Updated Top 25 Overall PPR Rankings | 2024 Fantasy Football: Expert Debate & Insights!

Intro [Music] welcome to First Class fantasy I'm Theo gringer joined Always by Billy musio Billy we are one week away from the NFL season starting up I'm heading to Las Vegas in a couple days I'm drafting in New York City for the nffc tomorrow night ffpc in a couple days in Vegas I'm going to be missing you out there in Vegas this year my man but you're uh Billy Muzio creating new ways to play FF! doing some very cool stuff with fast draft right now that's right uh legally can no longer draft in tournaments which is kind of a sad Endeavor but at the same time uh it's for a good reason right we're creating a new platform um this fast draft app is is amazing uh you know within our first three weeks we already eclipsed a thousand users which is pretty phenomenal um and we're starting to see the tournament filled there's probably going to be overlay absolutely but if you are have if you're a fast drift user I suggest playing as much as you can because there's going to be you know you're going to have way better odds because of the overlay um and that being said if if you use the promo code first class fantasy um I will two extra deposit so um um and so go ahead and drop that in uh you have a week to to download uh and get playing and if you don't have the time we have a mode that we created called turbo mode you can actually adjust your rankings uh and submit batch orders and see the rankings and your ownership while you're submitting those and adjust accordingly so if you're overweight on someone you can move them down if you're underweight on someone you can move them up SM that batch order it'll draft for you Sopo like for instance you like if you're on your way to Vegas and you have a layover somewhere and you can play legally you might want to submit like a Max inter batch orders you'd be good to go well give everybody the code one more time Billy code is first class fantasy no no spaces there so you you heard it here on Special FirstClassFantasy code for FastDraft First Class fantasy I will 2x your deposit okay so definitely get those in overlay is like a siren Call overlay means the contest is not going to fill completely which means you have a better chances of winning big prizes and Billy Cut Day we had cut day recently so I we got to adjust to it because it was a little bit I'm not going to say uneventful because there's always sort of a Cascade effect when there's Cuts in the NFL but we didn't have like a massive name this year but the one that's the most interesting is samj perine is now a Kansas City chief we are seeing mixed opinions on what this does to Isaiah Pacho p is a guy who does one thing very very well he catches the football 50 plus receptions in back-to-back seasons do you view this as something that could limit the ceiling of an Isaiah Pacho or do you think that it's more of an indictment on the other running backs in Kansas City I think it's more of an indictment on the other running backs I did take a few uh targets away from p and he moved down one spot in the running back position rankings but what it really did was it it it absolutely you know I had boosted up Carson steel quite a bit because they re released Prince um and we know that you know cair is just not that dude and so um steel kind of jumped up the rankings for that like short week and then we saw the perine news and immediately steel kind of regressed not all the way back down but but but kind of back of that late rb60 range and so right now I got them both at rb67 RB 68 um and they're kind of back toback in the rankings it's pick your poison I think that pet probably utilize a little bit more in the passing game than we're going to see steel um but I think that he's still going to get a handful of of rushing attempts as well probably in the neighborhood of 50 um but this is this is definitely something to keep our eye on as as we get into the early weeks of football but Carson steel kind of earned his spot on this roster uh I think that he'll get the first crack um at at the one two downs as the backup to to Pacho and then I think that uh samaj pan will probably earn his way inside the third third downs and and probably split those reps with witho so it definitely definitely hurts the the second and third ancillary pieces in this in this running back depth chart but not as much buto in my opinion I just think for for me it's a this offense is going to score so so many points and it was a really really sharp move for them to get a veteran back who's this good a pass catcher I think I agree with you I think at least for the beginning of the Season you're going to see steel still probably with a role unchanged but I'll say this if if Peko were to miss time I do think Perron would be a useful player um I know I drafted him in like the 19th round of an ffpc Main Event just for that free look Billy you never know uh you know those those free looks are can can be a little bit weird uh and anybody who doesn't play ffpc or high stakes formats basically you can insert any of the Thursday and Friday players in and out of your lineup uh so pery definitely was an interesting one I want to talk about a couple of other uh situations that have changed recently Green Bay AJ Dylan goes to the IR and it's just like sort of just a news dump we're like oh AJ Dylan's on the IR this is Marshon Lloyd is a guy who I have an absolute ton of and I think that's sort of the natural reaction is Marshon Lloyd was a guy that was slipping a little bit in drafts down to like maybe the 15th round now you're starting to see him go where the the high-end handcuffs are going like a little more of a 13th rounder type player and I think we can both agree that this is a a boost for marshan Lloyd but I want to ask you about a deep sleeper your thoughts on Emanuel Wilson it's a backfield where laflor always uses two running backs you have Josh Jacobs who missed time last year Lloyd's already been banged up is Emanuel Wilson a guy you're a little bit interested in as a deep sleeper he's in my waiver wire early W waiver wire column for that reason yeah actually he he got a a decent bump inside of the projection so he's he's eclipsing now the 40 rushing attempts inside inside of the the math um you know he just eclipsed the the 10 target range now in the math before he was kind of off the radar in that one to two to three% you know rushing share um Lloyd gets the biggest boost of course um he's he's now over 20% rushing share and and and just under 20 targets so I I do think that Josh Jacobs gonna be the main benefactor of of of AJ Dylan being injured because you you talk about the you know Dylan and what he was I should say I don't want to say good at because he wasn't really that good at anything but he was you know a bigger back and they were utilizing a short yardage Jacobs is is really good on one two downs Jacobs also very good in the passing game so I think that Jacobs is probably the bigest benefactor here he he jumped inside the top 10 at the position for me now um and then you get Lloyd who who definitely bumps up way up but I do think to answer your question Emanuel Wilson is definitely worth a late round flyer and probably a you know a sleeper you know depth piece as you wait for you know injuries to unfold yeah definitely a guy just to keep an eye on like if you're if you're using you know your last roster spot on a potential lottery ticket with Lloyd maybe not available in week one it's that's kind of up in the air wison guy who's going to get worked I think you're right here so I Wilson's probably going to be the most valuable and he might be able to carve out a larger role if he's productive behind Josh Jacobs in these first one to two weeks so Lloyd missed the IR like you said but that doesn't say mean he's gonna be here I don't think he plays week one I I think he's questionable right now week two I think we'll get more information that comes out but I think Wilson has a chance to carve out a large R earlier in the season one one person I didn't put into the show sheet uh one interesting takeaway was again it's like all this sort of news we talked about this the pre-show it's just like it just gets dumped like deont Foreman was cut sounds like they're bringing deont Foreman back but what's interesting is Nick chub of course is going to be unavailable for at least the first month of the Season Jerome Ford is the rb1 your interest in Pierre strong who you've always been sort of a Pierre strong like Stan and now he's sort of the Handcuff unless this is a situation where it's going to be Foreman strong in some sort of a split to me the way I read this is they like Pierre strong a little bit more than maybe the market thinks I Pier strong is is he was really good coming out of college and unfortunately just landed in kind of the wrong situation early in his career you know kind of buried in the depth chart inside New England and um but this is a guy who you know 437 speed he's got uh 95th percentile speed score he's got you know 86 percentile burst score um he's he's quick he's agile um he's explosive um we saw him on you know 63 attempts last year with 4.6 yards per carry he had very minimal attempts in 2022 at 10 yards per carry just blew up in that one huge run pretty much um but this is a guy that I think can do you know can do it all but he just hasn't been given the opportunity so I like that they kept him that to me it signals that they that he's going to be the rby 2 while while chub is down um they are going to bring back Foreman probably goingon to hit the practice squad you know that's that's that's pretty true traditional they they cut someone no one picks them up pick them back up throw them on the practice squad so that's that's that's no news for me um so Pierre strong jumped up pretty high in the rankings when I say High I mean like like from No Man's Land to RB 65 and so it's not no man's land anymore this is now like a a a back that you need to have your eye on especially late in drafts and someone that you can handcuff um you know this this Cleveland this Cleveland running game so if if you don't have chub I mean I would pick up strong and and and definitely handcuff Ford and and if you don't have Ford then I would pick up strong and handcuff chub and so like this is this is one of those like two to three piece rotational backfields that we're going to see throughout the year and there was a time Billy where you and I were adding Pierre strong on our shared team so it's been a guy that we've ke kept an eye on and so there's a lot of people watching or listening to First Class fantasy say saying why did I listen to like eight minutes about samaj Peron Carson steel Pi strong and Emanuel Wilson so let's talk about a high-profile player Jamar Chase Jamar Chase was in Street Clos yesterday we're playing football in one week did you adjust him in the rankings are you getting a little nervous he's not going to play week one I moved him I I I removed one game from his projection the the you won't see it in the rankings though because there was such a big tiar gap between Justin Jefferson and Chase for me um it was separated by about 20 fantasy points and then there was a 20 Fantasy Point Break between him and AJ Brown so Jamar Chase was kind of in his owned tier as wide receiver five um and so he got closer to AJ Brown I'd still want Jamar Chase even if he misses one game over AJ Brown in my opinion um you just have more Consolidated tree and and less to kind of deal with at the goal line and so um I I think that week one is in doubt and even if he is suited up I mean let's face it he hasn't practiced he's hasn't hasn't had the Reps probably G be a little rusty week one and so um I'm not saying it's going to knock him for the entire season but I would definitely be I definitely have concerns for his week one availab in production and and in turn we could see an outsized role for T Higgins in week one with maybe some of the tertiary not not even tertiary guys that are like Andre yosias Germaine Burton that team's going to be in 11 personnel a ton this year uh your your thoughts on not only Higgins but also the two younger wide receivers in ciny yeah I think Burton is gonna Burton's another guy that I moved up slightly I moved up yosias as well um you know I I think you could argue that you know both these backs might be involved week one as well Chase Brown and Zack Moss might be you know a little bit more two- running back sets or a little bit more you know uh um couple more carries couple more targets their way so this is this is definitely something we want to keep an eye on especially when you're looking at like week one DFS or your starting lineups if you have Higgins like Higgins probably gets bumped up pretty significantly week one if Jamar Chase does Miss time yeah and they're huge favorites over the New England Patriots in week one that's uh hey if you're if you're uh if you're looking for a defensive streamer Cincinnati Bengals are it they're double digit favorites almost it could be Drake may they have one of the New England has one of the worst offensive lines in football and basically like all new Personnel besides mandre Stevenson at tailback that's that could be a really big statement game for the Bengals right out the gate with or without Jamar chase Billy we're going to reveal our top 25 rankings we might argue a little bit and Billy and I might announce another bet that we just had before the uh show we will be right back here at First Class fantasy hey why do we partner with the ffpc because they have the widest variety of fantasy football formats and FFPC tournaments, bestball and dynasty! it's the easiest place to find all types of fantasy football contests in the world what if you want to play for high stakes well they have a $6 million prize pool with their fantasy players championship they also have way too early baseball leagues that start in February and Dynasty leagues they have the closest thing to a liquid Market market for Orphans that there is in Olive Dynasty and the ffpc has sponsored us for half a decade because we are actually delivering information that can help fantasy Gamers and they're generating so much interest and bringing in so many new users casual users even the ffpc creates a unique experience where you can both compete against the best and make money use promo code underworld to get $25 off your first team $25 off your first team at the ffpc with promo code underworld world go get it a little a little bit of uh sound sound uh throw a throw a shout out to uh Josh Larkey in the Dominator Billy I Ed the wrong sound effect so uh big shout out to our guy Josh Larkey crushing it on the Dominator and if you're an ffpc drafter come say hello to me I'm gonna be drafting a couple of uh ffpc drafts on Thursday and Friday I'm drafting with Dan Williamson for a few for a few on by myself uh always looking forward to Vegas and I'm going to be missing my guy Billy muo out there we had a good time last year Billy some year you're going to come back to Vegas though uh I know you're you're G to miss it a little bit this year but let's let's Dive Right into our rankings we're going to reveal our top 25 we're talking about PPR rankings single QB not our superflex rankings Billy why don't you start out give me your top five then I'll give you my top five top five uh or you want to actually wait you want to go backwards on this one what's more clim I go let's go back okay let's go backwards you make it even a little bit more confusing for everyone let's start out at 25 Devon Smith for me he got a slight tick down not much just a couple spots with the addition of of Jan doson who I like actually and uh unfortunately wide receiver three now instead of two on a team but uh I think that the targets could be equally as um I should say he's GNA have a reduction targets but higher efficiency which that does take down Devonte Smith slightly in my rankings Okay so 25 for me I Devonte Smith is the guy who I like and I actually have been drafting a ton on um but I guess my my rankings I I didn't like kind of push him into the top 25 I'm able to get him in the fourth roundtime so that's a whole another story is this like you know of reflective DDP maybe it's just Freudian but I put dvon 27 he just missed out 25 for me 25 for me is the big dog Derek Henry I know you're going to have him higher up in the rankings but for me I had him at 25 right at that two three turn would be kind of like my comfort level of drafting him I think structurally he makes a ton of sense I know you're a lot a lot higher on him than I am I'm I'll be interested to hear your thoughts on him when we get to it but who do you have at 24 24 oh my God Theo I messed up can I start over I was on I was on wide receiver rankings and not my all oh my God okay so so so ignore this guys so ignore the ignore the last 30 seconds this is just for everybody listening in it is uh it was 10 11 A.M I'm drinking coffee I'm not drinking wine yet so this is an honest mistake and 25 is T Higgins sorry I'm sorry te Higgins oh so you have t Top-25 rankings / Tee Higgins Higgins at 25 and that's I'd say you are definitely much further ahead of consensus yes on then Market with t t Higgins I'd say like if you're a first class fantasy listener you should be drafting T Higgins sort of in all your drafts right now we talked about the value that he has uh you know especially if Chase is slower out the gate Higgins is we've been waiting on like that Smash season for him Billy maybe you want to expand a little bit on this why you're so bullish on him so first of foremost um we saw the kind of departure of Tyler Boyd um this is a big one Tyler Boyd has always been involved in this offense a guy that's kind of always finished at the top 50 55 of the position um with him out yes they drafted Burton but I think it's gonna take a little time for the rookie to get acclimated at the NFL speed um that being said also we have the Jamar Chase Saga that's going on if that's you know another week this is a total points you know projection um and so I do think that that's going to the biggest thing for me is contract year so contract year T Higgin coming out and playing gonna want to earn a big contract he probably gonna play lights out we see this year in and year out all the time for people on contract years and I think that Higgins takes a big step forward again and is gonna smash ADP yeah that's been one I've definitely been trying to play catchup on a little bit I'm going to try to cram in a little bit more T Higgins here I I also think if you're a Dynasty uh manager is a great time to trade for him because I think he's not only going to have a decent season but you're also going to see him get a huge contract end of the year the contracts that we saw for Jaylen Wadd for Nico Collins just should kind of tell you the the market for T Higgins where there's gonna be multiple teams vying for his services this year or he'll just return to Cincinnati and they'll figure it out and he'll be attached to Joe burrow so T Higgins a lot of reasons to like him in Dynasty and time to play a little bit catchup in redraft also interesting player to try to trade for Billy for leagues that have already gone down especially redraft leagues that that allow trades I'll say for me at 24 this is a player that I 24 Davante Adams / Terry McLaurin really tried to push down and push down and push down but I've got Devonte Adams at 24 I've actually passed up on him in drafts often but I think realistically he's gonna get a high number of targets he's had three straight years with like 165 plus Targets in Vegas that's Elite the guy's getting older but at the end of the day it's really hard for me to push him down based on volume even though I think the offense is going to struggle even though I think Brock Bowers is gonna have an impact Adams is the only player in the NFL to have two 20 Target games last year this is about as low as I can get on Adams Even though it not a guy I'm really excited about this year yeah I I'm higher on than you with Adams Adams I have at 17 um but I I definitely can see your reconing here for me the reason why he's bumped up was because we had the quarterback you know competition and minu won I think that's great for Adams the other part is that Josh Jacobs was heavily involved in the passing game is no longer there and we have to see how much these backs split time inside of the receiving game but I do think that Adams is is gonna have his his regular share of targets and probably arguably in a better spot quarterback wise than he was at the tail end of last year so who's your 24 my 24 is Terry McClaren um this was this was moved in out out after the Jan doson move I mean yeah there's there's ancillary pieces and they added Noah Brown yesterday um but but this is a guy I think that's going to see probably his second highest career um Target Mark um arguably his first um it's is gonna be a run first offense I think but I do think Terry McClaren is gonna be you know of course the number one target here um and he's gonna have a lot of room to shine so Terry McClaren for me comes in 24 I said for a while earlier in the summer that this is this year is DJ Moore and you're actually projecting it like he's going to be a potential this year's DJ Moore with this ranking so again like T Higgins and Terry mclen you don't have to use your late second early third round pick on these guys but if you're going to go by and Billy's a you know he he's not going to he's not GNA tout himself here but Billy's a great ranker great projections guy and he's basically telling you the green light is there for T Higgins and Terry mcen that's going to be a strong season for both those guys 23 WR1 for the Texans + Browns 23 for me is Nico Collins and I'm higher than you are in this I've actually been drafting a lot of Stefan Diggs Billy in fpc's and nfc's because Diggs is falling into a range where I feel like he's not going to hurt me whereas Nico I I'm not necessarily comfortable taking him here but I do think if one of these wide receivers in Houston has double digit touchdown receptions this year I think it's going to be Nico but at the end of the day it's it's weird I I rank him as the highest Houston Texans uh pass catcher but I have a ton more tank Dell and Stefan Diggs at this point just based on value in some of these leagues so I'm Nico at at 23 overall I know that was a guy that you had a little bit lower uh who do you have at 23 and if any anything uh you know your your fate of Nico Collins is still strong or you think he's okay to draft I'd like to say I'm not technically fading Collins this is such a tight-knit tier I mean we're talking about from wide receiver number 21 to wide receiver number 31 we're talking less than seven fantasy points and so this tier in general is kind of any any man's game uh in my opinion and so Collins I have at wide receiv 30 the bottom of this tier but that being said um I I I do have him like you said at the highest above all the other receivers in Houston so we're in the same page in some regards slightly behind your ADP but or or your your your rank but we're in the same ballpark um for me 23 comes in as Amari Cooper uh and and and and this one's I think I also want to kind of say this is subject to change with as we find out more about deshun Watson and and his health and what's viable but Amari Cooper's kind of shown to be quarterback proof we saw him have a lot of success with Joe Flaco and and if you know if Watson's healthy grade if not if it's someone else then I think he's going to be fine just just as is um Cooper kind of always been that Elite wide receiver in my opinion underrated in a lot of aspects and and for me he's gonna see you know a ton of carries plus I have recent nightmares of being destroyed by him in in best Bal Mania so I think it's that's maybe a little bit biasness here as well yeah and who would have known that Amari Cooper was the one you needed to advance in all those best ball formats uh absolutely incredible what was that week 16 went absolutely nuts uh yeah again another guy that Billy is definitely ahead of Market on for me 22 is puka 22 Puka Nacua / Deebo Samuel nkua and I'll say the reason that this people might not love this ranking but we're talking about a player who missed time in college with injuries and I actually have flipped Cooper cup and ncua I know last year n was well ahead of him in production but I'm actually really buying into these reports that was playing in an exceptional amount of pain last year sounds like his health is closer where we what we saw in 2022 I Dan Williamson just made me draft uh Cooper cup at the very end of a second round in ffpc Main Event so I'm also sort of talking myself into it but I flip these two and I'll say the one thing with pukan AA is this is a player where if you if Billy if you told me AJ Brown loses 12 15 Targets this year I'd say okay because AJ Brown's still going to crush because it's a guy that I've seen him do it with less targets he also could score a ton of touchdowns when it comes to panua I think he's a guy who really needs to be heavily targeted so if his targets come in slightly and then and and cup goes back to his traditional Target share I I think that this is going to be a situation where ncua is not going to give us like a potential top five overall wide receiver season and when I'm drafting a wide receiver in this range I really do want that upside so I'm I'm gonna put nikua probably in a Range where I'm not going to see a whole lot of him in these high stakes formats as a combination of I don't know if the volume's going to be there and I'm a little worried about once an injury pops up does it recur I think it's back to at least a 5050 cup ncua split and I usually can get cup at a more reasonable time I am closer to your rank than I am to ADP at puka nikua NOA comes for me as as number 18 um I got him and cut back to back but for 22 um my my number 22 player is Samuel and so he took a slight dip inside of the rankings yesterday um we have not seen iuk be moved uh it sounds like John Lynch is going to play a little hard ball with with uh Brandon iuk he said at some point he's just got to get on the field uh it it makes me feel like they're not going to trade him now um and they're just gonna let him sit down and uh um they're gonna just kind of make him deal with it so I I think if if we found out today that um auk was not playing week one which is becoming a little bit more likely every day um than I think might take another you know two or three spots higher on this if I found out that iuk was being traded I think that Debo probably in my opinion jumps into the top 11 at the position or top 10 even um so there there's a lot of wiggle room here for Debo Samuel a lot of a lot of outs I should say if you're a poker player um but right now kind of the floor for me is wide receiver 16 and my number 22 player yeah and I I really like Debo as well I had him at 29 so he just missed out on the top 25 I drafted him I've been drafting him a ton in like the third round of these drafts though because Billy I think you're creating a a situation where there's multiple outs for him to exceed his ADP and we know the spike weeks are there he had like five weeks of 20 points or more uh last year with Brock pie and also I'll say that the Trent Williams for some reason Trent Williams missing time as well I also like that for Debo because maybe a little bit more manufactured touches and maybe a little bit um for Debo and maybe a little less reliant on the running backs early on at least just the pure running game so I I can always kind of make a bull case for Debo he's such a smash we type I I'll say for 21 for me 21 a top12 Rookie WR1 very on brand player for me and I actually think this player is going to finish as a wide receiver one Malik neighbors uh comes in at 21 for me so it's two rookies in my top 25 spoiler alert you can figure out the other one he's going to be a little bit earlier but Malik neighbors is the guy that I'm trying to have a lot of I think he's gon to be one of the most exciting players in football uh they just gave him number one Billy there was a retired giant um number one and uh they the family gave neighbors permission my sons are both getting a Malik neighbors Jersey before school starts I think I've made that decision that is number one as well they're gonna grow disa pointed in life well this is my at my house being a Giants fan there's we're neutral and I'm gonna let them decide their fate in football I'm not going to push them like the 49ers propaganda behind you with your children I'm going to let my I my my kids get Stars Jersey so my sons have Mom yeah we brand our kids with San Francisco emblems here just straight branded and and my my son my son actually got a fresh Garrett Wilson Jersey to wear to school on the first day so Malik neighbors I'm going to get them for both but we got stars in this house so that's all we're doing in the gringer household uh who do you have uh Billy let Let's uh let's drop this one I I dropped my Malik Neighbors at 21 shock alert is also my 21 so we are in lock step Billy you like a younger player I love it I love it I thought we were going to go all like 25 uh plus I mean I'm not like you I'm not Chris Hansen I'm not out here C you know I'm I'm I'm the I'm I should say I'm Chris Hansen the Predator catcher and you're over here you know with like 30 players inside the top 30 that are you know 18 years or or younger and so I like younger running backs I gotta type guys I gotta type um but I love that Billy I this this is like a super bullish ranking for you where do you have him you don't need to pull it up but we're we're projecting neighbors 15 targets or are you ready to do that I it's here I'm pulling it up right now let me see we're got to go the NFC East uh we're going to scroll down here to the Giants and I have neighbors projected for 144.5 so very very close I'll take it I'll take it yeah I think it's a it's a perfect storm and I love that you're in lock step with me on Malik neighbors and again this is a guy where if you're in some of these home formats you're starting to see him in like the the fourth round I I've seen him in the second round a couple times in like the higher Stakes ffpc nfc's but you're still sort of living in the third I just think that it's the exceptional upside and when we talk about a guy that could be peeking towards the towards the end of the season like I think there's a chance Malik neighbors is a first- round pick next year in PPR redraft I think he's gonna have that sort of impact this year so Malik neighbors already ahead of pukan nakua in my rankings I mean go figure uh that's exciting so I'll take it back to 20 20 overall for me saquon 20 AJ Brown / Jaylen Waddle Barkley and again it's not a guy that I think I'm going to have a ton of but I cannot deny the fact that I think the guy could score a ton of touchdowns in this offense my one concern is I think for saquan to have the type of season where he goes nucular and helps win leagues he's gonna need to catch the football you talk about the target competition where devont Smith just missed my top 25 AJ Brown is an absolute monster he's going to be inside my top 10 and it's just not something we've ever seen from Jaylen Herz DeAndre Swift Last year had a a career low in terms of receptions even though he had a career high in rushing yards like if I told you Billy before the season last year DeAndre Smith would have a thousand rushing yards we probably would have drafted him on every team uh and it just didn't happen and I think that Kell Moore wants to to use running backs more as pass catchers than maybe the previous offensive coordinators in Philly but I just don't think it's something that they've done so I think that caps saquon a little bit he's going to run for a lot of yards he's going to run for a good amount of touchdowns structurally he makes some sense but not a guy I have a whole lot of because even though I rank him here at 20 I just don't necessarily see the upside for him to be in the comp the competition for rb1 overall top three running back I'm a little higher on sa one than you um I mean not crazy I have at at number 14 overall um I'm a little bit more bullish in the passing game not by much but I also have him for um you know just higher car it's the best offensive line he's ever had in his career so um I I I like Barkley a little bit more than you so 20 for me is Jaylen waddle um you know this is just an offense I like it's a piece I want um I mean Miami's I'm attacking for the most part there's some pieces that we might release a bit here shortly but I am passing at ADP but if it falls right or the build is correct I'll take them um but you know Jaylen WD love the talent love love what he's been able to do I've been kind of wronging the player you know his first year and then and when they added competition and this is a guy now I'm I'm kind of all in on I actually have him a little higher than you do I'm glad to see that he he's he's at 20 for you I'm not that much higher uh but for me 19 overall is Jonathan Taylor it's 19 Jonathan Taylor/ Cooper Kupp been a guy I've been fading and ranking him 19th uh I'm not going to really have a whole lot of because he usually goes at the one-w turn uh it doesn't matter what format it is he's going at the one-w turn and in some home leagues I believe he was like ninth in Yahoo ADP this is a guy where he just doesn't have the receiving upside in this offense or really in his profile it's also a guy who's missed a great deal of time for backto back seasons and Taylor uh could lead the NFL in rushing yards he could challenge for the the lead in rushing touchdowns but still not finish rb1 overall because rb1 overall besides Taylor's season where he did it in his second year every single year it's been a guy with like 65 or more receptions and I just tailor in this offense it's just not going to happen not with Anthony Richardson and then you talk about the two Pathways where Taylor needs to rush for all these yards and rush for all these touchdowns ultimate vulture Anthony Richardson Richardson could potentially have more rushing touchdowns than Taylor I wouldn't bet on it but it's it's a in the realm of possibilities so that's about as high as I will get for for Taylor I'm slightly higher than you Taylor I'm at 13 just because the RPO system is gonna open up lanes and um we saw what Zack Moss able to do in this offense last year I think Taylor's just far superior Talent number 19 for me is is Cooper cup we've already talked about the reasons why I'm I'm in on those reasons why with you I just think that this is more of a one a1b situation than the cup taking over the one spot um but these guys are back toback in my rankings 19 and 18 for Cooper cup and pukaa yeah and for me the one this I guess this is a flag plant for me because I'm ranking him ahead of Stan and ahead of Jonathan Taylor but 18 Travis Etienne / Puka Nacua I'm putting Travis etn at 18 I'm a little higher on consensus than him you can still get him in a lot of third rounds I think the whole argument is last year he was very reliant on touchdowns and the yards per carry was poor but he sort of bailed himself out with all these rushing touchdowns I think that if you look at the previous season his yards per carry were like a full yard higher I think they'll come back to it I think Jacksonville is going to be better offensively but the reason for this is I think etn took a real step forward as a receiver last year out of the backfield this is his de facto year three because the first year was missed with the injury I just feel very comfortable with Travis etn structurally and I think he's a strong third round pick uh especially for drafts where I start wide receiver wide receiver but I've said sort of in bold bold takes all season that Travis etn is a guy that I think scores more points than Jonathan Taylor and I'm doubling down with this ranking sometimes though Billy it's funny like this is where I have him ranked but I'll still take wide receivers ahead of him I'm still willing to kind of read the room if it's like a major wide receiver run I'm willing to try to push etn down a little bit but I feel comfortable having him inside my top 25 I think he's going to repeat being like a top five running back scorer again this year around there yeah uh tight tight-knit tier for me but he's just outside that tier that you mentioned the JT saquin Barkley um I actually have eten as my 34th overall player so um you know M what is that middle round three um but I so I'm probably in line with consensus here I think that there's definitely room for him to outbeat that but I I I I'm not GNA you know argue with your reasoning I think it's I think it's sound and who do you have at 18 18 for me was puku I mentioned it when I had Cooper cup back toback oh I had forgotten since we've 17 Cooper Kupp / Davante Adams rattled off like 10 10 guys in a row here sorry Billy about my photographic memory get it again [ __ ] this 17 overall for me is Cooper cup so uh you know everything you said everything I said with with uh pukan nakua Cup's a guy that I actually I think he's gonna be really really strong this year um and I also think also the fact that the whole we could have a whole show about kyen William being Williams being the new like punt return in La them mixing in different backs but I think this is leaning towards being a very wide receiver Centric offense uh maybe a little less reliant on a single running back like we saw last year and I think that cup is going to eat inside the Red Zone there's a a a there is a universe where Cooper cup leads all wide receivers in touchdown catches this year I'm getting a little bit bullish on him I hope it doesn't burn me you know I don't like older players at all Billy and he's old but uh I think I feel good about D about having him here at 17 overall we're close um 17 for me is Devonte Adams mentioned earlier um so not far from your projection there like I mentioned earlier I got just I like the I like the quarterback situation more than what it was last year and and uh less less Jos Jacobs in the passing game less less Target competition all around I think Adams is going to be just fine okay for me at 16 overall I'm Jaylen 16 Jaylen Waddle / Marvin Harrison Jr Wadd so everything Billy said about Jaylen waddle I'll double down on and I'll say like with Wadd there's maybe no receiver that has more of a contingent upside than Wadd uh if Tyreek Hill misses time Jaylen Wadd to the Moon three straight years with a thousand uh receiving yards we've seen him have a a 100 Catch season like there's just not a whole lot to dislike about wad I'm extremely bull on the Dolphins offense uh Billy and I think wd's going to be he's like an easy click right now whenever you're like at the end of the second round and you don't know who to take just take jyan W I think that's a phenomenal pick at the end of the second round like he probably should honestly be like middle to early second round especially with contingent upside like I think there's a real argument for him to be there um for me the number 16 people aren't going to like this as much but I'm I'm going to kind of give my reasoning why I Marvin Harrison Jr and so slightly behind ADP but when we look at what puka nakua did last year he broke nearly every single fantasy record um as a as a rookie and he still came in as the wide receiver number six I don't think Marvin Harrison breaks every single record um I think that he has the talent to to do it um but you know this is a a quarterback who also likes to run the ball um they also have a very talented tight end um and you know they have other anory pieces that are going to be involved where I think puga kind of had the stars of line in terms of of everything for him to succeed and and just kind of also exceed the expectations but Marvin Harrison for me wide receiver 10 comes in my 16th overall player yeah and I don't think people are going to get angry about that I have I have mhj at at 11 overall um and I'm think I'm pretty bullish on him so 16 Billy I don't think people are going to get that angry uh about that one I think for for me it's like structurally I want to push him up in the r because I think when I'm stuck at the one-w turn he's a guy that makes a lot of sense for me especially in wide receiver with the way wide receivers are flying off the board um but yeah I don't think people get annoyed at that 15 for 15 Chris Olave me Chris alve I think this could finally be the Chris Ave season that we wanted last year and you're starting to see that reflected where he's sneaking into like the late second round sometimes early third round but when you look at the offensive uh makeup of the Saints Alvin Kamar is older everything sort of went his way last year alive I think they're going to have to use more on like you have the combination of a high Target total High Target share and excessive amount of air yards but I think this year you see a little bit more manufactured touches just to get the ball in his hands as the offensive focal point it's just rational coaching and self-preservation for Dennis Allen to get him involved as often as possible he's their best player on that offense and I think he has a really really strong year three guess who I have at 15 Chris Chris oh we're in Lo here I'm not going to repeat because we're you know I don't see we're short on time but I don't need to repeat everything you just said because I think you you definitely were spot on I am going to throw in some hashtag Billy analysis here I played Chris alive on Madden 25 or I was the the Saints and I absolutely destroyed my buddy with Chris alave he had we had 250 yards and three touchdowns at half with Chris I was just force speeding him it was awesome and I'm man I hope he has a type of season yeah I think a lot of people have been waiting on a and it's sort of like a it's funny because a had so much enthusiasm last year that I think there's people that still feel a little bit burned by La and it's like forget last year it's a different situation different coordinator uh we're gonna see what happens he also banged up a little bit last year there you go and you know that this offense like I don't know there's some positive vibes here and I actually think that there you're that the tesm hill usage is going to be very beneficial to them where they've they've basically said TM Hill is a guy that's going to help them move the chains this year I think they'll be more first downs more opportunities less three and outs and and Alive also gets those indoor environment games where you could just see him having those big spike weeks to really help you they have a opening game against Carolina that's a really fun uh week one game uh so Billy here we go this is the one you're GNA love the most 14 overall Devon aan Devon Anan at 14 overall I'm sure this is 14 DeVon Achane / Saquon Barkley about 40 spots higher than you have him uh I love him I want to make sure that the people who listen to me are getting him in the third round uh again you don't need to take him here but he's going to be available to you often in the third round and I'm not crazy reaching Billy like I've I've passed on him in the late second a couple of times knowing that I'm going to have exposure to him in the third round but this is a player where they only kept four wide receivers Billy because they're going to get the ball in Devon anan's hands he's going to be used as a receiver he's an exceptionally efficient Runner he has the most home run threat ability of any running back in football and I think at the end of the day he is going to be very very effective this year I think he's going to finish inside the top six of the right running back scoring and I want to be really bullish on him because if I'm trying to win a tournament I'm trying to win my league playoffs this is the kind of talent that I want to have and we don't take zeros when he misses either Billy if the guy misses two three weeks I'm not going to worry about it I have drafted a lot of Jaylen Wright as well and there are teams where I have Devon hen and Jaylen Wright on the same team Rahe moard and Jaylen Wright on the same team again I have three Miami Dolphins inside my top 25 I think they're going to lead the NFL in scoring this year like the Dolphins uh I like Anan and we've talked about the off seon I'm not GNA beat a dead horse it's just it breaks down to to to the math for me and it's just the math ain't math with Devon H hand so I have him well outside the top 14 I have him at at number 38 um and so I I mean you could take him at the end of third sure but I would not take him at that two three turn like people have been um and where your ranking is you're saying an early round two pick so I think that's a little too rich for my blood I think he's got you know a lot of opportunity here he's definitely G be involved in passing game but he's gonna be the wide receiver three on his own team um and and I think that you know he's gonna be used sparingly inside of the the rushing attack so um I think he's being overdrafted I think he's this outstanding Talent um but I just can't get him that high well we're announcing another BET live on the air we have our big Jackson Smith and jiga bet year two this year I'm at what is it wide receiver 33 and a half wide receiver 32 and a half Billy 32 and a half you said off a okay so I have jsn finishing inside the top 32 Billy says outside the top 32 we already have that bet on the record our new BET to announce is Devon Anan fantasy football points versus Joe Mixon and we'll go PPR scoring for these two guys head-to-head Billy mzi oio gr Ander bet that we're gonna follow all season long I'll go with the young back of course Billy goes with old man Joe Mixon against the electric and EXC in Devon Anan volume baby volume's king let's go I will take that bet and I just want to just like sub preface here is that Theo has never won a bet versus Billy in the last two years um over for one over for one hey the count does not does not matter you have youve never won a bet versus Billy all time all time all right number 14 for me it was Barkley we mentioned it earlier we don't need to go into why but the Barkley comes in right there for me at number 14 right behind Jonathan Taylor who's 13 for me 133 for me is Drake London um and 13 Drake London / Jonathan Drake London is a guy that I'm really excited about Billy and I have talked about him sort of all offseason taking a big step forward I think this could absolutely be the year I've had pretty much uh Drake London and Marvin Harrison Jr uh like I I've getting exposure to those two in the early second round often in in these high stakes drafts just because they both feel right in this range but London to me I think he's going to have 150 targets and I think like Darnell money is not a really a threat I think he's going to be sub 100 targets I think this offense is going to be very Consolidated with their big three bejan Robinson uh darn uh Drake London and Kyle pittz and then I think you'll see like Tyler alir and Mooney get touches every week but not necessarily be impactful guys unless there was an injury so I think London just it's it's the year for him he's an alpha it's this is finally in a situation where I think he's going to thrive and I think he makes sense where he's going at 8 I love it I got him at number 12 so I got one spot ahead of you and I agree with everything you said my only kind of hesitation is um the health of Kurt Cousins and and and how it could play out throughout the year because if we saw I'll push back on you if you get the rookie quarterback you might actually get a higher Target share with with take lock like a lot of these guys they they hone in as the primary read with the rookie maybe back on that volume would come down down though that's that's the that's the only thing I think that like they're not going to move the chains as much I think they're probably going to be less efficient targets but I I would say that yeah I could see the scenario where he gets honed in on because it happened last year even um but I would definitely say that I'd be a bit concerned if if we didn't see Kurt Cousins all year who do you have at number 13 Billy uh Jonathan Taylor yeah and we mentioned why earlier okay so you you're right on line with with ADP basically with with JT yeah uh the number 12 for me is jir Gibbs and jir 12 Jahmyr Gibbs / Derrick Henry Gibbs I'm you know this is one of my guys last year I was pounding the table for him uh this is not a disrespect to your David Montgomery uh Billy I know Bill David Montgomery is always the guy that you're comfortable Drafting and I think you'll see Montgomery uh I think you'll see Montgomery not quite as effective as last year but still an effective player to draft at his current ADP but for me with jir Gibbs the reception total is going to go up they're going to trust him more as a receiver out of the backfield that was his Mo uh coming out of Alabama exceptional receiver there and last year he really exceeded expectations as a runner and he was disappointing as a receiver I think this year you see the well-rounded nature of his game and I think jir Gibbs is the top five scorer at the running back position yeah i' I have a little bit maybe less optimistic on Gibbs I do think he's gonna earn his money in the passing game I got him for about 60 receptions um you know it's it's it's the early down work that's going to hold him back in my opinion that's where David Montgomery is going to dominate I think the touches um and and I just have him you know a bit lower Montgomery I mean uh Gibbs to me comes just outside the top 30 so we're significantly different here the the disrespect to the young Dynamic year two backs jir Gibbs and Devon hn will not be forgotten here Billy trepidation trepidation you're so who you and you have London at 12 right I do have London at 12 anything to add on Drake London no I think I think we had the points for 11 for me and this is a lot higher than ADP is Derrick Henry um I'd say go back and listen to the last week's first class fantasy we spent probably 15 minutes on Derrick Henry um but the quick synopsis is that he's in a new RPO system it's going to be very beneficial for for him and his play style um we've seen Gus Edwards average over five yards a carry in this offense Derrick Henry is a far superior back than Gus Edwards I think we're going to see a lot more Lane spread uh open open lanes here for der Henry with this system um it's going to open up a lot of scoring opportunity they're moving the chains more than they were in Tennessee uh love the landing spot here for Derrick Henry inside my top 12 overall significantly higher than 80P he has been climbing though and I do think that he is worthy of a backend uh or I should say early early first round or early second round pick back in late round first pick in my opinion yeah so I mean I had him I had him lower I had him at 25 but I can understand where you're coming from at the end of the day it's a it's sort of a a philosophical Clash here where you haven't seen a back crack 200 carries in a Lamar Jackson offense Gus Edwards last year was the highest does Derrick Henry fully impose his will on this offense because if he does this is an offense that could lead the league in scoring and you could have Derrick Henry could be the League winner uh and also backfield competition is Justice Hill right now uh you've got Keaton Mitchell banged up rash Ali has been banged up uh so the fact that they didn't bring in anybody else I think speaks volumes to just how much they love Henry and also they're pretty confident in Justice Hill as their as their handcuff there uh so yeah there you go Billy musio has a couple guys on this list that he is definitely ahead of consensus with Derrick Henry's there and 11 for me Marvin Harrison Jr Billy had 11 Marvin Harrison Jr / Drake London him a little lower at 16 I'm a little more bullish on Harrison Jr I've taken him at the turn before in both beste ball and in redraft I think he's gonna has potential for a top five scoring season I think he's got big-time touchdown scoring potential and Target wise I think he's going to get around 135 140 Targets in what should be a very good offense Billy's high on Kyler Murray and I'll Echo Billy's uh what Billy just said we dropped that uh that episode last week with Dave kugie and Alfredo Brown where we gave our bold predictions for the season that was a great episode really really fun one highly recommend it so Billy we're in our top 10 here I'm gonna have you start out give us your number 10 player number 10 Garrett Wilson 10 for me is Garrett Wilson um love the fact that he finally has a quarterback this is a guy we expected break out last year the quarterback situation kind of derailed it um you know weapons are outside of brace Hall are kind of be to be determined we saw Mike Williams finally get on the field but always a factor to be banged up or Miss games um outside of that not a lot of opportunities so Garrett Wilson to me pretty easily into the top 10 yeah and I have Garrett Wilson at 10 as well and it feels low Billy like and I will say there's a gap between 11 and 10 like this is like like feel so much more comfortable when I get that top 10 pick uh these these days because I think Garr Wilson absolute smash pick where you get him there he could finish as wide receiver one overall and you're able to get him towards the end of the first round reminds you a little bit of CD lamb last year Billy a guy who's just this great value at the end of the round so we're in lock step on Garrett Wilson at 10 who do you have at nine Billy 9 AJ Brown / Justin Jefferson number nine is AJ Brown um again I talked about the tier break between him and Chase who I have at eight um but Brown you know loved the the Kell Moore offense I think it's going to benefit AJ Brown this is an offense that I think that could go you know nuclear again here in Philly uh in 2024 um love what they did they've added a lot of pieces they've they've changed the whole you know Rhythm and dynamic and I think AJ Brown is gonna be a major benefactor yeah and for me I actually had AJ brown one one spot ahead at eight number nine for me is Justin Jefferson and it feels kind of odd going AJ Brown ahead of Justin Jefferson but it just comes down to overall team scoring I I I think the Philadelphia is going to challenge for top three scoring in the league AJ Brown's gonna have more touchdown opportunities it feels really weird for me to rank Justin Jefferson at nine overall uh but he's there for me so I have AJ at eight Justin Jefferson at nine uh but they're actually super close and if you're disagreeing with me on this one go ahead and flop them because they're essentially the same tier for me Billy who do you have at eight eight I got Jamar Chase in between Jefferson and 8 AJ Brown / JaMarr Chase AJ Brown um I don't think there's you don't need to you know hear all the reasons why we like Jamar Chase he's an outstanding receiver my only trepidation is his week one availability right now with the contract dispute um but even if he misses this this is a baked in into this projection there's a tier between these guys um so Jamar Chase kind of on an island in number eight for me and and I I think if you want to argue these three either way there's no argument push J Jamar Chase for me is is number seven I actually when the updated on the site is Bree Hall is at seven and Chase is at six but I made the switch just because in the last day because uh I'm a little nervous about week one and that matters I don't want to start in a week one hole so right now I have Jamar chase at number seven but I've drafted him at six overall and plenty of drafts so it's again splitting hairs who do you have uh at number seven Billy seven for me is Justin Jefferson um this bre just breaks down to volume we got hackinson missing early in in in the season um you know we 7 JaMarr Chase / Justin Jefferson have a new quarterback that I I like darnold more than most people do I think he's actually going to be okay especially with the weapons that he has um and this might be the best situation he's found himself in outside being the Niners backup um but I do think that Jefferson's going to succeed out of volume um and we we've seen what he's able to do with volume so number seven for me Justin Jefferson six for me is Bree Hall Alpha running back led the league in running back receptions last 6 Breece Hall / Bijan Robinson year he's going to be much better as a runner this year with the improvements in in New York I mean he could he could easily be the League winner and I'm comfortable drafting him a couple spots earlier but it feels about right for me to put him at six I am slightly higher at Bree I got him at four overall but I got bejon at six overall right now I think Tyler alir is definitely going to be involved and that's what the that break is for me in terms of separating Bree and bean they were closer you know a month ago but um as we've seen reports come out of Camp Tyler alir is going to see about 40% of the work bejon about 60% of the work which is what I had it projected for and that's why I have bejon at number six and not number four and it's splitting hairs because I have beon at number five Billy I think we're 5 Bijan Robinson / Amon-Ra St. Brown both like in lock step we like both of these guys I just happen to think beon uh is it it's a it's a it's more indoor environments I think that I trust the Atlanta offense a little bit more than I trust the Jets offense that's really it they're both great draft picks number five for me is Aman St Brown I mean this is the Sun God I mean we're going to see probably an actual uptick in volume this year with with some partur inside the receiving game and Alan Ross St Brown is just as good as a bet finish as the wide receiv receiver one overall um as anybody so love am on Ross Brown yeah and last year we pounded the table for you to draft Onan R Brown all offseason long we were very right on that one we have t we had tons of second round on on Ross Brown exposure last year he averaged over 20 points per game this could be his Antonio Brown season Billy uh I have him at four overall so I'm like right I'm right in lock step with you extremely bullish on al man raw I think he's going to absolutely crush this year uh mentioned earlier brce 4 Breece Hall / Amon-Ra St. Brown Hall's my number four it just breaks down to his involvement in the passing game they're they're down weapons I think he's going to dominate touches in the back field as well this is a bcal back and in in an era where bcal backs are are not you know that easily found and so breea for me really close to Christian mcaffrey actually in the projections this year yeah and for me number three overall I and the Bold predictions last last week I did I did say that I think that the younger backs 3 Christian McCaffrey / Tyreek Hill are going to finish ahead of Christian mcaffrey I do have trepidations on him this year with Trent Williams the age I don't love betting on older running backs but I have to have them at three it's about as low as I can get on him uh Billy the guy's just a weapon of mass destruction when he's on the field uh so you know what are you gonna do I I gotta I gotta have your guy Christian mcaffry at three CMC is number two for me number three for me is Tyreek Hill um this is the guy that's had you know just Monster back-to-back Seasons I think he's got another one in him at least um love the offense love the speed they have Tyreek Hill pretty easy I think you can make an argument for Tyreek CMC and lamb all going at the 101 pretty easily yeah and 2 Tyreek Hill / Christian McCaffrey that that the the number two overall for me is Tyreek Hill unbelievable this could be his season where he he gets over 2,000 receiving yards unbelievable what he's done the last two years I think the only like push back I would say is the the teammate competition there's multiple running backs to feed Jaylen Wadd healthy but at the end of the day nobody scheme better for Tyreek Hill like Mike McDaniels Perfect Fit Tyreek Hill for me is number two okay number one for me CD lamb sounds like we're on lock step here um I had him 1 CeeDee Lamb dinged until the contract dispute I actually had him at number three and I had Tyreek ahead of lamb but contract dispute settled Lamb's back on the field things are golden inside of Dallas lamb back at top position for me number one yeah it's it's CD lamb and I've said on another show that I think he actually breaks the record for targets CD lamb put on weight this off season and he calls it his body armor the guy's been working out non-stop I think that he knows that this is going to be the season where he has to get a the number of touches he saw post by week that's going to be every single week he's preparing himself and usually you don't love when guys say they put on weight it's always like a hey was it good weight with CD lamb we know it's good weight this is a guy that's honed on his craft unbelievable player and I think we see 200 targets Billy 200 targets it's it's a bit steep closer to the 170 range but yeah I Bonus content coming your way! I mean sure why not we'll take it we're not complaining about 170 so this was a lot of fun we're going to try to get in one more first class fantasy together before the season starts and you might have a fill-in host while I'm in Las Vegas next week we'll announce that as well uh yeah this was a lot of fun Billy we we we've had like a we're now like we had a really fun offseason here at First Class fantasy really excited for the season to start uh let everybody know where they can find your work yep uh over here at player profiler doing all the rankings projections also you can find us at fast draft that's fastra doapp uh and you can download the app on your Google or Android store use the code promo code first class fantasy all one word right there for you for a 2X deposit match uh and we are excited to see us drafting over at fast draft Yeah and let us know in the comments whose rankings did you like better Theos or billies and if you want to get Billy's in season rankings the guys finished number one at fantasy pros uh you had another top five finish at fantasy pros in the contest like sign up this is one of the great things about our site is the rankings we have you also get access to our dynasty rankings you can use the code Theo or the code Billy either one of those Works get you a little bit of money off uh for our all-in package we're going to crush it the season stick with us every week here at First Class fantasy and we hope you crush your leagues as [Music] Outro well from the Pod follow to you I deeply appreciate you tuning in and many ask what can I do what can I do to help support the host the research they do the production costs go to playerprofiler.com Dynasty delocks world famous draft kit rankings DFS Dominator and of course data analysis subscribe to any one of those and you support all of us and take player profiler to the Moon