Betting Odds on US Presidential Election: Handicapping the Race

once upon a time in a convenience store a woman asked which zeroc calorie drink will I like more the cashier said I have a thought Coke Zero sugar always hits the spot The Taste made her heart fill with laughter and with her Coke Zero sugar she lived happily ever after Coca-Cola zero sugar unbelievably delicious no trip to the store is complete without the unbelievably delicious zeroc calorie Taste of Coke Zero sugar pick some up at 7-Eleven today let's take an analysis of the US Presidential odds for 2016 Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton K odds have Hillary Clinton the 265 favorite now what this means for those of you not super familiar with gambling uh Hillary Clinton in order to win $100 you would have to risk $265 in the case of Donald Trump plus $220 for every $100 you risk you could win $220 and if you're feeling the Johnson feel the Johnson Gary Johnson plus1 15,000 so yes $100 better would win $115,000 if the ultimate Miracle happens and a third party candidate uh becomes the winner now I'm not as much as I love watching English soccer I'm not familiar enough with it to tell you whether leester city was truly the longest of the long shots but Gary Johnson us Politics as much as there's disenchantment with the both of the parties I'm sorry Gary Johnson doesn't have much of a chance probably put the over under there I actually think he's probably going to get more um than the polls currently say I think he's pulling around 12% but I do believe that because there is some disenchantment with both candidates he's going to get a much higher number than a lot of people expect I would bet the over if you can get anything under like 15% but he's certainly not going to win now Donald Trump though is a live dog actually at plus 220 I think he's a good bet and it's pretty simple that uh you know basically Donald Trump if if you handicap that he's got about a 40% chance to win anytime you get a 40% bet at like plus 220 that is a very good bet because you don't have to win 50% of the time to hit to make a profit on 220 underdogs and I do think that while Hillary Clinton clearly should be the favorite Donald Trump at plus 220 look it goes back to my predictably unpredictable Theory which is been so profitable in sports betting at offshore insiders.com www. offshore insiders.com where I do pick Sports winners look I actually thought Donald Trump was done after he made those John McCain remarks about I actually want a guy who's not going to get caught and he question about whether John McCain is a hero now you may say okay you were completely wrong about that why should I trust you hear that Donald Trump should be much less than a 220 Underdog it gets back to my predictably predictable theory in sports where we have sports teams where a lot of people say I just can't figure out this team one week they look great uh the next week they'll play their worst against the against the uh worst teams and their best against the B best teams when you have a big Underdog for somebody that is so predictably unpredictable and he's really overcome the odds so far 220 is pretty significant Donald Trump is also a what you see what you get guy look all his negatives are known they're all out there and he's not plummeting in the polls I don't think you're going to see a very likely October surprise with Donald Trump where they're going to disclose something that wasn't previously known but you know with this Wikileaks stuff and uh you know julan Assange going after Hillary Clinton think they got a lot more on her look uh just for the record if you're wondering what my bias is I'm not voting for either one of these clowns I'm actually going to feel the Johnson myself I will vote for the Third Party candidate so I can't really stand either one of these but I'm trying to be objective and I'm going to be critical in the case of of Donald Trump he is certainly the bigger idiot of the two but that's already out there who's the more dishonest of the two Hillary Clinton I think there's a lot more not known by Hillary Clinton that could be disclosed before October so look Donald Trump's weakness that he's a complete that's already out there and uh any damage that's been done is showing up in the polls but fact that Hillary Clinton is the least trustworthy there might be a lot more coming so that's why I do think that Donald Trump again is still a live underdog now Donald Trump's probably going to get a few more of the uh Sanders votes than a lot of people think remember eight years ago we did vote for chains we can certainly debate for hours and hours whether or not it was change for the good but it was definitely change people want it change and that they they got but Democrats usually dominate The Narrative look so many debates turn around not on the issues but the Democrats are saying well you know you disagree with me because you're a homophobe and a sexist and a racist and the Republicans usually wind up having to defend themselves against those charges rather than debating the issues and once you control the narrative that is a big plus and there's no question that over the last several presidential elections and major elections Democrats have done that not with the case of trump look he's very aggressive he's the one controlling the narrative and he's used Democratic techniques to win the primary and yeah the squeakiest wheel does get the oil and that has been the case Donald Trump he does a good job of no longer being on the defense where as I said Democrats usually are able to use you know the sexist and homophobe and racist card to put Republicans on the defensive but Donald Trump For Better or For Worse has certainly been you know using the Democratic techniques against his the Republicans in the primary and he's using that against Hillary Clinton now look Hillary Clinton again is still likely to win but Donald Trump clearly has the much better betting value and that's one of the things that people don't understand for example in baseball betting where they bet the money lines any uh bookmaker will tell you that the public loves betting on favorites cuz they always think the team more likely to win is the better bet and that's not true if you're you know betting on a team that's a one 190 favorite and again for those of you not familiar with how the money line Works you'd be risking $190 to win $100 um they just don't a lot of people just don't understand where it's kind of like horse racing where sometimes the favorite is uh not even is is higher than even money might be a two to1 favor tip to to win the race anytime you can get somebody who is less than a 50% um chance to win but still the odds are much higher than they should be it is a good bet so again if you and I are just betting a steak dinner and I get to predict the winner no question I would go with Hillary Clinton but the odds are way too high and there is some value in Donald Trump and essentially this far away from a uh the presidential election look so so many polls over the years have changed and again I still think that Donald Trump all his negatives are out there and I think uh there could be a lot between now and the election to come out about Hillary Clinton so the the live Underdog is definitely Donald Trump you want the fruits of our labor my true area of expertise is and sports betting but again some of our proven sports betting techniques I do think apply in this election football season's coming up and you definitely want to vote for offshore insiders.com Joey picks at offshore insiders.com www.of insiders.com make room for a brand new year and a brand new room cozy up with homed depot.com for up to 30% off select mattresses and Mattress essentials from pillow top to Plush medium firm to Memory Foam waking up to a wonderful new mattress is the perfect way to make your new bed and your New Year up to 30% off select mattresses and Mattress essentials from homed depot.com how doers get more 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