Dolphins v Bills MNF PICKS | PRIZEPICKS PROPS | MNF PLAYER PROPS | MNF BEST BESTS & PREDICTIONS

Introduction oh [Music] what is going on it is Thursday Night Football we've got a great potentially high-scoring division matchup here between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins in Miami now this line opened at a minus one and a half in favor of Miami has since moved to minus two and a half the book said earlier today they didn't think there was enough money coming in to move it to minus three minus two and a half is nice because if you take it at minus two and a half and the Dolphins win by a field goal you still cover so first things first please do me a favor and like the video if you're on any platform if you are on YouTube subscribe to the channel my YouTube channel has been taking off lately and it's all thanks to you guys and I am so so grateful to you guys for the support you guys have been giving me now we're g to start off with Tua tungo via's passing yardage line Tua has only exceeded his current line set at 270 and a half on most books as an average however by the way if you like his over play it on Fanatics you can get a minus 115 at 26.5 to the over that's 260 everywhere else pretty much is around 270 FanDuel Picks 270 Underdog 270 DraftKings 270 and a half just like all the other books priz picks 269 and a half however as I was alluding to earlier he has only exceeded this line one time against the Buffalo Bills in his career and that was October 2023 so last October he had in Buffalo 282 yards passing other than that he's been at 205 186 234 173 I think that's an interesting angle if you think that this Dolphins team is a little banged up I'll be it at home if you want to take the under I personally have not Bet On It just something I noticed while I was doing my research and I'm always trying to give you guys different ways to look at things everybody's on the over thinking this is going to be a shootout if by some chance you think it hits the under or you think that the teams just are a little bit sloppy it's only week two these guys are coming off a short week in week one where neither one looked really great I mean they got off to slow starts both of them and then had to come back in their games I think that's an interesting angle you can take now let me say what's up to chat first one actually Marvin was in here first Marvin appreciate you my friend James James says yo y oh there he is Chicago Town up one nothing in the bets Department my beloved Colts fell week one going to have to start Price shopping some jerseys here seeing green tonight yes sir Pete that's right Andrew says what's good dude Andrew what is good to you sorry I got on a little bit late but as I started doing these shows I realized I probably don't need a full 45 minutes to an hour um so I think this is probably like a 7:40 7:45 maybe 7:30 time slot for a really crazy game that we'll do from now on another interesting angle is Josh Allen's passing yardage I believe it started at 2:20 or 2:30 somebody in our uh VIP Channel Ed me and said that they got it at 220 on Underdog I think um it might have been EA Jack if he's in here yeah and I listen I see you Patrick Patrick says go bills um I say go bets but you know go bills is fine too uh I'm just rooting for my bets out there however now Josh Allen's line right now is about 246 and a half on all books bmgm if you like the over take it on bmgm at a 234 a half minus 115 odds Fanatics being in the highest book at 250 and a half if you like the he has exceeded this line against the Dolphins in five of his last six games I'm sorry six of his last seven games against the Dolphins he has exceeded this line including his last six games so his last last six games straight he has exceeded this line so I think that's an interesting Angle now different receiving core Jersey is coming soon oh man I had a good week one the Colts had a good week one if you guys didn't watch it Anthony Richardson is an absolute freak he launched nuke into the stratosphere I you guys had there's no way you didn't see it it's like you would have had to be off social media all week not to see it but my goodness that made me excited Buffalo money line plus 116 now on the road wish the fish huh I you know what I'll say this Marvin you could definitely convince me of it and I don't even think I would need a lot of convincing Josh Allen is clearly the better player in this game I like taking better quarterbacks in games however on the road with a different receiving core I am not going there personally unless it's like in a parley so like I would build out essentially like a little correlation this shows Prime Time parlay so if you're going to build out a parlay you think the bills are gonna win okay let's just go down that route for a minute here you think the bills are gonna win take them at plus money if they win Josh Allen has to score a touchdown right maybe James Cook but let's just say Josh Allen W plus 100 for his anytime touchdown moved in the opposite direction as I think it was a minus 105 so Josh alen scores a touchdown and if they get there Josh puts his team on his back right so you would take his probably looking at his game logs he's hit 250 Plus in basically every game too so I would do maybe 250 plus you got to throw one of his Targets in there so let's say Shakir gets 60 plus and I don't know how many other players I would go because they're kind of spread out here but I think you could go Shakir here or maybe take his receptions if you want and then if you want to run it back I think listen I think that's fine right there there's a lot of correlation to this play right here actually kind of like it I mean if you think the bills are going to win this is how they do it I have so many bets in play for this game tonight and it sound like a broken record because that's what I said last week too however it worked out last week I was a little bit leery guys I don't listen I am not unlike you guys if you have a ton of bets in play and you're way Overexposed three leg little thing oh yeah what do we got here what's this no sweat up to $10 we're putting $10 on it there it is Patrick that's for you my friend this is the Bills win parlay okay there it is right there bills money line Josh alen anytime score Josh Allen 250 plus and khil Shakir 60 plus receiving yards that's how they get there if they are to win not saying that's what it's going to happen I'm not saying that's the outcome I think but if we think that that is how it goes okay let me just say what's up to Chad here whoops alt the total down take the over and buffalo plus seven and a half see if you can get it at plus odds I'll try it I do love doing that kind of stuff I love alt spreading these things let's start with bills plus seven and a half because yeah I don't think I mean they shouldn't get blown out that that would be very uncharacteristic of this Buffalo Bills team the total's 48 and a half let's see let's say it's a 2421 game that's 45 points so give over 44 and a half and I think you could even do something well unless it turns into an absolute nuke shootout you could go something like under 64 and a half or something um I don't know if I'd go that route let's see so what do we got plus 101 beautiful there you go Patrick that's for you Patrick if this hits tonight and you play this please feel free to tag me but this was uh I mean that's not bad at plus odds right there bills keep it close totals over 40 four and a half I'm just curious no that's not going to do a lot it's not bad though what if we threw man you could throw a I will be honest and say I'm way Overexposed to a Josh Allen touchdown tonight though de H chance playing by the way should have mentioned should have let off the show with that I just man it makes me so nervous because if he comes in tapes it all up re agravat it on the third play I'm going to be very sad but if he reag gravat it let it be after a touchdown fantasy Tua or CJ stad Tua goes against the bills CJ and Houston are playing a matchup I know I lik Houston money line um who is Houston playing this week I should know on not like it's not on the screen um there we go they are playing the Bears spicy little number you want to play the guy against your own team huh um Tua or CJ Tua has had historically bad games against the bills compared to how he plays against every other team what's his most passing touchdowns he's thrown the most he's ever thrown against the bills is two otherwise he's had one a couple of games and then none two games I gotta roll out CJ you got to do CJ there Miami first drive result punt plus 120 anyone like something else for their Q & A first drive listen Andrew that is the kind of DJ stuff we need in the VIP chat I created a new chat the other day for truly degenerate plays and that is the kind of stuff we're talking about punt on the first drive I saw a stat on Josh on the bills they haven't lost by more than I think seven in forever yeah they had a good run I thought they broke it last year with a game um Listen Hold on actually before I get too far down the rabbit hole I want to make sure I build out one more parlay on the Miami side so that's interesting I don't think there's anything wrong with that actually I kind of like the over 44 and a half as a play to keep in here however if we think Tua longest pass is set at 40 and a half yards if we think Tu is gonna have to throw a little bit let's say he throws in this game where's his passing yards here we go 27 and a half his line is set at yeses that's high I think they both go 225 plus that's kind of a number I was toying with a little bit give me Shakir 50 plus and then give me something like uh I don't want to go hn receiving yards although man the way he looked last week but just with him banged up give me jayen Wadd four plus receptions give me tyre's yardage did I pass it I must have Tyreek I want to go 80 plus I'm kind of leaning 70 plus that's not enough give me 80 plus and a tou down for this is where I've been struggling guys if you know if you've been following my chat this week I have a little bit of exposure to both these guys I think achan's uh a decent play right here with Tyreek aan comes back at a minus 130 tyre's A minus 120 both guys can get there on Long plays uh Anan has a little bit of a red zone Advantage so I think I lean Anan and I've kind of leaned him all week and there's some decent correlation here in this one so I don't hate that at all and if you're going to go this route and you're going to say that you're going to get a couple touchdowns it's going to kind of be high scoring then I think you could also do something like I don't want to have to root for a winner in this game because I think it could be close but I think you could do something like yeah like 41 and a half nothing yeah nothing okay never mind it's not even worth it what if we did what if we did Shakir 60 plus got him watch him get 55 yards and be the only thing that ruins this part you know what I'm not going to get greedy I'm just going to roll it out at 50 plus there it is that's a plus 900 I kind of like that I'm going to snip that guy we're going to throw it in I don't know if these will all make it to VIP in time guys just being honest with you I usually try to do it I did good last week I'm not sure if we'll have time tonight but if anybody wants to tell that that could be let me see is there anything in here I don't like if I'm gonna make it like a oh I want to put Josh Allen's touchdown in there I might as well I'm so Overexposed to him might as well throw it in there I don't know this movement's interesting you know what I'm going to keep one without it because this movement is a little worrisome the fact that it's moved like that let's throw 10 bucks on it to win 90 and it's in there you go that's one if you guys tailed now hold on I have to be uh a better streamer than this I want to say it's been like two and a half years they haven't lost by more than a touchdown in the oh the regular season okay Pete that might be it and yeah uh Patrick you were right I I knew the stat was there and it was something crazy I mean that's a pretty crazy stat to be honest in today's NFL what do we got five minutes what time does this game start kickoff 10 after where Dolphins guys I posted 8:15 okay um we got a couple minutes because I'm not gonna go crazy building stuff out but look at this little number oh that's my boy Raul Rosas that is my boy for UFC guys listen if you even if you don't oh I gotta categorize that even if you don't watch UFC uh this is going to be a great event this Saturday pay-per-view I've got a couple of plays already posted for free right here got a couple plays posted for week two already had one posted already here Josh Allen Tyreek killed to score a touchdown this is before Anan was for sure in there's a little Devon Anan contingent there guys I mean come on come on it's free check it out check out the blog all right give the blog some love um I'm not gonna build out a crazy amount but what I think you can do is I have a little I'll give you guys one more though I will give one more free one this is one posted earlier in the week at a plus 650 for everybody who's in the VIP Channel plus 650 now you're only getting at a plus 57 that is the value of VIP in case you wondering um in case you guys have been thinking about it signing up it's literally free free free free free free TR Wadd feels like a play tonight over for it I like his receptions and I think that playing some books will let you play and bow some won't and some will let you do it sometimes and not others I swear um but if I can correlate and play his receptions with his what do we got here look at this there's like no yardage props is it because it kicked off no the game didn't kick off bizarre I don't know if we can do Wadd 60 plus and his receptions let's see if it'll let me put them together I'm I'm telling you sometimes it does there you go do Wadd you got to do Wadd 70 plus to make it worthwhile there you go so I'm so waddle I could understand the logic of being on Wadd great week last week Bill's lost their number two corner or he's banged up he's not GNA play this week so I think he gets a a soft matchup for sure I mean I guess if you're going to do it I mean if you're going to go there go like 90 Plus or 100 plus do four plus receptions and I really like the 80 at plus 146 no oh that's weird oh you're getting dinged right I mean you could go 90 plus let me look up Ladle real quick hold on one second standby let's do a little research before we just willy-nilly what has although I don't think this is super helpful but it you know it's 25% helpful at least against the bills he's had two games over a 100 yards and then he's had a lot of mediocre games however this bill's secondary is different uh this line is set at 66 and a half best line on Caesars or bmgm right now at a minus 135 so you could do something like so that is not 144 okay 70 plus I mean I really don't hate that at a minus 110 and if you want to Lad it you can absolutely lad it I would lad it with his receptions so like keep the receptions in there at either four plus or three plus and just do like 100 plus for Wadd there you go 100 plus and four receptions and man I got to be honest if you're going to do that it's kind of hard not to do I mean even 60 plus for Tyreek feels free right and three receptions four receptions for Tyreek as well right I mean how could you not and at that point if you go this far you might as well throw in two into the mix but yeah that's not going to get you much so maybe not the receptions um but yeah there's a little there's a little play if you wanted to Lad it you could keep Tyreek or not but at a plus 236 that's pretty solid I'll snip that again I wish I could have time to share all these on all the other platforms but guys there is some value in watching just the videos if even if you can't make it to the other things because occasionally you will get plays like this that I won't have time for Anytime an Chan was banged up last year Wadd had better stats interesting I wonder if there is an actual split without hn in the lineup can I do that because sometimes I can sub out a guy and then look at his stats without the guy but I know what you're saying is even if he was in there so the only actual game last year without aan so without not banged up he uh against Buffalo he had 46 yards against the bill without aan and then without aan but not specifically against the bills Wadd averages 68.5 receiving yards but he has had a couple of nuclear games couple in the hundreds so I don't know listen Andrew you might be on to something that I'm not familiar with I didn't know there was a split like that um but if that's a thing listen guys play that play the thing Andrew if you feel that way I'm never going to talk somebody off of a stance they have or something that seen that I may be haven't because I do not have all the answers I feel like anan's going to be the Red Zone usage and waddle to get there Marvin I hope you are right because I need an hn touchdown like I need air to breathe I need an hn touchdown so if you guys like the waddle and you want to ladder him up I almost prefer to ladder Tyreek but Tyreek hasn't had great games against the bills really I mean he had a couple of good games when he's with the Chiefs so if you were going to do it with Tyreek you would do what 80 plus and then five receptions how's that looking not good enough friends you'd have to go six plus which I don't yeah I don't really like it as much with Tyreek so I guess that's not the play um all right guys what do we got three minutes all right let's get ready to call it here anybody else have any last questions Marvin fire listen I think I snipped everything um I'm definitely gonna be watching I am usually on Twitter the entire time I'm watching the game because if it's not a CTS game I don't have to be laser focused in so I'm kind of watching commercial break I'll check my phone it's a bad habit I'm addi to screens I'm addicted to screens so yeah catch me on uh catch me on Twitter we'll chat let's sweat these bets if you guys want to access to the VIP links will be in the description below appreciate you guys checking out Prime Time parlays last week we absolutely killed it in went Nuclear So let's hope for the same success in week two and remember betsmart and win more thank you guys for checking out the stream even though it was quick rushed but I think we got a lot of good plays in there we talked some good stuff hope you guys find it helpful and good luck luck tonight on all your bets [Music]