Arca's GME TARGETS! - Taco Tuesday - LIVE-STREAM- 09/03/24 (EST~10:10 am EST~)

[Music] [Applause] [Music] see I will never forg like a disease eating away me breaking everything that I love me in misery don't call me a VI cuz I'm just a SL you keep pushing me closer to the edge Again The Edge again suffocating right I love the me you me even if I try to hide try to run you got your teeth in me and I'm TI to fight give me a reason you keep pushing me closer to the edge again the Ed again suffocating on your KN I'm trying anotherab I just want to see you again your eyes I know I can hold me you keep pushing me cl to the again [Applause] [Music] you keep pushing me closer to the edge Again The Edge again suffocating TR another day I just want to feel it watch eyes I know I can hold me you keep pushing me cler to the edge again [Applause] [Music] [Applause] [Music] I never disas eating away me breaking everything that I love leave me in misery so call me done cuz I'm just a [Applause] slave you keep pushing me closer to the [Applause] edge suffocating you me me you me even if I try to hidey run you got your te me and I'm tired to fire so give me a reason cuz I'm you keep pushing me closer to the edge Again The Edge again underneath trying to love the I just want to see you again eyes I know I can hold me you keep pushing me closer to the edge again [Applause] [Music] [Applause] [Music] you keep pushing me closer to the edge Again The Edge again suffocating on right another day I just want to see you again eyes I know I can hold me you keep pushing me Clos to the edge again [Applause] [Music] [Applause] [Music] [Applause] I want forg together like a disase eating away me breaking everything that I love me in misery don't call me a VI cuz just a [Applause] SL you keep pushing me close up to the edge suffocating underneath SL I love the p you me like me you me even if I try to hide try to run you got your te me and I'm TI to fire give me a reasonz I'm you keep pushing me closer to the the suffocating underneath I'm trying to love the I just want to see you again eyes I know I can hold me you keep pushing me closser to the again [Applause] [Music] you keep pushing me closer to the edge Again The Edge again right another I just want to see again watch your eyes I know I can hold me you keep pushing me closer to the edge again [Applause] [Music] what is good my family welcome back to the Channel please do me a favor hit that like button subscribe to the channel do everything necessary to get this thing to live long Thrive and survive what is good family welcome back welcome back to the ARA Bulls stream right let's go ahead and start looking at gme here because we are absolutely meeting the targets that we spoke about over the weekend guys that video pulled in just around 2,000 views and now we are continuing to see the price action happen exactly the way we were talking about right well I guess not exactly right we were already expecting a potential 2493 top we got around 2471 but please please please remember this right the prior day's close was at around 2341 and we were expecting targets above and almost to the $25 Target so far you guys so good now remember the resistance is in here and the re entry Zone was right in here again at 2363 and we reached 2361 at that bottom side guys I am actually just expressing to you whatever price action is doing here right now for those of you who are brand new for those of you who don't remember exactly what's going on here right we are talking about a statistical back test on gme right so we used the daily time frame on this to determine a very very high probability move and this is based around a daily volatility vers this is historical volatility right here right versus stochastic momentum on The Daily time frame and check it out guys this is that enormous enormous back test right down here right so check it out this was 106 iterations measured all organically by me right so not using any AI for this guys I definitely did it all alloc cart right here right so check it out 106 total iterations here from a daily traction to expansion back test using stochastic momentum's upside bias right check it out 80 of which were gets to the upside from the 106 giving us an average upside accuracy of 75 spot 47% and an average upside thrust with that probability of an of an 11 just over 11% really and a standard deviation of 12 spot 10% guys that is pretty much where price action ended up going today guys check this out we spoke about these targets just yesterday 12.0 12.10% was that standard deviation upside and we marked it off from the firing of the signal which was right down here at around that 2187 2185 whatever that was now if we can compare the price action here compared to the top side Target that we were looking for at the 12.10% look at this right here that is your top price action and we completely we completely regenerated here right coming back down to cover the daily Gap back to 2342 to like nature like nature says it right we have already guys we have literally experienced together statistics play out the way they should and guys we were talking about these targets way ahead of time all right guys so for those of you who are brand new like I said you guys know me to be a systematic Trader I am definitely a Trader who practices uh you know the financial markets via data back tests and historical price action using volatility using statistics a bit of physics here and there and that is what we do and also guys of course I am an instructor as well so make sure to get in touch with me at archmasters course at gmail so that I can get you guys to learn this system completely the beginner's course is coming up it is about to show up in around two weeks okay so I need you to get I need you to get in contact with me so we can get your seat completely uh reserved here for you okay before they're all taken all right guys so let's go ahead and now continue the probabilities for upside because I have a serious serious serious setup to show you within earlier time frames okay so for that we're going to use this right over here right so we're going to come back down to the next chart and I'm going to just block out the visibility from any of these drawings in general right so oh actually nice nice nice nice look at that upside volume right very very very very good this is a symphony of price action guys and there is absolutely massive massive volume being traded already we're at around 5 million traded in volume right now which is absolutely insane for the first hour of the trade guys we are still just about 15 minutes shy of the hourly time frame closing well I mean an hour hourly uh I would say 1 hour 15 minutes shy to close the uh 30-minute candle we've been trading for 1 hour you know what I [ __ ] mean guys anyway so let's go ahead and take a take a look at this I'm going to bring you back here to the three-hour time frame right look at how that three-hour time frame is massively overbought right and now it's kind of pulling back we're Contracting right there because we reached that maximum top at a on that 24802 2479 cool that's normal guys that's normal the the the bi hourly time frame doing the same thing the hourly time frame doing the same thing right but if you start to push here look at the 4H hour time frame now with stochastic momentum right look at how it's a smaller smaller downside but look at the 6 hour now as we Cascade up get smaller what about the 8 Hour uh-oh The 8 Hour time frame is not showing any downside right maybe a little bit of a kink but that's still good what about the 12 oh man the 12-hour time frame is still still pivoted towards the upside with expansion happening volatility wow what about the daily this is the one that we just back tested and mind you we are in the gravitational Point here that gravit that gravitational point is 2% up or down from any of these levels here right that's usually how we're able to tell continuation or not with higher probabilities too okay great this is the back test that we already got done and we already experienced that complete upside but we've also calculated the upper bounds of something called the first standard deviation second and third upper and lower bounds which I'm going to get to next but look at this now now remember the criteria that we spoke about in The Daily time frame right we were waiting for volatility to expand from the 15% down here right as soon as it expands with the moving average upside pivot and the expansion comp I'm sorry the volatility component upside alongside stochastic momentum's upside this would give us a higher probability move towards the upside right that would be the official firing of that signal and that would be the signal to take us to the freaking moon right but guys just hold off hold off hold off I want to show you what's happening here even even during this signal first of all the signal on the on the daily is that a gravitational Point suggesting continuation right which means that this signal fired right down here at around 26 74% in we already had met the 11 spot 19 to 12.10% upside that we were looking for we got that but what happens when we exceed the targets what happens when we exceed the 11.19% and a 12.10% standard deviation well this is where those metrics come in I have also calculated based on the these are the square root differences right I've also calculated the upper and lower bounds of the first second and third standard deviation so that we can understand what the probabilities are or what the targets could be upon combating or upon succeeding the completion of these here which we already did okay now the next Target for the upper bound of the first standard deviation and the reason why I'm saying this is because of the continuation that we're seeing here we're still very early we haven't entered the bullish control Zone yet we're still within the bearish control Zone inside of G inside of gme's daily stochastic momentum which is just mind-boggling to me and we're barely expanding so that to me tells me that we have more upside to go so which is why I calculated these now the upper bound of the first standard deviation 23 spot 29% would take targets to $274 okay that's a pretty fair enough upside right now the next upside Target on this would be the upper bound of the second standard deviation taking us to a 35 spot 39% upside equivalent to $29.68 now the upper bound of the third standard deviation which is what I think may actually happen here if it does have enough thrust and if the markets do kind of agree with this right we're getting a pullback right now for for several reasons of which I have to talk to you about too all right that next Target would be $32.32 at the upper bound of the third standard deviation but guys this is only the daily time frame back test you heard it right this is only the this is just the daily back test and why am I saying this is just the daily back test because of this let's go to the Buy Daily the by daily time frame is sitting with volatility in contraction right now with an upside bias down here and we could start firing this off at any minute which means that now we could be firing off also a by daily volatility versus stochastic momentum signature which has a whole other set set of data oh my goodness man this is actually cascading to be something massive this is actually pretty cool this is actually pretty cool guys next thing that we're looking at here is let me see what about the 5day time yeah the 4day time frame or the yeah the 4day time frame look at this inside of critical contraction looks like we're getting a little bit of an uptick here in expansion and we have an upside bias on both the sma1 14 and ema3 of the stochastic momentum indicator guys that's another setup here for those of you who are familiar with the back test that I perform and the systematic approach that I do you guys have actually started following me remember guys I've only been around for around uh I guess three and three years three and a half years whatever that is right so since then we've gathered a lot of people right there have been a lot of followers since and I'm very thankful for that but a lot of that has a part to do with the mathematical side that I approach the stock trading with right and that I train with and that I teach with so I want to let you know that my bias towards the upside or downside is solely Based on data and it's only based around statistics and physics if the statistics do not suggest upside then I will not suggest upside and I also have told you that I'm not longing this or shorting this so I'm keeping a clean bias so that you can have the edge okay very good now we actually closed that gap on The Daily time frame right we came right back down to that 2341 bounced right off of it we're sitting at around 2366 now Okay good does that mean that the broader markets are kind of relieving yes it does so let's go ahead and take a look at the spy and see how it's going to act against gme right has anyone been able to see if AMC is also running alongside GM has it done anything with the gme today or what but we'll go ahead and take a look at that as well I will say that the Spy is at a resistance level right now right it hasn't it hasn't okay yeah so it it needs a little bit more of an upside thrust in order for AMC to kind of uh feel that Force right but it's all good it's all good um I want to make sure that we can get gme to really push to the upside in order for it to start kind of uh bleeding onto AMC it does need a significant thrust right okay so the Spy is currently sitting out of resistance right now the resistance range is right at around 55733 top got to get over that in order for us to reach back to the zones of around 558 34 now the reason why there could be pullbacks overall in the market which also could be the reason why gme could face some of this pressure guys is because we just closed the buy monthly the monthly candle we also closed the weekly the 4-day candle the 3-day the 2-day and the F the the the daily candle guys we have closed all of those candles simultaneously now if you remember correctly I have you note this all the time I tell you guys make sure to write this down okay 60 to 70% of the time you're going to get a 30 to 50% prior bar retrace bar meaning this is your prior bar on The Daily right this is for gme but now what happens when we have a lot of upside here like for example on the Spy what happens when we close the weekly time frame well holy crap this is the weekly bar right here and it looks like we overextended that what does the monthly say holy crap actually that would be a lot of downside here in fact there's a fair value gap down here on the Spy that is located right around 5 3761 that price action may very well take advantage of we don't know we don't know but what could happen here is that I'm not saying this is actually going to happen either right but price action could stop the downside as soon as as it touches this monthly Gap right down here sometimes it's as simple as the most obvious thing in the in the chart sometimes right because usually there could be a heavy Demand right around this area here if we are to continue to the downside can that be realized today with say for example the stats would spies show even more downside and would gme feel that downside continuation that's our overall question so let's go ahead and bring up something called uh this this is actually one of my scripts right this is one of my algorithms it's called the data cells and it tells me all kinds of relevant information of the trade without me having to pull up an indicator right so for example your RSI uh positioning right now close to the 70% of overbought and with a slope of minus 1.90% so the RSI is at a top facing down a little bit right so that would you know that would be what we would see on an indicator so now let's go ahead and take a look at the uh present valuation for vwap right so vwap right now 55818 we're clearly below it there is resistance and there is a potential upside to that 558 uh 21 to get ourselves to find some resistance right okay great now the next thing that we want to know is how much does this move on a daily time frame spy said right here my algorithm says that it moves $7.22 any day that the Spy is open right right okay so that now gives us a good idea what is the opening of the day today and that's going to give us a lot of information here to see if uh maybe uh uh gme can experience continuation or not right so it opened up at 560 now the bottom side today was around 554 that means that it's moved just about four points of the average true range which is around $7.20 right so what if it did move $7 in its entirety right so that would put us at around five maybe 53 552 and we already have those targets listed right here 55264 to 5581 this is a technical possibility I'm not and by the way I didn't I didn't measure this based on an ATR I didn't measure this mathematically I measured it via discretion so if that's actually the case here if if we're still showing downside let's validate it we're going to validate the downside on gme and we're also going KSS is moving up what was KSS again thank you thank you tooj Jo um so yeah let's go ahead and validate the continuation of this oh my goodness right gme completely ignoring that potential continuation to the downside we got that 24 2343 bottom and we're now sitting oh my goodness about to break the $24 Zone again guys there is so much upside pressure on this let me just check volatility and momentum again and see how that's looking from the IM immediate shortterm so 10-minute time frame maybe even the 5 minute right okay cool 5 minute time frame already showing us that price action is leading towards an upside with upside on stochastics and reexpansion signals that's good that's a good thing okay spy down gme volatile that is right oh my goodness right so let's continue what about the 10-minute time frame the 10-minute time frame is over in 1 minute and 27 seconds what does that mean that there is a potential here for us to draw down or kind of pull back here to a zone now that usually happens within the uh you know I just spoke to you about it 30 to 30 to 50% of the prior bar and here it goes right at 1 minute we're getting closer to that 50% likely it's to support from 2370 to 2378 before a continuation to the upside which by the way the prior bar remember red candles open on top green candles open at the bottom right so this red candle here opened on top and it closed red down here at 2349 which means that it continued the downside pressure but as you can see this candle hasn't closed and it hasn't seen this upside just yet so now here we go here we go here we go look at here's Target number one is about to reach it this is the pullback right we're looking for the pullback usually at the close of the bar guys this is what happens inside of the ARA Bulls training team this is how I kind of guide things right got to show people that you can't just long anywhere can't just long anywhere take advantage of those links join me right away right that's just a that's just a link for you to just pay the one time fee forever and trade alongs side with me and look at it look at it we're well inside of the range now with 11 seconds to go so let's see what happens next right stochastic momentum would potentially shift towards another Kink or an upside pivot here pretty soon let's get that Kink there we go we got another Kink right here you see it it's a kink here and a kink here starting to use U-turn right good deal now the bottom side of this is testing the true 50% retrace of the bar before maybe an upside continuation that's where we have to decide if we're going to continue or not right what are our bottom side possibilities on this now that we got a new bar let's go ahead and mark them down potentially right around this to around 2358 okay now what else could be happening the 30 minute retrace guys look at the time it's right down here it says 7:30 a.m. 10:30 Market time right that means that we're retracing the 30 minute 50% as well right got to know what those closes are check it out the prior price action is leading towards a 2369 okay now what about the hourly because we already opened that 30 minutes ago too okay so the hourly is right around that 50% as well okay now the cool thing here is that the the hourly time frame has a retrace of a 50% which could lead to 2416 which is awesome all right now let's take a look at the 5 minute time frame see how much see how much damage we're doing here to the upside well not much right we still have an upside suggestion there 10-minute time frame still suggesting a little bit of a curve which we just got in about 4 minutes we're going to get the 15-minute close and the 15-minute close is presently retracing its prior bar so the prior bar retrace on the 15-minute let's measure that right here is that prior bar the green minute the the the green bar so it's saying that the 50% is roughly around 2367 and we're around 2365 right now right so can you see what I mean you you know you see what I mean right and here's the other thing at 7 a.m. at 10:00 a.m. eastern 7: a.m. Pacific we get a closure of major time frames and not a lot of people know of this and not a lot of people decide to look but I got you remember remember this at 7:00 a.m. 10: a.m. eastern you're going to get the 1 2 3 and 6 hour closes at 12 Eastern which is going to be what is it uh 9:00 a.m. uh yeah 12:00 Eastern 9:00 a.m. um or is it 10 a.m. whatever that is at 12: Eastern you're going to get your 1 124 and 8 Hour closes so if that's the case then let's take a look at gme's 6 hour and let's see how that's presently doing okay so the 6-hour time frame we opened right at that 50% retrace already so which begs us to think why is it that we're already pulling back if if we were already at that 50% the complexities that I spoke about in the video last night or on Friday or Saturday whenever that was that I recorded this is where it adds the complexity remember we didn't only you see how now I'm guiding you to understand where the pullback is based on a f minute close a 10-minute close right a 15 a 30 minute close but what's to happen when you know that you got a daily close right what's to happen when you know that you also got a two-day close this is the present candle we got the new two-day right here and this is the prior bar what about a 3-day this is the new 3-day bar right here right here what about a 4-day this is the new 4-day bar this is the prior one we got a weekly as well we got a monthly as well and a bu monthly as well this is where I am leaning towards so all of that thing that I just explained to you was for me to bring you to this point here the bonly retrace is where I think we could be bouncing from which could be confluent to the areas of around 2335 and we're already bouncing from the top end and the closing valuation of this prior B monthly bar we just opened it today both the monthly and the bonly and it's at its 50% right now that is what I'm presently looking at so when you're observing that you know maybe this bar is not quite retracing back to its 50% Maybe This Bar is already past it what's going on you have to take a look at your macro times as well because not everyone is aware that a monthly and a bimonthly close today alongside a weekly a 4 day 3 day two day and one day candle all of those things are the things that we should look out for and by the way this is exactly how I guide it inside of the team we all remind each other right we all help each other out we keep the data in line we keep major economic uh reports in line for example Wednesday and Thursday continuing jobs jolts jobless claims all of those things we already know because it's going to be a volatile day so we tend to not remove risk but we'll reduce risk a bit right because it's going to be a volatile day so trading inside of a trading team like the way that we do in ARA Bulls is absolutely beneficial to everyone and if you don't consider me consider someone who does this type of thing make sure that they are credible make sure that they are giving you the targets ahead of time and they they are meeting I am not here to tell you that this is bullish or bearish I'm going to tell you that yeah this is bullish or bearish and I'm going to give you the the probabilities of where I'm favoring so I'll tell you I'm 75% bull 80 80% bull I'm 40% bear whatever it is you'll always know my bias I'm not that guy to tell you this can go up or this can go down right I'm not that dude because I spoke very clearly here of your of your daily back test we spoke about this guys very we spoke about this a week and a half ago just so you know this upside was already bound to happen because the signals were firing and I spoke about it saying guys I'm getting that similar feeling that I got when we were when we were trading this at $9 $10 before it reached to 20 that's the same feeling I got okay enough with all the [ __ ] remember remember what it is to just Express things through price action right because if you're seeing price move that means nothing right there has to be a reason for Price action to appear now what is that reason can somebody share with me in the chart right now what it is that we're looking for as far as uh gme is it is it uh was it earnings are they about to are the is this an m&a play uh mergers and acquisitions by the way your your abbreviation to that is this uh an expansion play right so they are they expanding are they using cash what are they doing why are we seeing upside in the price action in the first place because remember I am a data diven I'm a data driven Trader so I see see the upside based on volatility and momentum that's where I see the upside happening because criteria tends to rhyme and criteria tends to repeat and now if it Rhymes and repeats then that means that it iterates so if it iterates I'm able to measure it and if I measure it I am able to calculate it and if I calculate it you have the [ __ ] Target because I have it and that's the way that I kind of practice so can anyone in the chat share with me what a what GM is actually presently doing nice okay we are reaching that point of resistance that we were just talking about at around 2363 let's see if we can combat that and convert it into support so that we can have a continuation to the upside okay so Jules is telling me inside of the ARA Bulls trading team that all that she can think about right now is actually the 8K filing and I think that's where they oh right guys somebody validate that as well right we can do this as a team they were getting rid of debt right and this is actually the uh trading team sharing something with me uh right now let me see if I can just go ahead okay so yeah this is the trading team here guys they just showed me that uh the uh gme 8K disclos termination of credit agreement 4 billion in cash to cover operating cost zero debt full year profitability Whispers of of an acquisition shorts are cooked right so this is uh yeah what you guys are seeing here is actually the trading Team guys this is me streaming right right uh and yeah we're just doing our thing here right so just uh so you know how this thing kind of happens right so let's go ahead and now come back to the chart and see what's up okay very nice so there is reason for this to kind of move to the upside that means that they're going to have zero debt the company is is literally zero debt a lot of people look for a company to invest in based on that criteria alone okay great so if we do have continuation for an upside then I would say guys that my targets are still valid I think that the upside continuation here would lead eventually to the upper bound of the first standard deviation daily time frame at around $274 cents and I will say that I'm going to continue back testing this into the by daily as well and uh Jen if you are in do you recall what your firing Target was for your 12-hour signal do you remember what Target that was that the signal officially went off at and um I could actually provide your target so this is this is uh one of my master students and she is uh an outstanding uh an outstanding uh becoming a status uh you know statis what is it statistics statistician right and uh also a Trader right so if I uh let's see you're getting about an 11.84% upside thrust based on a 12-h hour fill so that probably already happened actually and your standard deviation was Five Spot 31 okay yeah I actually I do think that this is and it met it right on the time frame as well too yeah actually actually never mind the 12-hour time frame did meet this upside so it's very very uh I actually have your your uh standard deviations as well let me see there they are okay so I actually have your upper bounds uh as well 2090 was where you fired off okay so your upper bound of the first standard deviation is a six spot 90 okay 7 17 spot 52% that's what I want to know okay good this is this is the the meat on the bone guys so yeah what I'm what I'm using here is one of my students uh back test data and uh she has given me she has been nice enough to give me her back test based on volatility and stochastic momentum so her upper bound of the first standard deviation would be a six spot 90% move from the firing of the signal at $20.90 of course that's already met I want to go ahead and map out the 2090 zone right so that would be right about here and I want to kind of point out the 17 spot 52% because that may have also happened already but we can get a little more incremental when it comes to things like this right so let's see oh my goodness look at that 17 spot 90% on your data suggested $24.64 look at the price on this [ __ ] bar Jen the top side of that bar is $246 get the [ __ ] out of here that is how you know that you are doing an incredible job with your data and your back tests guys I'm just going to go ahead and extend a massive a massive applaud here to Jen and for calculating this right so she came up to her upper bound of the third standard deviation within three cents of the [ __ ] Target firing literally $5 ago all right that is the way to go Jen congratulations to you I absolutely commend you and I I am 100% impressed all right so and by the way guys my my she was even closer than me my target was 2438 at the standard deviation 24 spot uh what is it a 12 12 spot 11% upside and she still nailed it even within a few cents of my target let's [ __ ] go Jen that's the way to go hell yes okay so um now that we have so this is your statistical move Jen it is completely it is completely done right your your move is completely over I wouldn't suggest calculating anything beyond your upper bounds of the third standard deviation why because as soon as you start getting your upper and lower bounds of the fourth fifth sixth your information starts to grain it starts to distort it becomes less and less viable right so if we can keep our back tests limited to an upper bound of the third standard deviation Max then statistically speaking we still have enough grain to consider the probabilities as high okay so from now I think that the next move would be for us to start uh considering back tests of the by daily time frame before it actually fires right so uh here's your volatility on a by daily time frame and it's looking like it's getting an expansion signal already I wouldn't say that this is already um uh ready to go in fact I would I would absolutely wait for this thing to fire off but uh beyond the 15% right which is a a critical contraction right here we need it to break that area to to continue and it definitely needs the upside continuation here on stochastic momentum so let's uh let's see what's up uh but yeah so far so good guys I do expect uh gme here to completely uh recover right we're going to experience let's see we're going to be experiencing we're going to be experiencing another hourly close here in about uh 17 16 minutes and uh that would be potentials of uh let's see let's take a look at the hourly bar all right yeah as we're getting you know 15 16 minutes away of course we're going up now right this is retracing the hourly prior bar was what I was talking to you about this is the 50% of the prior bar right up here at around 247 we spoke about this around 10 minutes ago saying that guys hold off just just for a moment here gme will likely recover go back to around the areas of around 24 17 in a few minutes right so it's currently doing that right now now guys remember remember that this is I'm not I'm really not uh trying to I'm not trying to [ __ ] shill you or whatever I'm actually trying to teach you how to do this why a lot of people [ __ ] think that it's because I I can't trade that I have to show you my [ __ ] that I have to show you my course [ __ ] that [ __ ] and [ __ ] you if you believe that [ __ ] so let me go ahead and let you know what that is I am not the proudest person in the world to siphon from the market because it's a zero sum game I don't like that I'm taking your money when I trade because I have a deeper Edge than you and I can [ __ ] outtrade you I don't like that so what I'm going to do here is I'm going to teach you how I [ __ ] do it and that's how it happens and that's why I do it because I'm showing that I can contribute to society too I've said this from day one I actually don't like trading because it takes away from someone else someone else who decided to play against me right and I decided to play against someone else who's going to take my [ __ ] money too it's zero sum I'm not the proudest in the world to trade it but I am proud to show you how and contribute to society that's what I [ __ ] do so at any moment here I can just stop doing this and be all good I can just never show up here again and I swear on everything I'll be fine but will you I came from a very dark place my son was dying I was losing my house [ __ ] years ago and I saved my family's life with the trade and I'm going to show you how to do it because AMC and gme have the same Market maker right Ken Griffin Citadel Securities that's the man who I blamed for a long time until not anymore he he literally expressed to me not face to face of course through interviews what quantitative analysis was and now I'm Building Systems to hopefully combat his and I [ __ ] will I already have automated systems I already have high frequency trade systems ready for launch and guess what I'm also going to be part of a hedge fund so just so you know no I am actually good I don't have to sell you [ __ ] I'm fine so know where I stand on that guys all right I'm good so know for a fact that I just want to teach you and contribute to society in my way all right you guys so let's make sure to follow the rules here follow price action don't follow people numbers do not lie people do okay guys and that is honestly one of the greatest lessons that I learned from my mentor from anyone else that ever in the markets guys I love you so much make sure make sure to continue doing as such okay let's find out what the broader markets are doing are they recovering okay still nothing still nothing but we are within a few gaps right here and I got to tell you about this Gap here because there may actually be room for us to get this bottom side right about here 55463 to 555 26 is one of the zones that we that we can experience a gap I'm I'm not sure if we're going to get that Gap right I'm not sure if we're going to get that Gap but remember overall we were talking about a potential downside Target using a full ATR R rates of $722 located right at around 55267 to [Music] 5581 right kpec my brother thank you so much for that Dono my bro I really appreciate you uh it means a great deal to me and my family and also the ARA Bulls training team I love you buddy thank you so remember guys remember that uh and I actually think that the hourly retrace on the Spy is going to be closing here let's see yep in around 12 minutes right and getting very close to the areas of potential entry if we do ah guys we can we can still extend the full ATR I'm not going to say that it's not going to happen right but I got to I got to give you that pot I got to give you the potential here the ATR meaning the average true range meaning that any day that this asset opens it can trade up or down $7.20 $730 which is why I have a range here because as this goes more volatile the average true range will increase all right so mathematically speaking from the opening of the signal today or the opening of the day today down to this area here which is around the 560 area right down to uh uh 563 562 area down to 562 uh upper 562 is their whole average true range if we get that average true range guys I will absolutely [ __ ] myself which would be amazing but I got to tell you that there is a potential loaning Zone confluent to the close of the hourly bar here in 10 minutes 40 seconds 550 463 to 55 526 hold off on that hold off on that and just a little bit right Nvidia is also capitulating so let's go ahead and take a look at that uh because there's still an hour and 10 minutes to close this 4H hour bar and I will say that this is beyond the deadcat bounce already right so let's go ahead and measure that dead cat on Nvidia and find out just how much more downside it had if not already realized right so deadcat bounce Target looking to end at about 10869 but I got to say that the bottom side of this 4H Hour Bar appears to be pretty freaking nice and next to that 4-Hour bar is yes very confluent top sides and pivots but I got to show you this tiny gap down well I guess this one too right 1099 it is confluent to there but I got to say that there is one more gap on the 4-Hour time frame that I do have my eye on right and I will say that it may be confluent to the 4H hour average true range and we will see what's up right so actually the bottom side targets that I'm looking for NVIDIA 10809 to 10672 the Daily ATR on this is $664 we are opening the day today at uh 11601 on a 664 what is that opening one one okay that would be 110 man the dead cat bounce is the bottom of the price guys uh $664 that would put us at an average right right in there 109 to 10 108s that I I I if we get that if we get that true bottom side the daily time frame of course has the uh bottom side of this Gap right here which could prevent price action from continuing which is 10904 and that would honestly be your complete of the full uh daily ATR low remember that it's averaged it doesn't mean that it's going to [ __ ] go all the way it's just average so per your discretion enter at your own risk right so remember what I'm talking about here is for simulator trading only this is not Financial advice right make sure to risk at your own discretion please be very careful all right now let's go ahead and take a look at Apple because Apple could be feeding some of this downside as well cool this is the Lesser probability targets that we were looking at Apple right for entry we were looking at 22439 to 22316 we are now entering the criteria for entry on this right so let's see how this is going to happen by the way 1 hour to close this 4-Hour bar also to close the 2hour bar and the 8h hour bar okay I understand that we have a tweezer top true I mean actually it is a red outside bar but not true red outside because it's not above the prior green bar it is a bearish engulfing but the bearish engulfing is not on an uptrend so it doesn't have the highest of quality right per trading rules that is right you tend to give it more credibility when the bearish engulfing print's above not during the downside so but there is a tweezer top I would say that this retraces towards the upside as soon as we get the entry criteria down here careful this is going to start bouncing at around 22390 we may actually get all the way down to 22316 on Apple's bottom side right this may get us to bounce up to the areas of around 22637 uptrend three points maybe four points all right heads up on that and I and I won't say that it's going to happen in the hourly close because the hourly close is going to be in s minutes here it's going to start to retrace the hourly 50 pull 50% pullback which could be very limited around 22487 so don't trust that one I would wait I would wait just a little bit right because as soon as you start getting the 4-Hour close and the 8 hour close within about 15 minutes 10 minutes 98 minutes right around there that's when you're going to start to see this com this bar completely retrace that's your opportunity to scalp if you are a beginner Trader if you are a new Trader I would highly recommend you to scalp your targets scalp your trades do not hold hold for the moon on your trades if you are not familiar with trading if you are not familiar with many strategies I want you to get comfortable with price action first understand where your higher probability entries would be whether it be moving averages whether it be pivot Points whether it be inflection areas whether it be average true range lows whatever it is practice your scalp ranges first and then lead further from there okay guys so here it goes Apple continuing its downside here to around that Target of around 22323 let's see if we can get that bottom side too and uh going back to uh the Spy here now it's look at the Spy right it's entering our entry criteria as well we're down at the 55462 to 555455 and it's getting close this is what I talked to you about yesterday I said guys we're within a very large chop zone right this is a consolidation zone so I don't know if we're going to be able to use this area here for a continuation to the upside and you know literally just trade this up and down within a range which makes it very easy for any Trader to kind of benefit from right I'm not sure if this is going to be the bottom side but let's go ahead and take a look at all the signals here what about the hourly time frame all right the hourly time frame is getting into the oversold territory but I got to say expansion is barely starting with a huge pivot and we have a nose dive on stochastic momentum that let me see the 15minute on this man we are still suggesting downside with expansion let me see the 10-minute 10-minute time frame is still on a nose dive but it is getting close to Historic lows it still could go a little further one spot 67% on that stochastic momentum indicator could be indicative of testing your true inflection area true inflection on this would be at around 55341 does it make sense mathematically though let's go ahead and take a take a look at the daily time frame the open on the day was 56 47 on a $731 average true range that means that we would likely touch down to the areas of around 553 we already have a 5 a 55462 bottom but I got to say this this Gap here may be our reason so let's go ahead and adjust our targets down and let's see where that takes us 55431 that could be fair now if we match this to the 12-h hour time frame Post hours let's put that line on there that that marks it off at a true $7 average true range 55340 I think we are going towards that area so I'm going to adjust my range as this check this out I'm going to take this into consideration this is my new range for the bottom side on the Spy I'm looking at 554 31 to 553 42 bottom side uh heads up on this on this support area here we're already bouncing from that 55505 but I I think that that's the bounce on the hourly close it's going to close here in 3 minutes remember that this can pull back uh let's see yeah it could pull back around 5505 97 but if it really wants to do its 50% prior bar ret trades or or existing bar then it would be around 55719 and that would be signal for me to get short the asset and continue right I do think that we're still looking at I let's uh what's what's the QQQ doing yeah let's find out what the QQQ has to then I think that it still has a little bit of further downside on this so let's look at QQQ see what's up Q's yeah very very similar downside on this right Post hours uh Post hours double bottom could be 46460 uh the the Gap is actually a range of around 46501 to 46460 and I will say that this has an a almost $9 ATR opening let's see the daily open uh the daily open on this was 473 uh yeah yeah that would this um mathematically I think that this would probably get down into the uh turbo thank you buddy I'm on it right now uh mathematically speaking I think that you could extend the 46501 to 46460 and if if this I'm I'm talking about Wick to Wick bases Gap here right but if we're going to use opening to closing bases then you know I mean I guess it would be opening to opening bases based on the red candle and green candle then that could extend price action down to a low of about 46352 which means that this Gap here would prevent price action from a true bottom I would say 46392 would be your overall and and probably Bottom Dollar I'm not sure that we can reach all the way down there but based on this Gap here between uh Friday the 26th and Monday the 29th of July almost confluent to the Gap from the bottom from the opening of the bar on August 14th um and uh yeah let me look at the SPX and see what's up uh SPX yeah SPX is oh dude we are testing that inflection zone right now as soon as the SPX starts breaking down the 5 the the 556 282 I mean uh there actually there could be a be trap uh heads up there there there could be a false breakdown maybe for today but there is further downside though um if we if we false breakdown here I'd say my targets would be 5 uh 55 5719 to 55 5428 we are already at inflection if it doesn't bounce it has to fail this 55 6070 3 it must fail it in order for us to get down to this Gap here and I will say that it hold on let me uh also we have the weekly close we have a monthly and bonly close too so let me go to the monthly and the Bon actually the monthly hold on dude the bonly is suggesting a potential pull to around 537s bro but hold on let me see the bonly [ __ ] dude the bonly would even oh my goodness there's a inflection would be around 52 60s but there is a gap down here that could prevent price action from continuing 5472 dude are we really trying to get a red September like this hard because that's uh that would be a bottom side immediate short-term bounces sure but overall downside could actually lead towards a 52 uh towards a 55 381 18 to 55 2125 sh [ __ ] my god dude okay um let me take a look at the uh [ __ ] that's really [ __ ] up let me look at the 4H hour time frame and see how that's feeling oh dude this is oh [ __ ] guys we're probably going to go down here um 4our time frame over in let me let me let me get a little more granular 29 minutes to close the by hourly [ __ ] short entry on this could be anywhere between 557 7532 to I'll give you the range uh for for aggressive short 55 7567 to 55 8271 is a is a potential short entry do not over leverage on this these contracts are [ __ ] expensive and I will say that a true 50% retrace would bring you to around this target here 5593 66 on a by hourly retrace not say actually the higher probability one would be around 55 75 67 so if we are going to face a retrace to get short this asset guys I I think that the markets are experiencing a little more downside here uh sure there could be a false breakout a breakdown around 5554 but with the way that I'm looking at these by hourly candles this 3-hour candle this could shift momentum towards a downside I guess the the only thing that's going to save us here uh let let me see your gex um uh okay oh [ __ ] yeah there you go 5561 dude that's literally where I'm headed uh 5545 that's my that's my lower targets I have 5540 five uh let me see what else you have damn dude is that really the the [ __ ] 5561 is a pot spot price 5545 yeah dude I think that I think that we're probably going down to this level here right here 55 381 18 uh the the balgo just yeah I it would start right now it I think we have an upside coming into maybe 5575 to 5582 that would be on the hourly uh close the by hourly clo and I think that was it actually yeah uh hourly and by hourly um and uh go ahead my brother you are you are good to go and actually this is the first time you've seen it [Music] whoa yeah oh thank you brother oh man all right guys so heads up on the upper bound targets right now that's an interesting that's an interesting it's almost like a bear trap all right well uh yeah this could be uh immediate relief on a few other assets too right so we're looking at the hourly close already finishing right now let me take a look at uh at gme's just continuing towards that upside very nice GM is over $24 guys come on man I told you 2417 we're almost there all right good deal good deal guys um I will say that uh I'm going to remind everybody to make sure to uh get enrolled on the arcmaster course at gmail I'm going to go ahead and finish off the stream right now guys and I'm going to also record another video for gme tonight so that you guys are more aware over what I'm doing right um uh 5,500 puts loaded on the options yeah I know I know I was actually look Andre I was looking at the uh at the gex levels too but there is a a buy side algo that's already starting on the NQ so and that would usually be that uh that would usually be the hourly closes or as we're approaching the major closes so check this out one more thing before I go right look at it see how it's coming back up on that hourly close that would be your 50 your 557 21 on spy right now here's the next thing The 8 Hour closes in 5 4 minutes that would be around 55980 bro so heads up on your on your major time frame closes right always remember that there could usually be a pullback of around 50% of that bar all right but guys thank you so much for coming on out and uh I appreciate everybody for hit guys make sure to hit that like button subscribe to the channel do everything necessary to get this thing to pop off for real right but guys I'm going to go ahead and leave you off right here remember to sign up to that course and remember to come on by to the AR ARA Bulls trading team and we will do everything necessary to help you out right team but very much very much love you and much respect to everybody out here right please take whatever I do show and iterate Within These videos as just a form of entertainment as I cannot suggest for you to buy sell or hold any assets whatsoever ever ever ever ever I need you to do your own due diligence and everything will be cool cool but with that said Team I wish you well a very very good rest of your night and or day and I will catch you at the Bell Manana adios [Music] [ __ ] yeah e