A "Wet Winter Whirlwind?" Farmers' Almanac Outlook

>> We're going to start this forecast off with a disclaimer. Meteorologist Matt Hefner is not responsible for the forecast. See behind you because. It's not the Farmer's Almanac. They came out their winter weather outlook for 2020 for 2025. And that's the Farmer's Almanac. There's another popular publication. The Old Farmerer's Almanac. But this is what they've released and it's been getting a lot of buzz. I think the main reason wise when they released it, they called it a wet winter whirlwind. Got me to click on it. Got me to talk about lot of other people on social media. So kind of want to address what's going on here. This is what they're calling for. They're calling for well, wet conditions in Pacific Northwest and the checks out snowy conditions often to anyone that checks out of warmer mild temperatures down to the south. But for us and to the Ozarks cold, an average snowfall, average snowfall means 13 to 14 inches. That's what we typically get here. Springfield, but let's call it double digits to around that up and I want to make sure that people are kind of taking thr forecasts with a grain of salt because this is a very long range forecast that a lot goes into it their accuracy sometimes is pretty questionable. University of Illinois did a study on this. They found out that the Farmer's Almanac. So these are about 52% accurate. That's a little bit better than a coin flip. Now, I do agree them on some things and one of them as they calling for cold winter. I think we're going to be colder than we what we got last If you look back one year ago, Farmer's Almanac, they said 2023 is going to be a harsh and snowy winter. What do we end up getting 2023 the winter that we got was the 5th warmest winter that Springfield has ever recorded amount of snow that we got. It's only 3 inches of snow. So that's not what I call harsh our snowy. But I do agree and I think the pattern can get definitely colder than what we've been used to. We're going to be switching from Al Nino and 2023. 2 La Nina, 2025. But not ready to fully release my complete winter weather outlook. I want to wait until we get to fall because to me it's more important to be accurate be first. It's going to be coming out. So one cause. I know it's been getting a whole lot of buzz online, but let's get back to the forecast like the Ozarks. We have a shootout this weekend. The boats have completely cleared out of the area. People have gone home and gone back to work in. That's the same thing with all the rain that we had on Saturday that moved out today. We have clear skies are in place. I think clear skies are going to be the forecast for Sunday Monday Tuesday, Wednesday. Thursday is the first day that gets started to shake up in that pattern by the graduate until Thursday night. So we can really get a break from this. Otherwise heat dome that has rolled in. Look at the future cast is just so hard to find any cloud cover for a good portion of the United States. This is where that summer ridge is going to area of high pressure, very stable air with very little moisture to work with in the rain outlook absolutely supports that. I think we're going to be dry for cuts quite sometime. What we got today, warm temperatures in the 90's with sunny conditions with a little bit of humidity. That's what we're going to be getting for the majority of this week until we can start to get a shake up and start to get some relief on the back. Half of thinks forecast for tomorrow. I think a couple degrees warmer than what we got today. Mid 90's for most people, 96 here in Springfield, Joplin and model saying 97, I think they can push that closer to 100 degrees outside the came up one degree short of hitting 100 today. It's going to come for a little bit of steam. Heat warnings are already in place for places north of I-44, I think pretty much everyone in the Ozarks can get. Temperatures are going to feel like 100 degrees outside just a little bit warmer. A little bit more humidity in the air up into the north. Still warm for Tuesday. That pattern really doesn't start to breaking. So we get later in the week. We're staying oppressive with those kind of heat index values. Thankfully, we're dodging anything miserable. So it's going to be warm but not as bad as what it could be. The really starts to come on Thursday night into Friday. That's going to return the chances of rain. The highs on Thursday go from 92 to 82 on Friday. So that's a big improvement. We can start to see some rain that's going to linger on Saturday. But right now I'm thinking most of that rain on Saturday. If it happens, the chance to see it going to be down to the South. summer is not done I in the last week, people like they are getting kind of fall. It's, you know, have those temperatures in those lower 80's. It felt good outside and >> as soon as you brought out the sweater, you have to put it back and kind of get out that a short sleeve T-shirt put the jacket back. I know that it's almost September, but we're one week away from September and we're talking about highs in the Mid 90's, sunny conditions. It's