RE RIGHT. AND YOU'LL PROBABLY GET SOME OF THE CLOUD COVER FROM THAT AS ONCE IT'S OFF THE COAST CLOSER TO MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL. AND THEN YOU'VE GOT THAT FRONT COMING THROUGH. YOU SAW THAT BRITTA SWEEPING THROUGH THERE, GIVING US SOME RAIN. SO YOU'VE GOT A DIFFERENT WIND DIRECTION. THAT FRONT ALSO SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SPINNING UP OFF OF IT. SO I KNOW THE EAST COAST, YOU KNOW, THE OPEN ATLANTIC. I THINK WE'RE GOING TO HAVE A COUPLE BURNER STORMS WHERE WE MARK OFF A NAME OFF THE LIST, BUT WE DON'T ACTUALLY HAVE BIG IMPACTS FROM IT, WHICH IS GREAT. THERE'S NOTHING WRONG WITH THAT. SO WE'LL SEE HOW THINGS HASH OUT. BUT I WOULD JUST LOOK AT THE RIP CURRENT RISK. MOST KIDS ARE BACK IN SCHOOL, SO FEWER PEOPLE AT THE BEACH. BUT SEPTEMBER IS