Andy's Week 2 NFL Thursday Night Football Sniffs, Picks & Pirate Parlays: BILLS-DOLPHINS

you just heard it... at me I told you on several occasions subscribe to the YouTube channel and click the notifications the other day I called that Rajan Rondo you know the like comment subscribe but the Rajan Rondo of the big three is to click the notifications now I know a lot of YouTubers say that oh my God that you just heard it you just heard it you literally just heard me for the first time in my life group myself in oh my God if there's any acting teachers out there you know this ain't lying that's going down right now I've always referred to them those the YouTubers and the ticktockers and I almost just like used us that is a very depressing moment in my life I put myself up there with the the cast of Top Gun before I do with the YouTubers I is that is that slightly delusional thinking potentially but that was the first time you saw it happen mark it down where oh God I'm a YouTuber damn anyway I told you to subscribe and click the notifications cuz you never know when these videos are going to come out this one happens to come out in the middle of the night where I used to say sa for the NHL videos in the middle of ideas come out at night the night you'll be getting those late sniffs and the reason that is every once in a while some of my best ideas you know when it came to writing comedy and coming up with funny ideas or concepts for jokes there were always two times where I always came up with the best stuff and I'm really not kid I don't want to say this as advice because everybody's different everybody has their own methods but all my clever and creative stuff happens after runs I know that sounds wa what do you mean after runs let's say I run and then there's just that long walk after and my walks are a lot longer than the runs but I don't know if it's with oxygen being released from the brain to the body but I come up with so many Concepts in that post-run period and the second time is when everyone's sleeping I don't know if I have a little vampire quality to me and that's kind of when I think of some of my best stuff but here we are late in the middle of the night but I guess very early when it comes Thursday Night Football sniffs now I guess there's one kind of reason I the early sniff want to get this video to you early and that has to do with what we just saw happen on Monday night at what we might see again not 100% certain but what we might see again on Thursday in regards to the running backs in the game now how did week one go but it was opening week of football you know what it was like for us here or for me at least I mean I beat the crap out of the guy like in the first round of the fight and then the rest of the rounds were pretty even but I easily won the fight we destroyed them opening night and then you know a $10 win a $30 loss a $50 loss but up over $800 for week one and now we will try to continue that into week two with this Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins game so in this game we are seeing the Miami Bills-Dolphins Dolphins favored by a couple of points over a team who has just smacked them repeatedly the Bills ever since Josh Allen took over just Time After Time After Time waxing them some of the games are not even remotely close just full Josh Allen owning the Miami Dolphins and the reason I bring that up I mean aside from the fact that last last year both picks that I gave minus 2 and a half at home for the bills and then last week of the year to win the division in Miami took the bills I bring all of that up to let you know that I'm going with the Miami Dolphins in this game originally I was going to take the money line cuz it came out atus 120 but by the time you guys watch this video I think it's already at likeus 130 - 140 so I'll just let you know I'm good with the Miami Dolphins up to anything like minus 2 and A2 you guys know how I feel about that number three once you start being a favorite and you hit three or more I'm kind of out but I've seen it minus one and A2 two I'll take anything up to minus 2 and A2 and why is that why have I turned my back on the Buffalo Bills if this was week 16 I'd probably think differently if this was in Buffalo and the weather was cold I'd probably think differently but early season Miami by the way you know I've been talking about Hot in this Rhino how great it feels when the fall rolls around that applies to a lot of the country but let me tell you one of the worst times to be in Florida for me at least is right now there is nothing more depressing than when early September and then even into October it rolls around you you know college football Saturdays you see people in hoodies out there that you can just smell that fall mischief in the air you think they're getting that in Miami it's 99 muggy and miserable people feel like Ace ventur in the back of that Rhino every single day there's nothing worse than being down there right now but I guess not for the Dolphins who are used to it it will be like that game a couple years ago where like Josh Allen was dehydrated down there he had to throw it like 55 times although the bills don't play like that anymore anyway with all that said aside from the heat there are a couple of reasons to like Miami in this game number one Buffalo looked pretty damn erratic on their own home field against Arizona the other day now offensively that was kind of to be expected you know you're replacing Diggs Gabe Davis you have a new look offense you're kind of trying to sort out everything there but the more surprising part they have a defensive coach and the defense was getting the ball moved on them by the Arizona Cardinals who are a mediocre if not bottom third team in the NFL now you can get away with that at home you can fall down double digit points come back win the game but on the road against Miami a team who's just been really good these last couple of years early in the year when two is mostly at his best and you're going to have a healthy Tyre Hill and a healthy jayen Wadd not so healthy running backs and we'll get into that in just a second but this is a game that's going to be tough for the bills to win cuz the bills have just won and won and they eliminated Miami in the playoffs took the division from Miami who do you think this one means a whole hell of a lot more for this is like borderline playoff level importance for Miami they need to get over this bills hump and if they can't do it early in the season at home how is it going to feel you know week 16 in Buffalo and I don't know when they play in Buffalo but this is a game that obviously is of significant importance to the Miami Dolphins and just because the bills are still figuring out what they're doing on both sides of the ball I think it favors a tricky team like Miami on a short week you know you have that crafty play calling of Mike McDaniel and that's kind of why I like the Miami Dolphins minus 2 and A2 First Touchdown against the Buffalo Bills anyway let's go into some clever plays clever plays that can really fill up your bank like it did for all the Jordan Mason people now Raheem moer and Devon aan like the two running backs who get the majority of the snaps for the Miami Dolphins they both got injured in the last game now they didn't look like big injuries they both just kind of gimped off to the sine moster had a chest injury Anan his ankle but they left that game they never returned and they haven't practiced Monday Tuesday and we're going to see their status but it kind of feels like they're not gonna play and if they're not gonna play here's what I will tell you you guys know how I know Shanahan well by virtue of knowing Shanahan I also know Mike McDaniel who traded for a running back played him over Raheem moer and used him immediately when moster was out of the game along with aan and that is Jeff Wilson Jr you guys know the people who watched two years ago it was all about Jeff Wilson as soon as Eli Mitchell got her Jeff Wilson in there that scheme that they run with Shanahan same type of one here what I'm trying to do is get any line that I can that are acting as if moster and Anan might still be playing and the only ones I can find available to me cuz they're obviously not going to list any rushing totals yet or receiving totals anything like that give me the first touchdown score Jeff Wilson Jr plus 1600 on bet 365 also give me Jeff Wilson to score two how's he going to score two touchdown because if they're both not playing don't be surprised if you see a Jordan Mason level of performance from him because what I will guarantee you is that he will get the bulk of the work on the off chance both those running backs are active and you see people trying to Hype up Jaylen right they know nothing about anything they're absolute donkeys and they have no clue how much McDaniel absolutely will ride Wilson as he's done in the past and will absolutely do you think that McDaniel is not going to use his like six-year trusted running back in a huge game against Buffalo and they're just going to wheel in a rookie oh yeah handle the bulk of the carries so if both of those running backs are out hn and moart you Hammer the Wilson props two touchdowns for Wilson and a first touchdown for Wilson you're looking at plus 1,600 plus 2,000 on both of those bets how do you like that huge payouts that's how we started that first video and that's how we're going to start today on this Thursday then again D. Kincaid o/u 45.5 rec yds I already gave you the money line but now I can tell you about a couple props that I really do like kind of my favorite one you know we started that Thursday video and I said you know my favorite play on the day is really it's this Justice Hill over 7 and a half receiving yards he won a bunch for us down the stretch but he wasn't the only one one of these players on the bills also won for us a bunch down the stretch and into the playoffs I once called him the most dynamic pass catch they have coming into this season I still think that's the case although he had an awful week last week but as I told you last year the beautiful things about down weeks and if they screwed you is they reward you by having a lower total one that's way easier to surpass and that is Dalton King Cade the tight end of the Buffalo Bills he was blanketed in coverage kind of like you saw with Mark Andrews on opening night and then likely just completely went off you saw King bracketed and that allowed other players to step up their games the good news here is that Miami has great cornerbacks and it's not like the bills have fantastic receivers this is a game that sets up well for the tight ends of the bills and I'm loving the Dalton King Cade over on receiving we're in the low to mid-40s I think that's extremely attainable in a game where the bills are probably going to have to score some points they might find themselves down we will see but I like King Kade here J. Waddle o/u 63.5 rec yds and then on the Miami side of the ball there's another player we talked about last year he kind of screwed us cuz he kept getting injured last year but one of the themes was oh you got two great receivers one's got an extremely high total one has a total that's what 60% of that yet give me that guy which is why I'm taking the over on jayen Wadd you're looking at Tyreek Hill around 90 yards okay give me J waddle 63 642 yards the guy cleared 100 last week and especially if there's no Devon H in who functioned as their third receiver like me had 77 receiving yards then it's going to be a ton of Hill ton of waddle and I like me some jayen waddle over 63 or 64 A2 receiving yards and one last one maybe K. Coleman o/u 3.5 receptions you can call this one a sniff I think it definitely qualifies as a sniff the rookie wide receiver for the Buffalo Bills Keon Coleman what do you think I'm going to take what did you see that he ran the most routes of all the Buffalo Bills wide receivers did you see he had four catches in his first game did you see all this did you see he went to Florida State and now he's going back to Florida yeah I saw it all too you want to know what else I saw that he did it against the Arizona Cardinals at home and as I just mentioned the reason I like the king Cade bet is because they have good cornerbacks they can defend wide receivers I think they're going to have to go through the tight ends it's going to be a way tougher matchup this time around which is why I'm going with the under three and a half receptions at even money for the bills rookie wide Pirate Parlay receiver for the bills rookie wide receiver Keon Coleman and then of course you sailed all the way here from Blackwater Bay to get your pirate PA and this one's going to be fairly easy it's going to look like some of those ones we did last year I like Dalton King Kate give me the alt on Dalton King Kate I like the over for jayen waddle give me the alt on Jaylen Wad and then also give me James Cook for over one and a half catches you know he's my flag plan Player of the Year this might be a tough game for the bills but I do like him for two catches so give me the alt receiving totals on those two and Jimmy cook for two plus catches and that will fetch you a decent price for my same game PA and that is what I have for you here on Thursday Night Football week two we look to continue our winning ways we nailed them week one now we're going to try to do it again week two hey you know what to do there are a couple things you have to do that was me I I've done all the work so far today and now Here Comes Your trivial minuscule level of work number one like and comment on this video just Like-Comment-Subscribe comment the name of the pizzeria you're going to go to and put in your favorite spread bets for the weekend number three make sure you subscribe to the channel number four the Rondo click the notifications in case something comes out in 3: in the morning is there a five a I mean in the NBA there's a starting five right the fifth one's actually secretly the the the big baby Glenn Davis or something Perkins Sam Perkins you want to know what that is patreon Perkins over on the Join the Patreon patreon we got chats talking about the game that's where I update the thread when things come in that's where I put the Lazard alt receptions and I put the Jordan Mason alt rushing yards so hopefully I see you there if not no worries I'll see you on Friday Dave and a Dan I'll talk to you then take it easy have a good one [Music]