Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions Today | MLB Best Bets 8/23/24

the Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox kickoff an inter league series on Friday night we're here to break it down for you with lean on aide as well as an official play on a player prop hi I'm Steve crave from sportsmemo.com I need to let you guys know about a great special that we're running over at wager talk in sports memo to celebrate our 10th anniversary I'll let you know more about that towards the end of the video but for now hit that like button subscribe to the wager talk Channel and let us know who you got in the comment section whether p side a total a player prop I'll be checking those comments responding back to you guys throughout the night so we took a brutal loss last night uh Padres looked like the team that had taken the Cross Country flight uh Padre's didn't cover they wouldn't have covered anything not money Line run line team total nothing uh they end up losing 8 to3 to the Mets so we look to move on to today get back on track we got Arizona at Boston 7:10 p.m. Eastern first pitch from Fenway game will be featured locally on nessen Red Sox slightly favored here negative 130 on the money line you can get the Dbacks at plus 110 total very high uh deservingly so considering these two offenses sitting at 10 got two righties going toet to toe Ryan Nelson for the Dbacks Brian beo for the Red Sox be's 11 and5 on the year with a 480 ER 1.41 on the whip he's coming off he's a pretty pretty good form he's coming off a pretty strong start against a a pretty good hitting team obviously in Baltimore in Baltimore as well six Innings pitched only one earned Runner allowed in that one he's been in solid form recently 270 August ER however he Fenway has been like his Kryptonite this season as comparison to last year his er's actually have run higher when he pitches at home on the other side of things we got Ryan Nelson 8-6 435 on the erra 1.2 n on the Whip and he is in great form himself six and a third uh only one earned run allowed against Tampa Bay on the road as well in his last start uh he's basically been in really good form since the beginning of July and he's actually prefers to pitch on the road as Y is a run lower when he over a run lower actually when he pitches on the road uh guys before we get into the official pick I need to let you know about that great 10th and anniversary deal we got to thank the fans really appreciate you guys and we're giving 30% off through the weekend this deal started yesterday but it runs through Sunday 30% off all access passes daily weekly monthly you name it it brings a single 2% play all the way down to $9 use the code 10y year10 ye a r not the letters 10 the numbers 10 year and I'm in action tonight in the the MLB as well as the WNBA and as always there'll be a link to my sports memo page in the pin comment U so we don't really need to get too much into the bullpens here guys uh cuz we're really going to be looking at a player prop although I don't trust my Red Sox bullpen as far as I can throw them and that's what would have me leaning towards Arizona here they think the value definitely lies with them based on that you can get plus money with them and I would look towards potentially I think both starters do have success in this game early on but I think we could that's why I don't know what to do with the total exactly because I think we could see both teams get to the bullpens especially the Red Sox slightly towards the Arizona team total over 4 and a half but we're going to be looking at Ryan Nelson here over four and a half strikeouts it's a low number he's had six plus in each of his last four games he's cleared this number with five plus in seven of his last eight like we said he's been in great form since the beginning of July he is a 273 erra and he's actually averaged a strikeout per inning since the beginning of July so he's in great form strikeout wise as well Red Sox they've been a bottom 10 strikeout Team all season long and if you look against right-handed pitching however you add it up the Red Sox have been a big strikeout struck out a lot and over the last 15 days they have a 27% strikeout rate eight of the last 10 right-handed pitches to face the Red Sox have recorded at least five strikeouts that includes even Corbin Burns when not to say that he's not a good pitcher but when when Burns got lit up by the Red Sox I mean they smashed him and he still struck out seven in that game so is's the option for Nelson to even get beat up a little bit and strike out five here um Red Sox are projected lineup they're going to stack up left-handed bats against the right-handed pitcher they're going to have six or seven lefties stacked up in this lineup but it almost favors Nelson he has a 236 uh Oba against lefties compared to a 306 Oba against right-handed hitters so this lines up really nicely for Nelson to have another high strikeout game uh you know he's he's cleared this total like I said last four games he said six plus we only need five here I really like this play a lot it's actually an official play for me so official play for the video Let's Go Ryan Nelson over 4 and a half strikeouts guys like I said my uh Sports memo page will be linked in the pin comment I always have free plays posted on X at stev's Book 22 as well is at sportsmemo.com if you guys enjoy the content hit that like button on the way out good luck tonight and I'll see you guys tomorrow doing Mets Padre's again get it right this time good luck guys