Harris Gains Ground Against Trump in Key States: Poll (Correct)

our new Bloomberg News morning consult swing state Poll for the month of August is out now and it shows kamla Harris leading former president Trump in six of seven swing States and tied in the seventh overall across these seven states she is up by two points and she is a wide lead a significantly statistically one in Wisconsin where she's up by eight points so joining me now for more on this breaking news is Bloomberg's Gregory Cordy so Gregory obviously this is a significant departure from where Joe Biden was pulling when we were uh running these in months uh prior and this is while we're talking within the margin of error in many of these states shows that this map is much wider for her than it was for Joe Biden yeah two months ago we were talking about a very narrow path to victory for Joe Biden you couldn't have counted them out but he would have had to really his his path was through those blue wall states that we talk about so often Pennsylvania Michigan Wisconsin their Northern Industrial States uh very Union heavy uh traditional democratic stalwarts that went to Trump in 2016 and that Biden went back in 2020 with con Harris on the ballot it's a completely different map it's a completely different chessboard because what she does is she opens up those Sun Belt states those swing belt States of uh Arizona Nevada Georgia and most interestingly on that map is North Carolina which was a state that Donald Trump was winning by 10 points in our April poll frankly a lot of pollsters stopped polling in North Carolina entirely thinking he was Out Of Reach and so to see KLA Harris up by two points important to point out that's within the margin of error but two points in North Carolina would have been Unthinkable just a few months ago and the fact that she's even competitive there she's forcing Donald Trump to spend money to defend it and that's part of the chess game uh that we get into especially after Labor Day when the airwaves and all of these seven states are going to get deluged with political ads yeah as you mentioned up two in North Carolina just to run through the numbers in each state for our Bloomberg TV and radio audience she's also up two in Georgia she's up by four in both Nevada and Pennsylvania up by eight as I said in Wisconsin three in Michigan the state in which she's tied is Arizona what else is significant about some of these uh polls is not just the headline figures when it comes to the state-by-state breakdown but also on the issues one of close close to our hearts here at Bloomberg is the economy I am struck by the fact that swing state voters trust her over Trump to help the middle class by a 7o margin was this surprising to you Gregory the idea that the Biden economy that voters were really not happy with an Administration she's part of she's not necessarily being drugged down by yeah what's really remarkable is that if you ask people how the economy is doing uh they still their perception of it has not changed much over the past year we've been doing this monthly tracking poll since last October this is our 11th iteration of this uh and PE people really aren't warming up to this economy and a majority still say they were better off off under Trump than they uh are under Biden and yet uh kamama Harris does not seem to come with that Biden bagage uh on the economy and so as you point out uh voters are are trusting her on these economic issues more than they trusted Joe Biden she's narrowing the Gap you mentioned uh the the idea of we asked who's better at protecting the middle class she she does well there on the issue of housing costs yeah uh Joe Biden was six points underwater on that compared to Trump Harris is four points ahead so it's a 10p point swing in two months uh she introduced this home ownership proposal where she's proposing giving $25,000 to first-time home buyers that might have something to do with it uh but on a number of issues including health care costs uh and paychecks uh she's also outperforming Trump believe it or not yeah Trump still is outperforming her when it comes to the cost of everyday Goods we should point out but there's other remarkable figures in here as well including the protection of personal freedom she's in the lead by uh 5 across the swing States what else stood out to you in the state of Gregory because we have a lot of it we do have a lot of it and freedom is one that we specifically asked this month we hadn't asked it before but uh freedom I think uh Harris mentioned According to some accounts that I saw the word Freedom 11 or 12 times in her acceptance speech of the democratic convention it really a conscious effort for Democrats to try to reclaim that word which if you go back two decades after 911 uh we had we got the freedom caucus of Republicans in the house uh they renamed french fries Freedom fries it was a very sort of Republican concept and and so the fact that she is somewhat com uh that uh that she's actually head on that issue uh is is kind of remarkable because freedom is a buzz word that's more associated with uh Republicans uh recently uh so yeah we have that we have um we asked about uh which of these candidates is more patriotic Trump has a little bit of the edge there and then we look at the vice presidential candidates because this is a year where uh JD van and Tim Walls the Republican and Democratic uh running mates respectively are really higher profile than usual and uh what we found was that U Tim Walls seems to be an asset to K Harris in a way that JD Vance is not for Donald Trump walls is perceived as more experienced more competent uh more honest and more compassionate uh people are more likely to describe Vance as dangerous and frankly weird which is the attack line that RS has used against the Republicans and when we asked if the selection of the running mates make you more or less likely to vote for the top of the ticket walls has a considerable Advantage there as well