Oklahoma Sooners Football 2024 Preview | 2024 College Football Picks, Predictions and Best Bets

their summer power ratings for the 2024 college football season make sure to stay tuned at the end of this video I've got a situation that I think is a great spot to fade the Oklahoma Sooners we start off every video with the odds what are the expectations for the Oklahoma Sooners going into this season their first year in the SEC these odds are from July 15 as we know they're going to change National Championship 65 to1 Conference Championship 30 to1 to make the college football playoffs yes plus 450 no your minus 700 your season win total is sitting at s and a half the over juice to minus 115 the under minus 105 this is the first team we've done that does not have a to go undefeated odds as we're starting to get into the second 10 and Jackson Arnold their Heisman their quarterback is current Heisman odds 35 to one guys we still have a lot more videos to do in these top 25s anything you want to see on these videos please comment below we've already had some great ideas we've added those to our new videos and look forward to your suggestions as well give us that thumbs up smash that like button and don't forget gold sheet the finest football newsletter it starts weekly week zero of college football goes through the Super Bowl you could save $30 with code gs30 by going to wagertalk.com or gold sheet.com let's take a look back at the 2023 Oklahoma Sooners they went 10 and3 eight and5 against the spread and eight and five over under looking at their stats their yards per play diff number 16 in the country plus 1.36 yards per diff yards per game on offense and defense number three and number 79 points per game number four and number 48 they played the number 16 toughest schedule and when you break in that schedule with their offense and defense their efficiency ranks are number 16 and number 22 so when you have some poor numbers but you play a very tough schedule the efficiency is the great equalizer in that I want to share one misleading stat with you if you're looking at passing yards per game allowed they allowed 251 yards last year that was number 109 one of the poorest but when you look at the offenses they fac the quarterbacks they took on their pass efficiency defense was number 17 so just one of those things to look at when you're breaking down stats there are very misleading stats and there are stats that tell the true story Oklahoma did lose two games as a touchdown favorite last year at Oklahoma State and at Kansas that's the reason they had three losses on the year when you look at their close games those decided by a touchdown or less they won three they lost two so about average against Texas they were plus three turnovers and still Trail 30 to 27 but they went 75 yards in five plays scored the TD with 15 seconds left the next week you see they Trail 2317 into the fourth quarter two fourth quarter touchdown drives then they allow UCF to score a touchdown with a minute to go but stopped the two-point conversion their second close game first two are both wins Kansas they LED 2114 late second quarter but Trail 2621 and had four lead changes in the final 16 minutes allowed an 80 yard touchdown drive to score with under a minute to go and their final close game was the fourth in a row against Oklahoma State they trailed 17 to 14 at halftime they LED 21 to 17 into the fourth quarter but Oklahoma State kicks the field goal with five minutes to go and the Sooners go five and out and that ends with a loss so two two close wins two close losses all four games in a row let's take a look at the 2024 Oklahoma Sooners we start off with the conference cheat sheet you see they are power rated at a 14 13 returning starters four on offense nine on defense number 54 as far as returning production they do have a new OC and a new DC and recruiting wise they were number 12 in the country and number seven in the SEC now we look at their transfers they were ninth they brought in 16 transfers that was ninth among the SEC teams I said they returned 13 starters this year is that more or less than they've returned the previous three years well they've returned 13 10 and 15 the previous three years so that number is what they basically have been averaging so no up or no down for that as far as the draft is concerned they lost three players worth eight points in my draft point system the previous two years they lost 12 players and 35 points so the starters are about even they lost less to the NFL that gives me a slight uptick as far as the NFL losses go as far as Personnel goes it's going to be tough to replace Dylan Gabriel quarterback 69% a 36 ratio and 12 12 Rush TDS so he accounted for 42 touchdowns last year yes they gave him a wheelbarrow of nil offerings but he still did go to Oregon Jackson Arnold started in the bowl so you're gonna have a young kid second year in the system taking over a quarterback running back they return their number one plus have a nice transfer give them an up Mark in the upd Downs wide receivers they lose their number one an a tight end but they return their number two two six receivers they're going to be just fine the o line folks it's scary they lose all five starters and four backups now they went out and they brought in five transfers that have 110 career starts so that is about 20 career starts per transfer but it's going to take couple games for that o line to mesh clearly a concern for the Sooners their defense again I told you bad defensive numbers last year this year they have nine returning starters and this year I think they will be an under team the offens will struggle early the defense is that good they returned eight of their nine eight of their top nine tacklers from last year their dline they're missing two full-time starters and a part-time starter one NFL draft choice but again quality backup and a lot of uh good transfers they returned their top five linebackers these linebackers plus their transfers make them the best unit in the SEC best linebacker unit they best might be the best linebacking core in the country and their secondary loses one starter so last year all offense poor defense this year almost the exact opposite a struggling offense and I think a very very good defense we'll see how that pans out again smash that like button give us a thumbs up please share any comments let's talk about their schedule for the 2024 season this year they are the number eightth toughest schedule in the country folks it is difficult let's take a look at their schedule and you'll see that games between the eight so up to a touchdown dog to a touchdown favorite are highlighted in green excuse me in Gray and you'll see they have seven of those games now one of the things you have to look at is conference schedule Oklahoma does not play Georgia our number one team in the SEC but they play the next five toughest SEC games that's why they are the number eight toughest schedule in the country and remember because they have Texas in the neutral setting in Dallas every year they only have three sec home games and they have to play five games away from home that obviously rotates every year depending on that game so I another negative situation for that they're a favorite of minus four to six in two games they're a dog in four games and when I look at their buy weeks the buy against Texas no real Edge Texas also has a buy when I look at the buy against Alabama that's a positive but Alabama is playing Mercer the week before they're likely going to be a 50-point favorite so there's no real positive expectations on the two by week when I do look at the two negative situations in their schedule when they play Old misss you see they play um they play Old Miss on October 26 it's a tough schedule neutral against Texas host South Carolina and then go to Old Miss Old Miss is off a buy then two weeks later when they have to go to Missouri Missourri is off a buy so the schedule not favorable play five of the toughest six SC teams three sec home games and the two situations where you have to travel on the SEC Road playing in these stadiums for the first time both of these teams are off a bu we end each and every segment with the better Edge couple things I just point out and with a coach like Brent venables who has only been there two years there's not that much data we can share I will say this at home vbl has gone seven and five against the spread 74 and one over under but again I think the over unders will be flipping to more unders this year as an away favorite of minus 10 or higher he's three and one against the spread but as away as a single digigit favorite he's only one and six and again this will be a difficult situation visiting SEC teams for the first time he's been a favorite in two years at Oklahoma every home and Road game he's played the four neutral games he's played he's been a dog in all four and when I look at a total of 62 or less he has gone eight3 and one over under my scariest situation here to pull out is the Old Miss game I look at the line and this is a game where even if the line favor us favors Us by a point or two I can't imagine it being a positive again they traveled Auburn then they play Texas then they play South Carolina then they go to Old Miss go to the Grove for the first time against an Old Miss team that has a Buy to me that is my number one mark your calendar situational spot I will take Old Miss minus a touchdown or less on October 26 versus the Oklahoma Sooners guys if you haven't watched each of the first top 11 teams in the gold Chet top 25 make sure you do and check out the remaining top 25 here below find out why over 160,000 people follow wager talk TV and I'm sure you will be one more added to that list